September 25, 2008 To: Interested Parties Fr: John Anzalone / Jeff Liszt Re: Summary of Polling in Nevada CD-3 Democrat Dina Titus continues

to lead incumbent Jon Porter in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District. After weeks of television communication from both sides, including negatives from Porter, Titus appears to be getting the better of the exchange. Her personal popularity is stronger than Porter’s, and the district is trending Democratic. She is in a strong position to win. Titus leads Porter by 9 points • Titus leads Porter by a 46% to 37% margin, with third-party candidates taking 6% of the vote, and just 10% undecided. • Titus’s lead has doubled since July, when she led by just 4 points (43% Titus / 39% Porter).

Titus has advantages in personal popularity, and on the critical issue of change • Titus is getting the better of the paid communication exchange. She receives a 50% favorable / 37% unfavorable rating, and her favorable rating is up 4 points since July. In contrast, Porter receives a 44% favorable / 41% unfavorable rating. His favorable rating is down 4 points since July, while his unfavorable rating is up 7 points. Titus’s favorable rating is higher than Porter’s, and her unfavorable rating is lower. • Titus leads Porter 48% to 29% on which candidate would do a better job bringing change to Washington. These voters want change, and think Titus is the better candidate to bring it. The District is trending more Democratic • Democrats hold a 46% to 40% lead on the generic ballot. In July, the generic ballot was even at 43%. • Registration and self-identification favor Democrats as well. Democrats have built a 43% to 38% advantage in party registration in the 3rd District, and lead 44% to 42% in selfidentification.
Anzalone Liszt Research conducted n=500 live telephone interviews with likely 2008 general election voters in Nevada CD-3. Interviews were conducted between September 21-24, 2008. Respondents were selected at random with interviews apportioned geographically based on expected voter turnout. Expected margin of sampling error is ±4.4% with a 95% confidence level.

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