P. 1
a_f

a_f

|Views: 204|Likes:
Published by Alonzo Renard-El
the air force future timeline MUST READ
the air force future timeline MUST READ

More info:

Categories:Types, Letters
Published by: Alonzo Renard-El on May 23, 2011
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

08/06/2012

pdf

text

original

By 2025 the worldwide demand for fuel is projected to increase by 30 percent and that for
electricity by 265 percent. Even with more efficient use and conservation, new sources of
energy will be required. Solar energy could provide 60 percent of the electricity and as
much as 40 percent of the fuel.58

Finding alternate sources is important due to environmental concerns, as well as for the US to reduce its

reliance on Persian Gulf oil reserves.59

This appendix discusses two potential replacement energy sources:

fusion and solar power. Some other sources are “biomass (using a crop like corn to make fuels like

alcohol),”60

geothermal, hydropower, waste-to-energy, and wind.

Marvin Cetron speculates that commercially viable fusion reactors will be available after 2010, and a

major source of power by 2030.61

Others suggest that practical, commercial applications of fusion will not

arrive until 2045.62

In the alternate futures of this study, Digital Cacophony and Zaibatsu represent worlds

wherein commercially developed fusion is representative of the revolutionary nature of Exponentialn

∆ TeK.

Solar power is a technology that is finally becoming economically competitive. That competitiveness

was fostered by a 40-fold decrease in the price of generating photovoltaic power from 1979 to 1989.63

Eric

Drexler suspects that nanotechnology might lead to breakthroughs in solar technology producing costs

154

“significantly less than central-plant-produced electricity.”64

Even now, predictions indicate that solar

power will be competitive with conventional generation shortly after the year 2000.65

These and similar

renewable technologies are crucial elements in the environmental planning strategies of worlds such as

Gulliver’s Travails and 2015 Crossroads. Returning to the quote that opened this section, however, note that

solar energy is not sufficient to meet all the projected energy requirements of 2025. Coal- and oil-powered

energy plants will still be required.

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
scribd
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->