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DAILY I FOREX REPORT

16THAPRIL 2013

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HEADLINES

 Australian Dollar Falls As China Growth Less Than Expected  Japan Industrial Production Rises for the Third Month

TRADING TIPS
 SELL EURUSD BELOW

 EURUSD Possibly Repeating 2010-2011 Trading Pattern
Forex Trading Weekly Forecast 04.15.2013
US Dollar in Short-term Panic Amid Weak Data, Falling Yields The US Dollar was the second worst performing major this past week, gaining only against the significantly weaker Japanese Yen by +0.81%. Japanese Tumbles then Surges - Pivotal Week Ahead The Japanese Yen came within a hair’s width of the critical ¥100 mark against the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR), once again posting the worst 7-day performance of any major currency two weeks after the Bank of Japan embarked on hyperactive Quantitative Easing measures. Gold Plummets Through Key Support as Fed Mulls QE End- $1482 in Focus Gold plummeted this week with the precious metal falling nearly 5% to trade at

1.3050 tgs 1.3030/1.3010sl 1.3080
 SELL USDJPY BELOW

97.50 tgt 97.30/97.10 SL 97.80

 SELL GBPUSD BELOW
1.5300 Tgt 1.5280/1.5260 SL 1.5330

$1502 at the close of trade in New York on Friday. The loss pushed bullion below key technical barriers with Friday's range marking the largest decline in more than a year. However, with data out of the world's largest economy coming under increased scrutiny, could weak US data help support the battered metal? Don't count on it. Australian Dollar Looks to Earnings Docket to Set Direction The Australian Dollar looks to the corporate earnings docket to break the deadlock between competing fundamental trends and offer a clear directional bearing. New Zealand Dollar Poised to Gain as China GDP Likely to

Impress

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+91 9752199966 The New Zealand Dollar continued its gains for the fifth
consecutive week, rallying by 1.7 percent against the Greenback.

 HOURLY EURUSD CHART HOURLY EURUSD CHART 

ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.3097 HIGH: 1.3108 LOW: 1.3052 CLOSE: 1.3077

 EURUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND : BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>-.0005(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 45(BEARISH SIGNAL)

USDJPY CHART HOURLY HOURLY USDJPY CHART

ANALYSIS
OPEN: 98.44 HIGH: 98.71 LOW: 97.55 CLOSE: 97.75

 USDJPY LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => -0.07( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>51(BEARISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY GBPUSD GBPUSD CHART  HOURLY CHART

ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.5353 HIGH: 1.5385 LOW: 1.5304 CLOSE: 1.5330

 GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => .002( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 43(BEARISH SIGNAL)

HOURLYEURGBP EURGBP CHART CHART HOURLY

ANALYSIS
OPEN: 0.8530 HIGH: 0.8541 LOW: 0.8515 CLOSE: 0.8530

 EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS  MACD =>-.003(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>52(BEARISH SIGNAL)

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HOURLY USDINDEX CHART

ANALYSIS
OPEN: 82.7400 HIGH: 82.7430 LOW: 82.4710 CLOSE: 82.5620

 USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>0.22(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>39(BEARISH SIGNAL)

ECONOMIC CALENDER

Date
Sun Apr 14

Time

Currency

Event

Importance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Notes

22:30

NZD Performance Services Index (MAR) GBP Rightmove House Prices (MoM) (APR) GBP Rightmove House Prices (YoY) (APR) AUD Home Loans (FEB) AUD Investment Lending (FEB)

Medium

55.4

55.5

23:01

Low

2.1%

1.7%

23:01
Mon Apr 15

Medium

0.4%

1.2%

01:30

Medium

2.0%

1.5%

-0.3%

01:30

Low

1.8%

4.4%

01:30

AUD Value of Loans (MoM) (FEB) CNY Entrepreneur Confidence Index (1Q) CNY Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (MAR) CNY Business Climate Index (1Q) CNY Industrial Production (YoY) (MAR) CNY Fixed Assets Inv Excl. Rural YTD YoY (MAR) CNY Retail Sales YTD (YoY) (MAR) CNY Retail Sales (YoY) (MAR) CNY Real GDP YTD (YoY) (1Q) CNY Real GDP (QoQ) (1Q) CNY Real GDP (YoY) (1Q) JPY Industrial Production (MoM) (FEB F) JPY Industrial Production (YoY) (FEB F) JPY Capacity Utilization (MoM) (FEB F) JPY Machine Tool Orders (YoY) (MAR F) JPY BOJ Governor Kuroda Speech EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance s.a. (euros) (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) (FEB) USD Empire Manufacturing (APR) USD Total Net TIC Flows (FEB) USD Net Long-term TIC Flows (FEB) CAD Existing Home Sales (MoM) (MAR) USD NAHB Housing Market Index (APR)

Low

1.2%

1.2%

02:00

Low

122.4

120.4

02:00

Medium

9.5%

10.0%

9.9%

02:00

Low

125.6

124.4

02:00

Medium

8.9%

10.1%

02:00

Medium

20.9%

21.3%

21.2%

02:00

Medium

12.4%

12.5%

12.3%

02:00

Medium

12.6%

12.6%

02:00

High

7.7%

8.0%

7.8%

02:00

High

1.6%

2.0%

2.0%

02:00

High

7.7%

8.0%

7.9%

04:30

Low

0.6%

-0.1%

04:30

Medium

-10.5%

-11.0%

04:30

Low

0.7%

1.7%

06:00

Medium

-15.7%

-21.6%

06:15

Medium

09:00

Low

12.0B

10.0B

8.7B

09:00

Low

10.4B

5.0B

-4.7B

12:30

Low

7

9.24

13:00

Low

$110.9B

13:00

Medium

$40.0B

$25.7B

13:00

Medium

-2.1%

14:00

Low

45

44

Tue Apr 16

01:30

AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) (MAR) AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) (MAR) AUD RBA Policy Meeting Minutes (APR) JPY Tokyo Condominium Sales (YoY) (MAR) CHF Producer & Import Prices (MoM) (MAR) CHF Producer & Import Prices (YoY) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (MoM) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Output n.s.a. (MoM) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Output n.s.a. (YoY) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Output Core n.s.a. (MoM) (MAR) GBP Producer Price Index Output Core n.s.a. (YoY) (MAR) GBP DCLG UK House Prices (YoY) (FEB) GBP Consumer Price Index (MoM) (MAR) GBP Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAR) GBP Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAR) GBP Retail Price Index (MAR) GBP Retail Price Index (MoM) (MAR) GBP Retail Price Index (YoY) (MAR) GBP Retail Price Index Ex Mort Int.Payments (YoY) (MAR) EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (MoM) (MAR) EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAR)

Low

0.0%

01:30

Low

9.4%

01:30

High

04:00

Low

-10.9%

07:15

Low

0.0%

0.1%

07:15

Medium

-0.2%

0.1%

08:30

Low

-0.2%

3.2%

08:30

Low

0.7%

2.5%

08:30

Low

0.3%

0.8%

08:30

Medium

2.0%

2.3%

08:30

Low

0.2%

0.3%

08:30

Medium

1.4%

1.3%

08:30

Low

2.4%

2.2%

08:30

Medium

0.3%

0.7%

08:30

High

2.8%

2.8%

08:30

High

2.3%

2.3%

08:30

Low

248.7

247.6

08:30

Low

0.4%

0.7%

08:30

Medium

3.3%

3.2%

08:30

Low

3.2%

3.2%

09:00

Medium

1.2%

0.4%

09:00

High

1.7%

1.7%

09:00

EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (MAR) EUR Euro-Zone ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (APR) EUR German ZEW Survey (Current Situation) (APR) EUR German ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (APR) CAD International Securities Transactions (Canadian dollar) (FEB) CAD Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) (FEB) USD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (MAR) USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAR) USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM) (MAR) USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (MAR) USD Housing Starts (MAR) USD Housing Starts (MoM) (MAR) USD Building Permits (MAR) USD Building Permits (MoM) (MAR) USD Consumer Price Index Core Index s.a. (MAR) USD Consumer Price Index n.s.a. (MAR) USD Industrial Production (MAR) USD Capacity Utilization (MAR) USD Manufacturing (SIC) Production (MAR) USD Fed's Duke Speaks to Bankers in Washington USD Fed's Kocherlakota Speaks in Minneapolis NZD Consumer Prices Index (QoQ) (1Q)

High

1.4%

1.3%

09:00

Medium

33.4

09:00

Medium

14

13.6

09:00

High

41

48.5

12:30

Low

13.34B

12:30

Low

0.7%

-0.2%

12:30

Medium

0.0%

0.7%

12:30

High

1.6%

2.0%

12:30

Medium

0.2%

0.2%

12:30

High

2.0%

2.0%

12:30

Low

930K

917K

12:30

Medium

1.4%

0.8%

12:30

Low

943K

939K

12:30

Medium

0.4%

3.9%

12:30

Low

232.512

12:30

Low

232.966

232.166

13:15

Medium

0.2%

0.8%

13:15

Low

78.4%

78.3%

13:15

Medium

0.1%

0.8%

16:00

Low

19:30

Low

22:45

Medium

0.5%

-0.2%

22:45
Wed Apr 17

NZD Consumer Prices Index (YoY) (1Q) AUD Westpac Leading Index (MoM) (FEB) JPY Consumer Confidence (MAR) EUR EU 25 New Car Registrations (MAR) GBP Bank of England Minutes GBP Claimant Count Rate (MAR) GBP Jobless Claims Change (MAR) GBP Average Weekly Earnings 3M/YoY (FEB) GBP Weekly Earnings exBonus 3M/YoY (FEB) GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) (FEB) GBP Employment Change (3M/3M) (FEB) CHF ZEW Survey (Expectations) (APR) EUR Euro-Zone Construction Output s.a. (MoM) (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone Construction Output w.d.a. (YoY) (FEB) USD MBA Mortgage Applications (APR 12) CAD Teranet/National Bank HPI (MoM) (MAR) CAD Teranet/National Bank HPI (YoY) (MAR) CAD Teranet/National Bank HP Index (MAR) USD Fed's Bullard Speaks in New York CAD Bank of Canada Rate Decision (APR 17) USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (APR 12) USD DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory (APR 12)

High

0.9%

0.9%

00:30

Low

0.3%

05:00

Medium

44.3

06:00

Low

-10.5%

08:30

High

08:30

Medium

4.7%

4.7%

08:30

Medium

0.0K

-1.5K

08:30

Medium

1.4%

1.2%

08:30

Low

1.1%

1.2%

08:30

Medium

7.8%

7.8%

08:30

Medium

80K

131K

09:00

Medium

2.3

09:00

Low

-1.4%

09:00

Low

-7.3%

11:00

Low

13:00

Low

-0.2%

13:00

Low

2.7%

13:00

Low

152.72

13:30

Low

14:00

High

1.00%

1.00%

14:30

Low

250K

14:30

Low

889K

14:30

USD DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories (APR 12) USD DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory (APR 12) USD Fed's Rosengren Speaks in New York USD U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book NZD ANZ NZ Job Ads (MoM) (MAR) JPY Merchandise Trade Balance Total (Yen) (MAR) JPY Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance (Yen) (MAR) JPY Merchandise Trade Exports (YoY) (MAR) JPY Merchandise Trade Imports (YoY) (MAR) JPY Japan Buying Foreign Bonds (Yen) (APR 12) JPY Japan Buying Foreign Stocks (Yen) (APR 12) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Bonds (Yen) (APR 12) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Stocks (Yen) (APR 12) JPY BOJ Policy Member Miyao Speaks with Business Leaders JPY Nationwide Department Store Sales (YoY) (MAR) CNY Actual FDI (YoY) (MAR) JPY Tokyo Department Store Sales (YoY) (MAR)

Low

1699K

14:30

Low

-169K

16:00

Low

18:00

High

22:00

Low

1.0%

23:50

Medium

-¥522.2B

-¥777.5B

23:50

Low

-¥934.5B

-¥1086.6B

23:50

Low

0.2

-2.9

23:50

Low

6.3

11.9

23:50

Low

-¥1144.9B

23:50

Low

¥6.3B

23:50

Low

¥463.6B

23:50

Low

¥868.6B

Thu Apr 18

Low

Low

0.3%

Medium

1.9%

6.3%

Low

2.5%

01:00

NZD ANZ Consumer Confidence Index (APR) NZD ANZ Consumer Confidence (MoM) (APR) AUD NAB Business Confidence (1Q) CNY China Property Prices (MAR)

Low

114.8

01:00

Low

-5.1%

01:30

Medium

-5

01:30

Medium

01:30

AUD RBA FX Transactions Other (MAR) AUD RBA Foreign Exchange Transaction (Australian dollar) (MAR) AUD RBA FX Transactions Govt. (MAR) GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (MAR) GBP Retail Sales (YoY) (MAR) GBP Retail Sales w/Auto Fuel (MoM) (MAR) GBP Retail Sales w/Auto Fuel (YoY) (MAR) USD Initial Jobless Claims (APR 13) USD Continuing Claims (APR 6) USD Fed's Kocherlakota Speaks in New York USD Fed's Lacker Speaks on Credit in Charlotte, North Carolina USD Philadelphia Fed. (APR) USD Leading Indicators (MAR) USD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (APR 12) USD Fed's Raskin Speaks in New York CNY MNI Flash Business Sentiment Indicator (APR) CNY Conference Board China Leading Economic Index (MAR) JPY Coincident Index (FEB F) JPY Leading Index (FEB F) EUR German Producer Prices (MoM) (MAR) EUR German Producer Prices (YoY) (MAR)

Low

01:30

Low

328M

03:30

Low

08:30

Low

-0.5%

1.9%

08:30

Medium

0.9%

3.3%

08:30

Low

-0.5%

2.1%

08:30

Medium

-0.4%

2.6%

12:30

Medium

346K

12:30

Low

3079K

13:00

Low

13:30

Low

14:00

Medium

3

2

14:00

Medium

0.1%

0.5%

14:30

Low

-14

16:00
Fri Apr 19

Low

01:35

Low

02:00

Low

05:00

Low

92.1

05:00

Medium

97.5

06:00

Low

0.1%

-0.1%

06:00

Medium

0.7%

1.2%

08:00

EUR Euro-Zone Current Account s.a. (euros) (FEB)

Low

14.8B

08:00

EUR Euro-Zone Current Account n.s.a. (euros) (FEB) CAD Wholesale Sales (MoM) (FEB) CAD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (MAR)

Low

-4.5B

Disclaimer 12:30

12:30

Low

0.3%

Medium

0.5%

1.2%

The information and views in this our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, CAD report, Consumer Price High 12:30 0.2% 1.2% Index (YoY)(or (MAR) but we do not accept any responsibility liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. CAD Bank Canada
12:30

Sincere efforts have been investment perspective. The information contained herein CAD Bank Canada is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.
12:30

Consumer Price Index Core (MAR) made to (MoM) present the right Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (MAR)

Medium

1.0%

0.8%

High

0.2%

1.4%

This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility
12:30

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made CAD Core CPI SA investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors Low 12:30 0.4% (MoM) (MAR) independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic researchCAD shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information Consumer Price Low 12:30 122.7 given in this report, which is in Index violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. (MAR) The share price projections shown are necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information Low 16:00 Speaks on not Credit Markets in Charlotte herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.
USD Fed's Stein

CAD Consumer Price Index SA (MoM) (MAR)

Low

1.4%

0.7%

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