Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times Poll For release: Wednesday, October 31, 2012 3:00 A.M.

ET *Embargoed until 3:00 am ET, Wednesday, October 31, 2012* The Race Tightens in Florida & Virginia; The President Holds his Lead in Ohio
October 23-28, 2012

In Florida, Mitt Romney has cut the President’s nine-point advantage last month down to just one point. Romney now leads with seniors (the President had the edge in September), and he has increased his lead among white voters.

In Virginia, where the President has just a two point lead, Mitt Romney now has a significant advantage with independents.

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In Ohio, President Obama leads Mitt Romney by five points, just as he did last week.

In Florida and Ohio, the candidates are now running about even on handling the economy. In Virginia, Romney has an edge. The President continues to be seen as caring about the needs and problems of voters, but more think Romney has strong qualities of leadership. Where the Race Stands The presidential race has tightened in the key battlegrounds of Florida and Virginia, where the candidates are now running neck and neck. In Florida, what was once a nine-point advantage for the President a month ago has been reduced to just a one-point edge – 48% to 47%. Mr. Obama has just a two-point edge over Mitt Romney in Virginia – down from five points earlier in the month. Both leads are within the poll’s margin of error. In Ohio, President Obama is holding onto a five-point lead. 2012 Vote for President (Among likely voters) Ohio Now 10/22 50% 50% 45 45

Obama Romney

Florida Now 9/26 48% 53% 47 44

Virginia Now 10/11 49% 51% 47 46

In Florida and Ohio, the President leads among those who have already cast their ballots, with a significant lead in Ohio. Among those who have yet to cast their vote, the two candidates are even in these states. Just a small percentage of voters in Virginia have already voted. Early Voters: 2012 Vote for President (Among likely voters who have already Voted) Already voted Not yet voted FL OH FL OH 50% 60% 48% 47% 44 34 48 48

Obama Romney

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There are few voters left in these swing states who haven’t made up their minds. Now, at least 95% of likely voters – including both Obama and Romney voters – have decided who they will support. Most supporters from both camps say they strongly favor their candidate, though Mr. Obama’s are slightly more likely to say they strongly favor him. But Romney has been improving on this measure – especially in Florida, from 57% a month ago to 74% today – nearly even with the President. Are You Supporting Your Candidate Mainly Because You…? (Among likely voters) Obama Voters Romney Voters FL OH VA FL OH VA Strongly favor him 76% 74% 79% 74% 67% 67% Like him with reservations 18 18 15 19 22 21 Dislike the other candidate 5 7 5 6 10 10 As they have throughout the fall, in all three states Republicans remain more enthusiastic about voting this year than Democrats. Florida Republicans in particular have become far more enthusiastic than Democrats over the past month. There is now a 16-point enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats in Florida, up from four points a month ago. More Enthusiastic About Voting this Year (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Virginia Now 9/26 Now 10/22 Now 10/11 63% 52% 57% 52% 56% 48% 47% 48% 43 40% 49 40

Among Republicans Among Democrats The Race in Florida

President Obama continues to enjoy a double-digit lead among women, but that lead has been almost cut in half since last month. Romney has increased his advantage with men from three points last month to nine points now. The President has the support of younger voters in this poll, while Romney leads with seniors. A month ago, the President had an edge with seniors. Romney has expanded his lead with white voters and now leads the President by 22 points among this group. Four years ago, Mr. Obama received 42% of the white vote in Florida. In this poll, he is getting 37%. 2012 Vote for President - Florida (Among likely voters) Now 9/26/2012 Obama Romney Obama Romney 48% 47 53% 44 43% 53% 52 43 47% 58% 50 39

All Men Women

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Age 18-34 Age 35-64 Age 65+ Republicans Democrats Independents Whites Early voters Election Day voters The Race in Ohio

2012 Vote for President - Florida (Among likely voters) Now 9/26/2012 55% 41 65% 31 50% 46 51% 45 42% 53 51% 47 6% 89% 44% 37% 50% 48% 93 8 49 59 44 48 7% 94% 46% 46% --91 5 49 52 ---

The race in Ohio remains largely unchanged from a week ago, with the President maintaining a significant lead with women (17 points), while Romney is ahead by six points among men. Seniors are backing Romney by 9 points, while Mr. Obama leads among younger voters, particularly those under 35. Romney leads among independents and whites. 2012 Vote for President - Ohio (Among likely voters) Now 10/22/2012 Obama Romney Obama Romney 50% 45 50% 45 44% 56% 58% 52% 43% 7% 92% 43% 45% 44% 46% 60% 47% 50 39 36 44 52 91 6 49 50 53 48 34 48 44% 55% 59% 51% 44% 6% 93% 42% 44% 43% 45% 54% 49% 51 40 34 45 51 93 5 49 51 54 49 39 47

All Men Women Age 18-34 Age 35-64 Age 65+ Republicans Democrats Independents Whites White, coll degree White, no coll degree Early voters Election Day voters The Race in Virginia

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In Virginia, the gender gap has narrowed slightly but it is still significant: President Obama holds a 10-point lead among women, while Romney holds a 9-point lead among men. Virginia voters under 35 continue to favor the President, while Romney has made gains among voters between 35 and 64 – cutting down an eight-point Obama lead to three points among this age group. Virginia voters 65 and older support Romney by 13 points. Among independents in Virginia, Romney has surged from a two-point deficit two weeks ago to a 21-point lead today. He has also increased his lead slightly among voters in military households. Romney maintains a strong 22-point lead among white voters, while 93% of black voters are supporting Mr. Obama. 2012 Vote for President - Virginia (Among likely voters) Now 10/11/2012 Obama Romney Obama Romney 49% 47 51% 46 43% 53% 54% 50% 42% 6% 96% 36% 37% 93% 41% 52 43 41 47 55 93 3 57 59 6 54 45% 56% 59% 52% 41% 5% 97% 48% 38% 93% 46% 52 40 37 44 57 94 1 46 59 3 50

All Men Women Age 18-34 Age 35-64 Age 65+ Republicans Democrats Independents Whites Blacks Military Households Handling the Issues

The economy remains the most important issue to voters in all three states, and voters in Florida and Ohio are closely divided as to which candidate would do a better job handling it. In Virginia, where the candidates were neck-and-neck two weeks ago, Mitt Romney now has a four-point lead. Who Would Do a Better Job on the Economy? (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Virginia Now 9/26 Now 10/22 Now 10/11 47% 51% 49% 48% 46% 48% 49 46 48 48 50 48

Barack Obama Mitt Romney

On taxes, Ohio voters give the advantage to Barack Obama, while they are divided in Florida and Virginia. On handling the budget deficit, most voters in all three states favor Mitt Romney.

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Taxes Budget deficit

Who Would Do a Better Job Handling Fiscal (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Obama Romney Obama Romney 48% 47 50% 45 40% 53 40% 55

Issues? Virginia Obama Romney 48% 47 40% 54

On other specific issues, President Obama has the advantage. More voters in all three states see him as better able to handle health care, Medicare, education and social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage, foreign policy and terrorism. Who Would Do a Better Job Handling…? (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Virginia Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney 52% 43 52% 43 51% 45 50% 44 53% 42 51% 44 57% 53% 50% 49% 34 40 44 44 56% 60% 51% 51% 35 33 42 42 58% 56% 52% 50% 36 39 44 45

Health care Medicare Social Issues Education Foreign policy Terrorism

In all three states, voters also pick President Obama to do a better job helping the middle class. But when it comes to who would do a better job working with members of both parties, Florida and Virginia voters pick Mitt Romney. In Ohio, voters are divided Who Would Do a Better Job …? (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Obama Romney Obama Romney 51% 44 54% 42 41% 50 45% 46

Helping the middle class Working with Congress Views of the Candidates

Virginia Obama Romney 52% 44 42% 49

As he has throughout the campaign, Barack Obama wins on empathy. Six in 10 voters in all three states think Barack Obama cares about their needs and problems. Voters in Florida and Virginia are divided over whether Mitt Romney does, and most voters in Ohio think he does not. Do They Care About Your Needs and Problems? (Among likely voters) Florida: Ohio: Virginia: Yes No Yes No Yes No Barack Obama 60% 38 62% 36 60% 36 Mitt Romney 47% 49 44% 52 49% 48 On the specific issue of understanding the needs and problems of women in the workforce, about two in three voters in each state say Barack Obama understands, while about half of voters say Mitt Romney does not.

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Barack Obama Mitt Romney

Do They Understand the Needs and Problems of Women in the Workforce? (Among likely voters) Florida: Ohio: Virginia: Yes No Yes No Yes No 65% 31 65% 27 68% 27 45% 50 40% 54 45% 50

Barack Obama leads on another measure as well: honesty. Most voters in all three states think Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy, while voters are less sure of Mitt Romney Are They Honest and Trustworthy? (Among likely voters) Florida: Ohio: Virginia: Yes No Yes No Yes 54% 43 54% 42 53% 43 47% 47 45% 50 45% 48

No

Barack Obama Mitt Romney

But Mitt Romney is ahead on leadership. Although most voters think both candidates have strong qualities of leadership, more think so of Mitt Romney. Do They Have Strong Qualities of Leadership? (Among likely voters) Florida: Ohio: Virginia: Yes No Yes No Yes No 55% 43 58% 40 55% 43 65% 31 64% 32 64% 31

Barack Obama Mitt Romney

Neither candidate, however, is seen as having clearly explained their specific plans for the next four years. Most voters in all three states don’t think either candidate has done so, though President Obama does slightly better than Mitt Romney. Have They Explained Their Plans for the Next Four Years? (Among likely voters) Florida: Ohio: Virginia: Yes No Yes No Yes No Barack Obama 45% 52 47% 51 45% 53 Mitt Romney 40% 57 37% 61 41% 58 Overall, more voters continue to view Barack Obama favorably than view him unfavorably. Views of Mitt Romney are mixed, though they have improved over the past month in Florida. Views of the Candidates (Among likely voters) Ohio Virginia Now 10/22 Now 10/11 52% 51% 52% 54% 44 45 46 43

Barack Obama Favorable Unfavorable

Florida Now 9/26 51% 54% 46 42

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Mitt Romney Favorable Unfavorable

Florida Now 9/26 48% 41% 47 48

Views of the Candidates (Among likely voters) Ohio Virginia Now 10/22 Now 10/11 46% 46% 49% 46% 48 48 46 46

The Economy and the President Voters in all three states are more optimistic now about both the national and state economies than they were in the summer. Four in 10 voters in Florida, Ohio, and Virginia now think the national economy is getting better. Back in August, just a quarter thought so. Direction of the National Economy (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Now 8/1 Now 8/1 42% 26% 40% 26% 33 41 30 39 24 32 29 34

Getting better Getting worse About the same

Virginia Now 8/8 40% 24% 35 38 25 36

A similar trend can be seen when these voters assess their own state’s economy, particularly in Ohio. Back in August just 33% said that the economy in Ohio was getting better; now that has risen to 52%. Direction of Your State’s Economy (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Now 8/1 Now 10/22 8/1 37% 23% 52% 46% 33% 25 32 17 22 26 36 43 30 30 40

Getting Better Getting worse About the same

Virginia Now 8/8 39% 30% 19 16 40 51

Voters who think the economy is improving in their state do give credit to the Obama Administration. 7 in 10 think his administration deserves at least some of the credit, including at least four in 10 who say it deserves a lot of the credit. At the same time, among those who think their state economy is getting worse, majorities think the Obama Administration deserves at least some of the blame. Voters are divided in these states over the President’s job performance. About as many approve as disapprove of the job he’s doing as President. Pres. Obama’s Job Rating (Among likely voters) Florida Ohio Virginia 49% 50% 49% 48 47 49

Approve Disapprove

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The 2012 Senate Races The Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate retain their leads in these states. The race is closest in Virginia where Democrat Tim Kaine has a slim four-point lead over Republican George Allen. 2012 Senate Races (Among likely voters) Ohio: Brown (D) 51% Mandel (R) 42

Florida: Nelson (D) Mack (R) Rating the Governors

52% 39

Virginia: Kaine (D) Allen (R)

50% 46

Voters are finding favor with two of the three Republican governors of these states: more voters approve than disapprove of the job Ohio Governor John Kasich and Virginia Governor Bob O’Connell are doing. In Florida, more voters disapprove than approve of Governor Rick Scott. Rating of Governors (Among likely voters) Approve Florida–Rick Scott (R) 39% Ohio–John Kasich (R) 49% Virginia–Bob McConnell (R) 49%

Disapprove 45 37 31

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This poll was conducted by telephone from Quinnipiac University’s interviewing facility October 23--28, 2012. The number of likely voters interviewed in each state is 1,073 in Florida, 1,110 in Ohio and 1,074 in Virginia. In all three states, phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the sample in each state could be plus or minus three percentage points in Florida, Ohio, and in Virginia. The error for subgroups may be higher. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY/CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL Florida, Ohio, and Virginia October 23-28, 2012 >attn< How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President, a lot, some, only a little, or none at all? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 77% 79% 80% 16 14 15 5 5 3 2 2 2 -

A lot Some Only a little None at all DK/NA

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners and early voters) Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA FL 48% 47 1 3 OH 50% 45 1 4 VA 49% 47 1 3

1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 FL OH VA 96% 96% 96% 3 4 4 1 -

Mind made up Might change DK/NA

1b. (If Obama q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? OBAMA VOTERS FL OH 98% 96% 2 4 1 VA 95% 4 -

Mind made up Might change DK/NA

1c. (If Romney q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? ROMNEY VOTERS FL OH VA 95% 96% 97% 5 4 3 -

Mind made up Might change DK/NA

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2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 48% 46% 49% 47 48 46 3 4 3 2 2 2

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED FL 51% 46 2 2 OH 52% 44 2 2 VA 52% 46 1 2

4. (If Obama q1) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney? OBAMA VOTERS FL OH 76% 74% 18 18 5 7 VA 79% 15 5 1

Strongly favor Like/Reservations Dislike Romney DK/NA

5. (If Romney q1) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama? ROMNE VOTERS FL OH 74% 67% 19 22 6 10 1 1 VA 67% 21 10 2

Strongly favor Like/Reservations Dislike Obama DK/NA

(If already voted) In the election for United States Senator, did you vote for, Bill Nelson(FL)/Sherrod Brown(OH)/Tim Kaine(VA) the Democrat or Connie Mack(FL)/Josh Mandel(OH)/George Allen(VA) the Republican? AMONG THOSE WHO ALREADY VOTED FL OH VA 56% 62% 58% 38 33 40 2 1 3 1 1 3 2

Democrat Republican SMONE ELSE(VOL) DIDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

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6. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson(FL)/Sherrod Brown(OH)/Tim Kaine(VA) the Democrat and Connie Mack(FL)/Josh Mandel(OH)/George Allen(VA) the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Nelson(FL)/Brown(OH)/Kaine(VA) or Mack(FL)/Mandel(OH)/Allen(VA)? (Table includes leaners and early voters) * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 52% 51% 50% 39 42 46 1 1 8 6 4

Democrat Republican SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott(FL)/John Kasich(OH)/Bob McDonnell(VA) is handling his job as Governor? Approve Disapprove DK/NA FL 39% 45 16 OH 49% 37 14 VA 49% 31 20

8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA FL 49% 48 3 OH 50% 47 4 VA 49% 49 2

9. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? More Less About the same DK/NA FL 51% 10 38 1 OH 45% 12 42 VA 48% 9 42 -

10. (FL & OH, If already voted) Did you vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or did you vote at an early voting location? (na = not asked) AMONG THOSE WHO ALREADY VOTED FL OH VA 88% 71% na 11 29 na 1 na

Mail/Absentee Early voting locatn DK/NA

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11a. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most important to you terrorism, foreign policy, the economy, the budget deficit, taxes, health care, Medicare, or something else? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA Terrorism 1% 2% 2% Foreign policy 3 4 4 The economy 51 49 49 The budget deficit 7 7 9 Taxes 4 3 3 Health care 15 17 15 Medicare 9 10 7 Something else 7 8 8 DK/NA 2 1 2 11b. And which one of the following issues will be the next most important to you in deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, terrorism, foreign policy, the economy, the budget deficit, taxes, health care, Medicare, or something else? Terrorism Foreign policy The economy The budget deficit Taxes Health care Medicare Something else DK/NA FL 5% 11 18 17 11 21 8 7 3 OH 3% 10 21 17 11 21 8 7 2 VA 4% 12 19 19 11 17 9 6 2

12. Would you say that Barack Obama - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 60% 38 2 OH 62% 36 2 VA 60% 36 4

13. Would you say that Mitt Romney - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 47% 49 4 OH 44% 52 3 VA 49% 48 3

14. Do you think Barack Obama - understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 65% 31 5 OH 65% 27 8 VA 68% 27 5

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15. Do you think Mitt Romney - understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 45% 40% 45% 50 54 50 5 7 5

Yes No DK/NA

16. Would you say that Barack Obama - has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 55% 43 2 OH 58% 40 2 VA 55% 43 2

17. Would you say that Mitt Romney - has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 65% 31 4 OH 64% 32 4 VA 64% 31 5

18. Would you say that Barack Obama - is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 54% 43 3 OH 54% 42 4 VA 53% 43 4

19. Would you say that Mitt Romney - is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA FL 47% 47 6 OH 45% 50 6 VA 45% 48 7

20. Do you think Barack Obama - has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them? Yes, explained No, has not DK/NA FL 45% 52 3 OH 47% 51 2 VA 45% 53 2

21. Do you think Mitt Romney - has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them? Yes, explained No, has not DK/NA FL 40% 57 3 OH 37% 61 2 VA 41% 58 2

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22. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 47% 49% 46% 49 48 50 4 3 3

Obama Romney DK/NA

23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 52% 43 6 OH 52% 43 5 VA 51% 45 4

24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on helping the middle class, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 51% 44 4 OH 54% 42 5 VA 52% 44 4

25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 50% 44 6 OH 53% 42 5 VA 51% 44 5

26. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 48% 47 5 OH 50% 45 5 VA 48% 47 6

27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 40% 53 7 OH 40% 55 5 VA 40% 54 6

28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 50% 44 6 OH 51% 42 7 VA 52% 44 4

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29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 57% 56% 58% 34 35 36 9 9 7

Obama Romney DK/NA

30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on education, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 53% 40 7 OH 60% 33 7 VA 56% 39 6

31. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on terrorism, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 49% 44 7 OH 51% 42 7 VA 50% 45 6

32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job working with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Obama Romney DK/NA FL 41% 50 9 OH 45% 46 9 VA 42% 49 9

33. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse The same DK/NA FL 42% 33 24 1 OH 40% 30 29 1 VA 40% 35 25 -

34. Do you think (Florida/Ohio/Virginia)'s economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse The same DK/NA FL 37% 25 36 3 OH 52% 17 30 1 VA 39% 19 40 2

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35a. (If economy better q34) How much credit, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this, a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all? AMONG THOSE WHO SAID FL OH 49% 41% 31 26 8 13 12 19 1 BETTER IN Q34 VA 41% 34 8 16 1

A lot Some A little None at all DK/NA

35b. (If economy worse q34) How much blame, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this, a lot of blame, some, a little or none at all? AMONG THOSE WHO SAID FL OH 50% 45% 28 31 11 14 10 9 WORSE IN Q34 VA 63% 25 6 5 1

A lot Some A little None at all DK/NA

36. How important to you are the presidential and vice presidential debates in deciding how you are going to vote; are they very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all in deciding how you are going to vote? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA Very important 30% 24% 29% Somewhat important 39 38 38 Not too important 15 21 16 Not important at all 14 15 16 ALREADY VOTED(VOL) 1 1 DK/NA 1 1 37. Have you been contacted on behalf of either presidential candidate over the past couple of weeks whether it was by a letter, by e-mail, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker? IF YES, ASK: For which candidate? Yes, Romney Yes, Obama Yes, both No contact DK/NA FL 16% 15 37 30 2 OH 14% 12 47 25 2 VA 14% 12 50 23 1

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38. How concerned are you that you will encounter problems that might prevent you from voting or prevent your vote from being counted accurately, very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA Very concerned 18% 12% 10% Somewhat concerned 21 19 15 Not too concerned 18 19 22 Not at all concerned 42 48 51 DK/NA 1 1 1 SAMPLE SIZES: * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 1073 1110 1074 3 pts 3 pts 3 pts

Unweighted Total Margin of error

PARTY IDENTIFICATION: Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? * TOTAL LIKELY VOTERS * FL OH VA 30% 29% 27% 37 37 35 29 30 35 3 2 2 1 2 1

Republican Democrat Independent Other DK/NA

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