Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or comments at EU.Marketing@symphonyiri.com
SymphonyIRI
Chilled & Fresh
Pulse
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
For analytical purposes the data sourced from available retail databases has been consolidated to provide consistent results. However, for some countries it has not been possible to source data pertaining to certain categories. When this has occurred it has been documented in the Notes section found at the end of the report.
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
In the Radar
The Fresh and Chilled category in Europe continues to grow, up 3.2% driven by all countries. The largest categories continue to grow despite economic uncertainty (with cheese a key contributor to the overall health of Chilled and Fresh), with losses coming from fresh fruit, milk and vegetables
Sarah Pittock Insight Director, Business Insights, SymphonyIRI Group Contact: andrew.sayers@symphonyiri.com Tel : +44 1344 746000
GDP in Millions ()
Population in Millions
Unemployment (%)
January 2011
January 2012
Dec. 2011
Average 2012
Dec. 2011
Average 2012
2011 (Estimate)
2012 (Estimate)
France
65.0
65.3
9.7
10.3
+2.3
+2.5
1,987,699
2,099,232
Germany
81.7
81.8
5.9
5.5
+2.5
+2.4
2,567,000
2,745,827
Italy
60.6
60.8
8.4
10.7
+2.9
+3.5
1,586,209
1,632,115
Netherlands
16.6
16.7
4.4
5.3
+2.5
+2.8
607,435
620,515
Spain
46.1
46.1
21.6
25.1
+3.1
+2.3
1,074,940
1,057,739
United Kingdom
62.4
62.9
8.4
8.0
+4.4
+3.7
1,747,315
2,026,461
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Global Trends
Value sales and growth and decline in the last year
Value Sales in Millions ()
+3.1% +1.8%
Total EU DE FR
+2.7%
IT UK NL ES
+3.6%
+5.2% +3.2%
Negative Trend
25,000
France
20,000 5,388 5,418 5,476 5,887 5,553 5,575
Germany
7,377 7,411 7,397 7,371
15,000
7,176
7,252
10,000
3,507 2,581
5,000
2,154 2,943
0
03-Apr-11 Period Ending
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Europe
20,148
19,772
4,702
4,072.37 3,332.08
Top 10
Charcuterie Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Fresh Desserts Fresh Vegetables Cheese Ready Meals Milk Chilled Juices Eggs
Key Trends
Charcuterie Cheese Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Ready Meals Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Milk Fresh Desserts Chilled Juices Fresh Vegetables Eggs Chilled Fish and Seafood Fresh Fruit Salads Cream Chilled Dips and Sauces Tofu / Soya 20.54% 20.16% 11.56% 7.87% 6.66% 5.77% 5.18% 4.79% 4.15% 3.40% 2.47% 2.37% 2.32% 1.97% 0.69% 0.09%
The Fresh and Chilled market continues to be dominated by the top three sectors; Charcuterie, Cheese and Yoghurts/Dairy. Combined these account for 52.3% of the total Fresh & Chilled market, an increase from last quarter. The rate of growth in Europe accelerates to +3.2% with an acceleration of growth in the UK and Spain. All markets are in growth year on year. Fresh Fruit has slipped ingto decline, with Fresh Vegetables and Milk continuing their negative trend. Milk is still driven almost entirely by the UK, whilst Italy drive vegetable decreases and both Italy and Netherland contribute to Fresh Fruit decline.
Europe includes: France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and United Kingdom Source: SymphonyIRI Retail Databases; Period Ending 01 Jul, 12
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Europe
Cheese
Charcuterie
Fresh Vegetables
Eggs
Milk
Ready Meals
Fresh Fruit
Category Insights Continuous growth across the top 5 sectors, with Yoghurts and Dairy Desserts retaining positive growth after it moved from a decline three quarters ago. Fresh Fruit now joins Milk and Fresh Vegetables in declining sales versus last year. Italy and Netherland drive Fresh Fruits decrease, whilst Italy drive Fresh Vegetables decline. Except for the Netherlands, Milk declines in all regions (most significantly in the UK). The rate of growth across the top 5 categories decelerates, with Margarine Butter-Fat & Spread suffering the largest slow down (from +9.3% growth in Q1 2012 to +5.8% growth in Q2 2012). Top three of the top five ranking stays the same as Q1 2012.
20,147.72
19,772.30
Millions
11,341.91
7,724.39 6,533.20
3.9
5.8
Charcuterie
Cheese
Ready Meals
Total Sales
% vs. YA
Europe includes: France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and United Kingdom Source: SymphonyIRI Retail Databases; Period Ending 01 Jul, 12
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
France
5,101 4,427
2,742
919
875.99
590.20
Top 10
Charcuterie Ready Meals Chilled Fish and Seafood Fresh Desserts Eggs Cheese Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Salads Fresh Vegetables
Charcuterie Cheese Ready Meals Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Chilled Fish and Seafood Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Fresh Desserts Salads Eggs Fresh Vegetables Chilled Juices Cream Fresh Fruit Milk Tofu / Soya Chilled Dips and Sauces
22.7% 19.7% 12.2% 11.9% 7.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Key Trends Value sales on the Chilled & Fresh category have been growing up by 2.8% during the 2nd quarter 2012. The trend remains in line compared to 1st quarter : value sales +2.9% In comparison, during the 2nd quarter, Total FMCG grew up by +3.0%, with drinks suffering from bad weather conditions, that are on the opposite had a positive impact on ambient category. Inflation is slowing down but remains the driver of this growth on Chilled & Fresh : in terms of volumes, the category is slightly dynamic : +0.8%.
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
France
Cheese
Charcuterie
Ready Meals
Fresh Desserts
Category Insights The growth trend on Top 5 categories is slowing down compared to Q1 with one exception : Ready Meals (+4.0% vs. +3.6% on 1st quarter) : due to a reinforced development of the offer in stores and a positive impact of weather conditions.
5,101.43 4,426.88
Millions
2,742.41
2,673.98
1,607.01
The main contributors to categories evolutions in value are Cooked ham for Charcuterie, and hard cheese for Cheese.
3.6 Charcuterie
4.8 Cheese
0.7
2.5
Total Sales
% vs. YA
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Germany
7,664 6,680
Top 10
Charcuterie Chilled Juices Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Fresh Desserts Salads Cheese Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Ready Meals Eggs Cream
Charcuterie Cheese Chilled Juices Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Ready Meals Fresh Desserts Eggs Salads Cream Milk Chilled Fish and Seafood Tofu / Soya Chilled Dips and Sauces
26.04% 22.70% 9.23% 8.99% 8.94% 5.33% 4.21% 3.63% 3.62% 3.56% 2.94% 0.71% 0.07% 0.04%
Key Trends Chilled and Fresh growth is mainly driven by its major categories Cheese (>4%) and Charcuterie (>3%), together they have around 50% of the total sales. Irrespective of decline in volume sales they both show growth in value sales, mainly driven by increased prices/kg. Hypermarkets show tremendous growth with increase in value sales in all the major categories, here both Cheese and Charcuterie has registered highest increase in value sales.
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Germany
Cheese
Charcuterie
Eggs
97.7
-86.8
Ready Meals
61.7
Category Insights Eggs have registered a high growth in value sales, mainly due to higher promotional sales. Discounters are the major channel as they contributes > 50% sales for Cheese and Charcuterie (Hard Discounters > 35%).
7,663.87 6,680.23
Millions
2,716.62
2,646.02
2,632.05
3.1
3.9
Charcuterie
Cheese
Chilled Juices
Margarine, Yogurts, Butter, Fats Dairy Desserts & & Spreads Drinks
Total Sales
% vs. YA
10
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Italy
Top 10
Cheese Charcuterie Ready Meals Fresh Fruit Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Fresh Vegetables Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Milk Eggs Fresh Desserts
Cheese Fresh Vegetables Charcuterie Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Ready Meals Milk Fresh Fruit Eggs Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Fresh Desserts Chilled Dips and Sauces Cream Chilled Juices Tofu / Soya
23.88% 13.78% 13.78% 12.35% 8.51% 7.68% 7.49% 4.54% 3.08% 3.05% 1.04% 0.47% 0.32% 0.02%
Key Trends Cheese, Charcuterie and Fresh Vegetables combined account for 52% of the total Fresh & Chilled market. The total market is growing +3.6%. (value data Q2 11 vs Q2 12) All fresh categories together show a grow in value mainly due to higher prices (+1.5%). Milk registered a flat trend in value while in volume the trend is negative. Only three segments continue to display a negative trend; Chilled Juice, Dairy Desserts and Fresh Pasta.
11
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Italy
Cheese
-4.35
Chilled Juices
Charcuterie
-6.36
Fresh Desserts
-7.58
Milk
Eggs
Fresh Vegetables
Fresh Fruit
Category Insights The main categories are increasing average volume price, in particular eggs (+9%). The base segments (i.e. eggs, cheese, charcuterie) are performing better due to the economical crisis.
3,392.53
1,957.49
1,957.05
1,754.84 1,208.84
6.9 -1.2
Cheese
6.7
3.7 1.6
Chilled Market growth is mainly driven by Private Label performance: the rate of growth is 11.3% in value and 6,4% in volume. The PL growth has driven by increasing of the prices (+4.6%). Promotional activity drives growth for the whole sector (from 25.7% to 26.7%). The categories with the largest promotional activity remain fresh pasta, Charcuterie and Cheese (about 60%). The average uplift of the Fresh market register a slight increase.
Millions
Ready Meals
Total Sales
% vs. YA
12
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Netherlands
2,889
Top 10
Fresh Vegetables Fresh Fruit Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Chilled Fish and Seafood
Charcuterie Fresh Vegetables Cheese Fresh Fruit Fresh Desserts Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Milk Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Ready Meals Chilled Fish and Seafood Salads Eggs Chilled Juices Cream Chilled Dips and Sauces Tofu / Soya
27.81% 14.68% 11.28% 9.89% 8.65% 5.09% 4.38% 4.08% 3.56% 2.84% 2.48% 2.40% 2.00% 0.61% 0.26% 0.00%
Key Trends Dutch supermarket sales rose in MAT wk 28 2012 by 2.3%. Fresh sales accounted for 42.2 of supermarket sales. Fresh shows a growth of 2.1% which is just below the level of the grow of the total supermarket sales.
13
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Netherlands
Millions 80
Charcuterie
Cheese
Eggs
Ready Meals
Category Insights Meat demonstrating small growth levels, while the segment with the greatest growth is ready to cook. There was almost no growth for Vegetable due to lower prices in the market. The growth of cheese comes mainly from higher prices.
2,889.04
Millions
898.16
2.3
Charcuterie
4.4 0.2
Fresh Vegetables Cheese
Fresh Fruit has a negative index. There has been strong promotional activity (e.g. 5 bagged products for 5.00) driving a volume increase but with value decline.
-0.7
Fresh Fruit
1.2
Fresh Desserts
Total Sales
% vs. YA
14
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Spain
2,536
2,254 1,613
309
215
212.81 135.42
Charcuterie Cheese Fresh Desserts Chilled Fish and Seafood Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads
Top 10
Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Ready Meals Eggs Chilled Juices Cream
Charcuterie Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Cheese Ready Meals Fresh Desserts Eggs Chilled Fish and Seafood Chilled Juices Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Cream Chilled Dips and Sauces Milk Salads
27.57% 24.51% 17.53% 7.91% 5.44% 5.38% 3.36% 2.34% 2.31% 1.47% 1.32% 0.45% 0.41%
Key Trends Yoghurt continues to over perform in Spain vs. rest of Europe, although its year on year share of chilled has reduced marginally from 25.4%, while charcuterie continues to grow (up from 26.5% year ago). Yoghurt and charcuterie combined account for over half of Spains chilled and fresh sales. Milk has an unusually low share of Chilled and Fresh in Spain of only 0.45%, compared to 5.77% in total Europe. PL is driving the growth, increasing its market share in almost all categories and reaching close to 50% of the total sales.
15
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Spain
Millions 200
Charcuterie
Eggs
Cheese
Chilled Juices
Fresh Desserts
Category Insights The top 5 categories continue to demonstrate healthy growth for the second quarter in a row Because of the scale of Charcuterie and Yoghurts, Dairy Desserts and Drinks, their market growth of 6.7% and 2.9% respectively accounts for 222.1m Milks decline is significant, given is very low share in the Spanish market.
Millions
1.613
727
501
6,7
Charcuterie
3.7 2.9
Cheese Ready Meals
3,6
7.3
Fresh Desserts
Total Sales
% vs. YA
16
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
United Kingdom
1,376
1,190
1,107.40
Top 9
Milk Yogurts, Dairy Desserts & Drinks Chilled Juices Fresh Desserts Chilled Dips and Sauces Cheese Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads Ready Meals Cream
Key Trends
Milk 25.21%
Cheese
20.10%
12.83%
The UK continues to see a lower growth rate for Chilled and Fresh in relation to most other European countries. Although this has consistent growth of +3.1% in Q1 and Q2 2012 it remains behind the average of +3.2% for Europe. Key growth drivers are coming through Cheese, Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads and Chilled Juices segments. Milk is the biggest segment in the UK and is declining which is slowing down the growth seen by other segments. The rate of decline for the biggest sector, Milk, has continued to decelerate. It is now down -1.1% versus -2.8% last quarter Rate of growth for Cheese and Yoghurt, Dairy Dessert & Drinks has continued to accelerate.
11.12%
Chilled Juices
9.61%
Ready Meals
8.94%
Fresh Desserts
6.83%
Cream
2.81%
2.55%
Data for the United Kingdom does not include Northern Ireland Source: SymphonyIRI Retail Databases; Period Ending 01 Jul, 12
17
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
United Kingdom
Millions 200
Cheese
Chilled Juices
Fresh Desserts
Ready Meals
Category Insights A decline in promotional activity on milk continues, with volume sold on deal down from 51% a year ago MAT to 34% latest MAT. Similarly, Yoghurts promotional activity decreases, although value sales remain in growth.
2.487,99
Millions
Growth in the core cheese segment of cheddar helps total category, supported by the heavy levels of category promotion.
-1.1
6.4
Cheese
0.9
8,3
Chilled Juices
4,4
Milk
Yogurts, Margarine, Dairy Butter, Desserts Fats & & Drinks Spreads
Total Sales
% vs. YA
Data for the United Kingdom does not include Northern Ireland Source: SymphonyIRI Retail Databases; Period Ending 01 Jul, 12
18
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Final Notes
Notes on Category Definitions for Countries Due to the diverse products found in individual countries across this market it was necessary to consolidate the available data into the categories in this report. In some cases it wasnt always possible to align products across all 6 countries hence the need to highlight any anomalies in the report. Those exceptions are listed below: Eggs The UK data in this report does not include this category Margarine, Butter, Fats & Spreads The UK data in this report does not include fats in this category The Spain data in this report does not include fats in this category Tofu / Soya The UK data in this report does not include this category The Spain data in this report does not include this category Chilled Fish and Seafood The UK data in this report does not include this category The Italy data in this report does not include this category Charcuterie The UK data in this report does not include this category Fresh Vegetables The UK data in this report does not include this category The Spain data in this report does not include this category The Germany data in this report does not include this category Fresh Fruit The UK data in this report does not include this category The Spain data in this report does not include this category The Germany data in this report does not include this category
19
www.SymphonyIRI.eu
Resources
To gain insight into opportunities across specific categories, segments, channels or retailers, contact your SymphonyIRI client service representative regarding custom analyses leveraging the following resources: InfoScan Census is a syndicated retail tracking service that enables manufacturers and retailers to acquire industry insights used to make better business decisions. InfoScan Census utilizes the data that SymphonyIRI Group collects from grocery, drug, and mass merchandise retailers to provide the most comprehensive and accurate syndicated data offering in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector. With access to accurate, granular detail by category, geography, measure, and time period, clients have the tools needed to develop marketing and sales strategies based on product performance, distribution, and promotion responsiveness. All data about frozen foods are coming from InfoScan Census. SymphonyIRI Consulting provide strategic insights and advice leveraging a variety of data sources, predictive analytics, enabling technologies, and business analyses to help CPG manufacturers and retailers address significant sales and marketing issues effectively.
About SymphonyIRI Group SymphonyIRI group, formerly named Information Resources, Inc. (IRI), is the global leader in innovative solutions and services for driving revenue and profit growth in CPG, retail and healthcare companies. SymphonyIRI offers two families of solutions: core IRI solutions for market measurement and symphony advantage solutions for enabling new growth opportunities in marketing, sales, shopper marketing and category management. SymphonyIRI solutions uniquely combine content, analytics and technology to deliver maximum impact. SymphonyIRI helps companies create, plan and execute forward-looking, shopper-centric strategies across every level of the organization. For more information, visit www.SymphonyIRI.eu
20
www.SymphonyIRI.eu