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Dem Land Comm Survey May 2010

Dem Land Comm Survey May 2010

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Published by: newsguy44 on May 18, 2010
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05/18/2010

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MEMO MAY 14th, 2010 TO: JOE MONAHAN

FROM:

DIALING SERVICES, LLC ROSWELL, NM

RE:

SUMMARY OF NEW MEXICO DEMOCRATIC VOTER SURVEY, MAY 12, 2010, NM COMMISSIONER OF PUBLIC LANDS -------------------------------------------------------------------------

Polling Methodology: Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodological standards to likely voting Democratic registered households with a known history of voting in primary elections. Surveys were conducted using this method on May 12th, 2010 between 7 pm and 9 pm. During this period, 465 interviews were conducted among likely voters in the upcoming June 1st Democratic primary election. As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted, or adjusted, to ensure that responses accurately reflect the population's makeup by factors such as age, sex, region and other established demographic standards and variables. The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted is +/- 5.22% with a 95% level of confidence for the 352 interviews conducted in the Commissioner of Public Lands ballot test question. Survey key question wording: “If the Democratic primary election for New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands was held today, would you vote for Ray Powell, Harry Montoya or Sandy Jones?” Respondents were given the option to select “undecided” as an answer to the ballot question.

SURVEY TOP LINE NM COMMISSIONER OF PUBLIC LANDS MAY 12th, 2010 N=352. MOE: 5.22%

RAY POWELL SANDY JONES HARRY MONTOYA UNDECIDED

37.5% 17.3% 15.9% 29.3%


• •

SURVEY KEY DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS:

CANDIDATE

POWELL

JONES

MONTOYA UNDEC

GENDER:
o o

MEN: WOMEN:

38 35

19 16

17 16

33 21

AGE:
o o o

18-49: 50-65: 65+:

38 33 37

15 21 16

23 21 13

25 26 34

ETHNICITY:
o o

HISPANIC: ANGLO:

26 40

11 17

42 10

21 33

CONG DIST:

o o o •

DISTRICT 1: DISTRICT 2: DISTRICT 3:

36 25 47

17 16 17

16 18 15

31 40 21

REG BREAKOUTS:
o o o o o o

ALBQ ALBQ-METRO SOUTHWEST SE/EAST SIDE NORTH NORTHWEST

37 36 25 35 55 35

16 20 20 10 9 31

17 15 16 12 26 14

31 30 39 44 11 21

NOTE: Percentages may add up to over 100% in subcategories due to rounding.

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