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2011 DPP Presidential Primary Polling Process

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Presidential Primary Polling Process
   Polling starts April 25 for two days (if not completed, it will be extended to a third day) Polling times are to be held between 18:30 to 22:00 or 22:30 Five polling companies will be engaged in the process. Every company must complete 3,000 successful samples After polling process is completed, the results will be announced next day noon (either Wednesday April 27 or Thursday April 28)

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Campaign Regulations
 From midnight of April 22, presidential primary candidates must refrain from:
1. Participating in any interviews or talk shows either on TV or radio, 2. Publicizing or purchasing any advertisements on radio, TV or online media, 3. Conducting or publishing any polls, 4. Holding campaign rallies during polling dates and times, 5. Making telephone campaign calls during polling dates and times.

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Method: Contrast Style Polling
Between DPP Candidate A and the KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou, who do you wish to be the future president? Between DPP Candidate B and the KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou, who do you wish to be the future president? Between DPP Candidate C and the KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou, who do you wish to be the future president?
 A sample is considered successful when the respondent answers all questions from beginning to end Supporting either A, B or C, and Ma Ying-jeou or Neither are considered effective answers
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Decision Outcome (1)
 Any candidate with the score higher than KMT opponent (Ma Ying-jeou) will be considered the winner

DPP Candidate A:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou DPP Candidate B:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou DPP Candidate C:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou

37:38 39:35 32:36

 Winner is B

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Decision Outcome(2)
 If no DPP candidate scores higher than opponent KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou, then DPP candidate with highest score is considered winner
DPP Candidate A:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou DPP Candidate B:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou DPP Candidate C:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou 32:38 34:35 35:37

 Winner is C
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Decision Outcome (3)
 In case of a tie, the winner is considered to having achieved the highest difference between candidate and KMT opponent

DPP Candidate A:KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou 39:35 (+4) DPP Candidate B: KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou 39:37 (+2) DPP Candidate C: KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou 33:36

 Winner is A
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