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Provincial Election Poll Results - April 5, 2012

Provincial Election Poll Results - April 5, 2012

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Published by edmontonjournal
A new poll is showing support for Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party, but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided. The Leger Marketing poll, conducted for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald, was released April 5, 2012,
A new poll is showing support for Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party, but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided. The Leger Marketing poll, conducted for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald, was released April 5, 2012,

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Published by: edmontonjournal on Apr 05, 2012
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10055-106 Street – Suite 460 Edmonton, Alberta T5J 2Y2 Phone: 780.423.

0708 Fax: 780.425-0400 -Press Release For Immediate Release Alberta Provincial Election Poll Edmonton April 4th 2012 - A Leger Marketing poll released today is showing support for Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided

Q.

If a Provincial election were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...?
 Among all Albertans, the race to form the next provincial government is now showing a significant lead for the Wildrose Party over the Progressive Conservatives while the other parties are far behind. Most Likely to Vote Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta Raj Sherman’s Liberal Party of Alberta Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party Another Party Undecided Will not vote/No Answer 30.0% 24.7% 6.9% 8.5% 1.6% 1.0% 21.6% 5.6%

 Ian Large, Vice President for Alberta for Leger Marketing notes that “the PC

numbers are showing a consistent decline from just one week ago when the two front runners were polling neck and neck.

 In this poll, the distance between Wildrose and PCs is even wider among decided voters. Among Decided Voters Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party Raj Sherman’s Liberal Party of Alberta Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party 41.3% 33.9% 11.7% 9.5% 2.2%

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 The one in five undecided voters are now evenly split in their leaning between Progressive Conservative Party and the Wildrose. Among Undecided Voters – Party Leaning Towards Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party Raj Sherman’s Liberal Party of Alberta Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party  Among decided voters, the findings also show… o The Progressive Conservatives continue lead the Wildrose by a significant margin in Edmonton but are lagging behind Wildrose in Calgary and the rest of the Province where more than half of decided voters are giving their support to Wildrose. Brian Mason’s NDP party is showing a considerable surge among decided voters in Edmonton, with one in five supporting his party. Edmonton 37% 25% 12% 20% 4% Calgary 34% 47% 11% 7% 0.3% Rest of Alberta 30% 54% 5% 7% 2% 18.2% 18.4% 6.2% 9.8% 1.7%

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Decided Voters PC Wildrose Party Liberal Party of Alberta New Democratic Party Alberta Party Leadership

Q.

In your opinion, which of the following political leaders would make the best premier of Alberta? Would it be... ?
 For the first time, more Albertans believe Danielle Smith would make a better premier than believe that Alison Redford would be the best in the top spot. o Best Premier: Danielle Smith Alison Redford Raj Sherman Brian Mason Glenn Taylor 29% 27% 7% 9% 2%

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 Large notes: Alison Redford’s numbers have only declined slightly since January

(32%) while Danielle Smith has surged in support among Albertan from 14% in the past two months.

 This poll also shows… o Danielle Smith’s popularity is relatively weak in Edmonton (18%) but higher than Alison Redford (34% vs. 25%) in Calgary and the rest of the province (34% vs. 21%). Danielle Smith does not poll nearly as well among women (22%) as she does with men (35%). Alison Redford’s popularity is consistent among both men (26%) and women (28%)

o o

Government in Waiting

Q.

Do you believe that the current Progressive Conservative government should be re-elected or would you prefer to have a new government?
 Just over one half of Albertans (54%) feel that it is time for the province to have a new government while less than three in ten (29%) believe that the Progressive Conservative government should be re-elected. o Support for a new government is consistent across the province. Edmonton 55% 35% 10% Calgary 56% 28% 16% Rest of Alberta 52% 23% 25%

All Albertans New Government PCs re-elected Don’t know

About the Poll  Leger Marketing conducted and online survey of 986 eligible voters across Alberta between April 2nd and April 4th  As a non-random internet survey, margin of error is not reported. However, a probability sample of this size would result in a maximum margin of error of ±3.1% 19 times out of twenty.  The margin of error for the regional findings is higher at… o Edmonton ±5.5% o Calgary ±5.4% o Rest of Alberta ±5.2%

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For more information Contact: Ian Large Vice President, Alberta Leger Marketing 780-423-0708 ext. 242 ILarge@Legermarketing.com

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