2.

5kg of product*

460kg of CO2e
*landfill

460kg CO2e

2.5kg

Gavin Starks CEO, AMEE http://www.amee.com

Climate change, globalization and war. Mapping international policy and markets. Data. All the data. Emerging ecosystems and change

“the median surface warming in 2091 to 2100 is 5.1°C compared to 2.4°C in the 2003 study”
source:

MIT

“the cull during this century is going to be huge, up to 90%. The number of people remaining at the end of the century will probably be a billion or less.”

source: Lovelock

“If we burn all the coal, we might kick in a runaway greenhouse effect, if we burn all the tar shale and tar sands we definitely will ... leading to the Venus Syndrome. Caps aren’t going to work – we need a Carbon tax”

source: Hansen, Nasa

“capitalism is not up to the challenge ... it improperly and systemically undervalues the future ... it has become a kind of multi-generational Ponzi scheme ... we need a Carbon tax”

source: McKinsey

Peak oil Peak finance Peak water Peak uranium Peak copper

Peak <resource> => Peak consumption

Are we moving to a post-scarcity society? How might we deliver triple-bottom-line?

TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS REFRAMING VALUE RATIONING WAR

http://www.forumforthefuture.org/

EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY Rapid innovation in energy efficiency technologies has created a consumerist, low-carbon world. Society balances delicately with ever-increasing reliance on new technology to mitigate continuing climate change.

http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/climate-futures

SERVICE TRANSFORMATION High carbon prices mean businesses sell services rather than products. Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is highly efficient. A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global carbon emissions decline for the first year in history

REDEFINE PROGRESS People rethink what a fulfilling life means. Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger links with local communities are cultivated. People are attracted to simplicity and focus much more on quality of life than economic prosperity.

ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY Governments leave it too late and are forced to rationalise whole sectors and take control of citizens' lives. Environmental refugees must find countries willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin to decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.

PROTECTIONIST WORLD The world is divided into protectionist blocs. Countries wage war over scarce resources such as water. Communities are divided and terrorists take advantage of the flux, targeting collapsed states.

THINGS TO DO MORE OF

TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS THINGS TO EXPLORE REFRAMING VALUE RATIONING WAR
THINGS TO REALLY AVOID

ENERGY IDENTITY

Data. All the data. policy legislation frameworks exchanges trade business

EU POLICY STACK Kyoto Protocol EU ETS Climate Change Bill Carbon Reduction Commitment Energy Efficiency Renewable Obligations
= 30min monitoring = mandatory purchases (>6GWh or >£500k/yr)

ENERGY IDENTITY
The digital embodiment of your physical consumption

Data. All the data. citizens + things private sector public sector cities countries Earth

Data. All the data. purchases materials buildings travel + transport fuel + water + waste Energy Identity

Policy Business Science Technology

Delivering change

A measured response to resource scarcity Measure behaviour Map behavioural change Enable trade Work symbiotically with existing ecosystems

"collaboration networks are to businesses what social networks are to consumers"

@Padmasree, CTO, Cisco

Emerging ecosystems
“unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments, rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments”
+ =

“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use” "If Edison would wake up today and look at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left it" “Data on your personal energy use belongs to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format” Tim Berners-Lee at TED, “unlock all your raw data” Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”

Standards-Public
DECC (UK Government) Environmental Agencies

Carbon/Energy Consultancies
EQ2 NaturalLogic CarbonVision Greenmonk.net

Buildings
Special Projects

Standards-Commercial/Registries
CO2code Special Projects

Travel & Transportation
CarbonVoyage Dopplr

Media
The Guardian (Data Store)

Software/SaaS & Systems Integrators
Carbonetworks Carbonmetrics Carbon Hub SUN (OpenEco) MakeMeSustainable LivingLifeGreen Special Projects

Supply Chain
dcarbon8 Julies Bicycle

Communities
2Degrees The Climate Group

Agencies
Torchbox Jelerang Avvio Clearleft EuroRSCG

Smart Meters
Carbonmetrics ISE

Trading
Misys (OpenCarbonWorld) EarthCP Sandbag

Gavin Starks CEO, AMEE gavin@amee.com http://www.amee.com

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