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Published by: m18p03a29 on Jan 14, 2011
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6.In society the technological revolution continues unabated and by the end of the
century only some 20% of workers will be actively involved in production processes
whilst the remainder will be involved in service industries of one sort or another and
working much shorter hours. The river of information which presently invades every
house and workplace will become a flood. Access to television, cable programmes,
and satellites mostly in pictorial form will provide greater chances for individuals and
groups to manipulate the emotions of the public at large. The opportunities for
propaganda by official sources, commercial interests and determined minority groups
will be almost unbounded.

7.The large networks of electronic data-processing and communications are already
shaping the future of this new society, and already these interdependent service
industries, are vulnerable to attack from hackers, fraudsters and extortionists.
Computer centres could become objects of sabotage or attack; software is open to
disruption, manipulation or espionage, and the complete duplication of assets is often
prohibitively expensive. Cable and radio communication can be intercepted and
although there are antidotes for this, such as the use of codes transmissions and fibre
optic cables, the risk of losing security can still be high.

8.Electronic transfer of cash is now common place and there will be less money being
held or disbursed around the market place. Opportunities for theft and robbery will
probably decline, to be replaced by computer fraud and extortion by threat of kidnap,
murder and destruction of software or computer components. Disposal of funds by
laundering them through legitimate deposits, or by purchasing drugs or arms is an
expanding business.

9.In recent years there has been a spate of car bombs placed by terrorists within city
centres or at well known institutions with the direct aim of disrupting financial and
commercial centres of business. These activities are usually at the weekend to avoid
large scale casualties. Arrests and convictions are the best deterrent to this new
extension of terrorist activity but the publicity surrounding bomb attacks, and the
growing use of an economic form of insurgency to achieve quick political results,
(attacking tourism in Egypt and killing foreigners in Algeria) is bound to be attractive
to insurgents world wide. In addition the use of people by insurgents for the purpose
of a hijack, hostage taking, or kidnap for intimidation in a world of instant communi-
cation can radically alter the propaganda prospects of a minority group seeking
attention for their cause.

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