May 22, 2012 TO: JOE MONAHAN

FROM:Bruce Donisthorpe MANZANO STRATEGIES RE: US REP, 1ST DISTRICT, 2012 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ANALYSIS & DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS METHODOLOGY Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodological standards to 728 likely voting Demcratic registered households with known voting history in primary elections from throughout New Mexico. Surveys were conducted using this method on May 22, 2012, between 6 pm and 9 pm. As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted or adjusted at the top-line to ensure that responses accurately reflect the population’s makeup by factors such as age, sex, region, and other established demographic standards and variables. The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted for most questions is 3.62% with a 95% level of confidence for the interviews conducted in this survey. TOP LINE: Survey Question: If the Democratic Primary for US Representative, District 1 was held today and the candidates were State Senator Eric Griego, former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez and Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham, for which candidate would you support? • • • • LUJAN GRISHAM: 34.7% GRIEGO: 33.9% CHAVEZ: 22.3% UNDECIDED: 9.0%

N=728 Likely Voters, Margin of Error: 3.62%

DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS: GREG O% TOPLI NE GEND ER FEMALE MALE ETHNICITY ANGLO HISPANI C AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ GEOGRAPHY WESTSIDE VALLEY SE HEIGHT S NE HEIGHT S OTHER IDEOLOGY LIBERAL MODERA TE CONSER V 35% 28% 37% 34% 18% 18% 17% 25% 29% 41% 34% 34% 18% 13% 12% 7% 37% 31% 22% 23% 33% 37% 8% 10% CHAVE Z% LUJGRISH% UNDE C%

33.9%

22.3%

34.7%

9.0%

34% 35%

18% 28%

39% 29%

9% 9%

28% 38% 40% 30% 32%

23% 20% 19% 26% 27%

41% 34% 31% 35% 34%

8% 8% 10% 9% 7%

43% 25% 28%

18% 28% 25%

34% 38% 30%

6% 8% 17%