This action might not be possible to undo. Are you sure you want to continue?

**Peter Bossaerts and Bernt Arne Ødegaard
**

2006

Contents

1 Finance 1

2 Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance 2

3 On Value Additivity 3

4 On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis 4

5 Present Value 6

6 Capital Budgeting 14

7 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 21

8 Valuing Risky Cash Flows 25

9 Introduction to derivatives. 28

10 Pricing Derivatives 34

11 Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments 36

12 Where To Get State Price Probabilities? 39

13 Warrants 40

14 The Dynamic Hedge Argument 42

15 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 49

16 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 55

17 Are capital structure decisions relevant? 60

18 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 64

19 Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt 68

20 And What About Dividends? 70

21 Risk And Incentive Management 73

Finance 1

Chapter 1

Finance

2 Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance

Chapter 2

Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance

On Value Additivity 3

Chapter 3

On Value Additivity

Problems

3.1 Ketchup [2]

As an empirical investigation, check your local supermarket. Does 2 ketchup bottles of 0.5 litres cost the same

as one ketchup bottle of 1 liter? What does this tell you about value additivity in ﬁnancial markets?

3.2 Milk [2]

Why is skimmed milk always cheaper than regular milk even if it is healthier?

Solutions

3.1 Ketchup [2]

3.2 Milk [2]

4 On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis

Chapter 4

On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis

Problems

4.1 Interest Rates [2]

Consider the following statement.

Long term interest rates are at record highs. Most companies therefore ﬁnd it cheaper to ﬁnance with

common stock or relatively inexpensive short-term bank loans.

What does the Eﬃcient Market Hypothesis have to say about the correctness of this?

4.2 Semistrong [3]

Can you expect to earn excess returns if you make trades based on your broker’s information about record earnings

for a stock, rumors about a merger of a ﬁrm, or yesterday’s announcement of a successful test of a new product,

if the market is semi-strong form eﬃcient?

4.3 UPS [3]

On 1/10/85, the following announcement was made: “Early today the Justice Department reached a decision

in the UPC case. UPC has been found guilty of discriminatory practices in hiring. For the next ﬁve years, UPC

must pay $2 million each year to a fund representing victims of UPC policies.” Should investors not buy UPC

stock after the announcement because the litigation will cause an abnormally low rate of return over the next ﬁve

years?

4.4 Management [3]

Your broker claims that well–managed ﬁrms are not necessarily more proﬁtable investment opportunities than

ﬁrms with an average management. She cites an empirical study where 17 well–managed ﬁrms and a control

group of 17 average ﬁrms were followed for 8 years after the former were reported in the press to be “excelling” as

far as management is concerned. Is this evidence that the stock market does not recognize good management?

4.5 TTC [3]

TTC has released this quarter’s earning report. It states that it changed how it accounts for inventory. The

change does not change taxes, but the resulting earnings are 20% higher than what it would have been under the

old accounting system. There is no other surprises in the earnings report.

1. Would the stock price now jump on the release of this earnings report?

4.6 Investing? [3]

Does the following statement make sense in view of the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis (EMH)?

The Japanese economy has deep structural problems, which the Japanese seem reluctant to overcome.

We do not see any major change in this situation over the next two to three years. Hence, we advise

against investing in the Tokyo stock market, because we expect returns to be below average for the

next two to three years.

On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis 5

Solutions

4.1 Interest Rates [2]

Remember the ﬁrst lesson about market eﬃciency: Markets have no memory. Just because long-term interest rates

are high relative to past levels does not mean that they won’t go higher still. Unless you have special information

indicating that long-term rates are too high, issuing long-term bonds should be a zero-NPV transaction. So

should issuing short-term debt or common stock.

4.2 Semistrong [3]

All of these are public information, you do not expect them to explain future changes in stock price. Hence, you

can not expect to make excess returns using this information. You can only use private information to generate

excess returns.

4.3 UPS [3]

Once the announcement is made and the price has reacted (downward) to the lower (discounted) future dividend

stream, there is no further eﬀect. The average return over the next ﬁve years will still be determined solely by

risk and not by the fact that dividends will be $2 million lower. For instance, if risk continues to be high, average

returns will also be.

4.4 Management [3]

The evidence that the 17 well-managed ﬁrms did not outperform the market merely conﬁrms an implication of

the eﬃcient markets hypothesis: Average returns are only determined by risk. The fact that the ﬁrms were run

by good managers was known 8 years earlier and already properly reﬂected in prices at that time.

4.5 TTC [3]

1. The changes in the accounting treatment do not change cash ﬂows, even if reported earnings change. A

possible channel for cash ﬂow changes could have been the timing of taxes, but that is explicitly ruled out.

The stock price should therefore not be aﬀected by the accounting change.

4.6 Investing? [3]

No. Average returns are determined solely by risk. If there is a lot of risk, average returns are high, etc. The

economic situation does not aﬀect average returns.

6 Present Value

Chapter 5

Present Value

Problems

5.1 Present Value [3]

You are given the following prices P

t

today for receiving risk free payments t periods from now.

t = 1 2 3

P

t

= 0.95 0.9 0.85

1. Calculate the implied interest rates and graph the term structure of interest rates.

2. Calculate the present value of the following cash ﬂows:

t = 1 2 3

X

t

= 100 100 100

5.2 Borrowing [2]

BankTwo is oﬀering personal loans at 10%, compounded quarterly. BankThree is oﬀering personal loans at

10.5%, compounded annually. Which is the better oﬀer?

5.3 Arbitrage [4]

You are given the following prices P

t

today for receiving risk free payments t periods from now.

t = 1 2 3

P

t

= 0.95 0.9 0.95

There are traded securities that oﬀer $1 at any future date, available at these prices.

How would you make a lot of money?

5.4 Bank Loans [2]

Your company is in need of ﬁnancing of environmental investments. Three banks have oﬀered loans. The ﬁrst

bank oﬀers 4.5% interest, with biannual compounding. The second bank oﬀers 4.3% interest, with monthly

compounding. The third bank oﬀers 4.25% with annual compounding.

Determine which is is the best oﬀer.

5.5 Stock [4]

A stock has just paid a dividend of 10. Dividends are expected to grow with 10% a year for the next 2 years.

After that the company is expecting a constant growth of 2% a year. The required return on the stock is 10%.

Determine todays stock price.

5.6 Bonds [6]

You observe the following three bonds:

Cashﬂow in period

Bond Price 1 2 3

A 95 100 0 0

B 90 10 110 0

C 85 10 10 110

Present Value 7

1. What is the current value of receiving one dollar at time 3?

Consider now the bond D, with the following characteristics

Cashﬂow in period

Bond 1 2 3

D 20 20 520

2. What is the current price of bond D?

Consider next bond E, which last for four periods. Bond E has the following characteristics:

Cashﬂow in period

Bond 1 2 3 4

E 10 10 10 110

3. If the market does not allow any free lunches (arbitrage), what is the maximal price that bond E can have?

5.7 Growing Perpetuity [8]

The present value of a perpetuity that pays X

1

the ﬁrst year and then grows at a rate g each year is:

PV =

∞

¸

t=1

X

1

(1 +g)

t−1

(1 +r)

t

Show that this simpliﬁes to

PV =

X

1

r −g

5.8 Annuity [6]

Show that the present value of an annuity paying X per period for T years when the interest rate is r can be

simpliﬁed as

PV =

T

¸

t=1

X

(1 +r)

t

= X

¸

1

r

−

1

r

1

(1 +r)

T

5.9 Stock [2]

The current price for a stock is 50. The company is paying a dividend of 5 next period. Dividend is expected to

grow by 5% annually. The relevant interest rate is 14%. In an eﬃcient market, can these numbers be sustained?

5.10 Growing Annuity [6]

Consider an T-period annuity that pays X next period. After that, the payments grows at a rate of g per year

for the next T years.

The present value of the annuity is

PV =

T

¸

t=1

X(1 +g)

(t−1)

(1 +r)

t

Can you ﬁnd a simpliﬁed expression for this present value?

8 Present Value

5.11 Jane [3]

Jane, a freshman in college, needs 55000 in 4 years to start studying for an MBA. Her investments earn 5%

interest per year.

1. How much must she invest today to have that amount at graduation?

2. If she invested once a year for four years beginning today until the end of the 4 years how much must she

invest?

5.12 Bonds [3]

The current interest rate is 7%. Given the opportunity to invest in one of the three bonds listed below, which

would you buy? Sell short?

Bond Face Annual Maturity Price

value coupon rate

A 1000 4% 1 year 990

B 1000 7.5% 17 years 990

C 1000 8.5% 25 years 990

Solutions

5.1 Present Value [3]

1. The implied interest rates r

t

are found as:

P

1

= 0.95 =

1

1 +r

1

r

1

=

1

0.95

−1 = 5.26%

P

2

= 0.9 =

1

1 +r

2

2

r

2

=

1

0.9

−1 = 5.41%

P

3

= 0.85 =

1

1 +r

3

3

r

3

=

3

1

0.85

−1 = 5.57%

2. The present value is found as

PV = 100 · 0.95 + 100 · 0.9 + 100 · 0.8 = 265

or alternatively, using interest rates, as

PV = 100

1

1.0526

+ 100

1

1.0541

2

+ 100

1

1.0557

3

≈ 265

Present Value 9

5.2 Borrowing [2]

The oﬀers need to be made comparable. This is typically done by ﬁnding the equivalent annual interest rates and

comparing those. In annual terms, BankTwo is charging

1 +

0.1

4

4

−1 ≈ 10.38%

When borrowing, one wants the lowest possible interest rate, which means that the 10.5% interest rate oﬀered

by BankThree is dominated by the 10.38% interest rate (in annual terms) oﬀered by BankTwo.

5.3 Arbitrage [4]

This data implies an arbitrage opportunity. Note that the price of the risk free security oﬀering $1 in period 3 is

higher than the price of the risk free security oﬀering $1 in period 2. What does this mean? It means you have

to pay less today for receiving money sooner! To make a lot of money, short the risk free security for period 3,

and use $0.9 of the $0.95 proceeds to buy the period 2 risk free security. The $1 you get in period 2 can be kept

as money and used to cover your obligation in period 3. For each of these transactions you get $0.05 now. To

get very rich, do a lot of these transactions.

5.4 Bank Loans [2]

1. Annualize the interest rates to make them comparable:

First bank:

1 +

0.045

2

2

−1 = 4.55%

Second bank:

1 +

0.043

12

12

−1 = 4.39%

Third bank

4.25%

The oﬀer from the third bank is preferable.

5.5 Stock [4]

D

1

= 10(1.1) = 11

D

2

= 10(1.1)

2

= 12.1

Calculate the time 2 value of the stock as a growing perpetuity.

D

3

= D

2

(1.02) = 12.1 · 1.02 = 12.34

P

2

=

D

3

r −g

=

12.34

0.1 −0.02

= 154.27

Then ﬁnd the current stock price as the present value:

P

0

=

D

1

1.1

+

D

2

+P

2

1.1

2

=

11

1.1

+

12.1 + 154.27

1.1

2

= 10 + 137.5 = 147.5

10 Present Value

5.6 Bonds [6]

This is easiest solved using the current prices P

t

of securities oﬀering $1 in period t.

For simplicity, let us formulate this as a linear algebra problem.

Let the matrix C contain the bond payoﬀs:

C =

100 0 0

10 110 0

10 10 110

¸

¸

and the vector B contain the bond prices:

B =

95

90

85

¸

¸

For a given vector P of prices of zero coupon bonds

P =

P

1

P

2

P

3

¸

¸

we leave it to the reader to conﬁrm that the bond prices B can be found as:

B = CP.

It is then a standard linear algebra operation to calculate P as

P = C

−1

B

The actual calculations are below shown as extracts from a matlab-like environment.

Deﬁning C and B:

C =

100 0 0

10 110 0

10 10 110

B =

95

90

85

calculate P as:

P = inv(C)*B

0.95000

0.73182

0.61983

The current value of receiving one dollar at time 3 is thus 0.61983.

If we now consider bond E. It lasts for 4 periods, one period more than we have data for. Since holding money is

always an option, the current value of receiving one dollar at time 4 can never be more than the current value of

receiving one dollar at time 3, which is 0.61983. This can easily be argued by arbitrage arguments. An alternative

way of making the argument is to say that interest rates can not go below zero.

We can therefore use the discount factors P

∗

given by

Present Value 11

Pstar =

0.95000

0.73182

0.61983

0.61983

to ﬁnd the maximal price the bond can have (the upper bound).

Deﬁning the cash ﬂows of the new bond as

C =

10 10 10 110

we ﬁnd the bond’s highest possible value as

C*dstar

= 91.198

The highest possible price of bond E is 91.198.

5.7 Growing Perpetuity [8]

1. This is shown the following way:

PV = X

1

¸

1

1 +r

+

(1 +g)

(1 +r)

2

+

(1 +g)

2

(1 +r)

3

+· · ·

**At time 1, the present value starting at that date is (1 +g)PV .
**

Hence

PV =

X

1

+ (1 +g)PV

1 +r

Solving for PV

PV

1 −

1 +g

1 +r

= X

1

and simplifying

PV =

X

1

1 −

(1+g)

(1+r)

=

X

1

(1 +r) −(1 +g)

=

X

1

r −g

5.8 Annuity [6]

We ﬁnd the annuity formula the following way:

We know that a perpetuity that pays X per period indeﬁnitely has a present value of

PV =

X

r

We know that an annuity pays X per period for T periods. One way to achieve this is to buy a perpetuity that

pays X and starts next period, and sell a perpetuity that starts running at time (T + 1):

Time 1 · · · T T + 1 · · · Value

Perpetuity from t = 1 onwards X · · · X X · · · = X · [

1

r

]

−Perpetuity from t = T + 1 onwards 0 · · · 0 X · · · = X · [

1

(1+r)

T

1

r

]

= Annuity X · · · X 0 · · · = X ·

1

r

−

1

(1+r)

T

1

r

**12 Present Value
**

5.9 Stock [2]

The stock price should increase to

P =

5

0.14 −0.05

= 55.56

5.10 Growing Annuity [6]

Remember what we did in the case of an annuity which is not growing.

Time 1 · · · T T + 1 · · · Value

Perpetuity from

1 onwards X · · · X X · · · = X · [

1

r

]

−Perpetuity

from T+1 onwards 0 · · · 0 X · · · = X · [

1

(1+r)

T

1

r

]

Annuity X · · · X 0 · · · = X ·

1

r

−

1

(1+r)

T

1

r

Now we want to adjust this for the fact that the annuity also grows by g each period

Time 1 2 · · · T T + 1 · · · Value

Growing perpetuity from

1 onwards X X(1 +g) · · · X(1 +g)

T−1

X(1 +g)

T

· · · = X · [

1

r−g

]

−Growing perpetuity

from T + 1 onwards 0 0 · · · 0 X(1 +g)

T

· · · = X ·

(1+g)

T

(1+r)

T

1

r−g

Annuity X X(1 +g) · · · X(1 +g)

T−1

0 · · · = X ·

¸

1

r−g

−

1

1+r

T

(1+g)

T

r−g

5.11 Jane [3]

1. Solve for X in the following expression:

X(1 + 0.05)

4

= 55000

X =

55000

(1 + 0.05)

4

= 45248.64

She needs to invest 45248.64 today at 5% to have 55000 4 years from now.

2. Let us illustrate two ways of doing this.

a) Direct solution.

Let C be the amount invested.

C

1.05

4

+ 1.05

3

+ 1.05

2

+ 1.05

= 55000

C =

55000

4.5256

C = 12, 153

b) Using annuities.

Present Value 13

This can also be calculated using annuities from an annuity table. The annuity factor A for an interest rate

of r = 0.05 and n = 4 years is 3.54595.

PV = C ×A(1 +r)

The (1 +r) is because the investment is at the beginning of the period.

(1 +r)

4

PV = FV = 55000 = C ×A(1 +r)(1 +r)

4

C =

55000

A(1 +r)

4

=

55000

3.54595 · (1 + 0.05)

5

= 12, 153.

5.12 Bonds [3]

Let us ﬁrst check that the bonds are correctly priced:

With an interest rate of 7% the correct bond prices should be:

P

A

=

1040

1.07

= 971.96

P

B

= 75A

r=7%,n=17

+

1000

1.07

17

= 75 · 9.76322 + 316.57 = 1048.82

P

C

= 85A

r=7%,n=25

+

1000

1.07

25

= 85 · 11.6536 + 184.25 = 1174.80

Compared to the correct prices bond A is overpriced and bonds B and C underpriced. To exploit this short A and

go long B and C.

14 Capital Budgeting

Chapter 6

Capital Budgeting

Problems

6.1 Projects [2]

Two projects A and B have the following cashﬂows:

X

0

X

1

X

2

A −4, 000 2, 500 3, 000

B −2, 000 1, 200 1, 500

1. Find the Payback periods for the two projects. Which project has the shortest payback period?

2. Calculate the Internal Rate of Return on the two projects. Which project has the higher IRR?

3. The discount rate is 10%. How would the NPV rule rank these two projects?

6.2 Projects [3]

A project costs 100 today. The project has positive cash ﬂows of 100 in years one and two. At the end of the life

of the project there are large environmental costs resulting in a negative cash ﬂow in year 3 of −95. Determine

the internal rate(s) of return for the project.

6.3 Bonds [4]

You are given the following information about three bonds.

Bond Year of Coupon Yield to Bond

Maturity Maturity Price

A 2 10% 7.5862% 1, 043.29

B 2 20% 7.6746% 1, 220.78

C 3 8% 9.7995% 995.09

Coupons are paid at the end of the year (including the year of maturity). All three bonds have a face value of

1,000 at maturity.

1. Find the time zero prices, P

1

, P

2

, and P

3

, of one dollar to be delivered in years 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

2. Find the 1, 2, and 3 year spot rates of interest r

1

, r

2

and r

3

.

6.4 Machine [4]

A company is considering its options for a machine to use in production. At a cost of 47 they can make some

small repairs on their current machine which will make it last for 2 more years. At a higher cost of 90 they can

make some more extensive repairs on their current machine which will make it last for 4 more years. A new

machine costs 300 and will last for 8 years. The company is facing an interest rate of 10%. Determine the best

action.

6.5 PI and NPV [2]

Show that a project with a positive NPV will always have a proﬁtability index greater than 1.

Capital Budgeting 15

6.6 Project [4]

A project has a cost of 240. It will have a life of 3 years. The cost will be depreciated straight–line to a zero

salvage value, and is worth 40 at that time. Cash sales will be 200 per year and cash costs will run 100 per year.

The ﬁrm will also need to invest 60 in working capital at year 0. The appropriate discount rate is 8%, and the

corporate tax rate is 40%. What is the project’s NPV?

6.7 C&C [4]

The C&C company recently installed a new bottling machine. The machine’s initial cost is 2000, and can be

depreciated on a straight–line basis to a zero salvage in 5 years. The machine’s per year ﬁxed cost is 1500, and

its variable cost is 0.50 per unit. The selling price per unit is 1.50. C&C’s tax rate is 34%, and it uses a 16%

discount rate.

1. Calculate the machine’s accounting break–even point on the new machine (i.e., the production rate such

that the accounting proﬁts are zero).

2. Calculate the machine’s present value break–even point(i.e., the production rate such that the NPV is zero).

6.8 PillAdvent [6]

After extensive medical and marketing research, PillAdvent Inc, believes it can penetrate the pain reliever market.

It can follow one of two strategies. The ﬁrst is to manufacture a medication aimed at relieving headache pain.

The second strategy is to make a pill designed to relieve headache and arthritis pain. Both products would be

introduced at a price of 4 per package in real terms. The broader remedy would probably sell 10 million packages

a year. This is twice the sales rate for the headache–only medication. Cash costs of production in the ﬁrst year

are expected to be 1.50 per package in real terms for the headache–only brand. Production costs are expected to

be 1.70 in real terms for the more general pill. All prices and costs are expected to rise at the general inﬂation

rate of 5%.

Either strategy would require further investment in plant. The headache–only pill could be produced using

equipment that would cost 10.2 million, last three years, and have no resale value. The machinery required to

produce the broader remedy would cost 12 million and last three years. At this time the ﬁrm would be able to

sell it for 1 million (in real terms). The production machinery would need to be replaced every three years, at

constant real costs. For both projects the ﬁrm will use straight–line depreciation. The ﬁrm faces a corporate tax

rate of 34%. The ﬁrm believes that the appropriate discount rate is 13%. Capital gains are taxed at the ordinary

corporate tax rate of 34%.

What pain reliever should the ﬁrm produce?

Solutions

6.1 Projects [2]

1. Payback. For project A it takes 1.5 years before the initial investment is recouped, for project B it takes

1.53 years.

Project Payback

A 1.5 years

B 1.53 years

2. Internal rate of return

Project A:

0 =

2500

1 +IRR

+

3000

(1 +IRR)

2

−4000

16 Capital Budgeting

IRR = 23.32%

Project B:

0 =

1200

1 +IRR

+

1500

(1. +IRR)

2

−2000

IRR = 21.65%

3. Net present value

NPV

A

=

2500

1.1

+

3

(1.1)

2

−4000 ≈ 752

NPV

B

=

1200

1.1

+

1.5

(1.1)

2

−2000 ≈ 330

6.2 Projects [3]

The following picture shows the NPV as a function of the interest rate, and illustrates the fact that there are two

solutions y to the problem of solving

0 = −100 +

100

1 +y

+

100

(1 +y)

2

+

−95

(1 +y)

3

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30

NPV

interest

6.3 Bonds [4]

Consider the the cash ﬂows of the bonds

Period

1 2 3

Bond 1 100 1100

2 200 1200

3 80 80 1080

and let B

i

be the price of bond i.

Capital Budgeting 17

1. Prices of one dollar to be received at times 1, 2 and 3:

We use the following system to solve for these:

B

1

= 100P

1

+ 1100P

2

B

2

= 200P

1

+ 1200P

2

B

3

= 80P

1

+ 80P

2

+ 1080P

3

We ﬁrst use the prices of the ﬁrst two bonds:

B

1

= 100P

1

+ 1100P

2

B

2

= 200P

1

+ 1200P

2

Multiply the ﬁrst equation by 2 and subtract the second:

2B

1

−B

2

= 1000P

2

Solve for P

2

:

P

2

=

2 · 1043.29 −1220.78

1000

= 0.8658

Use this to ﬁnd P

1

:

B

1

= 100P

1

+ 1100P

2

1043.29 = 100P

1

+ 1100 · 0.8658

P

1

= 0.9091

Then ﬁnd P

3

using the third bond price:

B

3

= 80P

1

+ 80P

2

+ 1080P

3

995.09 = 80 · 0.9091 + 80 · 0.8658 + 1080P

3

P

3

= 0.7529

2. From these we ﬁnd the spot rates of interest

P

1

= 0.9091 =

1

1 +r

1

r

1

=

1

0.9091

−1 = 9.89%

P

2

= 0.8658 =

1

1 +r

2

2

r

2

=

1

0.8658

−1 = 7.47%

P

3

= 0.7529 =

1

1 +r

3

3

r

3

=

3

1

0.7529

−1 = 9.92%

18 Capital Budgeting

This exercise could alternatively have been solved using matrix algebra, as the following excerpts from a matrix

environment illustrates

B =

1043.29

1220.78

995.09

C =

100 1100 0

200 1200 0

80 80 1080

>> p=inv(C)*B

p =

0.90910

0.86580

0.78991

>> r=p.^(-1./t)-1

r =

0.099989 0.074710 0.081787

6.4 Machine [4]

The two alternatives need to be made comparable some way. One way to go about it make the alternatives

comparably by repeating the projects to make each last 8 years. Then you have two ways of getting the same

services from the two alternatives.

Small repairs

t = 0 2 4 6

C

t

= 47 47 47 47

NPV = 47 +

47

(1 + 0.1)

2

+

47

(1 + 0.1)

4

+

47

(1 + 0.1)

6

= 144.475

Larger repairs

t = 0 1 2 3 4

C

t

= 90 0 0 0 90

NPV = 90 +

90

(1 + 0.1)

4

= 151.471

The cheapest is the small repairs.

An alternative would have been to calculate the equivalent annual annuity of the two alternatives.

6.5 PI and NPV [2]

PI =

PV

C

0

NPV = PV −C

0

If NPV > 0 then PV > C

0

and hence

PV

C0

> 1.

Capital Budgeting 19

6.6 Project [4]

Cash ﬂows

c

0

= −240 −60 = −300

c

t

= (200 −100)(1 −0.4) +

240

3

· 0.4 = 92 (t = 1, 2)

c

3

= c

2

+ 40(1 −0.4) + 60 = 92 + 84

Net present value

NPV = −300 +

1

1.08

+

1

1.08

2

+

1

1.08

3

92 +

84

1.08

3

= 4

6.7 C&C [4]

Accounting break-even:

−

2000

5

−1500 +x(15 −0.5) = 0

x = 1900

NPV break even (note use of accounting proﬁts to compute taxes):

c

0

= −2000

c

t

= x(1.5 −0.5) −1500 −0.34

x(1.5 −0.5) −1500 −

2000

5

= x · 0.66 −1500 · 0.66 + 400 · 0.34

0 = −2000 +

1

1.16

+

1

1.16

2

+

1

1.16

3

+

1

1.16

4

+

1

1.16

5

(x · 0.66 −1500 · 0.66 + 400 · 0.34)

x = 2219

6.8 PillAdvent [6]

1. Headache pain reliever

X

0

= −10.2 million.

cash inﬂow at t = 1, 2, 3 : $(4 −1.50) · 5 · 10

6

= 12.5 million.

taxes: 12.5 million at 34% = 4.25 million

tax “rebate” because of depreciation (straight-line):

10.2

3

million at 34% = 1.156 million. (the tax “rebate”

is a nominal cash ﬂow, so will have to be discounted at a nominal rate.)

Summary (in millions)

• Real cash ﬂows: X

0

= −10.2, X

1

= X

2

= X

3

= 8.25

• Nominal cash ﬂows: X

0

= 0, X

1

= X

2

= X

3

= 1.156

• Real interest rate=13%.

• Nominal interest rate ≈ (13 + 5)% = 18%.

20 Capital Budgeting

NPV = −10.2 + 8.25

1

1.13

+

1

1.13

2

+

1

1.13

3

+ 1.156

1

1.18

+

1

1.18

2

+

1

1.18

3

= −10.2 + 8.25A

n=3,r=13%

+ 1.156A

n=3,r=18%

= −10.2 + 8.25 · 2.36115 + 1.156 · 2.17427 = 11.7934 million

2. Broad pain reliever X

0

= −12 million.

cash inﬂow at t = 1, 2, 3 : $(4 −1.70) · 10 · 10

6

= 23 million.

taxes: 23 million at 34% = 7.82 million

tax “rebate” because of depreciation (straight-line) (again, nominal):

12

3

million at 34% = 1.36 million.

Salvage value: 1 million, taxed at 34%.

Summary (in millions)

• Real cash ﬂows: X

0

= −12, X

1

= X

2

= 15.18; X

3

= 15.18 + 1 −0.34 = 15.84

• Nominal cash ﬂows: X

0

= 0, X

1

= X

2

= X

3

= 1.36

NPV = −12 + 15.18

1

1.13

+

1

1.13

2

+ 15.84

1

1.13

3

+ 1.36

1

1.18

+

1

1.18

2

+

1

1.18

3

**= −12 + 15.18 · 1.6681 + 15.84 · 0.6931 + 1.36 · 2.17427 = 27.2575 million
**

Conclusion: go for (b)

Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 21

Chapter 7

Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM

Problems

7.1 Portfolio [3]

You can choose to invest in two shares, A and B:

E[r] σ

A 12.5% 15%

B 16% 20%

Plot, in a mean standard deviation diagram, expected return and standard deviation for portfolios with weights in

A of 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75 and 1.0. Do this for correlations between the returns of A and B of −1, 0 and +1. What

does this tell you about how diversiﬁcation possibilities varies with covariances?

7.2 CAPM [2]

The current risk free interest rate is 5%. The expected return on the market portfolio is 14%. What is the

expected return of a stock with a beta value of 0.5?

7.3 Beta [2]

Stock A has an expected rate of return of 15%. Todays expected return on the market portfolio is 10%. The

current risk free interest rate is 7,5%. What is the beta of stock A?

7.4 Project [3]

A project with a beta of 1.5 has cash ﬂows 100 in year 1, 200 i year 3, 500 in year 4 and 100 in year 6. The

current expected market return is 10%. The risk free interest rate is 5%. What is the highest cost that makes

this project worth investing in?

7.5 Portfolio [2]

Stock A has an expected return of 10% and a standard deviation of 5%. Stock B has an expected return of 15%

and a standard deviation of 20%. The correlation between the two is shares is 0.25. You can invest risk free at

a 5% interest rate. What is the standard deviation for a portfolio with weights 25% in A, 25% in B and 50% in

the risk free asset?

7.6 Q [2]

Equity in the company Q has an expected return of 12%, a beta of 1.4 and a standard deviation of 20%. The

current risk free interest is 10%. What is the current expected market return?

7.7 Line [4]

You can invest in two assets. One is a risk free asset yielding an interest rate of r

f

. The other is an asset with

expected return E[r

1

] and standard deviation σ

1

. Show that combinations of these two assets map as a straight

line in a mean-standard deviation plot.

7.8 1&2 [2]

A portfolio is made up of 125% of stock 1 and −25% of stock 2. Stock 1 has a standard deviation of 0.3,

and stock 2 has a standard deviation of 0.05. The correlation between the stocks is −0.50. Calculate both the

variance and the standard deviation of the portfolio.

22 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM

7.9 A, B & C [4]

You are given the following information about three stocks

Stock Expected Standard

Return Deviation

A 0.06 0

B 0.1 0.1

C 0.2 0.375

The correlation between B and C is 0.2

1. Suppose you desire to invest in any one of the stocks listed above (singly). Can any be recommended?

2. Now suppose you diversify into two securities. Given all choices, can any portfolio be eliminated? Assume

equal weights.

7.10 EotW [5]

Eyes of the World Corporation has traditionally employed a ﬁrm–wide discount rate for capital budgeting purposes.

However, its two divisions, publishing and entertainment, have diﬀerent degrees of risk given by β

P

= 1 and

β

E

= 1.5, where β

P

is the beta for publishing and β

E

the beta for entertainment. The beta for the overall ﬁrm is

1.3. The risk free rate is 5% and the expected return on the market is 15%. The ﬁrm is considering the following

capital expenditures:

Publishing

Proposed Initial IRR

Project Investment

P1 1M 0.13

P2 3M 0.121

P3 2M 0.09

Entertainment

Proposed Initial IRR

Project Investment

E1 4M 0.16

E2 6M 0.17

E3 5M 0.14

1. Which projects would it accept if it uses the opportunity cost of capital for the entire company?

2. Which projects would it accept if it estimates the cost of capital separately for each division?

7.11 Misui [4]

Misui, Inc is a levered ﬁrm with a debt–to–equity ratio of 0.25. The beta of common stock is 1.15, while that of

debt is 0.3. The market premium (expected return in excess of the risk free rate) is 10% and the risk free rate is

6%. The CAPM holds.

1. If a new project has the same risk as the common stock of the ﬁrm, what discount rate should the ﬁrm

use?

2. If a new project has the same risk as the entire ﬁrm (debt and equity), what discount rate should the ﬁrm

use? (Hint: Betas are “additive.” In the present context, this means the following. The value of the ﬁrm

(V ) equals the sum of the value of equity (E) and debt (B). That is, the ﬁrm is really a portfolio of equity

and debt. As a result, the beta of the ﬁrm equals the weighted average of the betas of equity and debt,

where the weights are given by the ratios of E over V and B over V , respectively.)

Solutions

7.1 Portfolio [3]

Diversiﬁcation possibilities improve when covariance is lower.

Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 23

7.2 CAPM [2]

E[r] = r

f

+ (E[r

m

] −r

f

)β = 0.05 + (0.14 −0.05)0.5 = 9.5%

7.3 Beta [2]

r = r

f

+ (E[r

m

] −r

f

)β

β =

r −r

f

(E[r

m

] −r

f

)

=

0.15 −0.075

0.1 −0.075

= 3

7.4 Project [3]

First ﬁnd the required rate of return for the project

r = 0.05 + (0.1 −0.05)1.5 = 12.5%

The maximal cost equals the present value of the future cash ﬂow.

PV =

100

1 + 0.125

+

200

(1.125)

3

+

500

(1.125)

4

+

100

(1.125)

6

= 590.83

Thus, the maximal cost is 590.83.

7.5 Portfolio [2]

Let r

A

be the return on stock A and r

B

the return on stock B. Since the return on the risk free asset is a

constant, its variance equals zero, and its covariance with other assets is also zero, and we can calculate the

portfolio variance as

var = 0.25

2

var(r

A

) + 2 · 0.25 · 0.25 · cov(r

A

, r

B

) + 0.25

2

var(r

B

)

var(r

A

) = 0.05

2

= 0.0025

var(r

B

) = 0.2

2

= 0.04

cov(r

A

, r

B

) = 0.25 · 0.05 · 0.2 = 0.0025

var(r

p

) = 0.0029688

σ(r

p

) =

var(r

p

) =

√

0.0029688 = 0.545

7.6 Q [2]

E[r] = r

f

+ (E[r

m

] −r

f

)β

E[r

m

] =

E[r] −r

f

β

+r

f

=

0.12 −0.1

1.4

+ 0.1 = 11.4%

7.7 Line [4]

Let w be the weight of the risky asset in the portfolio.

E[r

p

] = (1 −w)r

f

+wE[r

1

] = r

f

+w(E[r

1

] −r

f

)

σ

2

(r

p

) = (1 −w)σ

2

(r

f

) + 2(1 −w)wcov(r

f

, r

1

) +w

2

σ

2

(r

1

) = (1 −w) · 0 + 2(1 −w)w · 0 +w

2

σ

2

(r

1

) = w

2

σ

2

(r

1

)

σ(r

p

) = wσ(r

1

)

Both mean and standard deviation are linear functions of w, and will map as a line in the mean-standard deviation

plot.

24 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM

7.8 1&2 [2]

X = 1.25, 1 −x = −0.25

σ

2

p

= x

2

σ

2

1

+ 2x(1 −x)ρσ

1

σ

2

+ (1 −x)

2

σ

2

2

= 0.15

σ

p

= 0.39

7.9 A, B & C [4]

1. No, there is a well-deﬁned risk(standard deviation) – return trade oﬀ.

2. Consider three equally weighted portfolios

(a)

r

p

=

1

2

r

A

+

1

2

r

B

E[r

p

] = 0.08, σ(r

p

) = 0.05

(b)

r

p

=

1

2

r

A

+

1

2

r

C

E[r

p

] = 0.13, σ(r

p

) = 0.19

(c)

r

p

=

1

2

r

B

+

1

2

r

C

E[r

p

] = 0.15, σ(r

p

) = 0.20

No dominating choice, (c) almost dominates (b), but not quite so.

7.10 EotW [5]

cost of capital

(a) Firmwide

E[R] = 0.05 +β

F

(E[R

m

] −0.05) = 0.05 + 1.3 · 0.10 = 0.18

(b) P:

E[R] = 0.05 +β

P

(E[R

m

] −0.05) = 0.05 + 1.0 · 0.10 = 0.15

(c) E:

E[R] = 0.05 +β

E

(E[R

m

] −0.05) = 0.05 + 1.5 · 0.10 = 0.20

Using (a): Accept none

Using (b) for division P: accept none

Using (c) for division E: accept none

7.11 Misui [4]

1. β = 1.15, so discount rate = 0.06 + 1.15 · 0.10 = 0.175.

2. β of ﬁrm =

4

5

1.15 +

1

5

0.3 = 0.98, so discount rate = 0.06 + 0.98 · 0.10 = 0.158.

Valuing Risky Cash Flows 25

Chapter 8

Valuing Risky Cash Flows

Problems

8.1 States [4]

Two possible states can occur next period, A or B. You observe the following securities:

Payoﬀ in state

Security Price A B

1 5 10 10

2 4 10 6

1. Determine the prices of digital securities that pays oﬀ in the two states.

2. Determine the current risk free interest rate.

3. What is the current price of a security that pays $ 20 in state A and $ 25 in state B?

8.2 Probability [6]

Let I

s

be the current price of a digital option that pays 1 if state s occurs. p

s

is the time 1 value of investing I

s

at time 0, p

s

= I

s

(1 +r), where r is the one period risk free interest rate. Show that the sum over all states s,

¸

s

p

s

, sum to one.

8.3 Digital Options [3]

There are three possible states next period. The risk free interest rate is 5%, and there are two digital options

traded, with prices 0.43 and 0.33. What is the price of a digital option for the third state?

8.4 Price [2]

An asset has two possible values next period, X

u

= 50 and X

d

= 500. If you are told that the state price

probability in the u state is 0.4 and the risk free interest rate is 10%, what is the value of the asset?

Solutions

8.1 States [4]

Note: The solution is shown by excerpts from the calculation as done in a matlab-like environment.

If we let A be the matrix of payoﬀs,

A =

10 10

10 6

and P be the current prices of the securities,

P =

5

4

26 Valuing Risky Cash Flows

1. Find the state price vector q as A

−1

P:

q=inv(A)*P

0.25000

0.25000

The state price vector is thus (0.25, 0.25).

2. The price P

s

of a security that pays 1 in every state is the sum of the state prices:

> ps = [1 1]*q

ps = 0.50000

The current risk free interest rate r is then

P

s

=

1

1 +r

r =

1

P

s

−1 =

1

0.5

−1 = 2 −1 = 1 = 100%

3. To ﬁnd the price of a security that pays C = (20, 25), just multiply q with the payoﬀs

> C

C =

20 25

> q

q =

0.25000

0.25000

> C*q

ans = 11.250

8.2 Probability [6]

Know that

¸

s

I

s

=

1

1 +r

Multiplying with (1 +r) on both sides:

(1 +r)

¸

s

I

s

= (1 +r)

1

1 +r

or

¸

s

I

s

(1 +r) =

1 +r

1 +r

= 1

Replacing I

s

(1 +r) with p

s

:

¸

s

p

s

= 1

Valuing Risky Cash Flows 27

8.3 Digital Options [3]

Let P

∗

be the unknown price. Since

1

1+r

equals the sum of the digital options for all states, solve for P

∗

as

1

1 + 0.05

= 0.43 + 0.33 +P

∗

P

∗

=

1

1 + 0.05

−0.43 −0.33 ≈ 0.1924

8.4 Price [2]

value =

1

1 +r

p

u

X

u

+p

d

X

d

=

1

1 + 0.1

(0.4 · 50 + (1 −0.4) · 500) =

320

1.1

= 290.91

28 Introduction to derivatives.

Chapter 9

Introduction to derivatives.

Problems

9.1 XYZ Option [2]

The current price of an American call option with exercise price 50, written on ZXY stock is 4. The current price

of one ZXY stock is 56. How would you make a lot of money?

9.2 Put Lower Bound [5]

Show that the following is an lower bound on a put price

P

t

≥

K

(1 +r)

(T−t)

−S

t

where P

t

is the current put price, K is the exercise price, r is the risk free interest rate, (T − t) is the time to

maturity and S

t

is the current price of the underlying security.

9.3 Options [4]

A put is worth $10 and matures in one year. A call on the same stock is worth $15 and matures in one year also.

Both options are European. The put and call have the same exercise price of $40. The stock price is $50. The

current price of a (risk free) discount bond (zero coupon bond) paying $1 that matures in one year is $0.90. How

do you make risk free proﬁts given these prices?

9.4 Put Upper bound [5]

Show that the following is an upper bound for the price of a put option

P

t

≤

K

(1 +r)

(T−t)

where P

t

is the current put price, K is the exercise price, r is the risk free interest rate and (T − t) is the time

to maturity of the option.

9.5 American Put [4]

An American put option with exercise price 50 has a time to maturity of one year. The price of the underlying

security has fallen to 10 cents. The risk free interest rate is 5%.

Show that it is optimal to exercise this option early.

9.6 Convexity [8]

Consider three European options written on the same underlying security. The options mature on the same date.

The options have diﬀerent exercise prices X

1

, X

2

and X

3

. Assume X

1

< X

2

< X

3

. All other features of the

options are identical.

Let ω be a number between 0 and 1 satisfying

X

2

= ωX

1

+ (1 −ω)X

3

Show that the following inequality must hold to avoid arbitrage (free lunches):

C(X

2

) ≤ ωC(X

1

) + (1 −ω)C(X

3

),

where C(X) is the price for an option with exercise price X.

Introduction to derivatives. 29

9.7 Options [4]

Suppose a share of stock is trading at 30, a put with a strike of 28 is trading at 1 and a call with strike 29 at

8. The maturity of both options is 1 period. The risk free rate is 20%. Is there an arbitrage opportunity (free

lunch)?

9.8 M$ Option [4]

American call options written on Microsoft’s common stock are trading for $8. They carry a strike price of $100,

and expire 6 months from today. Microsoft does not pay dividends. At present, its stock price is $104. Hence,

the calls are $4 in the money. The annualized six-month risk free rate is 10%. Find an arbitrage opportunity (free

lunch) in these numbers and explain how you would exploit it.

9.9 BoA [4]

In-the-money American call options written on BoA’s common stock carry a strike price of of $55 and expire in 6

months. The annualized six-month risk free rate is 10%. BoA’s common stock will go “ex” dividend tomorrow.

BoA will pay a $2 dividend. Ms. Johnson holds an option and wonders whether to exercise it. She is worried,

because she knows that BoA’s stock price will drop tomorrow with $2, making it less likely that her call option

will expire in the money. Explain to Ms. Johnson why she should not exercise.

Solutions

9.1 XYZ Option [2]

Buy the option for 4, exercise immediately paying 50 to get the stock, sell the stock for 56. Net proceeds

−4 −50 + 56 = 2. Repeat indeﬁnitely.

9.2 Put Lower Bound [5]

To show this, consider the following strategies.

Payments

Time t Time T

A Short stock S −S

T

Invest K −K

1

(1+r)

(T−t)

K

Total S −Ke

r(T−t)

K −S

T

B Buy put −p max(0, K −S

T

)

Strategy B has higher future payoﬀ

S

T

: S

T

< K S

T

≥ K

A: K −S

T

(> 0) K −S

T

(≤ 0)

B: K −S

T

0

Therefore the cost of entering into B should be higher, to avoid arbitrage.

−p ≤ S −K

1

(1 +r)

(T−t)

p ≥ K

1

(1 +r)

(T−t)

−S

30 Introduction to derivatives.

T

E

Put

S

T

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

K

K

1

(1+r)

(T−t)

9.3 Options [4]

Put call parity is violated.

C −P = 15 −10 = 5

S −PV (X) = 50 −PV (40) ≥ 10

No need to calculate PV(40), since it must be less than or equal 40, but can do it using

r =

1

0.9

−1 = 11.11%

S −PV (X) = 50 −

40

1 + 0.1111

= 14

To make money, buy sheep and sell deer, i.e. go long the relatively cheap strategy of C−P and short the relatively

expensive strategy S −PV (X).

9.4 Put Upper bound [5]

The most you can get at exercise is K (if stock price is zero).

The value today is less than the present value of this, or

p ≤ K

1

(1 +r)

(T−t)

Introduction to derivatives. 31

T

E

Put

S

T

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

@

K

K

1

(1+r)

(T−t)

K

1

(1+r)

(T−t)

9.5 American Put [4]

The payoﬀ from exercising now is 49.90. If you keep the option, the most you can get one year from now is 50,

which you get if the price of the underlying falls to zero. If instead you exercise the option and invest the proceeds

at the risk free rate, you get 49.90 · 1.1 = 54.89 one year from now. It clearly pays to exercise immediately.

9.6 Convexity [8]

This is true.

If not, immediate arbitrage:

Suppose

C(X

2

) > ωC(X

1

) + (1 −ω)C(X

3

)

Consider the following transactions.

Time: t T

State: S

T

< X

1

X

1

≤ S

T

< X

2

X

2

≤ S

T

< X

3

X

3

≤ S

T

Sell C(X

2

) 0 0 −(S

T

−X

2

) −(S

T

−X

2

)

Buy −ωC(X

1

) 0 ω(S

T

−X

1

) ω(S

T

−X

1

) ω(S

T

−X

1

)

−(1 −ω)C(X

3

) 0 0 0 (1 −ω)(S

T

−X

3

)

By entering into this position, by the assumption that

C(X

2

) > ωC(X

1

) + (1 −ω)C(X

3

)

have a positive cashﬂow at time 0:

C(X

2

) −(ωC(X

1

) + (1 −ω)C(X

3

))) > 0

If we can show that the total payoﬀ in all of the above states is positive or zero, we are done. Consider the various

outcomes for S

T

:

• Case S

T

< X

1

: Total payoﬀ is zero.

• Case X

1

< S

T

< X

2

: Total payoﬀ is positive, ω(S

T

−X

1

) > 0

32 Introduction to derivatives.

• Case X

2

< S

T

< X

3

: Total payoﬀ is positive. This takes a bit of algebra to show.

Total payoﬀ:

−(S

T

−X

2

) +ω(S

T

−X

1

) = X

2

−S

T

+ω(S

T

−X

1

)

First, using the deﬁnition of ω, substitute for ω in terms of the X’es:

X

2

= ωX

1

+ (1 −ω)X

3

ω =

X

3

−X

2

X

3

−X

1

Substitute this above and simplify

−(S

T

−X

2

) +ω(S

T

−X

1

) = X

2

−S

T

+

X

3

−X

2

X

3

−X

1

(S

T

−X

1

)

After some algebra, get this to equal

(X

1

−X

2

)(S

T

−X

3

)

X

3

−X

1

> 0

• Case X

3

< S

T

: Total payoﬀ is zero:

−(S

T

−X

2

) +ω(S

T

−X

1

) + (1 −ω)(S

T

−X

3

)

= X

2

−S

T

+ (ω + (1 −ω))S

T

+ωX

1

+ (1 −ω)X

3

= X

2

−S

T

+S

T

+ωX

1

+ (1 −ω)X

3

= X

2

+ (ωX

1

+ (1 −ω)X

3

) = 0

The position gives positive cash ﬂow at time zero, positive probability of positive cash ﬂows at time T and zero

probability of negative cashﬂows at time T. Arbitrage opportunity.

9.7 Options [4]

Note: Put and call have diﬀerent strike prices, cannot blindly apply put-call parity.

Let C(x) be the value of the call with exercise price x. P(x) is the value of a put with exercise price x. S is the

stock price, and R the risk free rate.

Then, if X

1

< X

2

,

C(X

1

) < C(X

2

) = P(X

2

) +S −

X

2

1 +R

= 1 + 30 −

28

1.2

= 7.7

But C(X

1

) = 8!

9.8 M$ Option [4]

Under absence of arbitrage opportunities,

C ≥ S −K

1

(1 +r)

T−t

8 ≥ 104 −100

1

1.1

0.5

= 8.65

No arbitrage is violated. Exploit by buying a call and investing in K bonds with face value $1, sell short stock.

Introduction to derivatives. 33

9.9 BoA [4]

Don’t exercise if dividend D does not compensate for interest cost of strike price.

D < K

1 −

1

(1 +r)

T−t

2 < 55

1 −

1

(1 + 0.1)

0.5

= 2.56.

OK.

34 Pricing Derivatives

Chapter 10

Pricing Derivatives

Problems

10.1 MLK [4]

The current price of security MLK is 78. Next period the security will either be worth 120 or 90. The risk free

interest rate is 33.33%. There are two digital options traded. One pays $1 if MLK is at 120 next period. This

option is trading at 0.35. The other pays $1 if MLK is at 90 next period. This option is trading at 0.40.

1. Price a put option on MLK with exercise price K = 90.

2. Price a put option on MLK with exercise price K = 100.

3. Price a call option on MLK with exercise price K = 100.

4. Price a call option on MLK with exercise price K = 120.

Solutions

10.1 MLK [4]

Value of MLK

78

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

120

90

Digital option prices

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

0.35

0.40

1. The call option with exercise price K = 90 has terminal payoﬀs:

Pricing Derivatives 35

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, K −120) = max(0, 90 −120) = 0

max(0, 90 −90) = 0

Note that this option never has any future positive payoﬀs, its value today is zero.

2. The put option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs:

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, 100 −120) = 0

max(0, 100 −90) = 10

It value is calculated by noting that this option is equal to 10 units of the digital options paying oﬀ in the

lowest state. This option has a price of 0.4.

value = 10 · 0.4 = 4

3. The call option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs:

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, 120 −100) = 20

max(0, 90 −100) = 0

and value

value = 20 · 0.35 = 7

4. The ﬁnal call option is never in the money, and is therefore valued at zero today.

36 Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments

Chapter 11

Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments

Problems

11.1 MLK [5]

The current price of security MLK is 89.50. Two periods from now the security will either be worth 120, 100 or

90. The one period risk free interest rate is 8.45%. There are three digital options traded. One pays $1 if MLK

is at 120 two periods from now. This option is trading at 0.35. The second pays $1 if MLK is at 100 two periods

from now. This option is trading at 0.25. The third pays $1 if MLK is at 90 two periods from now. This option

is trading at 0.25.

1. Price a (two period) put option on MLK with exercise price K = 90.

2. Price a (two period) put option on MLK with exercise price K = 100.

3. Price a (two period) call option on MLK with exercise price K = 100.

4. Price a (two period) call option on MLK with exercise price K = 120.

Solutions

11.1 MLK [5]

Value of MLK

89.50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

120

100

90

Digital option prices

Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments 37

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

0.35

0.25

0.25

1. The put option with exercise price K = 90 has terminal payoﬀs:

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, K − 120) = max(0, 90 − 120) = 0

max(0, 90 − 100) = 0

max(0, 90 − 90) = 0

Note that this option never has any future positive payoﬀs, its value today is zero.

2. The put option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs:

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, 100 − 120) = 0

max(0, 100 − 100) = 0

max(0, 100 − 90) = 10

It value is calculated by noting that this option is equal to 10 units of the digital options paying oﬀ in the

lowest state. This option has a price of 0.25.

value = 10 · 0.25 = 2.50

38 Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments

3. The call option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs:

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, 120 − 100) = 20

max(0, 100 − 100) = 0

max(0, 90 − 100) = 0

and value

value = 20 · 0.35 = 7.00

4. The ﬁnal call option is never in the money, and is therefore valued at zero today.

Where To Get State Price Probabilities? 39

Chapter 12

Where To Get State Price Probabilities?

Problems

12.1 MOP [4]

The risk free interest rate is 4%. The current price of a stock in company MOP is 50. Next period the price of

MOP stock will either be 40 or 90.

• Determine the state price probabilities for the two states.

• Determine the current price for a digital option that pays one dollar when the MOP price is 40 next period.

Solutions

12.1 MOP [4]

Given

r = 4%

S

0

= 50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 90

S

u

= 40

S

0

= 50 =

1

1 +r

(p

u

90 + (1 −p

u

)50)

50(1 + 0.04) = p

u

(90 −40) + 40

p

u

=

50 · 1.04 −40

50

= 0.24

40 Warrants

Chapter 13

Warrants

Problems

13.1 Option/Warrant [2]

Consider a warrant and a call option, both written on IBM stock,

(a) Which of these securities has been issued by IBM?

Consider two scenarios.

(1) You own a warrant on IBM with maturity 6 months and exercise price 100.

(2) You own a call option on IBM with maturity 6 months and exercise price 100.

(b) Will you be indiﬀerent between these two alternatives?

(c) If not, which one would you prefer?

13.2 Warrants [6]

A ﬁrm has issued 500 shares of stock, 100 warrants and a straight bond. The warrants are about to expire and

all of them will be exercised. Each warrant entitles the holder to 5 shares at $25 per share. The market value of

the ﬁrm’s assets is 25,000. The market value of the straight bond is 8,000. That of equity is 15,000.

1. Determine the post–exercise value of a share of equity.

2. What is the mispricing of equity?

3. From the proceeds of immediate exercise, value the warrant.

4. Now assume that the market value of debt becomes $9,000, to reﬂect the increase in the value of the ﬁrm

upon warrant exercise (which lowers the probability of bankruptcy). Re–compute the value of the warrants

and of equity.

Solutions

13.1 Option/Warrant [2]

Warrants are call-options issued by corporations. They entitle buyers to purchase newly created stock of the ﬁrm

at a given strike price at a certain date.

1. The warrant is issued by IBM, the call is a pure side-bet on the stock price.

2. The call. When a warrant is exercised, new stock is created, which decreases the value of each share. It is

therefore less valuable to exercise a warrant than a (straight) option.

13.2 Warrants [6]

1. The new value of the ﬁrm V

**, equals the pre-exercise value of the ﬁrm, V , plus the proceeds from exercise:
**

V

**= V + 500 · 25 = 25, 000 + 12, 500 = 37, 500
**

Warrants 41

Using value additivity, the new value of equity, E

, can be obtained from V

**and the value of the bonds, B:
**

E

= V

**−B = 37, 500 −8, 000 = 29, 500
**

So, the new per-share value, s

, is

s

=

E

500 + 100 · 5

=

29, 500

1, 000

= 29.5

2. The old share value, s, is 15,000/500 = 30. That is 0.50 too much, knowing that the shares will be worth

only 29.5 after exercise of the warrants.

3. The warrants generate 5 ×$29.5 per piece, i.e., $147.5. For that, the older pays 5 ×$25, i.e., $125. So the

warrants value is (147.5 −125) = 22.

4. Since B changes to B

**= 9000, the new value of equity is
**

E

= V

−B

**= 37, 500 −9, 000 = 28, 500
**

Hence, the per share value is s

**= 28.5. The new value of the warrants is
**

5 ×$28.5 −5 ×$25 = 142.5 −125 = $17.5

42 The Dynamic Hedge Argument

Chapter 14

The Dynamic Hedge Argument

Problems

14.1 ud [1]

The current price of the underlying is 50. This price will next period move to either 48 or 60. In a binomial setup,

ﬁnd the constants u and d.

14.2 Call Option [3]

The current price of the underlying is 50. This price will next period move to uS or dS, where u = 1.1 or

d = 0.95. If the risk free interest rate is 5%, what is the price of a call option with exercise price 50?

14.3 Call Option [4]

A stock’s current price is $160. There are two possible prices that may occur next period: $150 or $175. The

interest rate on risk-free investments is 6% per period.

1. Assume that a (European) call option exists on this stock having on exercise price of $155.

(a) How could you form a portfolio based on the stock and the call so as to achieve a risk-free hedge ?

(b) Compute the price of the call.

2. Answer the above two questions if the exercise price was $180.

14.4 Calls, Hedge [6]

A stock’s current price is $100. There are two possible prices at the end of the year: $150 or $ 75. A call option

to buy one share at $100 at the end of the year sells for $20. Suppose that you are told that

1. writing 3 calls,

2. buying 2 stocks, and

3. borrowing $140

is a perfect hedge portfolio, i.e. a risk free portfolio. What is the risk free rate of interest?

14.5 Call Option [5]

You bought a call contract three weeks ago. The expiry date of the calls is ﬁve weeks from today. On that date,

the price of the underlying stock will be either 120 or 95. The two states are equally likely to occur. Currently,

the stock sells for 96. The exercise price of the call is 112. Each call gives you the right to buy 100 shares at the

exercise price. You are able to borrow money at 10% per annum. What is the value of your call contract?

14.6 A [4]

The price of stocks in the “A” company is currently 40. At the end of one month it will be either 42 or 38. The

risk free interest rate is 8% per annum. What is the value of a one–month European call option with a strike

price of $39?

The Dynamic Hedge Argument 43

14.7 Arbitrage [8]

Consider the the binomial option pricing model, where the constants u and d are used to generate future states

S

u

= uS and S

d

= dS, and where r is the risk free interest rate. Show that if d < u < (1 + r) an arbitrage

opportunity (free lunch) exists.

14.8 MC [4]

MC stock is selling for 30 per share. It is expected that the stock price will be either 25 or 35 in 6 months.

Treasury bills that mature in 6 months yield 5%. (p.a.). Use a state–price probability (for the “up” state) of

0.5741.

1. What is the price of an MC option with strike 32?

2. Is the stock priced correctly?

Solutions

14.1 ud [1]

S

0

= 50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

uS

0

= 60

dS

0

= 48

S

u

= 60 = uS

0

= u50

u =

60

50

= 1.2

d =

48

50

= 0.96

14.2 Call Option [3]

First we ﬁnd the possible evolution of the price of the underlying

S

u

= uS

0

= 1.1 · 50 = 55

S

d

= dS

0

= 0.95 · 50 = 47.50

S

0

= 50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 55

S

d

47.50

44 The Dynamic Hedge Argument

and

p

u

=

1.05 −0.9

1.1 −0.9

= 0.75

p

d

= 1 −p

u

= 1 −0.75 = 0.25

First ﬁnd the call payoﬀ at the terminal date:

C

u

= max(0, 55.5 −50) = 5

C

d

= max(0, 47.5 −50) = 0

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

C

u

= 5

C

d

= 0

and then ﬁnd the call value the ﬁrst date

C

0

=

1

1 +r

p

u

C

u

+p

d

C

d

=

1

1.05

(0.75 · 5 + 0.25 · 0) = 3.33

C

0

= 3.33

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Note: The interest rate was originally given as 10% in the ﬁrst edition of the book. Can you see why this

information would give you problems in solving this question?

14.3 Call Option [4]

We have the following payoﬀ next period:

S

0

= 160

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 175

S

d

= 150

The Dynamic Hedge Argument 45

1. Call option with exercise price 155.

C

0

=?

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

C

u

= max(0, 175 −155) = 20

C

d

= max(0,150 −155) = 0

(a) How to get a risk free hedge by buying m call options? Need payoﬀ in each period to be equal

S

d

+mC

d

= S

u

+mC

u

m =

S

d

−S

u

C

u

−C

d

=

150 −175

20 −0

= −1.25

Need to sell 1.25 options to create a risk free hedge.

(b) To price the option, we ﬁnd the parameters of the binomial option pricing model.

Start by ﬁnding u and d:

S

u

= uS

0

= u160 = 175

S

d

= dS

0

= d160 = 150

Solve for u and d:

u =

175

160

= 1.09375

d =

150

160

= 0.9375

Then ﬁnd the state price probabilities:

p

u

=

(1 +r) −d

u −d

=

1.06 −0.9375

1.09375 −0.9375

≈ 0.784

Find option payoﬀs

C

u

= max(S

u

−X, 0) = max(175 −155, 0) = 20

C

d

= max(S

d

−X, 0) = max(150 −155, 0) = 0

Roll back:

C

0

=

1

1 +r

(p

u

C

u

+ (1 −p

u

)C

d

) =

1

1 + 0.06

(0.784 · 20) = 14.79

(c) With an exercise price of 180, the call will never be exercised. It is worthless.

14.4 Calls, Hedge [6]

A perfect hedge implies that total payoﬀs are equal in each state.

Cashﬂows are

Time: now Maturity

State: S

T

= 75 S

T

= 150

Sell 3 calls 60 0 -150

Buy stock −200 150 300

Borrow 140 −140(1 +r) −140(1 +r)

0 150 −140(1 +r)

46 The Dynamic Hedge Argument

Something that costs nothing to establish now, should have a zero payoﬀ in the future. (By no arbitrage).

Hence,

150 −140(1 +r) = 0

140(1 +r) = 150

1 +r =

150

140

r =

150

140

= 17.1%

14.5 Call Option [5]

Let us ﬁnd the price of a call on one share.

S

0

= 96

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 120

S

d

= 95

Find u and d:

u =

120

96

= 1.25

d =

95

96

= 0.989583333333

Then ﬁnd p

u

. Need to ﬁnd the risk free rate for a 5 week period, approximate as

r ≈

5 · 0.06

52

= 0.005769

p

u

=

(1 +r) −d

u −d

=

1.005769 −0.989

1.25 −0.989

= 0.077

Then ﬁnd terminal payoﬀs

C

u

= max(120 −112, 0) = 8

C

d

= max(95 −112, 0) = 0

and calculate option price

C

0

=

1

1 +r

(p

u

C

u

+ (1 −p

u

)C

d

) =

1

1 +r

(0.077 · 8 + 0) = 0.6109

The call on 100 shares is then worth

100 · 0.6109 = 61.09

The Dynamic Hedge Argument 47

14.6 A [4]

S = 40

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 42

S

d

= 38

r = 8%

X = 39

T −t = 1 month

u =

S

u

S

=

42

40

= 1.05

d =

S

d

S

=

38

40

= 0.95

p

u

=

e

r∆t

−d

u −d

=

e

0.08·

1

12

−0.95

1.05 −0.95

= 0.567

Note that this uses continuous discouting. Alternatively approximate the one month interest rate as r/12.

1 −p

u

= 0.433

C

0

= e

−r∆t

(qC

u

+ (1 −q)C

d

)

C

u

= 3

C

d

= 0

C

0

= e

−0.08

1

12

(0.567 · 3 + 0.433 · 0) = 1.69

14.7 Arbitrage [8]

Consider two alternative investments. One is to buy one unit of the risky asset, receiving either u or d times the

initial investment. The other is to invest the same amount in the risk free asset, receiving (1 +r) times the initial

investment. Since (1 +r) > u, no matter what, the risk free payoﬀ is higher than the risky payoﬀ. The arbitrage

opportunity is to short the risky asset and use the proceeds from the short to buy the risk free asset.

14.8 MC [4]

Using the fundamental valuation formula, and the fact that

p

u

= 0.5741

P =

1

√

1 +R

E

∗

[max(32 −S, 0)]

48 The Dynamic Hedge Argument

where S is the stock price next period, ﬁnd

P =

1

√

1.05

(0.5741 · 0 + (1 −0.5741)(32 −25)) = 2.91

To check that the stock is priced correctly:

S

0

=

1

(1 +r)

1

2

E

∗

[S] =

1

√

1.05

(0.5741 · 35 + (1 −0.5741)25) = 30.00

The stock is correctly priced.

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 49

Chapter 15

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

Problems

15.1 ud [2]

The current price of the underlying is 100. This price will two periods from now move to either 121, 99 or 81.

Find the constants u and d by which prices move each period.

15.2 Call [3]

The current price of the underlying is 50. This price will each period move to uS or dS, where u = 1.1 or

d = 0.95. If the per period risk free interest rate is 5%, what is the price of a two period call option with exercise

price 50?

15.3 HAL [6]

You are interested in the computer company HAL computers. Its stock is currently priced at 9000. The stock

price is expected to either go up by 25% or down by 20% each six months. The annual risk free interest rate is

20%.

Your broker now calls you with an interesting oﬀer.

You pay C

0

now for the following opportunity: In month 6 you can choose whether or not to buy a call option on

HAL computers with 6 months maturity (i.e. expiry is 12 months from now). This option has an exercise price

of $9000, and costs $1,500. (You have an option on an option.)

1. If C

0

is the fair price for this “compound option,” ﬁnd C

0

.

2. If you do not have any choice after 6 months, you have to buy the option, what is then the value of the

contract?

15.4 HS [4]

The current price of a stock in the “Hello Sailor” entertainment company (HS) is $100. Each period the stock

price either moves up by a factor u = 1.5 or down by a factor d = 1/u. (HS is in a highly variable industry.) The

per period interest rate is 5%.

Consider the following “compound option” written on HS: You buy the option at time 0. The compound option

gives you the right to at time 1 choose to receive one of the following two options:

• A call option on HS with exercise price 100 and expiring in period 2.

• A put option on HS with exercise price 100 and expiring in period 2.

Calculate the price of this “compound option.”

Solutions

15.1 ud [2]

S

0

= 100

uuS

0

= S

uu

50 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

uu100 = 121

u =

121

100

= 1.1

d =

81

100

= 0.9

S

0

= 100

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= uS

0

= 110

S

d

= 90

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

uu

= 121

S

ud

= 99

S

dd

= 81

15.2 Call [3]

First we ﬁnd the possible evolution of the price of the underlying

S

u

= uS

0

= 1.1 · 50 = 55

S

d

= dS

0

= 0.95 · 50 = 47.50

S

0

= 50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 55

S

d

= 47.50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

uu

= 55 · 1.1 = 60.5

S

ud

= 55 · 0.95 = 52.25

S

dd

= 47.5 · 0.95 = 45.125

and

p

u

=

1.05 −0.9

1.1 −0.9

= 0.75

p

d

= 1 −p

u

= 1 −0.75 = 0.25

First ﬁnd the call payoﬀ at the terminal date:

C

uu

= max(0, 60.5 −50) = 10.5

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 51

C

ud

= max(0, 52.2 −50) = 2.25

C

dd

= max(0, 45.125 −50) = 0

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

C

uu

= 10.5

C

ud

= 2.25

C

dd

= 0

And then “roll back” by ﬁrst ﬁnding the two possible call values in the ﬁrst period

C

u

=

1

1 +r

p

u

C

uu

+p

d

C

ud

=

1

1.05

(0.75 · 10.5 + 0.25 · 2.25) = 8.04

C

d

=

1

1 +r

p

u

C

du

+p

d

C

dd

=

1

1.05

(0.75 · 2.25 + 0.25 · 0) = 1.61

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

C

u

= 8.04

C

d

= 1.61

before ﬁnding the call value the ﬁrst date

C

0

=

1

1 +r

p

u

C

u

+p

d

C

d

=

1

1.05

(0.75 · 8.04 + 0.25 · 1.61) = 6.13

C

0

= 6.13

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Note: The interest rate was originally given as 10% in the ﬁrst edition of the book. Can you see why this

information would give you problems in solving this question?

52 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

15.3 HAL [6]

Stock price movement, u = 1.25, d = 0.80.

S = 9000

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Su = 11250

S

d

= 7200

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Suu = 14062.50

S

ud

= 9000

S

dd

= 5760

Start by calculating the value of an option at time 1, with exercise price 9000.

p

u

=

e

r∆t

−d

u −d

=

e

0.2·

6

12

−0.8

1.25 −0.8

≈ 0.678

1 −p

u

= 0.322

Note that this uses continuous discouting. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate.

C

u

= e

−r∆t

(p

u

C

uu

+ (1 −p

u

)C

ud

)

= e

−0.2·0.5

(0.678 · 5062.50 + 0.322 · 0)

= 3, 105.74

C

d

= 0

You are now oﬀered to pay C

0

for the ability to choose to pay $1,500 in month 6 for this option.

This can be analyzed on a tree. Clearly, you will not pay 1,500 in the down state, but will pay it in the up-state.

C

0

=?

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

3, 105.74 −1, 500 = 1605.74

0

Calculate the value the usual way

C

0

= e

−r∆t

(p

u

· 1605.74 + (1 −p

u

) · 0)

= e

−0.2·0.5

(0.678 · 1605.74 + 0)

= 985.08

This is the current value of the “option on an option.”

For the second part of the question, if you do not have any choice, this is the picture

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 53

C

0

=?

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

3, 105.74 −1, 500 = 1605.74

−1500

C

0

= e

−r∆t

(p

u

· 1605.74 + (1 −p

u

) · (−1500))

= e

−0.2·0.5

(0.678 · 1605.74 + 0.322 · (−1500))

= 548.05

15.4 HS [4]

Consider the possible evolution of the underlying stock.

100

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

150

66.66

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

225

100

44.44

Clearly one would at time 1 want to hold a call option when in the up state and a put option in the down state.

The terminal payments for the “compound option” is thus

?

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

?

?

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

125

0

55.55

To ﬁnd the current value of this, just use the usual backward induction.

p

u

=

e

r

−d

u −d

=

e

0.05

−0.66667

1.5 −0.66667

≈ 0.46

54 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

Note that this uses continuous discouting. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate.

1 −p

u

= 0.54

Let P be the value of the “compound option”

P

u

= e

−0.05

(0.46 · 125 + 0.54 · 0) ≈ 54.70

P

d

= e

−0.05

(0.46 · 0 + 0.54 · 55.55) ≈ 28.53

P

0

= e

−0.05

(0.46 · 54.70 + 0.54 · 28.53) ≈ 38.59

P

0

= 38.59

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Pu = 54.70

P

d

= 28.53

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Puu = 125

P

ud

= 0

P

dd

= 55.55

An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 55

Chapter 16

An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds

Problems

16.1 Conversion [1]

Why does conversion of convertible bonds not aﬀect the value of the ﬁrm?

16.2 Bond Covenants [3]

In one or two sentences, answer the following.

1. Who beneﬁts from the covenants in bond contracts when the ﬁrm is in ﬁnancial trouble? Why?

2. Who beneﬁts from the covenants in bond contracts when the ﬁrm is issuing debt? Why?

16.3 [3]

The Q corporation will next period realize a project that will have value either 100 or 20. This project is the only

assets that Q corporation have. Q has issued a bond with face value of 50, due next period. The risk free interest

rate is 10% and the current value of equity in Q is 40. Determine the current value of the bond.

16.4 Projects [7]

A start-up company considers two investment projects that require a $90 investment. Both are zero NPV projects

(hence, the value of the project is $90). Only one project can be implemented. Part of the necessary funds are

to be acquired through a zero-coupon debt issue, with face value of $85. The remainder is collected through an

equity issue. The speciﬁcs of the two projects are

• Project A:

Final value =

**110 with probability 0.8
**

80 with probability 0.2

• Project B:

Final value =

**150 with probability 0.5
**

40 with probability 0.5

1. Which project has the highest expected return?

2. Assume management randomly picks a project, and decides to choose Project A. (Management should not

have any particular preference, because both projects have a zero NPV.) How much money will the company

raise from the debt issue? How much equity will be raised? Assume that the risk free interest rate equals

5%.

3. Assume now that the debt and equity issues to ﬁnance project A have been completed. Now the management

turns around and does not implement project A, but, instead, goes ahead with project B. What is the loss

in value to the debtholders? Would the equityholders applaud this move?

4. If the bondholders expect management to pick projects in the interest of shareholders, under which terms

will bondholders ﬁnance project A?

56 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds

16.5 Convertible [6]

Suppose the ﬁrms end of period value will be:

Value =

**1500 with probability 0.6
**

800 with probability 0.4

Today’s ﬁrm value is 1000. The risk free rate is 5%. The ﬁrm has 10 shares of equity and 100 convertible bonds

with a face value of 10 each. The bond pays no coupon. One bond can be converted into one share.

Compute the value of the convertible bond and of the equity.

16.6 Yazee [4]

Yazee is valued at V = 100. Tomorrow’s value V

**, will be either 150 or 50, with equal chance, Yazee has issued a
**

corporate bond with face value 100 and no coupon, to be paid tomorrow. The bonds presently give a 15% yield.

Is the bond mispriced? The risk free rate is 10%.

16.7 AoB [4]

AOB, Inc., has issued 2 shares of common stock and 1 convertible bond. AOB is valued at V = 100. Tomorrows

value, V

, will be either 150 or 50, with equal chance. The bond has a face value of $30 and carries a coupon of

10%. The conversion ratio is 1:1. The bond is due tomorrow. The risk free rate is 10%. Value the bond.

Solutions

16.1 Conversion [1]

There are no cash ﬂow consequences for the ﬁrm, it only changes the distribution of claims between the owners.

16.2 Bond Covenants [3]

1. The covenants protect bondholders from managers acting in behalf of shareholders and undertaking ineﬃ-

cient investment proﬁciencies during the time of ﬁnancial distress.

2. These beneﬁt the stockholders by allowing them to borrow from the bondholders at a reduced interest rate.

16.3 [3]

Can use the equity to determine implied probabilities.

Value of equity in the various states.

40

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

max(0, 100 −50) = 50

max(0, 20 −50) = 0

40 =

1

1 +r

(p

u

50 + (1 −p

u

)0)

40 =

1

1.1

p

u

50

An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 57

p

u

=

40

50

· 1.1 = 0.88

Then this p

u

is used to determine the bond value

Bond payoﬀs:

B

0

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

min(50, 100) = 50

min(50, 20) = 20

B

0

=

1

1 + 0.1

(p

u

50 + (1 −p

u

)20) = 42.18

16.4 Projects [7]

1. The expected returns are

E[r

A

] = 0.8

110

90

+ 0.2

80

90

−1 = 16%

E[r

B

] = 0.5

150

90

+ 0.5

40

90

−1 = 6%

Project A has the higher expected return.

2. Apparently, the market charges P (= V , the value of the ﬁrm) = $90 for a payoﬀ pattern with X

u

= $110

and X

d

= $80. With an interest rate of 5%, this means that the state-price probability p

u

solves:

90 =

1

1 + 0.05

(p

u

110 + (1 −p

u

)80) .

Hence p

u

= 0.483. The value of debt, and hence the money raised from the debt issue, is

D =

1

1 + 0.05

(p

u

85 + (1 −p

u

)80) =

1

1 + 0.05

(0.483 · 85 + 0.517 · 80) = 78

The value of equity (and the amount raised from the equity issue) is:

E = V −B = 90 −78 = 12

3. Because the company changes projects, the state price probabilities also change.

Now p

u

solves:

90 =

1

1 + 0.05

(p

u

150 + (1 −p

u

)40) .

Hence, p

u

= 0.496. The value of the debt decreases to

D =

1

1 + 0.05

(p

u

85 + (1 −p

u

)40) =

1

1 + 0.05

(0.496 · 85 + 0.504 · 40) = 59

58 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds

Equity, in contrast, surges to

E = V −B = 90 −59 = 31

Shareholders cheer, bondholders lament.

4. Given the answer to the last question, bondholders will not believe that project A will be carried out as

proposed, and only accept terms for project B.

16.5 Convertible [6]

1. Let V

denote the end-of-period ﬁrm value. We have two cases. When V

**= $1, 500, a share of equity is
**

worth $50 and an unconverted bond $10. Since the conversion price is $10, bondholders obviously decide

to convert. The new capital structure will be: 110 shares of equity valued at $1,500/100 = $13.64 each.

In contrast, when V

**= $800, the ﬁrm bankrupts. Hence, the shares are worth $0, and the bonds $8
**

(=800/100). Bondholders obviously don’t convert.

So, the convertible bond is a security that pays $13.64 in the “up state” u, and $8 in the “down state”

d. We can get the state-price probability p

u

from our standard pricing formula and from the fact that the

value of the ﬁrm equals $1000:

1000 =

1

1 +r

E

∗

[V ] =

1

1.05

(p

u

1500 + (1 −p

u

)800).

Hence, p

u

= 0.357.

Applying our formula to value the convertible bonds (100 of them), we obtain:

B = 100

1

1 +r

(p

u

13.64 + (1 −p

u

)8) = 100

1

1.05

(0.357 · 13.64 + (1 −0.357)8) = $954

We can do the same for equity (10 shares)

E = 10

1

1 +r

(p

u

13.64 + (1 −p

u

)0) = 100

1

1.05

(0.357 · 13.64 + 0.643 · 0) = $46

D and E add up to the value of the ﬁrm, conﬁrming value additivity:

B +E = 954 + 46 = 1, 000

16.6 Yazee [4]

Price of Bond B =

100

1.15

= 86.96.

State price probabilities solves

100 =

1

1.1

(p

u

150 + (1 −p

u

)50)

p

u

= 0.6

Hence B should be

B =

1

1.1

(p

u

100 + (1 −p

u

)150) =

1

1.1

(0.6 · 100 + 0.4 · 150) = 72.77

The bond is mispriced.

An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 59

16.7 AoB [4]

Value of bond

Action

State Convert Don’t convert

V

= 150

150

3

= 50 33

V

= 50

50

3

= 16.7 33

The optimal action is to convert when V

= 150 and not when V

= 50.

The bond is worth

B = risk free bond + option =

1

1.1

33 +

1

1.1

(p

u

(50 −33) + (1 −p

u

)0) = 39.28

The probability p

u

is found from

100 = V =

1

1.1

(p

u

150 + (1 −p

u

)50)

p

u

= 0.6

60 Are capital structure decisions relevant?

Chapter 17

Are capital structure decisions relevant?

Problems

17.1 Debt/Equity [7]

Firm Z and Y have identical cash ﬂows. Firm Z is 40% debt ﬁnanced and 60% equity ﬁnanced, while ﬁrm Y is

100% equity ﬁnanced. The same required rate of return on their debt equals 10%. (Assume debt is perpetual)

1. Next period’s cash ﬂows for each ﬁrm are $100. Assume both ﬁrms pay out all excess cash in the form of

dividends. What cash ﬂows go to the debt and equity holders of both ﬁrms? Assume no corporate taxes.

(Use D

z

for the value of ﬁrm Z’s debt).

2. You own 10% of ﬁrm Z’s stock. What cash ﬂow will you get in the future? What combination of other

assets will give you the same cash ﬂow?

3. Suppose the value of ﬁrm Z is greater than ﬁrm Y. How can you become very rich? (You may assume no

transactions costs, or other market imperfections)

4. Now, suppose there is a corporate tax rate of 40%. What should the value of each ﬁrm be?

17.2 Frisky [4]

Frisky, Inc is ﬁnanced entirely by common stock which is priced according to a 15% expected return. If the

company re-purchases 25% of the common stock and substitutes an equal value of debt, yielding 6%, what is the

expected return on the common stock after the re-ﬁnancing?

17.3 JB [4]

JB Manufacturing is currently an all-equity ﬁrm. The equity of ﬁrm is worth $2 million. The cost of that equity

is 18%. JB pays no taxes. JB plans to issue $400,000 in debt and use the proceeds to repurchase equity. The

cost of debt is 10%.

1. After the repurchase the stock, what will the overall cost of capital be?

2. After the repurchase, what will the cost of equity be?

17.4 LRC [3]

You invest $100,000 in the Liana Rope Company. To make the investment, you borrowed $75,000 from a friend

at a cost of 10%. You expect your equity investment to return 20%. There are no taxes. What would your return

be if you did not use leverage?

17.5 OFC [5]

Old Fashion Corp. is an all-equity ﬁrm famous for its antique furniture business. If the ﬁrm uses 36% leverage

through issuance of long–term debt, the CFO predicts that there is a 20% chance that the ROE(Return on Equity)

will be 10%, 40% chance that the ROE will be 15%, and 40% chance that the ROE will be 20%. The ﬁrm is

tax-exempt. Explain whether the ﬁrm should change its capital structure if the forecast of the CFO changes to

30%, 50% and 20% chances respective for the three ROE possibilities. That is, tell us whether the value of assets

and equity change as a result of the changes in ROEs.

Are capital structure decisions relevant? 61

17.6 V&M [5]

Note: In the question you are asked to assume risk neutrality. This means that the state price probabilities are

not colored by risk aversion (fear) so they are equal to the estimated probabilities in the question.

VanSant Corporation and Matta, Inc., are identical ﬁrms except that Matta, Inc., is more levered than VanSant.

The companies’ economists agree that the probability of a recession next year is 20% and the probability of a

continuation of the current expansion is 80%. If the expansion continues, each ﬁrm will have EBIT of 2 million. If

a recession occurs, each ﬁrm will have EBIT of 0.8 million. VanSant’s debt obligation required the ﬁrm to make

750,000 in payments. Because Matta carries more debt, its debt payment obligations are 1 million. Note: EBIT

is short for Earnings Before Interest and Taxes. Often this is considered a good estimate of cash ﬂows before

interest and tax payments.

Assume that the investors in these ﬁrms are risk-neutral and that they discount the ﬁrms’ cash ﬂows at 15%.

Assume a one–period example. Also assume there are no taxes.

1. Duane, the president of VanSant, commented to Matta’s president, Deb, that his ﬁrm has a higher value

than Matta, Inc, because VanSant has less debt and, therefore, less bankruptcy risk. Is Duane correct?

2. Using the data of the two ﬁrms, prove your answer.

3. What might cause the ﬁrms to be valued diﬀerently?

17.7 Negative NPV? [3]

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Explain your answer.

A ﬁrm’s stockholders would never want the ﬁrm to invest in projects with negative NPV.

Solutions

17.1 Debt/Equity [7]

1. Cash ﬂows.

Firm Z Firm Y

Cash ﬂow 100 100

Debt payment 0.10D

Z

−

Equity payment 100 −.10D

Z

100

2. Future cash ﬂows:

0.10 · (100 −0.10 · D

Z

)

Alternative assets to replicate these cash ﬂows:

Buy 10% of Y 0.10 · 100

Borrow 10% of D

Z

at 10% rate −0.1 · (0.10 · D

Z

)

Net 0.1 · (100 −0.1 · D

Z

)

3. We then recognise an arbitrage opportunity.

Cashflows

Time: Now Next period

Buy Y −V

Y

100

Short Z V

Z

−D

Z

−(100 −0.1D

Z

)

BorrowD

Z

D

Z

−0.1D

Z

Net −V

Y

+V

Z

> 0 0

62 Are capital structure decisions relevant?

4. New ﬁrm values after tax of 40%. Let V

Y

, V

Z

be the no tax values of Y and Z.

Since Y has no debt, its value goes down by 40%, to 0.60 · V

Y

.

For ﬁrm Z, its value is adjusted for the tax shelter of debt:

Firm Z goes to 0.6V

Z

+ 0.4D

Z

= 0.6V

Y

+ 0.4D

Z

.

17.2 Frisky [4]

r = r

∗

+ (r

∗

−r

D

)

D

E

r = 0.15 + (0.15 −0.06)

1

3

= 18%

17.3 JB [4]

1. When the ﬁrm is an all-equity ﬁrm, the cost of equity capital (18%) is the same as the cost of capital for the

ﬁrm. When the ﬁrm does not pay taxes, the cost of capital for the ﬁrm is not aﬀected by the debt-equity

mix.

The cost of capital thus remains the same, 18%.

2. To ﬁnd equity capital, use

r

E

= r

∗

+ (r

∗

−r

D

)

D

E

= 0.18 + (0.18 −0.10)

D

E

= 0.18 + (0.18 −0.10)

400

2, 000 −400

= 0.18 + 0.08

400

1, 600

= 0.18 + 0.02 = 20%.

17.4 LRC [3]

The equity returns $5,000(=20% of 25,000); the loan requires $7,500 (=10% of $75,000). Hence, the investment

returns in total $12,500, which is 12.5% on $100,000. The would be the return on investment if it were totally

ﬁnanced by equity.

17.5 OFC [5]

There are no changes to the cash ﬂows from the assets of the ﬁrm if the capital structure is changed. Hence,

the value of the ﬁrm does not change. The new estimates will change the relative value of debt and equity, but

shareholders will be no better oﬀ if the ﬁrm raises more debt or retires some debt. This is M&M irrelevance.

17.6 V&M [5]

V

, next year’s value of either ﬁrm, is $2 (in millions) in the “up” state or $0.8 in the “down” state. the state-price

probability for the “up” state is 0.8. Debt has a face value of D

V

= 0.75 for Van Sant, and D

M

= 1 for Matta.

The risk free rate equals 15%.

1. Duane is wrong. Both ﬁrms have the same cash ﬂows from assets, and hence, the same ﬁrm value.

Are capital structure decisions relevant? 63

2. The value of Van Sant, V

V

, is

V

V

=

1

1.15

(0.8 · 2 + 0.2 · 0.8) = 1.53

The value of Matta, V

M

, is the same

V

M

=

1

1.15

(0.8 · 2 + 0.2 · 0.8) = 1.53

3. Suppose there are bankruptcy costs of A = 0.1. Since VanSant never defaults (in the down state, it has 0.8

to cover a debt of 0.75), its value is not aﬀected by the presence of A. Matta, on the other hand, changes

value, down to

V

M

=

1

1.15

(0.8 · 2 + 0.2 · (0.8 −0.1)) = 1.51

17.7 Negative NPV? [3]

If bonds are in place (the ﬁrm has collected the money), then shareholders may have the incentive to change

projects, towards a more volatile one. This may even be a negative NPV project. Covenants, warrants and

conversion rights attached to the bonds will keep shareholders from doing so.

64 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all?

Chapter 18

Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all?

Problems

18.1 Leverage [6]

A ﬁrm has expected net operating income (X) of $600. Its value as an unlevered ﬁrm (V

U

) is $2,000. The ﬁrm

is facing a tax rate of 40%. Suppose the ﬁrm changes it ratio of debt to equity ratio to equal 1. The cost of debt

capital in this situation is 10%. Use the MM propositions to:

1. Calculate the after–tax cost of equity capital for both the levered and the unlevered ﬁrm.

2. Calculate the after–tax weighed average cost of capital for each.

3. Why is the cost of equity capital higher for the levered ﬁrm, but the weighted average cost of capital lower?

18.2 GTC [5]

Note: In the question you are asked to assume risk neutrality. This means that the state price probabilities are

not colored by risk aversion (fear) so they are equal to the estimated probabilities in the question.

Good Time Co. is a regional chain department store. It will remain in business for one more year. The estimated

probability of boom year is 60% and that of recession is 40%. It is projected that Good Time will have total cash

ﬂows of $250 million in a boom year and $100 million in a recession. Its required debt payment is $150 million

per annum. Assume a one-period model.

Assume risk neutrality and an annual discount rate of 12% for both the stock and the bond.

1. What is the total stock value of the ﬁrm?

2. If the total value of bond outstanding for Good Time is $108.93 million, what is the expected bankruptcy

cost in the case of recession?

3. What is the total value of the ﬁrm?

4. What is the promised return on the bond?

18.3 Bond Issue [4]

An ﬁrm that is currently all–equity is subject to a 30% corporate tax rate. The ﬁrm’s equityholders require a 20%

return. The ﬁrm’s initial market value is $3,500,000, and it has 175,000 shares outstanding. Suppose the ﬁrm

issues $1 million of bonds at 10% and uses the proceeds to repurchase common stock.

Assume there is no change in the cost of ﬁnancial distress for the ﬁrm. According to MM, what is the new market

value of the equity of the ﬁrm?

18.4 LMN [3]

LMN is currently all equity ﬁnanced. The equity of the ﬁrm is worth 7 million. LMN is planning to issue bonds

with a value of 4 million and a 10% coupon. LMN is paying 30% corporate tax. Individual investors are paying

20% tax on capital gains and dividends, and 25% tax on interest income. In a Miller equilibrium, what is the new

value of the ﬁrm after the bond issue?

18.5 Bond [3]

A company is issuing a 3 year bond with a face value of 25 million and a coupon of 10%. The company is paying

taxes with 28%. The company’s cost of capital is 15%. What is the value of the bond issue for the company?

Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 65

18.6 Tax Shield Value [5]

The general expression for the value of a leveraged ﬁrm in a world in which τ

S

= 0 is

V

L

= V

U

+

1 −(1 −τ

C

)

1 −τ

B

B −C(B)

where V

U

is the value of an unlevered ﬁrm, τ

C

is the eﬀective corporate tax rate for the ﬁrm, τ

B

is the personal

tax rate of the marginal bondholder, B is the debt level of the ﬁrm, and C(B) is the present value of the costs of

ﬁnancial distress for the ﬁrm as a function of its debt level. (Note: C(B) encompasses all non-tax-related eﬀects

of leverage on the ﬁrm’s value.)

Assume all investors are risk neutral.

1. In their no-tax model, what do Modigliani and Miller assume about τ

C

, τ

B

and C(B)? What do these

assumptions imply about a ﬁrm’s optimal debt–equity ratio?

2. In their model that includes corporate taxes, what do Modigliani and Miller assume about τ

C

, τ

B

and

C(B)? What do these assumptions imply about a ﬁrm’s optimal debt–equity ratio?

3. Assume that IBM is certain to be able to use its interest deductions to reduce its corporate tax bill. What

would the change in the value of IBM be if the company issued $1 billion in debt and used the proceeds

to repurchase equity? Assume that the personal tax rate on bond income is 20%, the corporate tax rate is

34%, and the costs of ﬁnancial distress are zero.

18.7 Infty.com [4]

Infty.com will generate forever a before–tax cash ﬂow of $15. The corporate tax rate is 50%. The risk free rate

is 10%.

1. Value the ﬁrm if it is all–equity

2. Value the ﬁrm if it issues a perpetual bond with coupon $5.

Solutions

18.1 Leverage [6]

1. Let us use the data for the unlevered ﬁrm to ﬁnd r

∗

. We are given the (before-tax) operating income X.

The value of the unlevered ﬁrm is

V

U

=

after-tax income

r

∗

→ r

∗

=

after-tax income

V

U

r

∗

=

X(1 −τ)

V

U

=

600(1 −0.4)

2, 000

= 18%

For the unlevered ﬁrm, this is also the cost of equity capital, r

E

= r

∗

= 18%.

Use this to ﬁnd the value of the levered ﬁrm.

r

E

= r

∗

+ (r

∗

−r

D

)(1 −τ)

D

E

= 0.18 + (0.18 −0.10)(1 −0.4) · 1

= 22.8%.

66 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all?

2. Calculate weighted costs of capital of two alternatives:

WACC

U

= 18%

WACC

L

=

1

2

r

E

+

1

2

(1 −τ)r

D

=

1

2

0.228 +

1

2

(1 −0.4)0.10 = 14.4%

3. The equity is riskier, hence the return on equity for the levered ﬁrm is higher. The lower WACC reﬂects

the tax savings from the leverage.

18.2 GTC [5]

1. V

, next year’s value of the ﬁrm, is $250 (in millions) in the “up” state or $100 minus (as yet unknown)

bankruptcy costs in the “down” state. The state-price probability for the “up” state is 0.6. Debt has a face

value of D = 150. The risk free rate equals 12%.

Using our formula, the value of equity E equals

E =

1

1 +r

E

∗

[max(V

−D, 0)] =

1

1.12

(0.6 · 150 + 0.4 · 0) = 54

2. Without bankruptcy costs, the value of debt B

nocost

, would have been:

B

nocost

=

1

1.12

(0.6 · 150 + 0.4 · 100) = 116

Since the bonds are actually selling for B = 190 (rounded), the value of the bankruptcy cost, BC, equals

BC = B

nocost

−B = 116 −109 = 7

3. Using value additivity, the value of the ﬁrm, V , equals

V = E +B = 54 + 109 = 163

4. The promised return, i.e., the yield, y, equals

y =

150

109

−1 = 38%

Note: one can infer the actual bankruptcy costs upon default, A, from the value of the ﬁrm. By our

valuation formula

V =

1

1 +r

E

∗

[V

] =

1

1.12

(0.6 · 250 + 0.4 · (100 −A)) = 163

Hence A = 18.6.

18.3 Bond Issue [4]

Currently, the value of the ﬁrm is $3.5 million, the same as the value of equity. The repurchase of $1 million

decreases the value of equity by $1 million, to 2,500 million.

But this does not account for the tax shield of the new bond issue. If the bonds are perpetual, the value of the

ﬁrm increases by 1 million ×τ, where τ is the tax rate. In this case τ = 30%. Thus the tax shield is 300,000,

and the value of equity is 2.5 mill + 300,000 = 2,800,000.

Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 67

18.4 LMN [3]

The value without “leverage” is

V

U

= 7 mill

The tax advantage of issuing 10 mill worth of debt.

Given

r

D

= 10%

τ

C

= 30%

τ

PD

= 25%

τ

PE

= 20%

With everybody taxable, ﬁnd the value with leverage by multiplying D with

1 −

(1 −τ

C

)(1 −τ

PE

)

(1 −τ

PD

1 −

(1 −0.3)(1 −0.2)

1 −0.25

= 0.25

The tax advantage of debt is

0.25 · D = 1 mill.

18.5 Bond [3]

1.740.800

18.6 Tax Shield Value [5]

1. τ

C

= τ

B

= C(B) = 0. There is no optimal debt-equity ratio.

2. τ

c

is nonzero. τ

B

= C(B) = 0. It is optimal to issue 100% debt.

3. Let V

U

stand for the original ﬁrm value, and V

L

the ﬁrm value after the increase in debt.

V

L

−V

U

=

1 −(1 −τ

C

)

1 −τ

B

B =

1 −(1 −0.34)

1 −0.2

1 = $0.425(billion)

18.7 Infty.com [4]

V

U

=

15 · 0.5

0.1

= 75

V

L

= 75 + 0.5

5

0.1

= 100

68 Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt

Chapter 19

Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt

Problems

19.1 Project [3]

A company is considering a project with the following after-tax cashﬂows:

t 0 1 2 3

X

t

−150, 000 60, 000 60, 000 60, 000

If the project is all–equity ﬁnanced it has a required rate of return of 15%. To ﬁnance the project the ﬁrm issues

a 4 year bond with face value of 100,000 and an interest rate of 5%. Remaining investments are ﬁnanced by the

ﬁrm’s current operations. The company is facing a tax rate of 30%.

Determine the NPV of the project.

19.2 Bond Issue [2]

A company issues a one year, zero coupon bond with face value of 25 million. The bond has an interest rate of

8%. The company is paying tax with 28%. Determine the value of the debt tax shield.

19.3 NORSK [7]

NORSK, Inc., is valued at V = 100. Tomorrows value, V

**, will be either 150 (“up” state) or 50 (“down” state),
**

with equal chance. NORSK is presently an all-equity ﬁrm, but they are considering issuing a corporate bond with

face value $100 and coupon $10, because they were told that they can reduce their taxable earnings with the

amount of the coupon. The corporate tax rate is 50%. According to their accountants, NORSK will have $10 in

taxable earnings in the “up” state, and $5 in the “down” state. The risk free rate is 10%.

1. How does the value of the ﬁrm change upon the bond issue?

2. Value the bond. Use this to re-value the ﬁrm, now using the APV formula, unlike in your previous answer.

3. Why is there a discrepancy between the values of the (levered) ﬁrm you obtained in the previous two

answers?

Solutions

19.1 Project [3]

Without the tax advantage

t = 0 1 2 3

C

t

= −150 60 60 60

NPV = −150 +

60

(1 + 0.15)

1

+

60

(1 + 0.15)

2

+

60

(1 + 0.15)

3

= −13.0065

Annual interest tax shield: 0.3 · 5000 = 1500

Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt 69

PV of tax shield

t = 0 1 2 3 4

C

t

= 0 1500 1500 1500 1500

NPV =

1500

(1 + 0.05)

1

+

1500

(1 + 0.05)

2

+

1500

(1 + 0.05)

3

+

1500

(1 + 0.05)

4

= 5318.93

Project NPV is

NPV = −13000 + 5318 = −7682

19.2 Bond Issue [2]

560,000

19.3 NORSK [7]

1. The probability p

u

is found from

100 = V =

1

1.1

(p

u

150 + (1 −p

u

)50)

p

u

= 0.6

The increase in the value of the ﬁrm is the PV of the tax shields

=

1

1.1

(0.6 · (50%×10) + 0.4 · (50%×5)) = 3.64

2. Bond

B =

1

1.1

(0.6 · 110 + 0.4 · 50) = 78.18.

V

APV

= V +τB = 100 + 0.5 · 78.18 = 139.09

3. • Cash ﬂows are not risk free

• Debt is not perpetual

• Cash ﬂows are not perpetual.

70 And What About Dividends?

Chapter 20

And What About Dividends?

Problems

20.1 Dividend Inc [2]

The stock price of Dividend, Inc is 30 November 139. 1 December the stock goes ex dividend, paying a cash

dividend of 11. The owners of stock in Dividend, Inc do not pay tax on their dividend income. What is your

estimate of the stock price 2 December?

20.2 Dividends and Taxes [4]

A given share is sold for $30 just before time t

0

. If the ﬁrm pays a $3 dividend per share, the price will immediately

drop to $27. Suppose you own 100 shares. If the ﬁrm decides not to distribute dividends, you would need to

sell 10 shares (at$30 a share) since you need to have a $300 cash income (pre tax) Assume that the shares were

originally bought for $20 each.

1. If both ordinary personal tax rate and capital gains tax are 28%, what is your after-tax wealth under the

two alternative situations?

2. Suppose now the tax rates for capital gains are lower, you pay 40% tax on ordinary income, and 16% tax

on capital gains. What is your after-tax wealth under the two alternative situations?

20.3 Dividends [4]

The ﬁrm is capitalized by 100,000 shares of common stock which trade at the beginning of the period at 10 per

share. The expected net income in period one is X

1

= 200, 000 and the ﬁrm has declared a cash dividend of 1

per share, to be paid at the end of the period. The ﬁrm’s cost of equity is 20%.

Ignore personal taxes.

1. What is the ex-dividend share price? What would have been the end-of-period stock price if the ﬁrm skipped

the dividend?

2. How many shares of commons stock will the ﬁrm have to sell at the ex-dividend price in order to undertake

an investment project which requires an investment I

1

= 200, 000?

3. What is the value of the ﬁrm just after the new issue? What would have been the value of the ﬁrm if it

skipped the dividend and used the retained earnings to ﬁnance the investment?

20.4 Stable Rest [3]

Stable, Inc has for the last ten years been paying out 5% of the book value of equity as dividend. Rest, Inc has

for the last ﬁfteen years been paying 80% of after tax income as dividend. This year both Stable, Inc and Rest,

Inc is lowering dividend payments by $10.

If the signaling hypothesis is correct, which of the following statements is correct?

1. The stock price of Stable, Inc goes down by less than the dividend amount.

2. The market thinks proﬁtability of Stable, Inc is lessened.

3. The market thinks proﬁtability of Rest, Inc is improved.

And What About Dividends? 71

20.5 Dividend Amount [4]

A company is expecting after tax income of 3 million next year. The company currently has a debt/equity ratio

of 80%. The company has the possibility of investing in a project with at total investment of 4 million. If the

company wants to keep it’s current debt/equity ratio, how much should the company pay as dividend next year?

20.6 Stock [2]

The current price of a stock is 50. The cost of capital for the company is 10%, and the company dividend is

expected to grow by 5% annually. What is the expected dividend payment next period?

Solutions

20.1 Dividend Inc [2]

P = 139 −11 = 128

20.2 Dividends and Taxes [4]

The tax you pay are calculated as follows:

Dividends:

Tax = τ

i

(3 · 100) = τ

i

· 300

Wealth = 100(27 + 3(1 −τ

i

))

Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 −τ

i

))

Sell shares:

Tax = τ

g

(10 · (30 −20)) = τ

g

· 100

Wealth = 90 · 30 + 30 · 10 −10 · 10τ

g

Wealth = 2700 + 300 −100τ

g

Wealth = 3000 −100τ

g

To ﬁnd the exact wealth, plug in the tax rates.

1. τ

i

= 0.28, τ

g

= 0.28.

Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 −τ

i

)) = 2916

Wealth = 3000 −100τ

g

= 2972

2. τ

i

= 0.40, τ

g

= 0.16.

Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 −τ

i

)) = 2880

Wealth = 3000 −100τ

g

= 2984

20.3 Dividends [4]

72 And What About Dividends?

1. Remember

P

0

=

E[d

1

] +E[P

1

]

1 +r

Here, we have all but E[P

1

]:

10 =

1 +E[P

1

]

1 + 0.20

and

E[P

1

] = 10(1 + 0.20) −1 = $11

If the ﬁrm skipped the dividend, would have

E[P

1

] = 10 · (1 + 0.20) = $12

2. Investment of $200,000. The ﬁrm pays dividends of 100, 000 · 1 = $100, 000 out of earnings of $200,000.

It will have to get $100,000 of new capital to ﬁnance the investment. At an ex-dividend price of $11, this

means an issue of

100, 000/11 ≈ 9091 stocks.

3. The new value of the ﬁrm

(100, 000 + 9091) stocks · $11 = 1, 200, 000

Without the dividend, the value of the ﬁrm would have been

100, 000 stocks · $12 = $1, 200, 000

20.4 Stable Rest [3]

The market thinks proﬁtability of Stable, Inc is lessened.

20.5 Dividend Amount [4]

0.77 mill

20.6 Stock [2]

50 =

E[X

1

]

0.1 −0.05

E[X

1

] = 2.5

Risk And Incentive Management 73

Chapter 21

Risk And Incentive Management

Problems

21.1 Binomial Options [4]

Consider a case where the stock price S follows a binomial process. Currently, the stock price is S

0

= 100. Each

period, the stock price either moves down 10% or up 15%. The (one period) risk free interest rate is 2.5%.

Consider a one-period call option with exercise price X = 100.

1. If you own one stock, how many call options do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows in period 1 to

be riskless?

2. If you own one call, how many units of the underlying do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows in

period 1 to be riskless?

Consider now a two period American Call option, with exercise price X = 100.

3. If you own one stock, how many of the two period call options do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows

in period 1 to be riskless?

21.2 Option [4]

The current stock price is 160. Next period the price will be one of 150 or 175. The current risk free interest rate

is 6%. You buy 1 stock and issue m call options on the stock with an exercise price of 155. What must be m be

for the portfolio to be risk free?

21.3 Futures Price [5]

Suppose that storing the physical asset has a cost of c in the period from t to T. Show that the futures price

satisﬁes

F = S(1 +r)

(T−t)

+c

21.4 Hedging [3]

The stock price can next period be either 100 or 200. The stock price today is 150. You have a put option that

expires next period. The exercise price of the put option is 100. The price of a discount bond that matures next

period is 0.8. You would like to eliminate the risk of holding the put option. What position do you need to take

in the stock?

21.5 VaR [4]

You own a portfolio with a value today of 10 million. The standard deviation of the weekly return is 0.01.

Assuming that weekly returns are normally distributed, estimate Value at Risk (VaR) on a weekly basis with a

conﬁdence level of 5%.

21.6 VaR [3]

Your current portfolio of equities has a market value of 100,000. Assume normally distributed returns.

1. Suppose the whole portfolio is invested in one stock. The stock has an annual expected return of 10% and

an annual standard deviation of 25%.

Estimate Value at Risk for your portfolio on a daily horizon and a conﬁdence level of 1%.

74 Risk And Incentive Management

2. Suppose instead that the portfolio is invested with equal weights in two stocks, each with the same expected

return and standard deviation 25%. If the correlation between the two shares is positive, but less than one,

will the VaR of the portfolio be smaller or larger than the previous VaR? What if the correlation is negative?

21.7 Are You Lucky [5]

The current value of equity in the Are You Lucky Gold Mine (AYLGM) is 50. One period from now the stock

price will be one of 58.2 or 45.8. The risk free interest rate is 5% per period.

1. Calculate the price of a call option on one AYLGM stock with exercise price 50.

2. What is the forward price for delivery of one AYLGM stock one period from now?

3. If you want to create a portfolio of forward contracts and risk free borrowing and lending that has the same

payoﬀs as the call option with exercise price of 50, what is your position in forwards and risk free borrowing

and lending?

21.8 T Bill Future [3]

Today, a Treasury bill (which carries no coupon) is selling for 91.5% (of par value). A futures contract for the

delivery of the Treasury bill tomorrow carries a futures price of 91.5% (of par value). You don’t know the actual

one–period risk free rate, but you know it is positive. Is there a free lunch?

Solutions

21.1 Binomial Options [4]

S

0

= 100

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Su = 115

S

d

= 90

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

Suu = 132.25

S

ud

= 103.50

S

dd

= 81

1. Let ω

C

be the number of call options necessary to hedge 1 stock. ω

C

solves

S

u

+ω

C

C

u

= S

d

+ω

C

C

d

ω

C

=

S

d

−S

u

C

u

−C

d

=

90 −115

15

= −1.66

2. Similarly, let ω

C

be the number of stocks options necessary to hedge 1 call option

ω

S

S

u

+C

u

= ω

S

S

d

+C

d

ω

S

=

C

d

−C

u

S

u

−S

d

=

0 −15

115 −90

=

−15

25

= −0.6

Risk And Incentive Management 75

3. Next want to ﬁnd the number of stocks ω

S

to hedge one call at time 2. Need to know the values of the

call option at time 1.

p

u

=

e

r

−d

u −d

=

e

0.025

−0.9

1.15 −0.9

= 0.501

1 −p

u

= 0.499

Note that this uses continuous discouting. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate.

C

u

= e

−r

(p

u

C

uu

+ (1 −p

u

)C

ud

) = e

−0.025

(0.501 · 32.25 + 0.499 · 3.50) = 17.46

C

d

= e

−r

(p

u

C

ud

+ (1 −p

u

)C

uu

) = e

−0.025

(0.501 · 3.50 + 0) = 1.7

ω

S

=

C

d

−C

u

S

u

−S

d

=

1.70 −17.46

115 −90

≈ −0.63

ω

C

=

S

d

−S

u

C

u

−C

d

=

90 −115

17.46 −1.70

≈ −1.59

21.2 Option [4]

S

d

−mC

d

= S

u

−mC

u

−m =

S

d

−S

u

C

u

−C

d

=

150 −175

20 −0

= −1.25

m = 1.25

21.3 Futures Price [5]

The case without storage cost c has already been discussed in the book

We considered a forward contract on an underlying asset that provided no income. There are also no restrictions

on shortselling of the underlying asset. Then the forward price F has to satisfy

F = S(1 +r)

(T−t)

,

the forward price is the future value of the current price of the underlying. It is easy to show that violations of

this will lead to free lunches. Let us start with the case where

F > S(1 +r)

(T−t)

The tables below illustrates how we would set up a portfolio to exploit this free lunch.

Arbitrage strategy for case F > S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Time

t T

Sell forward 0 F −S

T

Borrow S

t

S

t

−S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Buy underlying −S

t

S

T

Total 0 F −S(1 +r)

(T−t)

> 0

On the other hand, if F < S(1 +r)

(T−t)

, it is also easy to exploit the free lunch, as the next table illustrates

Arbitrage strategy for case F < S(1 +r)

(T−t)

76 Risk And Incentive Management

Time

t T

Buy forward 0 S

T

−F

Invest S −S S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Short underlying S −S

T

Total 0 S(1 +r)

(T−t)

−F > 0

To avoid arbitrage we need an exact inequality

F = S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Now, the storing cost will enter into the arbitrage relations in the places where one will be buying the underlying

security.

Arbitrage strategy for case F > S(1 +r)

(T−t)

−c

Time

t T

Sell forward 0 F −S

T

Borrow S

t

S

t

−S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Buy underlying −S

t

S

T

−c

Total 0 F −S(1 +r)

(T−t)

−c > 0

Arbitrage strategy for case F < S(1 +r)

(T−t)

−c

Time

t T

Buy forward 0 S

T

−F

Invest S −S S(1 +r)

(T−t)

Short underlying S −(S

T

−c)

Total 0 S(1 +r)

(T−t)

−F −c > 0

Note that we are making assumptions about what happens to the cost of storing when you short the underlying

asset. What do we assume?

21.4 Hedging [3]

The right to sell the stock for 10 is worthless, since the option will never be in the money.

21.5 VaR [4]

One piece of information not given here concerns the expected return. A reasonable approximation is to put this

at zero. One then uses the 5% conﬁdence level to ﬁnd the factor k = 1.64 from a normal table, and estimate

VaR as

V aR = 10 million ×1.64 ×0.01 = 164, 000.

21.6 VaR [3]

1. VaR at the 1% level on a daily horizon. If we work with trading days (most reasonable), calculate

SD

daily

=

1

√

250

0.25 = 0.01581

Risk And Incentive Management 77

Another acceptable interpretation of this could be to use actual days, in which case you would calculate

SD

daily

=

1

√

365

0.25 = 0.013

From a normal table, ﬁnd multiplicative factor 2.33 corresponding to 1% level.

The return corresponding to the required VaR is

E[r] −kσ(r),

where k is the multiplicative factor, taken from a normal table, and E[] and σ are with the right frequencies.

If the annual return is 10%, a reasonable approximation is

¯ r

daily

=

0.1

250

= 0.0004

Use this with the standard deviations above to get

Daily VaR:

E[r] −kσ(r)

0.0004 −2.33 · 0.01581 = −3.64%

giving a VaR of 3.64 million.

2. As long as the correlation is less than +1, the standard deviation (and hence the VaR) of the portfolio will

be smaller, and smaller the lower the correlation.

21.7 Are You Lucky [5]

Assumptions of the problem about the underlying security:

S

0

= 50

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨B

r

r

r

r

r

r

r

rj

S

u

= 58.2

S

d

= 45.8

Price of option

u = 1.165

d = 0.916

p

u

=

1.05 −0.916

1.165 −0.916

= 0.54

C

0

=

1

1 +r

(p

u

C

u

+ (1 −p

u

)C

d

) = 4.22

78 Risk And Incentive Management

Forward price

F = 50 · 1.05 = 52.4

To set up a hedge portfolio involving a forward, solve the following set of equations

C

u

= w

F

(S

u

−F) +w

B

· 1

C

d

= w

F

(S

d

−F) +w

B

· 1

Here w

F

is the number of forward contracts, and w

B

the number of risk free discount bonds to buy.

Solve for w

F

and w

B

:

w

F

= −

C

u

−C

d

S

u

−S

d

w

B

= C

u

−w

F

(S

u

−F)

21.8 T Bill Future [3]

Yes, use the following strategy

Today:

NOW TOMORROW

Long futures +0 B −0.915

Short t bill +0.915 −B

Invest at R −0.915

1

1+R

0.915

0.915

R

1+R

> 0 zero no matter what B is

Contents

1 Finance 2 Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance 3 On Value Additivity 4 On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis 5 Present Value 6 Capital Budgeting 7 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 8 Valuing Risky Cash Flows 9 Introduction to derivatives. 10 Pricing Derivatives 11 Pricing of Multiperiod, Risky Investments 12 Where To Get State Price Probabilities? 13 Warrants 14 The Dynamic Hedge Argument 15 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 16 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 17 Are capital structure decisions relevant? 18 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 19 Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt 20 And What About Dividends? 21 Risk And Incentive Management 1 2 3 4 6 14 21 25 28 34 36 39 40 42 49 55 60 64 68 70 73

Finance

1

Chapter 1

Finance

2

Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance

Chapter 2

Axioms of modern corporate ﬁnance

Does 2 ketchup bottles of 0. check your local supermarket.1 Ketchup [2] As an empirical investigation.On Value Additivity 3 Chapter 3 On Value Additivity Problems 3.2 Milk [2] Why is skimmed milk always cheaper than regular milk even if it is healthier? Solutions 3.1 Ketchup [2] 3.5 litres cost the same as one ketchup bottle of 1 liter? What does this tell you about value additivity in ﬁnancial markets? 3.2 Milk [2] .

It states that it changed how it accounts for inventory.4 Management [3] Your broker claims that well–managed ﬁrms are not necessarily more proﬁtable investment opportunities than ﬁrms with an average management.1 Interest Rates [2] Consider the following statement.2 Semistrong [3] Can you expect to earn excess returns if you make trades based on your broker’s information about record earnings for a stock. What does the Eﬃcient Market Hypothesis have to say about the correctness of this? 4. She cites an empirical study where 17 well–managed ﬁrms and a control group of 17 average ﬁrms were followed for 8 years after the former were reported in the press to be “excelling” as far as management is concerned.4 On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis Chapter 4 On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis Problems 4. There is no other surprises in the earnings report.6 Investing? [3] Does the following statement make sense in view of the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis (EMH)? The Japanese economy has deep structural problems.” Should investors not buy UPC stock after the announcement because the litigation will cause an abnormally low rate of return over the next ﬁve years? 4. Hence. which the Japanese seem reluctant to overcome. because we expect returns to be below average for the next two to three years. if the market is semi-strong form eﬃcient? 4. UPC must pay $2 million each year to a fund representing victims of UPC policies. Long term interest rates are at record highs. we advise against investing in the Tokyo stock market. rumors about a merger of a ﬁrm. the following announcement was made: “Early today the Justice Department reached a decision in the UPC case. For the next ﬁve years.3 UPS [3] On 1/10/85.5 TTC [3] TTC has released this quarter’s earning report. UPC has been found guilty of discriminatory practices in hiring. We do not see any major change in this situation over the next two to three years. Would the stock price now jump on the release of this earnings report? 4. but the resulting earnings are 20% higher than what it would have been under the old accounting system. . Is this evidence that the stock market does not recognize good management? 4. or yesterday’s announcement of a successful test of a new product. The change does not change taxes. 1. Most companies therefore ﬁnd it cheaper to ﬁnance with common stock or relatively inexpensive short-term bank loans.

there is no further eﬀect. For instance.1 Interest Rates [2] Remember the ﬁrst lesson about market eﬃciency: Markets have no memory.4 Management [3] The evidence that the 17 well-managed ﬁrms did not outperform the market merely conﬁrms an implication of the eﬃcient markets hypothesis: Average returns are only determined by risk.5 TTC [3] 1. if risk continues to be high. The economic situation does not aﬀect average returns. 4. Average returns are determined solely by risk.3 UPS [3] Once the announcement is made and the price has reacted (downward) to the lower (discounted) future dividend stream.2 Semistrong [3] All of these are public information. . 4. issuing long-term bonds should be a zero-NPV transaction. The fact that the ﬁrms were run by good managers was known 8 years earlier and already properly reﬂected in prices at that time. A possible channel for cash ﬂow changes could have been the timing of taxes. but that is explicitly ruled out. The average return over the next ﬁve years will still be determined solely by risk and not by the fact that dividends will be $2 million lower. you can not expect to make excess returns using this information. You can only use private information to generate excess returns. The stock price should therefore not be aﬀected by the accounting change. 4.On the Eﬃcient Markets Hypothesis 5 Solutions 4. even if reported earnings change. average returns will also be. So should issuing short-term debt or common stock. 4. average returns are high.6 Investing? [3] No. you do not expect them to explain future changes in stock price. etc. If there is a lot of risk. 4. Just because long-term interest rates are high relative to past levels does not mean that they won’t go higher still. The changes in the accounting treatment do not change cash ﬂows. Hence. Unless you have special information indicating that long-term rates are too high.

9 3 0. t Pt = = 1 0. 5. After that the company is expecting a constant growth of 2% a year. available at these prices. The ﬁrst bank oﬀers 4. Three banks have oﬀered loans. Calculate the present value of the following cash ﬂows: t Xt = = 1 100 2 100 3 100 5. with biannual compounding.95 There are traded securities that oﬀer $1 at any future date. Determine todays stock price. compounded annually. with monthly compounding.95 2 0. Dividends are expected to grow with 10% a year for the next 2 years. t Pt = = 1 0. The required return on the stock is 10%.3% interest. BankThree is oﬀering personal loans at 10.85 1.6 Present Value Chapter 5 Present Value Problems 5. 2.95 2 0.4 Bank Loans [2] Your company is in need of ﬁnancing of environmental investments. compounded quarterly. How would you make a lot of money? 5. 5.5% interest.2 Borrowing [2] BankTwo is oﬀering personal loans at 10%.1 Present Value [3] You are given the following prices Pt today for receiving risk free payments t periods from now. The third bank oﬀers 4. Determine which is is the best oﬀer.5%.3 Arbitrage [4] You are given the following prices Pt today for receiving risk free payments t periods from now.25% with annual compounding. Calculate the implied interest rates and graph the term structure of interest rates.6 Bonds [6] You observe the following three bonds: Bond A B C Price 95 90 85 Cashﬂow in period 1 2 3 100 0 0 10 110 0 10 10 110 .5 Stock [4] A stock has just paid a dividend of 10. Which is the better oﬀer? 5.9 3 0. The second bank oﬀers 4.

Bond E has the following characteristics: Cashﬂow in period 1 2 3 4 10 10 10 110 Bond E 3. can these numbers be sustained? 5. After that. The present value of the annuity is T PV = t=1 X(1 + g)(t−1) (1 + r)t Can you ﬁnd a simpliﬁed expression for this present value? . In an eﬃcient market. what is the maximal price that bond E can have? 5.7 Growing Perpetuity [8] The present value of a perpetuity that pays X1 the ﬁrst year and then grows at a rate g each year is: ∞ PV = t=1 X1 (1 + g)t−1 (1 + r)t Show that this simpliﬁes to PV = X1 r−g 5.Present Value 7 1. The relevant interest rate is 14%.10 Growing Annuity [6] Consider an T-period annuity that pays X next period. The company is paying a dividend of 5 next period. Dividend is expected to grow by 5% annually. which last for four periods. What is the current value of receiving one dollar at time 3? Consider now the bond D.8 Annuity [6] Show that the present value of an annuity paying X per period for T years when the interest rate is r can be simpliﬁed as T PV = t=1 X 1 1 1 =X − t (1 + r) r r (1 + r)T 5. What is the current price of bond D? Consider next bond E.9 Stock [2] The current price for a stock is 50. the payments grows at a rate of g per year for the next T years. If the market does not allow any free lunches (arbitrage). with the following characteristics Cashﬂow in period 1 2 3 20 20 520 Bond D 2.

95 + 100 · 0.57% 0. How much must she invest today to have that amount at graduation? 2. 1. needs 55000 in 4 years to start studying for an MBA. as P V = 100 1 1.8 = 265 or alternatively.41% 0. Her investments earn 5% interest per year. If she invested once a year for four years beginning today until the end of the 4 years how much must she invest? 5.95 1 1 + r2 2 P2 = 0.0557 3 ≈ 265 .8 Present Value 5. using interest rates.26% 0. The present value is found as P V = 100 · 0.1 Present Value [3] 1.11 Jane [3] Jane.95 = 1 1 + r1 r1 = 1 − 1 = 5. a freshman in college. which would you buy? Sell short? Bond A B C Face value 1000 1000 1000 Annual coupon rate 4% 7.9 + 100 · 0.85 = r3 = 3 1 − 1 = 5. Given the opportunity to invest in one of the three bonds listed below.5% 8.12 Bonds [3] The current interest rate is 7%.9 1 1 + r3 3 P3 = 0. The implied interest rates rt are found as: P1 = 0.9 = r2 = 1 − 1 = 5.5% Maturity 1 year 17 years 25 years Price 990 990 990 Solutions 5.0526 + 100 1 1.85 2.0541 2 + 100 1 1.

3 Arbitrage [4] This data implies an arbitrage opportunity.045 2 2 − 1 = 4.Present Value 9 5. 5.1 − 0. Annualize the interest rates to make them comparable: First bank: 1+ 0. What does this mean? It means you have to pay less today for receiving money sooner! To make a lot of money. This is typically done by ﬁnding the equivalent annual interest rates and comparing those.12 .95 proceeds to buy the period 2 risk free security.9 of the $0.55% Second bank: 1+ Third bank 4.5 Stock [4] D1 = 10(1. For each of these transactions you get $0.27 + = + = 10 + 137.5 = 147.1 Calculate the time 2 value of the stock as a growing perpetuity.02 0.02 = 12.25% The oﬀer from the third bank is preferable.38% When borrowing.1) = 11 D2 = 10(1.1)2 = 12. one wants the lowest possible interest rate. short the risk free security for period 3.34 D3 = = 154.1 4 4 − 1 ≈ 10. which means that the 10.1 1.1 1.1 + 154. To get very rich.043 12 12 − 1 = 4.34 P2 = 12.5 2 1.39% Then ﬁnd the current stock price as the present value: P0 = D1 D2 + P2 11 12.5% interest rate oﬀered by BankThree is dominated by the 10. 5.4 Bank Loans [2] 1. The $1 you get in period 2 can be kept as money and used to cover your obligation in period 3.05 now.1 · 1.1 1. In annual terms. 5. BankTwo is charging 1+ 0. and use $0.2 Borrowing [2] The oﬀers need to be made comparable. D3 = D2 (1.02) = 12.38% interest rate (in annual terms) oﬀered by BankTwo. do a lot of these transactions.27 r−g 0. Note that the price of the risk free security oﬀering $1 in period 3 is higher than the price of the risk free security oﬀering $1 in period 2.

95000 0. the current value of receiving one dollar at time 4 can never be more than the current value of receiving one dollar at time 3. let us formulate this as a linear algebra problem.6 Bonds [6] This is easiest solved using the current prices Pt of securities oﬀering $1 in period t.10 Present Value 5. It lasts for 4 periods. one period more than we have data for. We can therefore use the discount factors P ∗ given by 0 110 10 0 0 110 . If we now consider bond E. Deﬁning C and B: C = 100 10 10 B = 95 90 85 calculate P as: P = inv(C)*B 0.61983 The current value of receiving one dollar at time 3 is thus 0. Since holding money is always an option. which is 0. This can easily be argued by arbitrage arguments.73182 0.61983. An alternative way of making the argument is to say that interest rates can not go below zero. For simplicity. Let the matrix C contain the bond payoﬀs: 100 0 0 0 C = 10 110 10 10 110 and the vector B contain the bond prices: 95 B = 90 85 For a given vector P of prices of zero coupon bonds P1 P = P2 P3 we leave it to the reader to conﬁrm that the bond prices B can be found as: B = CP.61983. It is then a standard linear algebra operation to calculate P as P = C−1 B The actual calculations are below shown as extracts from a matlab-like environment.

and sell a perpetuity that starts running at time (T + 1): Time Perpetuity from t = 1 onwards −Perpetuity from t = T + 1 onwards = Annuity 1 X 0 X ··· T ··· X ··· 0 T +1 X X 0 ··· Value · · · = X · [1] r 1 · · · = X · [ (1+r)T 1 ] r 1 r 1 1 (1+r)T r ··· X ··· = X · − . Hence PV = X1 + (1 + g)P V 1+r Solving for P V PV 1− 1+g 1+r = X1 and simplifying PV = X1 1− (1+g) (1+r) = X1 X1 = (1 + r) − (1 + g) r−g 5. One way to achieve this is to buy a perpetuity that pays X and starts next period. 5. Deﬁning the cash ﬂows of the new bond as C = 10 10 10 110 we ﬁnd the bond’s highest possible value as C*dstar = 91.198 The highest possible price of bond E is 91.7 Growing Perpetuity [8] 1.Present Value 11 Pstar = 0. the present value starting at that date is (1 + g)P V .61983 to ﬁnd the maximal price the bond can have (the upper bound).8 Annuity [6] We ﬁnd the annuity formula the following way: We know that a perpetuity that pays X per period indeﬁnitely has a present value of PV = X r We know that an annuity pays X per period for T periods.73182 0.95000 0.61983 0.198. This is shown the following way: P V = X1 1 (1 + g) (1 + g)2 + + + ··· 1 + r (1 + r)2 (1 + r)3 At time 1.

153 b) Using annuities.64 today at 5% to have 55000 4 years from now.053 + 1. Let C be the amount invested.052 + 1.5256 C = 12. 2.64 (1 + 0.14 − 0.56 0.05 = 55000 C= 55000 4.12 Present Value 5. Let us illustrate two ways of doing this. Solve for X in the following expression: X(1 + 0. Time Perpetuity from 1 onwards −Perpetuity from T+1 onwards Annuity 1 X 0 X ··· T T +1 X X 0 ··· Value ··· X ··· 0 · · · = X · [1] r 1 · · · = X · [ (1+r)T 1 ] r ··· X ··· = X · 1 r − 1 1 (1+r)T r Now we want to adjust this for the fact that the annuity also grows by g each period Time Growing perpetuity from 1 onwards −Growing perpetuity from T + 1 onwards Annuity 5. a) Direct solution.10 Growing Annuity [6] Remember what we did in the case of an annuity which is not growing. .05)4 0 X 0 ··· 0 X(1 + g)T 0 ··· = X · ··· = X · (1+g)T 1 (1+r)T r−g 1 r−g T 1 X 2 ··· T T +1 X(1 + g)T ··· Value X(1 + g) · · · X(1 + g)T −1 1 · · · = X · [ r−g ] X(1 + g) · · · X(1 + g)T −1 − 1 1+r (1+g)T r−g She needs to invest 45248. C 1.05)4 = 55000 X= 55000 = 45248.05 5.9 Stock [2] The stock price should increase to P = 5 = 55.054 + 1.11 Jane [3] 1.

25 = 1174.n=17 + PC = 85Ar=7%.82 1. 153. To exploit this short A and go long B and C.76322 + 316.n=25 + Compared to the correct prices bond A is overpriced and bonds B and C underpriced.6536 + 184.05 and n = 4 years is 3.0717 1000 = 85 · 11.96 1.57 = 1048. 4 A(1 + r) 3.54595 · (1 + 0. (1 + r)4 P V = F V = 55000 = C × A(1 + r)(1 + r)4 C= 55000 55000 = = 12.05)5 5.12 Bonds [3] Let us ﬁrst check that the bonds are correctly priced: With an interest rate of 7% the correct bond prices should be: PA = 1040 = 971.Present Value 13 This can also be calculated using annuities from an annuity table. P V = C × A(1 + r) The (1 + r) is because the investment is at the beginning of the period. The annuity factor A for an interest rate of r = 0.80 1.07 1000 = 75 · 9.54595.0725 PB = 75Ar=7%. .

respectively. 6. and 3. Find the Payback periods for the two projects. Determine the internal rate(s) of return for the project. The project has positive cash ﬂows of 100 in years one and two.78 9. Find the time zero prices.6746% 1. At the end of the life of the project there are large environmental costs resulting in a negative cash ﬂow in year 3 of −95. Bond A B C Year of Maturity 2 2 3 Coupon 10% 20% 8% Yield to Bond Maturity Price 7.5862% 1.000 at maturity. 1.4 Machine [4] A company is considering its options for a machine to use in production. 2. 000 −2. of one dollar to be delivered in years 1.1 Projects [2] Two projects A and B have the following cashﬂows: X0 −4.7995% 995. At a higher cost of 90 they can make some more extensive repairs on their current machine which will make it last for 4 more years.29 7. 043. 220. All three bonds have a face value of 1.3 Bonds [4] You are given the following information about three bonds. 000 X1 2. and 3 year spot rates of interest r1 . Find the 1. The company is facing an interest rate of 10%. The discount rate is 10%. Calculate the Internal Rate of Return on the two projects. 2.5 PI and NPV [2] Show that a project with a positive NPV will always have a proﬁtability index greater than 1. Which project has the higher IRR? 3. . 2.2 Projects [3] A project costs 100 today. Determine the best action. Which project has the shortest payback period? 2. P2 . 500 1. 000 1.14 Capital Budgeting Chapter 6 Capital Budgeting Problems 6. A new machine costs 300 and will last for 8 years. At a cost of 47 they can make some small repairs on their current machine which will make it last for 2 more years. 6. P1 . and P3 . 200 X2 3. 500 A B 1.09 Coupons are paid at the end of the year (including the year of maturity). How would the NPV rule rank these two projects? 6. 6. r2 and r3 .

5 years 1.50. the production rate such that the NPV is zero). Calculate the machine’s accounting break–even point on the new machine (i. Production costs are expected to be 1. The ﬁrm will also need to invest 60 in working capital at year 0. The ﬁrst is to manufacture a medication aimed at relieving headache pain. Payback. For both projects the ﬁrm will use straight–line depreciation. At this time the ﬁrm would be able to sell it for 1 million (in real terms). The machine’s initial cost is 2000. The machinery required to produce the broader remedy would cost 12 million and last three years. The ﬁrm believes that the appropriate discount rate is 13%. 6. Cash costs of production in the ﬁrst year are expected to be 1. and is worth 40 at that time.53 years .53 years. Either strategy would require further investment in plant. For project A it takes 1. believes it can penetrate the pain reliever market. at constant real costs. The machine’s per year ﬁxed cost is 1500. It will have a life of 3 years. 1. The ﬁrm faces a corporate tax rate of 34%. The headache–only pill could be produced using equipment that would cost 10. The second strategy is to make a pill designed to relieve headache and arthritis pain.2 million. and the corporate tax rate is 40%.Capital Budgeting 15 6. and its variable cost is 0. Both products would be introduced at a price of 4 per package in real terms. Internal rate of return Project A: 0= 2500 3000 + − 4000 1 + IRR (1 + IRR)2 Payback 1.7 C&C [4] The C&C company recently installed a new bottling machine. This is twice the sales rate for the headache–only medication. All prices and costs are expected to rise at the general inﬂation rate of 5%. The broader remedy would probably sell 10 million packages a year. It can follow one of two strategies. The selling price per unit is 1.. and it uses a 16% discount rate. and can be depreciated on a straight–line basis to a zero salvage in 5 years.70 in real terms for the more general pill. and have no resale value.e. The appropriate discount rate is 8%. Calculate the machine’s present value break–even point(i. last three years. What pain reliever should the ﬁrm produce? Solutions 6.6 Project [4] A project has a cost of 240.8 PillAdvent [6] After extensive medical and marketing research. PillAdvent Inc. for project B it takes 1.5 years before the initial investment is recouped. Capital gains are taxed at the ordinary corporate tax rate of 34%.e.1 Projects [2] 1.. C&C’s tax rate is 34%. The cost will be depreciated straight–line to a zero salvage value.50 per unit.50 per package in real terms for the headache–only brand. Cash sales will be 200 per year and cash costs will run 100 per year. the production rate such that the accounting proﬁts are zero). 2. Project A B 2. What is the project’s NPV? 6. The production machinery would need to be replaced every three years.

3 Bonds [4] Consider the the cash ﬂows of the bonds Period 1 2 3 100 1100 200 1200 80 80 1080 Bond 1 2 3 and let Bi be the price of bond i.1 (1.2 Projects [3] The following picture shows the NPV as a function of the interest rate. Net present value N P VA = 2500 3 + − 4000 ≈ 752 1.5 1200 + − 2000 ≈ 330 1. + IRR)2 IRR = 21.65% 3.1 (1.1)2 1.32% Project B: 0= 1500 1200 + − 2000 1 + IRR (1. and illustrates the fact that there are two solutions y to the problem of solving 0 = −100 + 100 100 −95 + + 1 + y (1 + y)2 (1 + y)3 10 5 0 -5 NPV-10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -30 -20 -10 0 interest 10 20 30 6.1)2 N P VB = 6.16 Capital Budgeting IRR = 23. .

78 = 0.9091 Then ﬁnd P3 using the third bond price: B3 = 80P1 + 80P2 + 1080P3 995.9091 = r1 = 1 1 + r1 1 − 1 = 9.47% 0.92% 0.9091 + 80 · 0.09 = 80 · 0.8658 + 1080P3 P3 = 0.Capital Budgeting 17 1.7529 . 2 and 3: We use the following system to solve for these: B1 B2 B3 = 100P1 + 1100P2 = 200P1 + 1200P2 = 80P1 + 80P2 + 1080P3 We ﬁrst use the prices of the ﬁrst two bonds: B1 B2 = 100P1 + 1100P2 = 200P1 + 1200P2 Multiply the ﬁrst equation by 2 and subtract the second: 2B1 − B2 = 1000P2 Solve for P2 : P2 = 2 · 1043.8658 = r2 = 1 − 1 = 7.8658 1000 Use this to ﬁnd P1 : B1 = 100P1 + 1100P2 1043. Prices of one dollar to be received at times 1.29 = 100P1 + 1100 · 0.7529 = r3 = 3 1 − 1 = 9. From these we ﬁnd the spot rates of interest P1 = 0.89% 0.29 − 1220.8658 1 1 + r3 3 P3 = 0.7529 2.8658 P1 = 0.9091 1 1 + r2 2 P2 = 0.

475 (1 + 0.18 Capital Budgeting This exercise could alternatively have been solved using matrix algebra.1)2 (1 + 0.^(-1.1)4 The cheapest is the small repairs./t)-1 r = 0. One way to go about it make the alternatives comparably by repeating the projects to make each last 8 years.90910 0.099989 0.1)6 0 1 2 3 90 0 0 0 4 90 N P V = 90 + 90 = 151.78 995.78991 >> r=p. . Small repairs t= Ct = 0 47 2 47 4 47 6 47 N P V = 47 + Larger repairs t Ct = = 47 47 47 + + = 144. 6.471 (1 + 0.09 C = 100 1100 0 200 1200 0 80 80 1080 >> p=inv(C)*B p = 0. An alternative would have been to calculate the equivalent annual annuity of the two alternatives.074710 0.1)4 (1 + 0. as the following excerpts from a matrix environment illustrates B = 1043.5 PI and NPV [2] PI = PV C0 N P V = P V − C0 If N P V > 0 then P V > C0 and hence PV C0 > 1. Then you have two ways of getting the same services from the two alternatives.86580 0.29 1220.4 Machine [4] The two alternatives need to be made comparable some way.081787 6.

5 − 0.5) − 1500 − 0.4) + 240 · 0.08 1.4 = 92 (t = 1. (the tax “rebate” 3 is a nominal cash ﬂow. • Nominal interest rate ≈ (13 + 5)% = 18%.34 x(1.162 1. X1 = X2 = X3 = 1.082 1.5 − 0.34 0 = −2000 + x = 2219 6.165 (x · 0.5) = 0 5 1 1 1 + + 1. 1 1 1 1 1 + + + + 1.083 x = 1900 NPV break even (note use of accounting proﬁts to compute taxes): c0 = −2000 ct = x(1.5 million. 3 : $(4 − 1.6 Project [4] Cash ﬂows c0 = −240 − 60 = −300 ct = (200 − 100)(1 − 0.4) + 60 = 92 + 84 Net present value N P V = −300 + 6.2 million at 34% = 1.66 − 1500 · 0.16 1. so will have to be discounted at a nominal rate.5 million at 34% = 4. 2) 3 c3 = c2 + 40(1 − 0. Headache pain reliever X0 = −10.5) − 1500 − = x · 0. cash inﬂow at t = 1. X1 = X2 = X3 = 8.7 C&C [4] Accounting break-even: − 2000 − 1500 + x(15 − 0.25 million tax “rebate” because of depreciation (straight-line): 10.50) · 5 · 106 = 12.) Summary (in millions) • Real cash ﬂows: X0 = −10.66 + 400 · 0. taxes: 12.34) 2000 5 .8 PillAdvent [6] 1.156 million.66 − 1500 · 0.66 + 400 · 0. 2.2 million.2.156 • Real interest rate=13%.164 1.163 1.25 • Nominal cash ﬂows: X0 = 0.083 92 + 84 =4 1.Capital Budgeting 19 6.

cash inﬂow at t = 1.70) · 10 · 106 = 23 million.2 + 8.r=13% + 1. Summary (in millions) • Real cash ﬂows: X0 = −12.13 1. 3 : $(4 − 1.36 N P V = −12 + 15.36 · 2.156An=3.156 · 2. nominal): 12 million at 34% = 1.84 • Nominal cash ﬂows: X0 = 0. 3 Salvage value: 1 million.2 + 8.82 million tax “rebate” because of depreciation (straight-line) (again.17427 = 27.183 = −10.36 million.84 · 0.18 1 1 + 1.6681 + 15.132 1.7934 million 2.25An=3.20 Capital Budgeting N P V = −10.13 1.25 1 1 1 + + 1. X3 = 15.84 1 1.132 + 15.133 + 1.34 = 15.6931 + 1.17427 = 11.18 1. Broad pain reliever X0 = −12 million.182 1. taxed at 34%.36 1 1 1 + + 2 1.r=18% = −10.36115 + 1. taxes: 23 million at 34% = 7.133 + 1.25 · 2. X1 = X2 = X3 = 1.156 1 1 1 + + 1. 2.18 + 1 − 0.18 1. X1 = X2 = 15.2 + 8.18.183 = −12 + 15.18 · 1.18 1.2575 million Conclusion: go for (b) .

5 has cash ﬂows 100 in year 1. The current expected market return is 10%. 0. What is the expected return of a stock with a beta value of 0. Show that combinations of these two assets map as a straight line in a mean-standard deviation plot. 0.75 and 1. You can invest risk free at a 5% interest rate.8 1&2 [2] A portfolio is made up of 125% of stock 1 and −25% of stock 2.50. The risk free interest rate is 5%.3 Beta [2] Stock A has an expected rate of return of 15%. Do this for correlations between the returns of A and B of −1. . in a mean standard deviation diagram.6 Q [2] Equity in the company Q has an expected return of 12%. 0 and +1. What is the standard deviation for a portfolio with weights 25% in A.Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 21 Chapter 7 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM Problems 7. 500 in year 4 and 100 in year 6.5%. The expected return on the market portfolio is 14%. The other is an asset with expected return E[r1 ] and standard deviation σ1 . Calculate both the variance and the standard deviation of the portfolio. 200 i year 3.1 Portfolio [3] You can choose to invest in two shares.3. What is the beta of stock A? 7. What is the current expected market return? 7. Stock B has an expected return of 15% and a standard deviation of 20%. One is a risk free asset yielding an interest rate of rf .4 and a standard deviation of 20%.0.05. Stock 1 has a standard deviation of 0. What is the highest cost that makes this project worth investing in? 7. expected return and standard deviation for portfolios with weights in A of 0.7 Line [4] You can invest in two assets. What does this tell you about how diversiﬁcation possibilities varies with covariances? 7. Todays expected return on the market portfolio is 10%. The correlation between the two is shares is 0.4 Project [3] A project with a beta of 1. A and B: A B E[r] 12.5? 7. The correlation between the stocks is −0.25. 25% in B and 50% in the risk free asset? 7.5. a beta of 1.5 Portfolio [2] Stock A has an expected return of 10% and a standard deviation of 5%. and stock 2 has a standard deviation of 0. The current risk free interest is 10%.25.5% 16% σ 15% 20% Plot. The current risk free interest rate is 7.2 CAPM [2] The current risk free interest rate is 5%. 0. 7.

this means the following. Which projects would it accept if it uses the opportunity cost of capital for the entire company? 2. its two divisions.15.14 1. 1. If a new project has the same risk as the common stock of the ﬁrm.3.1 0.9 A. what discount rate should the ﬁrm use? (Hint: Betas are “additive.10 EotW [5] Eyes of the World Corporation has traditionally employed a ﬁrm–wide discount rate for capital budgeting purposes. B & C [4] You are given the following information about three stocks Stock A B C The correlation between B and C is 0.13 E1 4M 0.3. while that of debt is 0.22 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 7. what discount rate should the ﬁrm use? 2. where βP is the beta for publishing and βE the beta for entertainment. Now suppose you diversify into two securities. The market premium (expected return in excess of the risk free rate) is 10% and the risk free rate is 6%.11 Misui [4] Misui. If a new project has the same risk as the entire ﬁrm (debt and equity).06 0. The ﬁrm is considering the following capital expenditures: Publishing Entertainment Proposed Initial IRR Proposed Initial IRR Project Investment Project Investment P1 1M 0.1 0. the ﬁrm is really a portfolio of equity and debt.5.2 Standard Deviation 0 0. The risk free rate is 5% and the expected return on the market is 15%.) Expected Return 0. The beta of common stock is 1.375 Solutions 7. As a result. Which projects would it accept if it estimates the cost of capital separately for each division? 7. 7. can any portfolio be eliminated? Assume equal weights. The CAPM holds. That is. where the weights are given by the ratios of E over V and B over V . the beta of the ﬁrm equals the weighted average of the betas of equity and debt.25. The beta for the overall ﬁrm is 1. Given all choices.1 Portfolio [3] Diversiﬁcation possibilities improve when covariance is lower. . However. The value of the ﬁrm (V ) equals the sum of the value of equity (E) and debt (B). respectively.” In the present context. publishing and entertainment.09 E3 5M 0. Inc is a levered ﬁrm with a debt–to–equity ratio of 0.2 1.16 P2 3M 0.121 E2 6M 0. Can any be recommended? 2. have diﬀerent degrees of risk given by βP = 1 and βE = 1.17 P3 2M 0. Suppose you desire to invest in any one of the stocks listed above (singly).

and will map as a line in the mean-standard deviation plot.83.0025 var(rp ) = 0.5% The maximal cost equals the present value of the future cash ﬂow.1 + rf = + 0.0025 var(rB ) = 0.5 = 12.25 · 0.4 var(rp ) = √ 0.3 Beta [2] r = rf + (E[rm ] − rf )β β= 0.4 Project [3] First ﬁnd the required rate of return for the project r = 0.125)4 (1.25 · cov(rA .545 7.2 = 0.252 var(rB ) var(rA ) = 0.05 + (0.6 Q [2] E[r] = rf + (E[rm ] − rf )β E[rm ] = E[r] − rf 0.05 + (0.04 cov(rA .252 var(rA ) + 2 · 0.5% 7.2 CAPM [2] E[r] = rf + (E[rm ] − rf )β = 0.05)0.1 − 0. and its covariance with other assets is also zero. its variance equals zero. rB ) = 0.05)1.075 r − rf = =3 (E[rm ] − rf ) 0.052 = 0.1 = 11.Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 23 7. Since the return on the risk free asset is a constant.05 · 0. E[rp ] = (1 − w)rf + wE[r1 ] = rf + w(E[r1 ] − rf ) σ 2 (rp ) = (1 − w)σ 2 (rf ) + 2(1 − w)wcov(rf . the maximal cost is 590.1 − 0.25 · 0.14 − 0. rB ) + 0.22 = 0.5 Portfolio [2] Let rA be the return on stock A and rB the return on stock B.125 (1.075 7. PV = 200 500 100 100 + + + = 590. and we can calculate the portfolio variance as var = 0.83 1 + 0.0029688 = 0.12 − 0.5 = 9.0029688 σ(rp ) = 7.7 Line [4] Let w be the weight of the risky asset in the portfolio. 7.15 − 0.4% β 1. . r1 ) + w2 σ 2 (r1 ) = (1 − w) · 0 + 2(1 − w)w · 0 + w2 σ 2 (r1 ) = w2 σ 2 (r1 ) σ(rp ) = wσ(r1 ) Both mean and standard deviation are linear functions of w.125)6 Thus.125)3 (1.

3 = 0. β of ﬁrm = 4 1.06 + 0.98. No. so discount rate = 0.13.10 = 0.18 (b) P : E[R] = 0.05 + βP (E[Rm ] − 0.98 · 0. 1 2.3 · 0.06 + 1. 1 − x = −0. β = 1.10 = 0. (c) almost dominates (b). but not quite so. 2.10 = 0.5 · 0.05 + 1.19 (c) rp = 1 1 rB + rC 2 2 E[rp ] = 0.05 + βE (E[Rm ] − 0.10 EotW [5] cost of capital (a) Firmwide E[R] = 0.15 (c) E: E[R] = 0.15 + 5 0. σ(rp ) = 0. σ(rp ) = 0.175.20 Using (a): Accept none Using (b) for division P: accept none Using (c) for division E: accept none 7.10 = 0. there is a well-deﬁned risk(standard deviation) – return trade oﬀ.15 · 0.0 · 0. σ(rp ) = 0.05 + 1.11 Misui [4] 1.24 Valuation Under Uncertainty: The CAPM 7. so discount rate = 0.05 (b) rp = 1 1 rA + rC 2 2 E[rp ] = 0. B & C [4] 1.05) = 0.158. 7.05) = 0.05 + 1.15.20 No dominating choice. 5 .15 σp = 0.8 1&2 [2] X = 1.9 A.25 2 2 2 σp = x2 σ1 + 2x(1 − x)ρσ1 σ2 + (1 − x)2 σ2 = 0.05) = 0.08.15.10 = 0. Consider three equally weighted portfolios (a) rp = 1 1 rA + rB 2 2 E[rp ] = 0.25.05 + βF (E[Rm ] − 0.39 7.

Determine the current risk free interest rate. 8. The risk free interest rate is 5%.43 and 0. ps = I s (1 + r). 2. where r is the one period risk free interest rate. s ps .1 States [4] Two possible states can occur next period. You observe the following securities: Payoﬀ in state A B 10 10 10 6 Security 1 2 Price 5 4 1. 3. If we let A be the matrix of payoﬀs.4 and the risk free interest rate is 10%.2 Probability [6] Let I s be the current price of a digital option that pays 1 if state s occurs.3 Digital Options [3] There are three possible states next period. P = 5 4 .33. What is the current price of a security that pays $ 20 in state A and $ 25 in state B? 8. Determine the prices of digital securities that pays oﬀ in the two states.Valuing Risky Cash Flows 25 Chapter 8 Valuing Risky Cash Flows Problems 8. with prices 0. ps is the time 1 value of investing I s at time 0. If you are told that the state price probability in the u state is 0. and there are two digital options traded.4 Price [2] An asset has two possible values next period. What is the price of a digital option for the third state? 8. sum to one.1 States [4] Note: The solution is shown by excerpts from the calculation as done in a matlab-like environment. A = 10 10 10 6 and P be the current prices of the securities. A or B. what is the value of the asset? Solutions 8. X u = 50 and X d = 500. Show that the sum over all states s.

2 Probability [6] Know that Is = s 1 1+r Multiplying with (1 + r) on both sides: (1 + r) s I s = (1 + r) 1 1+r or I s (1 + r) = s 1+r =1 1+r Replacing I s (1 + r) with ps : ps = 1 s . 0. just multiply q with the payoﬀs > C C = 20 25 > q q = 0.25000 The state price vector is thus (0.26 Valuing Risky Cash Flows 1. To ﬁnd the price of a security that pays C = (20.25000 0.25).250 8.25000 0.5 3. The price Ps of a security that pays 1 in every state is the sum of the state prices: > ps = [1 1]*q ps = 0.50000 The current risk free interest rate r is then Ps = 1 1+r r= 1 1 −1= − 1 = 2 − 1 = 1 = 100% Ps 0. Find the state price vector q as A−1 P : q=inv(A)*P 0.25000 > C*q ans = 11. 2.25. 25).

Valuing Risky Cash Flows 27 8.05 1 1 320 pu X u + pd X d = (0.3 Digital Options [3] Let P ∗ be the unknown price. solve for P ∗ as 1 − 0.4 Price [2] value = 1 1+r equals the sum of the digital options for all states.1 1.43 + 0.91 1+r 1 + 0.05 P∗ = 8.43 − 0.4) · 500) = = 290.1924 1 + 0.33 ≈ 0.1 .4 · 50 + (1 − 0.33 + P ∗ 1 + 0. Since 1 = 0.

Show that it is optimal to exercise this option early. X2 and X3 . r is the risk free interest rate and (T − t) is the time to maturity of the option. Assume X1 < X2 < X3 . How do you make risk free proﬁts given these prices? 9. (T − t) is the time to maturity and St is the current price of the underlying security. written on ZXY stock is 4. The price of the underlying security has fallen to 10 cents.4 Put Upper bound [5] Show that the following is an upper bound for the price of a put option Pt ≤ K (1 + r)(T −t) where Pt is the current put price.3 Options [4] A put is worth $10 and matures in one year. The stock price is $50. The put and call have the same exercise price of $40. The current price of a (risk free) discount bond (zero coupon bond) paying $1 that matures in one year is $0.2 Put Lower Bound [5] Show that the following is an lower bound on a put price Pt ≥ K − St (1 + r)(T −t) where Pt is the current put price. Chapter 9 Introduction to derivatives. The current price of one ZXY stock is 56. 9. where C(X) is the price for an option with exercise price X.1 XYZ Option [2] The current price of an American call option with exercise price 50. All other features of the options are identical. The risk free interest rate is 5%.6 Convexity [8] Consider three European options written on the same underlying security. 9. The options mature on the same date. Problems 9. r is the risk free interest rate.28 Introduction to derivatives. Let ω be a number between 0 and 1 satisfying X2 = ωX1 + (1 − ω)X3 Show that the following inequality must hold to avoid arbitrage (free lunches): C(X2 ) ≤ ωC(X1 ) + (1 − ω)C(X3 ). 9. K is the exercise price. The options have diﬀerent exercise prices X1 . How would you make a lot of money? 9.90. K is the exercise price.5 American Put [4] An American put option with exercise price 50 has a time to maturity of one year. . Both options are European. A call on the same stock is worth $15 and matures in one year also.

9. to avoid arbitrage. a put with a strike of 28 is trading at 1 and a call with strike 29 at 8.2 Put Lower Bound [5] To show this.8 M$ Option [4] American call options written on Microsoft’s common stock are trading for $8. 9. K − ST ) A B Short stock Invest K Total Buy put Strategy B has higher future payoﬀ ST : A: B: ST < K K − ST (> 0) K − ST ST ≥ K K − ST (≤ 0) 0 Therefore the cost of entering into B should be higher. Johnson why she should not exercise. the calls are $4 in the money. Solutions 9. Microsoft does not pay dividends. At present.9 BoA [4] In-the-money American call options written on BoA’s common stock carry a strike price of of $55 and expire in 6 months. She is worried. Find an arbitrage opportunity (free lunch) in these numbers and explain how you would exploit it.7 Options [4] Suppose a share of stock is trading at 30. Ms. −p ≤ S − K 1 (1 + r)(T −t) p≥K 1 −S (1 + r)(T −t) . consider the following strategies. Explain to Ms. Repeat indeﬁnitely. The maturity of both options is 1 period. Payments Time t Time T S −ST 1 K −K (1+r)(T −t) r(T −t) S − Ke K − ST −p max(0. 29 9. Johnson holds an option and wonders whether to exercise it. and expire 6 months from today. The annualized six-month risk free rate is 10%. BoA’s common stock will go “ex” dividend tomorrow.Introduction to derivatives. Hence. its stock price is $104. because she knows that BoA’s stock price will drop tomorrow with $2. The annualized six-month risk free rate is 10%. Is there an arbitrage opportunity (free lunch)? 9. exercise immediately paying 50 to get the stock. Net proceeds −4 − 50 + 56 = 2. making it less likely that her call option will expire in the money. They carry a strike price of $100. The risk free rate is 20%. BoA will pay a $2 dividend. sell the stock for 56.1 XYZ Option [2] Buy the option for 4.

i. 9.11% 0.9 r= S − P V (X) = 50 − 40 = 14 1 + 0. TPut K 1 K (1+r)(T −t) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ST E 9.1111 To make money.3 Options [4] Put call parity is violated.4 Put Upper bound [5] The most you can get at exercise is K (if stock price is zero). since it must be less than or equal 40. The value today is less than the present value of this.30 Introduction to derivatives.e. or 1 (1 + r)(T −t) p≤K . buy sheep and sell deer. C − P = 15 − 10 = 5 S − P V (X) = 50 − P V (40) ≥ 10 No need to calculate PV(40). but can do it using 1 − 1 = 11. go long the relatively cheap strategy of C −P and short the relatively expensive strategy S − P V (X).

1 = 54. t Time: State: S T < X1 X 1 ≤ S T < X 2 Sell C(X2 ) 0 0 Buy −ωC(X1 ) 0 ω(ST − X1 ) −(1 − ω)C(X3 ) 0 0 By entering into this position. immediate arbitrage: Suppose C(X2 ) > ωC(X1 ) + (1 − ω)C(X3 ) Consider the following transactions. If you keep the option.89 one year from now. we are done. which you get if the price of the underlying falls to zero. 31 TPut K 1 K (1+r)(T −t) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1 K (1+r)(T −t) E ST 9. you get 49. the most you can get one year from now is 50. ω(ST − X1 ) > 0 T X 2 ≤ S T < X3 −(ST − X2 ) ω(ST − X1 ) 0 X 3 ≤ ST −(ST − X2 ) ω(ST − X1 ) (1 − ω)(ST − X3 ) . If not. 9.Introduction to derivatives. • Case X1 < ST < X2 : Total payoﬀ is positive. Consider the various outcomes for ST : • Case ST < X1 : Total payoﬀ is zero.5 American Put [4] The payoﬀ from exercising now is 49. It clearly pays to exercise immediately. by the assumption that C(X2 ) > ωC(X1 ) + (1 − ω)C(X3 ) have a positive cashﬂow at time 0: C(X2 ) − (ωC(X1 ) + (1 − ω)C(X3 ))) > 0 If we can show that the total payoﬀ in all of the above states is positive or zero.6 Convexity [8] This is true. If instead you exercise the option and invest the proceeds at the risk free rate.90.90 · 1.

7 1+R 1. P (x) is the value of a put with exercise price x. 9. sell short stock. Then. C(X1 ) < C(X2 ) = P (X2 ) + S − But C(X1 ) = 8! 9. and R the risk free rate. S is the stock price.2 X3 − X2 X3 − X1 (ST − X1 ) 8 ≥ 104 − 100 No arbitrage is violated. substitute for ω in terms of the X’es: X2 = ωX1 + (1 − ω)X3 ω= X3 − X2 X3 − X1 Substitute this above and simplify −(ST − X2 ) + ω(ST − X1 ) = X2 − ST + After some algebra.10. Let C(x) be the value of the call with exercise price x. Arbitrage opportunity. cannot blindly apply put-call parity.32 Introduction to derivatives. using the deﬁnition of ω. positive probability of positive cash ﬂows at time T and zero probability of negative cashﬂows at time T . get this to equal (X1 − X2 )(ST − X3 ) >0 X3 − X1 • Case X3 < ST : Total payoﬀ is zero: −(ST − X2 ) + ω(ST − X1 ) + (1 − ω)(ST − X3 ) = X2 − ST + (ω + (1 − ω))ST + ωX1 + (1 − ω)X3 = X2 − ST + ST + ωX1 + (1 − ω)X3 = X2 + (ωX1 + (1 − ω)X3 ) = 0 The position gives positive cash ﬂow at time zero.8 M$ Option [4] Under absence of arbitrage opportunities.65 1.7 Options [4] Note: Put and call have diﬀerent strike prices. Total payoﬀ: −(ST − X2 ) + ω(ST − X1 ) = X2 − ST + ω(ST − X1 ) First. Exploit by buying a call and investing in K bonds with face value $1. C ≥S−K 1 (1 + r)T −t 1 = 8. if X1 < X2 . .5 28 X2 = 1 + 30 − = 7. This takes a bit of algebra to show. • Case X2 < ST < X3 : Total payoﬀ is positive.

1)0.9 BoA [4] Don’t exercise if dividend D does not compensate for interest cost of strike price. D <K 1− 1 (1 + r)T −t 1 (1 + 0.56.Introduction to derivatives.5 = 2. . 33 9. 2 < 55 1 − OK.

2.35. There are two digital options traded. 4. This option is trading at 0. Price a put option on MLK with exercise price K = 100. The call option with exercise price K = 90 has terminal payoﬀs: .40. The other pays $1 if MLK is at 90 next period.33%. Price a call option on MLK with exercise price K = 100. Solutions 10. Price a call option on MLK with exercise price K = 120.1 MLK [4] The current price of security MLK is 78. This option is trading at 0. Next period the security will either be worth 120 or 90.34 Pricing Derivatives Chapter 10 Pricing Derivatives Problems 10. 3. 1. The risk free interest rate is 33.35 ¨¨ ¨ rr r 0.40 j r 1. Price a put option on MLK with exercise price K = 90. One pays $1 if MLK is at 120 next period.1 MLK [4] Value of MLK B ¨ 120 ¨ ¨¨ ¨¨ r 78 rr r ¨¨ rr r 90 j r Digital option prices ¨ ¨¨ ¨ r rr r B ¨ 0.

and is therefore valued at zero today. 120 − 100) = 20 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ r rr r rr r max(0. The put option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs: B ¨ max(0. its value today is zero. 90 − 100) = 0 j r and value value = 20 · 0.4.35 = 7 4. 90 − 90) = 0 Note that this option never has any future positive payoﬀs. .Pricing Derivatives 35 ¨ ¨ r r ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ B ¨ ¨ max(0. 100 − 90) = 10 It value is calculated by noting that this option is equal to 10 units of the digital options paying oﬀ in the lowest state. This option has a price of 0. K − 120) = max(0. 90 − 120) = 0 r r r r r j r max(0. 100 − 120) = 0 ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ ¨ rr rr rr r j r max(0. value = 10 · 0. The call option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs: B ¨ max(0.4 = 4 3. The ﬁnal call option is never in the money. 2.

Solutions 11. Risky Investments Problems 11. The third pays $1 if MLK is at 90 two periods from now. Price a (two period) call option on MLK with exercise price K = 100.45%.25.50. One pays $1 if MLK is at 120 two periods from now. Two periods from now the security will either be worth 120. This option is trading at 0.36 Pricing of Multiperiod.35. Risky Investments Chapter 11 Pricing of Multiperiod. Price a (two period) put option on MLK with exercise price K = 90.50 r rr r ¨ ¨¨ ¨ B ¨ rr ¨¨ rr ¨ B ¨ 120 ¨¨ ¨ rr ¨¨ r j r B ¨ ¨ 100 rr r ¨¨ j r r rr ¨¨ rr r r 90 j r Digital option prices .1 MLK [5] Value of MLK ¨ ¨¨ ¨89. 2. The one period risk free interest rate is 8. Price a (two period) put option on MLK with exercise price K = 100. Price a (two period) call option on MLK with exercise price K = 120. 100 or 90. 1.25. 3. This option is trading at 0. This option is trading at 0. 4. The second pays $1 if MLK is at 100 two periods from now.1 MLK [5] The current price of security MLK is 89. There are three digital options traded.

25. This option has a price of 0. 90 − 100) = 0 B ¨ ¨¨ r rr j r max(0. The put option with exercise price K = 90 has terminal payoﬀs: B ¨ max(0.35 ¨ r r ¨ r ¨ r j r B ¨ ¨ 0. 100 − 90) = 10 j r It value is calculated by noting that this option is equal to 10 units of the digital options paying oﬀ in the lowest state. K − 120) = max(0.Pricing of Multiperiod.50 . Risky Investments 37 ¨ ¨ r r ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ B ¨ ¨ rr ¨ r ¨ ¨ ¨ B ¨ 0. its value today is zero.25 j r 1. 100 − 120) = 0 ¨ ¨ rr ¨ ¨¨ rr ¨¨ ¨ B ¨ ¨ rr ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨ rr rr ¨ r j r B ¨ ¨ max(0. 90 − 120) = 0 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ rr ¨¨ ¨¨ ¨ B ¨ rr ¨¨ rr ¨ r ¨¨ rr ¨ ¨¨ rr j r ¨¨ rr rr r rr j r max(0. 100 − 100) = 0 rr r ¨¨ j r rr ¨ ¨¨ rr rr r max(0. 90 − 90) = 0 Note that this option never has any future positive payoﬀs. 2. value = 10 · 0. The put option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs: B ¨ max(0.25 r r r r r ¨¨ j r r r ¨ r ¨ r r r r 0.25 = 2.

100 − 100) = 0 r r r r ¨ j r r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r r r r max(0. and is therefore valued at zero today. .38 Pricing of Multiperiod.00 4. 120 − 100) = 20 ¨ ¨ ¨ r r ¨ r ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ B ¨ ¨ rr ¨ r ¨ ¨ ¨ r r ¨ r ¨ r j r B ¨ ¨ max(0. The call option with exercise price K = 100 has terminal payoﬀs: B ¨ max(0. 90 − 100) = 0 j r and value value = 20 · 0.35 = 7. Risky Investments 3. The ﬁnal call option is never in the money.

• Determine the state price probabilities for the two states.1 MOP [4] Given r = 4% u B ¨ S = 90 ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨0 = 50 rS rr rr r r j r S u = 40 S0 = 50 = 1 (pu 90 + (1 − pu )50) 1+r 50(1 + 0.Where To Get State Price Probabilities? 39 Chapter 12 Where To Get State Price Probabilities? Problems 12.04 − 40 = 0. The current price of a stock in company MOP is 50. • Determine the current price for a digital option that pays one dollar when the MOP price is 40 next period.04) = pu (90 − 40) + 40 pu = 50 · 1.24 50 .1 MOP [4] The risk free interest rate is 4%. Solutions 12. Next period the price of MOP stock will either be 40 or 90.

000 + 12. Determine the post–exercise value of a share of equity. The call. 2. What is the mispricing of equity? 3. The market value of the straight bond is 8. Now assume that the market value of debt becomes $9. 500 .000. which one would you prefer? 13. (b) Will you be indiﬀerent between these two alternatives? (c) If not. The warrant is issued by IBM. which decreases the value of each share. Each warrant entitles the holder to 5 shares at $25 per share. plus the proceeds from exercise: V = V + 500 · 25 = 25.000. 2. 13. It is therefore less valuable to exercise a warrant than a (straight) option. From the proceeds of immediate exercise.1 Option/Warrant [2] Warrants are call-options issued by corporations. to reﬂect the increase in the value of the ﬁrm upon warrant exercise (which lowers the probability of bankruptcy). (1) You own a warrant on IBM with maturity 6 months and exercise price 100. 1.000.2 Warrants [6] A ﬁrm has issued 500 shares of stock. The warrants are about to expire and all of them will be exercised. V . That of equity is 15. value the warrant.1 Option/Warrant [2] Consider a warrant and a call option. The market value of the ﬁrm’s assets is 25.40 Warrants Chapter 13 Warrants Problems 13. 500 = 37.2 Warrants [6] 1. The new value of the ﬁrm V . 100 warrants and a straight bond.000. 1. equals the pre-exercise value of the ﬁrm. the call is a pure side-bet on the stock price. Solutions 13. Re–compute the value of the warrants and of equity. (2) You own a call option on IBM with maturity 6 months and exercise price 100. They entitle buyers to purchase newly created stock of the ﬁrm at a given strike price at a certain date. 4. new stock is created. both written on IBM stock. (a) Which of these securities has been issued by IBM? Consider two scenarios. When a warrant is exercised.

4.5. 500 = = 29.5 − 5 × $25 = 142.5 . The warrants generate 5 × $29. s. i. 500 − 9. the per share value is s = 28.e. 3. For that. 000 = 29. Since B changes to B = 9000. the older pays 5 × $25. $125.5 after exercise of the warrants.. E .5 500 + 100 · 5 1. So the warrants value is (147. That is 0. 000 = 28. knowing that the shares will be worth only 29. the new value of equity is E = V − B = 37. the new per-share value.5 − 125 = $17. 000 2. The new value of the warrants is 5 × $28.5 − 125) = 22. The old share value. is 15. is s = E 29. 500 So. 500 Hence. 500 − 8.000/500 = 30.5 per piece. $147.e. B: E = V − B = 37. s .5.. the new value of equity. i.Warrants 41 Using value additivity.50 too much. can be obtained from V and the value of the bonds.

where u = 1. In a binomial setup.95.1 ud [1] The current price of the underlying is 50. 14. i.5 Call Option [5] You bought a call contract three weeks ago. The interest rate on risk-free investments is 6% per period. This price will next period move to uS or dS. what is the price of a call option with exercise price 50? 14. There are two possible prices at the end of the year: $150 or $ 75. The risk free interest rate is 8% per annum. (a) How could you form a portfolio based on the stock and the call so as to achieve a risk-free hedge ? (b) Compute the price of the call.2 Call Option [3] The current price of the underlying is 50. and 3. Hedge [6] A stock’s current price is $100. What is the risk free rate of interest? 14. ﬁnd the constants u and d. 1. The exercise price of the call is 112. Currently. A call option to buy one share at $100 at the end of the year sells for $20. 14.1 or d = 0. If the risk free interest rate is 5%. There are two possible prices that may occur next period: $150 or $175. 2. the price of the underlying stock will be either 120 or 95. Suppose that you are told that 1. At the end of one month it will be either 42 or 38. borrowing $140 is a perfect hedge portfolio. Answer the above two questions if the exercise price was $180. Each call gives you the right to buy 100 shares at the exercise price. a risk free portfolio. You are able to borrow money at 10% per annum.42 The Dynamic Hedge Argument Chapter 14 The Dynamic Hedge Argument Problems 14. buying 2 stocks.6 A [4] The price of stocks in the “A” company is currently 40. the stock sells for 96. The expiry date of the calls is ﬁve weeks from today. writing 3 calls.4 Calls. On that date. What is the value of a one–month European call option with a strike price of $39? . What is the value of your call contract? 14. 2. The two states are equally likely to occur.e. Assume that a (European) call option exists on this stock having on exercise price of $155.3 Call Option [4] A stock’s current price is $160. This price will next period move to either 48 or 60.

). Show that if d < u < (1 + r) an arbitrage opportunity (free lunch) exists. where the constants u and d are used to generate future states S u = uS and S d = dS.The Dynamic Hedge Argument 43 14.50 u B ¨ S = 55 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ S0 = 50 r rr rr r r S d 47.1 · 50 = 55 S d = dS0 = 0. Treasury bills that mature in 6 months yield 5%.95 · 50 = 47.1 ud [1] B ¨ uS0 = 60 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ S0 = 50 r rr rr r r j r dS = 48 0 S u = 60 = uS0 = u50 u= 60 = 1. It is expected that the stock price will be either 25 or 35 in 6 months.96 50 d= 14. Use a state–price probability (for the “up” state) of 0. (p. What is the price of an MC option with strike 32? 2.2 Call Option [3] First we ﬁnd the possible evolution of the price of the underlying S u = uS0 = 1. Is the stock priced correctly? Solutions 14.8 MC [4] MC stock is selling for 30 per share. and where r is the risk free interest rate. 14. 1.7 Arbitrage [8] Consider the the binomial option pricing model.50 j r .5741.a.2 50 48 = 0.

05 − 0.44 The Dynamic Hedge Argument and pu = 1.3 Call Option [4] We have the following payoﬀ next period: u B ¨ S = 175 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ S0 = 160 r rr rr r r S d = 150 j r .75 · 5 + 0.1 − 0.9 pd = 1 − pu = 1 − 0.5 − 50) = 5 C d = max(0.9 = 0.33 r rr rr r ¨¨ B ¨ ¨ r j r Note: The interest rate was originally given as 10% in the ﬁrst edition of the book.33 1+r 1. 55.75 1.05 ¨ ¨¨ ¨ C0 = 3. Can you see why this information would give you problems in solving this question? 14.75 = 0.5 − 50) = 0 u B ¨ C =5 ¨ ¨ rr ¨ ¨¨ ¨¨ rr rr r j r Cd = 0 and then ﬁnd the call value the ﬁrst date C0 = 1 1 pu C u + pd C d = (0.25 First ﬁnd the call payoﬀ at the terminal date: C u = max(0.25 · 0) = 3. 47.

we ﬁnd the parameters of the binomial option pricing model.25 options to create a risk free hedge.784 u−d 1.79 1+r 1 + 0.06 − 0.06 (c) With an exercise price of 180. 0) = 0 Roll back: 1 1 (pu C u + (1 − pu )C d ) = (0.25 u − Cd C 20 − 0 Need to sell 1. the call will never be exercised. 0) = max(175 − 155.09375 − 0. Call option with exercise price 155.9375 Find option payoﬀs pu = C u = max(S u − X. Hedge [6] A perfect hedge implies that total payoﬀs are equal in each state. 175 − 155) = 20 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ C0 =? r r r r ¨ ¨ r r r j r C d = max(0. Start by ﬁnding u and d: S u = uS0 = u160 = 175 S d = dS0 = d160 = 150 Solve for u and d: 175 u= = 1. C0 = 14.09375 160 150 = 0. (b) To price the option. 0) = max(150 − 155.9375 d= 160 Then ﬁnd the state price probabilities: (1 + r) − d 1. u B ¨ ¨ C = max(0.4 Calls.784 · 20) = 14. Cashﬂows are Time: State: Sell 3 calls Buy stock Borrow now 60 −200 140 0 Maturity ST = 75 ST = 150 0 -150 150 300 −140(1 + r) −140(1 + r) 150 − 140(1 + r) .150 − 155) = 0 (a) How to get a risk free hedge by buying m call options? Need payoﬀ in each period to be equal S d + mC d = S u + mC u m= 150 − 175 Sd − Su = = −1.The Dynamic Hedge Argument 45 1. It is worthless.9375 = ≈ 0. 0) = 20 C d = max(S d − X.

6109 = 61.005769 52 1. approximate as r≈ 5 · 0.989 pu = Then ﬁnd terminal payoﬀs C u = max(120 − 112.25 96 95 = 0.989583333333 96 Then ﬁnd pu .6109 1+r 1+r The call on 100 shares is then worth 100 · 0.25 − 0. 0) = 8 C d = max(95 − 112.077 · 8 + 0) = 0. Hence.077 u−d 1.06 = 0. (By no arbitrage). Need to ﬁnd the risk free rate for a 5 week period.09 .005769 − 0. should have a zero payoﬀ in the future. 0) = 0 and calculate option price C0 = 1 1 (pu C u + (1 − pu )C d ) = (0. 150 − 140(1 + r) = 0 140(1 + r) = 150 1+r = 150 140 = 17.46 The Dynamic Hedge Argument Something that costs nothing to establish now.1% r= 150 140 14.5 Call Option [5] Let us ﬁnd the price of a call on one share.989 (1 + r) − d = = 0. u B ¨ S = 120 ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨0 = 96 rS rr rr r r S d = 95 j r Find u and d: u= d= 120 = 1.

and the fact that pu = 0. receiving (1 + r) times the initial investment. Alternatively approximate the one month interest rate as r/12. The other is to invest the same amount in the risk free asset.7 Arbitrage [8] Consider two alternative investments.69 14.433 · 0) = 1. 0)] 1+R 1 .567 · 3 + 0.433 C0 = e−r∆t (qC u + (1 − q)C d ) Cu = 3 Cd = 0 C0 = e−0. The arbitrage opportunity is to short the risky asset and use the proceeds from the short to buy the risk free asset.08· 12 − 0.5741 P =√ 1 E ∗ [max(32 − S.95 = = 0.08 12 (0.8 MC [4] Using the fundamental valuation formula. 1 − pu = 0. no matter what. One is to buy one unit of the risky asset.95 S 40 er∆t − d e0.567 u−d 1. Since (1 + r) > u.The Dynamic Hedge Argument 47 14.95 1 d= pu = Note that this uses continuous discouting. 14.05 S 40 38 Sd = = 0. the risk free payoﬀ is higher than the risky payoﬀ.05 − 0. receiving either u or d times the initial investment.6 A [4] u B ¨ ¨ S = 42 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ S = 40 r r r r r ¨ r r j r S d = 38 r = 8% X = 39 T − t = 1 month u= 42 Su = = 1.

5741)25) = 30.91 1.05 To check that the stock is priced correctly: S0 = 1 (1 + r) 1 2 E ∗ [S] = √ 1 (0.05 The stock is correctly priced. .48 The Dynamic Hedge Argument where S is the stock price next period. ﬁnd P =√ 1 (0.00 1.5741 · 35 + (1 − 0.5741)(32 − 25)) = 2.5741 · 0 + (1 − 0.

2.2 Call [3] The current price of the underlying is 50. The annual risk free interest rate is 20%. expiry is 12 months from now). If you do not have any choice after 6 months. If the per period risk free interest rate is 5%. If C0 is the fair price for this “compound option.5 or down by a factor d = 1/u. This price will two periods from now move to either 121. (You have an option on an option. This price will each period move to uS or dS.” Solutions 15. what is then the value of the contract? 15.Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model 49 Chapter 15 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model Problems 15. Calculate the price of this “compound option.1 ud [2] The current price of the underlying is 100.1 or d = 0.) The per period interest rate is 5%. Find the constants u and d by which prices move each period. Each period the stock price either moves up by a factor u = 1. where u = 1.e. what is the price of a two period call option with exercise price 50? 15. The stock price is expected to either go up by 25% or down by 20% each six months.” ﬁnd C0 . and costs $1. you have to buy the option. The compound option gives you the right to at time 1 choose to receive one of the following two options: • A call option on HS with exercise price 100 and expiring in period 2.1 ud [2] S0 = 100 uuS0 = S uu . 99 or 81. Consider the following “compound option” written on HS: You buy the option at time 0. You pay C0 now for the following opportunity: In month 6 you can choose whether or not to buy a call option on HAL computers with 6 months maturity (i. This option has an exercise price of $9000. • A put option on HS with exercise price 100 and expiring in period 2.500. (HS is in a highly variable industry.) 1.3 HAL [6] You are interested in the computer company HAL computers.4 HS [4] The current price of a stock in the “Hello Sailor” entertainment company (HS) is $100. Its stock is currently priced at 9000. Your broker now calls you with an interesting oﬀer.95. 15.

50

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

**uu100 = 121 u= 121 = 1.1 100 81 = 0.9 100
**

uu B ¨ S = 121 ¨

d=

¨ ¨ u B ¨ S = uS0 = 110 ¨ rr ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r j r ud ¨S0 = 100 r B ¨ ¨ S = 99 rr ¨¨ rr ¨¨ r r ¨¨ = 90 j r Sd r rr rr r r S dd = 81 j r 15.2 Call [3] First we ﬁnd the possible evolution of the price of the underlying S u = uS0 = 1.1 · 50 = 55 S d = dS0 = 0.95 · 50 = 47.50

uu B ¨ S = 55 · 1.1 = 60.5 ¨¨ ¨

¨

¨

¨

¨

¨ ¨S0 = 50 r rr r

¨ ¨¨ ¨S u = 55 B ¨ ¨ rr rr ¨¨ ¨ rr ¨

rr

¨¨ r ¨¨ j r S d = 47.50 r rr rr r

r j r ud B ¨ ¨ S = 55 · 0.95 = 52.25 ¨¨

r S dd = 47.5 · 0.95 = 45.125 j r

and pu = 1.05 − 0.9 = 0.75 1.1 − 0.9

pd = 1 − pu = 1 − 0.75 = 0.25 First ﬁnd the call payoﬀ at the terminal date: C uu = max(0, 60.5 − 50) = 10.5

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

51

**C ud = max(0, 52.2 − 50) = 2.25 C dd = max(0, 45.125 − 50) = 0
**

uu B ¨ C = 10.5 ¨

¨ ¨ r r

¨ r

¨

¨

¨

¨ ¨ B ¨ ¨ rr

¨ r

¨

¨

¨

r

r ¨

r ¨

r j r ud B ¨ ¨ C = 2.25

r

r

r

r ¨¨ j r r rr

¨

¨

rr

r

r C dd = 0 j r

And then “roll back” by ﬁrst ﬁnding the two possible call values in the ﬁrst period Cu = Cd = 1 1 pu C uu + pd C ud = (0.75 · 10.5 + 0.25 · 2.25) = 8.04 1+r 1.05 1 1 pu C du + pd C dd = (0.75 · 2.25 + 0.25 · 0) = 1.61 1+r 1.05

u B ¨ C = 8.04 ¨ ¨

¨ rr

¨ ¨¨

¨

rr

r

rr j r C d = 1.61

before ﬁnding the call value the ﬁrst date C0 = 1 1 pu C u + pd C d = (0.75 · 8.04 + 0.25 · 1.61) = 6.13 1+r 1.05

¨ ¨¨ ¨ C0 = 6.13 r rr rr r

¨¨

B ¨ ¨

r j r

Note: The interest rate was originally given as 10% in the ﬁrst edition of the book. Can you see why this information would give you problems in solving this question?

52

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

15.3 HAL [6] Stock price movement, u = 1.25, d = 0.80. B ¨ Suu = 14062.50 ¨

¨ ¨ B ¨ S ¨ rru = 11250 ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r j r ¨S = 9000 r B ¨ ¨ Sud = 9000 r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r ¨ r r ¨¨ j r Sd = 7200 r r rr rr r S = 5760 j r dd Start by calculating the value of an option at time 1, with exercise price 9000. pu = er∆t − d e0.2· 12 − 0.8 = ≈ 0.678 u−d 1.25 − 0.8

6

¨

¨

¨

¨

1 − pu = 0.322 Note that this uses continuous discouting. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate. Cu = e−r∆t (pu Cuu + (1 − pu )Cud ) = e−0.2·0.5 (0.678 · 5062.50 + 0.322 · 0) = 3, 105.74 Cd = 0 You are now oﬀered to pay C0 for the ability to choose to pay $1,500 in month 6 for this option. This can be analyzed on a tree. Clearly, you will not pay 1,500 in the down state, but will pay it in the up-state. B ¨ 3, 105.74 − 1, 500 = 1605.74 ¨¨

¨ ¨¨ ¨ C0 =? rr rr

¨

r

rr j r 0

Calculate the value the usual way C0 = e−r∆t (pu · 1605.74 + (1 − pu ) · 0) = e−0.2·0.5 (0.678 · 1605.74 + 0) = 985.08 This is the current value of the “option on an option.” For the second part of the question, if you do not have any choice, this is the picture

Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model

53

¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ C0 =? r r r r

¨

¨

B ¨ ¨ 3, 105.74 − 1, 500 = 1605.74

r

r

r j r −1500

C0

= e−r∆t (pu · 1605.74 + (1 − pu ) · (−1500)) = e−0.2·0.5 (0.678 · 1605.74 + 0.322 · (−1500)) = 548.05

15.4 HS [4] Consider the possible evolution of the underlying stock. B ¨ 225 ¨¨ ¨

¨ ¨¨ ¨100 r rr r

¨¨ ¨¨ B r ¨ r150 ¨¨ rr ¨

rr ¨¨

r j r B ¨ ¨ 100

rr

r ¨66.66 j r r rr

¨ ¨¨

rr

r

r 44.44 j r

Clearly one would at time 1 want to hold a call option when in the up state and a put option in the down state. The terminal payments for the “compound option” is thus B ¨ 125 ¨¨ ¨

¨¨ r? r

¨¨

¨

¨¨ B ¨ ? ¨ rr ¨

¨¨ rr

rr ¨¨

r j r B ¨ ¨ 0

rr

rr

r ¨¨ j r ? rr

¨¨ rr

rr

r 55.55 j r

To ﬁnd the current value of this, just use the usual backward induction. pu = e0.05 − 0.66667 er − d = ≈ 0.46 u−d 1.5 − 0.66667

46 · 0 + 0.53 r rr rr r r j r P =0 B ¨ ud ¨¨ ¨ r P = 55.55 j r dd .59 B ¨ Puu = 125 ¨ ¨¨ = 38.53 P0 = e−0.54 · 28.05 (0.46 · 54.54 Multiple Periods in the Binomial Option Pricing Model Note that this uses continuous discouting.70 + 0.46 · 125 + 0.05 (0.54 · 0) ≈ 54. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate.59 rP0 rr rr r ¨ B r ¨ rPu = 54. 1 − pu = 0.70 Pd = e−0.53) ≈ 38.05 (0.55) ≈ 28.54 Let P be the value of the “compound option” Pu = e−0.70 ¨¨ rr ¨¨ rr ¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨¨ r ¨¨ j r Pd = 28.54 · 55.

under which terms will bondholders ﬁnance project A? . Who beneﬁts from the covenants in bond contracts when the ﬁrm is in ﬁnancial trouble? Why? 2. The remainder is collected through an equity issue.2 1. If the bondholders expect management to pick projects in the interest of shareholders.4 Projects [7] A start-up company considers two investment projects that require a $90 investment. Assume management randomly picks a project. Determine the current value of the bond. Assume now that the debt and equity issues to ﬁnance project A have been completed. because both projects have a zero NPV. (Management should not have any particular preference. 3. the value of the project is $90). What is the loss in value to the debtholders? Would the equityholders applaud this move? 4.5 with probability 0. instead.) How much money will the company raise from the debt issue? How much equity will be raised? Assume that the risk free interest rate equals 5%.2 Bond Covenants [3] In one or two sentences. due next period. but. The risk free interest rate is 10% and the current value of equity in Q is 40.An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 55 Chapter 16 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds Problems 16. This project is the only assets that Q corporation have. Part of the necessary funds are to be acquired through a zero-coupon debt issue. with face value of $85. goes ahead with project B. and decides to choose Project A. 16.1 Conversion [1] Why does conversion of convertible bonds not aﬀect the value of the ﬁrm? 16. Now the management turns around and does not implement project A. Both are zero NPV projects (hence. 1. Q has issued a bond with face value of 50. The speciﬁcs of the two projects are • Project A: Final value = • Project B: Final value = 150 40 with probability 0.8 with probability 0.3 [3] The Q corporation will next period realize a project that will have value either 100 or 20. answer the following.5 110 80 with probability 0. Who beneﬁts from the covenants in bond contracts when the ﬁrm is issuing debt? Why? 16. Which project has the highest expected return? 2. Only one project can be implemented.

Value of equity in the various states. The ﬁrm has 10 shares of equity and 100 convertible bonds with a face value of 10 each.7 AoB [4] AOB. V .5 Convertible [6] Suppose the ﬁrms end of period value will be: Value = 1500 800 with probability 0. The bond is due tomorrow. 16.6 Yazee [4] Yazee is valued at V = 100. The conversion ratio is 1:1. One bond can be converted into one share. it only changes the distribution of claims between the owners.1 40 = .4 Today’s ﬁrm value is 1000. These beneﬁt the stockholders by allowing them to borrow from the bondholders at a reduced interest rate. has issued 2 shares of common stock and 1 convertible bond. will be either 150 or 50. Value the bond. 2. The covenants protect bondholders from managers acting in behalf of shareholders and undertaking ineﬃcient investment proﬁciencies during the time of ﬁnancial distress. The risk free rate is 5%. will be either 150 or 50. Inc. Is the bond mispriced? The risk free rate is 10%.3 [3] Can use the equity to determine implied probabilities.1 Conversion [1] There are no cash ﬂow consequences for the ﬁrm. Tomorrows value. 16. The risk free rate is 10%. 16. with equal chance.. Tomorrow’s value V . to be paid tomorrow. 100 − 50) = 50 ¨ ¨¨ r 40 rr r ¨ ¨¨ rr r j r max(0. 16. with equal chance. Yazee has issued a corporate bond with face value 100 and no coupon. Solutions 16.2 Bond Covenants [3] 1. The bonds presently give a 15% yield. AOB is valued at V = 100. The bond has a face value of $30 and carries a coupon of 10%. The bond pays no coupon.56 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 16. Compute the value of the convertible bond and of the equity. 20 − 50) = 0 40 = 1 (pu 50 + (1 − pu )0) 1+r 1 u p 50 1. B ¨ ¨ max(0.6 with probability 0.

Because the company changes projects.5 − 1 = 6% 90 90 Project A has the higher expected return. With an interest rate of 5%. the state price probabilities also change. the value of the ﬁrm) = $90 for a payoﬀ pattern with X u = $110 and X d = $80.496. 100) = 50 ¨ ¨ ¨ B0 r r r ¨ ¨ ¨ r r r r j r min(50.05 The value of equity (and the amount raised from the equity issue) is: E = V − B = 90 − 78 = 12 3.5 110 80 + 0. 1 + 0. this means that the state-price probability pu solves: 90 = 1 (pu 110 + (1 − pu )80) . 1 + 0. 2. is D= 1 1 (pu 85 + (1 − pu )80) = (0. 20) = 20 B0 = 1 (pu 50 + (1 − pu )20) = 42. pu = 0. Apparently.05 Hence.05 1 + 0.517 · 80) = 78 1 + 0.4 Projects [7] 1. The expected returns are E[rA ] = 0.1 = 0. and hence the money raised from the debt issue.504 · 40) = 59 1 + 0.05 .2 − 1 = 16% 90 90 40 150 + 0.483 · 85 + 0.An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 57 pu = 40 · 1.05 Hence pu = 0.18 1 + 0. Now pu solves: 90 = 1 (pu 150 + (1 − pu )40) .496 · 85 + 0. The value of the debt decreases to D= 1 1 (pu 85 + (1 − pu )40) = (0.1 16.88 50 Then this pu is used to determine the bond value Bond payoﬀs: B ¨ ¨ min(50.8 E[rB ] = 0. the market charges P (= V .483.05 1 + 0. The value of debt.

bondholders lament.1 pu = 0.96. 1+r 1.64 + 0. conﬁrming value additivity: B + E = 954 + 46 = 1.15 = 86.64 each. 000 16. Applying our formula to value the convertible bonds (100 of them). 500.77 1.4 · 150) = 72.58 An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds Equity.357 · 13.64 + (1 − 0. .64 + (1 − pu )0) = 100 (0.1 1.05 D and E add up to the value of the ﬁrm. pu = 0.64 in the “up state” u. When V = $1.1 The bond is mispriced.64 + (1 − pu )8) = 100 (0. the convertible bond is a security that pays $13. the shares are worth $0.6 · 100 + 0.357)8) = $954 1+r 1. State price probabilities solves 100 = 1 u (p 150 + (1 − pu )50) 1. The new capital structure will be: 110 shares of equity valued at $1.357 · 13. In contrast. the ﬁrm bankrupts. Since the conversion price is $10. So. and the bonds $8 (=800/100). a share of equity is worth $50 and an unconverted bond $10. Let V denote the end-of-period ﬁrm value. Bondholders obviously don’t convert. 4. Given the answer to the last question. 16. we obtain: B = 100 1 1 (pu 13. bondholders obviously decide to convert.5 Convertible [6] 1. bondholders will not believe that project A will be carried out as proposed. in contrast.6 Yazee [4] 100 Price of Bond B = 1. We have two cases. Hence. and $8 in the “down state” d.643 · 0) = $46 1+r 1.6 Hence B should be B= 1 u 1 (p 100 + (1 − pu )150) = (0.500/100 = $13.05 We can do the same for equity (10 shares) E = 10 1 1 (pu 13. and only accept terms for project B.05 Hence. surges to E = V − B = 90 − 59 = 31 Shareholders cheer. We can get the state-price probability pu from our standard pricing formula and from the fact that the value of the ﬁrm equals $1000: 1000 = 1 1 E ∗ [V ] = (pu 1500 + (1 − pu )800). when V = $800.357.

1 .6 1 u (p 150 + (1 − pu )50) 1.28 1.1 1.An Application: Pricing Corporate Bonds 59 16.7 AoB [4] Value of bond Action State Convert Don’t convert V = 150 150 = 50 33 3 50 = 16.7 33 V = 50 3 The optimal action is to convert when V = 150 and not when V = 50. The bond is worth B = risk free bond + option = The probability pu is found from 100 = V = pu = 0.1 1 1 u 33 + (p (50 − 33) + (1 − pu )0) = 39.

4 LRC [3] You invest $100. After the repurchase the stock. Assume both ﬁrms pay out all excess cash in the form of dividends. Next period’s cash ﬂows for each ﬁrm are $100. The same required rate of return on their debt equals 10%. 1.60 Are capital structure decisions relevant? Chapter 17 Are capital structure decisions relevant? Problems 17. or other market imperfections) 4. yielding 6%. The equity of ﬁrm is worth $2 million. is an all-equity ﬁrm famous for its antique furniture business. Suppose the value of ﬁrm Z is greater than ﬁrm Y.000 from a friend at a cost of 10%.5 OFC [5] Old Fashion Corp. JB pays no taxes.3 JB [4] JB Manufacturing is currently an all-equity ﬁrm. suppose there is a corporate tax rate of 40%. what will the overall cost of capital be? 2.000 in the Liana Rope Company. If the ﬁrm uses 36% leverage through issuance of long–term debt. Inc is ﬁnanced entirely by common stock which is priced according to a 15% expected return. 2. you borrowed $75. That is. tell us whether the value of assets and equity change as a result of the changes in ROEs. You expect your equity investment to return 20%. What would your return be if you did not use leverage? 17. If the company re-purchases 25% of the common stock and substitutes an equal value of debt. (Assume debt is perpetual) 1. and 40% chance that the ROE will be 20%. Explain whether the ﬁrm should change its capital structure if the forecast of the CFO changes to 30%.000 in debt and use the proceeds to repurchase equity. The cost of debt is 10%. What cash ﬂow will you get in the future? What combination of other assets will give you the same cash ﬂow? 3. How can you become very rich? (You may assume no transactions costs.1 Debt/Equity [7] Firm Z and Y have identical cash ﬂows. what will the cost of equity be? 17. (Use Dz for the value of ﬁrm Z’s debt). There are no taxes. the CFO predicts that there is a 20% chance that the ROE(Return on Equity) will be 10%.2 Frisky [4] Frisky. JB plans to issue $400. What cash ﬂows go to the debt and equity holders of both ﬁrms? Assume no corporate taxes. Now. What should the value of each ﬁrm be? 17. 50% and 20% chances respective for the three ROE possibilities. . what is the expected return on the common stock after the re-ﬁnancing? 17. You own 10% of ﬁrm Z’s stock. After the repurchase. Firm Z is 40% debt ﬁnanced and 60% equity ﬁnanced. The ﬁrm is tax-exempt. 40% chance that the ROE will be 15%. The cost of that equity is 18%. while ﬁrm Y is 100% equity ﬁnanced. To make the investment.

Cash ﬂow Debt payment Equity payment 2.10 · DZ ) Alternative assets to replicate these cash ﬂows: Buy 10% of Y Borrow 10% of DZ at 10% rate Net 0. Often this is considered a good estimate of cash ﬂows before interest and tax payments.1 · (0. Assume that the investors in these ﬁrms are risk-neutral and that they discount the ﬁrms’ cash ﬂows at 15%. Duane.1 · DZ ) Firm Z 100 0. each ﬁrm will have EBIT of 0.1 · (100 − 0.7 Negative NPV? [3] Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Explain your answer. Inc. VanSant’s debt obligation required the ﬁrm to make 750.000 in payments.Are capital structure decisions relevant? 61 17. 3. therefore. 1. If a recession occurs. Because Matta carries more debt. Is Duane correct? 2.10 · DZ ) 0. because VanSant has less debt and. each ﬁrm will have EBIT of 2 million. that his ﬁrm has a higher value than Matta. are identical ﬁrms except that Matta. We then recognise an arbitrage opportunity. Inc. Deb.10DZ 100 − .6 V&M [5] Note: In the question you are asked to assume risk neutrality.10DZ Firm Y 100 − 100 3. The companies’ economists agree that the probability of a recession next year is 20% and the probability of a continuation of the current expansion is 80%. Future cash ﬂows: 0.1 Debt/Equity [7] 1. Also assume there are no taxes. A ﬁrm’s stockholders would never want the ﬁrm to invest in projects with negative NPV. Cash ﬂows. This means that the state price probabilities are not colored by risk aversion (fear) so they are equal to the estimated probabilities in the question. If the expansion continues.8 million. Assume a one–period example. Inc. its debt payment obligations are 1 million.10 · (100 − 0. Time: Buy Y Short Z BorrowDZ Net Cashf lows Now Next period −VY 100 VZ − DZ −(100 − 0. VanSant Corporation and Matta. is more levered than VanSant. Solutions 17. What might cause the ﬁrms to be valued diﬀerently? 17.. less bankruptcy risk.10 · 100 −0.1DZ −VY + VZ > 0 0 . the president of VanSant.. commented to Matta’s president. Using the data of the two ﬁrms. prove your answer.1DZ ) DZ −0. Note: EBIT is short for Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.

the cost of equity capital (18%) is the same as the cost of capital for the ﬁrm. The would be the return on investment if it were totally ﬁnanced by equity.08 400 1.15 + (0. 17.18 − 0. 1.500. Duane is wrong.18 + 0.75 for Van Sant. the investment returns in total $12.6VZ + 0. 600 0. .4DZ . which is 12. to 0.60 · VY .15 − 0. Hence. Both ﬁrms have the same cash ﬂows from assets. the same ﬁrm value.18 + (0.10) 0. and hence.06) 17.000(=20% of 25. the loan requires $7. the cost of capital for the ﬁrm is not aﬀected by the debt-equity mix. Hence. Let VY . and DM = 1 for Matta.6VY + 0. This is M&M irrelevance. Debt has a face value of DV = 0.2 Frisky [4] r = r∗ + (r∗ − rD ) D E 1 = 18% 3 r = 0.4DZ = 0.10) 0. To ﬁnd equity capital.62 Are capital structure decisions relevant? 4. next year’s value of either ﬁrm.4 LRC [3] The equity returns $5.5 OFC [5] There are no changes to the cash ﬂows from the assets of the ﬁrm if the capital structure is changed. its value is adjusted for the tax shelter of debt: Firm Z goes to 0.000). 000 − 400 0. 17.18 + (0.8 in the “down” state. For ﬁrm Z.8. 17. is $2 (in millions) in the “up” state or $0. The risk free rate equals 15%. 2. The new estimates will change the relative value of debt and equity. The cost of capital thus remains the same. When the ﬁrm is an all-equity ﬁrm. its value goes down by 40%.02 = 20%.000. When the ﬁrm does not pay taxes.500 (=10% of $75.000). New ﬁrm values after tax of 40%. 18%. 17.18 − 0. the state-price probability for the “up” state is 0. the value of the ﬁrm does not change. but shareholders will be no better oﬀ if the ﬁrm raises more debt or retires some debt. Since Y has no debt.18 + 0. VZ be the no tax values of Y and Z.5% on $100.3 JB [4] 1. use rE = r∗ + (r∗ − rD ) = = = = D E D E 400 2.6 V&M [5] V .

8) = 1. This may even be a negative NPV project.75). its value is not aﬀected by the presence of A. Suppose there are bankruptcy costs of A = 0. down to VM = 1 (0.7 Negative NPV? [3] If bonds are in place (the ﬁrm has collected the money).15 3.8 · 2 + 0.2 · 0. on the other hand. Covenants.8) = 1. towards a more volatile one. it has 0.51 1. then shareholders may have the incentive to change projects. is the same VM = 1 (0. is VV = 1 (0.8 − 0.15 The value of Matta.53 1. changes value. Matta.53 1.15 17. The value of Van Sant.8 · 2 + 0.1)) = 1. warrants and conversion rights attached to the bonds will keep shareholders from doing so.Are capital structure decisions relevant? 63 2. V M . V V . Since VanSant never defaults (in the down state.1.2 · 0.2 · (0.8 to cover a debt of 0.8 · 2 + 0. .

Assume there is no change in the cost of ﬁnancial distress for the ﬁrm.000. Assume risk neutrality and an annual discount rate of 12% for both the stock and the bond.3 Bond Issue [4] An ﬁrm that is currently all–equity is subject to a 30% corporate tax rate.93 million. Individual investors are paying 20% tax on capital gains and dividends.64 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? Chapter 18 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? Problems 18. what is the new market value of the equity of the ﬁrm? 18. The company’s cost of capital is 15%. and 25% tax on interest income. It will remain in business for one more year. The estimated probability of boom year is 60% and that of recession is 40%. what is the new value of the ﬁrm after the bond issue? 18. It is projected that Good Time will have total cash ﬂows of $250 million in a boom year and $100 million in a recession. Good Time Co.4 LMN [3] LMN is currently all equity ﬁnanced. LMN is planning to issue bonds with a value of 4 million and a 10% coupon. If the total value of bond outstanding for Good Time is $108. 2.2 GTC [5] Note: In the question you are asked to assume risk neutrality. Assume a one-period model.000 shares outstanding. Use the MM propositions to: 1. Calculate the after–tax weighed average cost of capital for each. This means that the state price probabilities are not colored by risk aversion (fear) so they are equal to the estimated probabilities in the question. is a regional chain department store. The company is paying taxes with 28%. The cost of debt capital in this situation is 10%. What is the value of the bond issue for the company? . Suppose the ﬁrm issues $1 million of bonds at 10% and uses the proceeds to repurchase common stock. The ﬁrm is facing a tax rate of 40%. Its required debt payment is $150 million per annum. 3.1 Leverage [6] A ﬁrm has expected net operating income (X) of $600. According to MM.5 Bond [3] A company is issuing a 3 year bond with a face value of 25 million and a coupon of 10%. 1. What is the total value of the ﬁrm? 4. The ﬁrm’s initial market value is $3. In a Miller equilibrium. Its value as an unlevered ﬁrm (VU ) is $2. but the weighted average cost of capital lower? 18. Suppose the ﬁrm changes it ratio of debt to equity ratio to equal 1. The equity of the ﬁrm is worth 7 million. what is the expected bankruptcy cost in the case of recession? 3. The ﬁrm’s equityholders require a 20% return.500. What is the total stock value of the ﬁrm? 2. Why is the cost of equity capital higher for the levered ﬁrm. and it has 175. LMN is paying 30% corporate tax. Calculate the after–tax cost of equity capital for both the levered and the unlevered ﬁrm.000. What is the promised return on the bond? 18.

18 − 0. 000 For the unlevered ﬁrm. 18. rE = r∗ + (r∗ − rD )(1 − τ ) = = D E 0.Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 65 18. 1.com [4] Infty. The corporate tax rate is 50%. Value the ﬁrm if it is all–equity 2. and C(B) is the present value of the costs of ﬁnancial distress for the ﬁrm as a function of its debt level. B is the debt level of the ﬁrm. τB is the personal tax rate of the marginal bondholder.18 + (0. The risk free rate is 10%. rE = r∗ = 18%. .8%.4) · 1 22. Use this to ﬁnd the value of the levered ﬁrm. what do Modigliani and Miller assume about τC . Assume that IBM is certain to be able to use its interest deductions to reduce its corporate tax bill.6 Tax Shield Value [5] The general expression for the value of a leveraged ﬁrm in a world in which τS = 0 is VL = VU + 1 − (1 − τC ) 1 − τB B − C(B) where VU is the value of an unlevered ﬁrm.com will generate forever a before–tax cash ﬂow of $15.1 Leverage [6] 1. In their model that includes corporate taxes. The value of the unlevered ﬁrm is VU = after-tax income r∗ after-tax income VU → r∗ = r∗ = 600(1 − 0. and the costs of ﬁnancial distress are zero. τC is the eﬀective corporate tax rate for the ﬁrm. What would the change in the value of IBM be if the company issued $1 billion in debt and used the proceeds to repurchase equity? Assume that the personal tax rate on bond income is 20%.4) X(1 − τ ) = = 18% VU 2. Value the ﬁrm if it issues a perpetual bond with coupon $5. τB and C(B)? What do these assumptions imply about a ﬁrm’s optimal debt–equity ratio? 3. 1. Solutions 18. this is also the cost of equity capital. We are given the (before-tax) operating income X.10)(1 − 0.7 Infty. τB and C(B)? What do these assumptions imply about a ﬁrm’s optimal debt–equity ratio? 2. what do Modigliani and Miller assume about τC . (Note: C(B) encompasses all non-tax-related eﬀects of leverage on the ﬁrm’s value.) Assume all investors are risk neutral. In their no-tax model. Let us use the data for the unlevered ﬁrm to ﬁnd r∗ . the corporate tax rate is 34%.

equals BC = B nocost − B = 116 − 109 = 7 3.5 million. Calculate weighted costs of capital of two alternatives: W ACCU = 18% W ACCL = 1 1 1 1 rE + (1 − τ )rD = 0.228 + (1 − 0. equals V = E + B = 54 + 109 = 163 4.4 · 100) = 116 1. the value of equity E equals E= 1 1 E ∗ [max(V − D. and the value of equity is 2.66 Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 2. The promised return. to 2. 18. The repurchase of $1 million decreases the value of equity by $1 million. If the bonds are perpetual.10 = 14. 0)] = (0.4)0. Debt has a face value of D = 150. BC. By our valuation formula V = 1 1 E ∗ [V ] = (0.e.800.12 Since the bonds are actually selling for B = 190 (rounded).6 · 150 + 0.3 Bond Issue [4] Currently.500 million. from the value of the ﬁrm. But this does not account for the tax shield of the new bond issue.6 · 250 + 0.4% 2 2 2 2 3.6 · 150 + 0.12 Hence A = 18.6.4 · 0) = 54 1+r 1. . The risk free rate equals 12%. Without bankruptcy costs.000 = 2. the value of the ﬁrm increases by 1 million ×τ . i. Using value additivity. the value of the ﬁrm.5 mill + 300. the value of the ﬁrm is $3. The equity is riskier.4 · (100 − A)) = 163 1+r 1. the same as the value of equity. the value of the bankruptcy cost. would have been: B nocost = 1 (0. 18. y. the yield. V . V . the value of debt B nocost . The lower W ACC reﬂects the tax savings from the leverage..000. The state-price probability for the “up” state is 0. A.6. Using our formula. hence the return on equity for the levered ﬁrm is higher. equals y= 150 − 1 = 38% 109 Note: one can infer the actual bankruptcy costs upon default. In this case τ = 30%.12 2.2 GTC [5] 1. Thus the tax shield is 300.000. is $250 (in millions) in the “up” state or $100 minus (as yet unknown) bankruptcy costs in the “down” state. where τ is the tax rate. next year’s value of the ﬁrm.

1 5 = 100 0. 2. τc is nonzero. Let VU stand for the original ﬁrm value.25 1 − 0.425(billion) 1 − τB 1 − 0.1 1 − (1 − 0.4 LMN [3] The value without “leverage” is VU = 7 mill The tax advantage of issuing 10 mill worth of debt.5 .2) = 0. τB = C(B) = 0. 18.740.7 Infty. It is optimal to issue 100% debt. and VL the ﬁrm value after the increase in debt.800 18.Maybe capital structure aﬀects ﬁrm value after all? 67 18.2 VL = 75 + 0.5 = 75 0. τC = τB = C(B) = 0.5 Bond [3] 1.com [4] VU = 15 · 0.25 · D = 1 mill. Given rD = 10% τC = 30% τP D = 25% τP E = 20% With everybody taxable.6 Tax Shield Value [5] 1.34) 1 − (1 − τC ) B= 1 = $0. 3. VL − VU = 18. There is no optimal debt-equity ratio.25 The tax advantage of debt is 0.3)(1 − 0. ﬁnd the value with leverage by multiplying D with 1− (1 − τC )(1 − τP E ) (1 − τP D 1− (1 − 0.

1 Project [3] A company is considering a project with the following after-tax cashﬂows: t Xt 0 −150. is valued at V = 100. Value the bond..0065 (1 + 0.15)2 (1 + 0. and $5 in the “down” state. 000 1 60. Determine the NPV of the project. To ﬁnance the project the ﬁrm issues a 4 year bond with face value of 100. because they were told that they can reduce their taxable earnings with the amount of the coupon.15)3 Annual interest tax shield: 0. Tomorrows value.2 Bond Issue [2] A company issues a one year. According to their accountants. 3. The company is facing a tax rate of 30%. How does the value of the ﬁrm change upon the bond issue? 2. 19.68 Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt Chapter 19 Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt Problems 19. unlike in your previous answer. 1.3 NORSK [7] NORSK. will be either 150 (“up” state) or 50 (“down” state). Determine the value of the debt tax shield.3 · 5000 = 1500 . The risk free rate is 10%. NORSK will have $10 in taxable earnings in the “up” state. now using the APV formula. zero coupon bond with face value of 25 million. 000 If the project is all–equity ﬁnanced it has a required rate of return of 15%. The bond has an interest rate of 8%. Inc.1 Project [3] Without the tax advantage t Ct = 0 = −150 1 60 2 60 3 60 N P V = −150 + 60 60 60 + + = −13.000 and an interest rate of 5%. 000 2 60. Remaining investments are ﬁnanced by the ﬁrm’s current operations. The company is paying tax with 28%. NORSK is presently an all-equity ﬁrm. 000 3 60.15)1 (1 + 0. V . The corporate tax rate is 50%. but they are considering issuing a corporate bond with face value $100 and coupon $10. with equal chance. Use this to re-value the ﬁrm. 19. Why is there a discrepancy between the values of the (levered) ﬁrm you obtained in the previous two answers? Solutions 19.

2 Bond Issue [2] 560.6 · 110 + 0.4 · 50) = 78.6 · (50% × 10) + 0.18 = 139. • Cash ﬂows are not risk free • Debt is not perpetual • Cash ﬂows are not perpetual.3 NORSK [7] 1.05) (1 + 0.09 3.5 · 78.4 · (50% × 5)) = 3. .18. The probability pu is found from 100 = V = pu = 0.05)4 N P V = −13000 + 5318 = −7682 19.6 The increase in the value of the ﬁrm is the PV of the tax shields = 2.1 1 u (p 150 + (1 − pu )50) 1.05) (1 + 0.000 19.1 V AP V = V + τ B = 100 + 0.93 1 2 3 (1 + 0.64 1. 1.05) (1 + 0. Bond B= 1 (0.Valuation Of Projects Financed Partly With Debt 69 PV of tax shield t Ct = = 0 0 1 1500 2 1500 3 1500 4 1500 NPV = Project NPV is 1500 1500 1500 1500 + + + = 5318.1 1 (0.

Inc is improved. Inc and Rest.1 Dividend Inc [2] The stock price of Dividend. If the ﬁrm pays a $3 dividend per share. and 16% tax on capital gains. Inc is 30 November 139. Inc has for the last ten years been paying out 5% of the book value of equity as dividend. The expected net income in period one is X1 = 200. Inc goes down by less than the dividend amount. 2. Suppose now the tax rates for capital gains are lower.3 Dividends [4] The ﬁrm is capitalized by 100. If both ordinary personal tax rate and capital gains tax are 28%. which of the following statements is correct? 1. What is the ex-dividend share price? What would have been the end-of-period stock price if the ﬁrm skipped the dividend? 2. Inc is lowering dividend payments by $10. 1 December the stock goes ex dividend. Suppose you own 100 shares. Inc is lessened. The market thinks proﬁtability of Rest. Ignore personal taxes. .000 shares of common stock which trade at the beginning of the period at 10 per share.4 Stable Rest [3] Stable. 1. The stock price of Stable.2 Dividends and Taxes [4] A given share is sold for $30 just before time t0 . you would need to sell 10 shares (at$30 a share) since you need to have a $300 cash income (pre tax) Assume that the shares were originally bought for $20 each. This year both Stable. Inc has for the last ﬁfteen years been paying 80% of after tax income as dividend. How many shares of commons stock will the ﬁrm have to sell at the ex-dividend price in order to undertake an investment project which requires an investment I1 = 200. 000 and the ﬁrm has declared a cash dividend of 1 per share. what is your after-tax wealth under the two alternative situations? 2. If the signaling hypothesis is correct. 3. The ﬁrm’s cost of equity is 20%. What is the value of the ﬁrm just after the new issue? What would have been the value of the ﬁrm if it skipped the dividend and used the retained earnings to ﬁnance the investment? 20.70 And What About Dividends? Chapter 20 And What About Dividends? Problems 20. to be paid at the end of the period. What is your estimate of the stock price 2 December? 20. paying a cash dividend of 11. The market thinks proﬁtability of Stable. the price will immediately drop to $27. The owners of stock in Dividend. 000? 3. you pay 40% tax on ordinary income. Rest. 1. What is your after-tax wealth under the two alternative situations? 20. If the ﬁrm decides not to distribute dividends. Inc do not pay tax on their dividend income.

The cost of capital for the company is 10%. If the company wants to keep it’s current debt/equity ratio. and the company dividend is expected to grow by 5% annually.5 Dividend Amount [4] A company is expecting after tax income of 3 million next year.40. Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 − τi )) = 2916 Wealth = 3000 − 100τg = 2972 2. 1. τg = 0.2 Dividends and Taxes [4] The tax you pay are calculated as follows: Dividends: Tax = τi (3 · 100) = τi · 300 Wealth = 100(27 + 3(1 − τi )) Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 − τi )) Sell shares: Tax = τg (10 · (30 − 20)) = τg · 100 Wealth = 90 · 30 + 30 · 10 − 10 · 10τg Wealth = 2700 + 300 − 100τg Wealth = 3000 − 100τg To ﬁnd the exact wealth.28. The company has the possibility of investing in a project with at total investment of 4 million. how much should the company pay as dividend next year? 20. τi = 0. Wealth = 2700 + 300(1 − τi )) = 2880 Wealth = 3000 − 100τg = 2984 20.And What About Dividends? 71 20.16.6 Stock [2] The current price of a stock is 50. What is the expected dividend payment next period? Solutions 20. τi = 0. The company currently has a debt/equity ratio of 80%.3 Dividends [4] .28. plug in the tax rates. τg = 0.1 Dividend Inc [2] P = 139 − 11 = 128 20.

It will have to get $100. 20. we have all but E[P1 ]: 10 = and E[P1 ] = 10(1 + 0. this means an issue of 100. At an ex-dividend price of $11. The new value of the ﬁrm (100.72 And What About Dividends? 1. 000 20.5 Dividend Amount [4] 0. 000/11 ≈ 9091 stocks.000. would have E[P1 ] = 10 · (1 + 0.4 Stable Rest [3] The market thinks proﬁtability of Stable. 000 + 9091) stocks · $11 = 1. the value of the ﬁrm would have been 100.000 of new capital to ﬁnance the investment. Remember P0 = E[d1 ] + E[P1 ] 1+r Here.1 − 0. 000 Without the dividend.77 mill 20. 000 out of earnings of $200. 3. 000 stocks · $12 = $1. 200. The ﬁrm pays dividends of 100. 000 · 1 = $100. Investment of $200.05 1 + E[P1 ] 1 + 0.20) = $12 2.5 .000. 200.6 Stock [2] 50 = E[X1 ] 0. Inc is lessened.20 E[X1 ] = 2.20) − 1 = $11 If the ﬁrm skipped the dividend.

Currently. If you own one stock. The exercise price of the put option is 100. What position do you need to take in the stock? 21. The stock has an annual expected return of 10% and an annual standard deviation of 25%. The (one period) risk free interest rate is 2. how many call options do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows in period 1 to be riskless? 2.1 Binomial Options [4] Consider a case where the stock price S follows a binomial process. the stock price is S0 = 100.2 Option [4] The current stock price is 160. Consider a one-period call option with exercise price X = 100. You buy 1 stock and issue m call options on the stock with an exercise price of 155. 3. What must be m be for the portfolio to be risk free? 21.5 VaR [4] You own a portfolio with a value today of 10 million. how many of the two period call options do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows in period 1 to be riskless? 21. 21. 1.4 Hedging [3] The stock price can next period be either 100 or 200. how many units of the underlying do you need to buy at time 0 for the cashﬂows in period 1 to be riskless? Consider now a two period American Call option. If you own one call. The current risk free interest rate is 6%. The stock price today is 150.8. Show that the futures price satisﬁes F = S(1 + r)(T −t) + c 21. If you own one stock. Assume normally distributed returns. 1.3 Futures Price [5] Suppose that storing the physical asset has a cost of c in the period from t to T . Assuming that weekly returns are normally distributed. Suppose the whole portfolio is invested in one stock. with exercise price X = 100. Next period the price will be one of 150 or 175. The standard deviation of the weekly return is 0. Each period. . You would like to eliminate the risk of holding the put option. The price of a discount bond that matures next period is 0.01. Estimate Value at Risk for your portfolio on a daily horizon and a conﬁdence level of 1%. You have a put option that expires next period.000.5%.6 VaR [3] Your current portfolio of equities has a market value of 100.Risk And Incentive Management 73 Chapter 21 Risk And Incentive Management Problems 21. estimate Value at Risk (VaR) on a weekly basis with a conﬁdence level of 5%. the stock price either moves down 10% or up 15%.

74 Risk And Incentive Management 2.66 Cu − Cd 15 2. 2. ωC solves Su + ωC Cu = Sd + ωC Cd ωC = 90 − 115 Sd − Su = = −1. If the correlation between the two shares is positive.5% (of par value). Is there a free lunch? Solutions 21.5% (of par value). Calculate the price of a call option on one AYLGM stock with exercise price 50.6 Su − Sd 115 − 90 25 .8. What is the forward price for delivery of one AYLGM stock one period from now? 3. what is your position in forwards and risk free borrowing and lending? 21.50 r ¨S = 90 j r r d rr rr r r S = 81 j r dd 1. Let ωC be the number of call options necessary to hedge 1 stock.2 or 45. let ωC be the number of stocks options necessary to hedge 1 call option ωS Su + Cu = ωS Sd + Cd ωS = Cd − Cu 0 − 15 −15 = = = −0. each with the same expected return and standard deviation 25%. A futures contract for the delivery of the Treasury bill tomorrow carries a futures price of 91. 1. If you want to create a portfolio of forward contracts and risk free borrowing and lending that has the same payoﬀs as the call option with exercise price of 50. but less than one. a Treasury bill (which carries no coupon) is selling for 91. but you know it is positive.7 Are You Lucky [5] The current value of equity in the Are You Lucky Gold Mine (AYLGM) is 50. Similarly. You don’t know the actual one–period risk free rate. The risk free interest rate is 5% per period. One period from now the stock price will be one of 58.1 Binomial Options [4] B ¨ Suu = 132. will the VaR of the portfolio be smaller or larger than the previous VaR? What if the correlation is negative? 21. Suppose instead that the portfolio is invested with equal weights in two stocks.25 ¨¨ ¨ ¨ ¨S0 = 100 r rr rr r ¨¨ ¨¨ = 115 B r ¨ rSu ¨¨ rr ¨ rr ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨ ¨¨ r j r B ¨ ¨ Sud = 103.8 T Bill Future [3] Today.

46 Cd − Cu = ≈ −0.50) = 17. Cu = e−r (pu Cuu + (1 − pu )Cud ) = e−0.25 Cu − Cd 20 − 0 m = 1. There are also no restrictions on shortselling of the underlying asset.46 − 1.499 Note that this uses continuous discouting.7 ωS = 1.025 (0.50 + 0) = 1. if F < S(1 + r)(T −t) . Need to know the values of the call option at time 1.70 − 17.9 = = 0.025 (0.25 + 0.501 · 32.025 − 0.Risk And Incentive Management 75 3. the forward price is the future value of the current price of the underlying.2 Option [4] Sd − mCd = Su − mCu −m = Sd − Su 150 − 175 = = −1.9 1 − pu = 0. Let us start with the case where F > S(1 + r)(T −t) The tables below illustrates how we would set up a portfolio to exploit this free lunch.59 Cu − Cd 17. as the next table illustrates Arbitrage strategy for case F < S(1 + r)(T −t) .46 Cd = e−r (pu Cud + (1 − pu )Cuu ) = e−0.3 Futures Price [5] The case without storage cost c has already been discussed in the book We considered a forward contract on an underlying asset that provided no income. Alternatively approximate the discrete interest rate. It is easy to show that violations of this will lead to free lunches.499 · 3.63 Su − Sd 115 − 90 90 − 115 Sd − Su = ≈ −1.15 − 0.70 ωC = 21. Next want to ﬁnd the number of stocks ωS to hedge one call at time 2. Arbitrage strategy for case F > S(1 + r)(T −t) Time Sell forward Borrow St Buy underlying Total t 0 St −St 0 T F − ST −S(1 + r)(T −t) ST F − S(1 + r)(T −t) > 0 On the other hand. Then the forward price F has to satisfy F = S(1 + r)(T −t) . it is also easy to exploit the free lunch.25 21.501 u−d 1. pu = er − d e0.501 · 3.

the storing cost will enter into the arbitrage relations in the places where one will be buying the underlying security.01581 250 . 21.64 × 0. VaR at the 1% level on a daily horizon. 21.01 = 164. What do we assume? 21. A reasonable approximation is to put this at zero. Arbitrage strategy for case F > S(1 + r)(T −t) − c Time Sell forward Borrow St Buy underlying Total t 0 St −St 0 T F − ST −S(1 + r)(T −t) ST − c F − S(1 + r)(T −t) − c > 0 Arbitrage strategy for case F < S(1 + r)(T −t) − c Time T ST − F S(1 + r)(T −t) −(ST − c) S(1 + r)(T −t) − F − c > 0 Buy forward Invest S Short underlying Total t 0 −S S 0 Note that we are making assumptions about what happens to the cost of storing when you short the underlying asset. If we work with trading days (most reasonable). since the option will never be in the money.4 Hedging [3] The right to sell the stock for 10 is worthless.6 VaR [3] 1.76 Risk And Incentive Management Buy forward Invest S Short underlying Total To avoid arbitrage we need an exact inequality F = S(1 + r)(T −t) t 0 −S S 0 Time T ST − F S(1 + r)(T −t) −ST (T −t) S(1 + r) −F >0 Now. 000.25 = 0.5 VaR [4] One piece of information not given here concerns the expected return.64 from a normal table. calculate SDdaily = √ 1 0. and estimate VaR as V aR = 10 million × 1. One then uses the 5% conﬁdence level to ﬁnd the factor k = 1.

2 ¨ ¨¨ ¨ ¨¨0 = 50 rS rr rr r r S d = 45. 2.64% giving a VaR of 3.22 1+r C0 = .0004 − 2.1 = 0. As long as the correlation is less than +1.7 Are You Lucky [5] Assumptions of the problem about the underlying security: u B ¨ ¨ S = 58.Risk And Incentive Management 77 Another acceptable interpretation of this could be to use actual days.916 pu = 1. taken from a normal table. and E[] and σ are with the right frequencies. If the annual return is 10%.01581 = −3. ﬁnd multiplicative factor 2. a reasonable approximation is rdaily = ¯ 0. where k is the multiplicative factor.0004 250 Use this with the standard deviations above to get Daily VaR: E[r] − kσ(r) 0. The return corresponding to the required VaR is E[r] − kσ(r).165 d = 0.05 − 0.33 corresponding to 1% level. in which case you would calculate SDdaily = √ 1 0.54 1.64 million. the standard deviation (and hence the VaR) of the portfolio will be smaller. and smaller the lower the correlation.916 = 0. 21.8 j r Price of option u = 1.013 365 From a normal table.916 1 (pu Cu + (1 − pu )Cd ) = 4.165 − 0.25 = 0.33 · 0.

8 T Bill Future [3] Yes.915 1 1+R R 0.915 zero no matter what B is 0 . and wB the number of risk free discount bonds to buy.915 1+R > TOMORROW B − 0. use the following strategy Today: NOW Long futures +0 Short t bill +0.05 = 52. Solve for wF and wB : wF = − Cu − Cd Su − Sd wB = Cu − wF (Su − F ) 21.78 Risk And Incentive Management Forward price F = 50 · 1. solve the following set of equations Cu = wF (Su − F ) + wB · 1 Cd = wF (Sd − F ) + wB · 1 Here wF is the number of forward contracts.915 Invest at R −0.915 −B 0.4 To set up a hedge portfolio involving a forward.

Sign up to vote on this title

UsefulNot useful- 45845195 an Elementary Introduction to Mathematical Finance(1)by Simon Ilyaev
- Bouchaud J.-p., Potters M. Theory of Financial Risks.. From Statistical Physics to Risk Managemen_finance_+_found_at_redsamaraby twilgaal
- Copula Methods in Financeby Cheryl Lee
- Bouchaud Potters - Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing (2Ed CUP 2003)by rollolollo

- econometrics methodolgy
- The Concepts of Mathematical Finance - Joshi 2002
- Financial Calculus an Introduction to Derivative Pricing-Baxter
- Quantitative Methods in Derivatives Pricing
- A Concise Introduction to Econometrics
- Applied. Econometrcisstatapdf
- Introduction to Computational Finance
- Solution Manual for Shreve 2
- 45845195 an Elementary Introduction to Mathematical Finance(1)
- Bouchaud J.-p., Potters M. Theory of Financial Risks.. From Statistical Physics to Risk Managemen_finance_+_found_at_redsamara
- Copula Methods in Finance
- Bouchaud Potters - Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing (2Ed CUP 2003)
- C++ Finance
- Duffie - Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory
- Lecture Notes on Stochastic Calculus (NYU)
- Time Series Analysis
- Finance Maths
- Bayesian Econometric Methods
- Monte Carlo Methods in Finance
- - Introduction To Computational Finance And Financial Econometrics
- The Mathematics Of Financial Derivatives
- Optimization Methods in Finance
- Optimization Methods in Finance
- Bayesian Econometrics
- Solutions t o Lec tures on Corp orate Finance , Se cond Edition
- RossFCF8ce SM Ch25
- Fin 674 Problems Ch09
- 2. Guo-Deeper Understanding Faster Calc SOA MFE.pdf
- MFE_PracticeExam_Excerpt_05-20-10
- MFE
- Solution Manual to Lectures on Corporate Finance Second Edition