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[Draft]
The United States federal government should substantially increase research & development, demonstration projects
and commercialization incentives for cellulosic ethanol in the United States
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 3
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
R& D, demonstration projects & commercialization incentives make cellulosic ethanol cost
competitive
Greer, Contributing editor to biocycle and researcher specializing in green business and
alternative energy, 2005
(Diane, Biocycle, “Creating Cellulosic Ethanol: Spinning Straw into Fuel,” april 2005,
http://www.harvestcleanenergy.org/enews/enews_0505/enews_0505_Cellulosic_Ethanol.htm/, 6/29/08).
There is a growing consensus on the steps needed for biofuels to succeed: increased spending on R&D
in conversion and processing technologies, funding for demonstration projects and joint investment or
other incentives to spur commercialization. "If you do not do all three of these pieces, the effort is
likely to stall," said Greene. "The challenge is to be really focused and make the commitment to make
biofuels a part of our economy. We need to make these technologies work."
There is also agreement on one of the main factors impeding the development of biofuels - inadequate
government funding. "We are grossly under investing in this area," says Dechton. "We are piddling
along at 30 or 40 million dollars per year. This is a national security issue." Sheehan agrees, adding "the
other problem is over the last several years Congressional earmarking has been horrendous. It is
splintering critical resources, as a result effectiveness is way down. We do not have well aligned,
consistently directed R&D effort."
The "Growing Energy" report calls for $2 billion in funding for cellulosic biofuels over the next ten
years, with $1.1 billion directed at research, development and demonstration projects and the
remaining $800 million slated for the deployment of biorefineries. Other advocated subsidies and
incentives for the industry include production tax credits, bond insurance for feedstock sellers and biofuels
purchasers and efficacy insurance. "We would like to see private insurance but lacking private sector
involvement, government should offer the insurance," said Greene. "The idea has two features, the amount of
money available goes down over time, so by 2015 the industry is ready to stand on its own two feet and,
second the dollars available to developers is in a menu format. We will let them pick subsidies that work best
for their product."
Given sufficient investment in research, development, demonstration and deployment, the report
projects biorefineries producing cellulosic ethanol at a cost leaving the plant between $.59-$.91 per
gallon by 2015. The price range is dependent upon plant scale and efficiency factors. At these prices,
biofuels would be competitive with the wholesale price of gasoline.
In the past, discussions regarding ethanol as a potential replacement for gasoline have centered on the
availability of suitable land in addition to a feed versus fuel debate. Technological and process advances
coupled with the promise of biorefineries are allowing us to refocus the debate. Scenarios exist where
well directed public policies emphasizing biofuels investment and incentives in addition to fuel
efficiency could promote a transition to cellulosic ethanol. Given the right policy choices, America's
farmers could one day be filling both our refrigerators and our gas tanks.
We avoid the oil crunch. Cellulosic ethanol can replace three quarters of US oil
consumption
Hall, 2006 (Kevin, Inquirer Washington Bureau, The Philadelphia Inquirer “The Struggle to Quit Oil”, Februaury
28th, pg. C 01)
Bush also backs cellulose-to-ethanol technologies. Corn-based ethanol production is expected to reach six
billion gallons next year; researchers estimate a maximum production potential of 15 billion gallons per
year. That is about 12 percent of the projected 120.4 billion gallons of gasoline that the Energy Department
estimates Americans will consume annually in 2025. Hardly independence. But mass production of
biologically engineered enzymes that can break down virtually any plant fiber for conversion to ethanol
offers hope. Add these to the mix, and suddenly ethanol's production potential leaps to 100 billion,
approaching levels needed for independence. "I think it's very doable. But it depends on whether
policymakers provide the incentive to get it done," said Georg Anderl, director of operations for Genencor
International, a biotechnology company in Palo Alto, Calif.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 5
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
## Inherency ##
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 7
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
T: Substantial
2007 Energy barely saved Ethanol but farmers aren’t expected to reach their target and
even if they did, it will hardly effect petroleum use.
Philpott, founder of Maverick Farms, a sustainable-agriculture non-profit and small farm, 08
(Tom, Grist, “Cellulosic ethanol: not likely to be viable,” March 3rd,
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2008/3/3/125745/7746, date accessed: 6/29/08)
They start by calculating that without the latest round of goodies -- i.e., the fat "Renewable Fuel
Standard" of the 2007 Energy Act -- cellulosic ethanol (and biodiesel, too) would have withered away.
In that scenario, corn ethanol would keep ramping up from the current level of about 7 billion gallons,
pushed by high oil prices and the $0.51/gallon tax credit that's existed for years. Here's what they say
would have happened by 2022, if the 2007 Act had never happened (economists lay out their conditional,
speculative scenarios in the simple present tense): The corn ethanol sector expands until total production
exceeds 18 billion gallons per year. Biodiesel and cellulosic ethanol from switchgrass are not viable in this
scenario. Cellulosic ethanol never expands, and the biodiesel sector contracts so that there are no
biodiesel plants operating in the long run. They add a bit that I found particularly devastating: "These
results suggest that [without the 2007 Energy Act], once the opportunity cost of land is taken into
account, rational farmers will not grow switchgrass or soybeans for biofuel production, and rational
investors will not build these plants." Believe me, that thing about "rational" farmers and investors is
strong stuff, coming from conventional economists. Now, what happens when we account for the 2007
Act's hefty mandate? Current production, almost all from corn, stands at about 7 billion gallons. The act
demands 36 billion gallons of biofuel by 2022, of which 15 billion comes from corn, and the other 21
billion gallons comes from cellulosic (and to a much less extent biodiesel). The authors seriously doubt the
cellulosic target can even come close to being met. They reckon that the mandate can inspire
"rational" farmers and investors to churn out 4.5 billion gallons of cellulosic ethanol by 2022 -- but
there's a catch. In order to reach even that level, the government will have to significantly jack up the
tax credit awarded to mixers -- from the current 51 cents to $1.55. The message is this: Even with the
fat 2007 Act mandate, cellulosic ethanol can only offset a tiny amount of petroleum use -- and then only
if it's borne aloft by titanic amounts of public cash.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 12
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Status quo funding for Cellulose is directed at large facilities—excluding over half all
facilities.
Gantz, Energy/biofuels trade “unbiased” reporter formally for Renewable Fuels News, 2005
(Rachel, Renewable Fuel News. Vol. 17, Iss. 28; pg. 1, 2 pgs Houston: Jul 18,”CELLULOSE COMMUNITY
UP IN ARMS OVER LANGUAGE IN ENERGY BILL” http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?did=872781911
&sid=2&Fmt=3&clientId=10553&RQT=309&VName=PQD Accessed through ABI Infrom on July 3, 2008)
While Congress is moving forward with its energy conference to reconcile differences between the House
and Senate energy bills, a controversy is forming in the cellulosic biomass community over an initiative that
may unfairly advantage larger projects. Language included in the Senate-passed energy bill would
provide loan guarantees for cellulosic biomass and sugar-based ethanol projects, but only if the facilities
produce a minimum of 30 million gal/yr-more than double the size of the majority of planned cellulosic
facilities. The initiative was included in the bill at the request of Senate Environment and Public Works
(EPW) Chairman James Inhofe (R-OkIa.), as well as other "multiple, bipartisan interests," according to EPW
spokesman Bill Holbrook. But he could not provide an answer as to how the 30 million gal/yr figure was
agreed to, only saying "[i]t's in our national interests to have lower fuel prices, and a larger, commercial-size
facility will help contribute to that." Other sources see the influence of politics at work. In the same section
of the Senate energy bill as the loan guarantee, there is language appropriating $4 million/yr "for a resource
center to further develop bioconversion technology using low-cost biomass for the production of ethanol at
the Center for Biomass-Based Energy at the Mississippi State University and the Oklahoma State University
(OSU)." OSU is in Inhofe's home state."This is politics at its worst," said Doug Durante, executive director
of the Clean Fuels Development Coalition. Its Hawaii chapter, Clean Fuels Hawaii, is working on several
cellulosic projects. "This couldn't be more discriminatory and more blatant," he told RFN. Hawaii
implemented a rule in September 2004 calling for at least 85% of gasoline in the state to contain 10% ethanol
by April 2005 (see RFN, 9/27/04, pi). No ethanol is produced in the state, but all the plants planned for the
state will use sugarcane (cellulose) as their feedstocks. The planned project capacities range between 7-15
million gal/yr, meaning none would qualify for the 30 million gal/yr loan guarantee. For the language to
"exclude all but those in the 30 million gallon category is punitive to our program and many other
promising technologies nationwide," Clean Fuels Hawaii wrote in a June 22 letter to Sen. Daniel Akaka (D-
Hawaii), who is a member of the energy conference. The letter explains that in a previous version of this
year's Senate energy bill, the loan guarantee program was included, but the minimum requirement
was set at 15 million gal/yr. Clean Fuels Hawaii had been working with the senator's staff on lowering that
figure to 7 million gal/yr. But with the final Senate energy bill language, "[w]e are completely at a loss to
understand why this legislation would arbitrarily pick a size that is likely to eliminate so many promising
technologies, including ours," the letter said. "We see no reason whatsoever for a floor and hope you would
agree that in the interest of developing as much renewable ethanol as possible, we would not to exclude any
size or technology." The letter, signed by five Hawaii-based ethanol companies, asks the senator to remove
the minimum production level. "There is wide ranging support to keep this provision as broad based as
possible, including the 33-member Governors' Ethanol Coalition (of which Hawaii is a member) and many of
our fellow sugar producing states, such as Texas, Louisiana and Florida," the letter concluded. An Akaka
spokeswoman said the senator would be working hard to try and resolve this issue. Additionally, it was
rumored that Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle (R) would be writing to energy conferees on this very issue, however
that couldn't be confirmed by presstime
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 13
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
## Solvency ##
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 14
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Federal Government incentives for biomass ensure performance, are low cost, and limits
financial risk
Governors Ethanol Coalition, Bipart group of US and international members, 05
(Governors’ Ethanol Coalition, “Ethanol from biomass,” April, http://www.ethanol-gec.org/GEC_biomass_rept_4-
12-05.pdf, Date accessed: 6/26/08)
Research alone will not achieve the longer-term goal of producing 10 percent of our transportation
fuel from domestic, renewable resources. One of the most significant barriers to commercialization of
biomass ethanol technology is the unproven nature of the technology in large-scale commercial
facilities and the inherent reluctance of the financial markets to risk capital. The Governors’ Ethanol
Coalition recommends that the federal government offer market-based production incentives for
commercial demonstration and technology application to support large-scale operations resulting in
production of 1 billion gallons of biomass-derived ethanol a year at a cost that is competitive with
gasoline and diesel. Ethanol From Biomass America’s 21st Century
Transportation Fuel 10 These incentives would provide support in the early years of the project
while ensuring performance and retention of private sector due diligence. Recent state-level experience
has demonstrated that a reverse auction for incentives protects the public interest and allows the
marketplace to select “winners” during the crucial pre-commercial phase of technology development.
Under the auction, the developer that offers the greatest potential for lowcost production and requires
the least incentive, in addition to meeting all other criteria, would obtain the incentive. The overall cap
on the incentive limits government risk, and the general orientation towards production maximizes the
likelihood that the project will perform since government funds are provided only when the fuel is
produced.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 16
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
R& D and deployment incentives exceeding 1.9 billion dollars are key
Greene, senior researcher with the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2004)
(Principal Author, Nathanael, NRDC, December, “GROWING ENERGY: How Biofuels Can Help End
America’s Oil Dependence” < http://www.nrdc.org/air/energy/biofuels/biofuels.pdf>. Accessed on June 29th
2008.)
Breaking our addiction to oil is going to require a long-term commitment to increasing fuel efficiency, creating
more livable communities that do not require as much driving, and making biofuel affordable and sustainable.
Focusing now on achieving the aggressive vision for biofuels that we have started to lay out, three key steps are
essential: _ Investing in a package of research, development, and demonstration policies that create the
innovations needed for a large-scale, competitive biofuels industry; _ Funding deployment policies that drive the
development of the first billion gallons of cellulosic biofuels capacity at a price approaching that of gasoline and
diesel;_ Adopting a renewable fuels standard and flex-fuel vehicle requirement. STEP 1: INVEST IN
RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND DEMONSTRATION We recommend a package of policies with the
broad goal of developing a cellulosic biofuel industry by 2015 that is cost-competitive with corn ethanol and
moving rapidly toward cost-competitiveness with petroleum fuels. To achieve such an aggressive
commercialization schedule, research, development, demonstration, and deployment will need to be
pursued on nearly parallel tracks. We recommend two basic policies: 1) a research, development, and
demonstration (RD&D) policy from 2006 to 2012 costing a total of $1.1 billion, and 2) a deployment policy
from 2006 to 2015 costing a total of $800 million. Taken together, these policies would create about 1 billion
gallons of biofuels capacity and advance the technology to a state where it is capable of producing biofuels
at costs competitive with those of gasoline and diesel. The goal of federal programs addressing RD&D
relevant to biomass conversion should be to establish the scientific and technological foundation necessary
to rapidly deploy industrial processes producing biofuels from biomass. Although direct support for
commercialization has many benefits, the rate, extent, and probability of realizing these benefits for biofuels
will be greatly increased by an aggressive, targeted effort directed toward precommercial RD&D. Of
course, with a range of state and federal subsidies generally available to energy projects, the line between
commercial and precommercial can be blurred. We draw the line based on bothnscale—precommercial RD&D
produces relatively little, if any, finished product—and economics—any finished product produced cannot
generate enough revenuento make a plant profitable even with any other subsidies available. As
commercialization starts (with larger plants that can produce a profit), the investment community will look to
RD&D to determine the viability of technology and the likelihood of a project’s success. Precommercial RD&D
not only advances the technology but also greatly reduces the perceived risk associated with the technology.
While precommercial RD&D is clearly an investment in commercialization, the private sector is unlikely to
invest on the scale or at the speed that we need if we are to start to wean ourselves from oil. The private
sector cannot make biofuels happen without government support; the potential rewards are too long-term,
and too many of the benefits are societal and hard for a single company to capture. RD&D activities can be
categorized by three key areas of technological focus: _ Overcoming the recalcitrance of cellulosic biomass,
Enabling product diversification, including different fuels, animal feed protein, and chemicals, and _ Making
advances in feedstock production. Overcoming the recalcitrance of the cellulosic biomass is the greatest
impediment to realizing the potential for biofuels production. Whether through pretreatment, biological
processing, or gasification-based thermochemical processing, if biofuels are to meet a large portion of our
transportation fuel needs, then we must be able to use more than just starch from biomass. RD&D activities can
also be classified by the way in which they add value. There are primarily three levels: _ Innovative technological
advances, Better understanding of applied fundamentals, and _ Process integration, scale-up, and demonstration.
Innovations to improve biomass processes are required in order to develop methods that are sufficiently low in
cost, high in efficiency, and environmentally benign to compete with conventional energy sources on a large
scale. As discussed in greater detail later, the types of innovations needed include developing superior
microorganisms, pretreatment processes, syngas cleanup systems, pressurized feeding to gasifiers, protein
separation processes, crop yield improvements, coproduction of biofuels, power, and other value-added products,
and crop harvesting and handling systems. Fortunately, innovations in all of these areas are readily foreseeable.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 17
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Enzyme cost and the resistance of lingocellulosic materials are preventing the
commercialization of switchgrass—R & D solves.
Alizadeh et al., Department of Chemical Engineering and Materials Science at Michigan State University, 2005
(HASAN, FARZANEH TEYMOURI, THOMAS I. GILBERT, AND BRUCE E. DALE, Department of
Chemical Engineering and Materials Science, Applied Biochemistry and Biotechnology 1133 Vol. 121–124,
“Pretreatment of Switchgrass by Ammonia Fiber Explosion (AFEX) < http://www.everythingbiomass.org
/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx> . Accessed on July 6 2007)
There are two major processing impediments to producing economically viable commercial ethanol from
biomass such as switchgrass. One obstacle is the inherent resistance of lignocellulosic materials toward
conversion to fermentable sugars (4). In order to improve the efficiency of enzymatic hydrolysis, a
pretreatment step is necessary to make the structural carbohydrate fraction accessible to cellulase
enzymes. Aunique and effective biomass pretreatment called ammonia fiber explosion (AFEX) is under
development (5). Previous work (6–8) has demonstrated that the AFEX process substantially enhances the
digestibility of lignocellulosic biomass. Another economically important issue in biomass conversion is the
cost of enzyme. High cost of the enzymes has been a major obstacle to the commercialization of biomass
hydrolysis. One way to reduce this cost is to use as little enzyme per unit of biomass hydrolyzed as possible
without sacrificing the ethanol yield. Previous work has shown that effective enzymatic hydrolysis of AFEX-
treated biomass at enzyme loadings as low as 7 FPU/g of glucan was achieved by adjusting the pretreatment
parameters (9). The main focus of this article has been to optimize all the major factors that influence the
effectiveness of the pretreatment of switchgrass in AFEX process. Ammonia loading, sample moisture content,
and reactor temperature have all been optimized to maximize the conversion of glucan and xylan to fermentable
sugars using a fixed amount of enzyme.
The main barrier to biofuel production is economic, but Scientists are on the brink of
discovering dramatic cost improvements for biomass
Greer, Contributing editor to biocycle and researcher specializing in green business and
alternative energy, 2005
(Diane, Biocycle, “Creating Cellulosic Ethanol: Spinning Straw into Fuel,” april 2005,
http://www.harvestcleanenergy.org/enews/enews_0505/enews_0505_Cellulosic_Ethanol.htm/, 6/29/08).
Reducing the cost and improving the efficiency of separating and converting cellulosic materials into
fermentable sugars is one of the keys to a viable industry. "On the technology side, we need a major
push on overcoming the recalcitrance of biomass," continues Greene, referring to the difficulty in
breaking down complex cellulosic biomass structures. "This is the greatest difficulty in converting
biomass into fuel." R&D efforts are focusing on the development of cost-effective biochemical
hydrolysis and pretreatment processes. Technological advances promise substantially lower processing
costs in these fields compared to acid hydrolysis. "In the enzyme camp, we have only scratched the
surface of the potential of biotechnology to contribute to this area," adds Reade Dechton of Energy
Futures Coalition. "We are at the very beginning of dramatic cost improvements."
The Department of Energy (DOE) Biofuels program has identified the high cost of cellulose enzymes as
the key barrier to economic production of cellulosic ethanol. Two enzyme producers, Genencor
International and Novozymes Biotech, have received research funding from DOE to engineer
significant cost reductions and efficiency improvements in cellulose enzymes. In October of 2004,
Genencor announced a 30-fold reduction in the cost of enzymes to a range of $.10-$.20 per gallon of
ethanol. To achieve the savings, Genencor developed a mixture of genetically modified enzymes that act
synergistically to convert cellulose into glucose. Novozymes Biotech has also progressed in reducing
enzyme costs from $5.00 to $.30 per gallon of ethanol. In April of 2004, Novozymes was granted a one
year extension and awarded an additional $2.3 million to further reduce the cost of enzymes to $.10 per
gallon.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 22
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Incentives for Research and Development k/2 improving biofuel process efficiencies
Weeks, assistant director of energy projects in the Center for Business and Government of Harvard University’s
John F. Kennedy School of Government, 2005
(Jennifer, BioCycle, “National Energy Commission Report Endorses Biofuels,” March
http://www.harvestcleanenergy.org/enews/enews_0405/enews_0405_Energy_Commission_Report.htm Accessed on
7/3/08)
To promote advances in biofuel production, the Commission recommended increasing federal funding
for research and development from the 2004 level of $25 million to $150 million annually for the years
2006-2011. Key areas for federal investment include improving process efficiencies for converting plant
material and wastes to ethanol and biodiesel, and improving the productivity per acre of energy crops. The
Commission also recommended providing $750 million from 2008 through 2017 to encourage early
deployment of new cellulosic ethanol and biofuel systems nationwide using a variety of feedstocks
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 23
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Giving Incentives to automakers to increase the use of Ethanol would decrease oil
dependence and carbon dioxide emission, and give a much needed boost to automakers and
rural communities
Daschle, former Democratic Senate majority leader, 2006
(Tom, The New York Times, “Miles Per Cob,” May 8th, http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/08/opinion/08daschle.html,
accessed 7/3/08)
We need to upgrade to a new CAFE: Carbon Alternative Fuel Equivalent. This new CAFE will
measure "petroleum mileage" and give automakers incentives and credits for increasing ethanol
consumption as a percentage of fuel use of their vehicles, not least by promoting flex-fuel vehicles, which
can run on either gasoline or E85 fuel, a blend of 85 percent ethanol and 15 percent gasoline. This approach
promises several significant benefits.
First, it could set America free from its dependence on foreign oil. As Brazil's "energy independence
miracle" proves, an aggressive strategy of investing in petroleum substitutes like ethanol can end
dependence on imported oil.
Second, switching from gasoline to ethanol produced from perennial energy crops like switch grass can
slash our carbon dioxide emissions.
Third, it could build on a comparative advantage of American automakers. American auto
manufacturers are churning out hundreds of thousands of flex-fuel vehicles. Their foreign competitors
make far fewer. Promoting these vehicles will help our automakers build on their already strong
market share.
And fourth, by encouraging the production of ethanol and new renewable fuel technologies, this new
CAFE standard could invigorate rural communities in America's heartland and innovation and
research centers along its coasts.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 24
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
Insurance Solves
Bond insurance, efficacy insurance and a production incentive would drive us over the
commercialization barrier
Greene, senior researcher with the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2004)
(Principal Author, Nathanael, NRDC, December, “GROWING ENERGY: How Biofuels Can Help End
America’s Oil Dependence” < http://www.nrdc.org/air/energy/biofuels/biofuels.pdf>. Accessed on June 29th
2008.)
To achieve our goals in the face of these challenges, we recommend a deployment policy that offers a
variety of incentives, including incentives targeted at the major barriers to financing and production.
This policy should also let the developer mix and match incentives under an overall cap on the value of
the incentives chosen. Developers would also get to choose one of three pools from which to draw their
support. Each pool would have a different cap on the value of incentives. We recommend developers
have the opportunity to choose from several incentives: bond insurance for feedstock suppliers, bond
insurance for biofuel purchasers, efficacy insurance for the fuel production technology, and a
production incentive that pays a fixed amount per gallon for the first five years of operation. The bond
insurance is critical because debt financiers generally require feedstock and off-take guarantees, which
can be provided only by creditworthy companies. This greatly limits the number of suppliers and
purchasers that a project can contract with, driving up the cost of supply and driving down the value
of the product. Bond insurance is readily available and, for a price, can effectively transform any
supplier or purchaser into a creditworthy partner. The government incentive would cover the cost of
this insurance, subtracting the cost from the overall cap on incentives available to a project. Efficacy
insurance pays when the technology simply does not work as well as the developer had predicted. For
instance, efficacy insurance (also known as system performance insurance or nondamage insurance) covers
failures in performance not caused by equipment breakdown or mistakes in design. The policy either
pays to bring the performance up to specification or provides liquidated damages up to the value covered by
the policy.13 Hartford Steam Boiler offered system performance insurance to the Masada concentrated acid
hydrolysis ethanol project in 2000, but Hartford Steam Boiler was bought by AIG, which canceled the policy
before the Masada plant was built. At this point, no insurance companies are offering this type of
insurance, so the challenge would be finding a way for the government to induce insurance companies
to offer it again for new biofuels plants.14 It is likely that the cost would be very high, at least initially. If a
private insurance policy cannot be developed, then the government could offer the policy, subtracting from
the project’s overall incentive cap the full cost of the liquidated damages covered. Developers could also
take any amount of their total available incentive as a production incentive that would be paid out over
the first five years of operations on a fixed dollar per gallon basis. To encourage maximum performance,
the incentive would be calculated by dividing the amount of incentive that the developer chose to
collect as a production incentive by expected capacity during the first five years. This value would then
be fixed and the developer collect the total only if it met or exceeded the expected production levels.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 25
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff
AT “Enzyme Cost”
The concept of net energy is fundamentally wrong, it compares Ethanol to all form of fossil
fuels together instead of just oil
Dale, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Michigan State University, 2007
(Bruce, “Grassoline in your Tank, Myths and Realities about Biofuels,” 12/18/2007,
http://www.everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx, accessed on 7/6/08)
In some ways, this is the most irrelevant of all the myths surrounding ethanol. The “net energy” idea has
been promoted by David Pimentel of Cornell University and his coworkers for over 25 years. He
criticizes corn ethanol (and more recently cellulosic ethanol) as requiring more fossil energy to produce
them than these biofuels release when burned. Dr. Pimentel defines “net energy” as the fuel’s heating
value minus the sum of all the fossil energy (coal, natural gas and petroleum) inputs required to produce
the fuel. Net energy is an irrelevant, almost silly, concept because it lumps all forms of fossil energy
together as if they were identical. Net energy treats a megajoule (MJ—a measure of energy content) of coal
as equivalent to a MJ of petroleum or natural gas. This is obviously wrong; otherwise we would not pay over
five times as much for a MJ of petroleum as we do for a MJ of coal. The silliness of the net energy idea is
shown by a simple illustration. Grind up some coal and put it your gas tank—then try driving. There is
energy in the coal, but that energy is essentially useless to power your car. Still think that all forms of
energy are equally valuable? They are not, and thus “net energy” is fundamentally in error. This error is
compounded by Pimentel’s failure to compare ethanol’s net energy with the net energy of gasoline. The
comparison is easily done. Science, one of the most prestigious of scientific journals, last year published
a graph comparing the amount of fossil energy (and other inputs) required to make 1 MJ of
gasoline and 1 MJ of ethanol (from corn or cellulosics). From their analysis, ethanol’s net
energy is its energy value minus the sum of all the fossil energy inputs required to
make ethanol. Based on 1 MJ of ethanol produced, net energy is calculated as 1.0 –
(0.04 + 0.28 + 0.41) equals +27%. By comparison, gasoline’s net energy is 1.0 – (1.1
+ 0.03 + 0.05) equals -18%. Gasoline’s “net energy” is worse than ethanol’s. Net energy is an
irrelevant concept, but the comparison between ethanol and gasoline is very valuable. We could have
been saved much confusion and trouble if Pimentel had ever compared ethanol’s net energy with the
net energy of gasoline. Comparisons between our realistic alternatives are absolutely essential for good
decision making. Science’s data allow us to make another very important comparison:
the amount of oil used to make gasoline versus the amount of oil required to make
ethanol. Generating 1 MJ of gasoline requires 1.1 MJ of petroleum while only 0.04 MJ of
petroleum is required to generate 1 MJ of ethanol from corn (according to Science
magazine’s analysis). The reduction in petroleum required per unit of fuel energy
delivered to the customer is therefore (0.04-1.1)/1.0 equals 106%. For corn ethanol,
this is like improving vehicle mileage per unit of petroleum consumed by (1.1-0
.04)/0.04 equals 26.5 or nearly 27 fold, effectively a 2700% increase in vehicle miles
traveled per gallon. So if your new car gets 30 miles per gallon, on ethanol you are
effectively getting (30 x 27) or 810 miles per gallon of oil used. Not bad mileage! We
have no other alternative liquid fuel that so greatly increases miles per barrel of oil.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 32
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Net energy is not relevant to the discussion of ethanol, not all MJs are created equal.
Dale, Michigan State University, Chemical Engineering and Materials Science, 2007
(Bruce, Received 3 April 2007; revised version received 23 May 2007; accepted 23 May 2007 Published
online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com); “Thinking clearly about biofuels: ending the
irrelevant ‘net energy’ debate and developing better performance metrics for alternative fuels” < http://www.
everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx>. Accessed on July 6, 2008)
The net energy argument revolving around fuel ethanol off ers a textbook example of how not to think
about biofuels and other alternative transportation fuels. For over 25 years a small but vocal group of critics has
argued that ethanol from corn has a negative net energy. Simply stated, they argue that more fossil energy
(petroleum, coal and natural gas) is used to produce ethanol than is delivered when ethanol is burned. Th eir
viewpoint has been widely disseminated and is a major perceived drawback to ethanol. Net energy analysis is
simple and has great intuitive appeal. It is also irrelevant and misleading. Here is why. Th e critics’ most
recent paper1 concludes that corn ethanol has a –29% net energy. Net energy is defi ned as ethanol’s heating
value (a fi xed, known quantity) minus the fossil energy inputs required to produce the ethanol. For
convenience, the ethanol critics add up all fossil energy inputs as equivalent: one megajoule (MJ) of coal
equals one MJ of petroleum equals one MJ of natural gas. Th is is the fundamental premise of net energy
and it is completely wrong. All MJ are not created equal and cannot be added in this way. If all MJ were
equal, then energy markets would refl ect that fact. But the energy markets do no such thing. At current prices, a
MJ (or Btu) of natural gas is worth about 3.5 times a MJ of coal, and a MJ of petroleum is worth more than fi ve
times a MJ of coal. A MJ of electricity is worth about 12 times a MJ of the coal raw material from which
electricity is frequently generated. Clearly, all MJ are not created equal. Table 1 summarizes these data for
various energy carriers. Th ese market realities summarized in Table 1 refl ect another underlying, fundamental
reality. As discussed above, we do not value energy per se but rather the services or ‘qualities’ that the
energy provides. For example, the energy in coal cannot directly light our homes. Coal must be converted to
electricity in a power plant in order to provide many desired energy services. About 1 MJ of electricity is
produced for every 3 MJ of coal burned. Using the defi nition of ‘net energy’ as given above, the net energy
of electricity is electrical energy out minus the coal energy used, approximately –200%, much worse than
the corresponding fi gure for ethanol. Are we going to turn off the lights because electricity has a terribly
negative net energy? Th e logic of the ‘net energy’ argument would say ‘Yes, turn them off !’. Th e details of the
net energy calculations of the ethanol critics have been criticized on numerous grounds, including: (1)
byproducts of corn ethanol were not appropriately accounted for; (2) some data used are obsolete or
inappropriate; (3) system boundaries were not appropriately drawn, etc. All of these criticisms are correct. But
they miss the fundamental problem with net energy. Th e underlying premise of the net energy argument is
wrong. Th e ‘net energy’ metric is mistaken at the very core – not at its margins. Diff erent energy carriers
cannot be compared on a straight energy basis because all MJ are not created equal. In the real world, the
diff erent ‘qualities’ of diff erent energy carriers must be considered. Apples are good for making apple juice;
apples are not good for making orange juice. Petroleum is uniquely suited for making liquid fuels; neither coal
nor natural gas are nearly so well-suited to make liquid fuels. Th e net energy calculation includes coal,
petroleum and natural gas. Th us it is misleading and irrelevant as a public policy guide to use net energy to
compare liquid fuel alternatives.
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Their argument lumps all energy carriers together and compares them as one
Dale, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Michigan State University, 2007
(Bruce, “Grassoline in your Tank, Myths and Realities about Biofuels,” 12/18/2007,
http://www.everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx, accessed on 7/6/08)
Dr. Pimentel's critique of ethanol continues as it began years ago, unencumbered by valid comparisons
and uninformed by different perspectives. A long list of baseless or misleading charges against ethanol
is given, many of which cannot be answered in this short response. I will try to refute some charges, offer
new perspectives, and outline how cellulosic ethanol can provide large amounts of fuel while improving the
environment, enhancing rural economies, and increasing world food supplies.
Dr. Pimentel emphasizes that his analysis includes 14 energy-consuming operations required for
ethanol production. Even if 14,000 such operations were included, the analysis would still be irrelevant.
One megajoule of coal is simply not equivalent to 1 MJ of petroleum. If you doubt this, try grinding up
some coal, put it in your gas tank, and see how far you can drive on coal's energy content. Pimentel's "net
energy" analysis is akin to adding 10 U.S. dollars, 10 Mexican pesos, and 10 Indian rupees to get $30—
an absurdity. Different energy carriers and different currencies have different qualities. They cannot
simply be added together as Dr. Pimentel does.
Cellulosic ethanol has a positive net yield, is more productive than corn ethanol and emits
less carbon dioxide.
Qi Bioenergy, blog on Ethanol, 08
(Wordpress, “Cellulosic Ethanol has Positive Net Yield,” 3/7,
http://qibioenergy.wordpress.com/2008/03/07/cellulosic-ethanol-has-a-positive-net-yield/, date accessed: 6/29/08
A study from plant scientist Ken Vogel found cellulosic ethanol actually has positive netenergy yield. In a
study for the federal government’s Agricultural Research Service in Nebraska, Vogel calculated all the
energy that went in to producing cellulosic ethanol. According to Vogel, the study included “the energy
used to make the tractors, the energy used to make the seed to plant the field, the energy used to
produce the herbicide, the energy used to produce the fertilizer, and the energy used in the harvesting
process.” His results? For every unit of energy used to grow the feedstock, Vogel says he could get
almost 5.5 units worth of ethanol. That’s even more efficient than making ethanol from corn. And
cellulosic ethanol emits far less carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, than corn-based ethanol.
Cellulosic emits 80% less carbon dioxide than regular gasoline, while corn-based ethanol emits only 20
% less.
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Switch grass provides almost five and a half times more energy than was used to make it
and gives off 93% less green house gases than gasoline
Schmer, Vogel, Mitchell, and Perrin, Researchers at the Academy of Science, 07
(M. R, K. P,, R. B, R. K, U.S. Department of Agriculture–Agricultural Research Service, “Net energy of cellulosic
ethanol from switchgrass,” 11/21, http://www.ethanolrfa.org/resource/cellulosic/documents/0704767105v1.pdf, date
accessed: 6/29/08)
Perennial herbaceous plants such as switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.) are being evaluated as
cellulosic bioenergy crops. Two major concerns have been the net energy efficiency and economic
feasibility of switchgrass and similar crops. All previous energy analyses have been based on data from
research plots (<5m2) and estimated inputs. We managed switchgrass as a biomass energy crop in field trials
of 3–9 ha (1 ha_10,000m2) on marginal cropland on 10 farms across a wide precipitation and temperature
gradient
in the midcontinental U.S. to determine net energy and economic costs based on known farm inputs and
harvested yields. In this report, we summarize the agricultural energy input costs, biomass yield, estimated
ethanol output, greenhouse gas emissions, and net energy results. Annual biomass yields of established fields
averaged 5.2 -11.1 Mg_ha_1 with a resulting average estimated net energy yield (NEY) of 60 GJ_ha_1_y_1.
Switchgrass produced 540% more renewable than nonrenewable energy consumed. Switchgrass
monocultures managed for high yield produced 93% more biomass yield and an equivalent estimated
NEY than previous estimates from human-made prairies that received low agricultural inputs.
Estimated average greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from cellulosic ethanol derived from switchgrass
were 94% lower than estimated GHG from gasoline. This is a baseline study that represents the genetic
material and agronomic technology available for switchgrass production in 2000 and 2001, when the fields
were planted. Improved genetics and agronomics may further enhance energy sustainability and biofuel yield
of switchgrass.
Wrong
Lynd, Thayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College, 2003
(Lee R, National Commission on Energy Policy Forum “Cellulosic Ethanol Fact Sheet,” June 13th,
http://www.energycommission.org/files/finalReport/IV.4.c%20%20Cellulosic%20Ethanol%20Fact%20Sheet.pdf
accessed 6/29/08)
Corn* is easier, and currently less expensive, to process into ethanol than is cellulosic biomass.
However, cellulosic biomass is less expensive to produce than corn by a factor of roughly 2 on a per ton
basis, and the amount of ethanol that can be produced per acre of land of a given quality is
higher for cellulosic biomass than for to corn. Relative to corn, production of a perennial cellulosic
biomass crop such as switchgrass requires lower inputs of energy, fertilizer, pesticide, and herbicide,
and is accompanied by less erosion and improved soil fertility. Finally, cellulosic biomass differs from
corn kernels in that it contains substantial amounts of non-fermentable, energy-rich components that
can be used to provide energy for the conversion process as well as to produce electricity (see discussion
of energy balance below). Process energy for corn ethanol production is typically provided by coal or natural
gas, although it would be possible for process energy to be provided by biomass in the future.
The chemical composition of ethanol produced from corn and lignocellulose is identical. However, ethanol
production and utilization cycles are different when cellulosic biomass is used as the raw material as a direct
result of the features mentioned in the preceding paragraph. Key aggregate characteristics impacted by these
features in addition to feedstock cost include process energy balance and greenhouse gas emissions. For
ethanol production from corn based on current practice, fossil energy inputs into the production cycle
represent about 2/3 of the energy content of the ethanol produced, and greenhouse gas emissions on a
per mile basis are about 2/3 of a gasoline base case, representing an approximately 33% reduction. For
ethanol produced from cellulosic biomass, the energy balance and greenhouse gas emissions are more
favorable, as considered below (Section III).
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Cellulose is net-energy beneficial, requires little land-use and is environmentally preferable corn-
based ethanol.
Hill et al, , Departments of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior and Applied Economics, University of Minnesota,
2006
( Jason, Erik Nelson†, David Tilman*,§, Stephen Polasky*,†, and Douglas Tiffany, Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America vol:103 iss:30 pg:11206 -11210
“Environmental, economic, and energetic costs and benefits of biodiesel and ethanol biofuels” Accessed via
Highwire Press National Academy of Sciences <
http://www.pnas.org.floyd.lib.umn.edu/content/103/30/11206.full#abstract-1>. Accessed on July 3, 2008.)
Nonfood feedstocks offer advantages for these three energetic, environmental, and economic criteria.
Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), diverse mixtures of prairie grasses and forbs (24, 25), and woody plants,
which can all be converted into synfuel hydrocarbons or cellulosic ethanol, can be produced on
agriculturally marginal lands with no (24, 25) or low fertilizer, pesticides, and energy inputs. For cellulosic
ethanol, combustion of waste biomass, such as the lignin fractions from biomass feedstocks, could power
biofuel-processing plants. Although gains may be somewhat tempered by higher transport energy requirements,
higher energy use for construction of larger and more complex ethanol plants, and possibly greater labor needs,
resultant NEB ratios may still be >4.0 (26, 27), a major improvement over corn grain ethanol with its NEB ratio
of 1.25 and soybean biodiesel with its NEB ratio of 1.93. Cellulosic ethanol is thought to have the potential to
become cost competitive with corn grain ethanol through improved pretreatments, enzymes, and
conversion factors (28, 29). The NEB ratio for combined-cycle synfuel and electric cogeneration through
biomass gasification (30) should be similar to that for cellulosic ethanol and may convert a greater proportion of
biomass energy into synfuels and electricity than is possible with cellulosic ethanol. In total, low-input biofuels
have the potential to provide much higher NEB ratios and much lower environmental impacts per net
energy gain than food-based biofuels. Global demand for food is expected to double within the coming 50
years (31), and global demand for transportation fuels is expected to increase even more rapidly (32). There is a
great need for renewable energy supplies that do not cause significant environmental harm and do not
compete with food supply. Food-based biofuels can meet but a small portion of transportation energy needs.
Energy conservation and biofuels that are not food-based are likely to be of far greater importance over the
longer term. Biofuels such as synfuel hydrocarbons or cellulosic ethanol that can be produced on
agriculturally marginal lands with minimal fertilizer, pesticide, and fossil energy inputs, or produced with
agricultural residues (33), have potential to provide fuel supplies with greater environmental benefits than
either petroleum or current food-based biofuels
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AT “No Refineries”
AT “No Cars”
AT “Water”
You use more water and emit more carbon dioxide producing Oil then Cellulosic Ethanol
Dale, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Michigan State University, 2007
(Bruce, “Grassoline in your Tank, Myths and Realities about Biofuels,” 12/18/2007,
http://www.everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx, accessed on 7/6/08)
Ethanol is said to require lots of water. Actually, gasoline production uses more than 10 times as much
water as does corn ethanol production. It is true that plants transpire about 200 kg of water per kg of
dry plant matter produced. So what? The water transpired by plants originally fell as rain or snow and
is purified as it passes through the plant to the atmosphere where it will fall again as rain or snow.
When has water quality ever been improved by contact with petroleum?
Ethanol production is said to release large amounts of carbon dioxide and "sewage" and to promote
soil erosion. Actually, all water discharges must meet local regulations. Soil erosion on U.S. cropland
has declined by almost 50% in recent years.
No one knowledgeable about cellulosic ethanol believes that the process is energy intensive. Process
residues, when burned, will provide more than enough steam and electricity to run cellulosic ethanol
plants. Perennial grasses, grown as energy crops, will be important feedstocks for cellulosic ethanol
production. Significantly increasing their per-acre yields is very achievable. Contrary to Dr. Pimentel's
assumption of 100 gal of cellulosic ethanol per acre, about 500 gal per acre is currently possible, with
1,500 gal per acre a feasible 10-year goal. Perennial grasses are excellent builders of soil, and they
sequester large amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide. They also trap inorganic nitrogen in plant matter,
thereby reducing nitrous oxide (a potent greenhouse gas) and limiting nitrate leaching to ground- and surface
waters.
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## Advantages ##
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 40
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Clean Development
Economy
Importantly, it offers tremendous opportunities for new jobs and economic growth outside the
traditional "grain belt," with production across the country from locally available resources. Cellulose
ethanol production will also provide additional greenhouse gas emissions reductions.
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Hydrogen
Landfills
Municipal Solid Waste can be converted into ethanol, thereby reducing the amount of
waste put into landfills
Greer, Contributing editor to biocycle and researcher specializing in green business and
alternative energy, 2005
(Diane, Biocycle, “Creating Cellulosic Ethanol: Spinning Straw into Fuel,” april 2005,
http://www.harvestcleanenergy.org/enews/enews_0505/enews_0505_Cellulosic_Ethanol.htm/, 6/29/08).
Industrial wastes and municipal solid waste (MSW) can also be used to produce ethanol. Lee Lynd, an
engineering professor at Dartmouth, has been working with the Gorham Paper Mill to convert paper
sludge to ethanol. "Paper sludge is a waste material that goes into landfills at a cost of $80/dry ton,"
says Lynd. "This is genuinely a negative cost feedstock. And it is already pretreated, eliminating a step
in the conversion process."
Masada Oxynol is planning a facility in Middletown, New York, to process MSW into ethanol. After
recovering recyclables, acid hydrolysis will be employed to convert the cellulosic materials into sugars. "The
facility will provide both economic and environmental value," explains David Webster, Executive Vice
President of Masada. From an environmental standpoint, the process reduces or eliminates the
landfilling of wastes. By-products of the process include gypsum, lignin and fly ash. "Under normal
operations, enough lignin will be recovered to make the plant self-sufficient in energy," notes Webster.
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Cellulosic ethanol production reduces fertilizer runoff which reduces the development of dead
zones in the Gulf
Butler, Heavily involved with the rainforest since 1995, 2008
(Rhett, Mongabay, “Cellulosic ethanol production could fight Gulf Dead Zone, help fisheries,” 01-16-08,
http://news.mongabay.com/2008/0116-ethanol.html, accessed 06-29-08)
Feedstocks for cellulosic ethanol production could help fight the massive "dead zone" that forms each
year in the Gulf of Mexico as a result of current farming practices, says a University of Alabama in
Huntsville biologist.
The hypoxic or dead zone, an expanse of water so devoid of oxygen that sea life cannot live in it, partly
results from the use of nitrogen-based fertilizers for corn crop. With corn acreage rapidly expanding in
the U.S. under subsidies for ethanol production, more fertilizers are ending up in the Gulf: each year
an estimated 210 million pounds of excess nitrates are carried to the Gulf promoting massive algae
blooms that fuel the hypoxia.
Dr. Gopi Podila of UA Huntsville says that a shift toward cellulosic ethanol — which uses farm waste,
weedy grasses, and fast-growing trees as feedstocks — could reduce the need for fertilizers while
offering higher yields for biofuel production.
"Ethanol from cellulose, whether from trees or other sources, will be the way to go in the very near future,"
he said. "Trees are cheaper to raise than corn, have a competitive yield and they don't need as much of the
fertilizers that are causing all of the problems in the Gulf. These trees also offer the U.S. a realistic option for
producing enough renewable energy to make a meaningful dent in fossil fuel imports."
Podila says that fast-growing trees for cellulosic ethanol production may also be cheaper than corn and could
grow on marginal lands.
"For one thing, there are some trees like poplar and aspen, where you could get a harvest every five or six
years but you would only have to plant once every 30 to 40 years because they grow back from the roots.
That is a significant cost savings, if only for the fuel used for planting and harvesting every year," he said.
"Many of these trees and grasses like switchgrass will grow on land that might have marginal value for
farming. Maybe it is too steep for planting or too dry for farming, but that wouldn't be as much of a problem
for trees. You could have an extra crop growing on land that isn't presently productive. There are vast areas of
marginal land in the U.S. that could be used for this purpose without having an impact on other crops."
While some environmentalists are concerned about invasive energy feedstock species, Podila says that some
native species are good candidates for cellulosic ethanol production, including southern poplar and sweet
gum in the southeastern United States.
Cellulosic ethanol can generate an equivalent of more than two thirds of current gasoline
consumption
Bullis, Nanotechnology and Materials Science Editor, 07
(Kevin, Technology Review Published by MIT, “Will Cellulosic Ethanol Take Off?”, 2-26-07,
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=biofuels&id=18227&a=, accessed 06-
29-08)
Cellulosic ethanol is attractive because the feedstock, which includes wheat straw, corn stover, grass, and
wood chips, is cheap and abundant. Converting it into ethanol requires less fossil fuel, so it can have a
bigger effect than corn ethanol on reducing greenhouse-gas emissions. Also, an acre of grasses or other crops
grown specifically to make ethanol could produce more than two times the number of gallons of ethanol as an
acre of corn, in part because the whole plant can be used instead of just the grain. That's good news because
many experts estimate that corn-ethanol producers will run out of land, in part because of competing demand for
corn-based food, limiting the total production to about 15 billion gallons of fuel. (Already, corn-ethanol plants--
existing and planned, combined--have a capacity of about 11 billion gallons.) The greater productivity of
cellulosic sources should eventually allow them to produce as much as 150 billion gallons of ethanol by
2050, according to a report by the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC). That's the equivalent of
more than two-thirds of the current gasoline consumption in the United States.
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Cellulose ethanol is the pathway toward reducing our dependence on foreign oil
Schmer et al, Researchers at the US dept of agriculture. 2007
M.R., PNAS “Net Energy of Cellulosic Ethanol from Switchgrass” November 21st 2007
http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/short/105/2/464
Renewable biofuel economy is projected as a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels, reduce
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and enhance rural economies (1). Ethanol is the most common biofuel
in the U.S. and is projected to increase in the short term because of the voluntary elimination of methyl
tertiary butyl ether in conventional gasoline and in the long term because of U.S. government mandates (2,
3). Maize or corn (Zea mays) grain and other cereals such as sorghum (Sorghum bicolor) are the primary
feedstock for U.S. ethanol production, but competing feed and food demands on grain supplies and prices
will eventually limit expansion of grain-ethanol capacity. An additional feedstock source for producing
ethanol is the lignocellulosic components of plant biomass, from which ethanol can be produced via
saccrification and fermentation (4). Dedicated perennial energy crops such as switchgrass, crop residues,
and forestry biomass are major cellulosic ethanol sources that could potentially displace 30% of our
current petroleum consumption (5).
Dependence on oil is a major risk of conflict and international security. Biofuels can solve.
Governors Ethanol Coalition, Bipart group of US and international members, 05
(Governors’ Ethanol Coalition, “Ethanol from biomass,” April, http://www.ethanol-gec.org/GEC_biomass_rept_4-
12-05.pdf, Date accessed: 6/26/08)
The Governors’ Ethanol Coalition believes that the nation’s dependence on oil is a major risk to our
energy, economic, and environmental security. National security is linked to energy through the
dependence of this country and many others on imported oil — much of it located in politically
troubled parts of the globe. As such, the potential for large-scale failures in the global production and
distribution system presents a real threat. The combination of political tensions in major oil-producing
nations along with oil demand growth from China and India has set in motion the pattern of energy
price volatility witnessed in recent years — creating periodic drags on the economy, increasing the
trade deficit, and setting the stage for far more serious consequences. The safest and cheapest way to
mitigate these risks is to set and achieve a goal of providing at least 5 percent of the nation’s
transportation fuel from ethanol by 2010, and to produce at least 8 billion gallons of ethanol a year by
2012. As soon as practical thereafter, the nation should produce at least 10 percent of its transportation fuel
from ethanol and biodiesel, including at least 1 billion gallons a year from biomass-derived ethanol.
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Pump Prices
Small Farms
Soil Erosion
Switchgrass is more effective at preventing soil erosion and water pollution than other
crops.
Greene, senior researcher with the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2004)
(Principal Author, Nathanael, NRDC, December, “GROWING ENERGY: How Biofuels Can Help End America’s
Oil Dependence” < http://www.nrdc.org/air/energy/biofuels/biofuels.pdf>. Accessed on June 29th 2008.)
On average, switchgrass requires less fertilizer, herbicide, insecticide, and fungicide per ton of biomass
than corn, wheat, and soybeans. The difference in these levels is telling of both the amount of upstream energy
and related pollution that different crops require, but it also gives insight into the sources of water pollution.
When these chemicals are applied to crops, they can either be absorbed by the plant or the soil or seep into
groundwater supplies or nearby waterways. Modeling done for this report gives a clearer comparison of
the level of actual runoff of nitrogen—one of the most important agriculture-related sources of water
pollution.27 Here we have modeled the level of nitrogen absorption for switchgrass, corn, and soybeans when
all three crops are provided with more than ample supplies of the fertilizer. If we assume that these crops absorb
the same amount of nitrogen when more typical amounts of fertilizer are applied, then the rest presumably ends
up leaching into groundwater or running off into surface water. Because switchgrass is more effective at
absorbing nitrogen, just under 10 kilograms per hectare per year of a typical application ends up as water
pollution. This is less than one-eighth of the runoff from a hectare of corn and three-fifths of the runoff from
soybeans. While applications of fertilizers are becoming more strategic for traditional crops such as corn and
soybeans, switchgrass is likely to benefit from these same techniques and thus should result in dramatically
less water pollution from agricultural fertilizer runoff for the foreseeable future. Because switchgrass is a
perennial and has a much more extensive root structure than traditional row crops, cultivating
switchgrass also results in dramatically less soil erosion. Previous analysis suggests that erosion from
switchgrass is between 11 and 110 times less than corn and generally less than all other agricultural crops
except for pasture and hay.28 (See Table 8.) Modeling done for this report shows even greater differences in
erosion, with switchgrass resulting in 0.9 ton/hectare/year of soil loss while corn and soybeans result in 67 and
109 tons/hectare/year respectively.
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Trade Deficit
We solve it
Spaulding 04 [Raci Oriona, J.D., The University of Iowa College of Law, May 2004; M.A. Economics,
University of Iowa, May 2004 Transnational Law & Contemporary Problems, Spring, 2003, 13 Transnat'l L. &
Contemp. Probs. 277, Lexis]
Furthermore, almost half of the United States trade deficit is caused by oil imports. <=122> n121 If the United
States maintains its current rate of oil importation, many believe oil will likely account for sixty to seventy
percent of the U.S. trade deficit in the next ten to twenty years. <=123> n122
The United States could drastically reduce its reliance on foreign oil, and thereby decrease the federal trade
deficit by enacting an RFS. Even without the existence of an official RFS, ethanol use alone has already
decreased the U.S. trade deficit by $ 2 billion each year. <=124> n123 Under an RFS, energy requirements will
be met by renewable sources produced domestically, which will decrease the demand for oil and decrease the
need to import it. This result is critical given predictions that within the next two decades, petroleum imports will
account for sixty to seventy percent of the U.S. trade deficit if importation continues at its present rate. <=125>
n124 Trade deficits are undesirable because they weaken the value of the dollar and instigate fear in stock market
investors that foreign investors will take their money elsewhere. <=126> n125 These factors contribute to stock
market crashes and depressions. <=127> n126 An RFS would help prevent these phenomena by decreasing the
need for oil importation which would reduce the U.S. trade deficit
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Warming 1/5
Cellulosic ethanol, unlike grain based ethanol has green house reductions of 80% compared
to oil
Greer, Contributing editor to biocycle and researcher specializing in green business and
alternative energy, 2005
(Diane, biocycle, “Creating Cellulosic Ethanol: Spinning Straw into Fuel,” april 2005,
http://www.harvestcleanenergy.org/enews/enews_0505/enews_0505_Cellulosic_Ethanol.htm/, 7/3/08).
Grain based ethanol utilizes fossil fuels to produce heat during the conversion process, generating
substantial greenhouse gas emissions. Cellulosic ethanol production substitutes biomass for fossil fuels,
changing the emissions calculations, according to Michael Wang of Argonne National Laboratories.
Wang has created a "Well to Wheel" (WTW) life cycle analysis model to calculate greenhouse gas emissions
produced by fuels in internal combustion engines. Life cycle analyses look at the environmental impact of a
product from its inception to the end of its useful life.
"The WTW model for cellulosic ethanol showed greenhouse gas emission reductions of about 80% [over
gasoline]," said Wang. "Corn ethanol showed 20 to 30% reductions." Cellulosic ethanol's favorable
profile stems from using lignin, a biomass by-product of the conversion operation, to fuel the process.
"Lignin is a renewable fuel with no net greenhouse gas emissions," explains Wang. "Greenhouse gases
produced by the combustion of biomass are offset by the CO2 absorbed by the biomass as it grows."
Cellulose ethanol reduces greenhouse gas emissions by 85% of gas, and has a plentiful
supply.
Choi, The Korea Herald, 7-18-06 (Hee-suk “[TECH ANALYSIS]Can cellulosic ethanol fuel the
future?” Lexis Nexis, June 30, 2008)
According to the U.S. Energy Department, combustion of cellulosic ethanol produces less green house
gases compared to both sugar-based ethanol and gasoline. Combustion of ethanol made from sugar
reduces green house gas emissions by 18 percent to 29 percent compared to gasoline but cellulose
ethanol reduces greenhouse gases emissions by up to 85 percent. Another advantage of cellulosic
ethanol is the plentiful supply of the raw material. Unlike sugar and starch, the whole of the plant
contains cellulose, therefore the whole plant can be harvested, multiplying the yield per acre.
Agricultural waste like straw and grass can be used as sources of cellulose. Because the plants are not
grown as food supplies, plants such as switch grass can be grown on land unsuitable for food
production. John Ashworth, of the U.S. Department of Energy, believes that in the United States alone
over one billion tons of material for cellulosic ethanol production becomes available every year, enough
to produce 100 billion gallons of ethanol. Collection of one billion tons of such material may not be
possible, but Ashworth believes cellulosic ethanol could replace up to 40 percent of the United States'
annual gasoline consumptions. This could be the silver bullet for our future energy needs.
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Warming 2/5
Switchgrass is GSG negative and eliminates GHG better than any other biofuel.
Schmer et al., U.S. Department of Agriculture–Agricultural Research Service, at the University of Nebraska,
2007
(M. R. *, K. P. Vogel, R. B. Mitchell, and R. K. Perrin, Agricultural Economics Department, University of
Nebraska. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. November 11. “Net energy of cellulosic ethanol
from switchgrass” < http://www.pnas.org.floyd.lib.umn.edu/content/105/2/464.full?sid=585687c9-1c47-
4a17-aab0-98b3591542c3>. Accessed on July 3, 2008)
Life-cycle analysis models have quantified the amount of either GHG emitted from ethanol or GHG displaced
by shifting to an ethanol energy source from a petroleum energy source (8, 10, 21–23). For switchgrass, studies
have estimated the amount of GHG displaced by the amount of harvested material that is converted to ethanol (8,
10, 23). Others have determined the amount of GHG displaced by the amount of harvested material and
by the amount of carbon dioxide sequestered into the soil profile (24, 25). The amount of soil carbon
sequestration by reintroduction of perennial grasses to a field depends on existing soil C concentration,
soil type, climate, precipitation, management, and annual biomass production (26, 27). Soil carbon levels
on low-input switchgrass fields (29 soil types) have been shown to increase over time, across soil depths, and are
higher than adjacent cropland fields in the Northern Plains (26). Switchgrass managed for bioenergy on
multiple soil types in the Northern Plains was carbon-negative, sequestering 4.42 Mg C ha−1·y−1 into the
soil profile (27). In this analysis, the amount of GHG emissions displaced using ethanol from switchgrass over
conventional gasoline was estimated based on biomass yields by both fossil fuel displacement (9) and the
estimated carbon dioxide sequestered as soil C for 100 yr by switchgrass on converted cropland (28). Life-cycle
analysis estimated that ethanol from switchgrass averaged 94% lower GHG emissions than from gasoline
(Fig. 5; see also SI Table 5). Switchgrass fields were GHG-positive, -neutral, or -negative, depending on
agriculture input amounts (mainly N fertilization) and subsequent biomass yields. Three of the 5 harvest yr
showed farms averaging near-GHG neutral levels. GHG emissions of ethanol from switchgrass, using only the
displacement method, showed 88% less GHG emissions than conventional gasoline (8). The use of lignaceous
biomass residue for energy at a cellulosic biorefinery is the main reason why switchgrass (8) and human-
made prairies (19) have theoretically lower GHG emissions than biofuels from annual crops, where
processing energy currently is derived from fossil fuels (11).
Cellulose ethanol reduces 90% of the greenhouse gas emissions that petroleum relesases,
and is the most promising resource to replace oil
Tuck, The Globe and Mail (Canada), 2006
(Simon, “Goldman Sachs sees green in biofuel firm; Investment bank taking stake in Iogen, a leader in cellulose
ethanol technology”, May 1st, B3)
Cellulose ethanol, which can be used as a fuel or a fuel additive, and is considered greener than
standard gasoline or even grain-based ethanol, is made from organic materials such as corn stalks,
straw and other agricultural waste. The fuel is considered a potential boon for farmers because it could
create a viable market for materials that are now largely discarded and could also add another leg to
Canada's fast-growing energy sector. And, according to one of Wall Street's most successful financial services
companies, cellulose ethanol also represents a good investment. Michael DuVally, a spokesman for Goldman
Sachs, said Iogen is "one of a number of investment opportunities in the renewable energy sector that
Goldman Sachs has identified and believes has the potential to yield attractive returns." Development of the
fuel was given a big boost last week by U.S. President George W. Bush, who cited it - along with biodiesel
and hybrid motors - as one of the promising technologies for reducing dependence on foreign oil. During
a speech in Washington on confronting high gasoline prices, Mr. Bush set a goal of ensuring that cellulose
ethanol is affordable within six years. Many environmental groups say cellulose ethanol is superior to
grain-based ethanol because it's made largely from waste, not food, and that it emits 90 per cent less
carbon dioxide than regular gas. John Bennett, energy policy adviser for the Sierra Club of Canada, said
cellulose ethanol also allows oil companies to use an organic oxygen booster in gas rather than one with
heavy metals. "Cellulose ethanol really is the hope of the future."
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Warming 3/5
Cellulosic ethanol emits only 10% of the green house gasses that gas does
Lynd, Thayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College, 2003
(Lee R, National Commission on Energy Policy Forum “Cellulosic Ethanol Fact Sheet,” June 13th,
http://www.energycommission.org/files/finalReport/IV.4.c%20-
%20Cellulosic%20Ethanol%20Fact%20Sheet.pdf accessed 6/29/08).
The photosynthetic production of biomass removes from the atmosphere the same amount of CO2 that is
returned upon conversion and utilization. The extent to which the ideal of a sustainable carbon cycle (zero
net greenhouse gas emissions) is approached depends on the fossil energy inputs required used in the
feedstock production/conversion/utilization cycle. Since such inputs are very low in the case of
cellulosic ethanol (above), net greenhouse gas emissions are also very low. Several detailed life cycle
studies have concluded that greenhouse gas emissions accompanying use of cellulosic ethanol are less
than 10% accompanying use of gasoline, and zero or negative net greenhouse gas emissions have been
estimated for some scenarios.
Warming 4/5
1
2
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Warming 5/5
Switchgrass has the ability to sequester carbon in the soil and lower greenhouse gasses.
Greene, senior researcher with the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2004)
(Principal Author, Nathanael, NRDC, December, “GROWING ENERGY: How Biofuels Can Help End America’s
Oil Dependence” < http://www.nrdc.org/air/energy/biofuels/biofuels.pdf>. Accessed on June 29th 2008.)
One aspect of air pollution is important to mention in the context of growing switchgrass: it has a superior
ability to sequester carbon in the soil, substantially reducing the already very low life-cycle greenhouse
gas emissions from cellulosic biofuels. The substantial root base of switchgrass and the fact that it is a
perennial grass allow it to sequester much more carbon per year in the soil than other crops that either
have a shallower root base, or are tilled annually. Counterintuitively, the amount of soil carbon under
switchgrass increases when the crop is harvested annually.29 This has the added advantage of
improving soil organic matter levels, which raises the interesting prospect that switchgrass could be
rotated with soilcarbon depleting crops. For instance, switchgrass could be grown for 10 years followed
by a number of years of corn or soybeans. Of course, such practices would need to be studied extensively
to understand the long-term soil carbon impacts and their overall sustainability. Figure 4 below shows how
soil carbon levels improve over time under switchgrass depending on the condition of the soil before the
switchgrass is planted.
Switchgrass can sequester carbon at higher rates than many fallowed soils.
De La Torre Ugarte, Associate Professor Department of Agricultural Economics,
University of Tenessee.
(Daniel G., Lixia He, Kimberly L. Jensen, Burton C. English, and Kaelin Willis*Post Doctoral Research
Associate, Professors, and Graduate Research Assistant, respectively. Department of Agricultural Economics,
University of Tennessee. Selected Paper, 2008 Annual Meeting of the American Agricultural Economics
Association, Orlando, Florida “Estimating Agricultural Impacts of Expanded Ethanol Production: Policy
Implications for Water Demand and Quality.” < http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/6700/2/44984.
pdf>. Accessed via AgEcon on June 29th 2008.)
Switchgrass has a high root mass and can sequester soil carbon at higher rates than many row crops
and fallowed soils. Liebig, et al. compared soil carbon stocks in established switchgrass stand with stocks in
nearby cultivated cropland. Their results indicated soil carbon benefits not only at near-surface depths,
but also at greater depths. These results suggest that switchgrass is effective at deep storage of soil
organic carbon. Findings from a study by Ma, Wood and Bransby suggest that after about 10 years of
switchgrass culture, compared withfallow soils of similar type, soil organic carbon was 25 to 48 percent
higher.
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## Disadvantage Answers ##
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Current federal funding for biorefineries and research grants are in the millions.
US Department of Energy, 2008.
(US Department of Energy: Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Biomass Program, May 28 “New Farm Bill
Speeds Commercialization of Advanced Biofuels.” <http://www1.eere.energy.gov/biomass/news_detail.html?news
_id=11789>.Accessed on June 29, 2008.)
Congress passed a new farm bill on May 22 that will accelerate the commercialization of advanced
biofuels, including cellulosic ethanol, encourage the production of biomass crops, and expand the U.S.
Department of Agriculture's current Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Program. Section 9003 of the
Food, Conservation, and Energy Act of 2008 provides for grants covering up to 30% of the cost of
developing and building demonstration-scale biorefineries for producing "advanced biofuels," which
essentially includes all fuels that are not produced from corn kernel starch. It also allows for loan guarantees of
up to $250 million for building commercial-scale biorefineries to produce advanced biofuels. The bill
funds the biorefinery program by drawing $75 million in funds from the Commodity Credit Corporation
(CCC) for fiscal year (FY) 2009, increasing to $245 million by FY 2010. It also authorizes $150 million per year
in discretionary funds for the program. Section 15321 of the bill establishes a new tax credit for producers of
cellulosic biofuels, that is, biofuels produced from wood, grasses, or the non-edible parts of plants. The new
cellulosic biofuel producer credit is set at $1.01 per gallon and applies only to fuel produced and used as fuel
in the United States. In addition, Section 9005 of the bill provides $55 million in CCC funds in FY 2009 to
support advanced biofuel production, increasing to $105 million by FY 2012. It also authorizes up to $25
million per year in discretionary funding. The more crop-oriented measures include Section 9010 of the bill,
which allows the CCC to buy sugar from U.S. producers and sell it to bioenergy producers, and Section 9011,
which creates the Biomass Crop Assistance Program to support the establishment and production of biomass
crops.
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The Energy Independence and Security Act mandates a 16 billion gallon increase in
celloluse ethanol by 2022.
Baker, pursuing a Ph.D. in economics at Iowa State University. Et al, 2008
(Mindy L., Dermot J. Hayes, Pioneer Hi-Bred International Chair in Agribusiness, professor of economics,
and professor of finance at Iowa State University and Bruce A. Babcock , professor of economics and the
director of the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development at Iowa State University. Paper prepared for
presentation at the American Agricultural Economics association Annual Meeting, Orlando, FL, July 27-29,
2008. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University “Crop-Based Biofuel
Production under Acreage Constraints and Uncertainty.” <http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream /6352/
2/467340.pdf>. Accessed via AgEcon Databases on June 29 2008).
The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA) was signed into law in December 2007. This act
mandates the use of 36 billion gallons of biofuels by 2022, of which 15 billion gallons must come
from corn-based ethanol and 21 billion from advanced biofuels, including 1 billion gallons of biomass-based diesel and 16
billion gallons of cellulosic biofuels. This new mandate means a significant increase in current
biofuel production levels. Corn-based ethanol production was 1.63 billion gallons in 2000, and by the end of 2007
production reached 7.23 billion gallons (see http://www.ethanolrfa.org/industry/statistics/). This increase in corn ethanol
production has led to record high nominal corn prices in 2008. Competition for acreage has transferred some
of the demand pressure experienced in corn markets to soybean and hay markets; the prices of
these commodities have increased substantially as well.
Farm bill giving incentives for cellulosic fuels in the status quo
RFA, Renewable Fuels Association, 08
(“Cellulosic Ethanol,” http://www.ethanolrfa.org/resource/cellulosic/, date accessed: 6/29/08)
The farm bill, the Food, Conservation and Energy Act of 2008, H.R. 2419, includes a new income tax
credit for the producers of cellulosic alcohol and other cellulosic biofuels. The credit is $1.01 per gallon.
If the cellulosic biofuel is ethanol, this amount is reduced by the amount of credit available for alcohol
fuels generally (now assumed to be $0.45 per gallon in 2009). The credit will apply to fuel produced after
2008 and before 2013. For more information, click HERE.
Non-unique, Energy Bill for incentives for Cellulosic Ethanol was passed in 2006
Wald, Journalist for the New York Times, 2008
(Matthew G., New York Times, “G.M. Invests in Second Ethanol Process,” May 1st,
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/01/business/01ethanol-web.html, accessed 7/1/08)
In addition, the energy bill passed by Congress last year provides generous incentives for cellulosic
ethanol. And it has the potential to cut carbon dioxide output from fuel use because the material from
which it is made re-absorbs carbon from the atmosphere as it grows.
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AT “Backstopping”
AT “Brazil”
Brazil is self-sufficient because of domestic oil resevres and dependenc on foreign markets
not ethanol.
Victor, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Science and Technology, 2008
(David G., Houston Chronicle via the Council on Foreign Relations, April 15, <http://www.cfr.org/publ
Ication/10461/learning_from_brazil.html>. Accessed on July 1 2008.)
The Brazilian government is declaring victory in its decades-long struggle to become self-sufficient in
the supply of oil. The milestone is cause for celebration in a country that has long paid a high price for
imported energy.
It will also reverberate here in the United States where policy-makers, too, are trying to wean the nation from
costly imports, jittery markets and the foreign spigot. But we must learn the right lessons. Brazil’s success came
not from treating oil as an addiction but by producing even more of the stuff and by becoming even more
dependent on world markets. Here in the United States, most attention to Brazil’s fuel supply has focused
on the country’s aggressive program to replace oil with ethanol that is made by fermenting homegrown
sugar. American newspapers are filled with stories about Brazil’s famous “flex fuel” vehicles that make it easy
to switch between ethanol and conventional gasoline. Guided partly by Brazil’s apparent success, American
policy-makers are crafting new mandates for ethanol, and flex fuel vehicles are now taking shape. We have the
impression that ethanol is king. In reality, ethanol is a minor player in Brazilian energy supply. It accounts
for less than one-tenth of all the country’s energy liquids. The real source of Brazil’s self-sufficiency is the
country’s extraordinary success in producing more oil. After the 1970s oil shocks, when Brazil’s fuel import
bill soared, the government pushed Petrobras, the state-controlled oil company, to look asunder for new
energy sources. Petrobras delivered, especially at home, where the firm pioneered the technologies that make it
possible to extract oil locked in sediments under the seabed in extremely deep water. In the middle 1970s Brazil
struggled to produce just 180,000 barrels of oil per day while importing four times that amount. Today it
produces about 2 million and is self-sufficient. Indeed, the current milestone of self-sufficiency arrives with the
inauguration of Brazil’s newest deep water platform, the “P50.” When P50 reaches its full output later this year,
that one platform will deliver more liquid to Brazil than the country’s entire ethanol program.
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Corn ethanol uses more energy to create than it produces, cellulosic ethanol provides a
practical $1 a gallon production cost
Tannert, contributing writer to Popular Mechanics, 08 (Chuck, Popular Mechanics, Ethanol Makes Mini
Comeback: Live at the 2008 Auto Show, Jan 16,
http://www.popularmechanics.com/automotive/new_cars/4244965.html?series=47, 6/30/08)
DETROIT — There’s been a lot of talk about ethanol lately, most of it not very positive. But you wouldn’t
know it from the E85 buzz here at the show.
Most of the backlash comes from the simple fact that corn-based ethanol production doesn’t make sense
financially—the numbers just don’t add up. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory says as much, flat
out: “Today, 1 Btu of fossil energy consumed in producing and delivering corn ethanol results in 1.3 Btu
of usable energy in your fuel tank.” And even that modest payback may be overstated. Skeptics cite the
research of Cornell University professor David Pimentel, who estimates that it takes approximately 1.3 gal.
of oil to produce a single gallon of ethanol.
But there’s a silver lining to this rather gray outlook (besides the new biofuel rides described in our slide
show below and throughout the show): Coskata, a startup biofuel company, has developed a new cellulosic
process that can make ethanol from almost any carbon-rich source—including old tires—for less than
$1 a gallon. That would be about half as much as making gasoline, and much cheaper than other next-
generation biofuels. And that’s what got General Motors to invest bigtime.
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NEW YORK - Switchgrass, a crop touted by venture capitalists and environmentalists alike as a next-
generation ethanol feedstock, yields about five times more energy than it takes to grow it, making the
plant a far more efficient fuel source than corn, a new study said.
In addition, the life cycle of the switchgrass ethanol -- which includes growing the crop, making the
fuel, and burning it in vehicles -- emits about 94 percent less of planet-warming carbon dioxide than the
life cycle of gasoline, said the study, published on Tuesday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences.
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There is no way that corn can replace fossil fuels or reduce dependence on foreign oil
Pimentel, Professor of entomology at the College of Agriculture and Life Sciences at Cornell University, 2008
(David, Blue Ridge Press, “Corn can't save us: Debunking the biofuel myth,” 02/25
http://kennebecjournal.mainetoday.com/view/columns/4793307.html, Accessed on 7/3/08
Dwindling foreign oil, rising prices at the gas pump, and hype from politically well-connected U.S.
agribusiness have combined to create a frenzied rush to convert food grains into ethanol fuel. The
move is badly conceived and ill advised. Corporate spin and pork barrel legislation aside, here, by the
numbers, are the scientific reasons why corn won't provide our energy needs:
First, using corn or any other biomass for ethanol requires huge regions of fertile land, plus massive
amounts of water and sunlight to maximize crop production. All green plants in the U.S. -- including
all crops, forests, and grasslands, combined -- collect about 32 quads (32 x 1015 BTU) of sunlight
energy per year. Meanwhile, the American population currently burns more than 3 times that amount
of energy annually as fossil fuels! There isn't even close to enough biomass in America to supply our
biofuel needs.
Second, biofuel enthusiasts -- including agribusiness lobbyists and PR firms -- suggest that ethanol
produced from corn and cellulosic biomass (like grasses), could replace much of the oil used in the
United States. But consider that 20 percent of the U.S. corn crop was converted into 5 billion gallons of
ethanol in 2006, but that amount replaced only 1 percent of U.S. oil consumption. If the entire national
corn crop were used to make ethanol, it would replace a mere 7% of U.S. oil consumption -- far from
making the U.S. independent of foreign oil.
Third, ethanol production is energy intensive: Cornell University's up-to-date analysis of the 14 energy
inputs that go into corn production, plus the nine energy inputs invested in ethanol fermentation and
distillation, confirms that more than 40 percent of the energy contained in one gallon of corn ethanol is
expended to produce it. That expended energy to make ethanol comes mostly from highly valuable oil and
natural gas.
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Using Corn Ethanol is wreaking havoc on the environment and causing food shortages for
the worlds poor
Pimentel, Professor of entomology at the College of Agriculture and Life Sciences at Cornell University, 2008
(David, Blue Ridge Press, “Corn can't save us: Debunking the biofuel myth,” 02/25
http://kennebecjournal.mainetoday.com/view/columns/4793307.html, Accessed on 7/3/08)
Moreover, the environmental impacts of corn ethanol production are serious and diverse. These include
severe soil erosion of valuable food cropland, plus the heavy use of nitrogen fertilizers and pesticides
that pollute rivers. Fermenting corn to make one gallon of ethanol produces 12 gallons of noxious
sewage effluent. Making ethanol requires the use of fossil fuels, releasing large quantities of carbon
dioxide into the atmosphere, adding to global warming.
Finally, using food crops, such as corn, to produce ethanol raises major nutritional and ethical
concerns. Nearly 60 percent of the people on earth are currently malnourished according to the World
Health Organization. Growing crops for fuel squanders land, water, and energy vital for human food
production.
The use of corn for ethanol has led to major increases in the price of U.S. beef, chicken, pork, eggs,
breads, cereals, and milk -- a boon to agribusiness and bane to consumers. Director General of the U.N.
Food & Agriculture Organization Jacques Diouf reports that using 22 pounds of corn to produce one gallon
of ethanol is already causing food shortages for the world's poor.
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AT “Deforestation”
No tradeoff
Dale, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Michigan State University, 2007
(Bruce, “Grassoline in your Tank, Myths and Realities about Biofuels,” 12/18/2007,
http://www.everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx, accessed on 7/6/08)
We can probably make about 15 billion gallons per year of ethanol from corn, which is about 10 percent of
our annual gasoline consumption, before we reach its limits. The Brazilians can probably make a similar amount from
sugar cane. While that doesn’t fundamentally change our dependence on imported oil, it is still a lot of fuel that we are not paying other
nations, many of them hostile, to produce for us. Jim Woolsey, former director of the CIA, has pointed out that the twin pillars of
international terrorism are the illegal drug trade, and the oil trade. Woolsey also correctly states that the war on terror is the only war in which
we have paid for both sides—by our taxes on our side and by our oil imports on their side. Nonetheless, it is simply true that there is not
enough corn or sugar in the world to replace more than a small fraction of our total oil needs. But the situation is much different for
grassoline. The U. S. Dept. of Agriculture and the U. S. Dept. of Energy recently issued a report indicating that our country
can sustainably produce about 1.3 billion tons of cellulosic materials (wood, grass, straw, etc.) per year,
enough to make well over 100 billion gallons of ethanol. The energy content of this much cellulosic
material is about equal to the energy content of 3.5 billion barrels of oil—which happens to be the
maximum amount of oil the U. S. ever produced before our domestic oil production peaked and began
declining in the early 1970s. Other highly qualified sources are even more positive about the potential of
grassoline. Ceres, a leading plant biotechnology company, believes that average yields of energy grasses such
as switch grass can increase threefold to about 15 tons per acre per year in a relatively short time. The
giant grass Miscanthus sinenis is probably even more productive, with yields reported already of over 20 tons
per acre per year. Given that corn yields have increased by over fivefold in the past 30 years or so, the
increased grass yields envisioned by Ceres and others would seem to be well within reach. If, out of 800
million acres of crop and pasture land, we devote 100 million acres of land to grow grasses yielding 15 tons
per acre we can produce about 150 billion gallons of ethanol per year…roughly the same volume as our
total gasoline consumption. Animal feeds will probably be co-produced with grassoline, further reducing
the amount of land required. Reasonable scenarios have been proposed that envision no new land devoted
to agriculture and that still replace all oil imports with domestically produced grassoline. Grassoline
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therefore has the potential to be a very, very large business and land availability is simply not a limit to the
growth of the industry.
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Link Turn: Ethanol production is not increasing food prices, oil is. By increasing ethanol
production we will actually reduce food prices by replacing oil with cheaper ethanol
Dale, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Michigan State University, 2007
(Bruce, “Grassoline in your Tank, Myths and Realities about Biofuels,” 12/18/2007,
http://www.everythingbiomass.org/Publications/tabid/443/Default.aspx, accessed on 7/6/08)
The idea of turning corn into ethanol conjures up visions of our cars taking grain out of the mouths of hungry
people. Actually, well over 70 percent of the grain we grow is used to feed animals, not people. We really
don’t “grow food” in this country, or in most of the developed world. We grow animal feed instead and
then we eat the meat, milk, eggs, cheese, etc. that the animals produce. We have about 800 million acres of
cropland and animal pasture in this country. It is easy to show that about 500 million of those acres
produce animal feed, not food consumed directly by human beings. If you want to increase grain supplies
(and decrease grain prices, thereby putting a lot of poor Third World farmers out of business), then become a
strict vegetarian. While no one wishes to minimize the problem of hunger in the world, this issue of
“food vs. fuel” requires facts and logic, not emotionalism.
There is about five cents worth of corn in that $3 box of corn flakes you just bought at the store.
Increased corn prices affect the cost of a few things at the store, but the cost of fuel to move all those
groceries around affects the price of literally everything. Keeping a lid on gas prices by converting
some of our surplus grain into ethanol will help hold down food prices. Actually, the use of corn to make
ethanol is self limiting. As demand for corn increases, its price will rise to the point where it will no longer be
economical to produce ethanol from corn.
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No land trade-off
Ring, Staff Writer, 08
(Ed, EcoWorld, "Cellulosic Ethanol: What is it, can we make it cost effectively, and when?" 6-
29-8, http://www.ecoworld.com/home/articles2.cfm?tid=462, 6-29-8)
Construction debris and municipal solid waste are obvious candidates for cellulosic harvesting, and
even the non-cellulosic materials can be used as fuel for the extraction of syngas (which is converted into
ethanol), or reclaimed as building materials. According to the Dept. of Energy, 325 million tons of these
waste resources are produced each year. We have assumed 90% utilization, and only 75 gallons of ethanol
per ton, a yield that is below most projections. Other waste resources are deliberately understated - just our
industrial emissions are probably sufficient to deliver 100 million tons of feedstock. Also not included in this
analysis anywhere else are crop residue, a huge source of feedstocks, some percentage of which can certainly
be allocated sustainably to ethanol production without sacrificing soil health. It isn't easy to estimate just
how much cellulosic feedstock could be sustainably harvested each year in the USA, but but two things
are clear from this analysis. (1) When cellulosic ethanol extraction becomes a commercially competitive
process, and the industrial capacity is in place to produce high volumes of ethanol from cellulosic
materials, there will be plenty of feedstocks - at least 1.0 billion tons per year; probably twice that.
Cellulosic ethanol definitely has the potential to become a significant source of transportation fuel, and (2)
Khosla's contention that land use dedicated to ethanol production in the USA might actually decrease
when cellulosic processing takes over is completely plausible. In the example above, no corn ethanol was
produced, and the dedicated acreage committed to cellulosic ethanol was assumed to be 5% of America's
farmland, whereas today corn ethanol is grown on about 7% of America's farmland.
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Cellulosic ethanol doesn’t lead to higher food prices, completely separate crops
Reuters Reputed news agency ‘08
Planet Ark “Switchgrass: fuel yields bountiful energy: study” January 10th 2008
http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/46338/story.htm Accessed 6/19/08
Switchgrass is expected to be the main feedstock for cellulosic ethanol, a new type of alternative fuel
made from breaking down the woody bits of plants. The energy law signed by President Bush last month
mandates a five-fold increase in ethanol blending by 2022, and some of that fuel is required to come from
cellulosic sources.
Switchgrass, which used to grow naturally across wide swaths of the United States, can be grown on
marginal crop land using far fewer energy-intensive inputs like fertilizer than corn needs. And since it
does not double as a feed crop, it will not lead to higher grain prices.
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Skyrocketing food prices driven by current subsidies are causing thousands to live in
impoverished, war torn countries
Faiola, Post Global Economics Reporter, 08 (Anthony, The Washington Post, April 28, “Global Food Prices and
Africa’s Economic Famine”, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/discussion/2008/04/25/DI2008042502546.html, 7/12/08)
Manassas, Va.: The advantages in technology supposedly should allow the world's population to be fed
amply. However, countries around the world are more protectionist with their agricultural products
through subsidies and higher tariffs, arguing that's the only way to protect their own food needs. Don't
you think that type of policy makes the problem worse by giving less incentive to produce, causing even
higher prices? I think this is a totally political problem. Anthony Faiola: You're right, there are some
troubling factors at play here. For one, productivity in agriculture is flagging after many years of solid
increases. It seems subsidies have robbed some of the incentive to pushing for higher crop yields.
Rockville, Md.: Food shortages used to be regular events in history -- and not that many years ago. The "green revolution" eased the
problem, but population always tries to stay ahead of the problem. But to be selfish, is it better for the U.S. to have something to sell for
oil? We may be one of the last five exporting countries. How much can we grow our exports? At what cost to the environment? If great,
what can we do to have both a big harvest and be kind to the environment? Anthony Faiola: All very good questions. Again, one of the
problems we're facing is that the "green revolution" actually is slipping away, with crop growth slowing considerably. It does
benefit the U.S. to be a net exporter, but as you've noticed, food prices at home have gone up too.
Munich, Germany: I often had heard the criticism that subsidized farming in Europe and the the U.S. had pushed world prices of wheat,
for instance, to such low levels that small farmers in third-world countries no longer could complete with imported goods. While not
alleviating the current crisis, and while it's perhaps not applicable to arid countries like Mauritania, do you think that there's merit in
letting small farmers in countries like Sri Lanka and Haiti gain income and viability from higher food prices? Won't slightly higher
prices be an inducement for small, third-world farmers to start farming again? Anthony Faiola: Thanks for joining us from Munich. The
big problem here is that small farmers often don't benefit from higher food prices. Most subsistence farmers
only can grow a portion of their food needs, and consume everything they grow, and don't benefit from
higher prices at market. Even slightly larger-scale farmers are facing soaring costs for seeds,
fertilizers, etc., that tend to cancel out potential gains. Thanks for the skepticism. You are right, this isn't
a crisis in America. But if you look just to our south, Haiti's government has been destabilized; 100
million in Africa are slipping deeper into hunger; riots have broken out in more than 14 countries. So
in a global context, this is indeed a crisis.
The world needs more food and fuel, biofuels can contribute to both efficiently and increase
the global economy
Dorr, U.S. under secretary of agriculture for rural development, 08 (Thomas C., US Department of State Bureau
of International Information Programs Ask America Webchat Transcript, June 10,
http://www.america.gov/st/washfile-english/2008/June/20080611115753xjsnommis0.1375696.html, 7/01/08)
A [Thomas Dorr]: What we are experiencing with today’s dramatic increases in price for food and fuel are not
unprecedented. We’ve incurred similar price rises in the early 70’s. The assumption then, as today, was that we were
running into long-term shortages. Then, as today, we were coming off long periods of depressed commodity prices and
infrastructure development. Internationally there had been a lack of investment. The United States response in the 1970’s
was to impose export embargos and wage and price freezes. This had severe negative impacts on global commodity
prices, while short-circuiting increased production. We now recognize that the United States’ response at that time
was wrong.
Since 1980 internationally, we have experienced flat commodity prices. These deflated prices, in conjunction with
substantial global economic growth, have created these energy and food price pressures.
There are large sustainable international tracts of under-utilized farmland. There are production technologies
which are unavailable to many areas of the world due to self-imposed restrictions. The lack of open and free
international trade also impedes available access to these commodities.
A greater willingness to address these issues and focus on opportunities and open markets, as opposed to creating
obstacles will resolve many of these issues quite quickly.
Q [Chat Participant]: Hello All! This is Nalin, I am a MBA Student at ISB, Hyderabad, India
A [Thomas Dorr]: I'd like to respond to Colombia's comment above. The world needs more food AND more fuel. Both
are indispensable, and agriculture can contribute to both goals. You are entirely correct that we need to search for
new solutions. With regard to biofuels, there are opportunities in several areas. Much of the world still practices
traditional agriculture, so higher prices for commodities offer an historic opportunity to modernize farming. The
potential increases in yields are very significant. In addition, the United States continues to increase yields through
technology, especially through genetic research that allows us to increase yield per acre, increase the energy yield
per unit of volume, increase drought tolerance, and reduce the intensity of fertilizer, herbicide, and pesticide
usage. Finally, over the next several years we anticipate the commercialization of cellulosic ethanol, which will
allow large scale ethanol production from non-food plants.
Moderator: The Under Secretary continues to review your questions. Thank you for your patience.
A [Thomas Dorr]: I would like to respond to Harish's comment above.
Increasing energy efficiency is an important objective, and the U.S. is working very hard in this area. In the long
run however, given the growth in population and the very rapid economic development being achieved by an increasing
number of emerging nations, the solution to the global energy crisis is to produce more energy. As I’ve noted earlier,
we have many options. We cannot say with certainty at this time which of them will emerge as the most cost-effective
next-generation fuel, but we can approach this question with confidence that free markets can and will find solutions.
This is an historic opportunity for researchers, investors, and innovators.
AT “Monoculture”
AT “Spending”
Turn: Increased Ethanol production reduces oil dependence which has cost the U.S. 3.4
trillion dollars
The Governors’ Ethanol Coalition, A non-profit organization that supports the increased production and
use of fuels that can reduce air pollution and oil imports, 2004
(“Ethanol from Biomass America’s 21st Century Transportation Fuel,” August 24th www.ethanol-
gec.org/information/hewlettproposal.pdf, Accessed on 7/9/08)
U.S. dependence on oil supplies and production facilities concentrated in the Persian Gulf make
defense of this area a high priority for the U.S. military. While there is no doubt that a portion of the U.S.
military budget is used to protect access to Persian Gulf oil, the magnitude of this value is difficult to
determine. Analysts’ estimates for the cost of maintaining an uninterrupted flow of oil from the Gulf
region vary widely, from less than $0.5 billion to $70 billion annually. Producing ethanol from
renewable, domestically supplied biomass presents an opportunity for the nation to reduce the costs
associated with protecting Persian Gulf oil interests. • Oil Supply Disruptions and the Economy The Arab
oil embargo, Iranian Revolution, Persian Gulf War, and the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait resulted in oil supply
disruptions and subsequent oil price hikes followed by economic recessions. Over the last 30 years, oil
dependence — including price hikes during supply disruptions and the transfer of wealth — has cost the
nation $3.4 trillion, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Biofuels production cannot eliminate
dependence on foreign oil, but the greater the biofuels production, the less the dependence and the
better the nation can respond to oil supply disruptions.
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008 88
Lacy/Symonds/Bowen Cellulosic Ethanol Aff