0 .1-.2% .2-..3 .3-.4% .4-.5 .5-.6 .6-.

7
1 0.41 0
2 0.26 0
3 0.21 0
4 0.52 1
5 0.05 0
6 0.3 0
7 0.54 0
8 0.2 0
9 0.15 0
10 0.85 0
11 0.36 0
12 0.29
13 0.07
14 0.11
15 0.54
16 0.32
17 0.1
18 0.99
19 0.16
20 0.34
21 0.64
22 0.11
23 0.35
24 0.51
25 0.4
26 0.13
27 0.17
28 0.9
29 0.31
30 0.83
31 0.12
32 0.36
33 0.38
34 0.4
35 0.99
36 0.29
37 0.8
38 0.98
39 0.91
40 0.19
41 0.93
42 0.37
.7-.8 .8-.9 .9-1
1
PortaCom Risk Analysis

Selling Price per Unit $249

Administrative Cost $400000
Advertising Cost $600000

Direct Labor Cost

Lower Upper
Random No. Random No. Cost per Unit
0 0.1 $43
0.1 0.3 $44
0.3 0.7 $45
0.7 0.9 $46
0.9 1 $47

Simulation Trials

Direct Labor Parts

trial Random Variable Cost per Uit Cost per Unit
1 0.18 44 83.64
2 0.1 44 82.06
3 0.81 46 96.25
4 0.9 47 98.05
5 0.78 46 95.67
6 0.76 46 95.21
7 0.69 45 93.87
8 0.97 47 99.42
9 0.88 46 97.54
10 0.37 45 87.4
11 0.81 46 96.21
12 0.31 45 86.25
13 0.16 44 83.13
14 0.06 43 81.16
15 0.2 44 84.09
16 0.16 44 83.22
17 0.69 45 93.86
18 0.38 45 87.57
19 0.49 45 89.73
20 0.99 47 99.73
21 0 43 80.03
22 0.9 47 98.03
23 0 43 80.03
24 0.51 45 90.14
25 0.92 47 98.4
26 0.65 45 92.97
27 0.19 44 83.79
28 0.43 45 88.54
29 0.41 45 88.2
30 0.19 44 83.71
31 0.87 46 97.41
32 0.06 43 81.15
33 0.79 46 95.8
34 0.62 45 92.37
35 0.22 44 84.45
36 0.77 46 95.35
37 0.61 45 92.3
38 0.73 46 94.55
39 0.76 46 95.3
40 0.77 46 95.48
41 0.82 46 96.49
42 0.42 45 88.34
43 0.29 44 85.8
44 0 43 80.01
45 0.25 44 84.97
46 0.33 45 86.64
47 0.82 46 96.32
48 0.7 45 93.98
49 0.94 47 98.82
50 0.24 44 84.76
51 0.01 43 80.25
52 0.66 45 93.17
53 0.52 45 90.3
54 0.97 47 99.32
55 0.15 44 83.08
56 0.61 45 92.24
57 0.17 44 83.48
58 0.08 43 81.55
59 0.71 46 94.2
60 0.18 44 83.52
61 0.88 46 97.61
62 0.63 45 92.67
63 0.94 47 98.84
64 0.84 46 96.7
65 0.37 45 87.31
66 0.84 46 96.86
67 0.42 45 88.39
68 0.29 44 85.86
69 0.63 45 92.66
70 0.46 45 89.16
71 0.95 47 99.1
72 0.9 47 98.08
73 0.18 44 83.58
 74 0.46 45 89.21
75 0.02 43 80.42
76 0.54 45 90.86
77 0.48 45 89.58
78 0.15 44 83.08
79 0.69 45 93.72
80 0.71 46 94.25
81 0.63 45 92.62
82 0.55 45 90.92
83 0.59 45 91.9
84 0.65 45 93.04
85 0.57 45 91.41
86 0.93 47 98.58
87 0.34 45 86.72
88 0.68 45 93.5
89 0.02 43 80.45
90 0.06 43 81.21
91 0.52 45 90.38
92 0.33 45 86.56
93 0.06 43 81.19
94 0.33 45 86.55
95 0.4 45 87.93
96 0.6 45 92.07
97 0.92 47 98.36
98 0.74 46 94.84
99 0.09 43 81.76
100 0.58 45 91.62
101 0.7 45 93.9
102 0.08 43 81.51
103 0.03 43 80.64
104 0.84 46 96.76
105 0.79 46 95.83
106 0.73 46 94.54
107 0.85 46 97.05
108 0.49 45 89.81
109 0.53 45 90.6
110 0.34 45 86.81
111 0.31 45 86.12
112 0.63 45 92.53
113 0.31 45 86.2
114 0.62 45 92.4
115 0.96 47 99.11
116 0.69 45 93.82
117 0.37 45 87.4
118 0.77 46 95.44
119 0.53 45 90.52
120 0.41 45 88.27
121 0.7 46 94.02
122 0.1 43 81.98
123 0.52 45 90.39
124 0.98 47 99.57
125 0.7 46 94.08
126 0.85 46 97
127 0.42 45 88.31
128 0.9 46 97.92
129 0.76 46 95.16
130 0.23 44 84.6
131 0.96 47 99.12
132 0.02 43 80.4
133 0.42 45 88.31
134 0.03 43 80.51
135 0.82 46 96.31
136 0.15 44 82.95
137 0.5 45 89.97
138 0.19 44 83.86
139 0.62 45 92.41
140 0.97 47 99.47
141 0.15 44 82.99
142 0.17 44 83.4
143 0.09 43 81.74
144 0.57 45 91.38
145 0.27 44 85.35
146 0.55 45 90.97
147 0.48 45 89.58
148 0.11 44 82.23
149 0.03 43 80.6
150 0.56 45 91.17
151 0.86 46 97.26
152 0.65 45 93.09
153 0.3 44 85.98
154 0.72 46 94.5
155 0.79 46 95.74
156 0.14 44 82.73
157 0.42 45 88.45
158 0.12 44 82.49
159 0.34 45 86.76
160 0.37 45 87.41
161 0.97 47 99.39
162 0.7 46 94
163 0.45 45 89.09
164 0.96 47 99.25
165 0.33 45 86.65
166 0.05 43 81.09
167 0.75 46 95.08
168 0.54 45 90.73
169 0.42 45 88.48
170 0.03 43 80.66
171 0.31 45 86.25
172 0.11 44 82.13
173 0.5 45 90.02
174 0.27 44 85.49
175 0.09 43 81.82
176 0.98 47 99.63
177 0.31 45 86.27
178 0.57 45 91.33
179 0.27 44 85.44
180 0.16 44 83.1
181 0.59 45 91.73
182 0.34 45 86.71
183 0.42 45 88.45
184 0.3 44 85.91
185 0.47 45 89.32
186 0.15 44 82.98
187 0.41 45 88.11
188 0.54 45 90.88
189 0.13 44 82.5
190 0.82 46 96.32
191 0.84 46 96.78
192 0.28 44 85.65
193 0.15 44 82.91
194 0.24 44 84.79
195 0.68 45 93.54
196 0.4 45 88.09
197 0.06 43 81.1
198 0.79 46 95.71
199 0.67 45 93.43
200 0.77 46 95.42
201 0.81 46 96.16
202 0.03 43 80.53
203 0.17 44 83.42
204 0.34 45 86.73
205 0.11 44 82.12
206 0.15 44 83
207 0.36 45 87.16
208 0.36 45 87.16
209 0.01 43 80.17
210 0.95 47 99.05
211 0.64 45 92.71
212 0.04 43 80.78
213 0.85 46 96.93
214 0.5 45 90.09
215 0.25 44 85.05
216 0.65 45 93.08
217 0.67 45 93.42
218 0.99 47 99.74
219 0.38 45 87.62
220 0.87 46 97.33
221 0.59 45 91.82
222 0.95 47 99.03
223 0.51 45 90.17
224 0.62 45 92.48
225 0.97 47 99.39
226 0.3 44 85.9
227 0.41 45 88.23
228 0.65 45 93.01
229 0.85 46 97.04
230 0.74 46 94.78
231 0.1 43 82
232 0.91 47 98.1
233 0.44 45 88.73
234 0.36 45 87.19
235 0.72 46 94.4
236 0.62 45 92.47
237 0.58 45 91.52
238 0.98 47 99.58
239 0.16 44 83.14
240 0.22 44 84.38
241 0.79 46 95.76
242 0.18 44 83.66
243 0.63 45 92.67
244 0.65 45 93
245 0.63 45 92.7
246 0.25 44 84.94
247 0.43 45 88.58
248 0.21 44 84.21
249 0.33 45 86.63
250 0.34 45 86.87
251 0.96 47 99.25
252 0.44 45 88.8
253 0.25 44 85
254 0.98 47 99.52
255 0.7 45 93.97
256 0.32 45 86.39
257 0.88 46 97.57
258 0.29 44 85.72
259 0.73 46 94.61
260 0.63 45 92.6
261 0.47 45 89.46
262 0.6 45 92.05
263 0.45 45 88.99
264 0.98 47 99.54
265 0.9 47 98.02
266 0.53 45 90.6
267 0.88 46 97.68
268 0.66 45 93.23
269 0.55 45 91.03
270 0.71 46 94.29
271 0.93 47 98.56
272 0.2 44 83.93
273 0.05 43 81.08
274 0.19 44 83.88
275 0.99 47 99.89
276 0.48 45 89.55
277 0.9 47 98.01
278 0.31 45 86.24
279 0.89 46 97.75
280 0.93 47 98.64
281 0.96 47 99.2
282 0.42 45 88.44
283 0.68 45 93.58
284 0.89 46 97.8
285 0.82 46 96.4
286 0.68 45 93.67
287 0.77 46 95.43
288 0.14 44 82.86
289 0.1 44 82.02
290 0.05 43 80.96
291 0.05 43 80.94
292 0.28 44 85.53
293 0.71 46 94.1
294 0.12 44 82.47
295 0.44 45 88.83
296 0.36 45 87.2
297 0.37 45 87.5
298 0.21 44 84.26
299 0.06 43 81.21
300 0.32 45 86.49
301 0.36 45 87.13
302 0.33 45 86.68
303 0.81 46 96.17
304 0.55 45 90.91
305 0.31 45 86.15
306 0.58 45 91.53
307 0.33 45 86.69
308 0.24 44 84.85
309 0.11 44 82.2
310 0.54 45 90.8
311 0.6 45 92.02
312 0.65 45 93.05
313 0.94 47 98.81
314 0.44 45 88.8
315 0.69 45 93.81
316 0.6 45 91.99
317 0.88 46 97.56
318 0.71 46 94.14
319 0.91 47 98.2
320 0.05 43 80.95
321 0.51 45 90.2
322 0.82 46 96.41
323 0.05 43 80.92
324 0.7 46 94.08
325 0.57 45 91.37
326 0.45 45 89.04
327 0.58 45 91.68
328 0.22 44 84.32
329 0.76 46 95.29
330 0.73 46 94.6
331 0.51 45 90.26
332 0.25 44 84.94
333 0.83 46 96.51
334 0.77 46 95.49
335 0.37 45 87.35
336 0.95 47 98.99
337 0.59 45 91.75
338 0.69 45 93.71
339 0.08 43 81.52
340 0.19 44 83.71
341 0.78 46 95.7
342 0.38 45 87.5
343 0.74 46 94.8
344 0.76 46 95.23
345 0.91 47 98.28
346 0.6 45 91.98
347 0.18 44 83.56
348 0.05 43 81.06
349 0.28 44 85.52
350 0.33 45 86.69
351 0.44 45 88.86
352 1 47 100
353 0.26 44 85.17
354 0.06 43 81.13
355 0.05 43 81.02
356 0.3 44 85.91
357 0.03 43 80.5
358 0.66 45 93.29
359 0.59 45 91.83
360 0.17 44 83.47
361 0.67 45 93.42
362 0.6 45 92.05
363 0.53 45 90.61
364 0.57 45 91.4
365 0.51 45 90.14
366 0.85 46 96.97
367 0.77 46 95.43
368 0.54 45 90.82
369 0.87 46 97.41
370 0.39 45 87.72
371 0.49 45 89.77
372 0.27 44 85.31
373 0.3 45 86.04
374 0.37 45 87.31
375 0.93 47 98.64
376 0.89 46 97.76
377 0.03 43 80.55
378 0.77 46 95.38
379 0.77 46 95.4
380 0.98 47 99.51
381 0.81 46 96.28
382 0.34 45 86.84
383 0.59 45 91.81
384 0.27 44 85.38
385 0.36 45 87.13
386 0.79 46 95.86
387 0.78 46 95.64
388 0.14 44 82.75
389 0.8 46 95.9
390 0.35 45 86.99
391 0.8 46 95.99
392 0.1 43 81.97
393 0.33 45 86.57
394 0.64 45 92.8
395 0.99 47 99.82
396 0.77 46 95.44
397 0.11 44 82.13
398 0.98 47 99.66
399 0.98 47 99.53
400 0.23 44 84.63
401 0.12 44 82.32
402 0.09 43 81.84
403 0.09 43 81.79
404 0.59 45 91.72
405 0.41 45 88.11
406 0.92 47 98.33
407 0.7 46 94.02
408 0.38 45 87.61
409 0.68 45 93.52
410 0.76 46 95.12
411 0.52 45 90.32
412 0.4 45 88.04
413 0.76 46 95.12
414 0.72 46 94.48
415 0.02 43 80.3
416 0.34 45 86.84
417 0.35 45 87.04
418 0.5 45 89.96
419 0.66 45 93.17
420 0.5 45 90.03
421 0.79 46 95.89
422 0.1 44 82.1
423 0.91 47 98.15
424 0.47 45 89.48
425 0.93 47 98.58
426 0.15 44 83.03
427 0.78 46 95.53
428 0.83 46 96.69
429 0.56 45 91.1
430 0.49 45 89.86
431 0.95 47 98.94
432 0.7 46 94.07
433 0.23 44 84.67
434 0.04 43 80.84
435 0.73 46 94.69
436 0.61 45 92.3
437 0.2 44 84.05
438 0.76 46 95.12
439 0.73 46 94.54
440 0.58 45 91.52
441 0.74 46 94.78
442 0.88 46 97.58
443 0.41 45 88.18
444 0.63 45 92.61
445 0.36 45 87.16
446 0.2 44 83.97
447 0.8 46 95.97
448 0.48 45 89.55
449 0.23 44 84.53
450 0.5 45 90.08
451 0.81 46 96.22
452 0.62 45 92.42
453 0.83 46 96.51
454 0.57 45 91.47
455 0.92 47 98.39
456 0.02 43 80.35
457 0.15 44 82.93
458 0.74 46 94.83
459 0.29 44 85.74
460 0.97 47 99.35
461 0.46 45 89.27
462 0.85 46 96.98
463 0.52 45 90.3
464 0.99 47 99.81
465 0 43 80.06
466 0.55 45 90.94
467 0.8 46 96.01
468 0.17 44 83.35
469 0.25 44 85.06
470 0.95 47 99.03
471 0.18 44 83.57
472 0.4 45 87.94
473 0.77 46 95.48
474 0.93 47 98.66
475 0.16 44 83.15
476 0.62 45 92.35
477 0.97 47 99.4
478 0.43 45 88.52
479 0.9 46 97.94
480 0.13 44 82.66
481 0.85 46 97
482 0.68 45 93.52
483 0.82 46 96.32
484 0.54 45 90.84
485 0.55 45 91.07
486 0.77 46 95.46
487 0.15 44 82.97
488 0.66 45 93.23
489 0.87 46 97.44
490 0.15 44 83.06
491 0.55 45 90.99
492 0.82 46 96.33
493 0.53 45 90.58
494 0.8 46 96.08
495 0.39 45 87.71
496 0.72 46 94.41
497 0.22 44 84.44
498 0.15 44 82.96
499 0.79 46 95.76
500 0.45 45 88.92
Parts Cost(Uniform Distribution)
Smallest Value $80
Largest Value $100

Demand(Normal Distribution)
Mean 15000
Standard Dev 4500

First-Year
Demand Profit
10918.48 325023.07
9308.91 144439.45
18989.14 1027159.16
20837.86 1165996.61
18531.85 988938.19
18184.65 960147.68
17275.11 902534.3
23542.75 1414931.89
20224.54 1132806.82
13508.16 575017.25
18955.83 1024361.95
12801.48 507354.65
10457.19 274445.74
7932.73 -9701.19
11287.8 364762.2
10540.37 283640.34
17267.84 901929.73
13608.55 584421.59
14846.89 696575.25
24926.53 1549333.89
1404.57 -823060.13
20805.56 1163155.48
1405.91 -822890.66
15078.59 716858.66
21325.87 1209317.56
16716.27 855992.26
11039.17 338084.89
14173.19 636405.24
13977.69 618576.7
10977.36 331404.35
20082.96 1120492.74
7913.4 -12036.49
18630.23 997128.61
16359.68 826154.99
11563.34 393955.93
18285.58 968499.91
16313.91 822313.04
17724.93 922236.64
18250.39 965586.21
18387.7 976963.83
19200.06 1044929.37
14056.16 625753.8
12510.84 491272.16
123.96 -984382.71
11941.63 433385.27
13046.19 531080.56
19055.1 1032705.79
17345.52 908390.55
22034.81 1273548.41
11793.67 418054.35
4923.02 -380936.7
16834.99 865895.51
15171.06 724900.59
23198.39 1382121.21
10409.89 269203.54
16280.99 819547.51
10778.78 309813.68
8595.75 69767.61
17487.75 902733.21
10814.44 313704.57
20298.7 1139279.94
16534.21 840778.52
22082.52 1277924.9
19387.07 1060769.89
13454.85 570002.89
19529.27 1072870.59
14084.4 628329.45
12549.27 495117.34
16529.85 840414.14
14527.85 668315.13
22627.48 1328385.16
20871.03 1168917.89
10864.77 319187.05
14555.73 670800.73
5867.37 -263199.31
15483.21 751846.22
14760.2 688936.05
10416.52 269938.81
17183.5 894914.02
17524.44 905748.95
16503.34 838195.59
15519.95 754997.84
16080.36 802651.58
16760.73 859702.56
15801.31 779017.53
21612.55 1235106.9
13091.63 535451.36
17042.57 883186.46
5959.64 -251739.74
8013.41 32.02
15213.49 728581.03
12995.34 526176.42
7976.01 -4478.81
12987.11 525381.4
13817.83 603865.78
16182.08 811227.1
21268.17 1204156.98
17925.92 938788.37
8906.71 106594.94
15922.25 789281.63
17296.3 904296.29
8531.5 62120.83
6652.87 -165970.44
19436.26 1064949.65
18654.36 999140.14
17714.5 921378.99
19708.61 1088205.03
14891.87 700528.09
15339.8 739504.09
13147.1 540771.83
12719.98 499381.88
16453.65 834033.96
12768.09 504092.88
16375.41 827475.02
22651.38 1330617.53
17241.72 899756.51
13508.72 575070.33
18354.32 974195.74
15291.34 735319.05
14014.59 621954.94
17372.64 893273.28
9213.04 142560.35
15218.1 728981.11
24116.68 1470216.27
17412.45 896544.56
19667.71 1084700.35
14039.09 624194.85
20665.39 1171527.22
18147.51 957077.4
11672.51 405412.2
22677.36 1333044.93
5775.02 -274678.77
14041.62 624426.21
6235.26 -217565.53
19041.77 1031584.12
10288.56 255707.48
14984.7 708662.63
11095.11 344114.08
16380.48 827900.46
23708.45 1430818.65
10325.11 259780.26
10706.73 301932.37
8882.55 103744.75
15784.26 777567.72
12210.91 460987.53
15550.57 757622.01
14765.74 689425.04
9522.26 168999.98
6523.94 -181872.96
15661.79 767132.59
19918.5 1106260.75
16788.46 862016.09
12629.49 503118.35
17689.46 919318.32
18582.35 993140.03
10069.65 231191.97
14119.6 631535.68
9812.5 202129.2
13117.74 537957.91
13513.11 575482.71
23439.06 1405022.11
17361.92 892392.65
14486.2 664595.07
23005.46 1363866.63
13048.77 531329.1
7794.97 -26357.66
18093.4 952606.95
15413.38 745843.9
14140.26 633414.86
6720.62 -157623.44
12802.68 507472.14
9392.17 154044.09
15008.69 710759.35
12304.64 470504.11
8996.19 117133.36
24390.71 1496853.88
12811.18 508300.72
15753.7 774967.32
12269.47 466938.26
10433.98 271874.62
15981.19 794271.37
13091.33 535422.6
14119.48 631524.4
12579.48 498134.07
14615.28 676099.22
10315.47 258706.88
13924.02 613651.46
15497.46 753068.79
9826.14 203677.81
19054.02 1032615.45
19456.83 1066700.05
12407.47 480889.38
10246.13 250972.19
11814.97 420267.81
17068.04 885306.13
13913.59 612692.97
7809.32 -24620.24
18560.5 991321.2
16996.86 879381.5
18341.92 973167.8
18914.61 1020902.45
6304.21 -209030.61
10728.35 304300.53
13100.57 536309.6
9378.26 152441.43
10332.83 260639.37
13360.47 561090
13361.67 561203.44
4226.95 -468109.32
22523.29 1318672.79
16561.62 843071.84
7071 -114574.64
19597.67 1078708.93
15049.78 714346.39
11997.71 439166.58
16781.84 861463.32
16993.48 879099.63
25003.64 1556926.13
13634.74 586866.99
19990.39 1112472.93
16035.05 798825.57
22478.38 1314495.42
15097.84 718535.05
16421.16 831311.27
23430.85 1404238.35
12577.02 497888.47
13992.67 619949.01
16738.24 857826.21
19704.59 1087860.49
17878.19 934855.37
9230.39 144587.84
20902.95 1171732.92
14281.16 646177.39
13378.9 562833.76
17622.2 913786.2
16418.89 831120.76
15863.96 784338.55
24146.85 1473141.95
10466.99 275531.32
11510.99 388438.81
18599.15 994539.57
10933.47 326649.19
16536.25 840949.36
16732.8 857372.44
16550.46 842138.45
11925.43 431712.4
14194.24 638314.24
11382.18 374805.7
13036.65 530161.27
13187.69 544655.15
23016.26 1364885.62
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