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A Grand Experiment

A Big Picture Look At Where We Really Are Today

Copyright 2004-2008 Chris Martenson

My Life As A Scientist...

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Our Beliefs Shape Our World


Your beliefs become your thoughts Your thoughts become your words Your words become your actions Your actions become your habits Your habits become your values Your values become your destiny
Mahatma Gandhi

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Two Ways People Change

Insight Pain

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The Really Big Picture

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The Three Es

Economy

Environment

Energy

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What is Money?

Money is a claim on real goods and services (i.e. wealth)


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Debt is a claim on money.

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In Balance... $ Money $

Real Wealth

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Out of Balance...

All Money is Loaned into Existence

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The One Chart That Explains It All

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. .
How Economists See the World

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Exponential Growth

The Power of Exponential Growth


12 10 8 6
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4 2 0
-7000 -6000 -5000 -4000 -3000 -2000 -1000 0 1000 2000 2100

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Yankee Stadium

If we began at 12:00, when would Yankee Stadium be filled? 12:50


At what time would it still be 97% empty?
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12:45

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Our Stadium

12 10 8

Population

Billions
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6 4 2 0
-7000 6000 -5000 5000 4000 3000 -2000 2000 -1000 1000 -7000-6000 -4000 -3000

1000 2000 20002100 00 1000

Years

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Production

1800

Oil

1900 2000

http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/cms /mg20026786.000/mg20026786.000-1_1701.jpg

Forest Loss

Water Use
Species Extinction
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Fisheries Exploited
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

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Exponential Systems Speed Up

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The Three Es

Economy

Environment

Energy

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The Three Es = Complex Systems

Features Of Complex Systems


They are inherently unpredictable They owe their order and complexity to ...energy

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Energy

Specifically, Oil

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A Full Doubling of Spending...

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...Kept The World Running In Place

What Sorts Of Explanations Do We Have For That?

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The Easy Days Are Over

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A Gigantic Shift....

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Environment

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Copper Nugget
Copper Ore 10%

Copper Mining - Bingham Canyon Mine, Utah

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No Fresh Continents To Find...

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About Those Complex Systems...

The Implications Are Huge


The past will be a poor guide of the future Risks are now badly understood and priced Growth as we knew it is over
Copyright 2004-2008 Chris Martenson

Huge shifts in the economy towards the basics


The opportunities are enormous

Copyright 2004-2008 Chris Martenson

PeakProsperity.com

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