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Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President
Executive Summary:
This poll of 2,480 likely Florida Democratic Presidential Primary voters was conducted from March
6th to March 8th, 2020. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of
January 7th, 2020. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered
voters within the boundaries of the state of Florida.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the Florida Democratic Presidential Preference
Primary.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Democratic voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting
demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market.
Respondents that stated they were not planning to vote in the March 17th Primary election were
excluded from the results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 2,480 and a 2.0% Margin
of Error at a 95% confidence level.
Here is a summary of the demographic breakdown of the Registered voters who responded to this
survey:
Political Party:
Democratic 2480 = 100.0%
Republican 0 = 0%
Independent 0 = 0%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1214 = 49.0%
Black, Not Hispanic 711 = 28.7%
Asian or Pacific Islander 64 = 2.6%
Hispanic 393 = 15.8%
Other or Unknown 98 = 4.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Female 1486 = 59.9%
Male 968 = 39.0%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 271 = 10.9%
30 to 49 722 = 29.1%
50 to 69 910 = 36.7%
70 and up 577 = 23.3%
If the election for the Democratic Presidential Primary in Florida were held
today and the candidates were Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Pete
Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer and Elizabeth
Warren, who would you vote for?
Note: Only Biden and Sanders were included as candidates in the plan-to-vote question
TOTAL ALREADY VOTED PLAN TO VOTE
Joe Biden: 69.2% 60.0% 74.0%
Michael Bloomberg: 4.7% 13.9%
Pete Buttigieg: 1.5% 4.5%
Amy Klobuchar: 0.8% 2.5%
Bernie Sanders: 13.6% 10.6% 15.1%
Tom Steyer: 0.1% 0.4%
Elizabeth Warren: 1.1% 3.2%
Undecided/Won’t say: 8.9% 5.0% 10.9%
Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the March 17th Florida
Democratic Presidential Primary?
Already voted: 34.2%
Plan to vote: 65.8%
Given the recent changes in the presidential primary race, do you wish you
could change your vote now? 773 responses
NOTE: This question was only asked to respondents who had already voted
Yes: 19.0%
No: 81.0%
If you could change your vote and the candidates were Joe Biden and Bernie
Sanders who would you vote for? 138 responses
NOTE: This question was only asked to respondents who wished they could change their vote
Joe Biden: 83.3%
Bernie Sanders: 9.4%
Undecided/Won’t say: 7.2%
If the election for the Democratic Presidential Primary in Florida were held
today and the candidates were Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Pete
Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer and Elizabeth
Warren, who would you vote for?
Note: Only Biden and Sanders were included as candidates in the plan-to-vote question
TOTAL ALREADY VOTED PLAN TO VOTE
Joe Biden: 69.2% 60.0% 74.0%
Michael Bloomberg: 4.7% 13.9%
Pete Buttigieg: 1.5% 4.5%
Amy Klobuchar: 0.8% 2.5%
Bernie Sanders: 13.6% 10.6% 15.1%
Tom Steyer: 0.1% 0.4%
Elizabeth Warren: 1.1% 3.2%
Undecided/Won’t say: 8.9% 5.0% 10.9%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Biden: 69.2%
Bloomberg: 4.8%
Buttigieg: 1.5%
Klobuchar: 0.8%
Sanders: 13.5%
Steyer: 0.1%
Warren: 1.1%
Undecided: 8.9%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1214 responses
Biden: 67.1% Bloomberg: 5.1% Buttigieg: 1.9% Klobuchar: 1.2% Sanders: 14.6% Steyer: 0.1% Warren: 1.6% Undecided: 8.5%
Black, Not Hispanic 711 responses
Biden: 75.2% Bloomberg: 3.7% Buttigieg: 0.7% Klobuchar: 0.4% Sanders: 8.7% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0.3% Undecided: 11.0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 64 responses
Biden: 64.1% Bloomberg: 3.1% Buttigieg: 1.6% Klobuchar: 1.6% Sanders: 21.9% Steyer: 1.6% Warren: 0% Undecided: 6.2%
Hispanic 393 responses
Biden: 67.9% Bloomberg: 5.3% Buttigieg: 2.3% Klobuchar: 0.5% Sanders: 16.8% Steyer: 0.3% Warren: 1.0% Undecided: 5.9%
Other or Unknown 98 responses
Biden: 61.2% Bloomberg: 7.1% Buttigieg: 0% Klobuchar: 0% Sanders: 17.3% Steyer: 0% Warren: 2.0% Undecided: 12.2%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 968 responses
Biden: 68.3% Bloomberg: 4.5% Buttigieg: 1.3% Klobuchar: 0.8% Sanders: 15.4% Steyer: 0.1% Warren: 0.9% Undecided: 8.6%
Female 1486 responses
Biden: 70.1% Bloomberg: 4.9% Buttigieg: 1.7% Klobuchar: 0.9% Sanders: 12.2% Steyer: 0.1% Warren: 1.2% Undecided: 9.0%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 271 responses
Biden: 66.8% Bloomberg: 4.8% Buttigieg: 0.4% Klobuchar: 0.7% Sanders: 15.9% Steyer: 0.4% Warren: 1.1% Undecided: 10.0%
30 to 49 722 responses
Biden: 68.0% Bloomberg: 3.0% Buttigieg: 1.5% Klobuchar: 0.7% Sanders: 14.8% Steyer: 0.1% Warren: 0.8% Undecided: 10.9%
50 to 69 910 responses
Biden: 68.5% Bloomberg: 4.3% Buttigieg: 2.3% Klobuchar: 0.8% Sanders: 15.2% Steyer: 0.1% Warren: 1.4% Undecided: 7.5%
70 and up 577 responses
Biden: 73.1% Bloomberg: 7.6% Buttigieg: 0.9% Klobuchar: 1.2% Sanders: 8.3% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0.9% Undecided: 8.0%
Media Market Breakdown:
Pensacola 77 responses
Biden: 72.7% Bloomberg: 3.9% Buttigieg: 1.3% Klobuchar: 0% Sanders: 13.0% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0% Undecided: 9.1%
Panama City 34 responses
Biden: 67.6% Bloomberg: 8.8% Buttigieg: 0% Klobuchar: 0% Sanders: 11.8% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0% Undecided: 11.8%
Tallahassee 61 responses
Biden: 65.6% Bloomberg: 1.6% Buttigieg: 1.6% Klobuchar: 0% Sanders: 23.0% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0% Undecided: 8.2%
Jacksonville 207 responses
Biden: 69.6% Bloomberg: 3.9% Buttigieg: 0.5% Klobuchar: 0.5% Sanders: 14.0% Steyer: 0.5% Warren: 0.5% Undecided: 10.6%
Gainesville 45 responses
Biden: 64.4% Bloomberg: 0% Buttigieg: 0% Klobuchar: 0% Sanders: 24.4% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0% Undecided: 11.1%
Orlando 483 responses
Biden: 69.2% Bloomberg: 5.2% Buttigieg: 1.7% Klobuchar: 1.0% Sanders: 12.4% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0.8% Undecided: 9.7%
Tampa 564 responses
Biden: 61.5% Bloomberg: 5.0% Buttigieg: 2.5% Klobuchar: 1.4% Sanders: 17.2% Steyer: 0% Warren: 2.5% Undecided: 9.9%
West Palm Beach 258 responses
Biden: 75.2% Bloomberg: 3.1% Buttigieg: 0.4% Klobuchar: 1.6% Sanders: 12.0% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0.8% Undecided: 7.0%
Fort Myers 146 responses
Biden: 70.5% Bloomberg: 7.5% Buttigieg: 2.7% Klobuchar: 1.4% Sanders: 10.3% Steyer: 0% Warren: 0% Undecided: 7.5%
Miami 605 responses
Biden: 73.9% Bloomberg: 5.1% Buttigieg: 1.3% Klobuchar: 0.2% Sanders: 10.7% Steyer: 0.3% Warren: 1.0% Undecided: 7.4%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1214 responses
Already voted: 34.6% Plan to vote: 65.4%
Black, Not Hispanic 711 responses
Already voted: 30.5% Plan to vote: 69.5%
Asian or Pacific Islander 64 responses
Already voted: 32.8% Plan to vote: 67.2%
Hispanic 393 responses
Already voted: 39.4% Plan to vote: 60.6%
Other or Unknown 98 responses
Already voted: 35.7% Plan to vote: 64.3%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 968 responses
Already voted: 33.4% Plan to vote: 66.6%
Female 1486 responses
Already voted: 34.9% Plan to vote: 65.1%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 271 responses
Already voted: 31.0% Plan to vote: 69.0%
30 to 49 722 responses
Already voted: 31.7% Plan to vote: 68.3%
50 to 69 910 responses
Already voted: 34.7% Plan to vote: 65.3%
70 and up 577 responses
Already voted: 38.0% Plan to vote: 62.0%
Yes: 19.0%
No: 81.0%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 395 responses
Yes: 21.3% No: 78.7%
Black, Not Hispanic 190 responses
Yes: 12.6% No: 87.4%
Asian or Pacific Islander 20 responses
Yes: 15.0% No: 85.0%
Hispanic 137 responses
Yes: 19.7% No: 80.3%
Other or Unknown 31 responses
Yes: 29.0% No: 71.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 291 responses
Yes: 18.6% No: 81.4%
Female 476 responses
Yes: 19.3% No: 80.7%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 78 responses
Yes: 15.4% No: 84.6%
30 to 49 206 responses
Yes: 15.0% No: 85.0%
50 to 69 293 responses
Yes: 19.8% No: 80.2%
70 and up 196 responses
Yes: 23.5% No: 76.5%
Biden: 83.3%
Sanders: 9.4%
Undecided: 7.2%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 80 responses
Biden: 83.8% Sanders: 11.2% Undecided: 5.0%
Black, Not Hispanic 21 responses
Biden: 81.0% Sanders: 9.5% Undecided: 9.5%
Asian or Pacific Islander 3 responses
Biden: 100.0% Sanders: 0% Undecided: 0%
Hispanic 26 responses
Biden: 88.5% Sanders: 3.8% Undecided: 7.7%
Other or Unknown 8 responses
Biden: 62.5% Sanders: 12.5% Undecided: 25.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 47 responses
Biden: 76.6% Sanders: 14.9% Undecided: 8.5%
Female 90 responses
Biden: 86.7% Sanders: 6.7% Undecided: 6.7%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 10 responses
Biden: 70.0% Sanders: 20.0% Undecided: 10.0%
30 to 49 28 responses
Biden: 75.0% Sanders: 7.1% Undecided: 17.9%
50 to 69 57 responses
Biden: 78.9% Sanders: 14.0% Undecided: 7.0%
70 and up 43 responses
Biden: 97.7% Sanders: 2.3% Undecided: 0%