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Peak Oil Ans CDI 2008

Peak Oil Ans CDI 2008

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10/16/2011

___. Extend 1NC #7 argument, the Timeframe Double Bind. Either the peak is coming quickly and
their plan cannot solve in time Or the world has decades before the peak and our disads will occur
first. Either way, the Negative wins.

___. Aff cannot solve in time. Transition to an entirely new energy infrastructure will take decades.
Status Quo is the best option.

Williams ’03

[Bob, Executive Editor, Oil and Gas Journal, Aug. 18, “Peak-oil, global warming concerns opening new window of opportunity for
alternative energy sources,” L/N ]

But the resulting high energy costs for everyone will prove a massive economic dislocation for the world, a grim scenario often outlined by the peak-oil theorists.
Some have even painted alarming pictures of civilization crumbling as a result of this new oil shock.

"No technology breakthrough can come to alter the imminent oil peak; it would take much too long to put new
technology in place to hope to dent oil and gas demand," said A.M. Samsam Bakhtiari, National Iranian Oil Co. senior expert.
"Even if the two great hopes of solar and cold fusion would materialize, they could not be developed in time, as it
takes decades (not years) to put in place the necessary infrastructures."

Woosh you were here!

38

COMET DEBATE INSTITUTE

Summer 2008

Peak Oil Answers

OFF #8: Transition will be Smooth

___. Extend the number 8, the transition will be smooth, from Schafersman ’02. Our Disads are NOT
inevitable in the Status Quo. The status quo will undergo a smooth, non-violent transition. A slow and
smooth transition will occur in the status quo. This takes out their impact to the Peak.

___. Schafersman is a qualified source. He’s a professor of Geology at Miami – Ohio. He’s clearly an
expert in this field and superior to their sources.

___. No economic crash. Central Banks have learned, they act to keep growth positive

Kerevan ’04

[George, The Scotsman, August 26, “They think It’s Oil Over, But They are Wrong,” l/n]

HERE'S what happens next. The oil companies are now going to go on the rampage to find new oil sources. A decade from now, gallons of the
black stuff will be coming out of our ears, and the price will plummet. Meantime, things may get a little rocky and economic belts will be
tightened, but hopefully not quite so tightly as in the 1970s.

During the last oil crisis, central banks reacted the wrong way - they cut interest rates. A combination of cheap credit and soaring
energy prices touched off massive inflation and consequent wage demands, killing profits and investment. The result was stagflation and unemployment.
Today, we've learned (I hope) to increase interest rates moderately, in line with fossil-fuel price rises, to kill inflation and
maintain business confidence. That way, the length of the crisis is shortened and growth will be slower but not
negative. You'll get to keep your job and your car.

Woosh you were here!

39

COMET DEBATE INSTITUTE

Summer 2008

Peak Oil Answers

OFF #8: Transition will be Smooth

___. Transition away from Oil will be smooth, not a crash. Previous transitions prove this.

Bailey ‘04

(Ronald, Science Correspondent for Reason Magazine, Feb. 18, “Are We Out of Gas Yet?” Reason Online,

http://www.reason.com/rb/rb021804.shtml)

If demand for oil begins to outstrip the supply, prices will rise, signaling companies and consumers to use less, develop
new technologies, switch to other fuels, increase their insulation, and so forth. "Demand for energy is going to move away from heavy
hydrocarbons," Lynch predicts. "Coal is first, oil is next." He expects that our old hydrocarbon friends will be replaced in our affection by
natural gas, nuclear, and other forms of energy as those technologies improve. "It will be much like the transition in the 20th
century from coal to oil in the residential heating and transportation sectors or like the transition from horses to cars," he says. The Oil Age
will end, not with a horrific screech leading to a destructive crash, but with a barely perceptible, well-lubricated,
smoothly braked halt, one that is merely a prelude to moving smoothly and rapidly forward again.

Woosh you were here!

40

COMET DEBATE INSTITUTE

Summer 2008

Peak Oil Answers

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