Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Photovoltaic Systems
0 subsidies
Grid-tied
Market
Module Costs
Component Costs
Industry-Developed PV Roadmap
World PV Module Production (MW) Increases
201.3
200
154.9
125.8
100
60.1 69.4 77.6 88.6
40.246.5 55.4 57.9
33.6
0
198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002
Source: PV News, March 2003
World PV Module Production (MW) Increases
World PV Module Installation (MW)
Increases
So Why Can’t We Do It?
PV System vs. Electricity Costs
44
40
Capacity Factor = 0.2
36
Cost of Generated Electricity (cents/kWh)
(U.S. Average)
32
28
Japanese Retail Rate
24
German Retail Rate
Capactiy Factor = 0.25
20 (South West U.S)
16
Pennsylvania Retail Rate
12
Additional Assumptions:
8
System Lifetime = 20 years
Real Interest Rate = 6% California Retail Rate
4
O&M = 0.1 cent per kWh
0
$9.00 $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00
Installed PV System Cost ($/Wp)
New Technology
Could Play a Role
• Heterojunction with
Intrinsic Thin-layer
• Sanyo
• 18.5%
SANYO, plans to continue
to grow its unique solar
business, aiming to
reach a production scale
of approximately 2GW
for HIT solar cells by
2020.
New Technology
Could Play a Role
Built-in Incentives
Building Material Replacement Value
Material Material avoided $/W Value
Credit by BIPV Installation
$1/sq-ft Asphalt Shingle roof, $0.10/W
monolithic glazing
$5/sq-ft Laminated glass $0.50/W
w/coatings
$10/sq-ft metal roofing/cladding $1/W
Roofing slates, clay tile,
$20/sq-ft high performance coatings $2/W
Stainless steel,
photochromic glass
Utilizing Financial Incentives
Subsidies for Fossil
Fuel
• Fossil fuels and nuclear energy receive 90%
of the government money, (with PV receiving
<3%).
• Hidden costs that we all subsidize for the
energy industry which include:
– Air pollution leads to the death of 120,000
Americans every year and costs $40 billion
in health care annually. /
– Hidden Subsidies – pollution, global climate
change, war
• Military (U.S. military spends billions/yr just
defending the oil supplies in the Persian Gulf).
The Question of Energy
Unemployment
• If we switch to solar what about all the
fossil fuel jobs?
• It is estimated that solar on average
creates 26 total jobs per MW in the US
– Coal only produces 8.7 total jobs per MW
in the US.