MATH 3342- Dass Test II

Name: 5o(....VT\()NS

Answer All Questions

Time Allowed: 1 Hr 15 Minutes

1. (25 Points) The distribution of the amount of gravel (in tons) sold by a particular construction supply company in a given week is a continuous random variable X with pdf;

{(x) = {k(l- x2) ; 0 S x S 1

o ;otherwise

a) Show that the value of k must be ! in order to have a legitimate pdf.

I 2

f KCI-?('l.Jd?( ::; I K 1- -:::: ,

o'{[XJ>[1]~1~' [tc,";-\

k{I-~1~1

vo.rcx)::: J_ - .:L

5 164

d] Calculate E(3X - 4) and Var(3X - 4) t )

E(3X-4):= 3£(x)-1-t-=- 3C~)-4=-2.8:'5_

VC\rC3X-~) ::: '1 Vo.rCx) z: £) CO,OSCf'7) ;:::-fO-'-S-3-ij--'b)

e) Find the cdf of the random variable X.

FC)()~ j"";_ (,-?/'Jdxc= ~ {xCX_

o

2. [25 points) The completion time X for a certain task has cdf given by;

o

; x<O

3

F(x)= 1-~(~- x)(~-~x)

1

;Osx<l 7 ·1 ..... x<,;:::. 3

7 'x >, -3

a) Find P(X < 0.5)

FCo.s): (0;1 -=f'041'l-]

b) Find P(X < 1.5)

F (I_ 5):: J - .J_ ( 2 - :3 ) ( l- s, ~ )

s. 3"2 -1 -4.2

= r-{( ~ )(t- ~);'- t(~)(+)

c) Find PCl < X < 2) FC!l-) - Fe\) -:::

1- 3

-I-~(~)(~)-~

t+~

~ I - _,_ - ...L -= 1-

::LI-J 3 . :2.11

S s

:= 1-5L :;.,4

li"

!1-+

d) Find PCX > ~)

J- r c=- ~)

3. (20 points) The diameters of bolts produced by a certain machine are normally distributed with mean 0.3 inches with standard deviation 0.01 inches.

a. What percentage of bolts will have the diameter less than 0.2737

z::: .9..73- 03 = <::> ·01

0.00..35

[0'35 l J

b. What percentage of bolts will have the diameter exceeding 0.3247

c. What percentage of bolts will have the diameter within 0.264 and 0.3317

.: o . qqq

d. Find the so" percentile for the diameter of the bolts produced by this machine.

,. :l9

7. ~ x-A a->

/·:J._8 z: )( - O~3 o ·01

e. What value of "c" is such that the interval (0.3-c , 0.3+c) includes 98% of all diameter value?

t

~.'.".-.'/'~""

,./- .. ~--j ,----'--

»<

c" '"

_/~' •• <-'

, ~-- ~ --

-2·n

-;2-33 =(o'3-c)-o'3 0-01

4. [20 points) Monthly sales from January to lutte in a super market provided fottowing data io$1O;0005.

a) What is the point estimate of the average monthly sales for the first haff of this year?

X :::. 5 Ii .. I> 5 C $ to (000 S )

b) What Is the point estimate of the variance for monthly sates for the first half of this year? - ('2-X)'l. }/,,-f ~

h

(8,,65 #41 - .ft3II:.- f '1S54 . 22- 5

.- :2-ll· !l55 5

c) What is the point estimate of the median monthly sales for the first half of this year?

47.4 , 50.2 , 5:2..4, 53",58·9 J 65';3 (crrderffrst)

x= 5!2'4+S3') ~

5. [10 points1 Suppose there are two samples with sample sizes n1 and nz with sample variances Sf and S~. let ~1 be the population mean for first sample and ~z be the population mean for second sample. If both samples have same population variance tTz, show that the estimated pooled variance aZ is an unbiased estimator for population variance (12.

Estimated pooled variance is

(til - , ) £' C 5/') + C h2 - I) E ( S:L 2. )

hl+n,2-.2

MATH 334~ - CLASS TE~T lL REVI FiN

o

{ex).::: Cxt-2.) Ie

, -2 < >« I(

/

o

)

e/s C' whe re_

1;

J (x t-,-) d x x; I

- 2- 1<:

~

I J (x+:2)dx x: I

"

-2..

J_ fr'fi. + '3) - ( j___ - 4)J :;;. I

1'( L~ ';2

J_ [<6+9-f!+-4] .z: j K

_!_§_ =-i ~

K .: 18

.lj

b) E (x) z: Ix.[ ex ) d x -

-2

it

J 'X ('1<+.2.) dx -::- .i: {[ )(3+ ;{X2j}

._---,,_ I '0 -3 !L

- 2. IS -L

E(,X'):= 2_

Va.. t ex) z: f C x2 ) ~ {F CX)};L

'-t ,."'t

E (Xl) z: J ?(:1 irx )d x= j (x 3t- ~ x 2 \:}:>(

-2 -2 IS

=- L f( 2S' b .. _&) T (,Q_(b-4 ') ,t I!::_ ) 1 z: log.

I '3 tJ -'1 4 ---:r 3:J IS

L" fJ'i

I X" ':2. x

= ~ :4+ '3 2

(fO~€ 1)

d ) C ct{ C Lt I LA -le [ (.2x+ S )
£' (2X+-S) '2 E(x) +8 .x: :;(,_)t- 8 .::: 12-
- -
VCH C~ x~ 9) z: 4 Vore x ) - 4 (:2) .: 8
- X I<

F(x) ::: f {(x)Jx::: J (X+2) dx

-!j_ -:2 IS

_I [X 2 +:< )( + 2J f S . 2.

o

,

x .::::; - 2.

x > II

) . .> "I

it) .r"' 0 x<o
,
rCx) z: x
- o s; x c a
h
X:L ? 2~X<ty
Il:
4 sx Giveh ,'s the cdf, WhCA{ JOU hove -fo do ,'5 plug Ih -the

value of xfm .. tht correct suppor-L "

:l.

F(3)::: (3)

1&

- q

- -

f(,

=

c)

i

- -

z: i-_I

S'

:j 1-.9_ z:

16 tb

Le-l

a) P (X >1,05) ~

x ''-' N (I ,( 0, 01 ) i )

_/

p ( X > I· 05) - 0' 00 f:) 2 z: o. 62. 10

b) P(X<O.ob)

Z.=-O.o.~::;

0'0 '2

-

0'01- J '-04
I l'
0.0-:( - I /,04-1
------,-----"
0'02. 0 02
- -46,S ;:: 2
- ~..... . / /. dQ-'72

.--'0 /

/"'-- /

-1-t6-S .2

o qc12 - 0

P (0 07 ~ )( s: (- 04 ) = q 7· -,2 10

~

(eC\~ 4)

d)

I-C

O,O( 5

I+C

f

o

C: 0" 0434 tn1Yl

Yo lA ma~ «se -;2., =T := (I-C) - \ also .fhd-t will ojgO § ive --the

5(une o..l1S wet 10 r C *

+

2= 1.645

O~O 2

z~ X - f(

0--' /.645= x-I o- 0 Z

G\.) /-bi(){ es-timoAe of mC'(Ah.::: so_rnpk mean X

X z: (9-' '3 -4 + !2.;) g + :J. 3+ + J2. 3 + 1" 2.. 3 5 +- a- ;> -?» Ib :::. '.It. 0 4 b

b) POint es-tI'mo.1:e OJ ('>opuIC\{,'Oh VOrl'o.nce is ' S(ltYIple VC\f/'OJ'(f.

s·: {#,x: - (~~XJ"- jln-I =to.OOII'-

c) Po in{ estimoAe of populo.,1.,·on mf'd,'Qh :c sumple rVIPJIO,h
o4-cief -the dO-.{a St{ {I·rs-\. '
2·:213 _Q.33 2· ~~ , 2- 35 2· 3~ .2,3+ '* Recall -thed: here) we co.n f10~ use SOJnpie meo}) os Qt)
..,
f's-t I mo_ -t e fm F'Opu 1(1-1 ion med,'oh be CClLIS e We do nO-1 rhO v-J
whe {her g a S'oll /) e ptices are hOf rna-IlL] dl's-t r; bLA1ed Ot not n

-

:b.mple mean s: X z:

h

£( x) .:

1'\

E( i~) z:

h

.i. ~ ['(x)

hi:=-,

c/; and f?> ore (on 5; -tOJ) is " The t e f ore ~

E ex) =n 0( f3 z: 0<(3

y

E ex ) '" eX f3 >

MATH 334~ - CLASS TE~T lL REVI FiN

o

{ex).::: Cxt-2.) Ie

, -2 < >« I(

/

o

)

e/s C' whe re_

1;

J (x t-,-) d x x; I

- 2- 1<:

~

I J (x+:2)dx x: I

"

-2..

J_ fr'fi. + '3) - ( j___ - 4)J :;;. I

1'( L~ ';2

J_ [<6+9-f!+-4] .z: j K

_!_§_ =-i ~

K .: 18

.lj

b) E (x) z: Ix.[ ex ) d x -

-2

it

J 'X ('1<+.2.) dx -::- .i: {[ )(3+ ;{X2j}

._---,,_ I '0 -3 !L

- 2. IS -L

E(,X'):= 2_

Va.. t ex) z: f C x2 ) ~ {F CX)};L

'-t ,."'t

E (Xl) z: J ?(:1 irx )d x= j (x 3t- ~ x 2 \:}:>(

-2 -2 IS

=- L f( 2S' b .. _&) T (,Q_(b-4 ') ,t I!::_ ) 1 z: log.

I '3 tJ -'1 4 ---:r 3:J IS

L" fJ'i

I X" ':2. x

= ~ :4+ '3 2

(fO~€ 1)

d ) C ct{ C Lt I LA -le [ (.2x+ S )
£' (2X+-S) '2 E(x) +8 .x: :;(,_)t- 8 .::: 12-
- -
VCH C~ x~ 9) z: 4 Vore x ) - 4 (:2) .: 8
- X I<

F(x) ::: f {(x)Jx::: J (X+2) dx

-!j_ -:2 IS

_I [X 2 +:< )( + 2J f S . 2.

o

,

x .::::; - 2.

x > II

) . .> "I

it) .r"' 0 x<o
,
rCx) z: x
- o s; x c a
h
X:L ? 2~X<ty
Il:
4 sx Giveh ,'s the cdf, WhCA{ JOU hove -fo do ,'5 plug Ih -the

value of xfm .. tht correct suppor-L "

:l.

F(3)::: (3)

1&

- q

- -

f(,

=

c)

i

- -

z: i-_I

S'

:j 1-.9_ z:

16 tb

Le-l

a) P (X >1,05) ~

x ''-' N (I ,( 0, 01 ) i )

_/

p ( X > I· 05) - 0' 00 f:) 2 z: o. 62. 10

b) P(X<O.ob)

Z.=-O.o.~::;

0'0 '2

-

0'01- J '-04
I l'
0.0-:( - I /,04-1
------,-----"
0'02. 0 02
- -46,S ;:: 2
- ~..... . / /. dQ-'72

.--'0 /

/"'-- /

-1-t6-S .2

o qc12 - 0

P (0 07 ~ )( s: (- 04 ) = q 7· -,2 10

~

(eC\~ 4)

d)

I-C

O,O( 5

I+C

f

o

C: 0" 0434 tn1Yl

Yo lA ma~ «se -;2., =T := (I-C) - \ also .fhd-t will ojgO § ive --the

5(une o..l1S wet 10 r C *

+

2= 1.645

O~O 2

z~ X - f(

0--' /.645= x-I o- 0 Z

G\.) /-bi(){ es-timoAe of mC'(Ah.::: so_rnpk mean X

X z: (9-' '3 -4 + !2.;) g + :J. 3+ + J2. 3 + 1" 2.. 3 5 +- a- ;> -?» Ib :::. '.It. 0 4 b

b) POint es-tI'mo.1:e OJ ('>opuIC\{,'Oh VOrl'o.nce is ' S(ltYIple VC\f/'OJ'(f.

s·: {#,x: - (~~XJ"- jln-I =to.OOII'-

c) Po in{ estimoAe of populo.,1.,·on mf'd,'Qh :c sumple rVIPJIO,h
o4-cief -the dO-.{a St{ {I·rs-\. '
2·:213 _Q.33 2· ~~ , 2- 35 2· 3~ .2,3+ '* Recall -thed: here) we co.n f10~ use SOJnpie meo}) os Qt)
..,
f's-t I mo_ -t e fm F'Opu 1(1-1 ion med,'oh be CClLIS e We do nO-1 rhO v-J
whe {her g a S'oll /) e ptices are hOf rna-IlL] dl's-t r; bLA1ed Ot not n

-

:b.mple mean s: X z:

h

£( x) .:

1'\

E( i~) z:

h

.i. ~ ['(x)

hi:=-,

c/; and f?> ore (on 5; -tOJ) is " The t e f ore ~

E ex) =n 0( f3 z: 0<(3

y

E ex ) '" eX f3 >

MATH 3342 - Class Test III SOL-01" t o N S

Answer ALL Questions

Time Allowed: 1 Hr. and 15 Mins.

1. [20 points] In the 2000 general social survey, respondents were asked whether they favored or opposed the death penalty for people convicted of murder. A sample of 2565 people indicated that 1764 favored death

penalty. p =- t1b't/R.565 -z: o- 6Sg.

(a) Construct 90% confidence interval for the proportion who favored death penalty.

p + /.645 P (t-p") tI

:25£5

=) o· b gg :£ o 0 I 50 5

(b) Construct 95% confidence interval for the proportion who favored death penalty.

~ :t (~qb J PC~-p)

Q.6S'S -/- l,q£(o'OOq/S) o . (; &~ ± o· 0 f -, q 3 It

( 0 • 6 7006 b , o 70 5 q 3)

(c) Construct 99% confidence interval for the proportion who favored death penalty.

p + R.515fl~-p)

c;i '6 Ss- j: :1. 515Co~ooqr!$J . 0·688 :!- 0'02356

Co. 66444 _) 0.1((56)

(d) What is the relation between confidence level and the width of the confidence interval?

1

2. [25 points] Online prices for palm M515 PDA during the first week of May 2003 indicated following values.

235,225,225,240,250,250,210 (in Dollars)

(a) Calculate the sample mean and the sample variance for prices.

LX, =- ~ z :2-33 .. '37J4

II --::;.

~

5;2.:: (::2Xi2) - ('2Ar)7n

ii-I

.~ S:3 I -, 5 - (If> 35 f /7 .. 6

s= 14·6385

(b) Calculate a 99% confidence interval for mean price of palm M515 PDA. Interpret.

- + I S

Y - -t""(/:2)<6

'(0

233.57/1t + 3'{07Illt-.63BS

~

14· 63115 => .233· 5 -Tilt j- '3./07;<. fA 6

C!2(8"o634, ;?.54.07Q4)

(c) Calculate a 90% confidence interval for variance of palm M515 PDA. Interpret.

( ~ - ") (h-I) S 2. '):; 6 (214.:28'3 7) ,

o .¢l5 '1/'1.)(:2.' s: . 59~

/\ t-CX/s,,,,-I

~ Jy1-1 ./

b (1214' ::Yi>S 7) /·635

(# 635

(iOR.105b

(d) Construct a 95% prediction interval for price on Monday of the second week of May 2003.

________ 2- __ ~_~~' ~ __ +_~~ if 7 ~~~~6 3 _ _& s_j ~+; __

9.. g 3· 51/.LJ :i 38· 293 6

((95, 277f} ? 2.71 .'665)

2

3. [15point~1 Aresea.rcher claims .thatthe.avet8Jacontent of Si02in a certain type of aluminous ceIn(mt is 5.S.A sample or 11 independent samples proVided that $ = 5.25 and S = 0.3. Can you conclude at 5% Significance level that the average content ofSi02 differs from 5.5?

H 0 ',-It ::: S· 5 i/s Ho..',,ft;;£ 5" • 5' flAA) s idee!

::: 5·25 - 5;5 "'"'-'-I: 1£ 0'3/0

:;::::::. - O"!2..5

O·3A. {!l3

::: - o~:z...5 -::: _ 3.439 1

0'0727

o~o.o~

./ _ ~./".o ".{~O

-3 ·~3S..q.

We conclude ct 57- sf'S nl~t('(U)ce Ie vel -lhD.-t -the o.veYlAqf con-teYlt Of- S;O:l d/~fers ,from 5·5 .

4. [lIS points] A study was conducted to identify the method of learning preferred by civil engineering students in a certain college. Out of a sample of 49 students, 29 preferred field work. You are interested in testing the following hypothesis at 5% significance level where p indicates the proportion of students who prefer field work.

Ho:p =0.5

VS.

Ha : P =I 0,5

Following summary statistics indicate sample proportion, 95% confidence interval, the test statistic (Z- value) and P- value.

x n p 95%C1

Z <ualue

p s: value

29 49 0.5918 (0.454,0.129)

1.286

0.1985

Use above summary statistics to answer the following questions, (a) Draw the conclusion using P-value approach.

p_ vetlM.e "7 (j~ 05 ? F'M'/ +0 reJec+ Ho

(b) Draw the conclusion using critical value approach.

',O:J.5~ ,.,.t') /. !2s6 is in non teJ'ec{/oh teg iotv ,

O~'5 fu(I!:", resect Ho

- (,<16 1'+ I-Cf" j '~9{,

(c) Does the gtveneonfideace interval agree with yoUl' conclusions in part (a)· and (b)?

COnfidence intervcx1 con-ku'ng 0·5 J i::f-eref€rre we fUi{ -to rejec-t Ho.

wf-l: h

3

5. [2~ points] According to a recent research, the average drying time of 8. certain type of paint under specified test conditions is less than 75 (minutes). A sample of 25 observa ions provided that the sample average time is 76.2 (minutes). Suppose this sample came from a normal distribution with (1 = 9.

(a) Test the researcher's claim at 0.01 significance level.

L1 V H' LA '7 -:fS -r,'a ht --Ieu'(.

"0 ; ft ~,5 S c:v r: .j

-rcsi s-iC\.·b'stl'c. ;t::=: _x-f<?_; 7f,.<R.-75;:.: j.!L

6'-'/ \JTI q /65 I . '3

0-66=f (S

Hence relit +c rejec-t 1-10

-I h evidence -1:0 conclude Ct--t If /. 5;0 level

We 00 not heAVe. ehoug -'" ::J

-tho.-{ -the Clvero~ dyy,~n9 +tov: exceeds "1-5·

(b) If a level 0.01 is used, what is {3(76)?

~ ;L + !!.o-~') z:

0( O'-'/~

f (-n) z: p (-=r_ .~ P (z s:

rez

9-. 33 t- ~::] )., p ( Z

(c) What value of n is necessary to ensure that {3(76) = 0.1 when a = 0.01?

----_--- .. ---_._--------- __ -_

4

MAt H 334-!l- F INA L.. REVIEW SOLU-rtONS.

D

~)

SCrv{ce

s+o.+us -

PC Lo.fe:( GJ

-GC on time I!;:,)

~ PC La..-I::e a.nd £ t) e 0-4 .x 0-0.:2. ~ 0 .. OO~

PCE)

O· b

-- fCLCAte and £;)

o- b x 0 - 0 3 z: 0.01%

p C £ I I La t-e j:: P ( ~ t ()J'\ d Lo: t e)

--"_'-'-'--

peL oJ:-e)

O~4*O'02

(or it 1k 0 • 0.2) + (o . 6 ~ 0 • 03 )

0·00 9

o· 008- +0 -olg

o-ooB ()'O 2. {;'

C Need extro. info'Ymcd:::,'o n - If (lnother servIce: i's ()<;:;=d » probo.b;1t'14" iho.i po..rcf'ls cHive ct.f-ter -the guq)rClrd:ee.d "Uvne ,'s .. 31. ~)

b) PCA ,) PC A.21 A () p( A 31 A I n A 2)

::: p v:;) p C A 2- n ~ . peA 3 n A I n A 2) ~ p CAl n A 2. n A.3)

PC~ PCrn1l2)

c)

~) / 0/

PC C u ~ us) :: J- P (C u:l> us)::: tt ~ /0

b) ~> CJ;:

c) ~ 50;:

d) f' C J) us) z: :;3 4 + q +3 ::: 4b 010
e) Cf +1);-+1:2. "'- 35 f¢ ~ ~
f) 3+5-ffO+5:::: 23 It
[~J 2

,,-) I f (x) d x ~ I

-t

12

J c C-4-x)d x .= I

+ ! 1.

c. JC 4 - -xy X .::: I

-/

ci 4X(,- ~~ (, ~ z: I

C { .it (R.+t) - ~ C4ff-1) ~ z: I ~ {I!! - 1 } z: (

c eli J x: I =) t= ~~ \

!L

b) r;: ex) = S x .-rex) d x

~I

'X.
c) FCx) ;Z J +(1<) d x %
J 2=. C~ -?< ) d .x
-
-\ 1\
-t
X- x ~ X
- !J.. J (4 _;K)dX ft=-f 4?( \ - 4- I., }
- :::r
,.1 _4
-t
- ~ { 4 ('H') - ~ (Xfl.i'l) J
-
1.\
x: F{ttX+4 _x':L +.1..~
-r 2
,c .E::. {- _c + Jt 'X -t.:L}
".1:;' ,_ F(x) z:

o

,

x < -I . ,

) X» 2.

~(3n= ;T{-~+'1X+;}_O'Ci z: ~

'The quad~'c eq,uaA-ton is)

~. ?< .. ~ .. ~.·tl~·*q· .: :;:: .J.._x'j/ ...... 3J

--;:- :z:L!l. ··4

rv2. cv

- X + 4 x + q -!L z: 0

2 t: ~

rv 2. f""V ""'f

- X . + 4 x .-;;z_ s: 0

~. .J.t

Find tootS LASing q_wxdru-UC fbYrllula - whe-te

- 4 :: Jib -(4)(--} )~) 9.C-t)

-4 :tJ ,4· ~ ~¥Sf
- - I.t :± " .. a1 :j,,;
:;:
-, -I
+oocSf
'roo./; 1 :::: ..phIl> 'too { 2~ .. ~ 'I t 6 o .tq
The refclYe ) mec.ll'od')

o- tq

~ in 100S Of "c

s: ~lQ. -:::- tq "c-

\;;/ \/ \ .. /\;' s; ?~

e) p C o s v ~ ,) ~ pel) - F co)

b) ~ tAnknown, n is smo.ll.

qq5-9q5 ::

UL '5 / {" :2.4 .

- .3 .CUq

too

(00

We conclude Qt S % sr5n1f,'co-nce level, +ho-t ihe

o.ve ra~ re nt-of OJ] cl(x::tYtmt'h t ,'g greater than f9q 5·

e) Use

! +_f<o-~u_ ) -s>: (}'-'/v-r.

(.£::'-45 -.f eqs--~) i !L6/6t;

z ,.'. q(

::=- p (~ ./ ' o , !toft )

x: ~ ! " 6 ~ 5 + - if = S'Y 0,

~f(-z $~)

::=:. Q1GO 0 ,.:;.

&") A U .-the: voJues you need ore CLI yeod ~ 9) v e n if)

$ummo\r-:f 9h·b's{,·cs.

ct) p_ vc lue o..pp.DClCh: Comp<AY€ the ~ivej') P-value

with SI<jni,fI'ffi.hce leve t.

>

b) Cri-LicoJ vo.lu e approac,h " nnd the tCjcc,b'on yeglton and crt'f,'col value· (Two sided Tes+)

- !l·5'5 l' ::2-57'5

-0'11

51'\,\CC - 0 'it t (s not fn --I: he. oC'Jec t /0 n reg ion) we

fCA i ( -to reJec-t Ii 0

=> ()~o6B -+

o - 668 (i-o .obS-~ &8

69 ( o·o6S ..± o.o~

o·/31l

~)

O'OB (9 included in fhr'9 in-Lervcd. Hence we fo-il +0

ff'C"'jec-i the claf;)". Thl'g ag ree.s with (Q) and Cbj,

b) AF-her 34 :.!8 :')5 !28 35 33 3> .18 35' gg
Be.fare 33 3:j ,-39- 33 35 35 40 40 40 31
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