F M F R P 1 2 - 1 8

P C N 1 4 0 1 2 1 8 0 0 0 0
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A: Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited





























































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M a o T s e t u n g
W a r f a r e
g r e a t






















































M a o T s e t u n g




































































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1 [ ] [ ] [
S T R A T E G Y ,






















































































































































































































































































Determinants*
A. Appeal of program
B. Popular support
C. Quality of leadership
D. Quality of troops
E. Military efficiency
F. Internal unity
G. Equipment
H. Base area terrain
I. Base area communica-
tions
J. Sanctuary
I. THE ~ ~ V O L U ~ ~ O N A R Y GUBRRILLA SITUATION IN CUBA
Progressive, plus
(8)
Growing, active
(7)
Excellent, dedicated
(8)
Gcod, improving to
excellent (8)
Growing ( 6)
Positive, strong (8)
Poor, improving to
good as taken (4)
Operationally favor-
able (10)
Operationally favor-
able (10)
None (0)
Static, minus (3)
Diminishing, pas-
sive (3)
Mediwe to poor
(4)
Good, decreasing to
fair (5)
Mediocre to poor
(4)
Weak (3)
Largely U.S., excel-
lent (8)
Unfavorable (3)
Unfavorable (3)
Remainder of island
(10)
Batista government oppres-
sive and reactionary
In guerrilla situations
Radios, transport, medical
supplies, etc., available
from incumbent
Available for rest, retrain-
ing, equipment
AGGREGATE 69 46
* Determinants are arbiaarily weighted on a scale of 0-10.
Determinants'
A. Appeal of program
B. Popular support
C. Quality of leadership
D. Quality of m p s
E. Military efficiency
F. Internal unity
G. Equipment
H. Operational terrain
I. Operational area
communications
J. Sanctuary
Ho Chi Mink
Dynamic (7)
Growing (7)
Good, improving
(6)
verlr (8)
Excellent (8)
Fair but improving
(7)
Favorable (10)
Favorable (10)
Available in China
(8)
Incumbent
(French)
No program (0)
Diminishing, slight
(3)
Good (6) In guerrilla situations
Excellent (8)
Generally well Received from China and
equipped (9) taken from French
Unfavorable (5)
Unfavorable (5)
Remainder of
Indochina (10)
AGGREGATE 78 60
Determinants are arbitrarily weighted on a scale of &lo.
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