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ON
FUNDAMENTAL ANLAYSIS OF BHARTI
AIRTEL
SUBMITTED TO SUBMITTED BY
MS. MANISHA GUPTA KULBEER KAUR
ROLL NO:- 80804317030
SHAVIKA GAGNEJA
ROLL NO:- 80804317065
MBA 3rd
The economy is like the tide and the various industry groups and individual
companies are like boats. When economy expands most industry groups and companies
benefits and grows. When the economy decline, most sectors and companies usually
suffer. The stock market does not operate in a vacuum it is an integral part of the whole
economy of a country, more so in a free economy that of United States and to some
extent in mixed economy like ours.
To gain an insight into the complexities of stock market. One needs to develop a
sound economic understanding and be able to interpret the impact of important economic
indicators on stock markets.
The following are some important factors which should be taken into account while
doing fundamental analysis:
• Economic Growth
• Per capita income
• Industrial Production
• Inflation
• Interest Rates
• Foreign Exchange Reserves
• Budgetary Deficit
• Domestic Savings and Investment
• Tax Rates
• Infrastructure
• Political Situation
12
10
8
6 GDP
4
2
0
2006 2007 2008 2009
INTERPETATION:-
AS WE SAW THAT GDP GROWTH RATE OF INDIA’S SHOWS DECLINING TREND. MAIN REASON BEHIND THIS
IS LESS RAIN AND GLOBAL ECONOMY MELTDOWN. BUT AS WE SEE IN JUNE 2009 GDP RATE INCREASES TO
6.10 AS COMPARE TO MARCH 2009’S 5.8. IT SHOWS THAT INDIA’S GDP RATE IS INCREASING. IT SHOWS
GOOD PROSPECTUS FOR INVESTORS IN FUTURE. AND INVESTOR CAN GET BENEFIT BY INVESTING IN INDIAN
COMPANY
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 5.51 5.47 7.87 7.81 7.75 7.69 8.33 9.02 9.77 10.45 10.45 9.70
2007 6.72 7.56 6.72 6.67 6.61 5.69 6.45 7.26 6.40 5.51 5.51 5.51
2006 4.39 5.31 5.31 5.26 6.14 7.89 6.90 5.98 6.84 7.63 6.72 6.72
Interpretation:- As graph shows that inflation rate is rising year by year. Inflation in
economy is not good from investor’s point of view. When inflation rate rises it become
the reason of extra costs to business, thereby squeezing their profit margin and leading to
real decline in profitability and there by reducing the dividends on variable income
securities.
INDIA INTEREST RATE
India benchmark interest rate stands at 3.25 percent. In India, interest rate decisions are
taken by the Reserve Bank of India's Central Board of Directors. The official interest rate
is the benchmark repurchase rate.
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2009 4.00 4.00 3.50 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25
2008 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 5.00
2007 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00
2006 5.25 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.75 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00
Interpretation :- Data in graph shows that in 2009 interest rate are less than
previous year. Means government is helping the businessmen so that the can
continue their business without any difficulty in economic crisis type of condition by
reducing the interest rate. Low interest rate is good from investor’s point of view.
INDIA CURRENT ACCOUNT
Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and
services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments
(such as foreign aid). The balance of trade is typically the most important part of the
current account. This means that changes in the patterns of trade are key drivers in the
current accounts of most of the world's economies. However, for the few countries with
substantial overseas assets or liabilities, net factor payments may be significant. Positive
net sales to abroad generally contributes to a current account surplus; negative net
sales to abroad generally contributes to a current account deficit. Because exports
generate positive net sales, and because the trade balance is typically the largest
component of the current account, a current account surplus is usually associated with
positive net exports. The net factor income or income account, a sub-account of the
current account, is usually presented under the headings income payments as outflows,
and income receipts as inflows. Income refers not only to the money received from
investments made abroad (note: investments are recorded in the capital account but
income from investments is recorded in the current account) but also to the money sent
by individuals working abroad, known as remittances, to their families back home. If the
income account is negative, the country is paying more than it is taking in interest,
dividends, etc. For example, the United States' net income has been declining
exponentially since it has allowed the dollar's price relative to other currencies to be
determined by the market to a point where income payments and receipts are roughly
equal of trade forms part of the current account, which also includes other transactions
such as income from the international investment position as well as international aid. If
the current account is in surplus, the country's net international asset position increases
correspondingly. Equally, a deficit decreases the net international asset position.
India Current Account chart, historical data, forecast and news. India is leading exporter
of gems and jewelry, textiles, engineering goods, chemicals, leather manufactures and
services. India is poor in oil resources and is currently heavily dependent on coal and
foreign oil imports for its energy needs. Other imported products are: machinery, gems,
fertilizers and chemicals. Main trading partners are European Union, United States, China
and UAE .
• The Finance Minister has announced the allocation of Rs 2,400 crore from the
Universal Service Obligation Fund (USOF) to subsidize mobile, Internet and
landline operations in rural India.
• With the government planning to subsidize construction of 11,000 telecom
towers across 2.4 lakh villages, the road ahead for the rural sector seems smooth.
• These steps definitely promise greater spending on telecom infrastructure in
around 3 lakh villages which are yet to see the telecom revolution.
• According to budget estimates, for 2009-10, the government expects to collect Rs
48,335.33 crore from the telecom sector, with 3G spectrum sales contributing
75% to the total. In FY 2008-09, the government's receipts from the sector stood
at Rs 13,174.29 crore.
• The industry is also elated about the CVD exemption on the manufacture of
cellphones and accessories.
• The industry's happiness did not last long with Pranab Mukherjee announcing the
increase in Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) from 10% to 15%, which came as a
huge blow to the sector.
• The broadcasting segment can cheer. There is a small decrease in duty for LCD
panels from 10% to 5%, which will bring down prices by a maximum of Rs 3,000
per LCD TV set. LCD TV shipments that stood at around 1.3 mn units in 2008 are
expected to grow in excess of 50% year-on-year as the preference for flat panel
televisions continues to soar amongst Indian viewers.
• However, the industry in general seems happy on the increased spends on robust
infrastructure upgrades and on rural areas, which will possibly add another
chapter to the telecom story in India.
The purpose of industry analysis is to review prevailing conditions within specific
industry and its segments. The company's industry obviously influences the outlook for
the company. Even the best stocks can post mediocre returns if they are in an industry
that is struggling.
“It is often said that a weak stock in a strong industry is preferable to a strong stock in a
weak industry.”
To assess the industry group potential, an investor would want to consider the overall
growth rate, market size, and its importance to economy. While the individual company
is still important, its industry group is likely to exert as much as, or more, influence on
the stock price. When stock move the usually move as groups; there are very few lone
guns out there. An understanding of the industry sector involved, including the maturity
of the sector and any cyclical effects that the overall economies have on it, is also
necessary.
The followings are some important factors which should be considered in
Fundamental Analysis
• Growth: A growing industry gives room for profitability.
• Profitability: Average profitability of the industry should be attractive.
• Demand-Supply: the wider demand supply gap, the better is the industry’s
fortune in the future
• Entry barrier
• Competition and Market share:
• Technology trends
• Government Policy
• Capacity Utilization
• Bargaining power of buyers
Indian Telecommunication industry
' Telecom Industry in India ' is regulated by 'Telecom Regulatory Authority of India'
(TRAI). It has earned good reputation for transparency and competence.
Two types of players exists in ' Telecom Industry India ' community –
Telecom industry in India has a big market potentiality and is a fast growing sector.
Government of India is eager to reconstitute this telecom industry by enacting effective
policies for more investments from foreign companies, which results in a very
competitive and deregulated market in the world.
Wireless
(CDMA & GSM) 101.86 165.09 261.08 376.12
After determining the economic and industry conditions, the company itself is
analyzed to determine its financial health. This is usually done by studying the company's
financial statements. From these statements a number of useful ratios can be calculated.
The ratios fall under five main categories: profitability, price, liquidity, leverage, and
efficiency. When performing ratio analysis on a company, the ratios should be compared
to other companies within the same or similar industry to get a feel for what is considered
"normal." These are quantitative factors of company analysis; there are also some
qualitative factors which should be considered also.
• Find out as much as possible about the company and their products.
• Do they have any “core competency” or “fundamental strength” that puts them
ahead of all the other competing firms?
After you understand the company & what they do, how they relate to the
market and their customers, you will be in a much better position to decide whether
the price of the companies stock is going to go up or down.
So fundamental analysts use different tools and ratios to compare all sorts
of companies no matter what business they are in or what they do!
Financial ratios
A financial ratio is an expression of the relationship between two selected items from the
income statement or the balance sheet. Ratio analysis helps you to evaluate the weak and
strong points in your financial and managerial performance. Financial ratio analysis is
calculation and comparison of ratio which are derived from the information in a
company’s financial statements. The level and historical trends of these ratios can be
used to make inferences about a company’s financial condition its operations and
attractiveness as an investment.
1. Balance sheet ratio analysis
Current ratio
Quick ratio
2. Income statement ratio anlysis
Gross margin ratio
Net profit margin ratio
3. Management/efficiency ratios
Inventory turnover ratios
Account receivable ratio
4. Overall profitability analysis
Return on assets ratio
Return on investment ratio
5. Market test or valuation ratios
Earning per share
Bharti Airtel
• Bharti Airtel (BSE: 532454), formerly known as Bharti Tele-Ventures LTD
(BTVL) is India's largest cellular service provider with more than 110 million
subscribers as of Sep 2009.
• With this, Bharti is now the world's third-largest, single-country mobile operator
and sixth-largest integrated telecom operator.
• It also offers fixed line services and broadband services.
• It offers its TELECOM services under the Airtel brand and is headed by Sunil
Bharti Mittal.
• The company also provides telephone services and Internet access over DSL in 14
circles.
• It also acts as a carrier for national and international long distance communication
services.
• The company has a submarine cable landing station at Chennai, which connects
the submarine cable connecting Chennai and Singapore.
• The businesses at Bharti Airtel have always been structured into three individual
strategic business units (SBU's)
- Mobile Services,
- Airtel Telemedia Services
- & Enterprise Services.
• The mobile business provides mobile & fixed wireless services using GSM
technology across 23 telecom circles while
• The Airtel Telemedia Services business offers broadband & telephone services
in 95 cities and has recently launched a Direct-to-Home (DTH) service, Airtel
digital TV. The company provides end-to-end data and
• Enterprise services to the corporate customers through its nationwide fiber optic
backbone, last mile connectivity in fixed-line and mobile circles, VSATs, ISP and
international bandwidth access through the gateways and landing station.[2]
Globally, Bharti Airtel is the 3rd largest in-country mobile operator by subscriber base,
behind China Mobile and China Unicom.
Bharti Airtel
24.6
Reliance
40.3 Communicationa
Vodafone Essar
Others
17.7
Slice 5
17.4
COMPANY ANALYSIS OF BHARTI AAIRTEL BY USING
DIFFERENT RATIOS
RATIOS
LIQUIDITY
RATIOS
Current Ratio 0.47 0.44 0.47 0.57 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.49 0.45 0.47 0.55 0.65
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
CURRENT
0.4
RATIOS
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
Quick ratios
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
Interpretation :- Bharti airtel’s both current and quick ratios are moving upward means
shows increasing trends. These shows company has good liquidity position .
Company is able to pay day to obligations of company.
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
Quick ratios
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
30
25
20
Net profit
15
ratio
10
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
3. MANAGEMENT/EFFICIENCY RATIOS
RATIOS
Management
/efficiency
Ratios
Inventory Ratio 257.80 634.52 373.35 453.06 547.83
Account
11.38 12.57 14.31 12.28 12.78
receivable ratio
700
600
500
400 Inventory
300 turnover ratio
200
100
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
16
14
12
10
8 Account
6 receivable artio
4
2
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
Interpretation :- High inventory turnover ratio and high debtor turnover ration shows
the management’s efficiency in using inventory and collecting debts respectively. Bharti
airtel’s both ratios are high in 2009 as compare to previous years. Company is efficient in
using inventory properly and company able to collecting cash from debtors on time. In
this way it shows good prospectus for investors to invest in this company in future.
700
600
500
400 Return on
300 assets ratio
200
100
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
1.2
1
0.8
Return on
0.6 investment
0.4 ratio
0.2
0
Mar- Mra- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
Interpretation :- High return on asset ratio shows that company’s overall profitability is
goods. Bharti airtel’s this ratios is high in 2009 as compare to previous years. So its
overall profitability is good whether its return on inventment ratio has reduced by .03
point. It may be due to inflation and global meltdown reason.
5.MARKET TEST OR VALUATION RATIOS
RATIOS
Market test or
valuation ratio
Earning per
6.53 10.62 21.27 32.90 40.79
share ratio
45
40
35
30
25 Earning per
20 share ratio
15
10
5
0
Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar-
05 06 07 08 09
Interpretation :- High earning per share is considered good from investor’s point of
view. Bharti airtel’s this ratio is increasing year by year. It shows that investors has good
prospectus in bharti airtel if they will purchase is share.
Calculation of Intrinsic value for March FY2010
EXPECTED EPS = 26.52
EXPECTED PE RATIO= 14.28
INTRINSIC VALUE FOR MARCH 2010= 26.52*14.28=378.70
CONCLUSION
On the basis of this assignment’s data we can say that there will be benefit to investors to
invest their money in telecom industry because telecom industry is growing industry.
And Indian government is also providing various facilities in the development of
telecom industry. In india BHARTI AIRTEL is growing company. On the basis of its
various ratios like Current ratio, Quick ratio , Net profit margin ratio, Inventory turnover
ratios, Account receivable ratio, Return on assets ratio, Return on investment ratio ,
Earning per share we can say that company has good profitability condition, good
liquidity position, good market condition because earning per share is increasing every
year.
AND ON THE BASIS OF INTRINSIC VALUE WE CAN SAY THAT INVESTOR
CAN TAKE BENEFIT IN FUTURE BY PURCHASING BHARTI AIRTEL’S SHARE.