You are on page 1of 85

DATA

FOR READY
REFERENCE
NON-AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
Gold Economic parameters impacting Gold prices

Gold Fundamentals (Tonnes) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004


2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
Global total supply 3518 3400 3202 3336 3290 US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Mine supply 2320 2392 2384 2464 2439 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4

Others (official supply and scraps) 1199 1008 818 872 851 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Global Use 2408 2580 2510 2585 2519
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Fabrication Jewellery 1891 2085 2106 2280 2228
Dental/Medical Use 73 75 75 76 77 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Electronics 275 277 232 170 152 US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Other Industrial 169 144 97 60 63 Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
World Gold Investment 1347 1369 1079 1418 1306 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2

Indian mine production 3 3 3 3 4 India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6


OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Indian Consumption 961 918 974 930 780
Jewellery & Giftware 292 283 290 260 230
Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Industrial Use 171 155 84 70 50
US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Investment demand 498 480 600 600 500
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Indian Imports 720 862 753 809 649 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
ETF Holdings Interest rates (%)

SPDR Trust-US NYSE 780 628 453 263 - US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
COMEX inventories 265 229 234 207 180
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Official Reserves (Central Bank) Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 8134 8134 8134 8137 8137 US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
IMF 3216 3216 3216 3216 3216 Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Germany 3412 3418 3421 3428 3434 Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
India 358 358 358 358 358 China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63

World 29704 29884 30379 30743 31343 India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
Average daily volatility spot prices (India) 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7%
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783

Source:Gold CPM yearbook 2009, World Gold Council, GFMS Gold Survey 2009, COMEX, MCX
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank, RBI

88 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 89


Table 2: Gold Prices

MCX futures prices (Rs/10 gm) Spot prices (Rs/10 gm) (Monthly Average) COMEX future prices (US$/Troy ounce) US Spot prices LBMA (US$/Troy ounce) RBI rate Dollar Index
Mumbai Ahmd Delhi Kolkata (US$/Troy ounce) (Monthly Average) (Monthly Average) (Monthly Average)
Open High Low Close Open High Low Close US AM fixing PM FIXING USDN/INR
Mar-09 15525 15968 14640 15132 15244 15265 - - 940.3 967.8 882.7 922.6 927.2 926.3 924.6 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 14370 16040 13890 15504 14779 14857 - - 929 1004.9 889.8 942.5 941.8 939.8 943.2 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 13699 14490 12731 14452 13492 13490 - - 883 930.3 801.5 927.3 862.7 857.7 858.7 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 13060 13790 11736 13630 12905 12859 12843 12868 817.2 886 740 884.3 826.0 819.9 816.1 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 11671 13240 11450 13125 12159 12130 12170 12242 732.5 833.5 698.2 816.2 760.5 757.9 760.9 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 13351 14320 11290 11630 12757 12649 12672 12648 878 925.7 681 718.2 805.0 815.3 806.6 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 11900 13576 11170 13192 12221 12193 12197 12247 817.6 922 736.4 874.2 828.7 824.9 829.9 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 12610 12733 11126 11895 11863 11804 11816 11821 904.9 916.1 780.9 831.2 836.8 840.4 839.0 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 12880 13764 12284 12618 13028 13004 13006 13014 928 989.6 893.3 913.9 940.1 941.2 939.8 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 12102 12996 11923 12879 12356 12329 12324 12324 887.3 937.7 858.2 928.3 890.6 889.5 889.5 42.82 73.41
May-08 11399 12999 11155 12199 12139 12107 12102 12117 879 935.4 846.4 887.3 890.8 889.1 888.7 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 11880 12287 11345 11370 11834 11827 11826 11847 915 948.7 864.1 865.1 910.5 911.6 909.7 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 12420 13397 11831 11920 12636 12615 12636 12648 975.6 1033.9 904.7 916.2 960.9 971.1 968.4 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 11700 12425 11321 12396 11889 11855 11869 11866 923.1 978.5 884.7 975 925.6 924.3 922.3 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 10609 11800 10582 11707 11284 11251 11245 11277 837.5 936.3 837.5 922.7 888.4 887.8 890.4 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 10086 10720 9938 10598 10293 10277 10263 10288 783.9 847.4 776.5 838 807.1 803.6 803.2 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 10092 10685 9882 10033 10358 10304 10249 10313 799.4 848 773.4 782.2 806.2 808.3 806.2 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 9540 10126 9200 10083 9695 9670 9645 9667 745.1 800.8 724.3 795.3 756.9 754.5 754.6 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 8934 9544 8927 9530 9322 9287 9272 9298 675.5 745.7 674.1 742.8 713.6 710.6 712.7 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 8701 8960 8650 8935 8828 8815 8798 8814 663.2 677.9 642.9 675.8 665.9 664.5 665.4 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 8656 8964 8542 8708 8749 8732 8725 8736 651.6 688.4 646.7 666.9 665.6 665.3 665.3 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 8714 8994 8595 8662 8707 8687 8690 8702 661.5 673.7 640 650.9 655.4 655.7 655.5 40.77 82.21
May-07 9192 9246 8594 8694 8883 8868 8867 8876 681.2 693.3 651.5 661 667.6 668.3 666.9 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 9261 9598 9052 9203 9331 9306 9300 9315 665.5 692.5 656.1 683.5 679.8 680.0 679.4 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 9648 9703 9196 9339 9366 9343 9380 9353 672.8 680.2 634.5 663 654.5 655.9 654.9 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 9251 9898 9171 9628 9541 9491 9507 9505 652.9 692.5 642.5 672.5 665.2 665.1 664.7 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 9251 9326 8775 9242 9072 9069 9094 9063 639.2 655.5 603 652 631.3 630.4 631.2 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 9250 9420 9022 9265 9127 9151 9161 9132 645.7 649.5 612 638 628.5 629.5 629.8 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 8904 9280 8904 9269 9141 9166 9175 9143 607.5 648 607.5 646.9 628.2 626.8 627.8 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 8860 8980 8320 8894 8699 8707 8760 8714 598.9 613.2 560.5 606.8 587.0 586.6 585.8 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 9568 9710 8671 8859 9016 9028 9073 9029 628 642.5 571 598.6 598.6 600.2 598.2 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 9625 9987 9328 9554 9539 9559 9552 9550 635.4 656 609 628.2 630.6 631.6 632.6 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 9223 10179 9214 9560 9570 9550 9565 9556 617 677.5 602.5 634.2 633.7 633.1 633.7 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 9500 9700 8315 9220 8958 8957 8960 8948 642.8 645.1 555 616 596.3 597.9 596.1 46.06 85.37
May-06 9630 10763 9382 9526 9928 9933 9828 9939 654.1 732 636 642.5 673.0 676.8 675.4 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 8410 9771 8350 9609 8963 8936 8958 8587 582 658.2 582 654.5 611.9 611.9 610.7 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 8105 8648 7841 8382 8063 8103 8042 8052 563.1 589.6 534.5 581.8 558.3 557.2 557.1 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 8139 8250 7792 8111 8030 8054 8016 8018 571.6 575.3 535.5 563.9 555.6 555.5 555.0 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 7636 8180 7627 8166 7922 7954 7904 7915 519.9 572.7 519.2 570.8 550.2 549.4 549.9 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 7630 8134 7263 7638 7585 7612 7570 7579 494.2 538.5 490.1 518.9 509.6 509.4 510.1 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 6835 7500 6745 7416 7141 7143 7111 7121 466.5 502.3 456.1 494.6 477.8 476.7 476.7 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 6771 6928 6572 6822 6878 6893 6854 6860 467.8 478.5 460.5 466.9 469.9 470.1 469.9 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 6268 6850 6268 6731 6529 6561 6528 6529 436.6 475.7 436.4 469 456.8 455.9 456.0 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 6090 6415 6090 6263 6248 6276 6248 6249 430 449.5 429.1 435.1 438.1 437.8 437.9 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 6208 6218 5994 6084 6064 6091 6029 6004 436.5 438.2 418.2 429.9 424.6 424.7 424.5 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 5958 6303 5941 6214 6142 6191 - - 416.4 442.5 414 437.1 431.2 430.3 430.7 43.59 88.33
May-05 6222 6222 5925 5966 6036 - - - 436 436 413.2 416.3 422.5 422.9 421.9 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 6109 6268 5951 6229 6151 - - - 428.3 438.2 422.7 436.1 429.7 429.1 429.2 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 6243 6349 6051 6103 6269 - - - 437.6 448 423.4 428.7 433.7 434.3 434.3 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 5987 6259 5877 6245 6105 - - - 422.2 439.3 410.1 437.6 424.3 423.4 423.4 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 6301 6305 5984 6000 6147 - - - 438.9 438.9 417.1 421.8 424.3 424.1 424.0 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 6564 6663 6273 6307 6444 - - - 451.6 456.5 432.6 438.4 442.6 443.0 442.1 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 6333 6691 6238 6528 7266 - - - 430.5 454.8 418 451.3 439.9 439.1 439.4 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 6382 6382 6165 6329 6360 - - - 419.1 430 410.3 429.4 421.0 420.2 420.5 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 6162 6340 6026 6311 6174 - - - 410.5 418.8 395.4 418.7 406.1 405.4 405.3 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 5990 6191 5875 6163 6120 - - - 394 412.8 388.8 410.9 401.6 400.1 400.5 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 5918 6103 5905 5954 6058 - - - 393.3 409.6 385 391 398.1 398.4 398.1 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 5872 6022 5710 5920 5862 - - - 397.1 405 383 393 391.9 391.8 392.4 45.52 89.46
May-04 5775 5872 5600 5852 5766 - - - 388.9 396.3 371.3 394 384.5 384.0 383.8 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 6049 6145 5620 5758 5820 - - - 427.2 432 377 387.5 404.5 404.9 403.3 43.93 90.12
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI, LBMA, ICE

90 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 91


Gold Trading activity

Graph-1
MCX COMEX TOCOM (1 Kg contracts)
TOCOM LBMA Clearing turnover
(All contracts) (100 troy ounce contracts) (1 Kg contracts) (Mn Ounce) Gold Mine Production ( 2008)
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
Mar-09 4176328 52867 3384964 368618 1121167 90006 22.2 13%
50% China
Feb-09 3632601 64419 2292224 369553 1113024 76630 23.8
Jan-09 3463904 90370 2824455 342626 805101 70479 18.8 11% South Africa
Dec-08 2994119 64129 1895603 306650 885274 72439 17.5
Nov-08 2359220 51131 2638572 276092 786559 72074 18.3
USA
Oct-08 2871088 46060 3045145 305451 1225126 77819 24
Sep-08 3174201 53205 3900044 336598 1013308 97273 24.8 10%
Australia
Aug-08 2413714 47655 3066120 384999 1115044 123825 23.3
Jul-08 2608610 36732 4269942 430332 1201678 159550 21.5
Jun-08 1758453 33433 2624030 428557 975924 175855 21.2 9%
Russia
May-08 1387762 22887 3282907 408860 825875 168656 22.1
7% Others
Apr-08 1224388 18626 2765541 431914 1152382 166773 21.1 Source: USGS
Mar-08 1508535 16330 3901752 405841 1441948 174243 25.7
Feb-08 1669117 23009 2617556 493265 1671064 190515 22.9
Jan-08 2032012 24137 4041693 498384 1958020 174809 24.3
Dec-07 1070345 24216 1843919 541854 952206 177089 24 Graph-2
Nov-07 1325455 16986 3837100 482278 2032490 195150 25.2
Gold Consumption (2008)
Oct-07 1087049 19712 2645459 522284 2073433 173403 20.9
Sep-07 792352 19352 2002773 436927 1426741 168213 21.5
Aug-07 613491 16492 1753206 326255 1773281 201593 18.2
Jul-07 724076 18187 2292306 351185 1395749 250607 17.5 27% India
32%
Jun-07 728887 26231 2301038 377361 1231713 247089 21.8
May-07 793654 26378 3638335 364922 1014258 238085 19.5 China
Apr-07 616063 21465 2570650 393709 1261194 216540 20.2
Mar-07 948569 18024 3754756 341951 1607801 245403 20.6 USA
Feb-07 863504 21790 2604913 417316 1366050 285114 16
Jan-07 803260 20534 3161609 351381 1218539 243325 17.1 Turkey
Dec-06 677338 33236 1302013 344915 973138 242743 19.9
Nov-06 1012448 29009 1419569 349490 1248361 281686 19.3 Saudi Arabia
5%
Oct-06 1158019 49129 953870 323481 1408481 245516 21.6 16%
Sep-06 1209212 36336 994310 326828 1729659 265587 20.5 Others
9%
Aug-06 1004003 30383 897015 310762 1886384 318336 19.5 11%
Jul-06 1232612 13190 1527276 273099 2548380 135735 23.2 Source: WGC
Jun-06 964206 12903 1287299 292295 2508986 318328 25.8
May-06 1121467 12953 2366489 292481 2488947 377593 24.5
Apr-06 890491 16342 1508344 355700 2086257 332773 26.1 Graph-3
Mar-06 1069988 20188 2234685 349951 1512646 288071 20.6
Feb-06 772754 12988 1304814 339859 1888765 328609 19.7 USD/oz Gold Value and Inflation %
Jan-06 876385 14603 2212952 339645 1853039 348865 17.6
Dec-05 748141 12577 1320898 323246 3260080 299973 20 2000 16
Nov-05 381449 17954 2008815 342504 2633382 453008 17.4 1800 14
Oct-05 329131 17079 1277160 343340 1624854 329703 18.4 Gold price (March '09 dollars)
1600 12
Sep-05 373604 8841 1502325 365357 1730369 290183 17.5
Gold price (nominal)
Aug-05 169884 5542 1252349 287336 1148224 312072 15.2 1400
10
Jul-05 167877 8249 1437712 245530 881602 284691 14.6 CPI YoY (US) (RHS)
1200
Jun-05 140685 6896 1239943 312922 1316506 256211 19.1 8
May-05 121962 9267 1452065 255995 828845 305712 16.8 1000
Apr-05 87494 4917 857910 302614 835104 277179 14.3 6
800
Mar-05 113959 4546 1642894 272663 1170399 303520 16 4
Feb-05 94491 4392 1004047 283517 1155587 306967 13.9 600
Jan-05 97577 8759 1563896 259174 1373288 339588 14.8 400 2
Dec-04 120969 5881 1127437 327247 969974 344086 15.4
200 0
Nov-04 150588 4861 1950973 355565 1081736 327867 16.6
Oct-04 104739 5222 1143316 321039 1465226 315781 14.7 0 -2
Sep-04 125326 4798 991560 271496 1205483 274593 12.4

Jun -70

Jan -73

Aug -75

Oct -80

May -83

Jan -86

Aug -88

Oct -93

May -96

Jan -99

Aug -01

Oct -06
Mar -78

Mar -91

Mar -04
Aug-04 133118 2179 1002417 268043 1111300 286463 13.8
Jul-04 117558 1392 1466689 226692 1360939 311918 15.1
Jun-04 69396 1717 987011 226747 1447007 319003 13.8
May-04 36841 961 1403035 240373 1191147 343867 14.5 Source: US Department of Labor
Apr-04 22056 2107 1272382 247315 1660065 354525 17
Source: Exchanges' websites, LBMA Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.
92 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 93
Silver Economic parameters impacting Silver prices

Silver Fundamentals (Thousand troy ounce)


2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Silver 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
Global Production 24,982 24,432 24,366 24,217 22,892 US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Mine Supply 17,066 16,622 15,950 16,096 15,685 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Others (official supply and scraps) 7,916 7,810 7,606 7,034 6,741 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
Global Consumption 22,687 23,060 22,877 25,620 25,477 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Industrial demand 21,561 22,208 22,012 24,796 24,911 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Others 1,126 852 865 824 566 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Indian Mine Production 134 134 108 70 91 Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Indian Imports 4,150 2,500 1,300 3,250 2,000 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Total Supply (Including scraps) 4,828 3,384 2,908 4,920 2,391 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Industrial Use 2,750 2,662 2,258 2,199 1,141 OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Jewellery and Silverware 1,148 1,098 1,002 1,400 1,400 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Fabrication Demand 3,897 3,760 3,260 3,599 2,541 US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
ETF Physical Silver Holdings (Thousand troy ounce)
Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
World 9,763 7,166 4,825 963 814 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
SLV (i-Shares ) Trust 6,793 5,246 3,768 India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
COMEX Silver Inventories 3,972 4,125 3,455 3,732 3,222 Interest rates (%)

Average daily volatility spot prices (India) 2.0% 1.2% 2.2% 1.2% 1.7% US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Source: MCX, Silver CPM yearbook, COMEX, Silverinstitute.org
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
ISM Manufacturing index 32.9 49.1 52.2 54.9 57.2
U.S Auto sales ( YoY % change ) -35.6% -2.9% -3.6% -3.7% 7.7%
US pending home sales ( YoY % change ) 5.7 -23.9 -6.3 -6.3 13.9
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

94 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 95


Silver Prices

MCX futures prices (Rs/kg) Spot prices (Rs/Kg) COMEX futures prices ($/troy ounce) Spot prices LBMA (US$ /Troy ounce ) RBI rate Dollar Index
Mumbai Ahmd (US$ /Troy ounce ) Close USD/INR
Open High Low Close Average Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average U.S. Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 22085 22936 20435 21855 22293 22084 13.090 13.850 11.940 12.985 13.164 13.12 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 19800 23681 19438 21820 21422 21431 12.655 14.600 12.135 13.085 13.442 13.41 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 18475 20038 17392 19893 18735 18501 11.195 12.660 10.370 12.565 11.424 11.29 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 16789 18450 15539 18355 17323 17024 10.240 11.410 9.135 11.270 10.401 10.29 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 16898 17610 15782 16779 17186 16741 9.840 10.800 8.770 10.185 9.869 9.87 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 20166 20770 16111 16858 18639 17859 12.135 13.080 8.400 9.730 10.362 10.44 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 20265 21389 17660 20109 20173 19476 13.770 13.770 10.280 12.275 12.264 12.37 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 24681 24705 18919 20232 22247 21454 17.770 17.805 12.200 13.607 14.504 14.69 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 24290 27234 23670 24720 25164 24943 17.440 19.375 16.845 17.790 18.077 18.03 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 23245 24909 23000 24260 24203 23855 16.880 17.880 16.250 17.420 17.019 16.97 42.82 73.41
May-08 22290 25494 21470 23376 23747 23450 16.970 18.290 15.995 16.865 17.090 17.05 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 22222 24265 21327 22121 23506 23007 17.260 18.770 16.300 16.502 17.513 17.50 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 24750 27500 21970 22274 24204 24093 19.780 21.185 16.770 17.310 19.101 19.51 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 21620 24965 20961 24707 21983 21798 16.945 19.925 16.230 19.808 17.655 17.57 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 19422 21770 19422 21676 20428 20278 15.340 17.090 15.085 16.995 15.974 15.96 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 18101 19633 17921 19463 19018 18732 13.960 14.825 13.600 14.797 14.367 14.30 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 19019 20925 17975 18159 19547 19233 14.550 16.275 13.760 13.963 14.660 14.70 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 18468 19079 17651 18981 18393 18032 13.935 14.645 13.150 14.438 13.711 13.67 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 16514 18489 16400 18479 17687 17283 12.100 14.000 12.000 13.920 12.884 12.83 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 17545 17858 15975 16523 17422 16941 12.910 13.250 11.060 12.063 12.312 12.36 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 16850 18250 16710 17583 17828 17429 12.405 13.390 12.405 13.017 12.918 12.91 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 18320 18760 16656 16786 18325 17913 13.495 13.870 12.125 12.353 13.114 13.14 40.77 82.21
May-07 18596 18972 17710 18300 18551 18089 13.420 13.585 12.785 13.470 13.158 13.15 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 19633 20039 18080 18508 19693 19316 13.460 14.170 13.020 13.445 13.743 13.74 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 20480 20650 18270 19622 19495 19247 14.230 14.305 12.470 13.450 13.129 13.18 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 19960 21174 19500 20486 20337 20058 13.595 14.745 13.255 14.100 13.938 13.91 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 19400 20062 18186 19933 19377 18922 12.730 13.700 12.200 13.570 12.859 12.84 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 20340 21502 18661 19424 19851 19618 13.900 14.185 12.350 12.818 13.217 13.36 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 18500 20449 18466 20395 19336 19168 12.285 14.000 12.285 13.925 12.998 12.93 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 18165 18537 16933 18484 18286 17764 11.550 12.310 10.650 12.270 11.611 11.56 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 19321 20486 16811 18115 18595 18073 12.870 13.260 10.450 11.540 11.612 11.68 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 17781 19595 17680 19344 19028 18785 11.400 12.930 11.330 12.900 12.250 12.18 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 17000 18333 16550 17748 17802 17327 10.910 11.780 10.650 11.370 11.231 11.23 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 19078 19175 14450 16651 16764 16426 12.480 12.580 9.450 10.833 10.776 10.80 46.06 85.37
May-06 20006 20890 19533 20381 20302 20155 13.580 14.970 12.000 12.455 13.444 13.45 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 16770 23148 16725 19786 19489 18780 11.490 14.690 11.470 13.510 12.722 12.61 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 14000 17628 13851 16770 14725 14959 9.735 11.940 9.640 11.520 10.442 10.38 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 13770 14089 13197 14009 13452 13664 9.875 9.945 9.055 9.720 9.538 9.53 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 13290 13867 13037 13793 12978 13562 9.030 9.950 8.805 9.885 9.173 9.15 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 12284 14037 12159 13272 12685 12966 8.275 9.170 8.190 8.820 8.634 8.64 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 11445 12569 11261 12285 12018 12017 7.590 8.375 7.410 8.280 7.896 7.87 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 11122 11830 11011 11462 11608 11391 7.500 7.955 7.360 7.580 7.672 7.67 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 10317 11260 10256 11126 10859 10672 6.825 7.645 6.810 7.512 7.179 7.15 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 10699 10766 10146 10295 10705 10494 7.255 7.330 6.630 6.781 7.013 7.04 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 10478 10709 10150 10686 10663 10479 7.050 7.270 6.810 7.262 7.021 7.01 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 10839 11001 10442 10481 10924 10822 7.425 7.630 6.990 7.028 7.293 7.31 43.59 88.33
May-05 10160 10903 10115 10844 10641 10485 6.900 7.500 6.770 7.452 7.051 7.02 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 10775 10860 10160 10240 10756 10626 7.185 7.360 6.850 6.903 7.115 7.12 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 10769 11173 10409 10779 10846 10836 7.345 7.640 6.860 7.180 7.232 7.26 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 10220 11097 9900 10794 10711 10563 6.755 7.570 6.490 7.359 7.069 7.03 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 10415 10417 9811 10209 10402 10062 6.740 6.890 6.415 6.747 6.622 6.61 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 11650 11950 10021 10424 11129 10751 7.715 8.190 6.600 6.807 7.071 7.10 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 11190 11820 10800 11610 11973 11550 7.340 7.820 6.920 7.723 7.499 7.49 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 10800 11411 10537 11185 11358 11134 6.955 7.530 6.720 7.305 7.131 7.10 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 10600 10923 9800 10775 10506 10277 6.735 6.980 6.065 6.938 6.399 6.39 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 10278 10780 10207 10618 10854 - 6.585 7.010 6.460 6.771 6.676 6.66 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 9320 10443 9310 10263 10192 - 5.835 6.750 5.830 6.560 6.345 6.31 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 9531 9600 8990 9330 9490 - 6.170 6.200 5.600 5.776 5.845 5.86 45.52 89.46
May-04 9200 9600 8950 9549 9582 - 6.070 6.250 5.495 6.110 5.874 5.85 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 11448 12034 8654 9153 9954 - 7.930 8.500 5.545 6.078 7.111 7.06 43.93 90.12
Source: Exchange's websites, RBI, LBMA, ICE

96 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 97


Silver Trading activity
Graph-1
MCX COMEX TOCOM (1 Kg contracts)
TOCOM LBMA Clearing turnover
(All contracts) (5000 troy ounce contracts) (30 Kgs contracts) (Mn Ounce) Silver Mine Production (2008)
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Monthly Average
Mar-09 2368782 19794 433757 94506 9873 2542 98.8 17%
Feb-09 2345494 16680 619633 94102 11291 3261 105.8
Preru
Jan-09 2527274 37873 381837 92990 7956 5097 111.7
Dec-08 1984421 25586 329047 85923 8839 5464 102.1
Nov-08 1960673 27942 568072 86180 10553 5814 107.6 Mexico
40%
Oct-08 2544248 52466 594307 93779 24442 5932 136.2
Sep-08 2875765 43447 746310 103812 26444 6289 143.7 China
15%
Aug-08 2111397 25691 953123 115590 26066 7034 150
Jul-08 2055536 15845 687936 131599 28139 9189 105.5 Australia
Jun-08 1650314 11650 859976 126121 18213 9517 119.5
May-08 1362887 11635 578951 124655 19417 8981 121.2 Chile
Apr-08 1625961 12561 912952 123841 22390 8653 119.2
Mar-08 1994755 13237 881776 146632 39811 10111 154.7 12% Others
Feb-08 1800439 27151 989601 166678 31184 9144 132.4
8%
Jan-08 1919723 30913 719316 185540 29806 8662 117.6 8%
Dec-07 1223221 20931 393272 152888 16447 9542 119.1 Source: CPM Silver Yearbook 2009
Nov-07 1812705 23243 1018502 135914 38137 10329 129
Oct-07 1549302 23997 596495 136393 38503 11118 106.4 Graph-2
Sep-07 1229147 22494 463666 117643 32072 13006 108.1
Aug-07 1290422 23786 738703 107421 63224 13948 120.8 Silver Consumption (2008)
Jul-07 1034273 26378 404108 118550 44763 18388 114.9
Jun-07 1098449 29349 900716 116705 58482 18683 112.4
May-07 1038399 29994 712183 112563 34448 16388 137.5 22%
USA
Apr-07 1093888 23182 1110891 111447 45414 15080 105.7 33%
Mar-07 1437994 23137 847073 110549 51524 12805 112
India
Feb-07 1281590 13319 979174 124697 43178 14673 108.1
Jan-07 1352259 19097 614161 114336 47299 14427 98.8
Dec-06 1078773 19526 406389 101155 59949 15007 107.7 Japan
Nov-06 1064886 16163 464305 106667 38652 13253 108.8
Oct-06 1097901 15402 267464 110237 31319 9730 98.6 Italy
Sep-06 1191386 20086 301048 99007 46359 9986 110.4
19% Thailand
Aug-06 1084692 12594 490047 108854 46033 13504 94.7
Jul-06 879918 6645 281501 98942 48093 4328 169.5 7%
Jun-06 1050812 13198 557495 97874 56782 16386 164.3 Others
May-06 1166751 11865 581966 110238 86547 22084 205.7 8%
11%
Apr-06 1413030 15346 939093 116254 183118 25296 238.1
Mar-06 966405 25090 623919 139615 101464 19909 187.9 Source: CPM Silver Yearbook 2009
Feb-06 539731 28378 654020 127839 85235 19953 152.9
Graph-3
Jan-06 962543 30786 748873 133259 72035 16118 124.5
Dec-05 921928 26986 406620 131226 117777 16897 131.3 Silver Vs Oil prices, Gold Silver Ratio and Dollar Index
Nov-05 704006 32095 750869 140908 90211 22526 132 USD/oz
Oct-05 753058 29652 424380 138138 56067 16447 124.7 180 25
Sep-05 603709 17824 513528 126796 56716 15847 126.8 Silver prices (RHS) WTI Prices (USD/bbl)
160
Aug-05 458573 29735 600558 117356 58532 20332 104.4 Gold Silver Ratio Dollar Index
Jul-05 370023 17143 334832 124219 47735 17289 95.1 140 20
Jun-05 510377 16853 637946 115020 67315 18305 123.4 120
May-05 471292 17227 392263 113357 55423 18396 152.1 15
Apr-05 471906 11919 491014 107256 57286 17625 87.6 100
Mar-05 496209 10963 370379 99136 79271 16917 93.8 80
10
Feb-05 447065 8404 530618 105222 73522 16761 77.5 60
Jan-05 315245 13994 297898 96662 57769 16948 76.9
Dec-04 401177 10222 372013 101101 87300 17204 102.2 40 5
Nov-04 356189 8543 563589 117507 83106 19609 75.5 20
Oct-04 343242 6636 390325 117083 96235 18111 92
0 0
Sep-04 268402 5501 297680 85720 96581 19620 82.3

Mar-84

Mar-89

Mar-94

Mar-99

Mar-04

Mar-09
Sep-86

Sep-91

Sep-96

Sep-01

Sep-06
Aug-04 279010 3064 447632 96395 96542 21713 82.5
Jul-04 140856 2462 334886 91030 99824 23362 93.6
Jun-04 61336 776 444033 90221 93624 24218 95.1
May-04 21870 638 297528 85473 96770 25813 94.7 Source: COMEX, NYMEX, ICE
Apr-04 19193 482 713347 101688 137879 27442 133.8
Source: Exchanges' websites, LBMA Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

98 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 99


Platinum Economic parameters impacting Platinum prices

Fundamentals
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Platinum (thousand ounces) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
World US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Mine Production 6,151 6,583 7,006 6,635 6,490 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Auto catalyst recycling 998 921 855 801 690 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2

Old Jewellery Scrap 910 543 - - - China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1

Total Supply 8,059 8047 7861 7437 7180 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Consumption
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Autocatalyst 3814 4,139 4,166 3,910 3,490
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Jewelery 1646 1,872 1,700 1,842 2,160
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Others 2334 1,950 1,849 1,827 1,580
Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Total Demand 7794 7,961 7,715 7,579 7,230
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
World Balance 265 86 146 -142 -50 India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Indian Imports in Kgs* 6459 6058 5476 6264 OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Indian Exports in Kgs* 1984 659 1077 404 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Inventory levels US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
NYMEX (PL 50 troy ounces contracts) 1562 969 638 470 380 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 2.8% - - - - Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Source: JOHNSON MATTHEY, PLC., GFMS Platinum, Palladium Survey - Presentation, USGS, DGCIS, MCX, NYMEX; China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
* data for financial year
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Interest rates (%)
US (Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone (Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China (Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India (Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply (YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US (DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

100 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 101
Platinum Prices

MCX futures prices (Rs / gm) Spot prices (Rs/gm) NYMEX futures prices (USD/oz) US Spot prices (USD/oz) RBI rate
TOCOM (JPY/gm) Dollar Index
Mumbai USD/INR
Open High Low Close Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average U.S. Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 1642 1879 1642 1870 1787 1078.8 1167.4 1030.5 1120.8 1084.0 3341 3653 3233 3578 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 1506 1780 1506 1709 1654 996 1119.9 956.7 1085.3 1040.9 2859 3321 2736 3306 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 1430 1572 1379 1506 1509 932.4 996.5 914 991.3 955.6 2848 3028 2624 2799 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 1321 1375 1270 1375 1319 881.9 943.3 783 936.2 846.9 2749 2749 2374 2646 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 1366 1376 1211 1376 1328 831 896 772 882.3 841.1 2612 2854 2325 2691 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 1702 1702 1366 1366 1441 1003 1045 761.8 831.6 914.1 3485 3586 2306 2458 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 2120 2120 1640 1640 1802 1490 1499.8 995.2 1015.1 1219.5 5165 5165 3485 3485 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 2342 2379 1863 2115 2071 1754.1 1759 1307 1489.8 1485.8 6114 6114 4622 5134 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 2881 2940 2280 2436 2644 2084.1 2089.6 1726 1761.9 1900.3 7059 7123 5939 6099 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 2845 2900 2770 2885 2824 2013.5 2125 1966.1 2069.5 2037.9 6829 7270 6717 7027 42.82 73.41
May-08 - - - - - 1930 2234.9 1835 2013.8 2059.9 6438 7395 6168 6675 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 - - - - - 1948 2055 1880 1935.2 1991.4 6351 6807 6228 6415 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 - - - - - 2164 2308.8 1802.2 2024.4 2030.2 7143 7584 5892 6499 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 - - - - - 1731.2 2214.5 1722 2180.7 2013.7 5870 7575 5867 7209 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 - - - - - 1529.9 1746.1 1523.6 1737.4 1592.2 5442 5896 5144 5752 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 - - - - - 1436.7 1551.5 1436.1 1528.4 1496.2 5105 5584 5105 5534 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 - - - - - 1454.9 1498.8 1384.1 1444.1 1448.5 5379 5441 4916 5116 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 - - - - - 1407.5 1473.3 1355 1447.6 1412.9 5100 5386 5003 5312 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 - - - - - 1271.5 1395.5 1269.8 1395.2 1311.3 4739 5066 4705 5048 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 - - - - - 1301.9 1308.9 1226.5 1271.6 1263.6 4932 4932 4442 4733 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 - - - - - 1282.9 1350 1271 1302.6 1304.0 5039 5200 4875 4934 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 - - - - - 1287.4 1320 1264 1279 1286.7 5005 5161 4980 5038 40.77 82.21
May-07 - - - - - 1298 1353.8 1255.1 1285.8 1302.8 4962 5151 4934 4962 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 - - - - - 1242 1348 1245.5 1298.4 1276.9 4709 5082 4650 4954 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 - - - - - 1255 1264 1164 1248.3 1217.7 4749 4759 4351 4709 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 - - - - - 1187 1269.9 1156.1 1256.4 1205.3 4555 4837 4516 4663 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 - - - - - 1135 1188 1119 1182.3 1148.5 4282 4604 4237 4544 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 - - - - - 1186.5 1186.5 1096 1139.3 1121.5 4415 4418 4063 4282 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 - - - - - 1085.2 1289 1085 1176.7 1182.2 4069 4852 4069 4376 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 - - - - - 1159.5 1159.5 1070 1086.5 1082.6 4349 4396 4052 4069 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 - - - - - 1253 1287.9 1124 1141.2 1183.6 4685 4760 4230 4355 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 - - - - - 1241.6 1268 1216 1251.2 1233.6 4510 4660 4486 4644 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 - - - - - 1245 1275 1203 1241.6 1229.9 4536 4659 4451 4500 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 - - - - - 1252 1263.5 1095 1246.7 1188.0 4521 4563 4062 4488 46.06 85.37
May-06 - - - - - 1163.7 1347 1163 1246.8 1259.5 4236 4695 4212 4596 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 - - - - - 1070.8 1163.8 1065 1163.3 1102.0 4006 4281 4002 4198 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 - - - - - 1059 1095 1002.5 1059.4 1042.7 3899 4116 3774 4085 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 - - - - - 1085 1094 990.2 1054.7 1039.4 4078 4158 3730 3872 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 - - - - - 972 1089.9 972 1085.3 1028.3 3709 4062 3641 4026 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 - - - - - 982 1026 946 973 977.4 3752 3959 3475 3681 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 - - - - - 943 1011 916 980.4 964.5 3471 3856 3450 3754 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 - - - - - 925 950 915.5 943.2 930.7 3385 3506 3338 3470 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 - - - - - 896 938.5 893 930.3 915.5 3173 3380 3160 3380 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 - - - - - 899 930 883.3 894.5 899.9 3245 3306 3090 3174 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 - - - - - 884 905 862.5 897.9 874.1 3145 3227 3071 3218 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 - - - - - 864.8 905 862 883.5 881.4 3009 3320 2995 3122 43.59 88.33
May-05 - - - - - 871.8 885.8 846.5 861.3 867.5 2926 3011 2920 3010 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 - - - - - 874 884 859 868.6 866.0 2969 3035 2925 2940 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 - - - - - 866 889 854.8 870.6 867.8 2916 2966 2888 2966 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 - - - - - 871 885 847 866.1 864.6 2907 2948 2875 2935 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 - - - - - 857.2 950 845 873.8 859.2 2827 2913 2787 2912 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 - - - - - 872 887 813 863.7 851.6 2877 2921 2775 2848 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 - - - - - 836 882.8 821.2 872.3 855.4 2830 2994 2825 2886 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 - - - - - 861 869.5 815 833 841.7 3048 3086 2825 2851 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 - - - - - 870.2 884.7 825 861 849.4 3033 3117 2903 3035 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 - - - - - 819 885.8 819 868.1 849.8 2930 3115 2930 3035 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 - - - - - 785 839 775 817.9 810.6 2750 2960 2708 2929 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 - - - - - 846 849 767 791.5 807.2 2992 3026 2695 2754 45.52 89.46
May-04 - - - - - 794 849 760.2 829.2 810.2 2837 3043 2750 2997 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 - - - - - 905 954 756 794.2 882.9 3040 3279 2830 2834 43.93 90.12
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI, ICE

102 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 103
Platinum Trading activity

MCX NYMEX TOCOM Graph-1

Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Platinum Mine Production (2008)
Mar-09 26 0 82949 20101 262139 35780 3% 3%
Feb-09 8 0 35199 20440 207474 31494 2%
4%
Jan-09 7 0 31090 18740 220137 33337
Dec-08 6 0 69079 18217 288120 33863 South Africa
Nov-08 7 0 30011 17259 308803 34982
12 %
Oct-08 16 7 38107 15319 456834 36321 Russia
Sep-08 165 2 74165 14679 501954 43544
Canada
Aug-08 276 80 47539 12524 528655 49169
Jul-08 1320 75 43127 13284 644464 68862 USA
Jun-08 2000 136 66398 15094 604867 71714
May-08 - - 53981 15760 570518 57714 Zimbabwe
Apr-08 - - 41288 13668 576917 49411 Others
Mar-08 - - 84901 11864 463326 47325
76 %
Feb-08 - - 71981 15277 986211 59916
Jan-08 - - 54231 17684 780278 75212
Dec-07 - - 66352 17562 581378 92721
Nov-07 - - 36150 13203 799157 87854 Source: USGS; e estimates
Oct-07 - - 34100 15661 947797 88887
Sep-07 - - 58091 14595 552946 88963 Graph-2
Aug-07 - - 35975 10452 924492 86329
Platinum Jewellery demand (2008)
Jul-07 - - 35379 14773 677618 111907
Jun-07 - - 66968 14472 906282 108704 2%
May-07 - - 35525 14319 845439 117695
Apr-07 - - 26458 14399 754154 98070 14 %
China
Mar-07 - - 59099 11566 737964 77781
Feb-07 - - 25793 12527 568139 100684
Jan-07 - - 20534 10091 537290 91819 Japan
Dec-06 - - 34671 7978 706853 92344
Nov-06 - - 45793 8394 969449 97786 14 %
Oct-06 - - 21182 7648 814415 81563 Europe
Sep-06 - - 44000 7832 997755 80238
Aug-06 - - 21428 9740 790231 97528
Jul-06 - - 16194 8682 969332 50503 North America
Jun-06 - - 45985 7383 938725 94845 55 %
May-06 - - 34684 9500 1123087 109669
Apr-06 - - 17215 9849 949161 127200 15 % Others
Mar-06 - - 42804 9079 910069 121461
Feb-06 - - 27572 8576 935610 121286
Jan-06 - - 20604 11686 874586 130582 Source: Platinum survey GFMS 2009
Dec-05 - - 47809 9705 1153625 115669
Nov-05 - - 30447 13270 1220620 151271 Graph-3
Oct-05 - - 21825 13305 680040 131063
Sep-05 - - 52535 13231 589783 122955
Aug-05 - - 26324 11402 762686 121744
Jul-05 - - 25132 9734 476136 129946
Jun-05 - - 55588 11180 630696 129208
May-05 - - 20135 7946 492822 132700
Apr-05 - - 16263 8649 536213 143191
Mar-05 - - 42310 7985 695727 152959
Feb-05 - - 22100 7117 730855 153596
Jan-05 - - 16643 7883 604110 160511
Dec-04 - - 41238 6378 881178 169390
Nov-04 - - 20225 8171 1078361 182953
Oct-04 - - 25837 6055 944310 189471
Sep-04 - - 35464 6672 1001064 183179
Aug-04 - - 20283 6435 1105881 183335
Jul-04 - - 17300 5299 1091117 173411
Jun-04 - - 30154 5527 1102286 172572
May-04 - - 14558 5417 1051746 178094
Apr-04 - - 32197 6265 1404018 165039
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month. Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of the month.

104 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 105
Copper Economic parameters impacting Copper prices

Copper Fundamentals (000 tonnes)


2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Copper 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
Global US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Production 18180 18048 17261 16545 15864 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
% change 0.70% 4.60% 4.30% 4.30% 4.50% Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2

Ex-china 14584 14547 14264 13926 13653 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1

Consumption 18021 18010 17368 16820 16704 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
% change 0.10% 3.70% 3.30% 0.70% 8.20%
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Ex-china 13146 13370 13370 13010 13246
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Western world stocks 706 547 560 468 469
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
India
Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Refined copper producton 705 642 519 408 396
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Primary copper consumption 465 425 400 350
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Copper and Copper Products Export 416 450 356 289 241
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Copper and Copper Products Import 227 193 278 211 180
AIndustrial Output (YoY % change )
Inventory levels - End of the year US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
LME 339.8 197.5 182.8 89.6 48.9 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
SHFE 8.8 12.9 7.1 54.0 16.1 Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Average daily volatility spot prices (India) 3.3% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
Source: ICSG, DGCIS, USGS, GFMS base metal report, LME, SHFE, MCX India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Interest rates (%)
US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
ISM Manufacturing index 32.9 49.1 52.2 54.9 57.2
U.S Auto sales ( YoY % change ) -35.6% -2.9% -3.6% -3.7% 7.7%
US pending home sales ( YoY % change ) 5.7 -23.9 -6.3 -6.3 13.9
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank
106 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 107
Copper Prices

MCX futures prices (Rs/kg) MCX spot prices (Rs/kg) LME futures price (USD/Tonne) LME cash RBI rate Dollar Index
(USD/Tonne) USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 173.50 209.45 171.50 207.10 193.60 3390.00 4168.00 3340.00 4040.00 3749.75 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 157.05 177.30 153.15 171.05 164.42 3224.50 3669.00 3096.00 3449.00 3314.73 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 155.00 174.65 150.85 157.65 160.27 3055.00 3610.00 3025.00 3155.00 3220.69 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 189.05 191.45 138.55 152.75 150.71 3640.00 3710.00 2817.25 3070.00 3071.98 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 207.50 214.75 172.50 184.05 183.84 4215.00 4435.00 3375.00 3620.00 3717.00 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 303.50 305.00 188.50 206.95 234.15 6395.00 6530.00 3590.00 4099.00 4925.70 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 327.45 328.40 293.30 302.20 316.15 7520.00 7520.00 6170.00 6360.00 6990.86 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 342.85 343.80 302.40 331.15 323.73 8065.00 8082.00 7120.00 7510.00 7634.70 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 365.80 387.35 331.55 343.55 353.54 8530.00 8940.00 7840.00 8055.00 8414.04 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 335.10 371.65 330.80 368.80 347.40 7945.00 8620.00 7760.00 8510.00 8260.60 42.82 73.41
May-08 332.80 361.20 331.15 336.50 347.74 8585.00 8625.00 7855.00 7935.00 8382.75 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 335.10 355.50 327.05 351.20 345.20 8380.00 8880.00 8160.00 8549.00 8684.93 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 335.80 353.90 310.40 335.90 338.21 8415.00 8820.00 7611.00 8390.00 8439.29 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 286.55 342.35 278.15 338.95 311.64 7299.75 8570.00 7025.00 8430.00 7887.69 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 265.95 292.95 265.35 287.20 277.73 6750.00 7450.00 6675.00 7350.00 7061.02 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 279.50 280.60 252.35 266.00 265.21 7050.00 7075.00 6317.00 6675.00 6587.67 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 302.80 304.25 251.65 275.55 272.67 7760.00 7774.75 6430.00 7000.00 6966.70 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 317.85 327.65 300.10 302.35 314.47 8025.50 8315.00 7645.00 7725.00 8008.43 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 304.55 321.30 289.60 317.75 306.55 7480.00 8155.00 7085.00 8020.00 7648.98 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 322.50 322.50 281.30 308.10 302.11 7980.25 7985.00 6730.00 7460.00 7513.50 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 314.75 332.05 311.55 322.80 319.77 7580.00 8212.00 7550.00 8010.00 7973.91 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 305.00 315.05 292.05 310.25 304.17 7455.00 7695.00 7050.00 7560.00 7475.88 40.77 82.21
May-07 333.50 345.60 287.55 305.30 314.06 7760.00 8335.00 6952.00 7380.00 7682.17 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 303.05 343.15 299.65 322.30 325.47 6900.00 8100.00 6807.00 7761.00 7766.47 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 272.90 305.00 260.75 302.70 282.28 6100.00 6935.00 5796.00 6860.00 6452.48 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 256.70 282.80 235.00 266.80 253.10 5760.00 6374.00 5250.00 6015.00 5676.45 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 285.60 286.55 246.60 256.20 255.33 6300.00 6344.00 5430.00 5735.00 5669.66 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 320.15 327.40 283.20 285.60 298.94 7095.00 7229.25 6250.00 6330.00 6675.11 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 336.85 338.60 296.65 312.80 313.39 7420.00 7500.25 6645.00 7080.00 7029.18 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 351.55 361.50 327.65 336.55 341.78 7602.00 7890.00 7002.00 7380.00 7500.39 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 358.50 375.45 335.65 352.90 351.78 7615.00 8110.00 7150.00 7545.00 7602.36 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 348.40 360.05 347.00 356.05 360.01 7800.00 8150.00 7180.00 7700.00 7695.66 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 343.90 383.25 333.90 363.50 360.16 7475.00 8210.00 7000.00 7950.00 7712.10 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 371.50 374.00 291.00 351.75 337.15 7915.00 8010.00 6410.00 7320.00 7197.61 46.06 85.37
May-06 328.40 397.85 325.00 373.30 361.81 7240.00 8800.00 7060.00 7900.00 8045.86 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 242.45 343.00 242.45 322.35 284.15 5405.00 7385.00 5390.00 6990.00 6387.78 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 216.40 247.95 211.80 243.00 225.05 4780.00 5510.25 4650.00 5390.00 5102.85 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 216.70 229.00 210.50 214.05 218.87 4830.00 5100.00 4645.00 4798.00 4982.40 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 203.50 218.50 199.90 216.80 207.15 4400.00 4865.25 4330.00 4840.00 4734.33 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 193.40 209.75 192.55 202.90 204.19 4243.00 4518.00 4240.00 4395.00 4576.78 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 174.30 195.00 172.10 193.00 198.03 3915.00 4270.00 3853.00 4246.00 4269.34 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 167.00 183.50 166.95 173.10 184.43 3790.00 4018.00 3750.00 3912.00 4059.76 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 158.30 169.50 153.40 167.10 167.28 3615.00 3835.00 3489.85 3769.50 3857.84 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 156.80 174.00 153.25 164.55 163.66 3520.00 3670.00 3454.00 3603.00 3797.75 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 145.60 157.90 145.60 156.85 155.47 3311.00 3546.00 3185.00 3517.00 3614.21 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 139.30 156.00 138.30 149.00 150.13 3045.00 3435.00 3025.00 3319.00 3524.07 43.59 88.33
May-05 136.00 139.90 127.65 139.55 135.66 3190.00 3225.25 2960.00 3046.00 3249.10 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 137.25 149.30 137.25 144.85 143.70 3287.00 3338.00 3110.00 3215.00 3394.48 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 145.50 145.50 138.60 142.90 144.26 3223.00 3308.00 3135.00 3290.00 3379.60 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 138.50 149.70 133.90 149.40 140.11 3084.00 3275.00 2953.00 3235.00 3253.70 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 143.45 144.10 131.10 144.10 138.28 3115.00 3120.00 2875.00 3082.00 3170.00 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 147.00 149.00 135.70 148.40 141.80 3102.00 3165.00 2852.00 3150.00 3145.45 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 139.00 149.50 138.25 149.50 142.94 2852.00 3142.50 2830.00 3095.00 3122.80 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 138.60 148.00 131.00 136.00 139.41 2995.00 3179.50 2650.00 2882.00 3012.24 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 130.00 146.00 121.00 146.00 134.36 2780.00 3020.00 2685.00 2997.50 2894.86 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 128.60 133.95 123.50 132.35 127.09 2834.00 2885.00 2687.00 2784.00 2846.10 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 126.75 134.20 121.50 133.95 126.48 2665.00 2862.00 2648.00 2816.00 2808.43 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 121.00 125.50 117.60 123.05 126.00 2783.00 2870.00 2490.00 2650.00 2686.70 45.52 89.46
May-04 - - - - 126.00 2685.00 2788.00 2475.00 2774.00 2733.50 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 - - - - - 2982.00 3044.00 2573.00 2652.00 2948.73 43.93 90.12
Source: Exchanges' website, ICE, RBI

108 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 109
Copper Trading activity
Graph-1
TOCOM (1 Kg contracts)
MCX LME SHFE Copper Mine Production (2008e)
Graph-1
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
Mar-09 2175657 18590 2284177 411286 13334674 439066 Chile
Feb-09 1877051 15178 1702722 481490 8621472 324534
Jan-09 2141842 25082 2314469 491820 6108054 266182
Dec-08 1495127 22176 1908795 486962 8676564 343614 37% 36% United States
Nov-08 1847627 11984 2546098 550760 5197084 262170
Oct-08 1694342 14105 3004252 521086 2353198 159046
Sep-08 1044217 14983 2619189 496407 3274924 205972 Peru
Aug-08 920891 9315 1863668 463749 2815716 177792
Jul-08 914542 11792 2248126 450061 1313756 128874
Jun-08 769001 16182 1828570 450316 1589422 146068 China
May-08 896748 10514 1724399 444647 1747730 160086
Apr-08 1032376 11164 2004746 467061 2037268 149586
Mar-08 1007753 9144 1960112 486002 3049558 154856 Australia
Feb-08 1378689 13275 2231546 497810 2665180 182148 5% 8%
Jan-08 1276483 12604 2335854 481440 5158030 175908 6%
Dec-07 912928 15695 1424933 427225 5928002 183716 8% Others
Source: USGS; e estimates
Nov-07 1159320 10949 2165031 430963 4227808 199102
Oct-07 1023183 16433 1735112 403830 1377392 131320
Sep-07 1007536 13682 1674178 393590 1698136 133956 Graph-2
Aug-07 1480144 12226 2214438 237662 3211484 138914 Copper Consumption (2008e)
Jul-07 1225331 15565 1713515 243282 3896062 155206
Jun-07 1607857 13266 1739912 245422 3112020 126614 12% China
May-07 1672952 12807 1711033 250544 2181252 115830
Apr-07 1577270 10940 1661035 244262 2641610 120162 27%
Mar-07 1280007 10035 1711176 239035 1526036 117194 Western Europe
Feb-07 1223224 11961 1538992 241525 734540 101622
Jan-07 1205754 22864 1751103 239883 1146412 96362
Dec-06 636579 19532 1289754 216457 610830 77744 21% North America
Nov-06 871936 18552 1516229 224000 701874 75848
Oct-06 539737 11657 1320963 217759 304364 64456
Sep-06 492788 7330 1580518 223339 1015788 70904 Japan
Aug-06 572901 6606 1472340 223185 1303582 85376
Jul-06 503552 4508 1238460 217765 1191158 56888
Jun-06 660822 5323 1398156 225347 1252768 83430 Other Asia
May-06 517588 7216 1706156 243177 765734 86976 7% 19%
Apr-06 278370 6368 1785516 247115 1085446 84036
Mar-06 115344 5242 1848574 251178 1062264 108698 14% Others
Feb-06 70652 2643 1708272 237243 574948 97870
Source: GFMS Base Metal report
Jan-06 33695 2174 1729221 227253 677818 75868
Dec-05 31556 2178 - - 1271624 105788
Nov-05 37605 2855 - - 1634112 134036 Graph-3
Oct-05 22505 2209 - - 948686 121872
Sep-05 14942 1555 - - 1311456 126746 Copper Prices, Chinese Imports & Rolling correlation of LME Prices Vs Inventory
Aug-05 24040 1556 - - 1903172 155662 9000 1
LME futures (USD/ton) - LHS
Jul-05 20362 2260 - - 2103100 163288 8000 Chinese import (100 tons) - LHS
Jun-05 25566 647 - - 2895970 181948 0.5
7000 Rolling correlation prices vs. lme stocks - 1 yr
May-05 5688 455 - - 2465668 214420
Apr-05 212 11 - - 2722214 157026 6000
Mar-05 3642 11 - - 2487690 197344 0
5000
Feb-05 889 11 - - 1789458 229576
4000
Jan-05 1285 4 - - 3104998 251560 -0.5
Dec-04 271 1 - - 4218814 315822 3000
Nov-04 363 1 - - 4246086 338818 2000 -1
Oct-04 1046 0 - - 2055374 254312 1000
Sep-04 383 0 - - 2769470 244560
0 -1.5
Aug-04 980 0 - - 3242450 323902

Dec-89
Nov-90

Dec-00
Nov-01
Jan-89

Jun-95

Jan-00

Jun-06
Mar-87
Feb-88

Mar-98
Feb-99

Mar-09
Oct-91

Oct-02
Apr-86

Sep-92
Aug-93

Apr-97

Sep-03
Aug-04

Apr-08
Jul-94

May-96

Jul-05

May-07
Jul-04 48 1 - - 3522894 305002
Jun-04 3530 3 - - 4238546 259120
May-04 - - - - 3693710 256208
Apr-04 - - - - 3323298 190938 Source: LME, China Customs Dept.
Source: Exchanges' Websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

110 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 111
Zinc Economic parameters impacting Zinc prices

Zinc Fundamentals Economic Indiacators 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004


Zinc (Metric tonnes) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
World mine production 11777000 10900000 10300000 9930000 9600000 US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
(zinc content of concentrate)
Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
World smelter production 11666000 11500000 10800000 10400000 10600000 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
Of which: China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
Primary - 4780000 4670000 4520000 4660000 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Secondary - 362000 416000 398000 384000 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Undifferentiated - 6310000 5740000 5510000 5520000 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Zinc Consumption^ 11496000 11333000 10995000 10540000 10309000 US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7

India mine production (zinc content of concentrate) - 572,300 535,500 477,200 347,100 Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3

India smelter production - 439,800 443,900 289,200 262,400 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Of which: -
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Primary - 416,800 420,900 266,200 238,400
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Secondary - 23,000 23,000 23,000 24,000
Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Zinc Consumption (Primary) 450000 425000 394000 362000
US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Indian Imports * - 106216 179035 265444 193000
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Indian Exports* - 81535 189245 20511 27041
Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Inventory levels - End of the year China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
LME 253500 89150 88450 394125 629425 India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Shanghai 63534 54404 - - - Interest rates (%)
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 2.7% 2.3% 3.9% - - US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Source: ILZSG; USGS; Respective exchanges websites; GFMS base metal report; DGCIS, MCX Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
^ 2008 figures are estimated * data for financial year
World totals, U.S. data, and estimated data are rounded to no more than three significant digits; may not add to totals shown. Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
Comp. Broad Money Index
OECD Total Purchasing power 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
Index Manufacturing
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

112 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 113
Zinc Prices

MCX futures prices (Rs/kg) Average spot prices (Rs./Kg) LME 3 month future prices (USD/tonne) Spot prices (USD/tonne) RBI rate
Mumbai (MCX) LME Cash USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 57.5 67.5 56.75 66.3 62.4 1125 1359 1090 1320 1223 51.23
Feb-09 54.25 59.15 52.6 54.6 54.8 1120 1229 1070 1128 1118 49.22
Jan-09 58.6 65.9 53.3 54 57.8 1220 1365 1089.75 1096.5 1203 48.83
Dec-08 60.8 62.15 49.85 54.35 53.4 1200 1225 1038 1208 1113 48.64
Nov-08 58.5 63.95 52.4 59.6 56.4 1168 1310 1077 1210 1169 49.00
Oct-08 80 80.3 52.5 53.9 62.0 1684 1699 1076 1125 1303 48.64
Sep-08 79.95 86.95 75.25 77.7 79.4 1834.5 1905 1633 1680 1745 45.56
Aug-08 81.6 82.05 68.9 75.35 74.4 1904.75 1905 1605 1811 1735 42.94
Jul-08 84 90.7 76.25 81 79.3 1936 2120 1750 1902 1856 42.84
Jun-08 85.35 86.25 79.6 80.35 81.1 2013 2025 1850 1932 1906 42.82
May-08 88.8 99.9 82.25 84.25 91.3 2255 2374.5 1955 2005 2178 42.13
Apr-08 92 96.45 87.5 88.8 90.4 2313 2420 2206 2230 2279 40.02
Mar-08 110.1 116.75 90.85 92 101.3 2750 2900 2252 2320 2511 40.36
Feb-08 98.05 112.1 91.7 108.6 96.7 2500 2824 2310 2740 2458 39.73
Jan-08 93.35 102.6 85.4 94.2 92.2 2380 2605.95 2150 2515 2364 39.37
Dec-07 102.35 103.35 89.3 90.15 93.3 2645 2645 2251 2370 2379 39.44
Nov-07 113.4 113.9 86 100.4 100.8 2818 2870 2135 2595 2555 39.44
Oct-07 124.2 126.5 109.45 109.85 117.7 3060 3205 2811 2825 2980 39.51
Sep-07 128.15 128.85 113.2 121.55 116.8 3100 3120 2680 3050 2888 40.34
Aug-07 144.75 145.9 123.45 125.65 132.5 3525 3570 2949.8 3110 3244 40.82
Jul-07 142.5 152.85 137.5 145.2 143.3 3360 3780 3351 3545 3546 40.42
Jun-07 151.3 157.2 133.95 134.45 146.6 3710 3850 3290 3350 3629 40.77
May-07 161.6 170.85 143.8 150.05 156.6 3742 4170.5 3535 3695 3848 40.78
Apr-07 144.6 158.8 140.25 152.3 149.9 3275 3845 3119.85 3756 3567 42.15
Mar-07 157.1 160.1 138.2 142.9 144.0 3505 3575 3119.75 3255 3256 44.03
Feb-07 159.6 162.75 137.6 153.7 146.3 3490 3775 2990 3480 3321 44.16
Jan-07 191.1 191.9 149.75 151.95 170.0 4230 4270 3340 3480 3785 44.33
Dec-06 199.6 205.5 185.5 191.5 195.9 4365 4548 4120.5 4230 4381 44.63
Nov-06 190.7 208.3 182.45 196.5 196.4 4220 4580 3975 4375 4379 44.85
Oct-06 155.5 196 152.85 193.25 174.8 3360 4290 3260 4220 3830 45.47
Sep-06 158.65 172.1 147.25 154.15 157.4 3420 3740 3140 3330 3394 46.12
Aug-06 158.6 164.35 150.6 155.65 154.5 3400 3545 3190 3450 3340 46.54
Jul-06 150.45 168.75 145.6 157 155.6 3260 3620 3065 3415 3321 46.46
Jun-06 171.25 173 132.1 150.15 149.0 3595 3670 2810 3220 3198 46.06
May-06 154.25 180.95 136.5 180.55 161.8 3250 4000 3100 3670 3545 45.41
Apr-06 130.5 171.2 123.7 144.65 138.1 2660 3445 2620 3175 3068 44.95
Mar-06 118 130.5 118 130.2 117.3 2345 2705 2115 2645 2428 44.48
Feb-06 - - - - - 2307 2420 1960 2359 2220 44.33
Jan-06 - - - - - 1902 2335 1877 2306 2092 44.40
Dec-05 - - - - - 1715 1925 1710 1909 1819 45.65
Nov-05 - - - - - 1543 1726.15 1518 1715 1611 45.73
Oct-05 - - - - - 1413 1566 1399 1545 1483 44.82
Sep-05 - - - - - 1370 1460.15 1335 1420 1397 43.92
Aug-05 - - - - - 1260.5 1386 1255 1366 1301 43.63
Jul-05 - - - - - 1225 1282.75 1170 1265 1197 43.54
Jun-05 - - - - - 1275 1347 1221.85 1230 1273 43.59
May-05 - - - - - 1292 1292 1215 1285 1246 43.49
Apr-05 - - - - - 1373 1392 1235 1299 1298 43.74
Mar-05 - - - - - 1380 1450 1324 1375 1374 43.69
Feb-05 - - - - - 1302 1415 1268 1389 1323 43.68
Jan-05 - - - - - 1238 1307 1160 1297 1246 43.76
Dec-04 - - - - - 1172 1262 1110 1246 1182 43.98
Nov-04 - - - - - 1062 1187 1036 1170 1100 45.13
Oct-04 - - - - - 1107 1195 1000 1063 1067 45.78
Sep-04 - - - - - 972 1124 950 1108 980 46.10
Aug-04 - - - - - 1040 1054 963 974 977 46.34
Jul-04 - - - - - 994 1045 974 1042 988 46.04
Jun-04 - - - - - 1116 1132 954 992 1019 45.52
May-04 - - - - - 1047 1118 1009 1110 1031 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - 1112 1153.5 1000 1043 1029 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI

114 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 115
Zinc Trading activity
Graph-1
MCX LME TOCOM (1 Kg contracts)
SHFE
Zinc Mine Production (2008e)
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
Mar-09 208772 2740 884436 205238 4241702 234574
Feb-09 155974 2601 780222 211605 3636084 240004 28%
China
Jan-09 254582 4146 957686 215257 3163662 150666 33%
Dec-08 170750 3620 758835 217239 3185326 127550 Australia
Nov-08 214723 3334 880094 232572 2770670 94554
Oct-08 215097 6478 965248 237594 2641524 114582
Peru
Sep-08 261182 5835 990045 228207 2524492 114620
Aug-08 281672 7203 708243 212678 2998404 144404
Jul-08 344578 9196 827575 204878 3965520 179716 United
Jun-08 211818 7839 765926 198036 3888514 182698
May-08 252370 7324 833372 187565 3108752 156316 Canada
Apr-08 225903 10752 959410 191892 3707804 105850 6%
13%
Mar-08 323656 7420 912077 192412 5821132 125432 Others
Feb-08 345186 6722 647411 195029 5075648 148340 7%
Jan-08 319858 8510 832986 191205 6252516 106514 13%
Source: USGS; e estimates
Dec-07 244308 9439 783104 177383 5150590 58702
Nov-07 305480 8775 941899 179233 3997610 78864
Oct-07 309670 12169 1089690 162219 996644 98684
Sep-07 346451 6563 1014805 155086 1734622 89672 Graph-2
Aug-07 326264 8142 838075 149295 1520740 56184
Jul-07 310111 6456 999716 145869 2731960 35704 Zinc Consumption (2008e)
Jun-07 317771 7501 1068516 143914 1143186 42876 7%
May-07 383919 4926 1146266 148078 1298366 30168 4%
Apr-07 288371 4586 1235912 140736 1501988 32224 China
34%
Mar-07 262631 5716 1192616 142390 35414 10736
Feb-07 237740 3772 1051089 140457 - - 12% Other Asia
Jan-07 219193 4177 935311 131114 - -
Dec-06 112724 2423 728803 131940 - - Western Europe
Nov-06 157018 2693 841226 132541 - -
Oct-06 45350 1646 792861 129648 - -
Sep-06 31366 648 770995 122949 - - North America
Aug-06 21914 708 854086 120504 - -
19%
Jul-06 35279 351 901705 130010 - - South and Central
Jun-06 46180 543 1177418 136708 - - America
May-06 58311 1483 984070 152560 - - 24% Others
Apr-06 53798 2110 823877 167512 - -
Mar-06 707 28 983874 169045 - -
Feb-06 - - 895591 164725 - - Source: GFMS Base Metals Report

Jan-06 - - 1097725 149470 - -


Dec-05 - - - - - -
Nov-05 - - - - - - Graph-3
Oct-05 - - - - - -
Sep-05 - - - - - - Zinc Prices, OECD Leading Indicator & Rolling correlation with Copper Price
Aug-05 - - - - - -
Jul-05 - - - - - - 120 5000
Jun-05 - - - - - - 100 4500
May-05 - - - - - - 80 4000
Apr-05 - - - - - - 60 3500
Mar-05 - - - - - - 40 3000
Feb-05 - - - - - - 20 2500
Jan-05 - - - - - -
0 2000
Dec-04 - - - - - -
-20 1500
Nov-04 - - - - - -
Oct-04 - - - - - - -40 1000
Sep-04 - - - - - - -60 500

Dec-89

Sep-92

Jul-94
Jun-95

Apr-97
Mar-98
Feb-99

Dec-00

Sep-03

Jul-05
Jun-06

Apr-08
Mar-09
Nov-90
Oct-91

Aug-93

May-96

Jan-00

Nov-01
Oct-02

Aug-04

May-07
Aug-04 - - - - - -
Jul-04 - - - - - -
Jun-04 - - - - - -
May-04 - - - - - - LME futures (USD/ton)- RHS OECD Total Composite Leading Ind.
Apr-04 - - - - - - Correlation with Cu 1( year) Source: LME, OECD
Source: Exchnages' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

116 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 117
Lead Economic Parameters impacting Lead Prices

Fundamentals
Parameters 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Lead (Metric tonnes) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
World mine production (Lead content of concentrate) 3,800,000 3,770,000 3,650,000 3,520,000 3,200,000
Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
World refinery production - 8,280,000 7,890,000 7,640,000 7,070,000 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Of which: OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Primary - 3,870,000 3,740,000 3,550,000 3,090,000 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Secondary - 4,190,000 3,950,000 3,880,000 3,740,000
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Undifferentiated - 222,000 204,000 211,000 237,000 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Lead Consumption 8,527,000 8,243,000 8,017,000 7,613,000 7,261,000 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
India mine production lead concentrate - 77,600 69,200 60,400 51,300 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
India refinery production - 123,800 112,700 91,000 65,000 US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Of which:
Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Primary - 88,800 77,700 56,000 40,000 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Secondary - 35,000 35,000 35,000 25,000
Interest rates (%)
US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Imports* - 154290 184024 175416 166416 Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
Exports* - 19806 15538 10008 6678
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Inventory levels Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
LME (tonnes) year end 45150 45475 41125 43625 40700
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 3.4% 2.5% 2.2% - - China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Source: GFMS base metal report, DGCIS; * Data for financial year
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

118 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 119
Lead Prices

MCX futures prices Spot prices LME 3 month futures prices Spot prices LME Cash RBI rate
(Rs/Kg) (Rs/Kg) (USD/tonne) (USD/Tonne) USDNIR
Open High Low Close Mumbai Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 54.05 70.25 53.15 64.8 63.4 1050 1380 1025 1270 1238 51.23
Feb-09 55.65 59.3 47.8 52 54.3 1135 1219 980 1046 1100 49.22
Jan-09 49.35 60.3 48.1 56.45 54.8 980 1230 957 1120.5 1145 48.83
Dec-08 57 57.6 40.5 45.95 46.4 1095 1140 851 999 968 48.64
Nov-08 76 76 53.15 53.8 63.8 1525 1557 1073 1103 1286 49.00
Oct-08 87.2 88.2 57.75 72.35 70.9 1845 1873 1145 1508 1494 48.64
Sep-08 87.2 94.5 79.5 84.55 85.2 1975 2080 1729.75 1830 1872 45.56
Aug-08 94.3 95.45 70.7 85.75 83.0 2215 2222.5 1626 1975 1903 42.94
Jul-08 77.2 98.85 66.4 94.7 83.0 1780 2293.75 1531 2210 1960 42.84
Jun-08 83.9 88.9 74.45 74.5 79.7 2000 2090 1745 1790 1861 42.82
May-08 104.6 107 80.75 82.6 93.8 2700 2730 1912 1975 2216 42.13
Apr-08 113.25 120.4 107.4 108.4 113.1 2780 3000 2677 2714 2835 40.02
Mar-08 133.85 140.65 107.1 111.55 121.7 3335 3480 2655 2790 3013 40.36
Feb-08 109.65 137.7 107.65 135.5 121.8 2810 3420 2719 3330 3090 39.73
Jan-08 101.3 109.15 96 108.05 102.4 2555 2831 2405 2820 2622 39.37
Dec-07 121.25 121.7 94.35 99.8 103.4 3060 3060 2371 2550 2616 39.44
Nov-07 144.95 148.95 110.15 120.95 132.2 3680 3775 2805 3060 3320 39.44
Oct-07 136.5 154.35 134.1 145.15 148.0 3380 3890.15 3345 3660 3723 39.51
Sep-07 127.8 142.05 117.4 137.15 130.5 3120 3520 2845 3380 3228 40.34
Aug-07 127.05 139.25 115.65 134.5 127.7 3110 3355 2760 3110 3115 40.82
Jul-07 115.6 142.3 112.6 126.05 124.6 2680 3500 2670 3105 3072 40.42
Jun-07 91.15 109.8 91.15 108.1 98.9 2360 2745 2231 2660 2437 40.77
May-07 82.1 92.45 82.1 92 85.7 2015 2360 1980 2331 2106 40.78
Apr-07 84.55 86.5 80.15 82.75 84.6 1920 2045 1905 2015 1984 42.15
Mar-07 84.6 88 84.6 84.85 84.1 1825 1975.15 1771.85 1920 1909 44.03
Feb-07 77 84.65 70.9 83.85 78.5 1680 1955 1525 1820 1775 44.16
Jan-07 74.25 77.3 69 77.3 74.1 1685 1725.25 1505 1679 1664 44.33
Dec-06 72 80.95 72 78.4 77.0 1660 1785 1580 1665 1709 44.63
Nov-06 72.5 75 70 74 72.9 1615 1755 1440 1663 1626 44.85
Oct-06 64.85 73.5 64.85 73.5 69.9 1390 1630 1340 1617 1526 45.47
Sep-06 57.25 64.75 54.5 64.75 61.9 1220 1410.5 1214 1380 1347 46.12
Aug-06 51.35 55 51.35 55 54.7 1095 1250 1082.25 1210 1179 46.54
Jul-06 44 53.45 43 50.5 48.9 1020 1180 995 1092 1053 46.46
Jun-06 54.1 54.1 42.5 43.2 44.3 1065 1080 924.75 1015 964 46.06
May-06 56.35 59 51.4 53.35 52.8 1230 1360 1060 1071 1168 45.41
Apr-06 54.5 58 51.9 56.35 52.6 1180 1260 1139.85 1210 1171 44.95
Mar-06 52.95 57.3 52.55 54.5 54.2 1185 1255 1130 1185 1194 44.48
Feb-06 - - - - - 1325 1435 1124.85 1182 1267 44.33
Jan-06 - - - - - 1053 1420 1049 1322 1258 44.40
Dec-05 - - - - - 1036 1125 1035 1051 1120 45.65
Nov-05 - - - - - 960 1045.2 923.85 1043 1018 45.73
Oct-05 - - - - - 940 1018 937.75 963 999 44.82
Sep-05 - - - - - 863 970 841 938 933 43.92
Aug-05 - - - - - 855 895 824 863 887 43.63
Jul-05 - - - - - 885 888 812 855.5 858 43.54
Jun-05 - - - - - 962 986 880 880 983 43.59
May-05 - - - - - 950 983 915 962 985 43.49
Apr-05 - - - - - 985 996 890 950 980 43.74
Mar-05 - - - - - 950 990 935 989 1002 43.69
Feb-05 - - - - - 930 991 904 954.5 973 43.68
Jan-05 - - - - - 1002 1002 867 935 954 43.76
Dec-04 - - - - - 955 1019 885 1004 972 43.98
Nov-04 - - - - - 878 996 870 952 966 45.13
Oct-04 - - - - - 930 982 805 879 933 45.78
Sep-04 - - - - - 860 940 831 925 932 46.10
Aug-04 - - - - - 876 912 822 858 917 46.34
Jul-04 - - - - - 840 925 825 879 931 46.04
Jun-04 - - - - - 831 862 750 837 864 45.52
May-04 - - - - - 731 862 710 833 804 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - 835 841 651 731 747 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

120 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 121
Lead Trading activity
Graph-1

MCX LME Lead Mine Production (2008e)

Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest


Mar-09 130344 1380 535331 93619 20 %
Feb-09 72614 1550 402582 102852 China
Jan-09 146851 1354 534515 102959 40 %
Dec-08 144343 3235 483905 109344 Australia
Nov-08 128765 3994 470743 117209
Oct-08 114594 2276 610973 123930 4%
United States
Sep-08 156400 1765 540511 139610
Aug-08 158614 1301 609001 143131
Jul-08 226034 2740 729273 142077 9% Peru
Jun-08 126749 5245 482949 116295
May-08 139900 3449 483893 113582 Mexico
Apr-08 78768 1255 423544 105527
Mar-08 110436 866 415194 102617
12 % Others
Feb-08 139959 1817 454711 98288
Jan-08 129851 1980 428100 96419
Dec-07 167541 1933 341485 96146 15 %
Nov-07 180997 1898 494098 102672 Source: USGS; e estimates
Oct-07 259390 2829 493731 98587 Graph-2
Sep-07 179574 1557 406280 92649 Lead Mine Consumption (2008e)
Aug-07 213613 1652 434971 66274
Jul-07 90279 847 374775 66822
Jun-07 339 19 382190 64802
25 %
May-07 4 4 366261 66439
Apr-07 9 5 302402 63116 China
Mar-07 8 0 323205 63240 35 %
Feb-07 8 2 330473 60786
Jan-07 54 0 371393 58260 Europe
Dec-06 116 0 320163 57662
Nov-06 552 1 374854 61192
Oct-06 28 0 356364 58032 USA
Sep-06 336 0 396199 56693
Aug-06 46 1 379169 55523
Jul-06 1774 20 318504 57775 Others
18 %
Jun-06 430 29 308105 62057
May-06 1691 16 440203 62315
22 %
Apr-06 628 8 343260 59505
Mar-06 2940 10 434491 65955
Feb-06 - - 353575 60198 Source: GFMS Base Metals Report
Jan-06 - - 471560 64511
Dec-05 - - - - Graph-3
Nov-05 - - - -
Oct-05 - - - - Lead Prices, Inventory and Spread Between Cash & Futures
Inventory & Spread Prices
Sep-05 - - - - 250 4000
Aug-05 - - - - LME futures (USD/ton) - RHS Lead invetory (000s metric tonne)
Jul-05 - - - - 3500
200
Jun-05 - - - - 3000
May-05 - - - - 150
2500
Apr-05 - - - -
Mar-05 - - - - 100 2000
Feb-05 - - - - 1500
Jan-05 - - - - 50
1000
Dec-04 - - - -
0
Nov-04 - - - - 500
Oct-04 - - - - -50 0
Sep-04 - - - -
Aug-04 - - - -

Jul-97

Jul-02

Jul-07
Jan-00

Jan-05
Mar-99

Mar-04

Mar-09
Sep-96

Sep-01

Sep-06
Nov-95

Nov-00

Nov-05
May-98

May-03

May-08
Jul-04 - - - -
Jun-04 - - - -
May-04 - - - -
Source: LME
Apr-04 - - - -
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

122 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 123
Nickel Economic Parameters impacting Nickel Prices

Fundamentals 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004


Nickel (Metric tonne) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
World mine production 1,610,000 1,660,000 1,580,000 1,500,000 1,420,000
Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Content of concentrate - - 487,000 453,000 427,000 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
Content of ore and ore milled - - 594,000 563,000 538,000 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Content of laterite ore - - 336,000 327,000 301,000 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Content of ferronickel produced - - 10,900 8,100 5,300 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Content of nickel sulfate - - 80 199 130
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Content, unspecified and/or undifferentiated - - 157,000 146,000 148,000 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
World plant production 1,342,000 1,436,000 1,350,000 1,300,000 1,280,000 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Of which:
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Ferronickel 302,000 295,000 278,000 Industrial Output (YoY % change)
Metal 761,000 740,000 710,000 US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Oxide sinter 102,000 101,000 104,000 Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Chemicals 21,700 20,000 24,700 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Unspecified 165,000 149,000 162,000
Interest rates (%)
World Refined Nickel Consumption 1,299,000 1,341,000 1,405,000 1,244,000 1,262,000 US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Refined Nickel Balance 43000 95000 -91000 10000 -18000 Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
India nickel consumption (primary) 33000 31000 28000 27000
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
Indian Imports * 22785.7 23251.9 18828.6 26450.8 India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Indian Exports 1679.7 1673.4 1951.6 1041.9 Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Inventory levels
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
LME (tonnes) year end 78390 47946 6648 35742 20892 Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 3.4%
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Source: USGS, INSG, DGCIS, GFMS base metal report;MCX, LME; * data is for financial year Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

124 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 125
Nickel Prices

MCX futures prices Average Spot prices LME 3 month futures prices Spot prices RBI rate
(Rs/Kg) Mumbai (Rs/Kg) (USD/tonne) LME Cash (USD/tonne) USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 504.1 533.5 478.3 479.3 495.8 9975 10420 9425 9850 9707 51.23
Feb-09 545 585 462 488.6 512.5 11180 12051 9250 10000 10404 49.22
Jan-09 576 654.8 498.1 537.6 550.8 11700 13550 10180 11200 11285 48.83
Dec-08 515 540.8 442.3 522.8 470.5 10000 11900 9000 11700 9638 48.64
Nov-08 623.8 649.3 476.2 484.8 526.3 12675 13125 9720 10200 10698 49.00
Oct-08 764.4 769 447.8 556.5 579.0 16050 16400 8850 12100 12133 48.64
Sep-08 906 906.5 721 741.9 807.2 20250 20350 15588 15850 17840 45.56
Aug-08 795.1 935 736.6 887.8 819.2 18599 21525 17370 20225 18917 42.94
Jul-08 960 974.5 763 791.6 863.4 21950 22599 18049 18350 20102 42.84
Jun-08 935 1073.5 914.5 930.5 967.9 22290 24950 21400 21950 22539 42.82
May-08 1160 1180 927 942.5 1077.0 28725 29149 21355 22100 25854 42.13
Apr-08 1183.5 1205.5 1127.5 1169.5 1149.5 29750 30325 27900 28550 28756 40.02
Mar-08 1259 1416 1126 1190.5 1260.9 31500 35150 28000 29755 31208 40.36
Feb-08 1086.5 1275 1042 1258 1109.3 27650 32050 26250 31500 27711 39.73
Jan-08 1040.5 1203 1038.5 1084 1089.2 26650 30750 26350 27400 27646 39.37
Dec-07 1088 1104.5 998 1017.5 1030.3 27450 27800 25177 26300 25921 39.44
Nov-07 1277 1350 1042 1047.5 1211.2 32380 34250 26752 27095 30600 39.44
Oct-07 1230 1306 1188 1212.9 1228.5 30849 33490 29701 32050 31017 39.51
Sep-07 1217 1362 1101.7 1232.9 1195.3 29800 34500 26612.5 30500 29526 40.34
Aug-07 1279 1286 1035 1237.9 1120.1 31450 31450 24800 29800 27748 40.82
Jul-07 1495 1519.9 1223.4 1275.7 1350.6 36450 37500 30199 31445 33417 40.42
Jun-07 1941.1 2009 1430.2 1460.8 1700.7 46100 50448.5 35350 36200 41705 40.77
May-07 2105 2185.5 1925 2073.2 2130.9 48000 51800 44900 46000 52161 40.78
Apr-07 2007.8 2253.9 1953.9 2066.5 2133.3 45000 50200 44950 47800 50249 42.15
Mar-07 1891.1 2247 1790 1982.8 2036.7 40800 48500 39000 44800 46303 44.03
Feb-07 1945 1990 1925 1967.6 1817.1 36500 41990 34350 41395 41171 44.16
Jan-07 1504 1855 1355 1727 1626.6 33350 38950 30000 37000 36795 44.33
Dec-06 1498 1603 1433 1512.9 1543.5 33750 34950 31999 33325 34576 44.63
Nov-06 1429.8 1547.3 1267.3 1539 1439.7 31400 34100 28650 33950 32100 44.85
Oct-06 1408.3 1640 1327.1 1420.2 1491.9 29375 32625 28000 31350 32693 45.47
Sep-06 1515 1524.2 1205 1430.5 1394.6 28000 29450 25500 29350 30117 46.12
Aug-06 1287.5 1618.5 1210 1581.3 1445.0 25400 29950 24175 28800 30728 46.54
Jul-06 976.1 1380 976.1 1324.3 1234.2 21400 26900 21400 25500 26569 46.46
Jun-06 1080 1081 844.1 1031.2 954.0 21500 21750 17050 21350 20747 46.06
May-06 905 1064 821 1064 956.8 19175 23050 18600 21900 21065 45.41
Apr-06 675 832.7 675 827.9 801.7 15200 20250 15150 19275 17932 44.95
Mar-06 676.9 698 626 679.5 663.0 14900 15520 14450 15250 14893 44.48
Feb-06 699.1 750 645 666 665.8 15050 15802 14625 14950 14975 44.33
Jan-06 705 705 680 695.8 642.9 13450 15500 13300 15225 14550 44.40
Dec-05 585 718 543 637 611.8 12750 14451 12599 13500 13426 45.65
Nov-05 - - - - 544.8 12125 13225 11480 12800 12111 45.73
Oct-05 613 690 538 538 555.9 13510 13602 11650 12020 12397 44.82
Sep-05 624 689 597 597 624.8 14900 15350 12825 13500 14223 43.92
Aug-05 608 675 585 658.5 650.6 14200 15450 13899 14850 14887 43.63
Jul-05 660 678.5 630 643 635.4 14400 15050 13850 14250 14571 43.54
Jun-05 667.5 750.5 609 639 705.3 16150 16901 14325 14590 16154 43.59
May-05 701 773 690 735 738.8 15850 16851 15299 16250 16920 43.49
Apr-05 680 739 611 734 711.8 15875 16500 14850 15850 16136 43.74
Mar-05 711 718 608 714 711.7 16250 16350 15225 15900 16185 43.69
Feb-05 655 732 627 719 673.9 14450 16250 14400 16250 15345 43.68
Jan-05 642 645 570 637 642.0 14650 15100 13700 14525 14501 43.76
Dec-04 615 688 585 688 625.2 14400 15550 12350 14875 13769 43.98
Nov-04 645 658 611 655 643.3 13700 14700 13300 14260 14045 45.13
Oct-04 735 740 600 621 668.8 16200 17200 12450 13840 14404 45.78
Sep-04 610 704 578 702 - 12400 16500 11850 16425 13271 46.10
Aug-04 650 676 605 602 - 13625 14375 12250 12400 13680 46.34
Jul-04 694 745 650 650.5 - 15200 16000 13600 13675 15023 46.04
Jun-04 575.5 692 575.5 688 - 12200 15400 11780 15175 13534 45.52
May-04 - - - - - 11200 12300 10400 12175 11118 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - 13950 14800 10650 11150 12848 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI

126 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 127
Nickel Trading activity
Graph-1

MCX LME Nickel Mine Production (2008e)

Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest


Mar-09 326281 16168 429271 112738 17%
Feb-09 222376 4650 381938 124755 Russia
Jan-09 324454 2263 528894 120817 37%
Dec-08 203662 3948 439020 117669 Canada
Nov-08 206015 3039 405158 117387
Oct-08 216060 3571 537443 126983 16% Indonesia
Sep-08 148790 6332 509484 118006
Aug-08 188189 3395 408295 121245
Jul-08 186886 10310 393348 113786 Australia
Jun-08 161359 5512 446347 107684
May-08 113308 4291 432582 103674 New Caledonia
Apr-08 81540 2169 443789 97002
Mar-08 147596 2152 349587 97320 Others
Feb-08 170479 4324 447305 95674 6% 13%
Jan-08 198392 4466 353678 91977 Source: USGS; e estimates 11%
Dec-07 121275 5055 329927 88395
Nov-07 117293 5294 362858 84517
Oct-07 244786 4987 342322 77624 Graph-2
Sep-07 250183 4288 274793 74882
Nickel Consumption (2008e)
Aug-07 311290 5999 310368 54439 8%
Jul-07 315797 8279 266692 49576
Jun-07 293894 3554 347708 45144 10%
May-07 144002 2764 278647 44480 30% Western Europe
Apr-07 115707 1228 282269 41779
Mar-07 128971 1354 268325 46467 China
Feb-07 76841 710 291690 45936
Jan-07 49710 527 353496 49227
12% Other Asia
Dec-06 14522 74 292342 48765
Nov-06 1307 10 235072 47665
Oct-06 688 10 312979 47660 Japan
Sep-06 288 4 264161 47852
Aug-06 288 0 340962 47247 North America
Jul-06 1281 1 357523 53816
13%
Jun-06 2109 23 397067 55640 27% Others
May-06 356 13 379303 62328
Apr-06 67 10 471598 66705
Mar-06 7590 8 409840 66611 Source: GFMS Base Metals Report
Feb-06 1824 25 310083 57826
Jan-06 662 14 328888 56220
Graph-3
Dec-05 944 3 - -
Nov-05 879 1 - -
Oct-05 1013 0 - - Nickel Prices, Consumption & Steel Production
Sep-05 370 0 - - Prices
Aug-05 224 1 - - 3000 40000
Jul-05 680 16 - -
Jun-05 4950 17 - - 2600 32000
May-05 690 0 - -
Apr-05 75 0 - -
2200 24000
Mar-05 2811 6 - -
Feb-05 522 32 - -
Jan-05 860 0 - - 1800 16000
Dec-04 176 5 - -
Nov-04 87 5 - - 1400 8000
Oct-04 102 8 - -
Sep-04 151 5 - - 1000 0
Aug-04 210 5 - - Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
Jul-04 276 13 - -
Jun-04 42 4 - - Average LME prices USD/ton (RHS) Nickel Consumption (000s tonnes)
May-04 0 0 - - Steel global production (0000s tonnes) Source: IISF, INSG, LME
Apr-04
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

128 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 129
Aluminium Economic parameters impacting Aluminium prices

Fundamentals
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
(thousand tonnes) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)
Global US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Total Production 39,437 38,150 33,942 31,968 29,920 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Production Ex China 26,387 25529 24593 24162 23231 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2

Total Production Capacity 44,300 42700 37400 36100 32300 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1

Total Consumption 38278 37,761 34,336 31,842 30,305 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Consumption Ex China 25624 25,710 25,546 24,680 24,240
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
World Balance 1159 389 -394 126 -385
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Total Stocks 4416 3,257 2,868 3,262 3,666
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
India
Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Primary Aluminium Production 1236.7 1,153 1,003 883 817
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Primary Aluminium Consumption 1239.8 1140.4 1033 828.7 792.6 India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Indian Imports 169.8 111.8 126.3 76 77.4 OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Indian Exports 166.6 123.8 96.4 130.6 102 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Inventory levels - End of the year US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
LME 2328.9 930.0 699.3 644.9 694.8 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 1.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% - Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Source: USGS, DGCIS, GFMS base metal report, LME, MCX; China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Interest rates (%)
US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

130 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 131
Aluminium Prices

MCX spot prices (Rs./Kg) LME average cash RBI Ref Rate
MCX futures prices (Rs /kg) LME 3 month futures price (USD/tonne)
Mumbai (USD/tonne) USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 67.7 73.95 66.05 69.5 68.6 1335 1492 1292.25 1392 1338 51.23
Feb-09 65.1 70.95 62.2 65.5 66.0 1349 1479 1279 1342 1338 49.22
Jan-09 74.4 78.75 63.15 64.3 69.3 1525 1648 1316.5 1349 1420 48.83
Dec-08 87.45 88.5 67.4 70.8 72.4 1770 1787 1430.5 1540 1504 48.64
Nov-08 101 102.45 84.75 84.85 91.0 2076 2130 1744 1772 1857 49.00
Oct-08 114.8 114.8 91.5 97.05 102.7 2442 2450 1925 2040 2122 48.64
Sep-08 119.4 120.45 110.5 112.35 115.0 2723 2725 2404.85 2425 2524 45.56
Aug-08 125.3 125.7 115.5 117.45 118.7 2971 2975 2714 2714 2763 42.94
Jul-08 132 144.2 122.7 124.35 131.8 3119 3380.15 2928.25 2979 3067 42.84
Jun-08 122.85 136.9 121.1 132 126.8 2935 3169 2859 3114 2968 42.82
May-08 115 130.4 114.55 122.75 122.1 2930 3071 2828 2931 2908 42.13
Apr-08 117 123.4 114.05 117.05 118.3 2990 3133 2875 2907 2968 40.02
Mar-08 124.8 130.25 112.25 117.3 121.4 3095 3255 2805 2990 3012 40.36
Feb-08 105.5 125.5 102.3 123.2 110.2 2708 3160.25 2591 3106 2785 39.73
Jan-08 94.25 104.6 93.25 104.05 96.0 2410 2717 2377 2710 2456 39.37
Dec-07 98.9 98.9 92.55 92.6 94.1 2512 2512 2393 2409 2383 39.44
Nov-07 99.3 103.25 96.4 97.8 98.9 2545 2661 2472 2500 2507 39.44
Oct-07 99.3 100.2 94.15 97.85 96.5 2512 2573 2376 2545 2445 39.51
Sep-07 103.6 103.6 93.65 96.85 96.7 2550 2550 2375 2520 2395 40.34
Aug-07 110.85 110.85 99.85 102.3 102.7 2744 2760 2450 2544 2513 40.82
Jul-07 111.1 113.9 105.6 109.15 110.3 2725 2870 2712 2751 2738 40.42
Jun-07 113.2 114.1 107.65 109.45 109.2 2790 2829 2657.75 2725 2681 40.77
May-07 118.05 119.4 108.3 111.25 114.1 2853 2927 2745 2790 2805 40.78
Apr-07 121.3 127.5 112.3 116.75 118.9 2789.5 2932 2734.75 2860 2817 42.15
Mar-07 125.2 126.45 117.3 121.6 121.5 2838 2856.75 2664 2780 2757 44.03
Feb-07 123.75 130.5 116.5 127.95 125.0 2730 2905 2614 2815 2839 44.16
Jan-07 125.75 131.65 114.6 124.75 124.4 2802 2847 2550 2730 2799 44.33
Dec-06 122.2 127.8 122.2 126.05 125.6 2732 2875 2727 2803 2824 44.63
Nov-06 129.8 129.8 115.9 120.25 121.2 2788 2848 2566 2738 2702 44.85
Oct-06 118.35 128.7 113 125.05 120.9 2581 2835 2440.75 2790 2657 45.47
Sep-06 116 121.85 109 116.95 114.3 2495 2687 2405 2584 2484 46.12
Aug-06 118.7 119.5 110 112.65 114.6 2553 2595.25 2440 2505 2462 46.54
Jul-06 121.8 125 111.3 116.25 116.6 2625 2710 2449.85 2570 2512 46.46
Jun-06 126.5 126.8 107 117.6 114.2 2670 2687 2413 2630 2491 46.06
May-06 133.2 151.45 116.8 125.15 129.3 2768 3310 2644 2650 2852 45.41
Apr-06 113.1 144 111.5 123.85 117.7 2456 2845 2446 2755 2624 44.95
Mar-06 114.25 118.45 102.15 112.05 108.0 2397 2564 2293 2471 2432 44.48
Feb-06 110 122.45 99.1 105.4 108.8 2515 2678.15 2258 2420 2453 44.33
Jan-06 110 110 110 110 105.2 2275 2526 2227 2516 2383 44.40
Dec-05 97 115.4 95 100.9 102.6 2135 2289.5 2131 2277 2251 45.65
Nov-05 91 94.4 84.25 91.85 93.7 1971 2148 1950 2139 2057 45.73
Oct-05 86 93 86 91 87.9 1852 2005 1843.75 1984 1934 44.82
Sep-05 - - - - - 1859 1900 1777 1851 1838 43.92
Aug-05 - - - - - 1855 1951 1839.5 1853 1871 43.63
Jul-05 - - - - - 1714 1874.5 1681 1858 1783 43.54
Jun-05 - - - - - 1740 1804 1700 1719.5 1732 43.59
May-05 - - - - - 1809 1813 1702 1740 1741 43.49
Apr-05 - - - - - 1975 1989 1797 1822 1892 43.74
Mar-05 - - - - - 1908 2016 1888 1973 1988 43.69
Feb-05 - - - - - 1846 1987.5 1798 1911 1883 43.68
Jan-05 - - - - - 1929 1930 1782 1850 1836 43.76
Dec-04 - - - - - 1843 1972 1773 1958 1853 43.98
Nov-04 - - - - - 1811 1859 1760 1840 1817 45.13
Oct-04 - - - - - 1849 1883 1685 1817 1830 45.78
Sep-04 - - - - - 1697 1850 1645 1845.5 1731 46.10
Aug-04 - - - - - 1692 1743 1660 1697 1692 46.34
Jul-04 - - - - - 1722 1767 1652 1696 1708 46.04
Jun-04 - - - - - 1686 1737 1614 1722 1682 45.52
May-04 - - - - - 1675 1696 1556 1693 1625 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - 1723 1847 1635 1670 1732 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI

132 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 133
Aluminium Trading activity
Graph-1

MCX LME SHFE Aluminium Mine Production (2008e)

Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest


Mar-09 12510 936 4184796 714350 3562884 315454 China
Feb-09 9048 469 3216033 701820 4025304 206854 36% 34%
Jan-09 13079 844 3959205 656537 5407652 204064 Russia
Dec-08 12505 1047 4204059 694360 8998316 218308
Nov-08 5683 311 3794206 696415 3116358 230090
Canada
Oct-08 5177 296 4210281 698442 5765682 175042
Sep-08 6624 629 4244709 690491 1632002 143888
Aug-08 6900 451 3738016 689550 875690 127142 United States
Jul-08 15815 656 4196113 706594 1294954 145812
Jun-08 5284 455 4028080 707773 629052 142952 Australia
May-08 6797 482 3533976 711564 834904 155630
Apr-08 4243 476 4032506 720560 965516 183126 5% 10% Others
Mar-08 13706 516 3460258 732430 2784906 236440
Feb-08 12397 752 4384315 719049 1213886 206642 7%
8%
Jan-08 16673 882 4127718 705858 594998 104892 Source: USGS; e estimates
Dec-07 5746 1260 2791050 671107 539118 86032
Nov-07 13924 1448 3742283 685883 956700 104408 Graph-2
Oct-07 21255 1821 3359945 656595 493336 137620
Sep-07 22316 1673 3180400 644357 249952 118706 Aluminium Consumption (2008e)
Aug-07 14390 1540 4021300 635458 426996 117186
12 %
Jul-07 15098 1326 2807651 566710 497166 101156
Jun-07 24668 1409 3215757 562689 512580 129698 China
May-07 32568 3376 2587235 564858 1047936 127224
Apr-07 27444 2499 3212847 560428 1378792 143506 33 % Western Europe
Mar-07 74211 1172 3207987 533236 659546 132196 14 %
Feb-07 30987 1141 3610848 529480 598492 151094
North America
Jan-07 24888 1350 3640875 535288 1742964 145130
Dec-06 16114 1242 2800578 524261 1124100 154058
Nov-06 19143 1298 3650881 543009 2898718 155678 Japan
Oct-06 13345 781 3272968 545710 2797230 190772 6%
Sep-06 25935 450 2889999 543871 3581738 221444 Other Asia
Aug-06 15608 708 2646140 512097 1403808 194320
Jul-06 14583 526 2495379 541154 1403150 179538
17 % Others
Jun-06 15868 1844 2660208 546958 2275784 159588 18 %
May-06 37094 2187 2994439 564572 3196230 226270
Apr-06 24303 1246 3028866 549561 3249358 244188 Source: GFMS Base Metals Report
Mar-06 7714 60 3225367 554487 1976040 180500
Feb-06 1566 14 3213906 525705 1757542 159134 Graph-3
Jan-06 3697 13 2946074 479493 1356892 181700
Dec-05 907 1 1320932 78866
Nov-05 676 4 270652 45042
Oct-05 14 1 238188 40230
Sep-05 - - 101830 35112
Aug-05 - - 126428 37930
Jul-05 - - 218478 36606
Jun-05 - - 265326 31038
May-05 - - 127398 31228
Apr-05 - - 210304 33622
Mar-05 - - 620154 57678
Feb-05 - - 202396 46662
Jan-05 - - 487722 45760
Dec-04 - - 731262 75208
Nov-04 - - 653854 57950
Oct-04 - - 489596 74584
Sep-04 - - 852418 110420
Aug-04 - - 582446 85944
Jul-04 - - 396150 80542
Jun-04 - - 1008190 82772 Source: LME, Federal Reserve, National Bureau of Statistics
May-04 - - 1367706 114300
Apr-04 - - 3688578 192914
Source: Exchanges' websites; Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month. Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of the month.

134 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 135
Steel Economic Parameters impacting Steel prices

Fundamentals (Million Metric tons)


Economic Indiacators 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Steel (Million Metric tons) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Real GDP (% change)

Global US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6


Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Crude Steel Production 1,354 1,344 1,250 1,146 1,069
Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
Crude Steel Production Ex China 863 855 827 790 788 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
Operating rate - Crude steel (Global) in % 83 88 88 87 88 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Crude Steel Consumption 1378 1,328 1,239 1,131 1,072 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6

Crude Steel Consumption Ex China 821 800 763 700 701 Consumer Price inflation (% change)
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Finished Steel Consumption 1254 1,209 1,125 1,031 977
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Ratio Finished/Crude - % 91 91 91 91 91 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Steel Use per Capita (in Kgs) 190.4 195.1 184.1 170.7 162.1 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
India India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Crude Steel Production 56 53 49 46 33
Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Finished Steel Consumption 56 51 46 40 35
US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Steel Use per Capita (in Kgs) 44.3 42.4 39.6 35.2 31.6 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Indian Imports - 7.7 5.7 5.3 2.8 Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
Indian Exports (semi finished and finished steel products) - 6.6 6.9 6.0 5.5 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Inventory levels
Interest rates (%)
LME (tonnes) year end 50765 - - - -
US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot - Bhavnagar) 1.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% - Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Source: Steel Statistical Year Book 2008 and World Steel in figures 2009 by World Steel Association, USGS, DGCIS, MCX, LME Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US ( DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

136 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 137
Steel Prices

MCX spot prices (Rs/tonne) LME 3 month futures price mediterranean LME monthly Average Cash Prices RBI Ref. Rate
Steel Flat - Mumbai Steel Long - Govindgargh Steel Long - Bhavnagar (USD/tonne) USD/INR
Monthly Average Monthly Average Average Open High Low Close Mediterian Far East Monthly Average
Mar-09 28746.4 23994.0 23229.5 275 329 255 325 303.8 310.3 51.23
Feb-09 29077.9 23875.0 24286.1 320 336 282 295 323.0 315.0 49.22
Jan-09 30493.5 23891.0 25275.0 385 385 305 340 331.5 314.9 48.83
Dec-08 31469.6 24796.9 26241.9 330 390 320 380 340.3 319.7 48.64
Nov-08 33698.3 24749.3 26794.3 290 445 279 320 327.0 316.5 49.00
Oct-08 39318.8 25269.2 27575.0 515 515 260 290 358.5 343.7 48.64
Sep-08 44000.4 30859.8 33484.0 700 700 470 515 624.2 579.6 45.56
Aug-08 46249.2 31793.8 35121.2 960 960 685 685 916.6 759.7 42.94
Jul-08 45685.6 35268.1 39732.2 1170 1200 965 950 1018.3 911.3 42.84
Jun-08 41267.2 34717.8 38567.4 1175 1270 1175 1195 - - 42.82
May-08 36203.0 31200.0 33346.4 1030 1185 1030 1192.5 - - 42.13
Apr-08 35869.6 - 35613.8 1005 1010 985 1015 - - 40.02
Mar-08 34782.9 - 36557.9 - - - - - - 40.36
Feb-08 31102.9 - 31865.6 - - - - - - 39.73
Jan-08 29095.0 - 28416.2 - - - - - - 39.37
Dec-07 28042.8 - 25830.4 - - - - - - 39.44
Nov-07 28057.6 - 25452.4 - - - - - - 39.44
Oct-07 28290.4 - 25478.1 - - - - - - 39.51
Sep-07 28472.5 - 24813.8 - - - - - - 40.34
Aug-07 27730.0 - 23763.1 - - - - - - 40.82
Jul-07 27663.1 24331.9 22472.3 - - - - - - 40.42
Jun-07 28238.1 25001.0 23190.0 - - - - - - 40.77
May-07 29248.5 25097.4 24160.4 - - - - - - 40.78
Apr-07 29830.4 25349.6 25022.1 - - - - - - 42.15
Mar-07 29385.8 24304.6 23968.1 - - - - - - 44.03
Feb-07 27342.9 23693.8 23292.5 - - - - - - 44.16
Jan-07 26391.5 23401.2 22804.2 - - - - - - 44.33
Dec-06 26444.4 22528.4 21661.6 - - - - - - 44.63
Nov-06 26716.2 22315.8 21413.8 - - - - - - 44.85
Oct-06 26469.2 22380.8 21426.2 - - - - - - 45.47
Sep-06 26737.3 21717.7 20827.3 - - - - - - 46.12
Aug-06 27232.3 21463.1 19416.9 - - - - - - 46.54
Jul-06 26954.4 21021.6 19009.2 - - - - - - 46.46
Jun-06 26045.8 20390.8 19041.2 - - - - - - 46.06
May-06 26019.3 20937.4 20071.1 - - - - - - 45.41
Apr-06 24874.5 21848.3 21438.3 - - - - - - 44.95
Mar-06 23214.4 21454.4 20664.1 - - - - - - 44.48
Feb-06 20407.1 20181.3 19350.4 - - - - - - 44.33
Jan-06 20204.0 19436.4 18966.0 - - - - - - 44.40
Dec-05 20410.4 19033.0 19243.0 - - - - - - 45.65
Nov-05 21056.5 19303.5 19071.9 - - - - - - 45.73
Oct-05 22183.1 20039.2 19224.4 - - - - - - 44.82
Sep-05 23609.2 21299.6 20665.1 - - - - - - 43.92
Aug-05 23177.7 20746.9 20170.4 - - - - - - 43.63
Jul-05 23890.4 19770.4 18998.4 - - - - - - 43.54
Jun-05 26595.8 22301.3 20542.7 - - - - - - 43.59
May-05 27688.1 22375.8 21366.2 - - - - - - 43.49
Apr-05 31300.5 23876.0 22973.3 - - - - - - 43.74
Mar-05 31064.6 23461.0 - - - - - - - 43.69
Feb-05 30562.5 22197.9 - - - - - - - 43.68
Jan-05 30176.0 22355.6 - - - - - - - 43.76
Dec-04 26840.0 21768.5 - - - - - - - 43.98
Nov-04 26941.7 21871.9 - - - - - - - 45.13
Oct-04 27387.5 21133.3 - - - - - - - 45.78
Sep-04 - - - - - - - - - 46.10
Aug-04 - - - - - - - - - 46.34
Jul-04 - - - - - - - - - 46.04
Jun-04 - - - - - - - - - 45.52
May-04 - - - - - - - - - 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - - - - - 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI

138 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 139
Steel Trading activity
Graph-1

TOCOM (1 Kg contracts) Crude Steel Production (2008)


MCX (includes all variety) LME (far east + mediterranean) SHFE
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
China
Mar-09 24 0 1756 704 46458 14028
Feb-09 0 0 2156 640 - - 37% 38% Japan
Jan-09 1 0 1994 922 - -
Dec-08 5 0 1424 856 - -
USA
Nov-08 6 0 3165 1118 - -
Oct-08 0 0 2302 1239 - -
Sep-08 0 0 4203 1024 - - Russia
Aug-08 5 0 1740 826 - -
Jul-08 12 4 761 550 - - India (e)
Jun-08 60 3 517 358 - -
May-08 100 14 475 186 - -
Apr-08 0 0 311 85 - - Others
4%
Mar-08 0 0 162 - - - 9%
5%
Feb-08 0 0 128 - - - 7%
Jan-08 2 0 - - - - Source: World Steel In Figures 2009
Dec-07 0 0 - - - -
Nov-07 0 0 - - - -
Graph-2
Oct-07 0 0 - - - -
Sep-07 0 0 - - - - Finished Steel Consumption (2008)
Aug-07 0 0 - - - -
Jul-07 0 0 - - - -
China
Jun-07 0 0 - - - -
May-07 0 0 - - - -
Apr-07 0 0 - - - - 41% USA
Mar-07 0 0 - - - - 36%
Feb-07 0 0 - - - -
Japan
Jan-07 441 0 - - - -
Dec-06 1111 110 - - - -
Nov-06 1101 41 - - - - South Korea
Oct-06 2270 4 - - - -
Sep-06 2038 27 - - - -
India
Aug-06 1364 58 - - - -
Jul-06 1828 108 - - - -
Jun-06 2013 49 - - - - 8% Others
May-06 940 43 - - - - 4% 6%
5%
Apr-06 1162 87 - - - -
Mar-06 47535 138 - - - - Source: World Steel in Figures 2009
Feb-06 13622 78 - - - -
Jan-06 5926 61 - - - - Graph-3
Dec-05 7179 32 - - - -
Nov-05 5889 13 - - - -
Oct-05 506 0 - - - - Steel Demand & GDP Growth Around World & in Developing Market
Sep-05 1084 0 - - - - YoY (%) Million tons
Aug-05 651 1 - - - - 8 1400
Jul-05 24 7 - - - -
7 1250
Jun-05 366 11 - - - - Average: 5.9%
May-05 486 42 - - - - 6 CAGR: 5.9% 1100
Apr-05 9442 19 - - - -
Mar-05 1044 12 - - - - 5 950
Feb-05 277 10 - - - -
Jan-05 605 6 - - - - 4 800
Average: 4.0%
Dec-04 1130 6 - - - -
3 650
Nov-04 9 7 - - - -
Oct-04 53 7 - - - - 2 500
Sep-04 41 5 - - - - Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
Aug-04 6 5 - - - -
Jul-04 42 4 - - - - Global Demand (crude steel) Global GDP (%) Global GDP - developing market (%)
Jun-04 366 5 - - - -
Source: WSA, World Bank
May-04 463 13 - - - -
Apr-04 530 11 - - - -
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

140 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 141
Crude Oil Economic Parameters impacting Crude oil prices

Fundamentals (Data in thousand barrels/day unless otherwise specified)


Parameters 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Crude Oil 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 (Mn barrels)
U.S. Crude oil stocks (excluding SPR stocks) 325.8 286.1 312.3 323.7 285.7
World
US crude oil stocks in SPR 701.8 696.9 688.6 684.5 675.6
Oil Production 81820 81443 81497 81089 80256 US Gasoline inventories 213.4 218.1 211.8 208.3 217.6
US Distillate inventories 145.9 133.9 143.7 136.0 126.3
Oil Consumption 84455 84878 83797 83065 81796
Hurricance Activity - North Atlantic Ocean
Refinery capacity 88627 87794 86542 85565 85051 Total Cyclones Recorded 17 17 10 31 15
Refinery Throughput 75179 75432 74707 74093 73018 Total Landfalls 32 16 7 29 22
Approximate Damage (in US$ Bn) 41.934 3 0.5 130 50
Proven oil reserves (thousand Mn barrels) 1258 1261 1241 1220 1211
OPEC surplus crude oil production capacity (Mn barrels per day) 1.52 2.1 1.45 1.02 1.27
Reserves from Canadian oil sands (thousand Mn barrels) 151 151 152 164 164 Days of supply of OECD commercial oil stocks 57 52 53 49 49
Department of Energy US, inventory data (Mn bbls) 319 290 320 322 292 US crude oil wells drilled (explanatory and development) 17292 13016 13127 10645 8707
Real GDP (% change)
OPEC
US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Oil Production 36705 35714 36007 35736 34658 Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Proven oil reserves (thousand Mn barrels) 956 957 940 931 923 Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
OECD India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Oil Production 18400 19148 19458 19861 20766 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Oil Consumption 47303 48830 49274 49490 49073
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Refinery capacity 45271 45145 44916 44692 44645 Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Refinery Throughput 38787 39578 40072 40269 40456 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Proven oil reserves (thousand Mn barrels) 89 90 90 82 82
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
India OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Oil Production 766 770 762 738 773 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Oil Consumption 2882 2748 2580 2569 2573 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Refinery capacity 2992 2983 2872 2558 2558 Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
Proven oil reserves (thousand Mn barrels) 6 6 6 6 6
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Indian Net Imports* - 2500 2291 2043 1970 Interest rates (%)
Average Daily Volatility (India Spot) 2.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% - US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Source: BP statistical, Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas, EIA. *Financial year
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US (DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
OECD Indicators
OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
ISM Manufacturing index 32.9 49.1 52.2 54.9 57.2
U.S Auto sales ( YoY % change ) -35.6% -2.9% -3.6% -3.7% 7.7%
US pending home sales ( YoY % change ) 5.7 -23.9 -6.3 -6.3 13.9
Source: EIA, BP stats, Gold CPM year book, IMF, OECD, World Bank

142 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 143
Crude Oil Prices

Monthly MCX futures prices MCX spot prices Monthly NYMEX futures prices Monthly ICE Brent Crude oil US Spot prices
RBI rate US Dollar Index
(in Rs/bbl) (in Rs/bbl) (USD/bbl) (USD/bbl) (USD/bbl) USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly average Open High Low Close Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 2250 2758 2071 2481 2468 44.34 54.66 39.44 49.66 45.56 53.86 41.30 49.23 47.98 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 2061 2284 1649 2259 1955 41.75 45.30 33.55 44.76 46.06 48.42 39.35 46.35 39.15 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 2015 2452 1626 2058 2079 43.72 50.47 32.70 41.68 43.85 52.21 41.60 45.88 41.74 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 2738 2738 1751 1996 2100 54.62 54.62 32.40 44.60 53.00 53.00 36.20 45.59 41.44 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 3225 3419 2498 2746 2853 67.37 71.77 48.25 54.43 64.30 67.76 47.40 53.49 57.29 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 4746 4799 3167 3207 3741 101.86 102.84 61.30 67.81 99.45 100.31 59.02 65.32 76.61 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 5139 5179 4251 4744 4741 117.89 130.00 90.51 100.64 115.50 115.56 88.90 98.17 103.94 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 5277 5450 4745 5123 5021 124.06 128.60 111.34 115.46 123.42 127.94 110.31 114.05 116.64 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 6061 6333 5106 5278 5774 140.18 147.27 120.42 124.08 140.44 147.50 120.88 123.98 133.38 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 5380 6174 5212 6078 5725 127.63 143.67 121.61 140.00 127.22 143.91 121.32 139.83 133.93 42.82 73.41
May-08 4613 5822 4476 5403 5261 114.60 135.09 110.30 127.35 112.74 135.14 108.42 127.78 125.37 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 4040 4785 3984 4628 4490 101.57 119.93 99.55 113.46 100.50 117.56 98.99 111.36 112.62 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 4060 4485 3961 4027 4257 101.63 111.80 98.65 101.58 100.12 108.02 96.92 100.30 105.47 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 3571 4083 3409 4058 3763 91.36 103.05 86.24 101.84 91.50 101.27 86.83 100.10 95.38 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 3772 3935 3395 3559 3671 96.05 100.09 86.11 91.75 94.47 98.50 85.00 92.21 92.98 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 3551 3847 3401 3763 3605 88.79 97.92 85.82 95.98 88.74 95.87 86.56 93.85 91.36 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 3699 3915 3510 3556 3750 95.15 99.29 88.45 88.71 90.94 96.65 87.55 88.26 94.76 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 3238 3698 3090 3687 3385 81.75 95.28 78.35 94.53 79.25 91.18 75.64 90.63 85.90 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 3017 3307 3008 3247 3197 74.24 83.90 73.48 81.66 72.69 81.05 72.69 79.17 79.91 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 3140 3168 2818 3019 2963 77.94 78.77 68.63 74.04 76.95 77.16 68.14 72.69 72.38 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 2863 3145 2821 3137 2986 70.52 78.28 69.57 78.21 71.22 78.40 70.92 77.05 74.14 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 2587 2869 2587 2863 2742 64.23 71.06 63.80 70.68 68.15 72.25 67.61 71.41 67.49 40.77 82.21
May-07 2736 2736 2492 2582 2597 65.66 66.38 60.68 64.01 67.53 71.80 63.80 68.04 63.45 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 2920 2947 2671 2744 2712 66.03 66.70 61.34 65.71 67.91 69.59 64.76 67.65 63.94 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 2765 2957 2653 2930 2659 61.82 68.09 56.10 65.87 61.78 69.14 59.79 68.10 60.60 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 2582 2790 2527 2755 2613 57.89 62.25 56.62 61.79 57.20 62.18 56.10 61.89 59.25 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 2729 2732 2302 2563 2430 60.98 61.55 49.90 58.14 60.88 61.64 50.75 57.40 54.24 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 2811 2883 2672 2730 2776 62.85 64.15 59.90 61.05 63.85 64.92 60.04 60.86 62.00 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 2616 2828 2605 2816 2635 58.60 63.77 54.86 63.13 58.85 64.77 57.75 64.26 59.13 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 2854 2854 2591 2611 2675 62.80 63.32 56.55 58.73 62.70 62.82 57.39 59.03 58.85 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 3267 3298 2744 2882 2973 70.29 70.66 59.52 62.91 70.42 70.66 59.32 62.48 63.82 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 3468 3605 3217 3256 3406 74.40 77.45 68.65 70.26 75.15 78.64 68.82 70.25 73.04 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 3398 3703 3362 3460 3455 73.92 78.40 71.65 74.40 73.26 78.18 72.11 75.15 74.40 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 3299 3404 3130 3395 3263 71.26 74.15 68.10 73.93 70.25 73.69 66.33 73.51 70.93 46.06 85.37
May-06 3265 3382 3081 3284 3211 71.70 74.99 67.42 71.29 71.98 74.97 67.63 70.41 70.93 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 2952 3418 2933 3239 3116 66.43 75.35 65.60 71.88 66.69 74.79 65.73 72.02 69.54 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 2831 2986 2735 2939 2787 61.58 67.30 59.25 66.63 61.95 67.05 59.26 65.91 62.89 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 2970 3033 2596 2603 2741 67.80 69.00 57.55 61.41 65.76 67.27 57.90 61.76 61.62 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 2842 3048 2797 2974 2891 61.04 69.20 60.81 67.92 59.35 67.32 59.08 65.99 65.48 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 2614 2844 2613 2744 2704 57.40 61.90 56.90 61.04 55.00 60.40 54.63 58.98 59.41 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 2708 2789 2587 2609 2672 59.76 62.15 55.40 57.32 58.07 60.65 53.75 55.05 58.28 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 2899 2925 2684 2714 2806 66.20 66.62 59.15 59.76 63.63 63.96 57.05 58.10 62.36 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 2995 3043 2750 2891 2880 68.75 69.66 62.55 66.24 66.70 67.88 61.00 63.48 65.54 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 2609 3106 2609 2982 2818 60.51 70.85 60.51 68.94 59.85 68.89 59.37 67.02 64.96 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 2436 2673 2436 2606 2558 56.56 62.10 56.10 60.57 55.70 60.70 55.25 59.37 58.67 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 2248 2614 2248 2433 2453 51.95 60.95 51.93 56.50 50.85 59.59 50.85 55.58 56.39 43.59 88.33
May-05 2262 2345 2104 2244 2165 49.28 53.10 46.20 51.97 51.78 52.43 47.47 50.73 49.81 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 2442 2474 2185 2209 2329 55.25 58.28 49.50 49.72 54.52 57.65 50.35 51.09 52.96 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 2221 2398 2193 2381 2366 51.77 57.60 50.65 55.40 50.08 56.15 49.05 54.29 54.17 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 2050 2242 1974 2223 2129 48.21 52.28 44.60 51.75 45.48 50.34 42.46 50.06 47.96 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 - - - - - 43.10 49.75 41.25 48.20 39.40 47.35 38.81 45.92 46.82 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 - - - - - 49.07 49.12 40.25 43.45 45.35 45.43 37.00 40.46 43.23 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 - - - - - 51.82 52.50 45.25 49.13 49.20 49.60 40.05 45.51 48.45 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 - - - - - 49.64 55.67 49.20 51.76 46.20 51.95 45.80 48.98 53.25 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 - - - - - 42.11 50.47 42.11 49.64 39.90 46.80 39.70 46.38 45.93 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 - - - - - 43.69 49.40 41.30 42.12 39.70 45.15 39.20 39.61 44.92 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 - - - - - 37.05 43.85 36.69 43.80 34.25 40.05 34.18 40.03 40.82 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 - - - - - 40.40 42.45 35.52 37.05 37.15 39.12 33.08 34.50 38.03 45.52 89.46
May-04 - - - - - 37.39 41.85 37.25 39.88 35.22 38.90 34.95 36.58 40.29 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 - - - - - 35.82 38.30 33.30 37.38 32.23 35.00 29.95 34.48 36.72 43.93 90.12
Source: MCX, RBI, Exchanges' websites, ICE

144 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 145
Crude Oil Trading activity
Graph-1
TOCOM (1 Kg contracts)
MCX (Crude Oil WTI) NYMEX (Crude Oil WTI) ICE (Brent Crude oil)
Crude Oil Production (2008)
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
Mar-09 4379692 20786 11340347 1148687 6158270 677979 13%
Feb-09 3434198 23224 11411434 1191502 5495062 662850
Saudi Arabia
Jan-09 3774301 18972 11369073 1243967 6536771 637728
Dec-08 3117157 28141 9910170 1189046 5107284 595295 57% 12%
Nov-08 1883187 16189 8662209 1141336 5336546 565654 Russian
Federation
Oct-08 1598334 11287 11638267 1108362 6417718 549842
Sep-08 1900925 10052 12045565 1092411 5948919 525080 US
Aug-08 1485585 10346 10589479 1182917 5044833 550431
Jul-08 1877485 11922 11321293 1267200 5472918 563588
Iran
Jun-08 1968091 15496 12452986 1285567 5778596 526467
May-08 1745803 16121 13439173 1368551 6683008 562258 8%
Apr-08 1216976 20935 11065563 1366639 5682939 556070 China
Mar-08 1251741 12317 12576859 1396612 5663793 594544
5%
Feb-08 1188877 19620 10100249 1445328 5421638 583335 Others
Jan-08 1272840 11188 10811520 1395278 5619214 541479 5%
Dec-07 1436288 12814 8694012 1361258 4035606 537359
Nov-07 1388335 11593 11307522 1404579 5383219 578509 Source: BP Statistical Review 2009
Oct-07 1392318 23019 12389575 1468958 5575011 623051
Graph-2
Sep-07 1003894 19668 10670194 1420823 4989287 647298
Aug-07 1378084 15400 10646980 1466129 4980801 596662
Crude Oil Consumption (2008)
Jul-07 1175924 22988 9655899 1521237 5114738 645675
Jun-07 1014159 21143 9862305 1474661 4912169 662755
May-07 933112 11576 9486584 1396811 5427377 627008 23%
Apr-07 922023 11020 9286616 1329295 4296685 657327
US
Mar-07 1220169 18463 10068962 1354924 5179846 686982
55%
Feb-07 1040775 10199 9092076 1286745 4290867 584786
Jan-07 1033732 11230 10367198 1294571 5454265 611593 China
Dec-06 586612 17186 6801761 1190543 3329011 548654
Nov-06 629447 18622 7446062 1214068 4319084 588243 Japan
Oct-06 610963 13743 7492383 1158612 4608117 577446
10%
Sep-06 429136 8435 6067095 1167337 3875739 487653 India
Aug-06 243508 11344 5408568 1166144 4000533 478985
Jul-06 175149 3022 4496916 1101492 3680839 347628
Jun-06 129799 3164 5129950 1027066 3741729 455114 Russian
Federation
May-06 200439 8127 5854647 1028165 3513993 440309 6%
Apr-06 234414 8996 5280355 1057804 2928362 464857 Others
Mar-06 474103 13634 5931697 962657 3742399 433550 3%
3%
Feb-06 425591 11418 5588122 941616 3052743 399238
Jan-06 327377 8263 5475525 951012 3363144 384829 Source: BP Statistical Review 2009
Dec-05 392588 8447 4179866 816246 2542491 390615 Graph-3
Nov-05 540111 28385 4482251 849986 2797075 396554
Oct-05 723130 19795 5013086 815525 2778698 336205 price/bb Crude Oil (WTI) prices in USD & Euro and Dollar Index
Sep-05 933607 17623 5241849 871903 2900312 337952 160 180
Aug-05 1019288 29019 6086342 909349 3173053 355318 Dollar Index (RHS)
140 165
Jul-05 763996 30632 4627294 816113 2621453 357296
Jun-05 417471 25166 5315872 788730 2805214 355842 Crude oil WTI Prices in USD
120 150
May-05 183038 5057 5040218 783449 2427391 326814 Crude Oil WTI prices in EURO
Apr-05 117502 3838 5396965 801863 2066471 290932 100 135
Mar-05 56075 3761 5896732 838201 2137282 379101
Feb-05 27031 1340 4213448 779237 1687600 351673 80 120
Jan-05 - - 4557502 736055 1571569 334076 60 105
Dec-04 - - 4327326 662484 1376054 319479
Nov-04 - - 4774694 690418 1751573 329656 40 90
Oct-04 - - 5109270 716721 2069209 367996
Sep-04 - - 4971656 702652 2209234 335267 20 75
Aug-04 - - 5230044 688882 2106636 350958
0 60
Jul-04 - - 4246071 705826 2128751 338504
Mar-83

Mar-85

Mar-87

Mar-89

Mar-91

Mar-93

Mar-95

Mar-97

Mar-99

Mar-01

Mar-03

Mar-05

Mar-07

Mar-09
Jun-04 - - 4894139 698380 2341633 332007
May-04 - - 4494915 717956 2029421 350270
Apr-04 - - 4522422 706682 2134160 371574
Source: ICE, NYMEX
Source: MCX, Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.
146 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 147
Natural Gas Economic Parameters impacting Natural Gas prices

Fundamentals (Billion Cubic Metre) Parameters 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Natural Gas 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 U.S. Working Natural Gas in Storage (Billion Cubic Metre) 80.56 81.79 86.07 73.95 75.54
Five year average (Billion Cubic Metre) 67.63 65.11 63.98 60.33 57.09
World
Hurricance Activity - North Atlantic Ocean
Natural Gas Production 3066 2945 2876 2778 2694
Total Cyclones Recorded 17 17 10 31 15
Natural Gas Consumption 3019 2938 2843 2770 2684 Total Landfalls 32 16 7 29 22
Dry Natural Gas (LNG) Imports - - 912 877 822 Approaimate Damage (in US$ billion) 41.9 3 0.5 130 50
Dry Natural Gas (LNG) Exports - - 884 838 799 Real GDP (% change)
US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Proven Gas reserves 185020 177050 173800 172920 172450
Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
Proven Gas reserves - Former Soviet Union 57000 51500 51700 51690 51580 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
Proven Gas reserves - OECD 16630 16560 15700 15770 15960 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
India
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Proven Gas reserves 1090 1060 1080 1100 920
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Natural Gas Production 31 30 30 29 29 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Natural Gas Consumption 41 40 37 36 32 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Natural Gas (LNG) Imports 11 10 8 6 3 India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Natural Gas Exports - - - - -
Industrial Output (YoY % change )
US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Average daily volatility (India Spot) 2.69% 2.68% 4.21% - - Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Source: BP statistical & Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas, EIA
Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4

U.S. Summer Cooling Degree-Days (Population-weighted) India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Interest rates (%)
MONTH 2008 2007 2006 2005 Normal
US (Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
APR 31 23 53 - 33 Eurozone (Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
MAY 91 119 109 - 104 China (Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
India (Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
JUN 263 236 236 - 216
Money Supply (YoY % change)
JUL 334 310 388 - 323
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
AUG 283 366 337 - 292 Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
SEP 171 191 138 - 160 Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
Total Summer 1,174 1,246 1,261 - 1,128 China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
U.S. Winter Heating Degree-Days (Population-weighted)
Equity Index (points)
MONTH 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 Normal
US (DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
OCT 286 175 305 236 282 India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
NOV 537 521 467 466 539 OECD Indicators
DEC 824 800 690 866 817 OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
JAN 953 892 841 687 917
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
FEB 700 741 853 731 732
ISM Manufacturing index 32.9 49.1 52.2 54.9 57.2
MAR 582 617 502 600 593 U.S Auto sales ( YoY % change ) -35.6% -2.9% -3.6% -3.7% 7.7%
Total Winter 3,882 3,746 3,657 3,586 3,880 US pending home sales ( YoY % change ) 5.7 -23.9 -6.3 -6.3 13.9
Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service Source: OECD, EIA, NOAA, Gold CPM year book, IMF, World Bank, RBI
148 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 149
Natural Gas Prices

Monthly MCX futures prices MCX spot prices Monthly NYMEX Futures Prices US Spot prices ICE (UK) Natural Gas RBI rate
US Dollar Index
(in Rs/mmBtu) (in Rs/mmBtu) (USD/mmbtu) (USD/mmbtu) (GBP/therm) USD/INR
Open High Low Close Monthly average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 218.8 226.8 185.1 190.9 206.6 4.27 4.42 3.60 3.78 3.98 34.5 37.5 29 31.97 51.23 86.71
Feb-09 216 236.9 198.6 214.9 216.2 4.32 4.88 3.90 4.20 4.51 63 63.6 33 33.52 49.22 86.84
Jan-09 272.8 303.8 214.5 217.4 250.9 5.55 6.24 4.40 4.42 5.23 60 68.3 52 62.25 48.83 84.83
Dec-08 324.9 337.4 251.4 270.7 282.6 6.55 6.69 5.20 5.62 5.84 58.8 65.5 53 58.53 48.64 83.65
Nov-08 324 350.3 298.7 324.4 328.1 6.69 7.36 6.10 6.51 6.70 75.8 77.9 58 60.97 49.00 86.77
Oct-08 354 368.7 312.5 321.6 329.4 7.52 7.94 6.00 6.78 6.74 81.8 84 66 76.11 48.64 83.53
Sep-08 353 385.7 314.5 354.5 344.8 7.50 8.32 7.00 7.44 7.62 78.3 87 71 85.26 45.56 78.37
Aug-08 388.2 404.2 336.1 355.1 359.5 9.12 9.60 7.60 7.94 8.25 61.5 79.7 0 78.64 42.94 76.21
Jul-08 574.8 591.8 374.1 388.3 487.3 13.40 13.70 8.80 9.12 11.08 72.8 72.8 55 62.24 42.84 72.79
Jun-08 494.3 577.6 492.5 573.8 545.4 11.80 13.40 12.00 13.35 12.68 65 73.6 64 73.3 42.82 73.41
May-08 440 522.6 426.5 497.3 478.9 10.90 12.10 10.00 11.70 11.27 60 66.3 59 65.38 42.13 73.05
Apr-08 400.7 459 373 439.5 411.0 10.00 11.40 9.30 10.84 10.18 57.7 67 58 60.58 40.02 72.38
Mar-08 373.8 416.2 366 399.6 388.2 9.39 10.30 8.70 10.10 9.41 53.3 58.3 51 57.93 40.36 72.72
Feb-08 314.5 377.8 300.3 373.8 340.3 8.07 9.50 7.60 9.37 8.55 50.3 55 47 53.54 39.73 75.77
Jan-08 293.5 331.8 292.5 314 312.3 7.57 8.48 7.50 8.07 7.98 52 61 51 51.18 39.37 76.00
Dec-07 292.5 297.6 274.6 296.3 283.3 7.21 7.54 6.80 7.48 7.11 50.4 56.9 50 52.28 39.44 76.79
Nov-07 325.9 342.2 291.5 294 311.2 8.38 8.71 7.20 7.30 7.11 52.5 60.8 45 50.58 39.44 75.67
Oct-07 274 329.1 266.2 324.7 598.4 6.86 8.48 6.60 8.33 6.74 44.7 55.3 41 54.27 39.51 77.78
Sep-07 228.6 287.7 215.3 273.9 251.4 5.32 7.04 5.20 6.87 6.07 27.5 42.8 27 42.55 40.34 79.14
Aug-07 252 294.5 225.1 230.6 254.3 6.20 7.19 5.20 5.47 6.23 26.8 28 24 27.51 40.82 80.87
Jul-07 276.5 277.4 237.7 252.7 261.3 6.72 6.85 5.80 6.19 6.22 23.3 32.6 22 28.07 40.42 80.61
Jun-07 321.5 332.3 270.6 277.3 308.4 7.96 8.21 6.60 6.77 7.35 21.4 21.8 17 21.36 40.77 82.21
May-07 324 335 310 320.6 319.7 7.83 8.23 7.50 7.94 7.64 17.9 26 18 20.88 40.78 82.01
Apr-07 335.5 343.4 305.1 325.2 322.4 7.77 8.01 7.30 7.86 7.60 20 20.2 14 17.15 42.15 81.95
Mar-07 322.3 337.8 298 334 318.1 7.22 7.77 6.80 7.73 7.11 20 24.5 18 20.29 44.03 83.17
Feb-07 341.1 354 311.3 324 335.2 7.71 8.04 7.10 7.30 8.00 22.9 23 16 18.81 44.16 84.28
Jan-07 282.1 351.7 268.6 339.2 295.8 6.30 7.97 6.00 7.67 6.53 31.3 33.6 23 23.27 44.33 84.58
Dec-06 390 391.5 271.1 282.7 327.3 8.73 8.75 5.70 6.30 6.73 45 45.4 32 32.22 44.63 83.07
Nov-06 342.6 403.5 327.5 391.6 359.1 7.60 9.05 7.30 8.84 7.41 57.4 57.4 38 46.89 44.85 84.72
Oct-06 257.9 386.2 253.2 341.3 308.2 5.61 7.93 5.50 7.53 5.84 51.9 58 43 56.27 45.47 86.11
Sep-06 286.8 288.8 213.6 261.7 246.7 5.89 6.13 4.10 5.62 4.90 43.4 56.5 33 54.82 46.12 85.25
Aug-06 379.3 398.9 286.8 288.3 330.8 8.25 8.62 5.90 6.05 7.13 37.4 43.6 33 43.46 46.54 84.91
Jul-06 265.5 364.7 264.9 364.7 295.4 6.10 8.26 5.40 8.21 6.17 39 42 38 37.71 46.46 85.61
Jun-06 - - - - - 6.42 7.33 5.80 6.10 6.20 39.1 40.2 36 39.57 46.06 85.37
May-06 - - - - - 6.53 7.13 5.80 6.38 6.24 39 39.5 31 38.8 45.41 84.69
Apr-06 - - - - - 7.20 8.28 6.50 6.56 7.17 43.6 44.1 39 39.46 44.95 88.13
Mar-06 - - - - - 6.71 7.56 6.50 7.21 6.88 45 62 44 43.74 44.48 89.58
Feb-06 - - - - - 9.33 9.82 6.60 6.71 7.53 59.3 71 45 45.02 44.33 90.26
Jan-06 - - - - - 10.70 11.00 7.80 9.32 8.69 85 90 61 61.44 44.40 88.83
Dec-05 - - - - - 12.60 15.80 11.00 11.23 13.05 108 114 80 81.8 45.65 90.63
Nov-05 - - - - - 12.20 12.70 11.00 12.59 10.30 59.4 117 57 107.5 45.73 91.37
Oct-05 - - - - - 13.80 14.80 12.00 12.21 13.63 48.5 60.3 44 60 44.82 89.54
Sep-05 - - - - - 11.40 14.60 11.00 13.92 12.42 41 49 35 48.52 43.92 87.99
Aug-05 - - - - - 7.90 12.30 7.90 11.47 9.52 34.7 40.8 31 40.78 43.63 87.86
Jul-05 - - - - - 6.98 8.29 6.90 7.89 7.62 31.9 35 31 34.86 43.54 89.55
Jun-05 - - - - - 6.38 7.92 6.40 6.98 7.18 29.4 32.3 26 32.03 43.59 88.33
May-05 - - - - - 6.52 6.84 6.00 6.38 6.47 30 31.4 30 29.67 43.49 85.63
Apr-05 - - - - - 7.65 7.90 6.60 6.59 7.18 30.2 31.2 29 29.19 43.74 84.24
Mar-05 - - - - - 6.72 7.74 6.60 7.65 6.96 30 34.8 30 29.98 43.69 82.81
Feb-05 - - - - - 6.31 6.80 5.90 6.73 6.14 28.4 44.2 26 30.38 43.68 83.76
Jan-05 - - - - - 5.95 6.81 5.70 6.32 6.15 32.3 32.8 28 28.58 43.76 83.19
Dec-04 - - - - - 7.62 7.78 6.10 6.15 6.58 42.3 42.3 33 33.78 43.98 81.69
Nov-04 - - - - - 8.83 9.20 6.60 7.62 6.19 40 44.3 34 43.11 45.13 83.72
Oct-04 - - - - - 6.79 9.20 6.40 8.73 6.38 37.8 43 30 40.29 45.78 86.99
Sep-04 - - - - - 5.06 7.23 4.50 6.80 5.17 29.7 39.5 26 39.22 46.10 88.89
Aug-04 - - - - - 6.05 6.05 5.00 5.07 5.41 20.7 29.7 21 29.61 46.34 88.97
Jul-04 - - - - - 6.16 6.46 5.80 6.11 5.94 22.3 22.3 21 20.86 46.04 88.54
Jun-04 - - - - - 6.50 6.73 6.00 6.16 6.27 21.2 22.4 20 22.34 45.52 89.46
May-04 - - - - - 5.86 6.76 5.80 6.44 6.34 20.1 22 20 21.33 45.26 90.69
Apr-04 - - - - - 5.91 6.03 5.50 5.86 5.72 18.9 20.7 19 19.98 43.93 90.12
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI,

150 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 151
Natural Gas Trading activity U.S. Summer Cooling Degree-Days (Population-weighted)

TOCOM (1 Kg contracts) MONTH 2008 2007 2006 2005 Normal


MCX NYMEX ICE (UK) Natural Gas
APR 31 23 53 - 33
Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest
Mar-09 239186 5402 2989920 624397 120325 75270 MAY 91 119 109 - 104
Feb-09 118124 1505 2780551 671554 146665 56060 JUN 263 236 236 - 216
Jan-09 88800 1903 2343719 682516 150775 46270 JUL 334 310 388 - 323
Dec-08 76673 884 2384252 679760 65100 43869
Nov-08 57192 457 2539865 718799 75045 43701 AUG 283 366 337 - 292
Oct-08 37573 288 3151675 766597 91455 45475 SEP 171 191 138 - 160
Sep-08 114983 1229 3458479 881561 71460 51974 Total Summer 1,174 1,246 1,261 - 1,128
Aug-08 80679 823 3756124 919430 68850 49680
Jul-08 75181 820 4273971 942703 77440 51210
Jun-08 48145 508 3379074 974174 58310 45480
May-08 40258 645 3141953 898031 59920 41635 U.S. Winter Heating Degree-Days (Population-weighted)
Apr-08 35838 901 3382892 872489 82985 36815
Mar-08 50629 1008 2983598 865871 62185 34695 MONTH 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 Normal
Feb-08 58270 1456 3330580 928172 79120 28041 OCT 286 175 305 236 282
Jan-08 72085 1170 2741217 898698 78945 28450 NOV 537 521 467 466 539
Dec-07 52889 1333 2390939 849704 69925 24180
Nov-07 75330 1689 2474062 818517 101725 25700 DEC 824 800 690 866 817
Oct-07 145212 1828 3155437 748047 117705 29645 JAN 953 892 841 687 917
Sep-07 220683 2046 2486465 750875 105870 31350 FEB 700 741 853 731 732
Aug-07 194097 6720 3069117 765421 124230 32525
Jul-07 116498 4646 2346727 809913 100110 31515 MAR 582 617 502 600 593
Jun-07 56638 3060 2703626 803710 65570 27515 Total Winter 3,882 3,746 3,657 3,586 3,880
May-07 64735 2560 2285014 760212 76305 28185 Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service
Apr-07 72435 2172 2181057 732753 69025 27180
Mar-07 214038 2467 1938669 740862 90755 27665
Feb-07 252161 2870 2431720 758890 77970 24840
Jan-07 268043 3433 2617276 899420 59125 20830
Dec-06 264821 7209 1844836 874752 25860 18640
Nov-06 350058 6538 1775475 889654 60255 18215
Oct-06 266576 4992 1935134 907876 61575 18065
Sep-06 383188 10178 2017651 943162 77810 19990
Aug-06 546150 9012 2428749 927572 45850 17360
Jul-06 142963 4519 1786249 908412 41925 13390
Jun-06 - - 1920553 852733 36330 14675
May-06 - - 2272497 833675 44765 13219
Apr-06 - - 1911616 728557 34735 9795
Mar-06 - - 1682199 645100 31250 9265
Feb-06 - - 1833896 607619 39790 9650
Jan-06 - - 1609894 533212 45450 12360
Dec-05 - - 1458655 539226 35655 13270
Nov-05 - - 1449478 538843 52420 17220
Oct-05 - - 1433396 525282 34155 15845
Sep-05 - - 1587595 546532 34110 17245
Aug-05 - - 2044365 501270 29755 20340
Jul-05 - - 1519793 499993 36150 21470
Jun-05 - - 1931946 470677 26080 21657
May-05 - - 1504071 476850 25350 19365
Apr-05 - - 1585960 471311 29220 17535
Mar-05 - - 1688612 465474 26555 17090
Feb-05 - - 1543851 416731 41895 19290
Jan-05 - - 1499368 394614 48635 17705
Dec-04 - - 1270898 389750 40365 18825
Nov-04 - - 1381087 366893 50620 22040
Oct-04 - - 1520352 394157 69300 21495
Sep-04 - - 1969769 376370 53635 20425
Aug-04 - - 1788365 375995 38865 21710
Jul-04 - - 1559145 368330 46255 24035
Jun-04 - - 1683301 363947 38175 23099
May-04 - - 1637189 375092 42295 22678
Apr-04 - - 1480825 341015 55135 24715
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

152 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 153
Graph-1

Natural Gas Production (2008)

19%
Russian
Federation
49%
US

Canada

Iran

19%
Norway

Others
6%
3% 4%

Source: BP Statistical Review 2009


Graph-2

Natural Gas Consumption (2008)

22%
US
54%

Russian
Federation

Iran

Canada
14%
United Kingdom

4%
Others
3%
3%
Source: BP Statistical Review 2009
Graph-3

Natural Gas Prices, Oil Gas Ratio and Spread Between Natural Gas Second and First Month Contract
20 2.5
Natural Gas Prices Oil Gas ratio Spread (NG2-NG1) RHS
18 2
16 1.5
14 1
12 0 .5
10 0
8 -0.5
6 -1
4 -1.5
2 -2
0 -2.5
Feb 91
Sep 91
Apr 92

Jun 93

Aug 94

May 96

Jul 97
Feb 98
Sep 98
Apr 99

Jun 00

Aug 01

May 03

Jul 04
Feb 05
Sep 05
Apr 06

Jun 07

Aug 08
Nov 92

Jan 94

Mar 95
Oct 95

Dec 96

Nov 99

Jan 01

Mar 02
Oct 02

Dec 03

Nov 06

Jan 08

Mar 09

Source: NYMEX

154 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS


Carbon Economic Parameters impacting Carbon prices

Fundamentals (Million Metric tons) Economic Indiacators 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Carbon Market 2008 2007 2006 2005 Real GDP (% change)
Vol Val Vol Val Vol Val Vol Val US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
(MtCO2e) (MUS$) (MtCO2e) (MUS$) (MtCO2e) (MUS$) (MtCO2e) (MUS$) Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Project based transactions Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2

Primary CDM 389 6519 552 7433 450 4,813 341 2,417 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9
Secondary CDM 1072 26277 240 5451 25 444 10 221
OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Sub total (including JI and voluntary market) 1535 33487 876 13646 508 5477 382 2894
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Allowances market US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
EU ETS 3093 91910 2060 49065 1101 24357 321 7908 Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3

New South Wales 31 183 25 224 20 225 6 59 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2
Chicago Climate Exchange 69 309 23 72 10 38 1 3
India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
Sub total (including others) 3276 92859 2108 49361 1131 24620 328 7971 OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Total carbon market 4811 126346 2984 63007 1639 30097 710 10865 Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Source: State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2008, 2007,2006 by World Bank US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7

Status of CDM projects Number Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8
China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
At validation 2575
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Request for registration 57
Interest rates (%)
Request for review 57 US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Correction requested 66 Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003

Under review 13 Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2


China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
Total in the process of registration 193
India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Withdrawn 30
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
Rejected by EB 112 US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Rejected by DOEs 480 Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1

Registered, no issuance of CERs 1174 Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
Registered. CER issued 40.41636364
India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Total registered 1214.416364
Equity Index (points)
Total number of projects (incl. rejected & withdrawn) 4604.416364 US (DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603
Title Number of CERs
OECD Indicators
AIssued CERs 316,818,951 OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
Total CERs Requested 324,998,220 OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16

Source:UNFCCC OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

Title Annual Average CERs* Expected CERs until end of 2012**CDM


CDM project pipeline: > 4200 of which: N/A > 2,900,000,000
--- 1760 are registered 310,521,163 > 1,630,000,000
--- 104 are requesting registration 12,982,558 > 40,000,000
* Assumption: All activities deliver simultaneously their expected annual average emission reductions
** Assumption: No renewal of crediting periods
Source:UNFCCC

156 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 157
Carbon Prices

CER Spot prices ICE-ECX (EUR/metric tonne) EUA spot RBI rate
Buyer countries Number of projects
CER (EUR/metric tonne) USDNIR
Austria 80
MCX (Rs/tonne) Open High Low Close Monthly Average Monthly Average
Mar-09 695.16 10.75 11.20 9.50 10.46 11.9 51.23 Belgium 24
Feb-09 561.63 10.25 10.25 7.75 8.96 9.95 49.22 Canada 74
Jan-09 770.63 13.10 13.10 10.05 10.66 11.93 48.83 Czech Republic 3
Dec-08 874.17 14.25 14.40 12.90 13.64 15.95 48.64
Denmark 63
Nov-08 928.63 14.95 16.39 13.25 13.91 15.55 49.00
Oct-08 1177.42 19.00 20.45 14.25 15.05 17.85 48.64 Finland 34
Sep-08 1309.23 21.10 21.10 17.30 18.45 22.4 45.56 France 71
Aug-08 1267.12 17.74 21.25 16.75 21.20 25.3 42.94
Germany 202
Jul-08 1437.83 21.60 23.38 17.20 17.72 21.85 42.84
Jun-08 1353.50 17.85 21.00 17.78 20.86 28.63 42.82 Greece
May-08 - - 17.95 16.85 17.85 26.05 42.13 Hungary
Apr-08 - - 16.50 15.25 16.07 23.85 40.02 Iceland
Mar-08 - - 16.61 15.31 15.43 22.15 40.36
Feb-08 - - - - - 21.57 39.73 Ireland 14
Jan-08 - - - - - 19.3 39.37 Italy 92
Dec-07 - - - - - 21.9 39.44 Japan 464
Nov-07 - - - - - 0.02 39.44
Latvia
Oct-07 - - - - - 0.08 39.51
Sep-07 - - - - - 0.08 40.34 Luxembourg 24
Aug-07 - - - - - 0.1 40.82 Netherlands 433
Jul-07 - - - - - 0.1 40.42 New Zealand 1
Jun-07 - - - - - 0.13 40.77
May-07 - - - - - 0.26 40.78 Norway 36
Apr-07 - - - - - 0.53 42.15 Portugal 5
Mar-07 - - - - - 1.33 44.03 Spain 133
Feb-07 - - - - - 0.98 44.16
Sweden 220
Jan-07 - - - - - 2.4 44.33
Dec-06 - - - - - 6.5 44.63 Switzerland 560
Nov-06 - - - - - 8.15 44.85 United K. 1155
Oct-06 - - - - - 11.15 45.47
CDCF 4
Sep-06 - - - - - 12.95 46.12
Aug-06 - - - - - 16.05 46.54 WBCF 1
Jul-06 - - - - - 16.9 46.46 NEFCO
Jun-06 - - - - - 15.95 46.06 IBRD 1
May-06 - - - - - 16.55 45.41
CCAC16
Apr-06 - - - - - 13.45 44.95
Mar-06 - - - - - 27.3 44.48 n.a. 1479
Feb-06 - - - - - 26.45 44.33 Total 5173
Jan-06 - - - - - 26.85 44.40 Note: In some project more than one investor country participate.Projects rejected by DOEs or EB or
Dec-05 - - - - - 21.7 45.65 withdrawn are not included.
Nov-05 - - - - - 19.85 45.73
Oct-05 - - - - - 21.95 44.82
Sep-05 - - - - - 22.75 43.92
Aug-05 - - - - - 23.63 43.63
Jul-05 - - - - - 22.95 43.54
Jun-05 - - - - - 25.35 43.59
May-05 - - - - - 19.65 43.49
Apr-05 - - - - - 16.18 43.74
Mar-05 - - - - - 14.08 43.69
Feb-05 - - - - - 9.52 43.68
Jan-05 - - - - - 7.18 43.76
Dec-04 - - - - - 8.4 43.98
Nov-04 - - - - - 8.36 45.13
Oct-04 - - - - - 8.68 45.78
Sep-04 - - - - - 9.13 46.10
Aug-04 - - - - - 8.88 46.34
Jul-04 - - - - - 8.48 46.04
Jun-04 - - - - - 9 45.52
May-04 - - - - - 9.25 45.26
Apr-04 - - - - - 6.88 43.93
Source: Exchanges' websites, RBI

158 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 159
Carbon Trading activity
Graph-1

In lots MCX CER ICE-ECX CER Primary CERs Producers (2008)

Volume Open Interest Volume Open Interest 2% 3%


4%
Mar-09 2250 15 50315 110589 China
3%
Feb-09 2556 0 79498 114383
4%
Jan-09 1815 108 44013 111772
India
Dec-08 561 152 40079 103556
Nov-08 219 2 90272 112772
Oct-08 85 111 65675 104717 Brazil
Sep-08 129 106 61724 87541
Aug-08 1139 120 59537 71846
Jul-08 14293 161 84508 62298 Rest of Asia
Jun-08 18771 131 56597 48823
May-08 - - 23142 29672 Rest of Latin
Apr-08 - - 17656 16613 America
Mar-08 - - 8240 5259 84%
Feb-08 - - - - Others
Jan-08 - - - -
Dec-07 - - - - Source: State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2009 - World Bank report
Nov-07 - - - -
Oct-07 - - - - Graph-2
Sep-07 - - - -
Primary CDM and JI Buyers (2008)
Aug-07 - - - -
Jul-07 - - - -
Jun-07 - - - - UK
May-07 - - - -
Apr-07 - - - - 41% 39% Italy
Mar-07 - - - -
Feb-07 - - - -
Japan
Jan-07 - - - -
Dec-06 - - - -
Nov-06 - - - - Spain and
Oct-06 - - - - Portugal
Sep-06 - - - - Austria
Aug-06 - - - -
Jul-06 - - - -
Others
Jun-06 - - - -
May-06 - - - - 2% 9%
4% 5%
Apr-06 - - - -
Mar-06 - - - - Source: State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2009 - World Bank report
Feb-06 - - - -
Jan-06 - - - -
Graph-3
Dec-05 - - - -
Nov-05 - - - -
Oct-05 - - - - EUAs, CERs & Their Spread Vs US GDP
Sep-05 - - - - in % in Euro
Aug-05 - - - - 4 35
Jul-05 - - - - 2 30
Jun-05 - - - -
May-05 - - - - 0 25
Apr-05 - - - - -2 20
Mar-05 - - - -
Feb-05 - - - - -4 15
Jan-05 - - - - -6 10
Dec-04 - - - -
-8 5
Nov-04 - - - -
Oct-04 - - - - -10 0
Sep-04 - - - -

May-08

Aug-08

Sep-08

Nov-08

Dec-08

Feb-09

Mar-09
Jun-08

Jan-09
Apr-08

Oct-08
Jul-08
Aug-04 - - - -
Jul-04 - - - -
Jun-04 - - - -
ICE EUAs futures (euro/tonne) ICE CERs futures (euro/tonne)
May-04 - - - -
CER EUA Spread US GDP QOQ (LHS)
Apr-04 - - - -
Source: Exchanges' Website, US Department of Commerce
Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

160 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 161
Power/Electricity Economic Parameters impacting Power/Electricity prices
Power/Electricity Fundamentals (Million Metric tons)
Power/Electricity 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Economic Indiacators 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

World Electricity generation (Terawatt-hours) 20201.8 19889.5 19038.3 19038.3 17563.9 Real GDP (% change)
US 1.1 2 2.9 3.1 3.6
Hydroelectricity: Consumption (Million tonnes oil equivalent) 717.5 695.8 683.8 658.2 633.7
Japan -0.3 1.9 2.8 2.4 4
Primary Energy - Consumption by fuel (Million tonnes oil equivalent)
Eurozone 1 2.3 2.6 1.4 2
Oil 3928 3,939 3,911 3,861 3,799 China 9 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.1
Natural Gas 2726 2,652 2,558 2,512 2,425 India 7.3 8.9 9.7 9 7.9

Coal 3304 3,194 3,042 2,957 2,799 OECD 1 2.6 3.2 2.7 3.6
Consumer Price inflation (% change)
Nuclear Energy 620 623 635 627 625
US 1 2.5 2.7 3.4 2.7
Hydro electric 718 696 697 667 643
Japan 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.3 -2.3
Total 11295 11,104 10,843 10,624 10,291 Eurozone 1 3 2.2 2.2 2.1
India Electricity generation (Terawatt-hours) 834.3 808.8 759.7 708.7 673.8 China 3 5.9 2 1.4 3.2

Hydroelectricity: Consumption (Million tonnes oil equivalent) 26.2 27.7 25.4 22.0 19.0 India 5 7 6.7 5.3 4.6
OECD 1 3 2.2 2.1 1.8
Primary Energy - Consumption by fuel (Million tonnes oil equivalent)
Industrial Output (YoY % change )
Oil 135.0 128.5 120 120 120 US -8.9 1.7 1.5 2.9 3.3
Natural Gas 37.2 36.0 34 34 30 Japan -20.7 1.5 5.4 3.4 1.7
Coal 231.4 212.9 195 222 204 Eurozone -12.2 1.4 5.3 2.5 0.8

Nuclear Energy 3.5 4.0 4 4 4 China 5.7 17.4 14.7 16.5 14.4
India -0.2 8 13.4 5.7 8.9
Hydro electric 26.2 27.7 25 22 19
Interest rates (%)
Total 433.3 409.2 379 402 376 US ( Fed Funds Target) 0.25 4.25 5.25 4.25 2.25
Source: British Statistical Review, figures may not tally due to rounding Japan (12 month T-Bills) 0.249 0.581 0.618 0.066 0.003
Eurozone ( Refinance rates ) 2.5 4 3.5 2.25 2
Total Installed Capacity (India) China ( Lending Rate ) 5.31 7.47 6.12 5.58 5.58
Sector MW %age India ( Repo rate ) 6.5 7.75 7.25 6.25 6
Money Supply ( YoY % change)
State Sector 76,115.67 52.5
US 9.6 5.6 5.4 4.1 5.7
Central Sector 48,970.99 34
Japan 0.7 0.7 -0.6 0.3 1
Private Sector 24305.25 13.5 Eurozone 7.5 11.6 9.9 7.4 6.6
Total 1,49,391.91 China 17.82 16.72 16.9 17.6 14.63
As on May 31, 2009 Source:Central Electricity Authority India 19.6 22.84 19.33 17.79 13.49
Equity Index (points)
US (DOW JONES) 8,776 13,265 12,463 10,718 10,783
Total Installed Capacity (India) India (SENSEX) 9,647 20,287 13,787 9,398 6,603

Fuel MW %age OECD Indicators


OECD Total Monetary Aggr. & Comp. Broad Money Index 127.3 116.9 107.6 100 93.9
Total Thermal 95,151.74 64.6
OECD Total Purchasing power Index Manufacturing 113.83 106.9 103.7 100 96.16
Coal 77,948.88 53.3
OECD Total CPI OECD Groups Total Energy IPB 127.8 113.7 109.3 100 89.4
Gas 16,003.11 10.5 Source: OECD, IMF, CPM gold yearbook, World Bank

Oil 1,199.75 0.9


Hydro (Renewable) 36,877.76 24.7
Nuclear 4,120.00 2.9
RES** (MNRE) 13242.41 7.7
Total 1,49,391.91
Renewable Energy Sources(RES) include SHP, BG, BP, U&I and Wind Energy.
SHP= Small Hydro Project, BG= Biomas Gasfier, BP= Biomass Power, U & I=Urban & Industrial Water Power, RES=Renewable Sources
Figures at second place of decimal may not tally due to rounding off by computer.
Source:Central Electricity Authority

162 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 163
Electricity Prices

ICE UK Base Electricity Futures U.S. Residential On-Peak Day Ahead LMP Electricity Off-Peak Day Ahead LMP Electricity IEX MCV (MW)* Average monthly
Electricity Price Spot Price/New England (NEPOOL) Spot Price/New England (NEPOOL) unit value (in Rs)
Close Price (gbp/mwh) Aggregate Vol (lots) Month End OI (lots) (Cents per kilowatt hour) Price Units USD/mwh Price Units USD/mwh
Mar-09 36.25 30 1730 11.37 40.62 30.16 362,173 8,357
Feb-09 35.87 75 910 11.23 51.83 42.48 182,824 6,966
Jan-09 54.12 60 1000 11.03 54.1 44 296,151 6,053
Dec-08 60.64 - 1170 11.00 71.33 60.57 359,574 6,866
Nov-08 62.77 10 1635 11.52 67 48 450,643 7,496
Oct-08 76.4 30 1800 11.91 65.5 51.67 375,190 8,476
Sep-08 130 - 2055 11.99 66.61 56.5 278,597 7,951
Aug-08 89.5 210 1720 12.15 85.9 57 223,372 7,562
Jul-08 81.27 40 955 12.14 102.37 69 74,917 7,673
Jun-08 85.02 70 650 11.84 140.44 94 424 7,113
May-08 76.57 - 690 11.48 105.38 79.5 - -
Apr-08 64.87 - 760 11.02 107.89 79.79 - -
Mar-08 57.8 - 830 10.57 92.62 69.45 - -
Feb-08 56.74 - 820 10.28 80.61 83.85 - -
Jan-08 53.3 10 875 10.24 78.2 58.63 - -
Dec-07 60.16 30 920 10.33 106.18 55.6 - -
Nov-07 56.2 40 1025 10.70 84.76 61.68 - -
Oct-07 50.11 110 930 10.82 65.88 51.55 - -
Sep-07 36.79 20 735 10.96 63.4 44 - -
Aug-07 26.73 70 800 11.07 66.58 44.5 - -
Jul-07 26 40 1135 11.07 85.83 55.95 - -
Jun-07 24.45 40 1575 11.09 61.77 51 - -
May-07 26.6 30 1830 10.77 81.05 55 - -
Apr-07 22.55 180 2070 10.63 76.67 44.55 - -
Mar-07 20.88 40 2345 10.27 78.49 47.15 - -
Feb-07 20.35 140 2915 9.89 71.33 52.76 - -
Jan-07 24.7 250 3430 10.06 78.63 59.8 - -
Dec-06 35.37 180 3630 9.84 51.32 32.44 - -
Nov-06 44.65 280 3770 10.18 75.7 46 - -
Oct-06 49.17 650 3385 10.58 70.99 49.53 - -
Sep-06 46.75 345 3110 10.94 49.37 32 - -
Aug-06 40.43 175 3050 10.94 67.05 33.15 - -
Jul-06 37 235 2735 10.96 107.87 65 - -
Jun-06 37.38 170 2755 10.85 68.9 46.8 - -
May-06 35.57 170 2920 10.61 71.6 38.5 - -
Apr-06 36.95 265 2820 10.32 67.13 48 - -
Mar-06 43.38 370 2765 9.87 67 50.5 - -
Feb-06 42.87 575 2980 9.80 75.22 57 - -
Jan-06 52.38 290 2550 9.55 79.85 55.03 - -
Dec-05 66.25 280 2795 9.25 81.75 60 - -
Nov-05 80.33 70 3175 9.74 91.33 67.5 - -
Oct-05 50.7 180 2350 9.73 111.77 100 - -
Sep-05 44.32 390 1390 9.91 119.25 75 - -
Aug-05 39.95 360 1180 9.91 141 95 - -
Jul-05 36.63 70 810 9.75 81.62 64 - -
Jun-05 37.33 60 1080 9.77 85.2 45.15 - -
May-05 31.8 10 1350 9.55 60.5 44.17 - -
Apr-05 30.5 50 1500 9.21 67.31 52.93 - -
Mar-05 29.52 220 2170 8.86 68 52.5 - -
Feb-05 26.28 550 2140 8.74 67.5 - - -
Jan-05 24.4 220 1640 8.50 66.19 - - -
Dec-04 29.03 280 1050 8.58 57.05 - - -
Nov-04 35.09 180 880 8.96 61.75 - - -
Oct-04 33.55 420 660 9.05 61.39 - - -
Sep-04 31.75 180 460 9.39 57.14 - - -
Aug-04 - - - 9.50 50.73 - - -
Jul-04 - - - 9.36 60.5 - - -
Jun-04 - - - 9.29 57.46 - - -
May-04 - - - 9.07 60 - - -
Apr-04 - - - 8.93 57.25 - - -
*Minimum Clearing volume (Matched & Cleared) | *IEX commenced Operations on June 28, 2009 | Source: Exchanges' websites Aggregate Volume in all Contracts during the month- Cumulative open interest in all contracts at end of the month.

164 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 165
Power Scenario At A Glance For All Regions (figures In Mw)
Graph-1
TOCOM (1 Kg contracts) Electricity Generation (2008)
Region Hydro Thermal Nuclear R.E.S. (MNRE) Total
Coal Gas Diesel Total
NORTHERN 13425.1 19764.5 3531.2 13 23308.7 1180 1766.4 39680.2 21 %
WESTERN 7448.5 25937.7 7365.8 17.5 33320.3 1840 4023.6 46632.4 US
SOUTHERN 10954.2 16982.5 3870.2 939.3 21792 1100 7047.9 40894.2
EASTERN 3933.9 15063.2 190 17.2 15270.4 0 227.4 19431.7 China
N.EASTERN 1116 201 766 142.7 1109.7 0 171 2396.7
ISLANDS 0 0 0 70 70 0 6.1 76.1 47 % Japan
ALL-INDIA 36877.7 77948.9 15722.5 1199.8 94871.9 4120 13242.4 149111.2
INSTALLED CAPACITY AS ON 31.5.2009 Russian
Source: Central Electricity Authority 17 % Federation

India

Period Peak Demand Peak Met Peak Deficit/ Peak Deficit/ Energy Energy Energy deficit/ Energy deficit/ 6% Others
(MW) (MW) Surplus (MW) Surplus (%) requirement (MU) availability (MU) surplus (MU) surplus (%)
4% 5%
2004-05 26834 24125 -2709 -10.1 175498 159358 -16140 -9.2
2005-06 28154 25200 -2954 -10.5 188794 168611 -20183 -10.7 Source: BP Statistical Review 2009
2006-07 31516 26644 -4872 -15.5 202125 179986 -22139 -11
2007-08 32462 29495 -2967 -9.1 219797 196147 -23650 -10.8 Graph-2
2008-09 33034 29504 -3530 -10.7 224218 199928 -24290 -10.8
Electricity Consumption (2008)
NOTE :- PEAK DEMAND - 38021 MW , ENERGY REQUIREMENT - 239807 MU FOR THE YEAR 2008-2009(AS PER 17TH EPS. REPORT),OCCURENCE OF
PEAK AS PER ACTUAL POWER SUPPLY POSITION IN THE MONTH(S) - JUNE, JULY & AUGUST
Source: Central Electricity Authority 22 %

US

45 % China

VOLUME OF ELECTRICITY TRADED BY THE TRADING LICENSEES 2006-07 2007-08 Japan

Name of the Trading Licensee Volume of Trade (MUs) % to total volume Volume of Trade (MUs) % to total volume Russia
PTC India Ltd 6575.41 43.77 9552.79 45.57
NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Ltd 2662.98 17.73 3324.07 15.86 Germany
18 %
Adani Enterprises Ltd 1844.66 12.28 1321.88 6.31
Tata Power Trading Company (P) Ltd 1206.38 8.03 1681.95 8.02 Others
Reliance Energy Trading (P) Ltd 878.29 5.85 776.25 3.7
Subhash Kabini Powor Corporation Ltd 36.61 0.24 0 0
6%
Lanco Electric Utility Ltd 744 4.95 2600.02 12.4 3% 6%
Source: CIA
JSW Power Trading Company Ltd 967.94 6.44 1478.57 7.05
Karam Chand Thapar & Bros Ltd. 106.47 0.71 108.29 0.52
Vinergy International Private Ltd 59.52 0.28 Graph-3
Visa Power Ltd 15.56 0.07
Kalyani Power Development (P) Ltd 39.31 0.19 (Rs/Kwh)
Price of Short-Term Transaction of Electricity
Patni Projects Private Ltd 6.58 0.03 10
Total 15022.74 100 20964.77 100 IEX RTC* Peak* Off -Peak* New Grid# SR Grid#
Source: CERC Annual Report 2007-08 9

4
Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09
Source: CERC, * Bilateral through traders, # Unscheduled Interchange

166 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 167
Correlation Matrix – Non agricultural commodities - MCX Spot prices (CY 2008)

Gold Silver Copper Zinc Nickel Lead Aluminium Crude oil Natural Gas Platinum* Steel CER* CFI* Electricity# USDINR ** Dollar Index ##
Gold 1 0.1669 -0.0726 -0.2193 -0.3082 0.0790 -0.3046 0.1493 0.0757 0.2033 0.1040 0.1448 0.2303 -0.1302 0.3986 0.0295
Silver 0.1669 1 0.8848 0.7249 0.7400 0.8480 0.6013 0.9576 0.7977 0.7597 0.8208 0.7171 0.8628 0.0331 -0.7291 -0.9361
Copper -0.0726 0.8848 1 0.7752 0.7822 0.9343 0.6693 0.8796 0.8925 0.7058 0.9399 0.8001 0.8414 0.2129 -0.7288 -0.8980
Zinc -0.2193 0.7249 0.7752 1 0.9603 0.6057 0.9157 0.7992 0.4732 0.3395 0.8793 0.3766 0.5119 0.2076 -0.8825 -0.8099
Nickel -0.3082 0.7400 0.7822 0.9603 1 0.6089 0.9026 0.8714 0.4786 0.3980 0.8702 0.3862 0.5201 0.1808 -0.9226 -0.8373
Lead 0.0790 0.8480 0.9343 0.6057 0.6089 1 0.5127 0.8781 0.9301 0.7838 0.9332 0.8497 0.8562 0.2425 -0.5207 -0.7754
Aluminium -0.3046 0.6013 0.6693 0.9157 0.9026 0.5127 1 0.6022 0.3073 0.1408 0.7794 0.1842 0.3911 0.3255 -0.8502 -0.6789
Crude oil 0.1690 0.9605 0.8771 0.7904 0.8574 0.8748 0.6216 1 0.9009 0.8848 0.8303 0.8816 0.9236 0.0616 -0.8831 -0.9157
Natural Gas 0.0757 0.7977 0.8925 0.4732 0.4786 0.9301 0.3073 0.9019 1 0.8348 0.9442 0.9471 0.8321 0.2020 -0.4395 -0.7431
Platinum 0.2033 0.7597 0.7058 0.3395 0.3980 0.7838 0.1408 0.9015 0.8348 1 0.7166 0.8214 0.7259 -0.0151 -0.3082 -0.6401
Steel 0.1040 0.8208 0.9399 0.8793 0.8702 0.9332 0.7794 0.8303 0.9442 0.7166 1 0.9666 0.8464 0.3096 -0.7807 -0.8436
CER 0.1448 0.7171 0.8001 0.3766 0.3862 0.8497 0.1842 0.8816 0.9471 0.8214 0.9666 1 0.7909 0.2764 -0.3671 -0.6903
CFI 0.2303 0.8628 0.8414 0.5119 0.5201 0.8562 0.3911 0.9253 0.8321 0.7259 0.8464 0.7909 1 0.1250 -0.5191 -0.8057
Electricity -0.1302 0.0331 0.2129 0.2076 0.1808 0.2425 0.3255 0.0616 0.2020 -0.0151 0.3096 0.2764 0.1250 1 -0.0868 -0.0555
USDINR 0.3986 -0.7291 -0.7288 -0.8825 -0.9226 -0.5207 -0.8502 -0.8831 -0.4395 -0.3082 -0.7807 -0.3671 -0.5191 -0.0868 1 0.8539
Dollar Index 0.0295 -0.9361 -0.8980 -0.8099 -0.8373 -0.7754 -0.6789 -0.9160 -0.7431 -0.6401 -0.8436 -0.6903 -0.8057 -0.0555 0.8539 1

* Prices from the inception of trading at MCX


# Avg prices of volume cleared at IEX since its inception
** RBI reference rate
## Dollar index (released by ICE)
Data Source: MCX, RBI, ICE

168 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 169
DATA
FOR READY
REFERENCE
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
Soybean Oil

Global and Indian fundamentals of Refined soybean oil (in thousand metric tonnes)
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e
Production 32,631 34,615 36,352 37,544 35,699 37295
Consumption 31,654 33,573 35,798 37,677 35,754 37131
Beginning stocks 2,518 3,176 3,451 3,341 2,880 2566
Ending Stocks 3,176 3,451 3,341 2,880 2,566 2522
Exports 9,171 9,844 10,565 10,863 9,326 9833
Imports 8,883 9,070 9,889 10,484 8,959 9666
India
Production 900 1,070 1,180 1,458 1,392 1552
Consumption 2,627 2,933 2,598 2,300 2,240 2275
Beginning stocks 98 386 232 208 90 -
Ending Stocks 386 232 208 90 98 240
Exports 11 18 9 9 9 -
Imports 2,026 1,727 1,403 733 865 850
Average Daily Volatility 0.77% 0.60% 0.64% 0.53% 1.37% -
CBOT price 239.78 223.35 267.41 379.74 451.15 -
(Rs/10 Kg)
Indian Price 462.09 382.54 400.35 480.17 593.35 -
(Rs/10 Kg)
Source: USDA, *Estimated, June 2009-10

Global Yearly Balance Sheets (Estimated June 2009 – 10) in Thousand Metric Tonnes
Country Supply Demand
Previous Stocks for
Production Year Stocks Import Consumption Next Year Export

Argentina 6,712 203 0 1,100 250 5,565


Brazil 6,060 331 50 4,300 291 1,850
China 7,709 115 2,400 9,994 120 110
EU-27 2,267 111 800 2,883 125 170
India 1,552 122 850 2,275 240 9
US 8,623 1,367 34 7,484 1,202 1,338
Others 4,372 317 5,532 9,095 294 791
Grand Total 37,295 2,566 9,666 37,131 2,522 9,833
Source: USDA

172 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 173
Soyabean Oil
MCX Futures Prices (Rs/10 Kg)
MCX Spot (Rs/10 Kg) (Indore) Other market spot prices WPI OF
Volume Open Interest
Open High Low Close in lots^ in lots^^ Monthly Average Month’s High Month’s Low Mumbai Rs/10 kg Soybean Oil
Apr-04 454.00 460.00 431.90 460.00 726.00 70.00 N/A N/A N/A 463.59 138.80
May-04 467.00 467.00 430.50 436.90 7,836.00 120.00 N/A N/A N/A 466.13 138.80
Jun-04 439.30 444.90 409.00 431.70 35,674.00 904.00 N/A N/A N/A 445.24 138.80
Jul-04 429.00 466.00 429.00 454.30 31,950.00 752.00 N/A N/A N/A 462.37 137.70
Aug-04 449.00 470.10 445.00 462.00 38,010.00 625.00 N/A N/A N/A 477.74 137.40
Sep-04 462.50 466.00 404.80 409.70 19,626.00 845.00 431.86 439.00 420.00 452.96 137.20
Oct-04 410.00 429.60 401.20 414.30 23,098.00 942.00 422.45 437.00 411.00 422.94 137.20
Nov-04 416.10 420.50 405.60 411.40 29,496.00 1,601.00 414.54 418.00 409.00 416.93 137.40
Dec-04 411.60 412.00 387.10 397.60 44,250.00 1,992.00 401.38 413.00 391.00 408.05 138.20
Jan-05 397.40 398.10 351.00 357.70 52,356.00 2,226.00 384.28 403.00 358.00 391.83 138.20
Feb-05 358.30 389.50 352.60 382.00 86,731.00 2,693.00 370.55 384.00 359.00 375.59 138.20
Mar-05 381.50 399.50 369.50 397.50 140,147.00 2,995.00 384.29 390.00 375.00 387.12 138.20
Apr-05 397.10 397.10 379.40 381.40 86,681.00 2,540.00 384.75 390.00 376.40 387.44 138.20
May-05 380.40 381.50 366.60 377.00 85,172.00 4,543.00 374.43 377.20 369.50 376.90 138.20
Jun-05 376.40 387.20 362.00 371.50 97,414.00 4,517.00 371.38 378.60 363.70 374.55 138.20
Jul-05 371.00 386.50 369.40 373.00 62,520.00 4,593.00 372.85 378.40 367.20 376.52 138.20
Aug-05 372.50 375.60 363.50 373.50 49,577.00 3,779.00 366.73 372.80 361.50 366.79 138.20
Sep-05 372.40 374.50 359.00 363.40 55,920.00 3,350.00 361.93 368.30 357.30 360.71 138.20
Oct-05 364.50 369.20 354.65 357.95 56,619.00 4,084.00 359.48 368.00 350.50 363.62 138.20
Nov-05 346.85 350.60 337.40 339.55 42,750.00 3,747.00 346.61 354.30 340.50 363.86 138.20
Dec-05 338.30 345.90 337.05 343.20 37,583.00 2,038.00 341.86 345.90 338.20 359.38 138.20
Jan-06 358.40 384.20 358.40 373.90 35,901.00 2,391.00 342.69 344.30 338.00 351.30 138.20
Feb-06 376.90 383.60 364.50 375.10 69,539.00 1,966.00 357.73 370.30 342.70 366.43 128.40
Mar-06 374.00 425.10 372.70 422.45 61,946.00 2,956.00 367.06 373.40 363.50 384.51 128.40
Apr-06 422.45 426.00 406.20 413.90 64,534.00 2,762.00 393.10 415.40 369.90 395.44 128.90
May-06 414.00 417.60 398.40 406.90 66,688.00 4,363.00 412.02 417.40 407.20 412.71 129.50
Jun-06 408.10 433.50 399.50 429.55 42,389.00 2,437.00 401.88 408.60 395.60 412.81 129.50
Jul-06 428.00 455.10 427.30 436.20 60,904.00 2,316.00 411.10 422.80 397.00 424.47 129.50
Aug-06 438.00 440.85 418.30 423.00 102,580.00 3,199.00 433.74 442.10 423.50 446.60 129.50
Sep-06 422.10 433.00 416.10 428.95 79,548.00 2,574.00 428.28 436.60 419.00 439.94 129.50
Oct-06 427.70 475.10 424.85 465.60 64,930.00 4,665.00 423.12 426.70 420.20 430.82 129.50
Nov-06 465.00 477.15 447.50 468.65 134,142.00 6,558.00 444.24 469.70 420.50 462.31 131.90
Dec-06 466.65 473.55 446.70 452.15 104,632.00 4,609.00 455.36 463.60 443.30 471.33 141.50
Jan-07 453.15 455.15 432.15 443.15 92,888.00 4,579.00 453.79 460.10 444.60 474.49 141.50
Feb-07 443.00 469.65 435.90 468.35 68,630.00 4,881.00 437.80 448.50 428.30 455.75 140.00
Mar-07 469.80 491.60 469.00 488.25 83,427.00 5,427.00 445.11 463.50 433.10 462.39 137.20
Apr-07 489.10 496.30 469.05 486.70 85,188.00 5,204.00 479.73 488.40 469.70 483.07 140.20
May-07 485.20 497.85 479.00 496.55 85,738.00 4,382.00 484.76 494.15 475.50 484.98 141.70
Jun-07 496.65 510.90 491.00 505.60 94,699.00 4,583.00 485.23 490.10 480.40 485.32 141.80
Jul-07 506.45 507.20 474.00 479.15 92,430.00 4,683.00 499.58 507.70 490.10 503.45 141.80
Aug-07 478.00 497.90 474.60 487.05 66,662.00 4,196.00 487.73 503.65 473.65 492.25 141.90
Sep-07 485.40 510.60 476.00 505.15 62,809.00 4,795.00 481.52 490.40 473.75 489.75 142.60
Oct-07 508.30 540.50 496.00 532.15 84,054.00 5,206.00 487.26 507.35 476.25 496.25 143.10
Nov-07 531.65 558.00 523.60 550.80 83,184.00 4,568.00 518.75 535.15 499.45 530.22 145.50
Dec-07 551.30 595.80 550.90 586.95 69,720.00 3,916.00 533.13 550.10 522.00 550.02 147.00
Jan-08 588.00 671.25 587.50 671.20 95,697.00 4,446.00 574.07 588.80 548.00 593.13 145.90
Feb-08 678.00 725.70 584.90 589.00 79,864.00 3,752.00 607.23 669.15 583.05 616.21 153.80
Mar-08 571.35 594.50 542.85 570.20 107,951.00 2,868.00 666.93 725.90 606.90 676.67 156.80
Apr-08 570.20 586.80 563.80 583.30 48,162.00 1,555.00 574.12 589.65 565.90 576.91 151.40
May-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A 4,856.00 1,728.00 611.84 652.50 570.50 601.98 156.00
Jun-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 683.10 709.45 648.55 659.54 160.40
Jul-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 680.19 704.10 637.00 654.37 160.50
Aug-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 613.62 637.35 597.50 592.77 157.90
Sep-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 584.92 606.30 563.70 564.92 157.60
Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 509.91 578.25 476.50 497.11 148.10
Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 443.37 488.80 387.75 434.93 148.10
Dec-08 457.00 478.70 438.40 470.00 19,477.00 1,858.00 483.06 498.80 456.45 467.08 148.10
Jan-09 473.80 520.00 454.55 457.00 33,721.00 2,526.00 492.98 514.30 468.40 481.76 148.10
Feb-09 454.95 471.00 435.90 451.80 25,230.00 2,187.00 465.14 475.65 450.70 441.17 148.10
Mar-09 451.90 464.20 438.00 447.20 27,676.00 1,192.00 453.28 462.00 445.90 447.50 148.10
Source : MCX, AgmarkNet; Trading suspended between May 08 to Dec 08; N/A-Not available
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

174 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 175
Soyabean Oil International Exchanges: Soyabean Oil
CBOT Graph-1

Closing Price Volume Open Interest Soybean Production (2009-10)


(cents/pound) in lots^ in lots^^
Apr-04 34.03 670,460.00 156,665.00 16%
May-04 28.05 576,678.00 139,677.00 United States
23%
Jun-04 28.18 570,815.00 134,254.00
Jul-04 22.00 618,359.00 144,446.00 China
Aug-04 26.10 512,305.00 135,601.00 6%
Sep-04 20.52 505,132.00 132,226.00
Oct-04 21.50 517,734.00 149,886.00 Argentina
Nov-04 20.62 576,170.00 148,929.00
Dec-04 20.61 551,822.00 142,917.00 Brazil
Jan-05 19.36 428,386.00 171,583.00
Feb-05 23.22 751,486.00 151,922.00 16%
EU-27
Mar-05 22.90 549,243.00 161,519.00
Apr-05 22.59 615,394.00 145,656.00 21%
May-05 23.15 565,555.00 135,246.00 Others
Jun-05 23.61 852,371.00 162,398.00
Jul-05 24.31 548,380.00 138,679.00 Source: USDA 18%
Aug-05 22.41 637,179.00 138,626.00
Sep-05 23.72 594,924.00 147,402.00
Oct-05 22.86 607,182.00 172,298.00 Graph-2
Nov-05 21.05 673,069.00 182,941.00
Dec-05 21.30 670,487.00 174,217.00 Soybean Consumption (2009-10)
Jan-06 22.35 531,969.00 181,295.00
Feb-06 23.59 611,448.00 179,042.00
Mar-06 22.79 597,630.00 189,517.00 27%
27%
Apr-06 25.54 866,900.00 238,374.00 China
May-06 25.16 688,808.00 249,518.00
Jun-06 26.36 1,024,547.00 240,817.00 United States
Jul-06 26.72 803,595.00 281,211.00
Aug-06 25.21 816,795.00 257,433.00 Brazil
Sep-06 23.77 729,122.00 248,970.00
Oct-06 26.83 938,242.00 261,414.00 EU-27
Nov-06 29.18 1,018,050.00 286,888.00
Dec-06 29.26 857,922.00 260,307.00 6% India
Jan-07 29.34 704,802.00 261,714.00
Feb-07 30.25 1,091,931.00 285,130.00 Others
Mar-07 32.48 764,997.00 317,340.00 8% 20%
Apr-07 33.35 1,218,347.00 304,326.00
May-07 35.71 805,278.00 316,781.00 Source: USDA 12%
Jun-07 36.63 1,442,726.00 293,689.00
Jul-07 37.76 1,115,308.00 297,131.00
Aug-07 36.54 1,092,034.00 262,507.00 Graph-3
Sep-07 39.49 947,459.00 278,132.00
Oct-07 42.31 1,213,635.00 291,463.00
Nov-07 45.64 1,288,911.00 308,026.00
Dec-07 48.85 1,337,864.00 291,089.00 000 tons Soybean Oil: Ending Stock & Prices Prices
Jan-08 53.72 1,294,663.00 283,859.00
Feb-08 68.15 1,541,373.00 301,932.00 450 70
Mar-08 51.48 1,291,023.00 283,980.00 400 60
Apr-08 57.67 1,551,109.00 263,931.00 350
50
May-08 61.31 1,106,828.00 252,276.00 300
Jun-08 66.04 1,567,629.00 258,997.00 250 40
Jul-08 58.26 1,624,174.00 246,175.00 200 30
Aug-08 53.40 1,386,920.00 252,080.00 150
Sep-08 44.00 1,441,656.00 247,229.00 20
100
Oct-08 33.60 1,396,847.00 253,519.00 10
50
Nov-08 32.58 1,252,370.00 241,056.00
0 0
Dec-08 33.29 1,455,913.00 208,108.00
Jan-09 32.73 1,211,893.00 208,505.00 2002 -03 2003 -04 2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09
Feb-09 30.85 1,518,553.00 211,794.00 India ES World ES (in 10s) Mumbai Prices (RHS) CBOT prices (RHS)
Mar-09 33.62 1,189,876.00 207,505.00
Source: Exchanges’ websites Source: Source: ES ending stock, Indian
- prices Rs/kg, Int. prices cents/lb
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

176 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 177
Crude Palm Oil Crude Palm Oil Trading Activities

Global and Indian fundamentals for Crude Palm oil (in thousand metric tonnes) Bursa Malaysia
Closing Price (Malaysian Ringgit per metric ton) Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e
Apr-04 1,974.00 91,806.00 21,445.00
Production 33,529 35,980 37,329 40,989 42,763 44,953 May-04 1,640.00 136,325.00 27,351.00
Jun-04 1,560.00 135,119.00 23,284.00
Consumption 32,539 35,212 37,572 39,724 42,286 44,581
Jul-04 1,444.00 138,089.00 28,293.00
Beginning stocks 3,147 3,586 3,720 3,835 4,199 4,017 Aug-04 1,550.00 114,500.00 25,905.00
Sep-04 1,491.00 144,882.00 36,889.00
Ending Stocks 3616 3,774 3,863 4,228 4,039 3,791 Oct-04 1,465.00 141,496.00 35,206.00
Exports 24,545 26,889 27,115 30,879 32,539 34,076 Nov-04 1,452.00 92,412.00 31,427.00
Dec-04 1,384.00 94,361.00 29,212.00
Imports 23,944 26,279 27,447 29,979 31,823 33,478 Jan-05 1,275.00 97,965.00 28,105.00
Feb-05 1,403.00 100,007.00 25,874.00
Mar-05 1,455.00 135,474.00 29,904.00
India Apr-05 1,427.00 79,210.00 27,709.00
May-05 1,411.00 100,305.00 27,956.00
Production 40 40 50 50 50 50
Jun-05 1,410.00 109,598.00 25,079.00
Consumption 3,406 3,125 3,769 4,612 5,085 5,440 Jul-05 1,365.00 86,069.00 27,288.00
Aug-05 1,358.00 85,972.00 31,561.00
Beginning stocks 50 208 20 100 65 225
Sep-05 1,449.00 109,404.00 27,342.00
Ending Stocks 208 20 100 65 225 130 Oct-05 1,445.00 97,787.00 23,698.00
Nov-05 1,389.00 73,042.00 27,616.00
Exports 1 2 1 5 5 5 Dec-05 1,397.00 83,677.00 29,559.00
Imports 3,525 2,899 3,800 4,532 5,200 5,300 Jan-06 1,428.00 72,396.00 25,759.00
Feb-06 1,470.00 104,701.00 29,747.00
Mar-06 1,390.00 126,341.00 29,108.00
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices 0.49% 4.13% 18.64% 0.98% 6.32% - Apr-06 1,441.00 117,864.00 31,949.00
May-06 1,411.00 140,586.00 36,515.00
Source: USDA, *Estimated, June 2009-10 Jun-06 1,429.00 124,941.00 44,186.00
Jul-06 1,590.00 226,687.00 43,069.00
Aug-06 1,557.00 275,379.00 64,384.00
Sep-06 1,542.00 199,569.00 65,115.00
Oct-06 1,622.00 228,531.00 75,583.00
Global Yearly Palm Oil Balance Sheets (Estimated June 2009 – 10) in Thousand Metric Tonnes Nov-06 1,901.00 360,870.00 77,172.00
Dec-06 1,976.00 224,765.00 74,882.00
Country Supply Demand Jan-07 1,902.00 301,233.00 70,211.00
Production Previous Year Stocks Import Consumption Stocks for Next Year Export Feb-07 1,952.00 148,172.00 55,358.00
Mar-07 2,064.00 151,078.00 66,969.00
Columbia 800 40 10 555 20 275 Apr-07 2,320.00 254,288.00 82,693.00
Nigeria 820 - - 1150 - - May-07 2,725.00 268,481.00 93,214.00
Jun-07 2,513.00 321,556.00 76,191.00
Thailand 1,300 - - 963 151 480 Jul-07 2,691.00 244,979.00 71,720.00
Indonesia 20,750 1,018 20 5,005 1,203 15,580 Aug-07 2,490.00 233,178.00 54,169.00
Sep-07 2,687.00 188,042.00 46,707.00
Malaysia 18,500 1,600 700 3,640 1,460 15,700 Oct-07 2,890.00 254,044.00 44,706.00
Nov-07 2,925.00 209,562.00 41,391.00
Others 4,228 1,108 27,444 29,547 962 2,271
Dec-07 3,070.00 148,480.00 38,080.00
Grand Total 44,953 4,017 33,478 44,581 3,791 34,076 Jan-08 3,211.00 251,331.00 43,477.00
Source: USDA Feb-08 3,972.00 183,121.00 43,659.00
Mar-08 3,385.00 316,453.00 42,793.00
Apr-08 3,370.00 240,709.00 39,394.00
May-08 3,525.00 141,155.00 38,800.00
Jun-08 3,540.00 198,086.00 43,929.00
Jul-08 3,050.00 267,300.00 58,317.00
Aug-08 2,541.00 278,401.00 53,343.00
Sep-08 2,073.00 290,468.00 65,273.00
Oct-08 1,560.00 277,318.00 90,371.00
Nov-08 1,610.00 242,097.00 91,820.00
Dec-08 1,685.00 159,101.00 83,481.00
Jan-09 1,780.00 231,064.00 83,343.00
Feb-09 1,938.00 235,567.00 83,483.00
Mar-09 2,103.00 301,587.00 89,634.00
Source: Exchanges’ websites
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

178 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 179
Monthly average futures and spot prices of Crude Palm Oil in India

MCX Futures Prices (Rs/10 Kg) MCX Spot (Rs/10 Kg) (Mumbai/Kandla) Prices of Palm Oil RBD:
Open High Low Close Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^ Monthly Average Month’s High Month’s Low Mumbai Rs./10 kg
Apr-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/T N/T N/T 442.37
May-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/T N/T N/T 440.09
Jun-04 N/A 390.90 390.90 379.20 0.00 N/A N/T N/T N/T 421.38
Jul-04 390.50 390.50 379.00 379.00 0.00 N/A N/T N/T N/T 434.90
Aug-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/T N/T N/T 447.83
Sep-04 404.70 404.70 381.00 381.00 0.00 N/A 362.07 365.00 357.50 442.64
Oct-04 369.00 369.00 359.30 369.00 0.00 N/A 357.83 365.00 354.00 413.20
Nov-04 352.00 369.00 352.00 369.00 0.00 N/A 353.75 356.00 350.00 405.36
Dec-04 342.00 379.60 342.00 369.30 36.00 N/A 340.15 353.00 335.00 386.67
Jan-05 379.00 380.00 344.70 372.50 2418.00 N/A 329.72 335.00 326.00 374.05
Feb-05 362.70 381.40 310.00 310.00 592.00 N/A 319.08 336.00 303.00 370.93
Mar-05 301.20 328.30 290.10 307.40 5329.00 23.00 341.29 348.00 336.00 387.17
Apr-05 345.30 345.30 338.00 338.00 2.00 N/A 343.65 346.00 338.00 385.56
May-05 335.00 335.00 328.00 328.00 0.00 N/A 332.29 338.00 327.00 374.12
Jun-05 324.80 324.80 324.80 330.00 0.00 N/A 329.57 335.00 324.70 374.41
Jul-05 328.00 333.00 328.00 333.00 0.00 N/A 331.49 334.50 328.50 380.89
Aug-05 328.00 328.00 158.80 159.00 137.00 2.00 237.31 330.00 158.60 375.59
Sep-05 154.20 170.00 154.20 170.00 54.00 2.00 164.04 170.00 160.30 374.18
Oct-05 169.00 176.00 169.00 173.80 54.00 N/A 172.61 174.70 169.40 382.62
Nov-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A 96.00 N/A 173.43 176.50 170.20 386.62
Dec-05 173.00 173.00 168.00 168.00 0.00 N/A 170.15 174.00 167.50 385.70
Jan-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A 10.00 N/A 166.90 168.10 165.10 373.82
Feb-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A 394.00 N/A 171.19 174.80 167.20 381.27
Mar-06 179.00 179.10 157.00 170.10 2684.00 N/A 226.86 1736.00 164.20 393.99
Apr-06 178.10 178.10 163.10 171.00 330.00 N/A 170.16 173.70 164.20 396.67
May-06 176.40 181.50 171.10 176.30 214.00 N/A 172.55 175.50 170.90 411.39
Jun-06 176.30 181.10 171.10 175.90 26.00 N/A 174.84 178.20 172.20 415.63
Jul-06 177.80 193.00 177.80 193.00 N/A N/A 184.81 196.20 174.70 434.14
Aug-06 193.00 203.00 191.30 191.30 N/A N/A 197.71 204.80 191.30 459.71
Sep-06 191.30 191.30 181.50 181.50 N/A N/A 188.14 195.10 181.50 440.45
Oct-06 188.00 193.00 188.00 193.00 N/A N/A 188.79 197.50 184.50 431.40
Nov-06 197.50 218.20 197.50 218.20 N/A N/A 206.96 225.70 195.00 453.56
Dec-06 224.70 234.20 218.00 234.20 N/A N/A 222.75 237.70 214.20 468.10
Jan-07 234.20 234.20 227.00 227.00 N/A N/A 228.92 235.30 223.10 473.77
Feb-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 227.59 233.10 223.80 452.59
Mar-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 228.83 230.50 227.90 454.81
Apr-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 474.23
May-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 476.28
Jun-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 484.61
Jul-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 487.60
Aug-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 487.13
Sep-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 486.54
Oct-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 492.59
Nov-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 509.76
Dec-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 512.02
Jan-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 550.67
Feb-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 573.51
Mar-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 619.10
Apr-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 548.76
May-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 561.22
Jun-08 526.30 534.80 505.40 515.30 19462.00 1903.00 N/A N/A N/A 580.60
Jul-08 516.00 519.20 439.00 444.30 17452.00 3339.00 488.13 517.80 439.50 556.17
Aug-08 437.70 441.80 359.60 377.50 22972.00 2436.00 397.08 435.60 381.90 478.65
Sep-08 377.50 385.60 324.00 345.60 20622.00 2858.00 352.97 384.00 333.70 437.66
Oct-08 335.90 337.00 269.60 272.60 22639.00 2708.00 300.10 340.80 271.40 366.43
Nov-08 275.90 287.50 228.50 254.50 23386.00 3398.00 254.70 276.20 240.00 316.83
Dec-08 263.60 267.00 248.50 263.60 8037.00 1824.00 257.36 265.70 248.50 317.04
Jan-09 274.80 305.00 264.60 267.00 8156.00 1643.00 280.54 298.50 266.50 332.68
Feb-09 275.40 292.00 270.70 283.50 6615.00 1663.00 282.87 290.30 274.80 329.39
Mar-09 291.00 316.90 290.20 309.50 8828.00 1260.00 306.92 314.90 293.10 362.18
Source : MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce and Industry; Sept 04 –March 07- Mumbai market
July 08 till date- Kandla market N/T-Traded, N/A- Not Available
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

180 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 181
Crude Palm Oil

Graph-1
Palm Oil Production (2009-10)

6%
2%
2%
3%
46% Indonesia

Malaysia

Thailand

Colombia
41%
Nigeria

Others

Source: USDA

Graph-2
Palm Oil Consumption (2008e)

14%

44% India
13%
China

Indonesia

EU-27

Malaysia
11%

Others

10%
8%
Source: USDA

Graph-1

‘000 tonnes Palm Oil: Ending Stock & Prices Prices


500 3300
450 3000
400 2700
350 2400
300 2100
250 1800
200 1500
150 1200
100 900
50 600
0 300
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
India ES World ES (in 10s) Mumbai Prices (RHS) Int. prices (RHS)
Source: Agmark Net & USDA. ES-ending stock, Indian prices Rs/ 20 kg, Int. prices $/tonne

182 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 183
Rapeseed Rapeseed Trading Activity

Rapeseed EOP-NYSE LIFFE Paris


Global and Indian fundamentals of Rapeseed (in thousand metric tonnes)
Closing Price (Euro/tonnes) Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e Apr-04 251.75 9,931.00 12,897.00
May-04 234.00 13,462.00 13,316.00
Production 46,085 48,504 45,093 48,294 58,168 55,484 Jun-04 235.00 14,636.00 14,646.00
Consumption 43,556 47,444 46,324 48,923 54,832 57,206 Jul-04 207.00 29,938.00 12,261.00
Aug-04 232.50 20,057.00 17,227.00
Beginning stocks 2,099 4,746 5,506 4,660 3,386 6,528 Sep-04 211.75 17,441.00 18,354.00
Ending Stocks 4,746 5,506 4,660 3,386 6,584 4,596 Oct-04 204.00 22,893.00 16,072.00
Nov-04 209.00 9,423.00 15,053.00
Exports 4,900 6,984 6,627 8,207 11,744 10,233 Dec-04 208.50 12,745.00 604.00
Imports 5,018 6,684 7,012 7,562 11,606 10,023 Jan-05 188.00 22,135.00 15,520.00
Feb-05 204.50 16,571.00 18,368.00
India Mar-05 203.75 16,672.00 19,204.00
Apr-05 198.00 17,385.00 13,552.00
Production 6,500 7,000 5,800 5,450 7,000 7,100
May-05 213.00 11,039.00 16,601.00
Consumption 6,365 6,637 6,449 5,866 6,640 7,061 Jun-05 212.00 15,027.00 19,475.00
Jul-05 212.25 26,331.00 19,428.00
Beginning stocks 591 742 1,124 495 100 476 Aug-05 222.50 13,915.00 20,427.00
Ending Stocks 742 1,124 495 100 476 530 Sep-05 231.00 27,470.00 22,072.00
Oct-05 223.00 22,985.00 21,728.00
Exports 2 8 5 4 4 5 Nov-05 222.50 19,103.00 20,684.00
Imports 18 27 25 25 20 20 Dec-05 216.25 16,033.00 21,855.00
Jan-06 219.25 26,724.00 20,753.00
Average Daily Volatility of MCX Spot Price 0.82% 0.97% 0.28% 1.19% 1.23% - Feb-06 227.25 12,881.00 19,265.00
MSP (Rs/Qtl) 1,700 1715 1715 1800 1830 - Mar-06 230.25 21,082.00 20,599.00
Apr-06 235.00 19,366.00 18,500.00
Source: USDA, *Estimated, June 2009-10 May-06 253.25 25,265.00 23,445.00
Jun-06 243.00 23,680.00 26,288.00
Jul-06 258.50 30,469.00 17,072.00
Aug-06 262.75 13,899.00 26,083.00
Global Yearly Rapeseed Balance Sheets (Estimated June 2009 -10) in thousand metric tonnes Sep-06 257.50 18,616.00 27,547.00
Oct-06 267.25 32,288.00 24,661.00
Supply Demand Nov-06 280.50 17,125.00 27,779.00
Dec-06 278.00 14,824.00 29,746.00
World Production Previous Year Import Consumption Stocks for Export Jan-07 268.50 33,742.00 29,985.00
Stocks Next Year Feb-07 271.00 18,380.00 29,396.00
Australia 1,700 257 0 675 232 1,050 Mar-07 249.00 31,915.00 32,435.00
Apr-07 263.00 32,545.00 31,884.00
Canada 10,300 2,530 150 5,350 1,130 6,500 May-07 276.00 21,301.00 36,108.00
China 13,200 700 950 14,060 790 0 Jun-07 291.50 38,423.00 40,033.00
Jul-07 309.00 58,493.00 39,509.00
EU-27 18,500 1,853 2,350 21,385 1,218 100 Aug-07 350.00 35,289.00 38,994.00
Sep-07 360.75 45,219.00 40,313.00
India 7,100 476 20 7,061 530 5
Oct-07 382.00 52,393.00 34,795.00
Ukraine 2,100 7 5 279 13 1,820 Nov-07 394.75 39,234.00 31,734.00
Dec-07 429.75 36,670.00 35,098.00
Others 2,584 705 6,548 8,396 683 758 Jan-08 435.50 63,190.00 38,676.00
Grand Total 55,484 6,528 10,023 57,206 4,596 10,233 Feb-08 507.00 41,993.00 41,568.00
Mar-08 425.00 55,473.00 38,449.00
Source: USDA
Apr-08 434.00 48,234.00 33,755.00
May-08 432.50 30,832.00 32,963.00
Jun-08 454.50 46,265.00 39,334.00
Jul-08 412.25 86,016.00 33,136.00
Aug-08 396.00 57,792.00 41,097.00
Sep-08 346.75 75,613.00 41,814.00
Oct-08 321.25 84,012.00 34,406.00
Nov-08 299.75 34,407.00 40,489.00
Dec-08 263.75 58,232.00 38,138.00
Jan-09 285.00 70,280.00 31,883.00
Feb-09 269.00 36,745.00 34,138.00
Mar-09 266.75 50,231.00 35,144.00
Source: Exchanges’ websites; ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month;
^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

184 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 185
Rapeseed Spot Prices
Graph-1
Monthly average spot prices of Rapeseed at MCX and other major physical markets in India Mustard (Rapeseed) Production (2009-10)
MCX Spot (Rs/20 Kg) Other market monthly average 8%
Hapur/ Jaipur/ Sirsa spot prices (Rs/qtl) 3%
Month Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low Jaipur(Average) Udaypur(Average) WPI of Mustard oil EU--27
Apr-04 N/A N/A N/A 1,426.30 1,395.72 165.80
May-04 N/A N/A N/A 1,452.73 1,412.94 165.30 13%
35% China
Jun-04 N/A N/A N/A 1,432.38 1,396.05 167.80
Jul-04 N/A N/A N/A 1,483.33 1,496.85 172.30
Aug-04 N/A N/A N/A 1,549.57 1,626.92 179.20 Canada
Sep-04 409.93 412.50 407.00 1,575.00 1,658.17 181.80
Oct-04 410.29 415.00 401.00 1,474.69 1,680.38 181.50 India
Nov-04 413.35 418.00 409.00 1,445.33 1,635.00 182.20
Dec-04 395.77 410.00 384.00 1,502.25 1,660.83 178.00 18%
Jan-05 365.32 392.00 355.00 1,534.06 1,571.54 173.10 Ukraine
Feb-05 347.54 365.00 330.00 1,483.57 1,437.22 162.80
Mar-05 335.57 345.00 328.00 1,371.39 1,297.14 156.60 Others
Apr-05 332.85 338.00 329.00 1,322.37 1,280.83 159.80 23%
May-05 340.65 348.80 330.20 1,329.05 1,259.57 165.30 Source: USDA
Jun-05 345.93 352.90 338.60 1,320.25 1,261.94 162.90
Jul-05 367.39 376.40 353.50 1,374.29 1,289.47 166.30
Aug-05 364.32 369.80 355.80 1,336.50 1,292.50 168.90 Graph-2
Sep-05 359.63 367.00 356.00 1,341.39 1,315.88 169.90
Oct-05 352.59 357.60 345.50 1,350.83 1,314.64 169.60 Mustard (Rapeseed)Consumption (2009-10)
Nov-05 346.88 348.50 342.70 1,361.92 1,250.91 168.70
Dec-05 343.11 346.20 336.90 1,345.79 1,216.56 164.10 11%
Jan-06 341.61 345.00 335.90 1,269.58 1,218.33 164.00
Feb-06 328.30 331.50 325.10 1,242.86 1,204.75 160.60 EU-27
Mar-06 322.92 332.10 317.20 1,230.59 1,184.69 156.90 15% 45%
Apr-06 323.94 330.40 319.10 1,304.50 1,237.78 159.70
May-06 329.87 332.70 325.40 1,363.24 1,326.18 162.60
China
Jun-06 328.13 332.60 323.40 1,347.50 1,341.50 165.70
Jul-06 327.60 330.00 324.00 1,337.22 1,343.47 163.60
Aug-06 330.99 335.80 327.90 1,427.79 1,386.92 166.70
India
Sep-06 327.42 329.90 324.10 1,405.00 1,380.62 168.70
Oct-06 328.82 343.70 325.30 1,344.33 1,376.43 168.30
Nov-06 361.29 375.30 348.10 1,430.00 1,513.00 175.80
Dec-06 358.95 372.00 352.50 1,504.74 1,538.53 183.30 29%
Canada
Jan-07 350.28 352.40 347.35 1,460.00 1,480.50 184.90
Feb-07 349.47 355.30 340.50 1,448.68 1,402.94 182.70
Mar-07 357.39 381.50 345.50 1,477.37 1,475.00 182.90 Source: USDA
Apr-07 398.13 402.00 394.75 1,670.65 1,697.37 191.20
May-07 400.51 405.30 396.75 1,543.80 1,623.53 193.30
Graph-3
Jun-07 421.72 436.00 406.65 1,677.50 1,618.33 194.10
Jul-07 444.97 450.80 437.90 1,652.08 1,688.12 196.00
Mustard (rapeseed ): Ending Stock & Prices
Aug-07 436.75 445.90 424.50 1,614.50 1,705.36 196.80
Sep-07 431.92 439.15 423.50 1,670.26 1,678.64 197.40 ‘000 tonnes Prices
Oct-07 449.64 471.80 429.20 1,705.83 1,702.31 197.80 7000 3000 .0
Nov-07 475.63 487.05 462.25 1,756.19 1,778.00 204.10
6000 2500 .0
Dec-07 483.06 491.10 475.80 1,766.67 1,845.83 205.80
Jan-08 502.10 516.70 487.85 1,842.39 1,903.75 215.50 5000
2000 .0
Feb-08 523.68 586.10 502.50 1,898.89 1,996.25 219.80 4000
Mar-08 582.62 628.90 539.85 2,257.94 2,155.62 241.40 1500 .0
3000
Apr-08 521.73 540.50 500.45 2,253.50 2,030.26 226.80
1000 .0
May-08 562.71 604.10 525.05 2,478.96 2,445.65 231.90 2000
Jun-08 631.07 655.20 603.00 2,698.40 2,636.05 257.80 1000 500.0
Jul-08 648.10 662.00 628.00 2,621.74 2,649.76 264.80
Aug-08 621.33 632.10 602.55 2,630.68 2,480.00 264.00 0 0.0
Sep-08 610.87 630.45 589.55 2,629.17 2,528.68 262.10 2002 -03 2003 -04 2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09
Oct-08 609.02 623.10 598.20 2,643.75 2,801.56 264.20
India ES World ES India price (RHS) Winnipeg prices (RHS)
Nov-08 616.43 637.10 594.80 2,652.78 2,913.75 263.90
Dec-08 621.25 638.00 597.70 2,644.74 2,988.33 264.50
Source: Agmark Net, & USDA. ES - ending stock,
- Indian prices Rs/qtl, Int. prices of
Jan-09 557.49 593.50 500.00 2,736.76 2,685.00 258.50 Winnepeg Futures Exchange in Rs/qtl
Feb-09 485.34 528.80 427.20 2,342.65 1,986.25 233.50
Mar-09 449.17 461.35 430.00 1,972.50 1,925.38 229.50
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet|Sept 04 – Mar 05- Hapur market|April 05 – Jan 06- Jaipur market|Feb 06- Mar 06- Sirsa market|April 07- till date- Jaipur market; Ministry of Commerce & Industry
186 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 187
Castor Seeds

Global and Indian fundamentals of Castor Seeds


World and Indian production, imports and exports of Castor Seeds
World (‘000 tonnes) 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Production 1300 1503 1,182 1512 -
Imports (castor seeds) 23 12 18 - -
Exports (castor seeds) 24 18 21 - -
India (‘000 tonnes)
Production 797 793 991 762 1036
Exports (castor seeds) 1.34 0.84 0.12 - -
Exports (castor oil) 208.18 182.16 186.61 176.18 308.62
Average Daily Volatility of MCX spot price 1.58% 1.19% 0.82% 0.59% 0.84%
Source: FAO Stat & Solvent Extractors' Association of India

Selected State-wise Production for Castor seeds in India (2003-2004 to 2007-2008)


States 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
Gujarat 465.1 283.1 541.1 563.3 665.0 533.0 680.0
Rajasthan 66.1 21.9 89.8 86.1 135.4 104.4 159.0
Andhra Pradesh 83.0 86.0 132.0 105.0 140.0 87.0 129.0
Karnataka 16.1 15.7 15.4 0.2 27.0 16.0 15.0
Others 22.4 20.8 18.4 38.8 23.3 21.9 28
Total 652.7 427.5 796.7 793.4 990.7 762.3 1011
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Govt. of India. Production : ' 000 Tonnes

Castor: Seeds Production, Oil Exports & Prices


in ‘000 tonnes Rs/qntl
1200 2500
1000
2000
800
1500
600
1000
400

200 500

0 0
2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Seeds production Oil exports Prices (RHS)


Source: SEA of India & Agmarknet. Average Prices of India for the month of March

188 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 189
Monthly average futures & spot prices of Castor Seeds in India

Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Rajkot Other markets monthly average spot (Rs/qtl)
Open High Low Close Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^ Monthly Month's Month's Mumbai Avg. Gadag Avg Raichur Avg WPI of castor seeds
Average High Low Variety Variety Variety
Apr-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1789.7 1439.0 1499.0 153.7
May-04 1555.0 1555.0 1555.0 1555.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1708.8 1273.0 1378.2 143.5
Jun-04 N/A N/A N/A 1570.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1697.3 1352.0 1387.2 144.7
Jul-04 1617.0 1922.0 1570.0 1875.0 20.0 6.0 N/A N/A N/A 1831.1 1361.0 N/A 154.5
Aug-04 1818.8 1884.0 1800.0 1874.5 114.0 0.0 N/A N/A N/A 1912.0 N/A 1512.1 159.6
Sep-04 1911.0 2093.0 1911.0 1982.5 628.0 11.0 N/A N/A N/A 1981.9 N/A 1571.5 168.2
Oct-04 1924.0 2060.0 1752.0 1822.0 2206.0 42.0 N/A N/A N/A 1940.7 N/A 1590.5 166.8
Nov-04 1845.0 1875.0 1670.0 1732.5 371.0 27.0 N/A N/A N/A 1908.8 1248.8 1514.0 162.2
Dec-04 1700.0 1810.0 1583.0 1606.5 2768.0 44.0 N/A N/A N/A 1764.2 1365.3 1404.2 154.1
Jan-05 1596.0 1632.0 1496.0 1508.5 10203.0 39.0 N/A N/A N/A 1712.8 N/A 1319.1 149.9
Feb-05 1503.0 1770.0 1495.0 1724.0 3916.0 87.0 N/A N/A N/A 1730.5 N/A 1265.5 140.2
Mar-05 1705.0 1780.0 1632.0 1668.5 888.0 37.0 N/A N/A N/A 1746.8 1276.0 1309.9 143.0
Apr-05 1646.0 1735.0 1561.0 1680.0 55.0 32.0 N/A N/A N/A 1712.7 1176.0 1307.0 139.3
May-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1663.7 1405.0 1219.5 137.9
Jun-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1715.5 1223.7 1150.9 140.7
Jul-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1712.2 1232.2 1054.0 141.0
Aug-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1628.6 1239.1 1019.0 137.3
Sep-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1548.5 1136.7 1212.2 136.6
Oct-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1400.8 1150.8 1128.0 130.5
Nov-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1396.1 1166.5 1097.2 129.3
Dec-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1457.2 N/A 1130.9 129.7
Jan-06 1490.0 1559.5 1440.0 1459.0 306.0 15.0 N/A N/A N/A 1455.5 1144.3 1162.9 130.4
Feb-06 1500.0 1607.5 1401.0 1600.0 1208.0 3.0 N/A N/A N/A 1446.4 1240.3 1142.5 132.7
Mar-06 1651.0 1684.0 1505.0 1551.0 11831.0 24.0 N/A N/A N/A 1481.1 1207.1 1155.7 135.3
Apr-06 1551.0 1560.0 1496.0 1560.0 373.0 14.0 N/A N/A N/A 1485.9 1196.3 1124.8 133.9
May-06 1560.0 1560.0 1400.0 1400.0 5.0 3.0 N/A N/A N/A 1475.8 1168.8 1136.7 127.0
Jun-06 1442.0 1525.0 1435.0 1525.0 301.0 11.0 N/A N/A N/A 1472.9 1114.5 1094.5 125.8
Jul-06 1525.0 1632.0 1525.0 1585.0 96.0 13.0 N/A N/A N/A 1572.1 1134.5 1132.0 128.1
Aug-06 1585.0 1585.0 1524.0 1524.0 84.0 9.0 N/A N/A N/A 1640.0 1086.2 1322.5 128.0
Sep-06 1670.0 1743.0 1604.0 1660.0 67.0 7.0 1620.3 1638.0 1582 1744.5 1233.5 1291.8 133.5
Oct-06 1875.0 1947.5 1820.0 1928.0 N/A 8.0 1716.8 1859.0 1634.0 1811.0 1281.6 1302.8 141.1
Nov-06 1925.0 1945.0 1795.0 1854.0 N/A N/A 1801.4 1855.0 1760.0 1945.0 1224.7 1492.7 155.5
Dec-06 1863.0 1863.0 1780.0 1800.0 N/A N/A 1765.0 1813.0 1732.0 1912.5 1144.3 1391.8 155.0
Jan-07 1903.0 1948.0 1845.0 1940.0 N/A N/A 1801.9 1844.0 1767.0 1939.0 1408.0 1573.0 162.2
Feb-07 1952.0 1960.0 1824.0 1831.0 N/A N/A 1891.2 1925.0 1850.0 1993.6 1292.7 1684.6 171.4
Mar-07 1858.0 2080.0 1800.0 1999.0 N/A N/A 1931.6 2023.0 1857.0 2033.8 1346.5 1623.3 168.2
Apr-07 2120.0 2230.0 2075.0 2112.0 N/A N/A 2043.5 2078.0 2008.0 2151.6 1359.0 1620.0 174.1
May-07 2075.0 2075.0 1880.0 1945.0 N/A N/A 1974.7 2019.0 1923.0 2036.0 1607.5 1497.1 176.8
Jun-07 1955.0 2055.0 1950.0 2015.0 N/A N/A 1967.5 2013.0 1904.0 2010.0 1305.0 1658.9 174.2
Jul-07 2139.0 2176.0 2046.0 2094.0 N/A N/A 2006.2 2028.5 1949.0 2077.7 1504.0 1570.4 179.8
Aug-07 2101.0 2104.0 1950.0 2013.5 N/A N/A 2003.5 2016.0 1989.0 2073.8 N/A N/A 179.5
Sep-07 2015.0 2056.5 1980.0 2005.5 N/A N/A 2011.6 2046.5 1989.0 2091.7 N/A 1410.0 178.0
Oct-07 1953.0 2036.0 1908.0 2030.0 N/A N/A 2020.1 2076.5 1966.0 2026.9 1354.0 1454.3 177.8
Nov-07 2040.0 2135.0 2007.0 2126.5 N/A N/A 2091.0 2155.5 2063.5 2056.7 1420.1 1669.6 180.4
Dec-07 2129.0 2251.0 2090.0 2237.5 N/A N/A 2172.9 2207.5 2140.0 2192.8 1966.9 1795.6 185.9
Jan-08 2158.0 2301.0 2156.0 2260.0 N/A N/A 2265.2 2309.5 2203.0 2324.6 1643.0 1904.6 192.6
Feb-08 2260.0 2575.0 2260.0 2555.0 N/A N/A 2429.5 2576.5 2302.0 2503.6 1760.1 2005.1 202.5
Mar-08 2600.0 2703.5 2548.0 2615.0 N/A N/A 2628.1 2658.0 2569.0 2737.4 1890.9 2151.6 214.3
Apr-08 2675.0 2675.0 2675.0 2675.0 N/A N/A 2629.0 2659.0 2586.5 2749.4 1571.1 1980.2 210.5
May-08 2675.0 2675.0 2569.0 2569.0 N/A N/A 2595.4 2627.0 2541.0 2806.5 1725.9 2130.3 207.6
Jun-08 2569.0 2781.0 2569.0 2781.0 N/A N/A 2716.2 2886.5 2582.5 2887.6 1899.6 2404.5 215.9
Jul-08 2800.0 3281.0 2800.0 3151.0 N/A N/A 3086.2 3289.0 2883.0 3210.4 2144.3 2714.3 236.3
Aug-08 3151.0 3278.5 3085.5 3147.0 N/A N/A 3135.2 3216.5 3060.5 3271.0 2361.3 2639.0 239.3
Sep-08 3147.0 3147.0 3147.0 3147.0 N/A N/A 3115.5 3163.0 3085.5 3243.6 2702.0 2257.0 246.4
Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2917.7 3113.5 2781.0 3060.3 2551.5 2581.3 240.0
Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2930.7 3014.0 2781.0 3109.2 2414.0 2711.5 227.5
Dec-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2877.4 2942.5 2672.0 3050.7 2376.0 2550.8 230.1
Jan-09 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2349.3 2628.0 2205.0 2695.0 1871.0 2040.6 217.0
Feb-09 2075.0 2224.5 2070.0 2107.0 N/A N/A 2244.9 2366.0 2122.0 N/A N/A 2116.0 215.6
Mar-09 2100.0 2273.0 2100.0 2273.0 N/A N/A 2255.0 2289.0 2163.0 N/A 1867.0 1980.9 218.6
Source: MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
N/A-Not Available

190 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 191
Maize

Global and Indian fundamentals for Maize (in Thousand Metric Tons) Graph-1

World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e Maize Production (2009-10)

Production 714,726 698,764 712,203 791,603 788,635 789,833


Consumption 687,050 704,414 724,235 769,663 777,513 792,769 22%
United States
Beginning stocks 104,767 131,476 124,178 109,002 130,699 143,821 41%

Ending Stocks 131,476 124,178 109,002 130,699 138,538 125,459 China

Exports 77,643 80,976 93,931 98,611 77,934 81,492 3% EU-27


Imports 76,676 79,328 90,787 98,368 76,018 79,726
Brazil
7%

Mexico
India
Production 14,180 14,710 15,100 18,960 18,480 18,500 7%
Others
20%
Consumption 13,900 14,200 13,900 14,200 17,600 17,400
Beginning stocks 436 271 264 260 551 856 Source: USDA

Ending Stocks 271 264 260 551 856 961 Graph-2


Exports 448 521 1,208 4,473 400 1,000
Maize Consumption (2009-10)
Imports 3 4 4 4 5 5

29%
Average Daily Volatility 1.10% 0.80% 1.50% 0.60% 1.15% 1.98% 34%
United States
of MCX Spot Prices
China
MSP (Rs. / qtl) 515 525 540 600 915 -
Source: USDA, Ministry of Agriculture EU-27
e-estimates
Brazil

4%
Mexico

Global Yearly Maize Balance Sheets (Estimated June 2009 – 10) in Thousand Metric Tonnes 6% Others

20%
Country Supply Demand 7%
Production Previous Year Stocks Import Consumption Stocks for Next Year Export
Argentina 15,000 1,410 25 5,900 1,535 9,000 Source: USDA

Brazil 54,000 8,579 500 45,500 7,579 10,000


Graph-3
China 162,500 52,694 50 158,000 56,744 500
EU 56,502 6,193 2,500 59,100 4,095 2,000 Corn: Ending Stock & Prices
‘000 tonnes Prices
India 18,500 856 5 17,400 961 1,000 900 900
Mexico 24,000 3,831 7,500 32,200 3,081 50 800 800
700 700
US 303,163 40,652 381 268,237 27,697 48,262
600 600
Others 147,791 24,323 68,765 206,432 23,767 10,680 500 500
Grand Total 781,456 138,538 79,726 792,769 125,459 81,492 400 400
Source: USDA 300 300
200 200
100 100
0 0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
India ES World ES (in 000s) Int. prices (RHS) India prices (RHS)

Source: AgmarkNet, & USDA. ES-ending stock, Indian prices Rs/Qtl, Intl. prices cents/bu

198 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 199
Maize Spot Prices Maize Trading Activity

Other Market Spot (Rs. /qtl.) US Cents per bushel CBOT Open Interest
MCX Spot Nizamabad (Rs. /qtl) WPI of Maize
Bangalore Ratlam, Jaora Indore Chhindwar Dewas Closing Price Volume in Lots^ in Lots^^
Average High Low Average Average Average Average Average Apr-04 316.50 2,543,518.00 656,122.00
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 618.89 477.08 487.65 472.17 478.89 181.50 May-04 304.00 1,656,957.00 632,224.00
May-04 N/T N/T N/T 641.82 505.23 509.96 499.44 522.56 188.20 Jun-04 257.50 2,288,028.00 569,918.00
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 633.48 496.00 506.53 484.11 494.70 182.30 Jul-04 217.25 1,654,232.00 578,473.00
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 642.69 540.64 544.86 524.00 537.07 186.10 Aug-04 227.75 1,755,030.00 529,003.00
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 705.76 577.05 591.20 558.96 553.65 194.90 Sep-04 205.50 1,286,296.00 578,165.00
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T 620.83 571.94 556.30 566.46 551.95 190.40 Oct-04 202.50 1,356,658.00 632,961.00
Oct-04 495.04 513.00 488.00 516.27 530.43 523.20 476.27 516.75 183.40 Nov-04 192.50 2,277,395.00 583,915.00
Nov-04 499.50 525.00 488.00 515.13 541.17 511.40 464.58 523.32 180.60 Dec-04 204.75 1,065,094.00 603,401.00
Dec-04 516.96 530.00 505.00 503.25 562.31 556.85 511.14 538.07 185.70 Jan-05 197.00 1,268,108.00 652,845.00
Jan-05 511.40 525.00 505.00 512.25 565.15 524.04 492.47 534.75 189.10 Feb-05 214.50 2,534,672.00 637,651.00
Feb-05 509.58 515.00 500.00 522.50 576.21 548.26 483.43 629.50 194.60 Mar-05 213.00 2,159,160.00 673,523.00
Mar-05 523.67 530.00 518.00 535.00 599.25 552.60 530.11 558.40 197.90 Apr-05 204.75 2,452,387.00 654,172.00
Apr-05 531.33 542.00 525.00 556.02 583.00 594.86 530.47 582.90 202.20 May-05 222.00 2,188,315.00 685,364.00
May-05 522.87 530.00 518.00 558.91 580.25 579.06 540.39 602.62 201.00 Jun-05 212.25 3,446,275.00 697,419.00
Jun-05 537.92 558.00 520.00 564.38 604.38 628.85 549.36 654.08 202.90 Jul-05 236.50 2,626,115.00 745,191.00
Jul-05 573.76 595.00 552.00 569.44 633.20 657.55 576.74 608.78 206.50 Aug-05 201.50 2,993,647.00 711,196.00
Aug-05 593.92 605.00 570.00 567.50 591.20 623.38 580.41 634.08 204.30 Sep-05 205.50 1,618,706.00 741,239.00
Sep-05 570.20 580.00 560.00 567.81 630.44 681.06 559.50 623.90 206.30 Oct-05 196.25 1,504,356.00 856,707.00
Oct-05 553.35 585.00 537.00 555.36 559.42 597.81 557.73 550.15 203.50 Nov-05 187.50 2,892,360.00 779,442.00
Nov-05 546.50 570.00 530.00 544.17 564.00 571.25 480.38 537.00 199.40 Dec-05 215.75 1,672,671.00 786,205.00
Dec-05 559.52 567.00 555.00 534.60 563.70 584.53 510.64 540.74 204.70 Jan-06 218.75 2,494,775.00 974,780.00
Jan-06 557.32 562.00 553.00 525.00 580.10 577.46 560.31 579.25 209.20 Feb-06 228.00 3,599,175.00 1,067,528.00
Feb-06 557.88 562.00 555.00 552.35 568.77 574.44 562.83 575.06 211.20 Mar-06 236.00 3,041,084.00 1,095,836.00
Mar-06 556.89 561.00 551.00 568.96 599.93 584.97 578.68 566.50 208.20 Apr-06 238.25 3,512,898.00 1,182,714.00
Apr-06 539.06 561.00 523.00 563.06 600.25 635.88 594.56 599.09 209.30 May-06 251.25 3,773,153.00 1,348,989.00
May-06 539.87 545.00 536.00 604.38 599.92 628.30 608.50 602.90 209.00 Jun-06 235.50 4,693,780.00 1,335,969.00
Jun-06 596.42 627.00 550.00 630.66 668.21 660.42 637.33 647.92 213.40 Jul-06 239.00 3,757,979.00 1,394,572.00
Jul-06 630.36 648.00 615.00 685.83 663.50 673.89 654.94 664.70 211.30 Aug-06 232.00 4,226,906.00 1,316,964.00
Aug-06 757.27 878.00 642.00 805.80 721.27 753.62 695.33 729.24 218.90 Sep-06 262.50 3,626,114.00 1,294,494.00
Sep-06 658.85 800.00 610.00 852.62 689.35 747.29 698.68 729.94 221.10 Oct-06 320.75 5,300,239.00 1,374,999.00
Oct-06 637.77 656.00 614.00 754.29 672.00 678.30 637.68 728.75 215.90 Nov-06 377.00 6,369,947.00 1,390,522.00
Nov-06 737.62 770.00 652.00 743.48 757.38 793.40 695.76 785.60 226.80 Dec-06 390.25 2,774,348.00 1,402,433.00
Dec-06 724.96 743.00 720.00 734.25 768.39 797.10 679.35 815.21 239.30 Jan-07 404.00 4,984,664.00 1,483,792.00
Jan-07 717.75 726.00 710.00 750.31 843.27 792.86 681.13 801.15 240.20 Feb-07 425.25 5,111,676.00 1,477,908.00
Feb-07 745.69 756.00 728.00 804.23 841.36 790.69 694.52 809.86 244.80 Mar-07 374.50 4,959,185.00 1,422,407.00
Mar-07 727.56 752.00 713.50 801.90 786.00 712.00 700.46 883.00 249.30 Apr-07 358.00 6,239,483.00 1,252,177.00
Apr-07 750.00 764.50 724.00 823.81 N/A 774.07 760.52 859.83 248.80 May-07 390.25 4,519,983.00 1,274,581.00
May-07 707.00 748.50 695.50 823.54 693.14 751.00 726.48 843.94 244.00 Jun-07 329.50 6,014,846.00 1,184,697.00
Jun-07 734.60 780.00 694.50 825.00 753.53 767.57 720.71 834.50 242.60 Jul-07 325.75 4,194,403.00 1,218,657.00
Jul-07 754.63 769.50 749.50 823.91 786.44 787.35 730.88 776.69 240.70 Aug-07 324.00 4,344,211.00 1,076,382.00
Aug-07 711.98 745.00 672.50 825.00 739.81 783.96 715.60 747.76 236.00 Sep-07 373.00 3,128,903.00 1,156,068.00
Sep-07 677.17 688.00 663.00 825.00 636.43 729.46 672.37 708.92 228.80 Oct-07 375.50 3,306,485.00 1,206,085.00
Oct-07 669.29 688.00 660.00 703.41 656.89 755.97 643.92 625.72 228.30 Nov-07 384.50 4,553,031.00 1,119,824.00
Nov-07 689.78 705.50 670.00 654.78 652.82 667.45 626.97 632.50 225.00 Dec-07 455.50 3,145,918.00 1,291,091.00
Dec-07 701.18 714.50 693.50 662.95 692.84 673.52 659.71 665.89 223.40 Jan-08 501.25 4,213,195.00 1,425,914.00
Jan-08 729.12 751.50 695.50 709.72 725.85 723.07 734.46 735.22 234.30 Feb-08 546.00 5,808,164.00 1,457,997.00
Feb-08 734.36 747.50 724.50 760.83 725.97 735.33 716.28 727.75 237.20 Mar-08 567.25 4,350,811.00 1,391,618.00
Mar-08 759.44 768.00 747.50 757.67 743.39 697.92 714.05 776.73 244.50 Apr-08 600.25 6,501,066.00 1,413,722.00
Apr-08 733.23 764.00 700.00 793.64 757.56 717.29 703.43 750.69 246.00 May-08 599.25 4,876,851.00 1,410,564.00
May-08 744.89 824.00 693.00 792.50 701.25 752.13 706.07 826.42 246.40 Jun-08 724.75 7,593,798.00 1,321,717.00
Jun-08 888.40 952.50 815.50 847.39 798.89 789.43 807.91 802.24 254.60 Jul-08 587.50 5,402,237.00 1,228,618.00
Jul-08 994.80 1100.00 923.00 970.38 829.37 827.70 854.57 848.52 252.50 Aug-08 568.25 4,989,108.00 1,070,206.00
Aug-08 1026.10 1090.50 983.50 1069.58 806.17 801.90 860.17 843.23 252.60 Sep-08 487.50 3,934,661.00 1,035,263.00
Sep-08 1010.34 1060.00 879.00 1038.04 768.83 805.95 836.07 809.73 249.80 Oct-08 401.50 4,549,393.00 989,541.00
Oct-08 890.06 908.00 870.00 974.29 729.21 798.35 739.74 741.53 254.40 Nov-08 349.50 4,448,998.00 869,865.00
Nov-08 877.28 906.50 860.00 900.00 733.50 795.77 745.30 701.95 258.90 Dec-08 407.00 3,266,457.00 809,779.00
Dec-08 848.35 865.50 809.00 877.08 726.52 745.08 728.62 709.67 254.40 Jan-09 379.00 3,042,100.00 819,228.00
Jan-09 835.54 914.00 809.00 839.13 772.06 767.96 798.21 771.50 264.50 Feb-09 350.75 4,487,506.00 736,567.00
Feb-09 830.54 852.50 810.00 872.27 778.50 783.59 799.85 775.67 268.40 Mar-09 404.75 3,685,395.00 808,613.00
Mar-09 806.22 812.00 801.00 855.43 794.07 774.47 794.88 773.77 269.40 Source: Exchanges’ websites
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet; Ministry of Commerce ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month;
^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

200 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 201
Wheat Wheat

Global and Indian fundamentals for wheat (In thousand metric tonnes)
Public Distribution System: Procurement, Off-take and stocks (Mn tonnes)
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e
Year Procurement Procurement Issue Price (Rs/qtl) Offtake Stocks
Production 625,577 619,563 595,620 609,697 682,184 656,062 price (Rs/qtl) under TPDS
APL BPL AAY
Consumption 605,415 616,926 618,194 612,852 632,385 636,586
2004-05 16.80 640 610 415 200 12.89 2.01
Beginning stocks 131,439 149,661 146,664 126,981 119,965 168,397
2005-06 14.79 650 610 415 200 12.04 4.70
Ending Stocks 146,664 126,981 119,965 168,397 181,904 182,650
2006-07 9.23 750 610 415 200 10.25 5.80
Imports 109,728 110,968 114,527 113,651 130,889 117,995
2007-08 11.13 1000 610 415 200 10.83 13.91
Exports 111,668 116,602 111,636 117,512 132,256 123,218
2008-09 18.58 1080 610 415 200 4.28* 16.91
India
2009-10 21.99** - 610 415 200 - 17.02
Production 72,150 68,640 69,350 75,810 78,600 77,500 Source: Food Corporation of India, USDA, Ministry of food and Public Distribution
*upto August 2008
Consumption 72,838 69,980 73,365 76,345 70,300 72,500 ** As on 11 May 2009
$:- An additional incentive bonus of Rs. 50 per quintal was payable over the Minimum Support Price(MSP).
Beginning stocks 6,900 4,100 2,000 4,500 5,800 13,910 $$:- An additional incentive bonus of Rs. 100 per quintal is payable over the Minimum Support Price (MSP).

Ending Stocks 2,000 4,500 5,800 13,910 16,910 16,910


Imports 8 41 6,715 1,885 10 -
Exports 2,120 801 200 50 200 2,000
Average Daily Volatility 0.41% 0.68% 1.28% 1.28% - 1.24%
of MCX Price
CBOT price 542.08 532.95 715.22 1142.16 1130.97 -
Indian Price (Rs. /qtl) Delhi Mkt. 760.21 821.89 983.03 1040.37 1130.42 -
MSP (Rs. /qtl) 640 650$ 750$$ 1000 1080 -
Source: USDA, AgmarkNet, e - estimates
$:- An additional incentive bonus of Rs. 50 per quintal was payable over the Minimum Support Price (MSP).
$$:- An additional incentive bonus of Rs. 100 per quintal is payable over the Minimum Support Price (MSP).

Global Yearly Wheat Balance Sheets in Thousand Metric Tons (Estimated June 2009 – 10)

Country Supply Demand


Production Previous Year Stocks Import Consumption Stocks for Next Year Export
Australia 23,000 5,462 - - 5,987 14,500
Canada 25,000 6,831 - 8,800 6,531 18,000
China 113,500 48,563 - 101,000 59,713 1,500
EU-27 135,961 19,083 6,500 127,500 17,443 18,000
India 77,500 13,910 - 72,500 16,910 2,000
Russia 59,000 8,469 - 40,000 10,269 18,000
United States 54,859 18,154 3,100 34,102 17,610 24,500
Others 167,242 46,883 111,724 257,907 48,187 24,824
World Total 656,062 167,355 121,324 641,809 182,650 121,324
Source: USDA

192 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 193
Monthly Average Futures & Spot of Wheat in India

MCX Futures Price (Rs / qtl) MCX Spot (Rs / qtl)(Delhi) Major markets spot prices (Rs/qtl) WPI of Wheat
Monthly
Open High Low Close Volume^ Open Interest^^ Average Monthly’s High Monthly’s Low Delhi Khanna Karnal Shahjahanpur
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A N/A N/A 180.30
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A N/A N/A 178.00
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 679.26 641.02 645.20 N/A 179.40
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 719.82 710.25 689.76 N/A 179.80
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 759.64 793.21 742.35 N/A 183.90
Sep-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 750.35 788.78 738.55 N/A 183.70
Oct-04 745.00 783.00 745.00 772.00 546.00 72.00 752.87 764.00 740.00 756.58 796.56 737.97 N/A 184.60
Nov-04 776.00 800.00 760.00 791.00 219.00 43.00 767.58 771.00 757.00 772.91 825.53 743.22 N/A 186.70
Dec-04 795.00 795.00 750.00 753.00 128.00 31.00 761.23 769.00 754.00 767.22 838.56 749.60 N/A 187.70
Jan-05 753.00 797.00 731.00 771.00 1,665.00 11.00 764.56 775.00 756.00 774.07 840.80 747.22 N/A 188.50
Feb-05 750.00 785.00 730.00 730.00 677.00 3.00 775.75 786.00 750.00 780.66 839.24 753.46 N/A 189.60
Mar-05 715.00 729.00 669.00 688.00 2,065.00 4.00 750.29 770.00 697.00 750.33 831.12 775.22 N/A 187.20
Apr-05 680.00 725.00 671.00 692.00 351.00 4.00 687.07 700.00 675.00 686.80 724.23 729.85 N/A 180.90
May-05 671.00 769.00 671.00 760.00 1,132.00 216.00 723.57 756.00 696.00 723.90 739.85 731.17 N/A 180.00
Jun-05 740.00 786.00 740.00 773.00 362.00 143.00 757.07 770.00 740.00 757.15 769.94 789.25 766.18 183.60
Jul-05 779.00 789.00 745.00 770.00 378.00 218.00 763.52 768.00 755.00 764.38 786.20 820.55 783.34 186.10
Aug-05 768.00 774.00 736.00 753.00 183.00 86.00 757.07 760.00 752.00 758.39 774.58 816.40 769.06 184.80
Sep-05 754.00 770.00 744.00 770.00 136.00 2.00 759.88 771.00 750.00 761.28 775.94 815.92 772.65 184.90
Oct-05 785.00 842.00 780.00 811.00 1,166.00 - 800.87 815.00 773.00 803.65 812.16 841.71 807.41 187.00
Nov-05 865.20 940.00 793.00 842.90 5,525.00 63.00 855.08 893.00 814.00 862.56 869.46 890.18 871.59 191.00
Dec-05 842.90 898.00 802.00 860.00 11,104.00 13.00 892.38 920.00 870.50 893.61 880.16 843.48 887.25 196.20
Jan-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,854.00 847.00 977.34 1,046.00 897.00 981.38 963.42 926.62 975.16 205.50
Feb-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A 12,757.00 1,710.00 959.15 1,019.00 925.00 959.74 933.79 932.75 976.22 209.00
Mar-06 828.00 855.50 790.00 800.90 31,695.00 4,287.00 928.37 990.90 817.00 921.15 972.07 899.99 957.99 209.40
Apr-06 800.00 913.00 776.00 877.30 18,778.00 1,990.00 796.47 847.50 755.00 791.79 782.68 777.96 834.82 198.90
May-06 877.30 920.00 864.00 877.60 12,670.00 1,835.00 852.55 873.00 823.00 850.39 833.34 852.26 876.92 199.20
Jun-06 874.10 895.00 821.40 848.70 5,406.00 1,520.00 860.49 869.30 839.40 859.91 825.55 848.25 889.31 200.00
Jul-06 851.00 891.00 842.00 889.20 2,507.00 1,026.00 872.50 893.00 861.00 871.38 818.21 840.62 889.53 201.10
Aug-06 895.00 1,004.00 885.10 977.50 1,278.00 199.00 949.06 1,007.90 885.00 949.46 923.79 924.54 973.00 207.40
Sep-06 971.00 998.00 963.10 998.00 194.00 56.00 998.45 1,008.70 980.90 998.50 990.62 968.67 1,030.18 216.80
Oct-06 1,015.00 1,090.00 975.00 1,090.00 303.00 9.00 1,039.66 1,109.00 1,001.50 1,039.62 1,037.22 1,009.27 1,063.56 221.20
Nov-06 1,080.00 1,149.00 1,040.00 1,149.00 2.00 4.00 1,133.33 1,163.90 1,107.10 1,135.53 1,114.63 1,105.38 1,125.29 228.40
Dec-06 1,130.00 1,135.00 1,086.90 1,086.90 104.00 - 1,107.09 1,135.00 1,075.00 1,113.23 1,063.35 1,060.50 1,098.76 233.70
Jan-07 1,086.90 1,130.00 1,044.00 1,045.00 8.00 - 1,079.86 1,101.00 1,014.30 1,084.85 1,077.33 1,036.21 1,081.09 234.50
Feb-07 1,045.00 1,102.40 1,017.90 1,059.90 329.00 - 1,067.58 1,098.00 1,038.70 1,070.45 1,067.99 1,023.02 1,086.38 232.10
Mar-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,042.28 1,044.19 1,007.04 1,065.45 224.50
Apr-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 965.52 984.71 970.90 970.94 218.50
May-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 934.47 954.68 957.24 967.30 217.00
Jun-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 958.61 992.11 950.01 1,003.59 217.10
Jul-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,030.23 1,066.00 1,012.98 1,091.16 222.60
Aug-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,024.93 1,040.23 1,005.64 1,072.42 224.30
Sep-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,020.02 1,028.84 990.82 1,046.80 224.20
Oct-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,057.72 1,058.03 1,025.38 1,053.60 227.10
Nov-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,069.62 1,046.43 1,046.65 1,039.77 230.20
Dec-07 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,057.77 1,042.08 1,037.64 1,034.27 229.80
Jan-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,108.17 1,073.32 1,061.89 1,105.57 231.40
Feb-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,124.53 1,088.81 1,082.33 1,100.47 232.60
Mar-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,132.86 1,113.79 1,101.04 1,107.71 233.40
Apr-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,101.26 1,117.86 1,112.40 1,112.16 233.40
May-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,103.53 1,119.85 1,123.55 1,092.58 232.60
Jun-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,100.26 1,120.58 1,123.85 1,100.85 233.80
Jul-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,085.93 1,123.45 1,113.84 1,106.88 240.80
Aug-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,081.39 1,112.64 1,085.27 1,082.59 239.90
Sep-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,079.72 1,101.21 1,057.43 1,072.15 241.70
Oct-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,118.92 1,115.16 1,070.10 1,083.88 238.50
Nov-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,149.62 1,129.30 1,099.76 1,107.68 239.30
Dec-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,169.17 1,147.79 1,105.54 1,141.02 240.90
Jan-09 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,186.06 1,149.94 1,117.55 1,178.29 243.60
Feb-09 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,211.65 1,174.03 1,125.11 1,225.58 246.80
Mar-09 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,182.58 1,162.62 1,123.29 1,168.43 244.20
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Trading suspended since Feb 28, 2007. N/T-Not traded, N/A-Not available
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month. ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

194 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 195
Wheat Trading Activity

CBOT Graph-1
Closing Price (US cents per bushel) Volume (in lots)^ Open Interest (in lots)^^
Apr-04 381.50 743,990.00 133,700.00 Wheat Production (2009-10)
May-04 362.00 568,090.00 125,828.00
Jun-04 338.00 749,184.00 147,103.00
21%
Jul-04 312.25 489,286.00 158,950.00 32% EU-27
Aug-04 309.75 731,884.00 164,488.00
Sep-04 306.75 494,497.00 153,515.00 China
Oct-04 316.50 470,400.00 159,452.00
Nov-04 289.75 842,557.00 171,459.00 India
Dec-04 307.50 400,322.00 184,262.00
Jan-05 291.00 561,122.00 221,405.00 United States
Feb-05 337.25 1,043,684.00 220,899.00
Mar-05 331.00 822,502.00 225,305.00 17% Russia
Apr-05 318.00 935,308.00 196,618.00
9%
May-05 331.75 694,712.00 218,420.00
Others
Jun-05 321.50 1,088,086.00 224,882.00
9% 12%
Jul-05 327.75 690,469.00 252,672.00
Aug-05 301.50 1,024,814.00 258,536.00 Source: USDA
Sep-05 346.25 659,955.00 290,720.00
Oct-05 317.00 717,505.00 304,963.00
Nov-05 304.00 1,164,594.00 294,869.00 Graph-2
Dec-05 339.25 605,797.00 301,884.00
Jan-06 343.25 889,233.00 349,250.00
Wheat Consumption (2009-10)
Feb-06 370.25 1,421,392.00 390,981.00
Mar-06 347.75 1,059,648.00 385,116.00
Apr-06 346.25 1,305,630.00 380,052.00 20%
May-06 393.50 1,511,472.00 546,729.00
EU-27
Jun-06 371.50 1,617,060.00 454,904.00
Jul-06 397.50 1,056,984.00 409,236.00 41% China
Aug-06 404.00 1,657,109.00 446,462.00
Sep-06 443.00 1,365,891.00 494,862.00 India
Oct-06 483.00 1,938,085.00 456,287.00
16%
Nov-06 502.00 1,613,732.00 420,656.00 Russia
Dec-06 501.00 761,291.00 446,611.00
Jan-07 467.50 1,260,310.00 460,924.00 United States
Feb-07 474.50 1,505,977.00 417,970.00
Mar-07 438.00 1,147,973.00 408,591.00 Others
Apr-07 485.50 2,082,527.00 367,462.00 5% 12%
6%
May-07 517.00 1,170,475.00 378,103.00
Jun-07 582.00 2,310,189.00 392,849.00 Source: USDA
Jul-07 630.00 1,498,320.00 437,376.00
Aug-07 767.00 2,111,348.00 369,951.00
Sep-07 939.00 1,320,262.00 395,231.00 Graph-3
Oct-07 808.00 1,648,353.00 424,380.00
Nov-07 867.00 2,109,675.00 406,861.00
Dec-07 885.00 1,281,761.00 426,936.00 000’ tonnes Wheat: Ending Stock & Prices Prices
Jan-08 929.50 1,861,299.00 448,651.00 18,000 1400
Feb-08 1,073.00 2,527,668.00 400,399.00
16,000 1200
Mar-08 929.00 1,398,683.00 387,432.00
14,000
Apr-08 787.25 1,558,648.00 362,265.00 1000
May-08 761.50 1,121,566.00 362,356.00 12,000
Jun-08 843.50 2,185,659.00 341,562.00 10,000 800
Jul-08 783.75 1,314,165.00 335,565.00 8,000 600
Aug-08 779.25 2,093,613.00 305,592.00 6,000
400
Sep-08 680.00 1,228,113.00 287,361.00 4,000
Oct-08 536.25 1,139,035.00 280,125.00 2,000 200
Nov-08 542.50 1,644,604.00 255,933.00
0 0
Dec-08 610.75 939,081.00 250,604.00
Jan-09 568.00 986,983.00 285,967.00 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
Feb-09 510.50 1,505,806.00 281,066.00 India ES World ES (in 10X) India prices (RHS) CBOT prices (RHS)
Mar-09 532.75 1,213,933.00 313,891.00
Source :Exchanges’ websites. ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month
Source: AgmarkNet & USDA. ES-ending stock, Indian prices Rs/qtl, Int. prices cents/bu
^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

196 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 197
Pulses Pulses

Production of major pulses in India (2004-05 to 2008-09) (in Mn tonnes) State-wise Production of Total Pulses in India (2001-2002 to 2007-2008) (Production: Mn Tonnes)
Tur Urad* Chana Total pulses* States/UTs 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
2004-05 2.35 1.33 5.47 13.13 Andhra Pradesh 1.24 1.02 1.38 1.35 1.75
2005-06 2.74 1.25 5.60 13.39 Karnataka 0.57 0.79 0.96 0.89 1.22
2006-07 2.31 1.44 6.33 14.20 Madhya Pradesh 3.49 3.43 3.23 3.20 2.42
2007-08 3.08 1.46 5.75 14.76 Maharashtra 1.96 1.66 2.01 2.30 3.13
2008-09$ 2.31 1.11 7.05 14.66 Rajasthan 2.28 1.34 0.90 1.48 1.53
Note $ : 4th Advanced estimates, Ministry of Agriculture Govt of India; *includes Kharif and Rabi season crop Uttar Pradesh 2.40 2.38 2.23 1.98 1.54
Source: Agricultural Statistics Division, Directorate of Economics & Statistics Department of Agriculture & Cooperation Govt of India
others 2.97 2.51 2.68 2.99 3.53
India 14.91 13.13 13.38 14.20 15.11
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Govt of India

Import of Pulses by India (2003-04 to 2007-08)


(Quantity: '000 Tonnes; Value: Rs. in Crore; Unit Value: Rs per Kg.)
Year Qty. Value Unit Value
2003-04 1725.51 2288.28 13.26 Country-wise Import of Pulses by India (2002-03 to 2006-07) (Qty. in Tonnes, Value in Rs. Lakh)

2004-05 1312.17 1741.72 13.27 Countries Apr.2004-Mar.2005 Apr.2005-Mar.2006 Apr.2006-Mar.2007 Apr.2007-Oct.2007(P)

2005-06 1628.24 2346.90 14.41 Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value
Australia 78,095 9,566.95 91,629 14,187.75 1,94,198 36,374.57 68,217 13,323.58
2006-07 2270.97 3891.91 17.13
Canada 4,74,002 51,855.5 6,72,887 67,343.08 9,05,325 1,06,396.6 7,65,273 1,19,573.87
2007-08 2791.09 5278.01 18.91
China 27,278 4,957.85 39,280 8,187.73 59,423 18,228.05 6,494 2,165.94
Note : Source : Ministry of Agriculture, Govt. of India
Rajya Sabha Unstarred Question No. 829, dated 24.10.2008. Ethiopia 4,431 671.32 4,627 708.81 6,111 1,469.13 1,541 361.08
France 72,297 84,26.31 32,266 3,125.26 1,06,965 12,205.92 93,716 13,571.15
Myanmar 4,79,229 67,904.3 4,91,030 91,329.8 6,15,622 159,458.00 3,88,247 98,419.12
Russia 4,773 615.64 14,844 2,131.42 21,864 2,489.06 12,923 1,833.44
Export of Pulses from India (2003-04 to 2006-07)
Tanzania 28,019 4,585.25 48,450 8,025.73 33,267 7,171.81 18,883 4,353.82
(Quantity: '000 Tonnes; Value: Rs. in Crore; Unit Value: Rs. per Kg.) Turkey 18,995 4,125.23 18,284 5,115.86 2,970 1,095.08 1,397 382.5
Year Qty. Value Unit Value Ukraine 14,875 1,531.21 31,169 2,928.44 1,21,526 13,426.42 21,003 2,993.59
2003-04 154.09 329.12 21.36 U.S.A. 4,935 717.43 5,22,48 6,274.46 1,46,350 18,584.35 1,18,968 17,821.78
2004-05 277.04 607.73 21.94 Others 142,276 24,256.8 1,99,613 38,354.69 57,345 12,292.12 34,042 7,058.54
2005-06 447.8 1116.07 24.92 Total 1,349,205 179,214 1,696,327 247,713 2,270,966 389,191 1,530,704 281,858
2006-07* (April-Oct.'06) 183.78 553.14 30.1 Compiled from the statistics released by: Lok Sabha Unstarred Question No. 124 dated 20.02.2006 and Lok Sabha Starred Question No. 81 dated 04.03.2008.

Note: *: Provisional; Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Govt. of India

Avg daily volatility of MCX spot prices


Volatility 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Chana 1.14% 1.05% 1.70% 1.54% 1.59% 1.29%
Tur 1.53% 1.15% 1.58% 2.13% - -
Urad 1.26% 1.42% 1.78% 1.39% - -
Source: MCX

202 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 203
Monthly Average Futures & Spot of Chana in India

Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Delhi Other markets monthly average spot prices (Rs/qtl) WPI of chana
Open Interest Ganganagar (Raisinghnagar) Jaipur Avg Udaipur Avg Chhindwara Indore Desi Ganjbasoda
Open High Low Close Volume in lots^ in lots^^ Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low Avg variety variety variety Desi variety variety Desi variety
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1363 1280 1272 1227 1292 1210 137.1
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1396 1334 1261 1226 1284 1225 136.8
Jun-04 1426 1465 1426 1463 76 4 N/T N/T N/T 1372 1326 1227 1158 1301 1196 136.3
Jul-04 1511 1680 1486 1610 738 78 N/T N/T N/T 1375 1360 1306 1229 1323 1220 136.4
Aug-04 1581 1645 1542 1567 3924 358 N/T N/T N/T 1417 1339 1390 1296 1320 1284 138.7
Sep-04 1563 1629 1538 1557 5758 516 1523 1540 1500 1402 1329 1403 1273 1446 1277 139.1
Oct-04 1552 1570 1450 1471 3592 458 1507 1550 1440 1348 1326 1395 1252 1462 1245 138.6
Nov-04 1472 1535 1425 1495 1964 341 1466 1501 1425 1307 1320 1232 1204 1436 1218 137.6
Dec-04 1500 1503 1457 1465 1629 376 1463 1489 1441 1299 1322 1231 1235 1383 1199 136.1
Jan-05 1465 1551 1450 1508 3384 258 1490 1548 1445 1323 1349 1247 1106 1370 1241 136.8
Feb-05 1528 1530 1455 1480 3679 293 1489 1520 1465 1348 1372 1266 1229 1394 1239 135.9
Mar-05 1513 1534 1450 1514 1537 375 1497 1520 1470 1361 1353 1282 1229 1404 1296 135.8
Apr-05 1540 1564 1478 1480 2573 336 1491 1535 1440 1382 1376 1383 1282 1404 1332 136.9
May-05 1514 1514 1450 1495 2435 614 1494 1607 1450 1338 1379 1331 1319 1478 1350 139.8
Jun-05 1619 1816 1596 1779 18790 740 1691 1774 1601 1528 1537 1472 1501 1542 1534 143.3
Jul-05 1778 1926 1775 1858 78801 3503 1844 1903 1752 1642 1696 1598 1670 1749 1586 148.9
Aug-05 1860 1940 1781 1905 38991 1030 1837 1901 1777 1637 1661 1598 1582 1668 1567 152.5
Sep-05 1929 1929 1740 1805 13328 1394 1816 1865 1770 1617 1652 1614 1519 1745 1599 156.1
Oct-05 1813 1956 1813 1951 43295 2270 1890 1931 1816 1687 1669 1718 1610 1635 1703 158.3
Nov-05 1962 2205 1932 1961 52636 3875 2030 2128 1914 1883 1852 1689 1725 1841 1728 164.7
Dec-05 2085 2085 1711 1741 79814 4552 1979 2028 1902 1787 1797 1620 1654 1726 1646 172.4
Jan-06 1748 2000 1745 1854 68316 5169 1987 2046 1804 1795 1842 1659 1516 1775 1676 172.1
Feb-06 1895 2207 1895 2071 193089 3326 1933 2072 1846 1641 1674 1585 1480 1647 1530 169.1
Mar-06 2065 2368 2047 2295 100099 2821 1940 2110 1855 1657 1755 1650 1539 1720 1585 170.1
Apr-06 2295 2603 2241 2447 42321 1824 2144 2206 1980 1926 1967 1938 1737 1977 1761 174.4
May-06 2439 2630 2057 2190 36466 1647 2410 2520 2167 2114 2199 2117 1975 2131 1978 183.3
Jun-06 2195 2476 2105 2424 25726 1284 2365 2473 2120 2207 2187 2144 2023 2124 2003 187.8
Jul-06 2420 2766 2327 2664 14254 1020 2326 2432 2188 2106 2157 2082 1989 2113 2010 189.4
Aug-06 2655 3356 2635 3335 6291 701 2570 2759 2360 2374 2342 2298 2148 2251 2184 196.7
Sep-06 3318 3362 3108 3235 6024 416 3054 3330 2700 2722 2721 2640 2717 3130 2706 217.0
Oct-06 3255 3278 2805 2902 3390 402 3183 3270 3054 2953 3021 2871 2616 2949 2799 237.4
Nov-06 2871 2953 2450 2471 10683 407 2955 3190 2791 2827 2916 2705 2394 2836 2499 240.1
Dec-06 2435 2604 2255 2522 9118 171 2759 2910 2460 2572 2696 2523 2065 2576 2265 235.6
Jan-07 2580 2595 2077 2125 16636 156 2539 2822 2350 2235 2502 2238 2026 2403 2095 224.2
Feb-07 2102 2417 2011 2404 16235 116 2442 2605 2263 2132 2261 2044 1787 2164 2021 217.9
Mar-07 2350 2424 2200 2254 54570 76 2301 2509 2084 1899 2073 1969 1874 2009 2010 200.7
Apr-07 2265 2342 2079 2185 3256 273 2315 2502 2167 2104 2168 2130 2129 2442 2373 199.3
May-07 2184 2216 2147 2206 14886 379 2200 2249 2124 2027 2052 2016 2006 2263 2229 196.4
Jun-07 2355 2355 2245 2254 10661 436 2233 2355 2177 2054 2097 1976 1980 2329 2141 196.2
Jul-07 2247 2355 2205 2256 11363 323 2347 2386 2285 2134 2208 2071 2064 2345 2165 199.9
Aug-07 2255 2320 2150 2312 9755 490 2322 2368 2276 2097 2153 2057 1939 2504 2196 200.1
Sep-07 2318 2429 2243 2370 12345 354 2307 2340 2248 2065 2076 2053 1907 2513 2222 200.3
Oct-07 2369 2389 2264 2264 15495 283 2391 2449 2320 2191 2072 2146 1940 2536 2220 203.0
Nov-07 2278 2278 2115 2118 21302 224 2353 2407 2305 2135 2127 2070 1869 2285 2134 204.1
Dec-07 2118 2263 2104 2242 38003 317 2208 2301 2112 1995 2024 1996 1689 1992 1920 199.7
Jan-08 2240 2884 2240 2883 72574 1286 2199 2244 2156 1974 1997 1939 1764 2104 1918 191.4
Feb-08 2900 3013 2659 2732 83144 1601 2526 2891 2228 2235 2292 2144 2065 2309 2154 196.8
Mar-08 2660 2693 2379 2630 53060 405 2733 2870 2630 2512 2579 2361 2303 2400 2698 212.4
Apr-08 2630 2630 2498 2502 7817 420 2511 2665 2355 2342 2436 2190 2132 2188 2210 212.5
May-08 2488 2488 2395 2409 261 0 2376 2515 2300 2324 2262 2141 1991 2114 2129 206.1
Jun-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2415 2500 2325 2337 2291 2154 1991 2086 2145 208.0
Jul-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2533 2635 2375 2380 2353 2295 2122 2053 2203 209.9
Aug-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2546 2610 2500 2345 2343 2245 2076 2003 2246 215.9
Sep-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2481 2530 2415 2283 2290 2109 2003 2298 2191 215.3
Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2307 2440 2150 2138 2249 2056 1890 2331 2016 214.3
Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2250 2340 2170 2055 2128 1902 1824 2100 1949 207.7
Dec-08 2250 2262 2003 2076 9366 136 2203 2295 2062 1976 2041 1809 1821 1872 1951 211.8
Jan-09 2082 2402 2060 2388 18928 721 2151 2301 2000 1938 1960 1773 1894 2245 1925 203.3
Feb-09 2370 2405 2197 2207 27492 473 2190 2255 2105 2038 2083 1920 1837 N/A 2010 205.3
Mar-09 2192 2279 2175 2185 35173 813 2137 2179 2094 1930 1959 1888 1864 2108 2055 201.8
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce and Industry; ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
Trading in chana futures were suspended from May 7, 2008 to December 3, 2008

204 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 205
Tur Spot Prices Urad Spot Price

MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Other market's monthly average spot prices (Rs/qtl) MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Other market's monthly average spot prices (Rs/qtl)
Monthly Month's Month's Central Delhi Bhopal Indore Bidar (Basavakalyam) Raichur WPI of Tur Monthly Month's Month's Central Delhi Ganganagar WPI of Urad
Average High Low Avg variety Avg variety Avg variety FAQ variety FAQ variety Average High Low Avg. variety Desi variety
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 2008 N/T 1541 1722 1530 173 Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 999 1322 211.8
May-04 N/T N/T N/T 2135 1474 1590 1770 1584 175.8 May-04 N/T N/T N/T 1037 1378 207.8
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 2107 N/A 1597 1756 1446 179.7 Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 1069 1351 206.9
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 2216 1579 1808 1936 1411 184.6 Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 1380 1393 215.6
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 2251 1660 1772 2103 1540 188.1 Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 1451 1466 218.8
Sep-04 2023 2061 1986 2268 1644 1924 2175 1525 197.1 Sep-04 1638 1673 1625 1745 1490 220.8
Oct-04 1871 1975 1691 2089 1543 1840 1811 1064 193 Oct-04 1599 1651 1555 1876 1409 222.7
Nov-04 1688 1741 1641 1815 1100 N/A 1601 1491 182.7 Nov-04 1548 1611 1480 1761 1389 225.1
Dec-04 1588 1651 1525 1599 1318 1258 1599 1600 179.1 Dec-04 1520 1585 1451 1740 1336 220.6
Jan-05 1574 1615 1516 1596 1341 1269 1516 1512 171.3 Jan-05 1503 1541 1445 1768 1371 219.2
Feb-05 1500 1575 1425 1671 1264 1244 1485 1469 165.8 Feb-05 1403 1445 1361 1711 1367 215.3
Mar-05 1546 1575 1525 1714 1337 1226 1512 1425 161.1 Mar-05 1476 1546 1440 1768 1346 210.5
Apr-05 1741 1873 1579 1852 1396 1527 1603 1492 165.4 Apr-05 1728 1886 1531 1930 1381 217.2
May-05 1824 1902 1772 1976 1542 1526 1640 1516 167.2 May-05 1807 1861 1769 1980 1364 229.8
Jun-05 1948 2022 1861 2164 1655 1602 1856 1603 169.1 Jun-05 1838 1869 1798 2091 1567 234.7
Jul-05 2035 2083 1975 2220 1700 1612 2045 1523 174.7 Jul-05 1829 1872 1779 2177 1654 242.2
Aug-05 1805 1952 1646 2041 1594 1424 1943 1428 174.7 Aug-05 1826 1866 1756 2059 1635 244.5
Sep-05 1642 1697 1572 1865 1413 1354 1769 1224 172.4 Sep-05 1799 1911 1718 2139 1577 248.9
Oct-05 1645 1721 1560 1899 1535 1580 1723 1084 174.1 Oct-05 2508 2961 1938 2656 1629 254.4
Nov-05 1655 1787 1532 1911 1450 N/A 1481 1212 174.9 Nov-05 2945 3150 2713 2850 1895 282.9
Dec-05 1576 1621 1533 1801 1339 1313 1587 1562 170.3 Dec-05 2679 2793 2594 2766 1927 299.5
Jan-06 1574 1622 1492 1820 1444 1379 1588 1503 171.1 Jan-06 2763 3042 2514 2970 1631 313.7
Feb-06 1671 1827 1506 1919 1548 1476 1603 1518 164.5 Feb-06 2797 3097 2530 3122 1665 340.9
Mar-06 1817 1981 1665 1984 1655 1554 1764 1635 171.3 Mar-06 3164 3540 2988 3396 1651 335.9
Apr-06 1855 1892 1768 2028 1676 1510 1794 1611 179.2 Apr-06 3335 3552 3136 3697 1935 381.0
May-06 1870 1975 1779 2053 1670 1670 1806 1516 179.1 May-06 3277 3451 3086 3770 2316 385.5
Jun-06 1707 1837 1528 1991 1546 1581 1702 1435 176.9 Jun-06 3124 3212 2947 3272 2135 396.4
Jul-06 1569 1593 1528 1931 1494 1477 1684 1413 175.1 Jul-06 3086 3175 2947 3251 2099 396.2
Aug-06 1600 1713 1474 1953 1537 1535 1717 1395 175 Aug-06 3282 3580 2980 3503 2458 387.6
Sep-06 1784 1911 1675 2157 1550 1569 1944 1514 182.9 Sep-06 3630 3992 3375 3782 2757 403.2
Oct-06 1904 1970 1833 1980 1505 1555 1750 1544 185.4 Oct-06 3817 4009 3660 3583 2976 450.5
Nov-06 1877 1946 1826 1923 1438 1635 1782 1445 182.2 Nov-06 3644 3740 3499 3416 N/A 433.8
Dec-06 1847 1916 1786 1963 1527 1304 N/A 1782 181.6 Dec-06 3408 3550 3225 3188 N/A 423.7
Jan-07 2029 2405 1810 2244 1854 1666 N/A 1988 185.6 Jan-07 3360 3608 3235 3343 2328 401.8
Feb-07 N/A N/A N/A 2331 1986 1968 N/A 1983 191.7 Feb-07 N/A N/A N/A 3323 2031 407.1
Mar-07 N/A N/A N/A 2410 2086 1844 N/A 2000 189.6 Mar-07 N/A N/A N/A 3123 2461 378.5
Apr-07 N/A N/A N/A 2488 2096 1759 N/A 1997 194 Apr-07 N/A N/A N/A 2631 2081 380.5
May-07 N/A N/A N/A 2449 2019 1797 2052 1754 195.4 May-07 N/A N/A N/A 2269 1997 368.1
Jun-07 N/A N/A N/A 2518 1959 2016 2050 1841 196 Jun-07 N/A N/A N/A 2184 2072 362.9
Jul-07 N/A N/A N/A 2550 2139 2130 2242 1962 204.8 Jul-07 N/A N/A N/A 2291 2208 362.6
Aug-07 N/A N/A N/A 2626 2035 1979 2271 1647 211.8 Aug-07 N/A N/A N/A 2314 2169 360.7
Sep-07 N/A N/A N/A 2512 1831 1813 2230 1718 206.1 Sep-07 N/A N/A N/A 2301 N/A 354.4
Oct-07 N/A N/A N/A 2806 1861 2559 2280 2089 208.1 Oct-07 N/A N/A N/A 2381 N/A 344.2
Nov-07 N/A N/A N/A 2902 2007 2568 2315 2096 210.5 Nov-07 N/A N/A N/A 2087 N/A 313.9
Dec-07 N/A N/A N/A 2738 2061 N/A 2350 2409 212.4 Dec-07 N/A N/A N/A 1997 2003 303.1
Jan-08 N/A N/A N/A 2466 2063 1997 2112 2131 219 Jan-08 N/A N/A N/A 1963 2027 294.5
Feb-08 N/A N/A N/A 2666 2319 2359 2228 2231 212.3 Feb-08 N/A N/A N/A 2196 N/A 293.1
Mar-08 N/A N/A N/A 2826 2380 2169 2380 2409 218.5 Mar-08 N/A N/A N/A 2367 N/A 305.0
Apr-08 N/A N/A N/A 2673 2203 2253 2321 2117 216.5 Apr-08 N/A N/A N/A 2261 N/A 312.8
May-08 N/A N/A N/A 2695 2128 2103 2290 2057 213.4 May-08 N/A N/A N/A 2418 N/A 304.8
Jun-08 N/A N/A N/A 2858 2439 2250 2491 2033 216.1 Jun-08 N/A N/A N/A 2482 N/A 308.6
Jul-08 N/A N/A N/A 3074 2573 2414 2914 2397 223.6 Jul-08 N/A N/A N/A 2887 N/A 328.1
Aug-08 N/A N/A N/A 3166 2591 2212 3999 2232 226.6 Aug-08 N/A N/A N/A 2869 N/A 344.2
Sep-08 N/A N/A N/A 3207 2561 2184 2897 2167 228.8 Sep-08 N/A N/A N/A 2884 N/A 345.6
Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A 3256 2444 2504 2986 2524 227.3 Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A 2944 N/A 348.9
Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A 2863 2321 2053 2597 2298 228.5 Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A 2749 N/A 349.2
Dec-08 N/A N/A N/A 2697 2410 2050 2694 2801 227.5 Dec-08 N/A N/A N/A 2668 N/A 345.6
Jan-09 N/A N/A N/A 3115 2579 2630 3035 3141 228.6 Jan-09 N/A N/A N/A 2823 N/A 351.8
Feb-09 N/A N/A N/A 3307 2791 2781 3167 3119 251.2 Feb-09 N/A N/A N/A 2997 N/A 359.2
Mar-09 N/A N/A N/A 3235 3001 2516 3181 3069 253.8 Mar-09 N/A N/A N/A 3001 N/A 362.7
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry Source: MCX, AgmarkNet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry
Note: Futures trading Tur/Arhar is suspended since Feb 2007 Note: Futures trading Urad is suspended since Feb 2007

206 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 207
Pulses Pulses

Graph-3

Tur Production & MSP


in Mn tonnes Rs/qntl
3.5 2200
Graph-1 MSP (RHS) Production
3 2000
India's Pulses Production & Imports
in Mn Tonnes in lakh tonnes 2.5 1800
16 35
14 30 2 1600
12 25
10 1.5 1400
20
8
15 1 1200
6 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09^
4 10
5 Source: Ministry of Agriculture; ^fourth advance estimate
2
0 0
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09$ Graph-4
Other Pulses Chana Urad* Tur Pulses Import (RHS)
Urad* Production & MSP
Source: Dept. of Agriculture. *Kharif & Rabi $fourth advance estimates
in Mn tonnes Rs/qntl
1.5 2800
MSP (RHS) Production
1.45
1.4 2400
Graph-2 1.35
1.3 2000
Statewise Pulses Production in India 1.25
1.2 1600
1.15
1.1 1200
2007-08 1.05
23% 21% 1 800
21% 16% Maharashtra
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09^
2006-07 Madhya Pradesh
Andhra Pradesh Source: Ministry of Agriculture; ^fourth advance estimates *Kharif & Rabi
6%
8% 23% Uttar Pradesh
16%
10% Rajasthan
Graph-5
Karnataka
10% 14% 10%
others
Chana Production & MSP
12% in Mn tonnes Rs/qntl
10%
7.5 1900
MSP (RHS) Production
Source: Ministry of Agriculture 7 1800
6.5 1700
6 1600
5.5 1500
5 1400
4.5 1300
4 1200
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09^

Source: Ministry of Agriculture; ^fourth advance estimates

208 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 209
Sugar Sugar Trading Activity

Global and Indian sugar fundamentals (in thousand metric tonnes) White Sugar LIFFE
Month Closing Price (USD/MT) Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e
Apr-04 228.30 111,003.00 60,844.00
Production 140,664 144,666 164,470 166,480 148,732 159,924 May-04 218.50 56,087.00 56,699.00
Jun-04 223.00 102,827.00 56,493.00
Consumption 141,343 143,639 150,301 152,822 155,129 156,650 Jul-04 251.90 143,426.00 54,222.00
Beginning stocks 38,456 34,710 30,244 36,916 41,061 31,971 Aug-04 246.00 75,966.00 53,864.00
Sep-04 239.40 150,718.00 50,633.00
Ending Stocks 34,710 30,244 36,916 41,061 31,971 31,210 Oct-04 239.00 87,545.00 59,795.00
Imports 44,820 45,300 45,144 44,966 47,955 49,611 Nov-04 254.70 90,941.00 48,309.00
Dec-04 259.30 93,719.00 52,992.00
Exports 46,955 50,020 50,634 52,116 48,248 51,260 Jan-05 269.50 138,913.00 65,391.00
Feb-05 266.00 155,721.00 46,897.00
India
Mar-05 254.40 106,019.00 51,566.00
Production 14,210 21,140 30,780 28,630 16,780 20,750 Apr-05 247.80 108,817.00 40,015.00
May-05 246.00 51,696.00 41,278.00
Consumption 19,500 21,235 22,425 23,550 23,000 23,000
Jun-05 279.60 158,251.00 42,881.00
Beginning stocks 9,070 5,730 4,175 9,850 9,100 4,540 Jul-05 286.20 118,577.00 42,214.00
Aug-05 311.80 121,052.00 56,597.00
Ending Stocks 5,730 4,175 9,850 9,100 4,540 4,770 Sep-05 298.00 171,029.00 52,449.00
Imports 2,000 50 0 0 1,800 2,500 Oct-05 282.50 148,287.00 59,029.00
Nov-05 309.80 126,010.00 61,361.00
Exports 50 1,510 2,680 5,830 140 20 Dec-05 355.20 92,948.00 76,133.00
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices Jan-06 424.00 159,487.00 76,438.00
Feb-06 451.10 166,128.00 68,086.00
Sugar Medium - 0.61% 0.70% 0.48% 0.72% - Mar-06 471.70 137,170.00 65,912.00
Apr-06 474.00 162,367.00 63,902.00
Sugar Small - 0.40% 0.71% 0.65% 0.87% -
May-06 447.00 152,157.00 65,199.00
Source: USDA Extracted on August 6, 2009; E = Estimated Jun-06 465.90 135,250.00 71,051.00
Jul-06 439.50 145,956.00 61,199.00
Aug-06 380.00 125,948.00 63,148.00
Sep-06 377.90 160,910.00 54,203.00
Global Sugar Balance Sheet (Estimated 2009-10) in thousand metric tonnes Oct-06 400.00 111,884.00 58,778.00
Nov-06 369.40 147,349.00 50,378.00
Supply Demand Dec-06 342.80 79,346.00 53,621.00
Jan-07 336.90 131,374.00 63,857.00
Country Beginning Total Sugar Total Total Domestic Ending
Feb-07 332.90 128,619.00 60,469.00
Stocks Production Imports Exports Consumption Stocks
Mar-07 332.00 174,770.00 77,833.00
Brazil 665 36,850 24,300 12,250 965 Apr-07 308.00 166,403.00 82,018.00
May-07 339.00 175,963.00 91,830.00
China 3,395 14,500 900 40 15,410 3,345 Jun-07 320.50 185,962.00 77,307.00
EU-27 3,668 17,000 4,500 1,505 18,800 3,363 Jul-07 309.40 213,241.00 63,379.00
Aug-07 279.50 156,009.00 78,309.00
India 4,540 20,750 2,500 20 23,000 4,770 Sep-07 280.20 217,764.00 85,966.00
Thailand 2,351 7,500 5,700 2,100 2,051 Oct-07 283.60 205,544.00 105,791.00
Nov-07 287.70 227,327.00 81,738.00
Others 17,352 63,324 41,711 19,695 85,090 16,716 Dec-07 315.00 111,053.00 82,420.00
Jan-08 350.20 279,977.00 87,017.00
World Total 31,971 159,924 49,611 51,260 156,650 31,210
Feb-08 387.20 207,453.00 66,707.00
Source: USDA Extracted on August 6, 2009 Mar-08 334.70 142,331.00 59,961.00
Apr-08 337.50 139,804.00 56,083.00
May-08 320.00 92,807.00 53,217.00
Jun-08 383.70 153,428.00 71,539.00
Jul-08 386.20 137,739.00 61,107.00
Aug-08 398.00 104,971.00 70,758.00
Sep-08 379.60 152,409.00 61,627.00
Oct-08 334.20 120,137.00 47,924.00
Nov-08 327.90 70,673.00 44,510.00
Dec-08 318.00 51,330.00 49,159.00
Jan-09 373.50 112,425.00 60,153.00
Feb-09 401.00 138,964.00 61,168.00
Mar-09 392.80 151,055.00 72,150.00
Source : Exchanges’ websites; ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

210 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 211
Sugar Spot Prices

MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Other markets spot prices


Medium Small
Month Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low Delhi Mumbai WPI of Sugar
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 133.90
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 140.00
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 141.30
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/A 1,541.00 141.10
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,648.00 1,618.00 144.30
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,661.00 1,606.00 148.30
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,653.00 1,617.00 147.50
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,626.00 1,610.00 147.60
Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,739.00 1,709.00 149.80
Jan-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 1,894.00 1,850.00 162.60
Feb-05 1,809.00 1,840.00 1,780.00 1,772.00 1,790.00 1,760.00 1,825.00 1,779.00 160.40
Mar-05 1,851.00 1,900.00 1,800.00 1,796.00 1,810.00 1,780.00 1,834.00 1,799.00 161.00
Apr-05 1,796.00 1,830.00 1,775.00 1,800.00 1,830.00 1,765.00 1,788.00 1,812.00 160.60
May-05 1,772.00 1,807.00 1,760.00 1,772.00 1,795.00 1,761.00 1,759.00 1,790.00 159.40
Jun-05 1,770.00 1,807.00 1,718.00 1,758.00 1,785.00 1,735.00 1,757.00 1,776.00 158.30
Jul-05 1,854.00 1,872.00 1,800.00 1,821.00 1,858.00 1,755.00 1,840.00 1,849.00 161.40
Aug-05 1,859.00 1,875.00 1,845.00 1,850.00 1,883.00 1,813.00 1,848.00 1,898.00 163.40
Sep-05 1,835.00 1,848.00 1,820.00 1,780.00 1,809.00 1,750.00 1,824.00 1,811.00 162.30
Oct-05 1,870.00 1,900.00 1,805.00 1,800.00 1,815.00 1,758.00 1,864.00 1,830.00 163.00
Nov-05 1,868.00 1,923.00 1,805.00 1,828.00 1,845.00 1,810.00 1,854.00 1,857.00 164.90
Dec-05 1,830.00 1,849.00 1,802.00 1,806.00 1,823.00 1,798.00 1,814.00 1,837.00 162.90
Jan-06 1,957.00 2,024.00 1,850.00 1,862.00 1,915.00 1,798.00 1,946.00 1,888.00 166.30
Feb-06 2,052.00 2,108.00 2,008.00 1,919.00 1,984.00 1,865.00 2,050.00 1,958.00 173.40
Mar-06 1,981.00 2,026.00 1,937.00 1,819.00 1,875.00 1,794.00 1,955.00 1,872.00 171.90
Apr-06 2,017.00 2,064.00 1,982.00 1,890.00 1,930.00 1,814.00 2,004.00 1,940.00 171.90
May-06 2,018.00 2,052.00 1,939.00 1,918.00 2,046.00 1,868.00 2,015.00 1,945.00 173.30
Jun-06 1,971.00 2,016.00 1,919.00 1,871.00 1,900.00 1,830.00 1,964.00 1,901.00 173.20
Jul-06 1,943.00 1,964.00 1,923.00 1,833.00 1,852.00 1,822.00 1,921.00 1,874.00 171.60
Aug-06 1,919.00 1,955.00 1,870.00 1,833.00 1,852.00 1,809.00 1,906.00 1,870.00 170.60
Sep-06 1,868.00 1,903.00 1,837.00 1,772.00 1,810.00 1,745.00 1,854.00 1,807.00 169.00
Oct-06 1,891.00 1,916.00 1,875.00 1,707.00 1,680.00 1,658.00 1,878.00 1,780.00 166.60
Nov-06 1,855.00 1,890.00 1,785.00 1,662.00 1,690.00 1,633.00 1,841.00 1,757.00 164.80
Dec-06 1,739.00 1,780.00 1,700.00 1,555.00 1,630.00 1,500.00 1,731.00 1,644.00 161.50
Jan-07 1,647.00 1,713.00 1,611.00 1,470.00 1,495.00 1,423.00 1,636.00 1,558.00 155.20
Feb-07 1,579.00 1,621.00 1,527.00 1,396.00 1,437.00 1,335.00 1,559.00 1,476.00 152.30
Mar-07 1,543.00 1,554.00 1,529.00 1,436.00 1,454.00 1,394.00 1,518.00 1,512.00 149.30
Apr-07 1,492.00 1,552.00 1,432.00 1,361.00 1,456.00 1,269.00 1,452.00 1,444.00 148.20
May-07 1,444.00 1,478.00 1,401.00 1,245.00 1,269.00 1,224.00 1,412.00 1,337.00 143.80
Jun-07 1,455.00 1,475.00 1,442.00 1,252.00 1,307.00 1,233.00 1,420.00 1,334.00 141.10
Jul-07 1,447.00 1,474.00 1,434.00 1,299.00 1,333.00 1,276.00 1,415.00 1,373.00 140.90
Aug-07 1,432.00 1,443.00 1,419.00 1,255.00 1,272.00 1,238.00 1,410.00 1,328.00 140.20
Sep-07 1,476.00 1,495.00 1,442.00 1,285.00 1,294.00 1,266.00 1,446.00 1,356.00 141.20
Oct-07 1,489.00 1,499.00 1,478.00 1,292.00 1,303.00 1,281.00 1,469.00 1,379.00 141.50
Nov-07 1,499.00 1,506.00 1,491.00 1,273.00 1,287.00 1,255.00 1,472.00 1,358.00 140.90
Dec-07 1,480.00 1,497.00 1,450.00 1,274.00 1,287.00 1,260.00 1,445.00 1,356.00 140.60
Jan-08 1,537.00 1,574.00 1,473.00 1,354.00 1,378.00 1,289.00 1,498.00 1,422.00 143.20
Feb-08 1,562.00 1,587.00 1,539.00 1,330.00 1,358.00 1,314.00 1,537.00 1,410.00 144.40
Mar-08 1,630.00 1,667.00 1,551.00 1,435.00 1,464.00 1,350.00 1,615.00 1,509.00 146.90
Apr-08 1,617.00 1,662.00 1,591.00 1,417.00 1,468.00 1,394.00 1,603.00 1,500.00 149.60
May-08 1,598.00 1,614.00 1,585.00 1,404.00 1,420.00 1,396.00 1,582.00 1,479.00 149.10
Jun-08 1,570.00 1,586.00 1,558.00 1,401.00 1,404.00 1,399.00 1,559.00 1,479.00 148.10
Jul-08 1,686.00 1,800.00 1,560.00 1,525.00 1,641.00 1,406.00 1,690.00 1,580.00 149.80
Aug-08 1,935.00 1,995.00 1,790.00 1,807.00 1,901.00 1,641.00 1,918.00 1,884.00 158.30
Sep-08 1,884.00 1,968.00 1,839.00 1,700.00 1,800.00 1,663.00 1,840.00 1,775.00 160.60
Oct-08 1,943.00 1,976.00 1,897.00 1,709.00 1,735.00 1,683.00 1,858.00 1,778.00 160.60
Nov-08 1,920.00 1,933.00 1,908.00 1,760.00 1,772.00 1,716.00 1,854.00 1,824.00 160.90
Dec-08 1,941.00 1,990.00 1,884.00 1,833.00 1,890.00 1,770.00 1,936.00 1,885.00 161.00
Jan-09 2,142.00 2,300.00 2,000.00 1,946.00 2,024.00 1,864.00 2,120.00 2,009.00 167.40
Feb-09 2,337.00 2,351.00 2,304.00 2,102.00 2,125.00 2,084.00 2,278.00 2,147.00 179.20
Mar-09 2,247.00 2,290.00 2,218.00 2,023.00 2,092.00 1,967.00 2,215.00 2,113.00 180.30
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce & Industry
NT-Not traded, N/-Not Available
212 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 213
Sugar
Graph-1

Sugar Production (2008-09)

22%
Brazil
42%
EU-27

India

11%
China

Thailand

Others
11%

5%
9%
Source: USDA

Graph-2
Sugar Consumption (2008-09)

15%

India

EU-27
12%
50% China

Brazil

9% United States

8% Others

6%
Source: USDA

Graph-3

Sugar: Ending Stock & Prices


‘000 tonnes Prices
12,000 2000
1800
10,000 1600
8,000 1400
1200
6,000 1000
800
4,000 600
2,000 400
200
0 0
2002 -03 2003 -04 2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09

India ES World ES (5x) Mumbai prices (RHS) London prices (RHS)

Source: AgmarkNet, USDA. ES-ending stock, Indian prices Rs/Qtl, Int. prices Rs/Qtl

214 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 215
Coffee Global Yearly Balance Sheet (Estimated June 2009 – 10) in thousand 60 Kg bags

Global and Indian fundamentals (thousand 60Kg bags) Country Supply Demand
Beginning Stocks Total Production Total Imports Total Exports Domestic Use Ending Stocks
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Brazil 6,011 43,500 0 28,100 18,470 2,941
Beginning Stocks 42,807 46,006 38,611 42,838 37,729 40,063
Colombia 461 12,200 400 11,370 1,250 441
Total Production 122,616 116,951 133,465 122,838 134,768 127,443
Indonesia 183 7,600 400 5,680 2,350 153
Total Imports 82,571 83,153 88,000 87,349 89,612 87,885
India 1,773 4,900 200 3,810 1620 1,443
Total Exports 93,482 92,723 101,725 96,202 101,159 99,039
Vietnam 2,611 18,350 101 18,028 995 2,039
Domestic Use 108,506 114,776 115,513 119,094 120,887 121,059
Others 29,024 40,893 86,784 32,051 96,374 28,276
Ending Stocks 46,006 38,611 42,838 37,729 40,063 35,293
Grand Total 40,063 1,27,443 87,885 99,039 1,21,059 35,293
Source: USDA
India
Beginning Stocks 406 1,734 1,812 2,228 1,985 1,773
Total Production 4,672 4,617 4,800 4,665 4,375 4,900
Selected State/District-wise Production of Coffee in India (2005-2006 to 2008-2009)
Total Imports 696 376 334 330 200 200 (In Tonnes)
Total Exports 2,790 3,580 3,664 3,664 3,167 3,810
States/Districts 2005-06# 2006-07# 2007-08# 2008-09#
Domestic Use 1,250 1,335 1,054 1,574 1,620 1,620 Total Total Total Total
Ending Stocks 1,734 1,812 2,228 1,985 1,773 1,443 Karnataka
Chikmagalur 65,400.00 72,550.00 63,700.00 71,750.00
Kodagu* 105,050.00 107,500.00 108,700.00 114,370.00
Hassan 25,825.00 25,975.00 19,175.00 28,050.00
Volatility (Robusta) - - - 1.92% 2.02% 1.74%
Sub Total 196,275.00 206,025.00 191,575.00 214,170.00
Indian Price Kerala
Source: USDA, *Estimated, June 2009-10 Wyanad 46,675.00 49,000.00 40,325.00 47,510.00
Travancore 7,825.00 8,150.00 6,675.00 7,815.00
Nelliampathies 2,325.00 2,325.00 2,000.00 1,875.00
Sub Total 56,825.00 59,475.00 49,000.00 57,200.00
Tamil Nadu
Pulneys 8,200.00 7,900.00 8,000.00 5,825.00
Nilgiris 5,025.00 5,100.00 4,850.00 5,200.00
Shevroys (Salem) 3,600.00 3,225.00 3,150.00 3,100.00
Anamalais (Coimbatore) 2,000.00 2,000.00 2,100.00 2,500.00
Sub Total 18,825.00 18,225.00 18,100.00 16,625.00
Non Traditional Areas
Andhra Pradesh & Orissa 1,825.00 4,085.00 3,175.00 4,880.00
North Eastern Region 250.00 190.00 150.00 125.00
Sub Total 2,075.00 4,275.00 3,325.00 5,005.00
Non Conventional Areas - - - -
Grand Total (India) 274,000.00 288,000.00 262,000.00 293,000.00
Note: * : Including Mysore; # : Post-Monsoon Estimate; @: Post Blossom Estimate; Compiled from the statistics released by: Coffee Board.

216 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 217
Coffee Prices Coffee Trading Activity

Monthly Average Domestic Prices Coffee Arabica ICE futures Coffee Robusta NYSE-LIFFE London (USD/MT)
MCX Spot, Kaushal Nagar (in Rs/Kg) WPI of Coffee
(Arabica Cherry AB) (Robusta Cherry AB) Close Price (US sents/lb) Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^ Closing Price Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^
Monthly Average Month’s High Month’s Low Rs./50 kg Rs./50kg Apr-04 67.15 395,552.00 96,811.00 N/T N/T N/T
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,740.00 1,510.00 89.80 May-04 85.55 324,849.00 108,638.00 N/T N/T N/T
May-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,550.00 1,638.00 101.90 Jun-04 73.10 518,037.00 86,614.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,683.00 1,772.00 103.50 Jul-04 66.45 246,084.00 89,603.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,620.00 1,806.00 107.30 Aug-04 69.30 366,171.00 81,082.00 N/T N/T N/T
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,493.00 1,889.00 105.70 Sep-04 82.35 305,196.00 88,838.00 N/T N/T N/T
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,787.00 1,870.00 105.70 Oct-04 74.40 280,733.00 76,529.00 N/T N/T N/T
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T 2,728.00 1,872.00 105.70 Nov-04 94.45 451,475.00 97,071.00 N/T N/T N/T
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T 3,193.00 1,819.00 105.70 Dec-04 103.75 305,055.00 110,371.00 N/T N/T N/T
Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T 3,700.00 1,928.00 111.40 Jan-05 105.35 363,364.00 104,804.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jan-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,073.00 1,850.00 128.60 Feb-05 119.15 640,446.00 109,652.00 N/T N/T N/T
Feb-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,500.00 2,093.33 128.60 Mar-05 126.40 369,200.00 116,274.00 N/T N/T N/T
Mar-05 N/T N/T N/T 5,066.00 3,200.50 128.60 Apr-05 125.15 459,018.00 99,695.00 N/T N/T N/T
Apr-05 N/T N/T N/T 5,029.00 3,375.00 128.60 May-05 118.35 247,690.00 94,661.00 N/T N/T N/T
May-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,921.00 3,004.00 128.60 Jun-05 104.65 428,227.00 90,240.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jun-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,800.00 2,911.00 128.60 Jul-05 103.15 242,083.00 93,417.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jul-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,084.67 2,939.11 128.60 Aug-05 97.75 404,307.00 83,083.00 N/T N/T N/T
Aug-05 N/T N/T N/T 3,706.67 2,750.00 139.40 Sep-05 93.45 259,147.00 86,490.00 N/T N/T N/T
Sep-05 N/T N/T N/T 3,900.00 2,575.00 172.10 Oct-05 96.65 266,697.00 85,315.00 N/T N/T N/T
Oct-05 N/T N/T N/T 3,665.50 2,722.50 171.70 Nov-05 93.00 376,844.00 77,243.00 N/T N/T N/T
Nov-05 N/T N/T N/T 4,028.00 2,779.66 171.70 Dec-05 107.10 223,997.00 82,113.00 N/T N/T N/T
Dec-05 N/T N/T N/T 3,701.00 2,934.67 171.70 Jan-06 118.20 357,994.00 114,017.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jan-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,625.00 3,156.50 164.90 Feb-06 111.80 416,964.00 94,778.00 N/T N/T N/T
Feb-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,255.00 2,975.00 171.90 Mar-06 107.00 337,826.00 106,998.00 N/T N/T N/T
Mar-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,150.00 3,100.00 171.90 Apr-06 107.20 429,249.00 98,131.00 N/T N/T N/T
Apr-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,250.00 2,725.00 171.90 May-06 98.95 339,432.00 118,730.00 N/T N/T N/T
May-06 N/T N/T N/T N/T 2,925.00 172.50 Jun-06 99.50 476,542.00 118,862.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jun-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,100.00 2,819.33 172.30 Jul-06 99.35 297,457.00 121,336.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jul-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,375.00 2,988.33 172.30 Aug-06 104.00 481,870.00 100,373.00 N/T N/T N/T
Aug-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,400.00 3,102.00 172.30 Sep-06 107.65 257,090.00 107,757.00 N/T N/T N/T
Sep-06 N/T N/T N/T N/A 3,550.00 172.30 Oct-06 108.25 313,459.00 116,804.00 N/T N/T N/T
Oct-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,600.00 3,387.50 192.20 Nov-06 119.70 492,904.00 117,787.00 N/T N/T N/T
Nov-06 N/T N/T N/T N/A 3,535.00 196.20 Dec-06 126.20 286,833.00 127,610.00 N/T N/T N/T
Dec-06 N/T N/T N/T 4,400.00 3,553.50 196.20 Jan-07 117.65 348,992.00 133,332.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jan-07 70.06 70.17 69.95 4,841.00 N/A 196.20 Feb-07 117.70 462,586.00 129,905.00 N/T N/T N/T
Feb-07 69.14 71.33 66.19 5,100.00 3,607.00 196.20 Mar-07 109.25 225,244.00 154,784.00 N/T N/T N/T
Mar-07 66.28 68.04 64.24 4,675.00 3,534.00 196.20 Apr-07 103.15 308,547.00 147,305.00 N/T N/T N/T
Apr-07 66.03 67.89 63.45 5,000.00 3,557.00 196.20 May-07 111.90 160,544.00 163,121.00 N/T N/T N/T
May-07 68.08 70.47 64.33 4,589.00 3,565.60 199.30 Jun-07 111.00 185,738.00 155,308.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jun-07 75.46 78.04 69.81 4,614.00 3,822.00 197.70 Jul-07 114.30 150,116.00 175,837.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jul-07 74.51 77.18 70.99 4,025.00 3,935.00 197.70 Aug-07 112.65 192,560.00 157,247.00 N/T N/T N/T
Aug-07 70.95 74.21 67.91 4,635.00 3,889.33 197.70 Sep-07 128.65 156,480.00 169,316.00 N/T N/T N/T
Sep-07 75.11 80.73 70.31 N/A 3,800.00 197.70 Oct-07 121.35 208,369.00 169,660.00 N/T N/T N/T
Oct-07 81.11 88.33 72.82 N/A 3,897.00 204.30 Nov-07 125.95 303,557.00 154,516.00 N/T N/T N/T
Nov-07 74.23 77.83 71.03 4,888.00 3,972.00 205.10 Dec-07 136.20 213,118.00 165,819.00 N/T N/T N/T
Dec-07 72.57 75.66 69.51 5,100.00 3,987.00 205.10 Jan-08 138.15 419,096.00 184,344.00 N/T N/T N/T
Jan-08 78.76 83.43 75.15 5,105.00 3,954.00 205.10 Feb-08 164.60 676,655.00 194,260.00 2,718.00 16.00 3.00
Feb-08 92.36 106.41 82.85 5,850.00 4,975.00 205.10 Mar-08 127.40 515,528.00 162,285.00 2,234.00 5.00 20.00
Mar-08 102.14 112.82 91.02 5,403.00 N/A 215.50 Apr-08 134.55 556,004.00 150,031.00 2,220.00 10.00 25.00
Apr-08 90.19 92.90 88.17 5,276.33 N/A 218.10 May-08 133.90 354,887.00 152,312.00 2,212.00 N/A 25.00
May-08 93.87 100.11 86.42 5,650.00 4,750.00 226.00 Jun-08 150.90 642,074.00 146,413.00 2,396.00 413.00 355.00
Jun-08 97.96 104.41 93.91 5,461.00 4,775.00 234.60 Jul-08 139.35 317,917.00 146,712.00 2,317.00 1,115.00 1,132.00
Jul-08 102.07 111.80 97.50 5,845.00 5,055.60 234.60 Aug-08 141.90 503,521.00 128,405.00 2,275.00 1,851.00 2,140.00
Aug-08 98.74 103.00 93.10 6,000.00 5,108.33 234.60 Sep-08 130.45 376,407.00 137,031.00 1,992.00 12,300.00 9,340.00
Sep-08 97.77 102.30 93.90 6,050.00 5,300.00 239.60 Oct-08 113.00 379,524.00 126,400.00 1,558.00 37,083.00 20,735.00
Oct-08 83.56 93.90 76.70 5,900.00 5,000.00 248.60 Nov-08 114.10 380,032.00 109,212.00 1,746.00 48,169.00 37,971.00
Nov-08 88.47 101.00 76.20 N/A 4,929.33 248.00 Dec-08 112.05 245,826.00 122,856.00 1,522.00 103,124.00 70,433.00
Dec-08 90.08 99.70 83.30 N/A 4,800.00 246.60 Jan-09 118.90 289,485.00 136,200.00 1,715.00 119,578.00 73,992.00
Jan-09 81.02 84.60 74.90 4,800.00 4,348.66 246.60 Feb-09 109.45 402,125.00 124,939.00 1,543.00 239,134.00 76,791.00
Feb-09 79.02 81.10 76.90 5,450.00 4,800.00 246.60 Mar-09 115.75 319,572.00 142,245.00 1,524.00 144,470.00 80,239.00
Mar-09 78.36 80.30 73.90 5,450.00 4,150.00 246.60 Source: Exchanges' websites
N/T-Not Traded, N/A-Not Available
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce & Industry
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
N/T-Not Traded, N/A-Not Available

218 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 219
Coffee
Graph-1

Coffee Production (2009-10)

30% Brazil
38%

Vietnam

Colombia

Indonesia

Ethiopia
3%
6% Others

Source: USDA 8% 15%

Graph-2

Coffee Consumption (2009-10)

23%
EU-27
36%

United States

Brazil
2%
6% Japan

Indonesia

15% Others

18%
Source: USDA

Graph-3

Coffee: Ending Stock & Prices


000 tonnes Prices
2500 140

120
2000
100

1500
80

1000 60

40
500
20

0 0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

India ES World ES (in 50s) India prices (RHS) Robusta New York (RHS)

Source: Agmarknet & USDA. ES - ending stock, Indian prices Rs/kg, Int. prices Rs/kg,

220 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS


Cotton Global Yearly Cotton Balance Sheets (Estimated June2009 – 10) in Thousand 480 lb bales

Global and Indian fundamentals of Cotton (in Thousand 480 Lb bales) Country Supply Demand
Production Previous Year Stocks Import Consumption Stocks for Next Year Export
World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10e
China 33,000 19,224 8,500 44,500 16,149 75
Production 121,504 116,691 121,953 120,528 106,929 105,952
India 25,000 11,084 400 18,000 12,084 6,400
Consumption 107,519 114,811 121,261 120,206 107,851 110,075
US 13,250 6,600 5 3,455 5,600 10,800
Beginning stocks 48,057 60,457 62,245 62,782 62,080 61,155
Pakistan 9,200 3,388 3,500 12,525 3,363 200
Ending Stocks 60,457 62,245 63,282 63,260 61,945 57,814
Brazil 5,500 5,251 100 4,050 4,901 1,900
Exports 35,014 44,584 37,037 38,313 29,112 31,662
Uzbekistan 4,500 2,448 900 2,048 4,000
Imports 33,429 44,492 37,382 37,989 28,339 31,654
Others 15,809 13,160 20,149 27,445 12,396 9,277
Grand Total 106,259 61155 32,654 110,875 56,541 32,652
India
Source: USDA
Production 19,000 19,050 21,800 24,600 22,500 25,000
Consumption 14,800 16,700 18,100 18,300 17,750 18,300
Selected State-wise Purchases Made by CCI under Support Price and Commercial Operations in India
Beginning stocks 4,186 8,764 8,064 7,664 7,384 10,684
(2003-04 to 2006-07) in bales of 170 Kg Each
Ending Stocks 8,764 8,064 7,664 7,384 11,084 12,084 Selected State-wise Purchases Made by CCI under Support Price and Commercial Operations in India
Exports 660 3,450 4,565 7,030 2,100 6,400 (2003-04 to 2006-07) In bales of 170 Kg Each
States 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07*
Imports 1,038 400 465 450 550 400 Maharashtra
Support - 167,367 295,206 534,358
Commercial 328,246 3,068 29,883 2,964
Average Daily Volatility of MCX Spot Prices Total 328,246 170,435 325,089 537,322
Cotton Long - 0.43% 26.27% 0.50% 1.06% - Andhra Pradesh
Support - 1,210,635 350,058 525,516
Cotton Medium - 1.00% 0.66% 0.80% 0.90% - Commercial 184,520 63 489
Total 184,520 1,210,698 350,547 525,516
Gujarat
MSP (F-414/H-777/J34) 1760 1760 1770* 1800* 2500a - Support - 482,556 293,167
Commercial 231,416 6,895 45,400 140,256
MSP (H-4) 1960 1980 1990** 2030** 3000aa - Total 231,416 489,451 338,567 140,256
Source: USDA Madhya Pradesh
*: Medium Staple Support - 153,307 118,267 89,510
**: Long Staple Commercial 25,886 696 2,361 1,209
a : Staple length (mm) of 245 - 25.5 and Micronaire value of 4.3 - 5.1 Total 25,886 154,003 120,628 90,719
aa : Staple length (mm) of 29.5 - 30.5 and Micronaire value of 3.5 - 4.3 Rajasthan
e : Estimates Support - 259,815 70,159 -
Commercial 83,852 20,917 1,526 60,215
Total 83,852 280,732 71,685 60,215
Abbr. : CCI : Cotton Corporation of India.
Note : * : Provisional upto 24th February, 2007.
Compiled from the statistics released by: Ministry of Agriculture, Govt. of India.

222 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 223
Cotton Spot Prices

MCX Spot, Abohar (Medium Cotton) (Rs/ maund) MCX Spot, Kadi (Long Cotton) (in Rs/candy) Other market spot (Rs/Kg) WPI of Raw
Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Cotton
Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low Monthly Average Month's High Month's Low DCH - 32 (Si) Shankar-6 / Shankar-4 V-797
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 66.19 43.92 185.00
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 65.94 44.22 184.80
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 66.16 45.20 184.70
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 66.37 47.36 185.60
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 64.89 47.52 185.50
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 85.79 64.81 47.52 182.80
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 83.52 52.98 43.98 159.30
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 79.86 49.49 39.72 153.30
Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 80.70 46.12 33.60 144.30
Jan-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 80.48 46.01 32.12 142.10
Feb-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 84.01 44.78 30.09 139.60
Mar-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 87.14 45.98 31.21 140.60
Apr-05 16,336.88 16,400.00 16,300.00 1,554.18 1,590.00 1,525.00 88.58 46.79 31.50 142.80
May-05 16,338.85 16,480.00 16,200.00 1,658.46 1,680.00 1,600.00 88.58 46.12 30.09 143.20
Jun-05 16,475.00 16,700.00 16,350.00 1,684.23 1,710.00 1,665.00 88.58 45.84 29.81 143.50
Jul-05 16,716.00 16,910.00 16,550.00 1,667.80 1,680.00 1,645.00 88.58 45.84 29.81 144.50
Aug-05 16,561.54 16,600.00 16,500.00 1,643.85 1,650.00 1,635.00 88.58 45.84 29.81 144.30
Sep-05 16,816.00 17,200.00 16,400.00 1,599.12 1,655.00 1,535.00 89.22 46.70 30.86 141.70
Oct-05 16,868.52 17,100.00 16,600.00 1,571.81 1,620.00 1,525.00 88.92 48.82 31.55 141.40
Nov-05 16,973.08 17,500.00 16,800.00 1,660.27 1,740.00 1,610.00 88.58 49.00 31.99 143.70
Dec-05 17,788.89 18,100.00 17,150.00 1,753.22 1,845.00 1,695.00 105.45 49.61 36.33 150.70
Jan-06 18,046.00 18,300.00 18,000.00 1,706.33 1,745.00 1,628.00 119.52 50.57 39.79 150.70
Feb-06 18,079.17 18,200.00 18,000.00 1,657.58 1,680.00 1,635.00 113.19 50.13 37.33 143.80
Mar-06 18,003.26 18,100.00 17,988.00 1,636.74 1,725.00 1,590.00 101.25 49.49 31.70 140.90
Apr-06 18,139.58 18,300.00 18,000.00 1,802.71 1,860.00 1,725.00 102.36 50.13 32.34 144.60
May-06 17,824.07 18,100.00 17,450.00 1,798.89 1,840.00 1,775.00 104.04 48.62 32.06 142.90
Jun-06 17,083.08 17,950.00 1,760.00 1,810.42 1,820.00 1,800.00 104.04 47.99 31.92 144.00
Jul-06 18,379.60 18,800.00 17,950.00 1,831.48 1,845.00 1,820.00 103.48 49.17 33.80 149.90
Aug-06 19,572.69 20,200.00 18,850.00 1,871.73 1,905.00 1,835.00 102.29 51.38 37.61 159.10
Sep-06 18,715.77 19,900.00 2,000.00 1,816.62 1,900.00 1,755.00 106.43 52.68 38.58 160.50
Oct-06 18,463.46 19,200.00 18,100.00 1,725.27 1,762.00 1,705.00 100.17 50.80 37.26 155.20
Nov-06 18,221.88 18,440.00 17,800.00 1,710.42 1,720.00 1,693.00 101.23 51.18 36.56 154.30
Dec-06 18,035.20 18,150.00 17,800.00 1,727.52 1,750.00 1,710.00 90.56 50.17 36.84 150.80
Jan-07 17,841.31 18,050.00 17,650.00 1,689.14 1,740.00 1,635.00 90.00 49.85 36.28 148.00
Feb-07 18,565.88 19,110.00 17,919.00 1,773.15 1,884.50 1,694.00 90.70 51.47 38.74 152.10
Mar-07 19,185.65 19,440.00 18,705.00 1,951.65 2,024.50 1,850.50 92.81 54.17 42.75 158.90
Apr-07 19,611.50 20,030.00 19,000.00 1,983.00 2,024.50 1,927.00 91.05 54.98 44.09 172.90
May-07 18,987.52 19,230.00 18,720.00 1,977.72 2,036.00 1,924.50 90.00 53.01 41.76 166.00
Jun-07 19,054.54 19,260.00 18,895.00 2,019.85 2,036.00 2,004.50 90.00 53.78 42.86 170.20
Jul-07 20,352.69 21,080.00 19,460.00 2,135.89 2,186.50 2,055.00 88.59 57.07 45.98 180.50
Aug-07 20,485.77 20,760.00 20,290.00 2,084.23 2,172.00 2,025.00 90.00 57.66 45.07 178.30
Sep-07 20,747.67 20,930.00 20,570.00 2,013.17 2,070.00 1,901.00 90.00 57.83 44.33 178.60
Oct-07 19,653.31 20,500.00 19,140.00 1,847.90 1,954.00 1,759.00 84.37 55.31 44.25 174.10
Nov-07 19,926.88 20,090.00 19,840.00 1,970.82 2,020.00 1,926.00 80.16 55.50 43.24 175.10
Dec-07 19,843.20 20,210.00 19,650.00 2,008.30 2,070.00 1,960.00 80.16 55.29 43.03 179.10
Jan-08 20,945.46 21,424.00 20,232.00 2,147.54 2,200.00 2,077.50 82.03 58.50 45.14 184.00
Feb-08 21,425.92 22,210.00 21,259.00 2,177.82 2,246.00 2,139.00 82.67 59.05 46.40 185.60
Mar-08 22,383.54 23,190.00 21,760.00 2,223.35 2,270.00 2,170.00 84.48 60.18 46.85 193.00
Apr-08 22,491.58 22,860.00 22,160.00 2,313.14 2,418.50 2,220.00 87.19 60.22 47.81 198.00
May-08 23,496.67 24,520.00 22,830.00 2,523.80 2,636.00 2,418.50 89.30 64.76 50.06 207.10
Jun-08 25,486.80 27,360.00 24,340.00 2,703.10 2,894.00 2,584.00 91.55 72.21 55.48 224.90
Jul-08 27,682.59 28,480.00 27,360.00 2,809.43 2,910.00 2,703.50 94.08 78.47 60.33 238.20
Aug-08 27,904.40 28,790.00 27,420.00 2,772.18 2,842.50 2,746.00 94.33 79.76 62.15 243.10
Sep-08 28,530.80 29,000.00 28,100.00 2,753.22 2,855.00 2,628.50 91.41 79.59 62.44 246.60
Oct-08 23,440.00 27,350.00 22,020.00 2,453.96 2,648.50 2,347.00 90.00 68.27 56.88 228.20
Nov-08 22,224.78 22,900.00 21,510.00 2,251.80 2,361.50 2,150.00 87.75 62.66 53.16 220.60
Dec-08 21,783.85 22,000.00 21,330.00 2,204.12 2,247.00 2,175.00 82.47 61.17 53.16 218.40
Jan-09 21,417.31 21,740.00 21,160.00 2,197.67 2,243.00 2,136.00 79.43 60.64 53.16 215.60
Feb-09 20,696.36 21,540.00 20,330.00 2,108.67 2,178.00 2,028.00 75.94 57.94 42.19 205.40
Mar-09 N/A N/A N/A 2,126.62 2,257.00 2,018.50 76.99 58.85 40.64 196.60
*:-Taken as sum of volumes of Cotton Long, Medium and Short
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce & Industry
1 Maund: 40Kg & 1Candy:356 Kg N/T=Not traded N/A= Not available
224 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 225
Cotton Trading Activity
Graph-1
Cotton NYB – ICE futures Cotton Production (2009-10)
Closing Price (US cents/lb) Volume(in Lots)^ Open Interest(in Lots)^^
Apr-04 59.50 377,111.00 84,930.00
May-04 61.19 184,869.00 81,285.00 18%
Jun-04 48.25 398,059.00 72,507.00
32% China
Jul-04 43.83 159,924.00 79,808.00
Aug-04 53.80 195,886.00 69,292.00
India
Sep-04 48.10 196,739.00 71,920.00
Oct-04 44.98 224,431.00 83,808.00 5%
United States
Nov-04 48.65 355,037.00 80,690.00
Dec-04 44.77 196,583.00 81,149.00 9% Pakistan
Jan-05 43.76 474,017.00 90,961.00
Feb-05 50.30 536,122.00 107,077.00
Brazil
Mar-05 53.03 328,143.00 122,443.00
Apr-05 58.00 465,210.00 121,159.00
Others
May-05 48.64 315,313.00 97,413.00 13%
Jun-05 52.00 456,584.00 92,057.00 23%
Jul-05 50.99 178,299.00 94,011.00
Source: USDA
Aug-05 48.15 189,584.00 104,454.00
Sep-05 51.50 271,268.00 110,069.00
Oct-05 51.87 305,389.00 116,155.00 Graph-2
Nov-05 49.19 408,580.00 92,211.00 Cotton Consumption (2008)
Dec-05 54.19 201,221.00 88,697.00
Jan-06 55.72 311,926.00 128,666.00
Feb-06 56.00 495,729.00 122,363.00 24%
Mar-06 52.65 389,249.00 138,009.00
40% China
Apr-06 49.90 530,001.00 147,886.00
May-06 50.94 338,300.00 179,676.00
India
Jun-06 49.75 601,971.00 160,069.00
Jul-06 53.45 204,799.00 163,583.00
Pakistan
Aug-06 53.05 259,259.00 172,081.00
Sep-06 49.30 268,847.00 182,562.00 4%
Turkey
Oct-06 49.28 324,911.00 185,353.00
Nov-06 48.90 587,710.00 159,914.00 4%
Brazil
Dec-06 56.19 264,396.00 170,421.00
Jan-07 54.00 381,099.00 191,874.00 11% Others
Feb-07 55.55 711,346.00 202,169.00
Mar-07 53.57 326,818.00 232,652.00 17%
Apr-07 47.25 650,531.00 220,781.00
Source: USDA
May-07 51.05 278,518.00 223,814.00
Jun-07 58.50 421,689.00 204,192.00
Jul-07 63.00 217,426.00 213,491.00 Graph-3
Aug-07 58.87 215,267.00 203,217.00
Sep-07 62.05 200,552.00 231,769.00 in 000 tonnes Cotton: Ending Stock & Prices in Rs
Oct-07 64.08 278,600.00 248,032.00
Nov-07 58.20 514,179.00 210,389.00 70,000 40
Dec-07 68.01 338,439.00 231,807.00 60,000 35
Jan-08 67.79 684,489.00 270,994.00
Feb-08 79.66 929,808.00 301,645.00 30
50,000
Mar-08 69.34 730,160.00 268,675.00 25
Apr-08 68.74 651,281.00 246,983.00 40,000
May-08 65.74 427,731.00 273,411.00 20
Jun-08 71.40 690,183.00 215,451.00 30,000
15
Jul-08 71.65 281,522.00 222,053.00 20,000
Aug-08 67.53 293,429.00 213,856.00 10
Sep-08 55.50 403,688.00 195,316.00 10,000 5
Oct-08 44.29 387,846.00 170,969.00
Nov-08 45.75 423,372.00 127,006.00 0 0
Dec-08 49.02 169,346.00 125,564.00 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
Jan-09 49.41 253,550.00 129,490.00
India ES World ES India prices (RHS) New York Cotton no 2 (RHS)
Feb-09 42.06 316,713.00 116,304.00
Mar-09 46.47 260,781.00 140,318.00 Source: Agmarknet & USDA. ES - ending stock, Indian prices Rs/kg, Int. prices Rs/lb
Source: Exchanges' websites
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month;
^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

226 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 227
Indianand
Global Fundamentals for Rubberof(tons)
Indian fundamentals Jute

World and Indian production, imports and exports of Jute


World (Thousand Tonnes) 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 (E) 2008/09 (P)
Production 2564 2778 2914 2878 NA
Imports 290 345 359 NA NA
Exports 306 360 364 NA NA
India (Thousand Tonnes)
Production 1691.82 1794.6 1857.06 1839.78 1734.12
Raw jute imports 85.98 136.22 94.36 171.80 59.04
Jute product imports 32.17 77.02 60.93 57.69 70.94
Consumption 1764 1764 1602 1800 NA
Beginning stocks 594 252 144 414 NA
Ending Stocks 252 144 414 396 NA
Imports 72 126 72 72 NA
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices - - - 0.77% -
MSP (In Rs/Quintal) 890 910 1000 1055 1250
Source: Ministry of Textiles, Fourth Advanced Estimates of production, Govt. of India FAOSTAT, E-Estimates, P-Projection
Note: India's jute exports are negligible.
P- Provisional, E-Estimates

Procurement of Raw Jute by Jute Corporation of India (2003-04 to 2007-08) (Qty in Thousand Bales of 180 kgs each)
Year At support price (MSP) At Commercial rates Total
2003-04 1118 0 1118
2004-05 352 0 352
2005-06 0 141 141
2006-07 136 348 484
2007-08 444 0 444
Source: Jute Corporation of India & Ministry of Textiles, Govt. of India.; MSP: Minimum Support Price;

in 000
tonnes Jute: Production, Consumption & Prices Rs/qntl
1900 1600
Production Consumption Prices (RHS)
1850 1400
1800 1200
1750
1000
1700
800
1650
600
1600
1550 400

1500 200
1450 0
2004 / 05 2005 / 06 2006 / 07 2007 / 08 2008 / 09

Source: Ministry of Textiles & Agmarknet. Average Prices of India for the month of March

228 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 229
Jute Prices

Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Kolkata Other markets monthly average spot prices (Rs/qtl)
Month Open High Low Close Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^ Monthly Month's Month's T.D.-5 T.D.-5 T.D.-5 Raw Jute WPI of Jute
Average High Low Barddhaman Medinipur Nadia Kolkata
Apr-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 788.6 736.7 N/A N/A 142.5
May-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 753.8 761.1 N/A N/A 142.0
Jun-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 835.4 830.0 N/A N/A 147.9
Jul-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 819.4 825.6 N/A 951.7 147.5
Aug-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 810.6 811.9 N/A 968.9 147.3
Sep-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 974.3 146.3
Oct-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 805.0 870.0 N/A 1010.1 151.3
Nov-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 874.6 900.7 903.3 1094.9 166.1
Dec-04 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1009.4 1068.2 1053.8 1271.0 176.7
Jan-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1137.5 1100.0 N/A 1302.7 177.0
Feb-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1088.9 1116.2 1195.0 1369.8 183.1
Mar-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1245.9 1289.7 1244.2 1455.8 191.2
Apr-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1299.6 1306.3 1293.3 1517.1 195.3
May-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1335.9 1353.5 1344.3 1526.6 197.9
Jun-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1377.6 1407.9 1380.0 1596.4 203.3
Jul-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1239.6 1312.5 N/A 1432.6 184.8
Aug-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1077.1 1129.4 1037.5 1344.4 178.3
Sep-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1122.2 1150.0 1135.9 1320.5 174.8
Oct-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1224.6 1303.1 1243.9 1458.9 184.8
Nov-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1303.6 1358.9 1298.2 1525.0 192.9
Dec-05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1376.3 1377.9 1332.5 1557.8 201.1
Jan-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1521.0 1508.3 1510.0 N/A 218.9
Feb-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1532.7 1561.5 1533.9 N/A 225.7
Mar-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1573.8 1592.9 1545.2 N/A 227.4
Apr-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1565.0 1500.0 1517.2 N/A 224.0
May-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1558.0 1610.0 1529.9 N/A 223.8
Jun-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1463.4 1528.1 1433.4 N/A 219.6
Jul-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1481.5 1375.0 1448.8 1604.5 216.9
Aug-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1156.7 1174.7 1098.3 1308.6 205.1
Sep-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1280.5 1224.3 1303.4 1438.0 204.4
Oct-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1319.5 1343.8 1303.0 1463.7 198.2
Nov-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1301.0 1337.5 1254.0 1440.6 197.4
Dec-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1241.5 1280.0 1175.5 1381.1 196.1
Jan-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1208.8 1236.9 1142.2 1295.1 187.9
Feb-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1120.0 1200.0 1062.7 1265.6 187.1
Mar-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1096.4 1194.4 1027.9 1247.6 183.9
Apr-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1068.6 1150.0 1009.2 1190.9 182.1
May-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1009.7 N/A 916.3 1105.0 178.7
Jun-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 970.9 950.0 927.7 1113.6 178.5
Jul-07 1189.0 1217.0 1181.0 1217.0 629.0 240.0 1143.0 1143.0 1143.0 967.8 N/A 920.0 1115.5 178.8
Aug-07 1237.0 1430.0 1235.5 1338.5 19042.0 1131.0 1240.6 1313.0 1146.0 1046.1 N/A 1073.3 1226.3 191.4
Sep-07 1401.0 1401.0 1230.0 1247.5 15487.0 1479.0 1241.4 1298.5 1194.0 1059.5 N/A 1060.0 1239.1 195.2
Oct-07 1302.0 1343.5 1243.0 1305.5 14081.0 1408.0 1215.2 1239.0 1171.0 984.3 N/A 978.0 1195.2 193.8
Nov-07 1341.0 1356.5 1286.0 1223.0 7645.0 1304.0 1232.2 1252.5 1221.0 967.4 N/A 986.9 1204.4 196.8
Dec-07 1368.0 1374.0 1283.0 1216.0 10272.0 1169.0 1218.1 1231.5 1208.5 960.0 N/A 957.5 1199.9 197.2
Jan-08 1332.0 1332.0 1273.5 1297.5 9483.0 1125.0 1209.6 1234.5 1184.0 929.4 N/A 972.1 1211.7 196.7
Feb-08 1324.0 1335.0 1261.0 1319.5 6589.0 767.0 1217.1 1256.0 1192.0 940.0 N/A 991.7 1216.2 198.4
Mar-08 1383.0 1485.0 1372.0 1482.0 7769.0 629.0 1338.3 1408.0 1258.5 1051.7 N/A 1113.0 1339.2 201.3
Apr-08 1525.0 1578.0 1495.0 1574.5 7354.0 498.0 1431.9 1493.5 1400.0 1159.2 N/A 1243.7 1429.2 203.8
May-08 1613.5 1643.0 1493.0 1512.5 10289.0 1208.0 1455.2 1497.5 1414.0 1150.2 N/A 1230.4 1463.3 203.1
Jun-08 1614.0 1628.0 1555.0 1583.5 12733.0 1489.0 1477.5 1514.5 1455.5 1187.1 N/A 1245.0 1487.0 206.6
Jul-08 1550.0 1550.0 1420.0 1466.0 11265.0 1507.0 1403.7 1448.0 1364.0 1230.7 N/A 1254.3 1489.1 206.6
Aug-08 1620.0 1649.0 1533.0 1542.5 11749.0 1102.0 1538.9 1564.5 1512.5 1286.7 N/A 1304.3 1540.5 207.0
Sep-08 1617.0 1640.0 1581.0 1584.0 9008.0 767.0 1548.9 1590.5 1518.5 1248.5 N/A 1302.2 1546.0 207.6
Oct-08 1675.0 1679.5 1557.5 1571.0 5372.0 607.0 1560.9 1582.0 1540.5 1266.1 N/A 1276.0 1559.2 207.3
Nov-08 1620.0 1643.0 1580.0 1596.5 5178.0 664.0 1552.6 1571.0 1529.5 1282.5 N/A 1305.6 1559.1 207.3
Dec-08 1632.0 1810.0 1625.0 1798.0 6393.0 957.0 1618.8 1787.5 1570.0 1384.8 N/A 1342.1 1655.8 207.3
Jan-09 1904.0 2017.0 1895.0 1995.5 11376.0 950.0 1925.2 1970.5 1836.0 1705.3 N/A N/A 1972.4 207.3
Feb-09 2090.0 2093.0 2003.5 2041.0 7088.0 1062.0 1979.5 2015.0 1961.5 1784.6 N/A N/A 2035.9 207.3
Mar-09 2133.0 2248.0 2128.0 2219.5 9576.0 868.0 2137.6 2197.0 2036.0 1897.5 N/A N/A 2185.3 207.3
Source: MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
N/A-Not Available
230 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 231
Potato

Global and Indian production, imports and exports of potato (in Mn tonnes)

World 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09


Production 331.21 319.86 299.33 309.34 NA
Imports 9.09 9.11 9.57 10.30 NA
Exports 9.05 8.93 9.74 10.50 NA
India
Production 26.34 26.88 27.02 30.44 31.46
Exports 0.006 0.007 0.009 0.008 0.017
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices
Potato Agra - 0.94% 2.78% 1.06% -
Tarkeshwar - 1.21% 7.21% 3.20% -
Source: FAOSTAT, India’s imports are negligible; Indian production & exports data are sourced from
National Horticulture Research & Development Foundation

Global Yearly Production Sheets (In Mn Tonnes)


Major potato producing countries
Country 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08
China 72.25 70.91 54.07 56.19
Russia 35.91 37.28 38.57 36.78
Ukraine 20.75 19.46 19.47 19.10
United States 20.68 19.23 19.71 20.37
Others 158.53 149.35 143.60 154.78
World Total 331.21 319.86 299.33 309.34
Source: FAOSTAT

Statewise Potato Production in India

23% 2008-09
22%
Uttar Pradesh
39% 43%
West Bengal
5% 5% 2007-08
Bihar
7% Gujarat
7%
Others
27%

22%

Source: NHRDF

232 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 233
Potato Prices
Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) Agra Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) Tarkeshwar MCX Spot (Rs/qtl) Agra MCX Spot (Rs/qtl)Tarkeshwar Other markets monthly average spot prices
Volume Open Interest Volume OI Monthly Month’s Month’s Monthly Month’s Month’s (Rs/qtl)
Open High Low Close in lots^ in lots^^ Open High Low Close in lots^ in lots^^ Average High Low Average High Low Ajmer Bikaner Jaipur Belgaum Dharwad WPI
Apr-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 340.6 394.6 319.4 434.2 437.2 128.2
May-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 462.7 447.1 412.3 480.0 498.8 163.1
Jun-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 463.0 433.3 425.9 499.0 510.0 184.7
Jul-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 488.2 461.1 430.4 520.0 527.0 183.0
Aug-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 510.8 500.0 489.8 591.5 647.7 200.6
Sep-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 557.1 493.4 505.8 522.8 521.4 223.0
Oct-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 540.6 481.3 465.8 513.3 563.4 229.1
Nov-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 483.3 425.0 315.3 NA 499.8 191.5
Dec-04 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 312.5 209.1 195.8 NA 350.0 126.7
Jan-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 332.5 239.6 199.3 417.1 388.9 127.7
Feb-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 297.1 272.9 210.5 391.5 370.6 138.3
Mar-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 259.6 294.4 257.7 363.4 361.5 141.5
Apr-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 353.6 426.9 345.3 422.8 463.2 174.2
May-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 415.0 448.2 412.1 515.0 578.4 192.1
Jun-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 445.3 460.0 399.8 565.1 573.3 194.7
Jul-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 445.8 480.0 409.1 586.0 560.2 201.2
Aug-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 469.0 453.1 382.4 540.8 519.7 198.4
Sep-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 425.4 403.1 386.8 423.0 383.3 193.8
Oct-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 481.8 455.0 466.4 492.5 474.1 196.2
Nov-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 823.1 675.0 753.1 533.3 583.1 238.1
Dec-05 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 576.9 625.0 592.9 735.7 803.1 232.9
Jan-06 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 420.0 500.0 429.1 769.9 743.7 200.3
Feb-06 NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NT NA NA NA NA NA NA 425.0 512.5 433.3 584.2 638.5 178.6
Mar-06 642.0 757.0 612.0 662.0 26682 1192 NT NT NT NT NT NT 655.6 670.5 617.9 NA NA NA 437.5 512.5 461.1 526.8 577.5 194.2
Apr-06 668.0 675.0 576.2 586.1 28061 2887 NT NT NT NT NT NT 584.5 624.0 561.5 NA NA NA 451.8 587.5 487.9 489.6 581.3 192.7
May-06 586.1 642.8 551.0 553.0 68644 4760 NT NT NT NT NT NT 555.6 567.7 541.1 NA NA NA 475.0 609.4 508.6 578.2 647.1 202.4
Jun-06 552.5 584.0 533.3 549.6 44662 4738 NT NT NT NT NT NT 542.6 549.2 538.0 NA NA NA 532.5 579.6 505.3 585.4 671.7 244.4
Jul-06 547.0 556.4 522.1 539.4 40902 5619 NT NT NT NT NT NT 543.4 549.8 537.8 NA NA NA 552.1 602.8 510.7 663.3 683.6 255.1
Aug-06 536.1 613.8 536.1 592.0 95004 3963 NT NT NT NT NT NT 560.6 576.0 541.5 NA NA NA 559.6 606.3 561.4 598.0 611.3 262.4
Sep-06 595.5 765.3 592.5 732.1 57589 2119 499.0 538.0 499.1 517.4 15023 350 664.7 725.9 592.6 464.3 475.6 449.5 583.3 670.0 658.7 579.8 587.5 293.8
Oct-06 735.0 756.3 546.4 580.6 9069 547 513.7 578.8 485.5 542.4 13525 895 752.0 888.9 720.2 481.8 503.7 463.8 664.3 844.4 773.1 612.1 595.5 325.7
Nov-06 575.0 575.0 512.5 528.4 15484 1340 540.1 542.9 464.9 474.9 11756 495 NA NA NA 463.5 494.6 424.0 650.0 675.0 625.1 627.0 561.0 314.3
Dec-06 528.2 538.5 497.0 500.8 11811 1420 443.8 499.0 372.4 385.3 12063 757 NA NA NA NA NA NA 331.3 325.0 394.5 658.5 664.1 209.8
Jan-07 501.9 521.0 455.1 518.3 24980 2439 361.0 394.4 356.1 391.9 14899 1740 NA NA NA NA NA NA 258.3 352.8 266.3 590.8 599.7 166.3
Feb-07 510.6 635.0 488.0 626.5 82971 3326 392.8 580.0 379.0 568.4 37916 1021 610.6 615.0 605.6 558.4 564.7 548.7 373.1 434.6 343.1 588.7 577.8 162.7
Mar-07 632.0 682.0 552.0 561.9 140509 3685 572.0 673.7 540.0 585.9 80392 1270 597.4 651.6 516.5 603.0 626.1 577.5 403.6 526.9 378.3 557.7 653.5 190.2
Apr-07 564.0 616.5 552.1 593.8 44993 2706 588.0 611.7 558.1 604.6 7725 943 541.0 552.7 508.8 576.0 600.4 545.0 393.1 600.6 404.0 560.6 715.0 202.7
May-07 594.4 611.3 563.7 594.2 25509 2222 607.5 652.0 587.5 625.6 19515 871 554.8 561.2 552.7 604.1 631.0 585.9 479.4 611.7 422.0 622.4 780.7 227.4
Jun-07 592.6 639.0 561.0 638.4 19119 1533 625.9 701.8 621.5 692.3 6813 705 580.3 603.9 562.6 619.5 648.9 593.3 640.8 700.0 536.4 719.7 861.4 257.5
Jul-07 639.0 675.0 609.0 644.5 35138 2059 691.0 711.9 655.4 673.6 7535 735 619.8 627.0 604.2 640.0 658.8 631.4 713.5 702.6 570.4 750.0 900.0 279.2
Aug-07 643.0 659.6 617.2 628.6 28411 1893 670.5 685.0 641.5 665.7 4796 719 624.6 628.3 619.8 631.8 639.3 624.8 758.3 733.3 593.4 748.8 852.5 289.5
Sep-07 629.2 660.0 587.2 633.7 11990 1017 665.5 673.0 633.1 655.8 2546 674 623.1 630.1 619.0 625.6 636.2 621.2 718.1 746.2 609.3 713.3 847.8 291.3
Oct-07 636.3 673.4 506.7 514.0 5176 403 651.0 654.9 613.0 643.9 3206 667 638.2 641.5 630.7 613.1 643.2 308.5 713.2 800.0 678.1 760.5 953.3 296.3
Nov-07 511.0 529.0 488.0 512.9 1424 509 646.0 677.0 419.0 434.7 2007 298 NA NA NA 642.7 647.9 639.1 723.6 790.9 614.2 815.5 658.0 285.4
Dec-07 510.0 547.0 505.5 516.9 2503 582 431.5 465.0 431.0 445.6 698 292 NA NA NA NA NA NA 544.6 507.5 519.4 836.7 824.5 260.2
Jan-08 522.0 601.5 520.0 588.6 7324 922 446.2 551.5 446.2 530.9 2305 481 NA NA NA NA NA NA 476.6 408.3 414.0 618.3 626.6 246.7
Feb-08 586.2 656.5 584.0 650.0 6541 1118 525.0 562.0 522.0 536.5 2520 689 NA NA NA NA NA NA 429.7 477.5 410.0 572.2 579.4 216.6
Mar-08 648.0 660.8 486.7 492.6 14421 1493 534.9 538.0 318.9 322.9 6612 1263 557.2 643.2 489.9 379.7 454.5 340.9 443.4 434.6 375.5 496.1 883.7 226.1
Apr-08 490.1 510.0 472.0 488.2 8998 1537 316.0 376.0 272.0 348.8 8524 1451 481.8 489.4 473.1 285.4 306.8 262.1 433.9 411.4 293.8 401.8 478.1 214.9
May-08 488.2 496.7 482.7 485.8 1071 1466 348.8 358.3 340.5 342.1 1071 1541 460.9 474.2 444.5 311.3 338.9 287.3 423.5 463.6 311.6 428.8 540.7 214.1
Jun-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 427.4 444.3 393.5 264.6 284.3 246.8 472.2 NA 324.3 490.4 560.3 211.3
Jul-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 372.5 392.9 340.7 249.5 267.5 231.0 456.3 383.3 270.0 597.0 517.3 231.0
Aug-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 356.1 383.2 344.6 224.7 242.2 215.7 464.7 392.3 261.7 566.7 530.5 237.3
Sep-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 399.8 409.0 386.8 225.4 228.7 222.5 475.0 403.9 321.1 577.9 545.9 241.4
Oct-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 392.9 407.0 384.0 225.8 241.8 213.5 438.6 400.0 328.3 641.7 454.4 243.6
Nov-08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 356.6 390.5 317.0 232.5 251.6 213.5 454.2 354.2 253.3 668.5 472.1 240.9
Dec-08 439.7 546.0 432.1 511.3 654 146 270.4 453.0 270.4 418.5 124 75 321.8 325.0 320.0 240.6 249.6 235.6 394.6 341.7 198.2 662.8 401.4 195.8
Jan-09 512.0 622.4 510.1 601.0 2045 496 420.1 591.7 419.5 586.5 1258 314 NA NA NA NA NA NA 333.3 254.2 231.7 634.5 528.0 177.0
Feb-09 603.6 641.0 582.7 636.1 4486 1153 575.0 715.0 575.0 709.6 3087 457 599.6 599.6 599.6 687.8 687.8 687.8 321.2 265.4 281.1 534.6 487.5 178.1
Mar-09 642.0 720.0 618.2 718.4 16089 2175 711.1 790.0 694.1 788.7 6885 394 636.3 672.7 601.3 718.5 774.4 648.3 403.6 393.2 444.6 520.0 591.6 201.9

234 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 235
Rubber International Exchanges

Indian Fundamentals for Rubber (tonnes) TOCOM


Closing Price (Yen/kg) Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^
Natural Rubber 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 (E) 2008/09 (P)
Apr-04 142.70 169,301.00 42,336.00
Production 749,665 802,625 852,895 825,345 864,000 May-04 153.20 132,653.00 33,590.00
Jun-04 158.90 121,575.00 34,969.00
Consumption 755,405 801,110 820,305 861,455 865,000 Jul-04 141.40 160,042.00 36,543.00
Ending stocks 88,940 93,095 99,991 143,523 167,600 Aug-04 137.90 107,624.00 35,841.00
Sep-04 140.50 101,455.00 29,956.00
Imports 72,835 45,285 89,799 86,394 79,927 Oct-04 135.60 104,979.00 28,668.00
Exports 46,150 73,830 56,545 60,353 45,538 Nov-04 123.00 124,694.00 35,683.00
Dec-04 125.30 119,076.00 22,075.00
Jan-05 130.00 218,578.00 41,815.00
Volatility 0.83% 0.97% 1.21% 1.15% 2.01% Feb-05 135.00 451,437.00 53,285.00
Mar-05 144.70 343,609.00 63,115.00
TOCOM price (Rs/qtl) 5,778.46 7,477.14 9,702.08 9,526.58 10,258.81 Apr-05 138.10 458,788.00 64,619.00
May-05 153.50 353,460.00 63,371.00
Indian Price (Rs/qtl) 5,575.94 6,682.41 9,202.29 90,88.57 10,103.1
Jun-05 173.20 470,822.00 70,169.00
Jul-05 204.60 1,014,655.00 104,137.00
Source: AgmarkNet, Economic Survey 2008-09
P- Provisional, E-Estimates
Aug-05 177.10 1,059,311.00 87,412.00
Sep-05 190.60 669,308.00 94,645.00
Oct-05 186.10 785,803.00 97,377.00
Nov-05 190.80 610,378.00 95,374.00
Dec-05 205.00 720,076.00 81,683.00
Jan-06 251.40 799,465.00 94,029.00
Feb-06 246.50 1,049,677.00 82,700.00
Mar-06 250.10 742,443.00 80,155.00
Apr-06 242.10 543,428.00 64,854.00
May-06 307.20 909,052.00 76,383.00
Rubber Production, Consumption & Prices Jun-06 322.90 1,099,210.00 64,768.00
in tons Rs/qntl
Jul-06 278.60 780,079.00 16,132.00
880000 10500 Aug-06 230.50 728,756.00 53,082.00
860000 Sep-06 208.30 867,923.00 48,345.00
840000 9300 Oct-06 208.40 777,801.00 49,847.00
820000 Nov-06 188.10 536,706.00 49,663.00
800000 8100 Dec-06 239.20 748,253.00 52,821.00
780000
Jan-07 275.00 760,361.00 55,921.00
Feb-07 260.20 743,497.00 55,797.00
760000 6900
Mar-07 274.00 719,804.00 51,731.00
740000
Apr-07 266.60 609,519.00 48,276.00
720000 5700 May-07 284.10 605,962.00 53,906.00
700000 Jun-07 257.10 683,104.00 48,428.00
680000 4500 Jul-07 260.30 662,162.00 54,142.00
2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09 e Aug-07 248.60 486,623.00 46,338.00
Consumption Sep-07 255.80 346,079.00 44,312.00
Production Rss-4 Kottayam prices (RHS)
Oct-07 278.40 376,156.00 47,570.00
Source: Economic Survey 2008 - 09, Agmarknet Nov-07 258.30 431,433.00 36,574.00
Dec-07 294.20 288,746.00 38,147.00
Jan-08 282.00 331,672.00 33,820.00
Feb-08 292.50 545,876.00 50,406.00
Mar-08 277.80 491,985.00 38,788.00
Apr-08 297.80 393,003.00 44,400.00
May-08 312.20 484,445.00 47,365.00
Jun-08 340.40 643,926.00 51,635.00
Jul-08 336.40 487,494.00 46,373.00
Aug-08 342.80 435,425.00 40,613.00
Sep-08 262.70 363,528.00 41,041.00
Oct-08 169.70 537,697.00 32,350.00
Nov-08 125.80 353,015.00 30,824.00
Dec-08 135.00 403,148.00 34,574.00
Jan-09 130.10 349,022.00 28,088.00
Feb-09 133.30 289,620.00 29,503.00
Mar-09 148.00 237,447.00 28,267.00
Source: Exchanges' websites
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month
^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.

236 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 237
Rubber Prices

Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/qtl) MCX monthly spot prices (Rs/qtl) Kottayam Average Prices of Rubber (RSS-4)
Month Open High Low Close Volume in lots^ Open Interest in lots^^ Monthly Average Month’s High Month’s Low (Kottayam market) Rs./qtl WPI of Rubber
Apr-04 5,675.00 5,675.00 5,675.00 5,750.00 2.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5,796.88 194.60
May-04 5,900.00 6,010.00 5,900.00 5,993.00 540.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5,873.53 201.20
Jun-04 6,120.00 6,745.00 6,120.00 6,715.00 426.00 1.00 N/A N/A N/A 6,336.36 216.20
Jul-04 6,700.00 7,240.00 5,670.00 5,795.00 2,176.00 7.00 N/A N/A N/A 6,580.68 222.10
Aug-04 5,565.00 5,940.00 5,100.00 5,450.00 5,710.00 8.00 N/A N/A N/A 5,573.53 189.80
Sep-04 5,375.00 5,425.00 5,050.00 5,344.00 4,449.00 4.00 5,157.14 5,200.00 5,050.00 5,147.22 176.80
Oct-04 5,300.00 5,582.00 5,073.00 5,450.00 740.00 4.00 5,291.66 5,425.00 5,150.00 5,267.11 179.00
Nov-04 5,325.00 5,450.00 5,120.00 5,238.00 57.00 N/A 5,216.66 5,350.00 5,050.00 5,215.00 178.70
Dec-04 5,081.00 5,550.00 5,081.00 5,533.00 2,557.00 37.00 5,190.76 5,450.00 5,000.00 5,206.82 180.70
Jan-05 5,530.00 5,555.00 5,090.00 5,256.00 11,440.00 104.00 5,323.00 5,475.00 5,200.00 5,313.24 181.40
Feb-05 5,235.00 5,400.00 5,000.00 5,302.00 14,759.00 246.00 5,149.50 5,300.00 5,075.00 5,160.94 176.30
Mar-05 5,251.00 5,990.00 5,200.00 5,900.00 24,914.00 209.00 5,468.75 5,650.00 5,300.00 5,440.00 187.50
Apr-05 5,850.00 6,100.00 5,650.00 5,908.00 20,307.00 167.00 5,845.84 6,000.00 5,650.00 5,833.93 198.60
May-05 5,860.00 6,440.00 5,860.00 6,304.00 10,008.00 149.00 6,236.07 6,475.00 5,930.00 6,193.75 214.20
Jun-05 6,280.00 6,450.00 5,940.00 6,099.00 14,915.00 115.00 6,185.53 6,425.00 5,975.00 6,160.00 211.40
Jul-05 6,100.00 7,250.00 6,050.00 6,905.00 15,323.00 317.00 6,579.76 7,025.00 6,069.00 6,509.38 223.40
Aug-05 7,000.00 7,020.00 5,550.00 5,935.00 24,795.00 225.00 6,071.57 6,850.00 5,550.00 5,973.61 204.30
Sep-05 5,850.00 6,485.00 5,802.00 6,316.00 25,697.00 525.00 6,078.36 6,405.00 5,800.00 6,060.94 203.20
Oct-05 6,275.00 6,900.00 6,275.00 6,700.00 10,910.00 439.00 6,594.69 6,890.00 6,350.00 6,546.05 222.70
Nov-05 6780.00 6875.00 6250.00 6557.00 7,509.00 344.00 6,599.96 6,841.00 6,329.00 6,533.82 222.20
Dec-05 6,775.00 7,350.00 6,775.00 7,155.00 445.00 132.00 6,960.70 7,209.00 6,587.00 6,897.50 234.70
Jan-06 7,100.00 8,217.00 6,950.00 8,168.00 657.00 101.00 7,400.44 8,013.00 7,019.00 7,366.25 253.70
Feb-06 8,285.00 8,478.00 7,500.00 7,752.00 6,113.00 136.00 8,069.58 8,321.00 7,834.00 8,031.58 276.90
Mar-06 7,950.00 8,475.00 7,800.00 8,475.00 2,434.00 69.00 8,088.07 8,394.00 7,843.00 8,082.14 277.10
Apr-06 8,475.00 9,300.00 8,405.00 9,167.00 83.00 6.00 8,671.54 9,051.00 8,370.00 8,652.94 296.10
May-06 9,167.00 11,536.00 9,167.00 11,075.00 60.00 8.00 9,910.77 11,419.00 9,010.00 9,841.00 328.50
Jun-06 11,000.00 11,120.00 10,384.00 10,625.00 125.00 24.00 10,711.15 11,050.00 10,478.00 10,691.67 358.60
Jul-06 10,675.00 10,920.00 8,870.00 9,225.00 154.00 3.00 9,806.68 10,685.00 8,870.00 9,821.15 344.00
Aug-06 9,225.00 9,510.00 8,763.00 8,763.00 92.00 4.00 9,199.38 9,510.00 8,700.00 9,181.73 317.80
Sep-06 8,700.00 8,710.00 7,850.00 7,850.00 100.00 1.00 8,221.57 8,806.00 7,800.00 8,169.00 281.60
Oct-06 7,850.00 9,146.00 7,850.00 8,905.00 871.00 8.00 8,753.80 9,301.00 7,865.00 8,685.71 299.10
Nov-06 9,000.00 9,048.00 7,182.00 7,931.00 12,848.00 667.00 8,277.50 9,153.00 7,600.00 8,225.00 285.60
Dec-06 7,950.00 9,400.00 7,540.00 9,250.00 30,014.00 1,255.00 8,673.80 9,518.00 7,659.00 8,614.58 290.60
Jan-07 10,060.00 10,606.00 9,852.00 10,479.00 20,066.00 1,519.00 9,785.00 10,170.00 9,530.00 9,716.35 324.60
Feb-07 10,529.00 10,529.00 9,021.00 9,219.00 7,914.00 1,165.00 9,786.83 10,129.00 9,431.00 9,757.29 334.60
Mar-07 9,162.00 9,575.00 8,191.00 9,258.00 6,130.00 670.00 9,037.23 9,440.00 8,668.00 9,071.00 313.00
Apr-07 9,260.00 9,495.00 8,285.00 8,416.00 3,057.00 544.00 8,994.08 9,486.00 8,293.00 8,979.17 306.90
May-07 8,485.00 9,290.00 8,189.00 8,742.00 2,987.00 479.00 8,713.81 9,206.00 8,247.00 8,685.19 300.00
Jun-07 8,770.00 8,770.00 7,476.00 7,617.00 3,303.00 557.00 8,099.07 8,705.00 7,445.00 8,093.27 279.20
Jul-07 7,472.00 8,682.00 7,369.00 8,674.00 4,061.00 570.00 7,966.00 8,744.00 7,284.00 7,943.27 275.30
Aug-07 8,650.00 9,499.00 7,925.00 8,752.00 4,244.00 397.00 8,779.51 9,285.00 8,033.00 8,742.39 294.00
Sep-07 8,764.00 9,050.00 8,450.00 8,984.00 1,976.00 217.00 8,882.00 9,096.00 8,696.00 8,856.00 302.50
Oct-07 8,985.00 10,200.00 8,760.00 9,838.00 1,412.00 128.00 9,510.15 10,042.00 8,938.00 9,423.96 326.60
Nov-07 9,900.00 10,250.00 9,350.00 9,533.00 583.00 100.00 9,681.28 10,017.00 9,323.00 9,603.00 333.40
Dec-07 9,391.00 9,698.00 9,222.00 9,625.00 303.00 130.00 9,255.88 9,450.00 9,104.00 9,221.00 316.60
Jan-08 9,640.00 9,747.00 9,260.00 9,339.00 262.00 109.00 9,465.65 9,584.00 9,308.00 9,440.63 325.40
Feb-08 9,434.00 10,195.00 9,385.00 10,177.00 304.00 99.00 9,714.84 10,088.00 9,393.00 9,717.50 330.80
Mar-08 10,177.00 10,550.00 9,899.00 9,899.00 233.00 53.00 10,114.25 10,145.00 10,085.00 10,357.50 355.70
Apr-08 9,899.00 11,503.00 9,899.00 11,241.00 226.00 72.00 10,984.92 11,887.00 10,104.00 10,963.10 375.10
May-08 11,241.00 11,667.00 11,241.00 11,658.00 75.00 73.00 12,287.31 13,600.00 11,573.00 12,259.52 414.20
Jun-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 12,764.48 13,106.00 12,440.00 12,712.50 434.80
Jul-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 13,373.44 14,114.00 12,971.00 13,348.86 454.40
Aug-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 13,871.52 14,296.00 13,454.00 13,773.68 474.70
Sep-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 13,612.76 14,150.00 11,400.00 13,533.33 476.70
Oct-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 9,143.44 11,513.00 8,100.00 8,959.52 323.70
Nov-08 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 7,691.00 8,900.00 6,000.00 7,688.75 269.00
Dec-08 6,100.00 7,653.00 5,806.00 7,450.00 268.00 41.00 6,525.92 7,428.00 5,914.00 6,502.27 219.10
Jan-09 7,670.00 7,673.00 6,596.00 6,998.00 102.00 57.00 7,079.85 7,487.00 6,679.00 7,029.76 242.20
Feb-09 6,998.00 7,059.00 6,720.00 6,890.00 36.00 38.00 6,921.25 7,215.00 6,754.00 6,900.00 236.40
Mar-09 6,850.00 8,490.00 6,850.00 8,490.00 45.00 9.00 7,626.56 8,533.00 6,996.00 7,565.91 258.50
Source: MCX, AgmarkNet, Ministry of Commerce & Industry
Trading suspended from May 7, 08 to Dec 3, 08
N/T-Not Traded, N/A-Not Available
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
238 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 239
Mentha oil Futures and spot prices of Mentha oil at MCX

Mentha Oil Fundamentals (in Tonnes)


Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/Kg) MCX spot prices (Rs/Kg) Sambhal
Open High Low Close Volume Open Interest Monthly Month's Month's
Mentha Oil - India 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07e 2007/08e 2008/09e
in lots^ in lots^^ Average High Low
Production (tonnes) 14,000 22,000 25,000 33,000 32,000 Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Exports (tonnes) 11,143 14,544 16,250 21,100 20,500
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices Sambhal market - 2.39% 3.53% 0.98% - Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Source: Indian Spices Board, MCX & Industry sources for production.
e - estimates Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Jan-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Feb-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Mar-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T
Apr-05 358.00 358.00 343.20 343.80 1107 86 372.75 374.40 368.40
May-05 347.00 367.90 342.00 360.70 12038 262 381.17 385.60 376.00
Jun-05 358.00 502.00 355.50 451.60 16660 442 410.23 460.80 366.20
Jul-05 478.00 583.00 475.10 536.60 41892 1052 483.41 546.20 459.70
Aug-05 587.90 596.90 436.10 451.20 82437 3649 489.37 531.80 447.20
Sep-05 479.00 515.00 388.00 425.10 118053 5023 431.49 468.20 400.30
Mentha Oil: Production, Exports & Prices Oct-05 422.20 446.00 416.60 437.60 77373 4141 428.21 440.00 415.00
Nov-05 446.20 563.00 441.80 497.30 161688 4918 477.08 511.10 434.20
Rs/qntl
in tonnes Dec-05 535.50 849.00 533.50 733.60 371835 6731 606.54 761.40 509.20
700
35,000 Jan-06 654.60 659.70 647.20 649.30 308428 13447 723.15 780.80 624.10
600 Feb-06 742.60 794.80 430.50 446.00 359277 18565 595.90 686.60 478.30
30,000
500 Mar-06 452.20 452.50 370.00 426.80 192699 14938 457.46 475.40 434.80
25,000 Apr-06 426.80 464.90 423.90 438.20 84834 9347 477.51 491.50 451.40
400
20,000 May-06 441.40 534.40 419.00 452.20 102777 6779 488.80 510.30 465.40
15,000 300 Jun-06 460.00 510.50 411.00 510.50 109564 5313 464.59 511.00 429.00
200 Jul-06 513.00 594.90 513.00 547.90 208836 6498 547.52 570.20 505.10
10,000
Aug-06 558.60 588.90 542.00 550.10 84591 6264 552.12 560.00 534.50
5,000 100 Sep-06 571.80 743.50 571.70 706.20 320442 6784 664.12 725.70 563.60
0 0 Oct-06 733.90 737.80 631.90 646.80 193166 8607 674.36 701.60 652.80
Nov-06 664.00 692.30 578.60 654.10 238784 8769 646.81 695.80 593.00
2004 /05 2005 /06 2006 /07 2007 /08 2008 /09 Dec-06 672.10 682.40 583.00 596.70 224832 9025 664.87 941.80 639.40
Production Exports Prices (RHS) Jan-07 584.90 586.40 516.00 571.90 230527 6403 612.74 641.10 596.10
Feb-07 575.00 614.40 556.50 561.30 124854 4492 606.67 615.40 596.20
Source: Spices Board, MCX & Industry Sources. Average Spot Prices of MCX for the month of Mar-07 575.00 578.80 526.00 550.30 92361 5071 580.88 603.00 554.70
March Apr-07 558.50 637.00 557.00 633.60 92450 4310 588.33 608.20 560.90
May-07 584.20 601.50 480.00 487.40 41988 3185 576.89 593.90 508.00
Jun-07 500.00 569.20 487.30 558.20 46059 3307 519.45 530.70 504.80
Jul-07 510.00 520.40 482.20 504.90 30499 2361 506.46 519.10 484.20
Aug-07 515.10 556.50 510.70 522.60 44321 3575 534.04 547.10 513.40
Sep-07 534.50 540.70 481.00 488.90 40186 5957 525.15 539.30 506.80
Oct-07 502.10 517.00 465.00 479.60 31074 5313 517.72 526.30 512.40
Nov-07 488.20 491.70 422.50 448.30 22061 4520 494.18 516.90 479.70
Dec-07 441.50 456.20 415.10 420.50 20369 3125 490.89 499.40 478.70
Jan-08 429.20 456.80 421.10 442.20 38471 2404 493.80 511.00 481.00
Feb-08 448.20 464.00 417.50 423.50 51737 1881 504.58 512.40 497.20
Mar-08 423.00 459.90 414.00 435.30 32690 1726 497.37 510.50 477.10
Apr-08 439.50 449.10 431.20 437.80 3491 1017 499.99 504.60 496.90
May-08 443.00 487.00 443.00 448.00 8173 976 513.54 520.40 501.60
Jun-08 458.50 537.20 449.80 524.00 18170 1818 525.54 564.80 497.80
Jul-08 532.00 775.90 528.50 689.10 73301 3725 704.02 791.90 549.80
Aug-08 700.00 700.00 608.00 621.40 44356 4922 648.66 703.60 622.60
Sep-08 627.50 634.40 564.00 586.40 35041 5446 625.35 641.40 612.30
Oct-08 601.40 610.00 464.00 497.70 30086 5710 591.01 619.60 562.30
Nov-08 517.00 529.90 446.00 506.90 34368 5557 540.83 566.80 497.80
Dec-08 521.00 619.00 506.50 537.60 55139 5352 594.63 637.10 554.70
Jan-09 546.00 578.90 518.00 523.90 35485 3082 588.08 614.80 573.20
Feb-09 537.00 541.00 497.20 517.00 15937 2741 563.52 572.20 550.70
Mar-09 522.70 603.90 521.50 550.90 24443 2814 588.85 611.30 575.90
Source: MCX , N/T-Not traded, N/A-Not available
^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month.
240 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 241
SPICES SPICES

Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices


Production of spices in India (2003-04 to 2006-07) in thousand tonnes Volatility 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Turmeric Pepper Small Cardamom Red Chilli Cumin seed Total Spices Cardamom - - 3.33% 0.46% 1.27%
2003-04 587.13 65.00 11.58 1289.34 202.98 4221.00 Cumin Seed - 0.82% 0.95% 0.94% 1.10%
2004-05 751.87 62.00 11.41 1376.58 176.06 4423.00 Pepper 1.70% 0.94% 1.38% 1.27% 1.06%
2005-06 867.07 50.00 12.54 1023.12 199.85 4182.0 Red Chilli 1.94% 2.39% 18.40% 1.74% 1.17%
2006-07 856.46 50.00 11.23 1325.27 176.51 4664.00 Turmeric 2.08% 2.27% - 2.10% 1.05%
Source : Spices Board, India
Source: MCX

Item wise Exports of Spices from India (2005-06 to 2008-09) Quantity: ' 000 Tonne; Value: Rs. in Crore

Item 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09^


Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value
Pepper 17.36 150.95 28.75 306.20 35.00 519.50 35.00 520.00
Cardamom small 0.86 26.82 0.65 22.36 0.50 24.75 0.55 25.00
Chilli 11.317 403.01 148.50 807.75 209.00 1098.00 200.00 1000.00
Turmeric 46.40 152.86 51.50 164.80 49.25 157.00 50.00 160.00
Cumin 12.87 98.19 26.00 201.50 28.00 291.50 28.00 275.00
Others# 159.68 1795.81 118.35 2073.17 122.50 2345.80 121.45 2370.00
Total 350.36 2627.64 373.75 3575.78 444.25 4436.55 435.00 4350.00
#: Include Asafoetida, Cassia, Saffron, Tamarinda, Ajvanseed, Dill Seed, Poppy Seed,
Aniseed, Ginger, vanilla, fennel, coriander oils and oleoresins Etc.
Note: ^ estimated. Source: Spices Board, India.

Item-wise import of spices into India (qty. In thousand tonnes & value in Rs. Lakhs)

Item 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 (E) 2007-08 (E)

Spices Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value
Pepper 14.34 9923.30 17.73 11610.45 16.87 10358.39 15.75 13642.17 13.50 19388.75
Cardamom(small) 0.06 136.77 0.35 393.72 0.43 432.40 0.62 570.42 0.87 868.00
Chilli 2.13 1224.43 0.68 300.71 0.93 444.09 1.25 803.11 0.47 361.00
Turmeric 3.00 841.29 1.61 702.25 4.02 1676.14 6.70 2391.19 4.65 1227.30
Cumin black/white 2.59 1479.90 1.13 631.58 0.90 624.05 1.00 878.66 2.00 1850.00
Other spices # 104.09 42,758.00 80.72 42,673.00 67.24 40,389.00 70.08 42,102.00 6850.00 40,855.00
Total 126.23 56363.72 102.24 56311.80 90.41 53923.56 95.40 60386.70 90.00 64550.00
Value (USD in million) 122.82 125.50 121.45 133.40 160.60
# include aniseed, asafoetida, cinnamon, pepper long, cambodge, herbal spices, ginger, cardamom large, coriander, etc
E=estimates. Source: DGCIS., Kolkata/Delhi

242 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 243
SPICES: Cardamom SPICES: Cumin Seed

MCX Spot (Rs/kg) Monthly MCX Futures Prices (Rs/kg) MCX Spot (Rs/Kg)Vandanmedu MCX Spot Prices (Rs/qtl) Other market monthly
Month's average spot (Rs/qtl) WPI of
Open High Low Close Volume Open Interest Monthly Month's Month's WPI of Monthly Month's
in lots^ in lots^^ Average High Low Cardamom Average High Low Jaipur Cumin seeds
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 136.2 Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 6191 112.0
May-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 136.2 May-04 N/T N/T N/T 5690 109.4
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 137.8 Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 5970 112.7
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 140.7 Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 6733 119.5
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 136.2 Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 6409 115.8
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 132.1 Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T 6371 116.9
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 134.5 Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T 5992 115.1
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 122.2 Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T 6012 113.3
Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 121.6 Dec-04 N/T N/T N/T 6528 119.3
Jan-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 127.5 Jan-05 7050 7150 7000 6578 118.7
Feb-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 126.6 Feb-05 7308 7950 6900 6614 118.1
Mar-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 112.7 Mar-05 7746 7900 7630 7197 116.8
Apr-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 108.6 Apr-05 7718 7880 7600 6761 116.3
May-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 104.1 May-05 7439 7650 7240 6476 112.1
Jun-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 109.8 Jun-05 7498 7640 7260 6500 112.3
Jul-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 116.8 Jul-05 7538 7620 7450 6598 116.6
Aug-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 111.6 Aug-05 7163 7465 6920 6261 114.7
Sep-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 109.4 Sep-05 6683 7085 6455 5942 118.2
Oct-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 112.6 Oct-05 6279 6510 6040 5926 114.6
Nov-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 109.1 Nov-05 6498 6584 6360 6417 116.4
Dec-05 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 105.8 Dec-05 6444 6540 6372 6042 117.7
Jan-06 N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T N/T 108.4 Jan-06 6352 6450 6189 6064 116.8
Feb-06 288.0 296.8 262.5 277.2 1190 254 273.8 280.6 267.0 102.0 Feb-06 5987 6257 5778 5708 113.8
Mar-06 277.0 279.8 259.5 272.1 13416 492 262.0 268.7 255.3 99.5 Mar-06 5703 5859 5610 5728 112.1
Apr-06 272.0 276.0 229.0 233.1 15672 916 254.8 266.4 232.3 103.7 Apr-06 5661 5748 5560 5820 110.9
May-06 233.1 265.0 206.1 244.4 21569 1862 240.4 324.1 229.4 106.0 May-06 6364 6705 5748 6115 112.5
Jun-06 243.7 273.5 243.6 258.7 7034 1915 249.2 259.8 239.3 114.6 Jun-06 6556 6618 6477 6039 108.1
Jul-06 259.7 354.0 255.0 337.1 11166 1447 255.5 281.6 245.9 115.0 Jul-06 7061 7730 6575 6326 112.8
Aug-06 338.0 494.7 305.0 482.4 112243 4550 333.9 426.1 279.4 127.0 Aug-06 7821 8226 7613 7269 120.4
Sep-06 481.1 638.0 465.0 527.0 192464 3440 469.0 500.0 409.2 126.8 Sep-06 8756 9000 8341 7600 127.7
Oct-06 529.8 534.0 385.0 444.5 87695 1986 436.4 475.0 413.5 117.8 Oct-06 8546 8781 8347 7391 122.9
Nov-06 443.0 450.0 348.0 391.0 55818 1822 375.3 407.5 354.0 115.6 Nov-06 8514 8703 8212 7691 127.6
Dec-06 391.0 423.0 327.5 405.5 53890 2986 348.6 372.5 336.5 123.9 Dec-06 8503 8570 8415 7825 131.8
Jan-07 406.5 449.0 362.0 444.1 103540 6294 384.6 399.0 373.5 134.7 Jan-07 8576 8735 8379 7772 133.9
Feb-07 444.0 474.5 410.2 460.4 94541 5616 414.6 421.5 405.9 144.9 Feb-07 9177 10043 8466 8224 137.8
Mar-07 458.6 498.0 395.8 484.0 68358 6487 418.9 435.7 412.2 141.6 Mar-07 10660 11423 9847 9992 158.7
Apr-07 487.4 505.5 415.2 468.7 66021 5203 448.0 457.1 437.1 144.3 Apr-07 12146 12531 11583 11052 166.5
May-07 467.9 514.8 466.0 478.7 43511 2619 464.7 474.2 454.3 138.1 May-07 11596 12183 10985 10358 158.2
Jun-07 479.7 492.5 449.0 485.7 18558 1833 457.8 464.9 454.0 137.8 Jun-07 11590 11931 11282 10661 151.9
Jul-07 486.2 573.9 463.6 523.6 39128 2275 478.3 491.3 466.8 141.4 Jul-07 11306 11445 11085 10500 155.7
Aug-07 522.7 561.0 504.5 514.5 21418 981 479.8 484.0 473.5 139.3 Aug-07 10880 11138 10402 10555 156.8
Sep-07 516.5 575.0 492.5 563.5 13791 1527 478.6 485.5 474.5 140.8 Sep-07 10301 10664 9928 10288 147.9
Oct-07 563.0 592.5 458.0 511.5 15904 671 484.3 488.0 478.5 136.8 Oct-07 10265 10445 9940 10350 151.6
Nov-07 513.5 605.5 484.5 591.0 11718 662 509.2 541.0 490.0 146.3 Nov-07 10195 10360 9925 10386 153.5
Dec-07 589.5 643.5 560.0 640.0 10446 829 559.9 597.0 540.0 156.1 Dec-07 9835 9995 9625 9966 154.7
Jan-08 639.5 718.0 629.0 688.0 18088 649 633.8 656.5 605.0 170.9 Jan-08 10084 10369 9856 10278 152.1
Feb-08 689.0 723.5 684.5 692.5 12364 555 645.8 651.5 641.5 168.5 Feb-08 9693 10192 9393 9388 148.0
Mar-08 694.0 709.5 551.0 617.5 8971 421 626.6 647.5 593.0 165.3 Mar-08 9333 9475 9150 9289 145.3
Apr-08 612.5 687.5 599.0 627.0 4140 295 618.1 628.5 609.0 165.0 Apr-08 9192 9903 8770 9148 133.7
May-08 627.0 698.5 604.0 692.0 4990 495 646.3 664.5 625.0 165.7 May-08 9960 10130 9710 10165 147.1
Jun-08 689.0 762.0 654.5 654.5 4644 533 671.4 681.5 613.5 169.5 Jun-08 10750 11646 9928 10267 151.4
Jul-08 635.0 740.0 621.0 662.3 10365 437 642.4 660.0 616.0 162.8 Jul-08 12046 12675 11417 10582 162.2
Aug-08 664.5 747.0 658.5 691.5 6792 471 672.4 698.3 653.5 165.7 Aug-08 12444 12662 12192 10489 169.2
Sep-08 695.0 773.0 683.0 729.8 6392 370 693.0 721.5 671.5 164.3 Sep-08 11996 12457 11624 10145 157.1
Oct-08 730.0 732.8 600.5 619.0 3864 304 637.5 699.0 606.8 165.9 Oct-08 11029 11935 10591 9460 154.9
Nov-08 617.3 668.0 540.0 565.8 3347 243 587.6 623.0 513.5 160.0 Nov-08 10779 11075 10531 10024 152.7
Dec-08 560.0 643.8 530.3 553.5 3951 311 558.4 590.3 537.8 149.6 Dec-08 10680 10853 10556 9303 151.2
Jan-09 554.5 594.8 487.0 567.8 3198 207 561.9 599.5 538.8 151.6 Jan-09 10967 11655 10592 10294 155.0
Feb-09 583.8 611.0 530.0 604.5 2366 210 593.9 612.5 572.0 157.0 Feb-09 11321 11597 10968 11365 156.2
Mar-09 606.8 645.0 595.3 639.0 4237 230 587.3 605.8 570.8 156.1 Mar-09 11300 11552 11086 11500 149.6
Source: MCX, & Ministry of Commerce and Industry ^Aggregate volume in all contracts during the month; ^^Cumulative open interest in all contracts at the end of month. Source: MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry; N/T: Not Traded

244 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 245
SPICES: Pepper SPICES: Red Chilli

MCX spot prices (Rs/qtl) Kochi Other market monthly average spot prices (Rs/qtl) MCX Spot prices (Rs/Qtl) Guntur Other market Spot
Month's (Rs./Qtl) WPI of Chillies Dry
Monthly Average Month’s High Month's Low Bangalore Dakshina Kannada Uttara Kannada Uttara Kannada WPI of Monthly Month's
(Sirsi) (Yellapur) Pepper Average High Low Dakshina Kannada (Puttur)
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 7600 7081 7327 6679 212.1 Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 5596 262.6
May-04 N/T N/T N/T 7600 7025 7070 6634 203.4 May-04 N/T N/T N/T 5500 231.3
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 7600 6817 6867 6474 199.0 Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 5825 222.0
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 7600 6700 6794 6390 196.1 Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T 5390 220.9
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 7600 6625 6713 6401 196.4 Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T 5419 219.3
Sep-04 6607 6700 6500 7600 6363 6492 6346 188.9 Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T 5204 227.1
Oct-04 6360 6600 6100 7600 6175 6049 5990 186.9 Oct-04 2942 3000 2900 5097 228.4
Nov-04 6063 6300 5700 7600 5680 6159 5717 174.5 Nov-04 2919 2950 2850 5283 226.8
Dec-04 6698 7300 6300 7600 5930 6461 6057 180.6 Dec-04 2817 2950 2550 5169 227.8
Jan-05 7018 7300 6500 7600 6110 6375 6078 202.1 Jan-05 2629 2750 2550 5217 217.8
Feb-05 6442 6600 6300 7600 5612 6168 6104 178.8 Feb-05 2304 2550 2000 4720 219.5
Mar-05 6650 7000 6300 7600 5862 6528 6070 186.6 Mar-05 2159 2200 2088 5254 207.0
Apr-05 6764 7100 6400 7600 5947 6108 5592 185.9 Apr-05 1868 2100 1765 4749 197.7
May-05 6435 6585 6240 7574 5674 5927 5309 176.3 May-05 1564 1792 1494 4376 185.3
Jun-05 6343 6500 6200 7600 5386 5478 5230 175.5 Jun-05 1716 1951 1500 3716 185.6
Jul-05 6097 6240 5988 7467 5065 5264 5216 171.1 Jul-05 1893 2002 1785 3623 184.3
Aug-05 6340 6400 6233 7000 5553 5443 5497 175.2 Aug-05 1839 1887 1773 3833 188.9
Sep-05 6353 6405 6275 7000 5492 5537 5468 174.4 Sep-05 1872 2055 1793 4047 201.6
Oct-05 6366 6500 6271 7000 5630 5877 5699 178.9 Oct-05 2453 2882 2055 4903 212.7
Nov-05 6688 7144 6450 7000 N/A 6592 5779 182.8 Nov-05 2931 3150 2792 N/A 224.6
Dec-05 7293 7450 7025 7000 N/A 6702 5917 192.0 Dec-05 2804 2883 2562 N/A 236.2
Jan-06 6897 7125 6714 7000 N/A 6351 5695 187.6 Jan-06 2842 2863 2830 N/A 241.3
Feb-06 7045 7489 6738 7000 N/A 6309 6017 190.1 Feb-06 2943 3175 2814 N/A 246.3
Mar-06 7202 7444 7071 8522 N/A 7013 6817 237.1 Mar-06 3369 3593 3133 N/A 256.1
Apr-06 7150 7264 6985 7833 N/A 7082 6942 185.8 Apr-06 3738 4630 3350 N/A 281.7
May-06 6989 7167 6763 8802 N/A 7037 6538 190.9 May-06 4960 5092 4475 N/A 299.3
Jun-06 6975 7291 6830 8993 N/A 6977 6298 184.1 Jun-06 4862 5107 4705 N/A 311.3
Jul-06 8246 10500 7291 8394 N/A 7557 6715 201.1 Jul-06 4916 5025 4778 N/A 320.0
Aug-06 10425 11460 9993 8050 N/A 8808 7920 253.0 Aug-06 5300 5956 4914 N/A 325.2
Sep-06 12894 14000 11475 8050 N/A 11309 10092 304.2 Sep-06 6391 6942 6003 N/A 339.4
Oct-06 12436 13400 11210 8050 N/A 10398 10413 305.2 Oct-06 6541 7112 693 N/A 358.7
Nov-06 10984 11300 10776 8050 N/A 9681 8878 285.7 Nov-06 6902 7415 6546 N/A 391.3
Dec-06 10150 10838 9867 8150 9153 9001 8735 270.5 Dec-06 6489 7423 5887 7960 393.9
Jan-07 11377 12579 10600 8150 10404 10106 N/A 289.9 Jan-07 6365 6865 5980 7354 393.0
Feb-07 12354 12535 12140 8150 11123 11303 N/A 326.6 Feb-07 4550 6296 3875 7336 379.6
Mar-07 12173 13381 11681 13217 11202 11041 N/A 326.8 Mar-07 4491 4832 4209 6916 347.2
Apr-07 14977 15634 13629 13285 13088 12967 N/A 349.8 Apr-07 4763 5089 4371 6992 342.6
May-07 14932 15741 14200 15000 12790 12525 11910 383.1 May-07 4452 4569 4338 6880 321.3
Jun-07 14486 15295 13928 14868 13017 12437 11439 376.2 Jun-07 4693 4914 4424 6462 341.5
Jul-07 14875 15505 14144 13900 13559 13052 11852 383.8 Jul-07 4556 4789 4372 6295 350.3
Aug-07 13378 14165 12400 15544 12678 12234 11767 365.9 Aug-07 4617 4753 4458 6250 356.3
Sep-07 12725 13255 12429 16050 12281 12292 11249 350.4 Sep-07 4666 4763 4588 6264 359.7
Oct-07 14017 15600 12402 14164 13235 13173 11475 369.1 Oct-07 4618 4763 4508 6436 364.1
Nov-07 13964 15215 13195 14300 12857 12972 63635 380.5 Nov-07 4226 4530 3808 6320 353.1
Dec-07 13376 13600 13162 14300 12839 12703 12073 367.5 Dec-07 3939 4175 3734 6295 342.9
Jan-08 14383 14932 13446 14322 13335 13556 12093 379.1 Jan-08 3924 4113 3783 6278 339.4
Feb-08 14660 15546 14123 12500 13117 13415 12252 384.0 Feb-08 4027 4220 3864 6365 344.6
Mar-08 15048 15650 14750 12500 13859 14399 13204 414.0 Mar-08 4003 4262 3854 7477 350.9
Apr-08 14550 14875 14280 11000 12833 13438 11861 418.1 Apr-08 4491 4744 4195 7250 362.7
May-08 14571 15282 14112 11000 13376 13762 12457 404.9 May-08 4766 4997 4517 7924 388.2
Jun-08 14423 14613 14240 11000 13443 13974 12688 405.0 Jun-08 5049 5281 4997 8750 406.9
Jul-08 14388 14775 14136 11871 13212 12800 12257 399.7 Jul-08 5930 6378 5257 9385 407.8
Aug-08 14385 14505 14225 13750 13685 13662 12734 404.6 Aug-08 6425 6525 6313 9438 434.1
Sep-08 13597 14292 12780 13750 15752 13359 12054 380.4 Sep-08 6401 6455 6325 9293 429.9
Oct-08 13052 13895 11495 13583 12850 12669 11722 375.4 Oct-08 6413 6457 6348 10647 431.4
Nov-08 11682 12165 11435 10250 11079 11284 10885 350.6 Nov-08 6592 6692 6446 11321 431.4
Dec-08 10739 11440 10220 10250 9934 10672 10775 323.9 Dec-08 6522 6623 6450 11739 430.1
Jan-09 11873 12520 10723 11489 11029 11252 10155 344.8 Jan-09 6045 6443 5858 12155 433.9
Feb-09 11455 12315 10675 11750 10636 9799 10785 354.7 Feb-09 5255 5388 5094 11819 426.9
Mar-09 11010 11450 10632 9776 12218 11346 10926 342.6 Mar-09 5430 5549 5287 10276 487.2
Source : MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry Source: MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry
N/T: Not Traded; N/A: Not Available N/T: Not Traded; N/A: Not Available

246 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 247
SPICES: Turmeric SPICES

MCX Spot prices (Rs/Qtl) Nizamabad Other market monthly average spot prices (Rs./Qtl)
WPI of India's Pepper Exports in Volume & Value
Monthly Average Month’s High Month's Low Cuddapah Duggirala Erode Turmeric
Apr-04 N/T N/T N/T 2191 1979 2995 221.8 40 600
Qty 000 tonnes (LHS) Value (In Rs crore) RHS
May-04 N/T N/T N/T 2436 2284 3182 225.5 35
Jun-04 N/T N/T N/T 2404 2443 2986 230.1 500
Jul-04 N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 3005 229.3 30
400
Aug-04 N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 2914 223.4 25
Sep-04 N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 3147 229.1 20 300
Oct-04 N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 3204 230.4
Nov-04 N/T N/T N/T N/A N/A 3117 229.8 15
200
Dec-04 2689 2750 2600 N/A N/A 2803 226.8 10
Jan-05 2602 2750 2450 N/A N/A 2788 216.6 100
5
Feb-05 2538 2625 2450 N/A N/A 2521 214.6
0 0
Mar-05 2383 2475 2275 N/A N/A 2321 211.7
2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09e
Apr-05 2257 2438 2150 N/A N/A 2277 206.8
May-05 2154 2230 2125 1669 1769 2281 200.6 Source: Spices Board, India e - estimates
Jun-05 2190 2280 2110 1706 1741 2290 200.5
Jul-05 2238 2303 2200 N/A N/A 2467 193.7
Aug-05 2308 2420 2225 N/A N/A 2738 200.2
Sep-05 2492 2565 2388 N/A N/A 2899 202.4
Oct-05 2612 2882 2275 N/A N/A 2772 205.8
Nov-05 2760 2825 2275 N/A N/A 2890 208.4 India's Cardamom Exports in Volume & Value
Dec-05 2759 2825 2685 N/A N/A 2754 204.0
Jan-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2530 202.3 1 28
Qty 000 tonnes (LHS) Value (In Rs crore) RHS
Feb-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2385 198.9
27
Mar-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2347 197.2 0.8
Apr-06 N/A N/A N/A 1718 1880 2309 196.6 26
May-06 N/A N/A N/A 1995 1955 2460 197.5
0.6 25
Jun-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2374 192.9
Jul-06 N/A N/A N/A 1792 1880 2459 192.5 24
Aug-06 N/A N/A N/A 2008 1975 2423 195.7 0.4
23
Sep-06 N/A N/A N/A 1725 1976 2411 200.9
Oct-06 N/A N/A N/A 1636 1738 2319 194.9 22
0.2
Nov-06 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1705 2211 189.2
Dec-06 N/A N/A N/A 1611 1613 2069 181.8 21
Jan-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1588 2170 185.1 0 20
Feb-07 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1691 2053 186.0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09e
Mar-07 N/A N/A N/A 1905 N/A 2048 171.8
Apr-07 N/A N/A N/A 1781 1821 2044 179.6 Source: Spices Board, India e- estimates
May-07 N/A N/A N/A 1646 1797 2005 177.8
Jun-07 2108 2135 2081 1709 1812 2014 161.9
Jul-07 2148 2189 2117 N/A N/A 2139 173.0
Aug-07 2147 2179 2114 1657 2065 175.9 India's Red Chilli Exports in Volume & Value
Sep-07 2075 2118 2052 1585 1736 2086 175.6
Oct-07 2039 2078 1979 N/A 1815 2136 174.9 250 1200
Qty 000 tonnes (LHS) Value (In Rs crore) RHS
Nov-07 2117 2298 2040 1750 1860 2335 172.1
Dec-07 2437 2685 2297 N/A N/A 2701 178.0
Jan-08 2641 2673 2604 2357 2222 2848 174.9 200 1000
Feb-08 2791 2995 2630 2503 2348 2884 174.1
Mar-08 3073 3110 2995 2691 2635 3314 179.5 150 800
Apr-08 3077 3116 3043 2517 2656 3139 188.4
May-08 3399 4006 3072 2866 2791 3218 186.0
Jun-08 4051 4161 3989 3264 3075 N/A 195.7 100 600
Jul-08 4407 4645 4105 3318 3580 N/A 207.4
Aug-08 4127 4595 3806 2773 3263 N/A 214.4 50 400
Sep-08 3827 3908 3735 2829 3217 N/A 217.1
Oct-08 3762 3955 3570 2698 3095 N/A 213.6
Nov-08 3782 3897 3570 N/A 3195 3968 210.6 0 200
Dec-08 3862 3890 3830 N/A N/A 4047 208.9 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09e
Jan-09 3992 4198 3850 N/A N/A N/A 208.5
Feb-09 4189 4278 4080 N/A N/A N/A 209.0 Source: Spices Board, India e- estimates
Mar-09 4514 4720 4250 N/A N/A N/A 210.5
Source: MCX, Agmarknet & Ministry of Commerce and Industry
N/T: Not Traded; N/A: Not Available

248 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 249
SPICES SPICES

India's Turmeric Exports in Volume & Value


55 180
Qty 000 tonnes (LHS) Value (In Rs crore) RHS
53 175

51 170
165
49
160
47
155
45
150
43 145
41 140
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09e
Source: Spices Board, India e- estimates

India's Cumin (Jeera) Exports in Volume & Value


35 350
Qty 000 tonnes (LHS) Value (In Rs crore) RHS
30 300

25 250

20 200

15 150

10 100

5 50
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09e

Source: Spices Board, India e- estimates

Share of Different Spices in Total Spices


Exports from India (in value terms)

12% 2008-09e Pepper


12% 1%
Cardamom (S)
0%
Chilli
2007-08
25% 23% Turmeric
53%
54%
Cumin
3% Others#
7% 4%
6%

Source: Spices Board, India

250 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 251
Correlation Matrix – Agricultural commodities - MCX Spot prices (CY 2008)

Wheat Maize Arhar Gram Urad Rapeseed Potatoes Coriander Pepper Cumin seed Turmeric Cotton Chillies Sugar (Small) Sugar (Medium) Refined Soy Oil Jute Raw Rubber Crude oil USDINR*

Wheat 1 -0.0726 -0.0343 0.0285 -0.0058 0.1557 -0.3925 0.4681 -0.0098 -0.0917 0.1281 -0.3829 0.0705 -0.0577 -0.1773 0.0903 0.1666 0.0176 0.2689 -0.0513
Maize -0.0726 1 0.1832 0.1002 0.2006 0.1163 0.0908 -0.0527 0.0948 0.2909 0.2338 0.1997 0.1929 0.2599 0.1656 0.0526 0.1322 0.1419 -0.0231 0.1959
Arhar -0.0343 0.1832 1 0.1073 0.9905 0.4274 0.0684 -0.0350 0.4206 0.1458 0.1281 -0.0248 0.3818 0.1313 0.1447 0.1217 0.0884 0.6599 0.0364 0.1064
Gram 0.0285 0.1002 0.1073 1 0.0947 0.1330 0.0066 0.2496 0.2927 0.4532 0.5474 0.0501 0.0967 0.2995 0.5695 0.4343 0.3003 0.1416 0.1593 -0.1513
Urad -0.0058 0.2006 0.9905 0.0947 1 0.4520 0.0711 -0.0796 0.3920 0.1656 0.1778 -0.0345 0.4219 0.1663 0.1892 0.0813 0.1351 0.6417 0.0121 0.1971
Rapeseed 0.1557 0.1163 0.4274 0.1330 0.4520 1 -0.0279 0.0866 0.1844 0.3243 0.2131 -0.0754 0.3287 0.1359 0.0931 0.0284 0.1305 0.3754 0.1274 0.0956
Potatoes -0.3925 0.0908 0.0684 0.0066 0.0711 -0.0279 1 -0.2074 -0.1127 0.0827 0.0746 0.1598 0.0257 0.0274 0.0964 -0.0193 -0.0227 0.0024 0.0477 0.2826
Coriander 0.4681 -0.0527 -0.0350 0.2496 -0.0796 0.0866 -0.2074 1 0.2188 0.1137 -0.0177 -0.2287 -0.1017 -0.2438 -0.3145 0.4649 -0.1031 0.1780 0.5305 -0.5753
Pepper -0.0098 0.0948 0.4206 0.2927 0.3920 0.1844 -0.1127 0.2188 1 0.0557 -0.0241 0.0683 0.1488 -0.0314 -0.0122 0.2155 -0.0147 0.5282 0.0033 -0.3261
Cumin seed -0.0917 0.2909 0.1458 0.4532 0.1656 0.3243 0.0827 0.1137 0.0557 1 0.4878 -0.0235 0.2002 0.4037 0.4279 0.3045 0.2755 0.1595 0.1255 0.1374
Turmeric 0.1281 0.2338 0.1281 0.5474 0.1778 0.2131 0.0746 -0.0177 -0.0241 0.4878 1 -0.1194 0.2714 0.5193 0.5748 0.2854 0.4547 0.0649 0.1780 0.3673
Cotton -0.3829 0.1997 -0.0248 0.0501 -0.0345 -0.0754 0.1598 -0.2287 0.0683 -0.0235 -0.1194 1 0.0452 0.0996 0.1065 -0.0999 -0.0066 -0.2201 -0.4347 0.1225
Chillies 0.0705 0.1929 0.3818 0.0967 0.4219 0.3287 0.0257 -0.1017 0.1488 0.2002 0.2714 0.0452 1 0.1844 0.1957 -0.0646 0.2459 0.2347 -0.1251 0.3754
Sugar (Small) -0.0577 0.2599 0.1313 0.2995 0.1663 0.1359 0.0274 -0.2438 -0.0314 0.4037 0.5193 0.0996 0.1844 1 0.5830 0.1739 0.3781 -0.0667 -0.1957 0.3727
Sugar (Medium) -0.1773 0.1656 0.1447 0.5695 0.1892 0.0931 0.0964 -0.3145 -0.0122 0.4279 0.5748 0.1065 0.1957 0.5830 1 0.1221 0.4965 -0.0698 -0.2474 0.4220
Refined Soy Oil 0.0903 0.0526 0.1217 0.4343 0.0813 0.0284 -0.0193 0.4649 0.2155 0.3045 0.2854 -0.0999 -0.0646 0.1739 0.1221 1 0.1242 0.1620 0.4259 -0.4041
Jute Raw 0.1666 0.1322 0.0884 0.3003 0.1351 0.1305 -0.0227 -0.1031 -0.0147 0.2755 0.4547 -0.0066 0.2459 0.3781 0.4965 0.1242 1 -0.0515 -0.0256 0.2940
Rubber 0.0176 0.1419 0.6599 0.1416 0.6417 0.3754 0.0024 0.1780 0.5282 0.1595 0.0649 -0.2201 0.2347 -0.0667 -0.0698 0.1620 -0.0515 1 0.3198 -0.1577
Crude oil 0.2689 -0.0231 0.0364 0.1593 0.0121 0.1274 0.0477 0.5305 0.0033 0.1255 0.1780 -0.4347 -0.1251 -0.1957 -0.2474 0.4259 -0.0256 0.3198 1 -0.4202
USDINR* -0.0513 0.1959 0.1064 -0.1513 0.1971 0.0956 0.2826 -0.5753 -0.3261 0.1374 0.3673 0.1225 0.3754 0.3727 0.4220 -0.4041 0.2940 -0.1577 -0.4204 1
*RBI Reference Rate; Source: MCX, Agmarknet

252 | A PUBLICATION BY MCX AND PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS DATA FOR READY REFERENCE | 253

You might also like