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The CORD Presidential Candidate Rt. Hon. Raila Odinga dances with ODM supporters at a Rally in Moyale Town
CORD is on Course to Win in the First Round
Orange Correspondent CORD is on course to win the March 4 elections with a landslide. The recent Infotrack opinion poll has indicated. The poll was conducted between December 28 and January 2. The polls showed that the PM led CORD alongside Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka will win in the first round by 51 per cent compared to Jubilee's 39 per cent. The survey however casts doubts on possibility of a run off saying the „third force‟ may not be strong enough. “As things stand now, if the two coalitions mount an aggressive campaign ahead of the elections then a run off would be unlikely,” said Infotrak CEO Angela Ambitho. Our Party Leader, Raila Odinga, has said that CORD has no control over the pollster as they are fairly regulated by the law. "Let no one cheat you with figures. They do not speak. The scientific data has clearly shown that Cord will win the coming elections," said Raila. Musalia Mudavadi‟s UDF has been rated third with an approval rating of three per cent. Eagle coalition that brings together Peter Kenneth‟s Kenya National Congress party and Raphael Tuju‟s Party of Action has a two per cent rating. But if polls are held today the Eagle coalition would get three per cent of the votes cast. Former Education PS James Kiyiapi and his Restore and Build Kenya party would only manage 0.1 per cent of the votes. The Pambazuka Coalition has an approval rating of 0.7 per cent as Martha Karua‟s Narc-Kenya having a popularity rating of 0.3 per cent. Page 1 of 4
A sample of 1,500 respondents was interviewed to represent the 14 million voters registered by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission. The survey was conducted in 25 counties with a margin of error of 2.53 at a 95 per cent degree of confidence. On regional support, CORD leads in all the provinces except Rift valley and Central. In Eastern and North Eastern, CORD enjoys 85 and 61 per cent support compared to 15 and 28 per cent for the Jubilee Coalition respectively. The Raila and Kalonzo coalition also leads in Western and Nyanza with some 61 and 82 per cent rating. This also compares to Jubilee‟s three and 16 per cent rating in the same regions respectively. However, Uhuru‟s coalition leads by 85 and 52 per cent in Central and Rift Valley, respectively. Mudavadi enjoys majority support in Western Province with 23 per cent support.
Ms Ambitho, however, said Nairobi and Mombasa counties may go either way of the coalitions depending on aggressiveness of the parties. According to the poll, CORD leads with 56 per cent against 38 of Jubilee. CORD also enjoys support in most of the counties where the polls were conducted. In Nyanza for instance, CORD gets majority approval of all the four counties selected. These are Kisumu, Homabay, Migori and Kisii. Meanwhile, Raila and Kalonzo on Tuesday held a meeting with Christian clergy at the Laico Regency Hotel. Raila and Kalonzo said a team to harmonise manifestos of Cord constituent parties will soon be constituted. "Our Cord team will soon be working on our manifestos to tell the people of Kenya what we intend to fulfil when we take over the government after the March 4 general election," said Raila.
"Our word is our bond with the Kenyan people. We will say what we will do and do what we say. The church has always exhibited the voice of conscience- at the forefront fighting for change." Kalonzo assured the clergy that a Cord government will work together with the Church to transform the country. In an apparent reference to the failed deal between Jubilee leader Uhuru Kenyatta and his Amani counterpart Musalia Mudavadi, where the former was to support the latter for president, Kalonzo cautioned Kenyans against electing untrustworthy leaders. Retired Bishop Arthur Kitonga of Redeemed Gospel Church, retired Anglican Archbishop David Gitari, Anglican Archbishop Eliud Wabukala and Magaret Wanjiru of Jesus is Alive ministries led the church leaders in the discussion. Gitari urged the clergy across the religious divide to guide their congregation in making the right decisions.
The CORD Brigade enjoys a Jig with supporters at a CORD Rally in Kitake town
More Defectors to ODM
Larry Gumbe On Monday 14 Jauary, our Party Leader, Raila Odinga, received Foreign Affairs assistant minister Richard Onyonka of PDP, Laisamis MP Joseph Lekuton (Kanu) and former Tharaka MP Francis Kagwima who defected to the ODM. ODM is the party! CORD is the Coalition! Page 2 of 4
The CORD Presidential Candidate Rt. Hon. Raila Odinga addresses a Mighty CORD Army at a Rally in Bungoma town
Water: The Dream of Livestock Economy
Duncan Onyango One day while taking a ride on a public service vehicle, I was privileged to sit next to an elderly lady from a pastoralist community in this country. When the conductor requested for her fare, she was unable to raise the full amount. The ten shilling difference generated so much fire in the vehicle that a Good Samaritan donated the money. After a short while, the old lady begged to alight, having reached her destination. It turned out she was going to check on her livestock. I was impressed to see that she had a healthy herd of approximately 300 cows and countless sheep and goats. Assuming that each cow was worth 20,000 shillings, she was worth a whooping six million shillings, not counting the sheep and goats. Except that it was not in Kenyan currency. Figures raced through my head. I figured that since there are could be several hundred thousand households with a similar number or more cows, then we may be talking about a trillion shilling economy. I remembered how proud we had been when we had our first economy-wide budget of a trillion shilling. Did we know we had a hidden resource walking on four legs worth a trillion shillings? The livestock sector as managed in Kenya hardly paints the picture of a trillion shilling enterprise. The rare photos that filter from the livestock zones in Kenya have as main characters emaciated herdsmen lying next to the corpses of animals that have preceded them to the silent world. When town dwellers look at these pictures, they wonder why the herdsmen did not make a meal of the animals before it was too late. On other occasions, it is the bloody pictures of the aftermath of a cattle rustling operation. When these pictures appear in our newspapers and televisions, all we ask is where the policemen were as this happened and how they could be outwitted with all their powerful guns, helicopters, GPRS and mobile phones. We are shocked at how a herd of five thousand cattle can be camouflaged on barren plateaus and the policemen cannot find them. Perhaps it is this negative drama that hides the true worth of the livestock economy. Yet the more I think about it the more I see that the livestock sector is a huge economy. Any time I think about this sector I see Kenyans as a being the proverbial hyena that walks through the sugarcane plantation laughing and does not know how sweet sugarcane is, otherwise it would stop laughing and busy itself chewing. Why have we despised the view of the sages who saw livestock as wealth and grain as food? The new CORD government is likely to be Page 3 of 4
inaugurated with an el-nino of votes greater than the current el-nino rains. For the next few months there will be plenty of pasture in the plains for the livestock and a bountiful supply of grain from the highlands. So there will be enough food for the homecoming parties. The problem is that weather is cyclic and nature tends to create a balance of everything. For that reason a La nina will soon follow. My prayer is that it will not catch us unprepared this time round. That we will have talked our pastoralist brethren into selling their livestock and used the
proceeds to purchase food in good time. That there will be no grannies crawling long distances with old tins for relief food. That they will have banked enough money from the sales to restock their livestock after the drought and will not have to borrow from their neighbours in the military style rustling exercises. I dream that over the next five years would be built many dams and ponds so these great Kenyans may stop being nomadic if water is really what they seek in their endless journeys. That this water may be
used to grow crops. That it would be possible to harvest hay in the rainy seasons and store it for the dry future. That we would conserve the environment and preserve the water towers. That hundreds of abattoirs will be established where livestock may be bought all year round. That the railway and good roads would traverse all these areas. That they may carry this organic beef to the rest of Kenya and the world at large to bring home the trillion shillings. I only hope that Kenya will think it is a good dream and want to see it come to pass.
Date 1. Thursday 17 January 2013 Event ODM Nominations (Primaries) Venue Nationwide
The Orange is a Newsletter of the Orange Democratic Movement Readers are invited to submit their articles for publication at the address given below: Prof. Larry Gumbe Email: firstname.lastname@example.org SMS: 0713 764809 The Orange Democratic Movement Orange House Menelik Road, Kilimani Area P.O. Box 2478, 00202 Nairobi. Email: email@example.com Check out our website at www.odm.co.ke Opinions of contributors are not necessarily those of the ODM.
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