You are on page 1of 26

Y

Tkt penjualan
(ribu kaleng)

Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

10
6
5
12
10
15
6
12
17
20

X
Harga
(USD)
1.30
2.00
1.70
1.50
1.60
1.20
1.60
1.40
1.00
1.10

te

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.87
0.76
0.73
2.56
10.00

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1

1.00
8.00
9.00

SS
169.55
52.55
222.10

MS
169.55
6.57

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat


31.96
4.15
7.71
(14.34)
2.82
(5.08)

F
Significance F
25.81
0.001

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


0.00
22.40
41.52
22.40
0.00
(20.86)
(7.83)
(20.86)

Upper 95.0%
41.52
(7.83)

Y
Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

X1

Tingkat
Penjualan
10
6
5
12
10
15
6
12
17
20

X2

Harga Promosi
1.3
9
2.0
7
1.7
5
1.5
14
1.6
15
1.2
12
1.6
6
1.4
10
1.0
15
1.1
21

x1 vs x2
Column 1

Column 1
1

Column 2

-0.65449

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.97
R Square
0.94
Adjusted R Squa
0.92
Standard Error
1.37
Observations
10.00
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

2.00
7.00
9.00

SS
208.88
13.22
222.10

MS
104.44
1.89

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat


17.00
3.96
4.29
(8.36)
2.00
(4.18)
0.56
0.12
4.56

F
55.29

Significance F
0.000051481

P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
0.004
7.6413555419 26.36832 7.641356
0.004 -13.0998230781
-3.6294 -13.09982
0.003
0.2679303937 0.844386 0.26793

Column 2
1

#NAME?

Upper 95.0%
26.36832
-3.6294
0.844386

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.862399
R Square 0.743732
Adjusted R 0.70102
Standard E 2.58017
Observatio
15
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 231.846 115.923 17.41297 0.000283
12 79.88733 6.657277
14 311.7333

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
25.6388 6.541729 3.919269 0.002038 11.3856
39.892 11.3856
39.892
X Variable -11.70851 3.391593 -3.452215 0.004785 -19.09815 -4.318861 -19.09815 -4.318861
X Variable 0.304292 0.20467 1.486741 0.162879 -0.141647 0.75023 -0.141647 0.75023

Y
Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

X1

Tingkat
Penjualan
10
6
5
12
10
15
6
12
17
20
19
16
12
8
10

X2

Harga Promosi
1.30
9
Untuk 10 Data
2.00
7
(Terjadi Multicolinearity)
Column 1
1.70
5
Column 2
1.50
14
1.60
15
1.20
12
1.60
6
Column 1
1.40
10
Column 2
1.00
15
1.10
21
1.25
9
penambahan sampel menghindari Multicolinearity
1.35
10
atau logkan
1.45
12
atau buang salah satu variabel bebasnya
1.55
7
1.75
6

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.97
R Square
0.94
Adjusted R Squa
0.92
Standard Error
1.37
Observations
10.00
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

MS
104.44
1.89

F
55.29

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat


17.00
3.96
4.29
(8.36)
2.00
(4.18)
0.56
0.12
4.56

P-value
0.004
0.004
0.003

2.00
7.00
9.00

SS
208.88
13.22
222.10

Significance F
0.000051481

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
7.6413555419 26.36832
-13.0998230781
-3.6294
0.2679303937 0.844386

Column 1 Column 2
1
-0.65449

Column 1 Column 2
1
-0.675447

Column 1 Column 2
Column 1
1
Column 2 -0.637505

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.897399862
R Square
0.805326512
Adjusted R Sq 0.772880931
Standard Error 2.2353119497
Observations
15
ANOVA
df

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
7.641356 26.36832
-13.09982
-3.6294
0.26793 0.844386

Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 248.0406 124.0203 24.82084 5.4E-005
12 59.95943 4.99662
14
308

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat


P-value Lower 95%
19.78566651 6.002581 3.296193 0.006386 6.707165
-9.087686442 3.069924 -2.960232 0.011916 -15.77648
0.490134439 0.180512 2.71525 0.018772 0.096833

Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Upper 95.0%
32.86417 6.707165 32.86417
-2.398897 -15.77648 -2.398897
0.883436 0.096833 0.883436

Y1

Tingkat
Penjualan

Tingkat
Penjualan
(diurutkan)

deviasi (d)

10
6
5
12
10
15
6
12
17
20
18
16
15
8
10

5
6
6
8
10
10
10
12
12
15
15
16
17
18
20

7
6
6
4
2
2
2
0
0
-3
-3
-4
-5
-6
-8
0

Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Xbar

180
15
12

varians
(s=d2)
49

Column1

36
36
16
4
4
4
0
0
9
9
16
25
36

Mean
Standard Error
Median
Mode
Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
Sum

64

Count

308

22.00 s2
rata rata dari jumlah kuadarat simpanga
4.69 Sd (akar dari varians)
20.53
4.53

Column1
12.00
1.21
12.00
10.00
4.69
22.00
(1.11)
0.09
15.00
5.00
20.00
180.00
15.00

Column1
Mean
12
Standard E 1.21106
Median
12
Mode
10
Standard D 4.690416
Sample Var
22
Kurtosis
-1.105531
Skewness 0.08626
Range
15
Minimum
5

Maximum
20
Sum
180
Count
15
ri jumlah kuadarat simpangan (disebut varians) dg Confidence 2.597466

Y
Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Tingkat
Penjualan
10
6
5
12
10
15
6
12
17
20
18
16
15
8
10

X1

X2

Harga Promosi
1.30
9
2.00
7
1.70
5
1.50
14
1.60
15
1.20
12
1.60
6
1.40
10
1.00
15
1.10
21
1.25
11
1.35
15
1.45
12
1.55
7
1.75
6

Column 1 Column 2
Column 1
1
Column 2 -0.828084
1
Column 3

0.81435 -0.675447

Column 1 Column 2
Column 1
1
Column 2 -0.675447

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.8974
R Square 0.805327
Adjusted R 0.772881
Standard E 2.235312
Observatio
15
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
2 248.0406
12 59.95943
14
308

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept
19.78567 6.002581
X Variable -9.087686 3.069924
X Variable 0.490134 0.180512

Column 3

MS
F
Significance F
124.0203 24.82084 5.4E-005
4.99662

t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
3.296193 0.006386 6.707165 32.86417 6.707165 32.86417
-2.960232 0.011916 -15.77648 -2.398897 -15.77648 -2.398897
2.71525 0.018772 0.096833 0.883436 0.096833 0.883436

No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Tahun
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

Domestik Internasional
Total
10,000
1,049
11,049
10,567
1,300
11,867
11,600
1,459
13,059
11,464
1,643
13,107
10,839
1,777
12,616
12,328
1,196
13,524
14,843
1,147
15,990
15,558
1,672
17,230
20,522
1,786
22,308
20,836
2,232
23,068
19,793
2,066
21,859
19,341
2,056
21,397
21,291
2,764
24,055
21,839
2,234
24,073

X1

X2
X3

X4
X5

pe nu mpan g d ome stik

rata-rata

25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000

f(x) = 1044.23x - 2074254.96


R = 0.89

0.06
0.10
(0.01)
(0.05)
0.14
0.20
0.05
0.32
0.02
(0.05)
(0.02)
0.10
0.03

0.24
0.12
0.13
0.08
(0.33)
(0.04)
0.46
0.07
0.25
(0.07)
(0.00)
0.34
(0.19)

0.87
1.05
0.0666 0.080795

pe nu mpan g d o

25,000
20,000

f(x) = 1044.23x - 2074254.96


R = 0.89

15,000
10,000
5,000
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
tahun

Cara 1:

Y=l1 (1+X)^n

Cara 2:

Y = a+bx

Pergerakan Penumpang di Bandara Internasional Sutan Sarif Kasim II


Pekanbaru, 1995-2008
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Tahun
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

Domestik

11,464
10,839
12,328
14,843
15,558
20,522
20,836
19,793
19,341
21,291
20,839
total
rata-rata

Internasional Total
Pertumbuhan (%)
2,049
2,049
1,900
1,900
1,759
1,759
1,643
13,107
1,777
12,616
1,196
13,524
1,147
15,990
1,672
17,230
1,786
22,308
2,232
23,068
2,066
21,859
2,056
21,397
2,764
24,055
2,234
23,073

No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Pergerakan Pesawat di Bandara SSK II, 1995-2008


25,000

14000

20,000
penumpang

penumpang

16000

15,000

12000

10000

Domestik
Internasional

10,000

8000

6000

4000

5,000

2000

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002
tahun

2004

2006

2008

2010

0
1

4000

5,000

2000

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002
tahun

2004

2006

2008

2010

0
1

Pertumbuhan Kargo (ton) di Bandara Internasional Sutan Sarif Kasim II


Pekanbaru, 1995-2008
pertumbuh
an %

Doms

1995

3536

1996

4112

16.30%

269

30.00%

4381

17.00%

1997

4135

0.60%

369

37.20%

4504

2.80%

1998

3212

-22.30%

184

-50.10%

3396

-24.60%

1999

3934

22.50%

96

-47.80%

4030

18.70%

2000

4227

7.40%

56

-41.70%

4283

6.30%

2001

5390

27.50%

99

76.80%

5489

28.20%

2002

5650

4.80%

-92.90%

5657

3.10%

2003

7014

24.10%

27

285.70%

7041

24.50%

2004

8424

20.10%

62

129.60%

8486

20.50%

2005

10881

29.20%

114

83.90%

10995

29.60%

2006

11081

1.80%

138

21.10%

11219

2.00%

2007

11621

4.90%

153

10.90%

11774

4.90%

2008

13661

17.60%

183

19.60%

13844

17.60%

207

11%

Total

pertumbuha
n rata-rata
%

Tahun

Total

Intel

pertumbuh
an %

3743

98842

rata-rata

151%
9.40%

Pergerakan Kargo (ton)


di Bandara SSK II, 1995-2008
16000

penumpang

14000
12000

f(x) = 794.4879120879x - 1583247.69890104


R = 0.8767953246

10000
Domestik
Linear ( Domestik )

8000

Internasional

6000
4000
2000
0
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
tahun

16000
14000
12000

f(x) =

4000
2000
0
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
tahun

16000
14000
12000
10000

f(x) =
R = 0

8000
6000
4000
2000
0
1990

1995

No

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Paramater
1995
Penumpang
Domestik
468524

516036

463100

328148

323263

412431

521029

b
c

Internasion
Total

44530
513054

52986
569022

54267
517367

48907
377055

62730
385993

36709
449140

25727
546756

No

Paramater
2002
Penumpang
Domestik
665707
Internasion
9570
Total
675277

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

1059468
42338
1101806

1391113
53149
1444262

1456198
57363
1513561

1675866
80486
1756352

1726768
112564
1839332

1734595
116143
1850738

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

516036
52986
569022

463100
54267
517367

328148
48907
377055

323263
62730
385993

412431
36709
449140

521029
25727
546756

665707
9570
675277

a
b
c

No
a
b
c

Paramater
1995
Penumpang
Domestik
468524
Internasion
44530
Total
513054

2000000
1800000
1600000

f(x) = 127137.52x - 253498629.94


R = 0.82

1400000
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
1994

16000
14000
12000

f(x) = 794.49x - 1583247.70

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

16000
14000
12000
10000

f(x) = 794.49x - 1583247.70


R = 0.88

Linear (Doms)

8000

Intel

6000
4000
2000
0
1990

Doms

1995

2000

2005

2010

penumpang

20,000
15,000
10,000

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

1059468
42338
1101806

1391113
53149
1444262

1456198
57363
1513561

1675866
80486
1756352

1726768
112564
1839332

1734595
116143
1850738

8629.94

25,000

Domestik
Internasional
Total
Linear (Total)

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

5,000
-

199

penumpang

25,000
20,000

f(x) = 1135.45x - 2257256.00


R = 0.83

15,000

Column C
Linear (Column C)

10,000
5,000
1995

2000
tahun

2005

2010