P. 1
NIC 2015 Global Trend (A Must Read)

NIC 2015 Global Trend (A Must Read)

4.0

|Views: 110|Likes:
Published by t2p22
READ What they are planing for 2015.
takes a look at the world over the next 15 years from the perspective of the national security policymaker.
The NIC, an independent government body, emphasises that its report is not about "crystal-ball gazing" but offers a range of potential futures, including the following key trends.
READ What they are planing for 2015.
takes a look at the world over the next 15 years from the perspective of the national security policymaker.
The NIC, an independent government body, emphasises that its report is not about "crystal-ball gazing" but offers a range of potential futures, including the following key trends.

More info:

Published by: t2p22 on Dec 02, 2008
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

08/01/2013

pdf

text

original

Global Trends 2015 identifies governance as a major driver for the future
and assumes that all trends we cite will be influenced, for good or bad, by
decisionsofpeople.TheinclusionoftheUnitedStatesasadriver—boththe
US Government as well as US for-profit and nonprofit organizations—is
based on the general assumption that the actions of nonstate actors as well
as governments will shape global outcomes in the years ahead.

18

An integrated trend analysis suggests at least four related conclusions:

National Priorities
Will Matter

•To prosper in the global economy of 2015, governments will have to
invest more in technology, in public education, and in broader participa-
tioningovernmenttoincludeincreasinglyinfluentialnonstateactors.The
extent to which governments around the world are doing these things
today gives some indication of where they will be in 2015.

US Responsibilities
WillCovertheWorld,
Old and New

•The United States and other developed countries will be challenged in
2015 to lead the fast-paced technological revolution while, at the same
time, maintaining military, diplomatic, and intelligence capabilities to
deal with traditional problems and threats from low-technology countries
and groups. The United States, as a global power, will have little choice
but to engage leading actors and confront problems on both sides of the
wideningeconomicanddigitaldividesintheworldof2015,whenglobal-
ization’s benefits will be far from global.

US Foreign Priorities
Will be More
Transnational

•International or multilateral arrangements increasingly will be called
uponin2015todealwithgrowingtransnationalproblemsfromeconomic
and financial volatility; to legal and illegal migration; to competition for
scarce natural resources such as water; to humanitarian, refugee, and
environmentalcrises;toterrorism,narcotrafficking,andweaponsprolifer-
ation; and to both regional conflicts and cyber threats. And when interna-
tional cooperation—or international governance—comes up short, the
United States and other developed countries will have to broker solutions
among a wide array of international players—including governments at
all levels, multinational corporations, and nonprofit organizations.

National
Governments Will be
More Transparent

•To deal with a transnational agenda and an interconnected world in 2015,
governments will have to develop greater communication and collaboration
betweennationalsecurityanddomesticpolicyagencies.Interagencycooper-
ation will be essential to understanding transnational threats and to develop-
ing interdisciplinary strategies to counter them. Consequence management
of a biological warfare (BW) attack, for example, would require close coor-
dination among a host of US Government agencies, foreign governments,
US state and municipal governments, the military, the medical community,
and the media.

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
scribd
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->