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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

New York
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1654 Registered Voters
March 29 - April 1, 2016

±3.4%

1. How concerned are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years?
Very concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Somewhat concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not too concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not at all concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New York?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

8. Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been
getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Better
27%
18%
23%

Same
38%
43%
52%

Worse
35%
39%
24%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
9. When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

I’ve usually been interested in Republican primaries, no matter who was running
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
I’m more interested in this year’s primary than before, because [First Choice
Candidate Name] is running . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

10. If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

The most consistent conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
The strongest leader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
The most likely to shake up the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
The most experienced on policy issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

11. If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans
do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Try to stop him from being nominated at the convention this summer . . . . 42%
Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

12. For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or
not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Honest and Trustworthy
60%
43%
69%

NOT Honest and
Trustworthy
40%
57%
31%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
13. Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Terrorism
Changing the
political system
Immigration
Foreign policy
Looking out for
people like you
Bringing back jobs
Defeating Hillary
Clinton in November
Trade policy

Donald Trump
58%

Ted Cruz
21%

John Kasich
21%

71%
62%
45%

20%
18%
24%

9%
20%
31%

51%
64%

20%
15%

29%
21%

59%
61%

19%
15%

22%
24%

14. Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have
sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Yes
82%
75%
38%

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

No
18%
25%
62%

15. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Enthusiastic
42%
19%
16%

Satisfied
23%
29%
44%

Dissatisfied
13%
27%
27%

Upset
22%
25%
13%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
16. Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of
Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Favor, it would help keep Americans safer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%

17. Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

18. Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you
say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Almost always voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Usually voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Split about evenly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Usually voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Almost always voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

19. What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates’ wives in the Republican
campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

These topics are just part of a tough campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
These topics are inappropriate in a Presidential campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64%
Haven’t noticed either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%

20. How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Somewhat likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Not too likely, but I am backing him anyway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
21. How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Very well
62%
45%

Fairly well
33%
40%

Not very well yet
5%
15%

22. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Prepared
81%
52%

Not prepared
10%
26%

Not sure
9%
22%

23. Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

24. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

25. Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obama’s policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
26. Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Creates U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Takes away U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Doesn’t have much effect on U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

27. Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been
getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Better
30%
40%

Same
52%
47%

Worse
18%
13%

28. Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there
been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

They should have more debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
There have been enough debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%

29. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

30. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
31. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

32. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

33. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%

34. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
35. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

36. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York
1. Direction of the Economy
How concerned are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years?
Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
36%
6%
2%

56%
35%
8%
2%

55%
38%
5%
2%

52%
36%
6%
6%

48%
44%
7%
2%

60%
33%
5%
1%

58%
35%
7%
1%

59%
34%
5%
2%

49%
39%
9%
3%

50%
38%
9%
3%

51%
46%
3%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,650)

(746)

(904)

(277)

(354)

(707)

(311)

(1,109)

(221)

(196)

(124)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New York?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

70%
11%
4%
4%
7%
0%
3%

71%
10%
4%
5%
6%
0%
4%

70%
12%
5%
3%
7%
0%
3%

63%
14%
4%
6%
9%
0%
4%

65%
15%
5%
5%
6%
0%
3%

71%
10%
5%
3%
7%
0%
3%

82%
7%
2%
2%
3%
1%
3%

72%
11%
3%
4%
7%
0%
3%

70%
11%
6%
5%
4%
0%
5%

72%
7%
7%
0%
9%
0%
4%

55%
16%
11%
7%
6%
1%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,651)

(747)

(904)

(276)

(356)

(708)

(311)

(1,108)

(221)

(196)

(126)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

3. 2016 Primary Turnout
In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
33%
9%
7%

46%
39%
10%
6%

56%
28%
9%
7%

61%
28%
6%
5%

52%
33%
8%
7%

49%
32%
12%
8%

48%
39%
9%
5%

41%
42%
10%
7%

83%
3%
6%
8%

69%
21%
5%
5%

57%
25%
11%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,654)

(748)

(906)

(277)

(356)

(709)

(311)

(1,111)

(221)

(196)

(126)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

4. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
20%
52%
7%

22%
24%
51%
4%

20%
15%
54%
10%

25%
38%
27%
10%

26%
19%
46%
9%

22%
16%
56%
6%

12%
21%
62%
5%

21%
19%
54%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(351)

(313)

(68)

(132)

(325)

(139)

(581)

(10)

(32)

(41)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
43%
4%

50%
46%
4%

54%
40%
6%

27%
70%
3%

66%
32%
2%

53%
41%
7%

58%
38%
5%

44%
51%
5%

65%
31%
4%

75%
19%
6%

67%
27%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(722)

(303)

(420)

(109)

(159)

(309)

(145)

(476)

(115)

(73)

(58)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

6. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
30%
16%
4%

53%
29%
15%
2%

46%
31%
16%
6%

52%
23%
18%
8%

59%
24%
13%
4%

47%
34%
16%
3%

49%
30%
17%
4%

48%
31%
17%
4%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(612)

(337)

(275)

(61)

(120)

(303)

(128)

(539)

(10)

(29)

(35)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

7. Democratic Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong – I’ve decided
Strong – I probably won’t change
Somewhat strong – I might still
change
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
27%

65%
23%

55%
29%

65%
18%

61%
31%

56%
26%

59%
30%

58%
27%

54%
35%

64%
20%

73%
13%

12%

9%

14%

17%

9%

14%

5%

11%

11%

16%

13%

2%

4%

2%

0%

0%

4%

6%

4%

0%

0%

1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(683)

(288)

(394)

(105)

(153)

(288)

(136)

(451)

(111)

(68)

(52)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

8. Perception of Republican Candidates – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
38%
35%

27%
35%
38%

28%
41%
31%

17%
21%
61%

28%
30%
43%

26%
47%
27%

35%
31%
34%

27%
40%
33%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(349)

(305)

(61)

(132)

(322)

(138)

(576)

(10)

(32)

(36)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

9. Perception of Republican Candidates – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%
43%
39%

18%
40%
42%

18%
46%
36%

18%
40%
42%

19%
52%
29%

19%
44%
38%

15%
32%
52%

18%
43%
40%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(348)

(305)

(65)

(132)

(320)

(135)

(570)

(10)

(32)

(41)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

10. Perception of Republican Candidates – John Kasich
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
52%
24%

25%
47%
29%

22%
59%
19%

28%
63%
10%

24%
58%
18%

23%
51%
26%

22%
46%
32%

25%
52%
24%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(345)

(305)

(65)

(132)

(318)

(134)

(567)

(10)

(32)

(41)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

11. Interest in This Republican Primary
When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
I’ve usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
I’m more interested in this year’s
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%

56%

57%

56%

66%

52%

58%

58%

43%

44%

43%

44%

34%

48%

42%

42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(616)

(337)

(279)

(59)

(120)

(306)

(131)

(543)

(10)

(29)

(35)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

12. Republican Presidential Trait
If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
39%

15%
32%

11%
46%

16%
35%

18%
42%

12%
38%

10%
40%

12%
39%




33%

36%

29%

27%

25%

35%

38%

35%

15%

17%

13%

22%

15%

15%

12%

14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(351)

(313)

(68)

(132)

(324)

(139)

(581)

(10)

(32)

(41)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

13. Republican Response to Trump
If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%

46%

37%

43%

31%

35%

40%

37%
21%

38%
16%

35%
28%


21%
36%

49%
20%

45%
20%

39%
21%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(173)

(142)

100%

(315)

(72)

(141)

(54)

(267)

(48)

(5)

(15)

(28)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

14. Republican Candidates Traits – Donald Trump
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

60%
40%

61%
39%

33%
67%

49%
51%

68%
32%

67%
33%

63%
37%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(350)

(309)

(65)

(132)

(323)

(138)

(576)

(10)

(32)

(41)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

15. Republican Candidates Traits – Ted Cruz
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
57%

43%
57%

42%
58%

27%
73%

45%
55%

47%
53%

38%
62%

44%
56%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(350)

(307)

(65)

(132)

(323)

(135)

(573)

(10)

(32)

(41)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

16. Republican Candidates Traits – John Kasich
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
31%

73%
27%

65%
35%

75%
25%

64%
36%

72%
28%

64%
36%

72%
28%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(349)

(304)

(65)

(131)

(323)

(134)

(572)

(10)

(32)

(40)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

17. Republican Candidate Performance – Terrorism
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

58%
21%
21%

54%
23%
24%

63%
19%
17%

34%
16%
49%

55%
28%
18%

58%
23%
19%

72%
12%
16%

59%
20%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(351)

(300)

(61)

(130)

(324)

(135)

(573)

(10)

(32)

(36)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

18. Republican Candidate Performance – Changing the political system
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

71%
20%
9%

69%
20%
10%

74%
19%
7%

53%
24%
23%

62%
26%
12%

74%
19%
7%

83%
12%
5%

72%
20%
8%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(638)

(344)

(293)

(61)

(122)

(322)

(133)

(560)

(10)

(32)

(36)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

19. Republican Candidate Performance – Immigration
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

62%
18%
20%

59%
19%
22%

65%
17%
19%

35%
17%
48%

47%
26%
27%

67%
18%
15%

73%
13%
14%

63%
18%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(351)

(297)

(61)

(126)

(324)

(137)

(570)

(10)

(32)

(36)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

20. Republican Candidate Performance – Foreign policy
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
24%
31%

39%
28%
33%

52%
20%
28%

28%
18%
54%

34%
22%
44%

48%
27%
25%

57%
21%
23%

46%
24%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(641)

(348)

(293)

(61)

(126)

(321)

(133)

(563)

(10)

(32)

(36)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

21. Republican Candidate Performance – Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
20%
29%

48%
19%
32%

55%
21%
24%

34%
18%
48%

44%
24%
32%

53%
22%
25%

60%
14%
26%

53%
20%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(641)

(348)

(292)

(61)

(126)

(320)

(134)

(564)

(10)

(32)

(35)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

22. Republican Candidate Performance – Bringing back jobs
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

64%
15%
21%

63%
12%
24%

65%
18%
17%

35%
16%
49%

58%
20%
22%

67%
16%
18%

77%
6%
16%

65%
15%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(350)

(297)

(61)

(126)

(324)

(137)

(569)

(10)

(32)

(36)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

23. Republican Candidate Performance – Defeating Hillary Clinton in November
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
19%
22%

51%
21%
29%

70%
17%
14%

35%
11%
54%

63%
18%
19%

61%
22%
16%

63%
15%
22%

62%
18%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(642)

(348)

(294)

(61)

(126)

(321)

(135)

(567)

(6)

(32)

(36)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

24. Republican Candidate Performance – Trade policy
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

61%
15%
24%

63%
14%
23%

59%
16%
24%

34%
12%
54%

51%
21%
28%

67%
15%
18%

71%
10%
19%

62%
15%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(351)

(293)

(61)

(126)

(321)

(136)

(566)

(10)

(32)

(36)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

25. Republican Candidate Statements – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

82%
18%

83%
17%

82%
18%

81%
19%

94%
6%

80%
20%

78%
22%

83%
17%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(345)

(308)

(65)

(127)

(323)

(137)

(569)

(10)

(32)

(41)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

26. Republican Candidate Statements – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

75%
25%

74%
26%

76%
24%

73%
27%

71%
29%

72%
28%

85%
15%

76%
24%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(346)

(309)

(65)

(127)

(324)

(138)

(572)

(10)

(32)

(41)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

27. Republican Candidate Statements – John Kasich
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
62%

35%
65%

41%
59%

28%
72%

40%
60%

38%
62%

41%
59%

41%
59%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(642)

(337)

(305)

(65)

(123)

(321)

(133)

(564)

(10)

(32)

(36)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

28. Republican Nominee Feeling – Donald Trump
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

42%
23%
13%
22%

42%
24%
11%
23%

42%
22%
15%
22%

24%
10%
14%
52%

33%
12%
30%
25%

45%
30%
8%
17%

52%
22%
9%
18%

43%
24%
13%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(349)

(307)

(65)

(131)

(322)

(138)

(574)

(10)

(32)

(41)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

29. Republican Nominee Feeling – Ted Cruz
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

19%
29%
27%
25%

19%
32%
24%
25%

19%
27%
31%
24%

8%
24%
31%
37%

21%
30%
27%
22%

23%
31%
27%
19%

12%
27%
27%
34%

19%
30%
29%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(658)

(349)

(309)

(65)

(132)

(322)

(138)

(575)

(10)

(32)

(41)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

30. Republican Nominee Feeling – John Kasich
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
44%
27%
13%

18%
42%
26%
14%

14%
45%
27%
14%

22%
38%
27%
12%

12%
45%
29%
14%

18%
43%
25%
14%

11%
45%
29%
15%

16%
44%
26%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(349)

(307)

(65)

(131)

(322)

(139)

(574)

(10)

(32)

(41)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

31. Monitoring of Muslim Communities
Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
26%

74%
26%

75%
25%

41%
59%

62%
38%

83%
17%

82%
18%

77%
23%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(351)

(306)

(66)

(131)

(320)

(139)

(574)

(10)

(32)

(41)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

32. Betrayed by GOP
Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
22%
16%

73%
16%
11%

50%
28%
22%

54%
12%
34%

51%
32%
17%

61%
24%
16%

80%
12%
8%

61%
22%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(661)

(351)

(310)

(67)

(132)

(322)

(139)

(578)

(10)

(31)

(41)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

33. Republican Voter History
Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
40%
19%
5%
2%

34%
43%
14%
6%
3%

34%
37%
24%
4%
1%

26%
42%
13%
14%
6%

31%
39%
23%
6%
2%

36%
41%
18%
4%
1%

36%
37%
21%
2%
3%

34%
41%
19%
4%
2%













100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(658)

(349)

(310)

(65)

(129)

(324)

(139)

(575)

(10)

(32)

(41)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

34. Republican Wives
What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates’ wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Haven’t noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%

27%

18%

39%

29%

19%

17%

21%

64%
13%

62%
11%

66%
16%

50%
10%

50%
21%

67%
14%

77%
6%

66%
14%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(351)

(311)

(66)

(132)

(324)

(139)

(579)

(10)

(32)

(41)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

35. Bernie Sanders Win
How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

11%
49%

8%
41%

13%
54%

22%
44%

9%
47%

10%
49%

7%
55%

9%
48%

16%
53%

8%
58%

17%
38%

40%

50%

33%

35%

44%

41%

38%

43%

31%

34%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(703)

(293)

(410)

(108)

(156)

(301)

(139)

(465)

(113)

(69)

(56)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

36. Democratic Candidate Perception – Hillary Clinton
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
33%
5%

69%
26%
5%

57%
39%
5%

47%
46%
6%

73%
24%
2%

60%
35%
5%

65%
29%
6%

62%
33%
4%

54%
39%
7%

73%
23%
4%

61%
33%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(710)

(298)

(412)

(109)

(153)

(307)

(141)

(470)

(115)

(67)

(58)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

37. Democratic Candidate Perception – Bernie Sanders
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
40%
15%

51%
36%
14%

41%
43%
16%

68%
29%
3%

37%
43%
20%

41%
42%
17%

46%
39%
15%

53%
38%
9%

28%
40%
32%

26%
53%
22%

36%
42%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(299)

(408)

(109)

(153)

(304)

(140)

(473)

(110)

(65)

(58)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

38. Democratic Candidate Ready – Hillary Clinton
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

81%
10%
9%

84%
12%
4%

79%
9%
12%

72%
13%
14%

88%
5%
6%

80%
10%
10%

82%
15%
3%

81%
11%
7%

75%
8%
16%

87%
6%
7%

84%
10%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(704)

(298)

(406)

(109)

(155)

(304)

(137)

(466)

(109)

(72)

(57)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

39. Democratic Candidate Ready – Bernie Sanders
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

52%
26%
22%

52%
29%
19%

52%
23%
25%

71%
9%
20%

45%
31%
24%

49%
27%
24%

50%
30%
20%

55%
24%
21%

46%
25%
29%

47%
24%
29%

44%
43%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(298)

(408)

(109)

(155)

(303)

(139)

(466)

(111)

(72)

(57)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

40. Bernie Sanders Traits
Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%
8%
19%

81%
6%
13%

67%
10%
23%

89%
6%
6%

70%
8%
22%

68%
10%
22%

76%
7%
18%

81%
6%
13%

60%
7%
32%

55%
8%
37%

57%
26%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(723)

(305)

(418)

(109)

(159)

(310)

(145)

(477)

(115)

(73)

(58)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

41. Hillary Clinton Traits
Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
28%
20%

52%
27%
22%

52%
29%
19%

34%
51%
15%

67%
19%
14%

50%
28%
22%

53%
21%
26%

47%
32%
22%

62%
18%
20%

69%
18%
13%

57%
27%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(304)

(420)

(109)

(159)

(311)

(145)

(478)

(115)

(73)

(58)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

42. Next President Policies
Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
52%
7%

39%
53%
8%

43%
52%
6%

30%
66%
4%

55%
43%
2%

38%
54%
8%

40%
49%
11%

36%
55%
8%

59%
40%
1%

47%
52%
1%

41%
47%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(714)

(303)

(411)

(104)

(159)

(305)

(146)

(475)

(111)

(73)

(56)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

43. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs
Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesn’t have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
34%
16%
18%

39%
36%
15%
9%

27%
33%
16%
24%

41%
32%
13%
14%

48%
20%
14%
18%

25%
42%
15%
18%

23%
37%
20%
20%

31%
36%
16%
18%

31%
30%
23%
16%

36%
39%
7%
18%

42%
28%
11%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(723)

(305)

(418)

(109)

(159)

(310)

(146)

(478)

(115)

(73)

(57)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

44. Perception of Democratic Candidates – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
52%
18%

33%
46%
21%

28%
56%
16%

17%
41%
42%

37%
52%
11%

33%
52%
16%

26%
60%
13%

27%
52%
20%

31%
55%
14%

41%
48%
11%

36%
49%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(300)

(415)

(108)

(159)

(309)

(140)

(472)

(115)

(72)

(56)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

45. Perception of Democratic Candidates – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
47%
13%

42%
42%
16%

39%
50%
11%

59%
32%
8%

34%
44%
21%

36%
53%
10%

41%
47%
13%

45%
42%
13%

32%
61%
7%

29%
61%
11%

29%
45%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(717)

(301)

(416)

(109)

(159)

(306)

(143)

(476)

(112)

(72)

(57)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York

46. Democratic Debates
Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
53%

48%
52%

46%
54%

66%
34%

41%
59%

47%
53%

39%
61%

47%
53%

53%
47%

37%
63%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(305)

(419)

(109)

(159)

(311)

(146)

(479)

(115)

(73)

(57)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

657 Likely Republican Primary Voters
March 29 - April 1, 2016

±5.6%

1. Direction of the Economy
How concerned are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years?
Ideology
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
28%
3%
1%

83%
11%
2%
4%

76%
22%
1%
0%

52%
45%
3%
0%

85%
12%
2%
1%

58%
37%
3%
2%

76%
21%
3%
0%

67%
28%
3%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(144)

(216)

(227)

(228)

(421)

(87)

(535)

Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%
28%
3%
1%

70%
24%
4%
2%

64%
33%
2%
1%

33%
49%
5%
12%

52%
41%
6%
1%

76%
23%
1%
0%

79%
18%
4%
0%

69%
27%
2%
1%

65%
29%
6%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(347)

(309)

(67)

(131)

(321)

(138)

(459)

(128)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
20%
52%
7%

36%
9%
54%
1%

24%
11%
60%
5%

13%
32%
43%
12%

33%
6%
60%
2%

15%
27%
48%
10%

39%
10%
43%
8%

17%
21%
55%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(144)

(216)

(227)

(228)

(421)

(87)

(535)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

21%
20%
52%
7%

22%
24%
51%
4%

20%
15%
54%
10%

25%
38%
27%
10%

26%
19%
46%
9%

22%
16%
56%
6%

12%
21%
62%
5%

21%
15%
56%
8%

17%
31%
51%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(347)

(310)

(67)

(131)

(321)

(138)

(459)

(128)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%
30%
16%
4%

66%
19%
14%
1%

46%
36%
17%
2%

43%
31%
17%
9%

58%
25%
15%
2%

46%
33%
15%
6%

70%
20%
10%
1%

48%
31%
17%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(605)

(140)

(204)

(199)

(224)

(374)

(79)

(493)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

50%
30%
16%
4%

53%
29%
15%
2%

46%
31%
16%
6%

52%
23%
18%
8%

59%
24%
13%
4%

47%
34%
16%
3%

49%
30%
17%
4%

52%
30%
14%
4%

48%
28%
20%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(605)

(333)

(272)

(60)

(119)

(300)

(127)

(416)

(126)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

4. Perception of Republican Candidates – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

27%
38%
35%

38%
28%
35%

24%
44%
32%

21%
43%
36%

32%
37%
31%

24%
39%
37%

28%
26%
45%

27%
39%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(144)

(213)

(227)

(226)

(415)

(86)

(528)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

27%
38%
35%

27%
35%
38%

28%
41%
31%

17%
21%
61%

28%
30%
43%

26%
47%
27%

35%
31%
34%

28%
41%
31%

31%
32%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(647)

(345)

(302)

(60)

(131)

(318)

(137)

(456)

(127)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

5. Perception of Republican Candidates – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

18%
43%
39%

30%
33%
37%

21%
42%
37%

10%
48%
42%

28%
38%
34%

12%
45%
43%

28%
38%
34%

15%
44%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(142)

(211)

(225)

(226)

(414)

(85)

(528)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

18%
43%
39%

18%
40%
42%

18%
46%
36%

18%
40%
42%

19%
52%
29%

19%
44%
38%

15%
32%
52%

19%
44%
37%

12%
42%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(344)

(302)

(65)

(130)

(317)

(134)

(451)

(126)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

6. Perception of Republican Candidates – John Kasich
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

23%
52%
24%

13%
42%
45%

24%
49%
27%

33%
54%
12%

13%
43%
44%

29%
57%
13%

11%
51%
38%

25%
53%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(143)

(207)

(225)

(224)

(413)

(86)

(527)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

23%
52%
24%

25%
47%
29%

22%
59%
19%

28%
63%
10%

24%
58%
18%

23%
51%
26%

22%
46%
32%

22%
55%
22%

23%
49%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(341)

(302)

(65)

(131)

(315)

(132)

(449)

(125)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

7. Interest in This Republican Primary
When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
I’ve usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
I’m more interested in this year’s
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

57%

53%

58%

62%

55%

58%

62%

55%

43%

47%

42%

38%

45%

42%

38%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(609)

(142)

(205)

(200)

(225)

(379)

(80)

(495)

Gender
I’ve usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
I’m more interested in this year’s
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

57%

56%

57%

56%

66%

52%

58%

59%

50%

43%

44%

43%

44%

34%

48%

42%

41%

50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(609)

(333)

(276)

(58)

(119)

(302)

(130)

(420)

(126)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Presidential Trait
If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

13%
39%

33%
28%

11%
41%

4%
47%

23%
35%

8%
41%

33%
26%

11%
40%

33%

36%

33%

34%

37%

31%

31%

33%

15%

4%

15%

15%

5%

20%

10%

16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(144)

(216)

(227)

(228)

(421)

(87)

(535)

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

13%
39%

15%
32%

11%
46%

16%
35%

18%
42%

12%
38%

10%
40%

12%
45%

12%
31%

33%

36%

29%

27%

25%

35%

38%

31%

42%

15%

17%

13%

22%

15%

15%

12%

12%

14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(657)

(347)

(309)

(67)

(131)

(321)

(138)

(459)

(128)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Response to Trump
If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Ideology
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%

34%

33%

42%

24%

49%

41%

37%
21%

42%
24%

47%
20%

32%
26%

58%
18%

28%
23%


40%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(67)

(85)

(129)

(92)

(219)

100%

(311)

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

(50)

Age group

(241)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%

46%

37%

43%

31%

35%

38%

41%

37%
21%

38%
16%

35%
28%


21%
36%

49%
20%

45%
20%

39%
23%

32%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(140)

100%

(311)

(71)

(140)

(53)

(201)

(63)

(48)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidates Traits – Donald Trump
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

60%
40%

69%
31%

66%
34%

52%
48%

71%
29%

54%
46%

52%
48%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(143)

(214)

(227)

(227)

(418)

(86)

(531)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

60%
40%

60%
40%

61%
39%

33%
67%

49%
51%

68%
32%

67%
33%

66%
34%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(346)

(305)

(65)

(130)

(320)

(136)

(456)

(127)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidates Traits – Ted Cruz
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
57%

55%
45%

46%
54%

34%
66%

54%
46%

36%
64%

58%
42%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(144)

(211)

(227)

(227)

(416)

(86)

(530)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

43%
57%

43%
57%

42%
58%

27%
73%

45%
55%

47%
53%

38%
62%

47%
53%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(346)

(304)

(65)

(131)

(320)

(134)

(454)

(127)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidates Traits – John Kasich
For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

69%
31%

59%
41%

69%
31%

78%
22%

56%
44%

76%
24%

57%
43%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(143)

(211)

(226)

(226)

(415)

(85)

(528)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

69%
31%

73%
27%

65%
35%

75%
25%

64%
36%

72%
28%

64%
36%

70%
30%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(346)

(301)

(65)

(130)

(319)

(133)

(453)

(126)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Performance – Terrorism
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

58%
21%
21%

58%
31%
10%

63%
23%
13%

55%
13%
32%

63%
32%
6%

56%
14%
30%

46%
37%
17%

60%
19%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(144)

(213)

(225)

(228)

(409)

(86)

(524)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

58%
21%
21%

54%
23%
24%

63%
19%
17%

34%
16%
49%

55%
28%
18%

58%
23%
19%

72%
12%
16%

61%
22%
17%

59%
12%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(347)

(296)

(60)

(129)

(320)

(134)

(454)

(127)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Performance – Changing the political system
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

71%
20%
9%

64%
32%
4%

75%
20%
4%

73%
14%
13%

70%
29%
1%

72%
14%
13%

49%
34%
17%

77%
16%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(631)

(144)

(212)

(226)

(228)

(402)

(82)

(515)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

71%
20%
9%

69%
20%
10%

74%
19%
7%

53%
24%
23%

62%
26%
12%

74%
19%
7%

83%
12%
5%

72%
21%
7%

70%
14%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(631)

(341)

(290)

(60)

(121)

(318)

(131)

(444)

(127)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Performance – Immigration
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

62%
18%
20%

67%
24%
8%

71%
20%
9%

52%
12%
36%

73%
24%
4%

55%
15%
30%

51%
33%
15%

64%
16%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(641)

(144)

(214)

(226)

(228)

(412)

(86)

(521)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

62%
18%
20%

59%
19%
22%

65%
17%
19%

35%
17%
48%

47%
26%
27%

67%
18%
15%

73%
13%
14%

65%
20%
15%

57%
11%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(641)

(347)

(294)

(60)

(124)

(320)

(136)

(450)

(128)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Performance – Foreign policy
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
24%
31%

44%
38%
18%

49%
27%
24%

41%
16%
43%

47%
38%
14%

44%
16%
40%

39%
34%
27%

47%
22%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(143)

(212)

(222)

(227)

(405)

(86)

(514)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
24%
31%

39%
28%
33%

52%
20%
28%

28%
18%
54%

34%
22%
44%

48%
27%
25%

57%
21%
23%

49%
23%
28%

43%
19%
38%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(344)

(290)

(60)

(124)

(318)

(131)

(443)

(128)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Performance – Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
20%
29%

52%
34%
14%

62%
21%
17%

41%
13%
46%

58%
32%
9%

47%
13%
40%

44%
31%
25%

53%
17%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(144)

(211)

(222)

(226)

(406)

(86)

(513)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
20%
29%

48%
19%
32%

55%
21%
24%

34%
18%
48%

44%
24%
32%

53%
22%
25%

60%
14%
26%

55%
21%
24%

49%
12%
39%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(634)

(344)

(289)

(60)

(124)

(317)

(132)

(444)

(126)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Performance – Bringing back jobs
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

64%
15%
21%

70%
20%
10%

74%
17%
10%

52%
12%
36%

77%
16%
7%

58%
14%
29%

62%
21%
17%

66%
12%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(640)

(144)

(213)

(226)

(227)

(412)

(86)

(520)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

64%
15%
21%

63%
12%
24%

65%
18%
17%

35%
16%
49%

58%
20%
22%

67%
16%
18%

77%
6%
16%

68%
16%
16%

61%
6%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(640)

(346)

(294)

(60)

(124)

(320)

(135)

(450)

(127)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Performance – Defeating Hillary Clinton in November
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
19%
22%

56%
32%
12%

61%
19%
20%

61%
12%
27%

62%
29%
10%

58%
13%
29%

50%
34%
16%

61%
16%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(144)

(214)

(226)

(228)

(405)

(86)

(515)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
19%
22%

51%
21%
29%

70%
17%
14%

35%
11%
54%

63%
18%
19%

61%
22%
16%

63%
15%
22%

64%
18%
18%

57%
13%
29%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(344)

(291)

(60)

(124)

(317)

(133)

(451)

(124)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Performance – Trade policy
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

61%
15%
24%

62%
23%
15%

75%
12%
13%

49%
14%
37%

74%
18%
8%

54%
13%
33%

50%
27%
23%

64%
13%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(144)

(214)

(222)

(228)

(407)

(86)

(516)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

61%
15%
24%

63%
14%
23%

59%
16%
24%

34%
12%
54%

51%
21%
28%

67%
15%
18%

71%
10%
19%

63%
16%
21%

56%
10%
34%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(347)

(290)

(60)

(124)

(318)

(134)

(446)

(128)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Candidate Statements – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

82%
18%

69%
31%

83%
17%

90%
10%

72%
28%

88%
12%

77%
23%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(144)

(214)

(221)

(227)

(412)

(86)

(525)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

82%
18%

83%
17%

82%
18%

81%
19%

94%
6%

80%
20%

78%
22%

82%
18%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(341)

(304)

(65)

(126)

(319)

(135)

(450)

(127)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Statements – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

75%
25%

59%
41%

72%
28%

81%
19%

62%
38%

81%
19%

60%
40%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(144)

(215)

(222)

(228)

(414)

(86)

(528)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

75%
25%

74%
26%

76%
24%

73%
27%

71%
29%

72%
28%

85%
15%

73%
27%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(342)

(306)

(65)

(126)

(320)

(137)

(452)

(127)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Statements – John Kasich
Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

38%
62%

43%
57%

33%
67%

38%
62%

40%
60%

36%
64%

50%
50%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(143)

(211)

(220)

(226)

(404)

(82)

(520)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

38%
62%

35%
65%

41%
59%

28%
72%

40%
60%

38%
62%

41%
59%

36%
64%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(334)

(301)

(65)

(122)

(317)

(131)

(443)

(125)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Nominee Feeling – Donald Trump
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

42%
23%
13%
22%

53%
19%
10%
18%

44%
31%
11%
14%

35%
17%
20%
27%

50%
29%
9%
11%

38%
18%
15%
28%

36%
22%
11%
31%

43%
24%
12%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(144)

(212)

(226)

(226)

(418)

(86)

(529)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

42%
23%
13%
22%

42%
24%
11%
23%

42%
22%
15%
22%

24%
10%
14%
52%

33%
12%
30%
25%

45%
30%
8%
17%

52%
22%
9%
18%

45%
24%
13%
17%

38%
21%
12%
29%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(345)

(304)

(65)

(130)

(318)

(136)

(453)

(127)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

25. Republican Nominee Feeling – Ted Cruz
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

19%
29%
27%
25%

29%
36%
16%
18%

22%
35%
24%
18%

14%
20%
38%
28%

36%
33%
18%
13%

9%
27%
33%
31%

24%
43%
13%
20%

16%
28%
30%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(144)

(213)

(227)

(226)

(419)

(86)

(531)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

19%
29%
27%
25%

19%
32%
24%
25%

19%
27%
31%
24%

8%
24%
31%
37%

21%
30%
27%
22%

23%
31%
27%
19%

12%
27%
27%
34%

20%
33%
27%
21%

12%
24%
37%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(345)

(305)

(65)

(131)

(318)

(136)

(455)

(127)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

26. Republican Nominee Feeling – John Kasich
Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
44%
27%
13%

10%
33%
35%
21%

14%
48%
23%
15%

23%
45%
24%
8%

11%
34%
33%
22%

18%
48%
24%
10%

17%
31%
31%
22%

16%
45%
27%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(144)

(212)

(226)

(226)

(418)

(86)

(529)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
44%
27%
13%

18%
42%
26%
14%

14%
45%
27%
14%

22%
38%
27%
12%

12%
45%
29%
14%

18%
43%
25%
14%

11%
45%
29%
15%

18%
47%
24%
12%

15%
34%
36%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(345)

(304)

(65)

(129)

(318)

(137)

(454)

(127)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

27. Monitoring of Muslim Communities
Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
26%

85%
15%

86%
14%

63%
37%

91%
9%

65%
35%

67%
33%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(144)

(211)

(227)

(228)

(416)

(87)

(528)

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

74%
26%

74%
26%

75%
25%

41%
59%

62%
38%

83%
17%

82%
18%

79%
21%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(347)

(302)

(65)

(130)

(317)

(138)

(455)

(126)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

28. Betrayed by GOP
Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

62%
22%
16%

71%
17%
12%

64%
20%
16%

58%
21%
21%

78%
11%
11%

55%
27%
19%

71%
19%
10%

62%
23%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(142)

(216)

(226)

(226)

(420)

(86)

(534)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

62%
22%
16%

73%
16%
11%

50%
28%
22%

54%
12%
34%

51%
32%
17%

61%
24%
16%

80%
12%
8%

54%
26%
20%

77%
16%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(347)

(307)

(66)

(131)

(318)

(138)

(455)

(128)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

29. Republican Voter History
Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
40%
19%
5%
2%

57%
35%
6%
0%
1%

42%
48%
8%
1%
1%

17%
40%
35%
5%
2%

48%
43%
9%
0%
0%

26%
39%
24%
8%
3%

45%
42%
9%
2%
2%

33%
38%
21%
6%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(143)

(214)

(225)

(228)

(417)

(87)

(529)

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

34%
40%
19%
5%
2%

34%
43%
14%
6%
3%

34%
37%
24%
4%
1%

26%
42%
13%
14%
6%

31%
39%
23%
6%
2%

36%
41%
18%
4%
1%

36%
37%
21%
2%
3%

39%
45%
14%
1%
0%

17%
32%
41%
8%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(345)

(306)

(65)

(128)

(321)

(138)

(456)

(126)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Republican Voters

30. Republican Wives
What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates’ wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Haven’t noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

23%

27%

15%

24%

24%

22%

22%

24%

64%
13%

64%
9%

77%
8%

53%
22%

68%
8%

61%
17%

75%
3%

63%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(144)

(216)

(227)

(228)

(421)

(87)

(534)

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Haven’t noticed either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

23%

27%

18%

39%

29%

19%

17%

20%

31%

64%
13%

62%
11%

66%
16%

50%
10%

50%
21%

67%
14%

77%
6%

65%
14%

59%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(347)

(308)

(65)

(131)

(321)

(138)

(459)

(128)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

718 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
March 29 - April 1, 2016

±5%

1. Direction of the Economy
How concerned are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years?
Ideology
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

43%
45%
10%
2%

42%
36%
19%
3%

37%
52%
10%
1%

43%
51%
3%
3%

41%
44%
12%
3%

45%
47%
6%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(718)

(187)

(215)

(218)

(474)

(244)

Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

43%
45%
10%
2%

38%
47%
14%
1%

46%
43%
7%
3%

47%
37%
12%
5%

37%
56%
6%
1%

43%
44%
10%
3%

45%
42%
12%
1%

40%
46%
11%
3%

58%
36%
4%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(718)

(302)

(416)

(108)

(158)

(308)

(144)

(624)

(67)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New York Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

53%
43%
4%

34%
65%
2%

63%
35%
2%

59%
34%
7%

44%
51%
5%

68%
27%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(714)

(187)

(212)

(218)

(471)

(243)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

53%
43%
4%

50%
46%
4%

54%
40%
6%

27%
70%
3%

66%
32%
2%

53%
41%
7%

58%
38%
5%

57%
39%
4%

21%
69%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(714)

(299)

(415)

(108)

(157)

(306)

(144)

(621)

(67)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very strong – I’ve decided
Strong – I probably won’t change
Somewhat strong – I might still
change
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

59%
27%

72%
19%

54%
32%

59%
25%

58%
27%

61%
26%

12%

7%

14%

13%

11%

13%

2%

3%

1%

3%

4%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(182)

(207)

(202)

(446)

(229)

Gender
Very strong – I’ve decided
Strong – I probably won’t change
Somewhat strong – I might still
change
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
27%

65%
23%

55%
29%

65%
18%

61%
31%

56%
26%

59%
30%

59%
28%

60%
16%

12%

9%

14%

17%

9%

14%

5%

12%

10%

2%

4%

2%

0%

0%

4%

6%

2%

15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(285)

(390)

(104)

(151)

(285)

(135)

(591)

(59)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

4. Bernie Sanders Win
How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

11%
49%

19%
45%

10%
49%

5%
52%

9%
48%

14%
51%

40%

36%

41%

43%

43%

35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(183)

(207)

(211)

(460)

(236)

Gender
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

11%
49%

8%
41%

13%
54%

22%
44%

9%
47%

10%
49%

7%
55%

11%
50%

12%
49%

40%

50%

33%

35%

44%

41%

38%

40%

39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(290)

(406)

(106)

(154)

(297)

(138)

(604)

(65)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Perception – Hillary Clinton
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

62%
33%
5%

58%
35%
7%

62%
38%
1%

65%
32%
3%

62%
33%
4%

61%
33%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(702)

(185)

(215)

(213)

(465)

(237)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

62%
33%
5%

69%
26%
5%

57%
39%
5%

47%
46%
6%

73%
24%
2%

60%
35%
5%

65%
29%
6%

62%
34%
5%

63%
31%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(702)

(295)

(408)

(108)

(151)

(303)

(140)

(611)

(65)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Perception – Bernie Sanders
How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

45%
40%
15%

64%
25%
11%

48%
46%
6%

33%
45%
22%

53%
38%
9%

29%
44%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(699)

(184)

(210)

(217)

(468)

(231)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

45%
40%
15%

51%
36%
14%

41%
43%
16%

68%
29%
3%

37%
43%
20%

41%
42%
17%

46%
39%
15%

44%
41%
15%

56%
36%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(699)

(296)

(403)

(108)

(151)

(301)

(139)

(607)

(65)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Ready – Hillary Clinton
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

81%
10%
9%

82%
11%
6%

92%
5%
3%

77%
10%
13%

81%
11%
7%

81%
8%
11%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(181)

(211)

(212)

(460)

(236)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

81%
10%
9%

84%
12%
4%

79%
9%
12%

72%
13%
14%

88%
5%
6%

80%
10%
10%

82%
15%
3%

85%
7%
9%

59%
31%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(696)

(295)

(402)

(108)

(153)

(300)

(135)

(603)

(67)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Ready – Bernie Sanders
If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

52%
26%
22%

74%
16%
11%

47%
26%
27%

46%
30%
24%

55%
24%
21%

46%
29%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(698)

(182)

(208)

(214)

(460)

(238)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

52%
26%
22%

52%
29%
19%

52%
23%
25%

71%
9%
20%

45%
31%
24%

49%
27%
24%

50%
30%
20%

52%
25%
23%

59%
22%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(698)

(295)

(403)

(108)

(153)

(300)

(138)

(605)

(67)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

9. Bernie Sanders Traits
Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

73%
8%
19%

91%
3%
6%

78%
5%
18%

64%
11%
25%

81%
6%
13%

58%
12%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(186)

(215)

(218)

(472)

(243)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

73%
8%
19%

81%
6%
13%

67%
10%
23%

89%
6%
6%

70%
8%
22%

68%
10%
22%

76%
7%
18%

73%
8%
19%

80%
6%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(302)

(414)

(108)

(157)

(307)

(144)

(622)

(67)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

10. Hillary Clinton Traits
Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

52%
28%
20%

46%
35%
19%

58%
21%
21%

50%
27%
23%

47%
32%
22%

63%
20%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(187)

(214)

(218)

(473)

(243)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

52%
28%
20%

52%
27%
22%

52%
29%
19%

34%
51%
15%

67%
19%
14%

50%
28%
22%

53%
21%
26%

56%
23%
20%

19%
62%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(301)

(415)

(108)

(157)

(308)

(143)

(623)

(67)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

11. Next President Policies
Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

41%
52%
7%

32%
66%
2%

50%
50%
0%

37%
50%
12%

36%
55%
8%

51%
45%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(185)

(209)

(217)

(469)

(236)

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

41%
52%
7%

39%
53%
8%

43%
52%
6%

30%
66%
4%

55%
43%
2%

38%
54%
8%

40%
49%
11%

45%
51%
4%

16%
56%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(300)

(406)

(103)

(157)

(302)

(144)

(615)

(66)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

12. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs
Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesn’t have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

32%
34%
16%
18%

32%
34%
17%
17%

31%
32%
19%
18%

30%
41%
12%
17%

31%
36%
16%
18%

35%
32%
15%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(187)

(214)

(218)

(473)

(242)

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesn’t have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

32%
34%
16%
18%

39%
36%
15%
9%

27%
33%
16%
24%

41%
32%
13%
14%

48%
20%
14%
18%

25%
42%
15%
18%

23%
37%
20%
20%

33%
34%
16%
17%

24%
39%
10%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(302)

(413)

(108)

(157)

(306)

(144)

(621)

(67)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

13. Perception of Democratic Candidates – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

30%
52%
18%

26%
53%
21%

30%
53%
16%

31%
54%
15%

27%
52%
20%

35%
51%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(185)

(213)

(214)

(467)

(241)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

30%
52%
18%

33%
46%
21%

28%
56%
16%

17%
41%
42%

37%
52%
11%

33%
52%
16%

26%
60%
13%

33%
54%
14%

10%
45%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(297)

(411)

(107)

(157)

(305)

(138)

(615)

(66)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

14. Perception of Democratic Candidates – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

40%
47%
13%

55%
37%
8%

36%
52%
11%

37%
47%
16%

45%
42%
13%

30%
57%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(709)

(187)

(211)

(217)

(470)

(239)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

40%
47%
13%

42%
42%
16%

39%
50%
11%

59%
32%
8%

34%
44%
21%

36%
53%
10%

41%
47%
13%

39%
49%
12%

55%
36%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(709)

(297)

(412)

(108)

(157)

(303)

(142)

(616)

(67)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New York Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Debates
Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

47%
53%

54%
46%

50%
50%

42%
58%

47%
53%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(187)

(214)

(218)

(473)

(243)

Gender
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

47%
53%

48%
52%

46%
54%

66%
34%

41%
59%

47%
53%

39%
61%

45%
55%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(302)

(414)

(108)

(157)

(307)

(144)

(622)

(67)

15