NRCC MEMO: ARIZONA’S FIRST DISTRICT - National Republican Congressional Committee

10/8/12 12:54 PM

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NRCC MEMO: ARIZONA’S FIRST
DISTRICT
NRCC | October 8th, 2012 TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NRCC POLLING DIRECTOR BROCK MCCLEARY DATE: OCTOBER 8, 2012 SUBJECT: ARIZONA’S FIRST DISTRICT Iraq veteran Jonathan Paton is on the rise according to the results of a poll conducted by the NRCC in Arizona’s 1stDistrict. Paton is benefitting from an advertising blitz in the last two weeks that has helped him move ahead of former Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick. As the default incumbent in the race, Kirkpatrick can ill afford to fall behind when undecided voters are likely to break for the challenger.

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Congressional Ballot: Jonathan Paton Ann Kirkpatrick Undecided 50% 45% 5%

NRCC Big spender @CheriBustos, just another politician who thinks our money is free. ow.ly/ej1j6 cc: @ilgop
59 minutes ago · reply · retweet · favorite

Voters are deadlocked 46-46% on whether they prefer a Republican or Democrat to represent them in Congress. Paton’s 50% on the ballot demonstrates support for him that goes beyond just base voters.

JimSmall .@JonathanPaton leading @Ann_Kirkpatrick 50-45 in autodial #AZ01 poll released today by @NRCC . MOE is +/- 4.3%.
about 1 hour ago · reply · retweet · favorite

NRCC Dave Loebsack: Asleep on the job ow.ly/eiUbh cc: @IowaGOP
about 1 hour ago · reply · retweet · favorite

Generic Congressional Ballot: 46% Republican Democratic Undecided 46% 8%

NRCC Isn't it time to give Larry Kissell a pink slip? ow.ly/eiTNm cc: @NCGOP #tcot
about 1 hour ago · reply · retweet · favorite

GeorgiaTipsheet The @NRCC is spending $208K on two new TV ads this week. @BrandonDHowell has the deets: bit.ly/SY0fVJ. #ga12 #gapol #gagop Join the conversation

At the top of the ticket, a post-debate bounce is evident for Governor Romney.

Presidential Ballot: Mitt Romney Barack Obama Undecided 51% 46% 3%

http://www.nrcc.org/2012/10/08/nrcc-memo-arizonas-first-district/

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NRCC MEMO: ARIZONA’S FIRST DISTRICT - National Republican Congressional Committee

10/8/12 12:54 PM

The interactive voice response (IVR) survey was conducted by the NRCC on October 4th with a sample size of 501 respondents and a margin of error +/-4.3%. The party registration breakdown for the sample was:

Sample by party: Democrats Republican Independents Other 44% 32% 23% 1%

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