David de Vaus
Keynote address Marriage & Relationship Education National Conference, Sept 25, 2003
Australian Institute of Family Studies
Issues
Levels and trends z What happens to cohabiting relationships? z What happens to marriages preceded by cohabitation? z Differences between cohabiting and marital relationships? z Who cohabits?
z
Australian Institute of Family Studies
Currently cohabiting
(% of couples)
z z z z
Ever cohabited
(% of ever partnered)
15-19 % Ever cohabited Only married 90.3 9.7 20-24 % 68.0 32.0 25-34 35-44 % % 38.7 61.3 26.0 74.0 45-54 % 15.2 84.8 55-64 % 8.1 91.9
71 60 52 43 31 16 2 5 5
60 19
1970s
1980s z 1990s
z
Rate for 1st marriages now just reaching remarriage level of 1970s
Australian Institute of Family Studies
Average duration
(first cohabitations)
Year cohabitation began 1970-74 1975-79 1980-84 +0.4 years 1985-89 1990-94
Source: HILDA, 2001
Ends in marriage Ends in break-up (years) (years) 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.8 2.8 3.1 2.7 2.6 -1.2 years
Married
Broken-up
Still cohabiting in 2001 (%) 1.1 2.1 0.8 1.3 4.3 7.2
The paradox
Expect that try before you buy should lead to greater marital stability z Living together first should filter out relationships that will not work z But these indirect marriages have had higher break up rates
z
Gap (%) 9 11 11 16
15 years
(1980-84)
20 years
(1975-9)
Source: HILDA, 2001
Causal?
Cohabiting makes marriage less stable Duration of union Characteristics of cohabiting couples
Measurement method?
Selection?
10 16 26 30
15 years
(1980-84)
20 years
(1975-9)
Source: HILDA, 2001
Differences
Breaking up
Marriage compared to cohabitation
(after 5 years) [Women]
1990-94 Year commenced 1985-89 1980-84 1975-79 1970-74 0
9 12 40 12 30
13
29
13
27
22
10
20 Per cent
Cohabiting
30
Cohabitations much more prone to ending More cohabitations breaking up within 40 50 5 years
Married
Domestic violence
(from current male partner)
Form of violence Any violence last 12 months Emotional 12 months Any physical violence Threatened/attempted to hit Pushed, grabbed, shoved Choked Kicked, bit or punched
Source: Womens Safety Survey, 1996
Married Married unemployed employed male male 14.4 11.9 6.8 5.9 9.4 8.1 4.5 5.9
Mental Health
Probability of a disorder in last 12 months Married Cohabiting (actual) Cohabiting (adjusted for characteristics) Male (%) 11.2 22.5 12.7
Differences in mental health due to characteristics of cohabiting people not cohabiting itself Female(%) 13.8 25.8 10.4
Disorders included all mood, anxiety, alcohol and substance abuse disorders based on ICD-10 critieria Characteristics controlled: education, country of birth, age, employment, # of previous relationships, location, SES Source: National Survey of Well Being and Mental Health 1996
Who cohabits?
2001
Marital status
z
z z
Age
15-24 z 25-34 z 35-44 z 45-54 z 55+
z
(% of partnered who cohabit) Catholic 10.4% Anglican 11.9% Baptist 6.3% Lutheran 10.6% Greek orthodox 3.1% Uniting 8.3% Fundamentalist groups 6.6% Islamic 2.5% Buddhist 9.0% No religion 24.1%
Australian Institute of Family Studies
Occupation
(% of partnered who cohabit) Managers/admin Professional Associate Professional Trades Interm clerical/sales Labourer & related
Source: ABS 2001 Census
Employment
(% of partnered who cohabit)
Works full time (%) Male Female 14.0 19.4 Works Not in labour part time Unemployed force (%) % % 17.4 10.9 25.3 21.8 14.0 10.8
Presence of children
(% in age group who have children in home)
100 90 80 70 Percent 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 25-29 30-34 35-39 Cohabiting 40-44 Married 45-49 50-54
34 56 50 51 78 64 89 90 81
63
60
34
Summary (1)
Cohabitation increasing z Premarital cohabitation the norm z Long term cohabitation unusual z Cohabitation less stable than marriage
z
Summary (2)
z
way relationship duration is measured Characteristics of those who choose premarital cohabitation
Summary (3)
z
Concluding comments
Cohabitation not a single phenomenon z What does the rise of cohabitation mean?
z
Variation of pathways to marriage? Conditional relationships? Liquid love? Reflection of impermanence? Dealing with a risky society?
Australian Institute of Family Studies