Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EDITORIALS
EXPERTS' VIEWS
INDIAN ECONOMY
2010-11
2009-10
2008-09
2007-08
2006-07
2001-02
29264
168482
48777
161274
55704
246523
28817
28,413
1,60,948
51,828
1,58,622
52,603
2,41,189
29,264
29,240
1,53,678
52,365
1,54,918
51,228
2,35,283
28,413
40,505
1,44,144
46,656
1,53,437
47,786
2,31,305
29,240
35,039
1,63,536
45,721
1,52,337
50,721
2,44,296
40,505
30,747
1,64,458
44,305
1,51,332
51,107
2,39,510
35,039
37,423
1,30,764
40,381
1,30,087
38,315
2,08,568
39,861
4,664
26,650
1,200
25,500
20
32,514
6,994
3,510
20,637
4,247
23,500
230
28,394
4,664
9,150
15,950
2,786
24,200
176
27,886
3,510
9,850
28,630
0
23,500
5,830
38,480
9,150
4,175
30,780
0
22,425
2,680
34,955
9,850
10,710
20,480
0
17,845
1,360
31,190
11,985
5,060
-
4,175
70.00
4,415
64.66
5,043
68.88
5,151
69.02
4411.6
67.40
1.02%
1.43%
3061
3202
139
2.02%
2.01%
2259
2293
130
0.74%
0.90%
1508
2012
81
0.46%
0.60%
1491
1351
81
0.67%
0.77%
1880
1462
80
1011
62
World
Beginning stocks
Production
Imports
Consumption
Exports
Total supply
Ending stocks
India
Beginning stocks
6994
Production
28300
Imports
100
Consumption
26500
Exports
1800
Net availability
35394
Ending stocks
7094
Area under production
(Sugarcane-'000 Ha)
Sugarcane yield (tonnes/Ha)
Average daily volatility of MCX spot prices
Sugar medium
Sugar small
Indian price in Rs/qntl
LIFFE prices in Rs/qntl
Sugarcane SAP Rs/qntl
145
Note: e - source estimates provided by USDA, Data extracted on July 28, 2011; SAP: State Advisory Price
Source: USDA, Indian Sugar Mills Association
Begining
stocks
Brazil
China
EU-27
India
Thailand
Others
-335
1,514
1,128
6,994
2,103
17,860
World Total
Supply
Production
Imports
Consumption
Demand
Exports
39,600
12,000
15,300
28,300
9,700
63,582
0
1,850
3,700
100
0
43,127
27,300
64
1,010
1,800
7,300
18,230
12,550
13,600
17,500
26,500
2,800
88,324
29,264
168,482
48,777
55,704
161,274
Ending
stocks
-585
1,700
1,618
7,094
1,703
17,287
28,817
Note: e - source estimates provided by USDA, Data extracted on July 28, 2011
Source: USDA
178_300_CYIB_2011_Agri_final.indd 286
1/26/2012 1:29:46 AM
Import
Export
Consumption
Net
Population
availability (in million)
2011-12e
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
39,600
4,175
28,300
12,000
1,840
0
2,000
100
1,850
270
27,300
100
1,800
64
450
12,550
6,010
26,500
13,600
1,645
39,265
6,549
35,394
15,364
2,250
206.47
137.97
1,208.36
1,341.85
49.83
190.17
47.47
29.29
11.45
45.16
60.78
43.56
21.93
10.14
33.01
2010-11
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
38,150
2,980
26,650
11,303
1,975
0
2,950
1,200
1,820
220
25,650
50
20
64
500
12,000
5,890
25,500
13,900
1,620
37,315
6,329
32,514
15,478
2,265
203.43
138.74
1,189.17
1,336.72
49.00
183.43
45.62
27.34
11.58
46.22
58.99
42.45
21.44
10.40
33.06
2009-10
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
36,400
3,444
20,637
11,429
2,265
0
2,223
4,247
1,535
200
24,300
34
230
93
830
11,800
5,700
23,500
14,300
1,590
35,265
6,148
28,394
16,748
2,495
201.10
139.39
1,173.11
1,330.14
49.11
175.36
44.29
24.00
12.62
50.81
58.68
40.85
20.03
11.12
32.38
2008-09
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
31,850
3,481
15,950
13,317
2,350
0
2,150
2,786
1,077
168
21,550
200
176
75
1,185
11,650
5,500
24,200
14,500
1,525
32,065
6,181
27,886
18,359
2,745
198.74
140.04
1,166.08
1,338.61
49.05
161.34
44.14
23.91
13.71
55.96
58.62
39.27
20.75
10.83
31.09
2007-08
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
31,600
3,200
28,630
15,898
2,360
0
3,100
0
972
165
19,500
200
5,830
56
1,154
11,400
5,990
23,500
14,250
1,585
31,115
6,740
38,480
18,271
2,971
196.34
140.70
1,148.00
1,330.04
48.78
158.47
47.90
33.52
13.74
60.90
58.06
42.57
20.47
10.71
32.49
2006-07
Brazil
Russia
India
China
South Africa
31,450
3,150
30,780
12,855
2,313
0
2,950
0
1,465
125
20,850
180
2,680
122
1,267
10,800
5,950
22,425
13,500
1,570
31,165
6,570
34,955
15,023
3,288
190.01
141.38
1,129.87
1,321.85
44.00
164.02
46.47
30.94
11.37
74.73
56.84
42.09
19.85
10.21
35.68
Note: e - source estimates provided by USDA, Data retrived on July 28, 2011, Population gures for 2011-12 is arrived at by calculating CAGR from 2004-05 to 2010-11;
Source: USDA, World Bank, IFM, CIA World Fact Book
2010
-11
Uttar Pradesh
2125
Maharashtra
964
Tamil Nadu
326
Karnataka
421
Andhra Pradesh
192
Gujarat
188
Haryana
102
Uttarakhand
107
Punjab
70
Bihar
300
Madhya Pradesh
76
Others
92
All India
4962
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, GOI
2001
-02
2010
-11
1977
756
293
337
158
154
74
96
60
116
62
91
4175
1938
595
315
417
218
176
161
123
121
113
75
64
4316
125788
68672
34020
36828
14820
13440
6955
6400
5000
5492
3259
4239
324912
2084
768
309
281
196
221
90
107
81
112
71
96
4415
www.mcxindia.com / www.pwc.com/in/en
178_300_CYIB_2011_Agri_final.indd 287
2179
1093
354
306
247
211
140
124
110
109
75
107
5043
2247
1049
391
326
264
214
140
121
99
130
64
106
5151
109048
60648
32804
23328
15380
15380
5130
5590
4670
4960
2975
5116
285029
124665
88437
38071
26240
20296
15190
8860
7686
6690
3855
3180
5018
348188
133949
78568
41124
28670
21692
15630
9580
6100
6020
5956
2806
5425
355520
2001
-02
117982
45140
32620
33017
18082
12465
8170
7555
9250
5211
1616
6100
297208
1/26/2012 1:29:46 AM
PROLOGUE
EDITORIALS
EXPERTS' VIEWS
INDIAN ECONOMY
Sugar state-wise
monthly arrivals
Maharashtra
Uttar Pradesh
Dec-10
4,587.10
0.00
Nov-10
1,624.40
0.00
Oct-10
229.90
10.94
Sep-10
145.00
6.67
Aug-10
113.00
12,650.81
Jul-10
46.80
7.84
Jun-10
97.00
8.60
May-10
392.40
6.66
Apr-10
1,414.60
4.21
Mar-10
2,950.60
N/A
9.46
Feb-10
3,749.20
N/A
8.01
Jan-10
4,110.20
1,544.00
10.16
Dec-09
4,173.00
1,374.00
10.90
Nov-09
1,526.30
1,047.00
9.16
Oct-09
194.40
1,532.00
8.85
Sep-09
97.00
1,509.00
20.88
Aug-09
95.40
1,668.00
10.58
Jul-09
62.00
1,553.00
6.82
Jun-09
94.00
1,725.00
11.06
May-09
109.30
1,898.00
1.39
Apr-09
314.00
2,124.00
0.00
Mar-09
1,203.20
1,702.00
0.00
Feb-09
2,605.40
1,765.00
0.00
Jan-09
3,909.00
2,291.00
0.00
Dec-08
4,164.80
2,218.00
0.00
Nov-08
1,586.60
2,132.00
0.00
Oct-08
294.40
1,830.00
0.00
Sep-08
110.00
2,252.00
0.00
Aug-08
105.00
1,874.00
0.00
Jul-08
162.20
2,377.00
Jun-08
337.00
2,224.00
May-08
1,323.00
2,183.00
Apr-08
2,619.00
2,242.00
Mar-08
4,695.00
2,872.00
Feb-08
5,176.00
2,598.00
Jan-08
5,391.00
2,259.00
Dec-07
4,662.00
2,142.00
Nov-07
1,451.00
2,296.00
Oct-07
326.20
1,773.00
Sep-07
253.00
1,845.00
Aug-07
220.00
1,840.00
Jul-07
224.20
1,762.00
Jun-07
501.10
1,832.00
May-07
1,762.00
1,859.00
Apr-07
3,631.00
1,804.00
Mar-07
4,777.00
2,025.00
Feb-07
4,636.00
2,056.00
Jan-07
4,977.00
1,899.00
Dec-06
4,652.00
1,707.00
Nov-06
2,424.00
1,692.00
Oct-06
306.70
1,637.00
Sep-06
206.00
1,702.00
Aug-06
206.10
1,507.00
Jul-06
165.90
1,343.00
0.02
Jun-06
81.60
1,581.00
May-06
418.00
1,669.00
Apr-06
1,284.00
2,031.00
8.82
Note: e - source estimates provided by USDA, Data extracted on July 28, 2011; SAP: State Advisory Price
Source: Indian Sugar Mills Association
2.11
1.21
0.71
0.48
1.64
2.26
2.14
10.25
1.75
1.91
1.29
0.60
0.72
0.79
0.75
0.58
0.49
1.41
1.53
4.04
6.85
1.76
1.87
3.85
1.58
2.72
2.49
2.83
3.62
3.90
4.15
5.42
5.15
8.14
7.44
6.15
9.50
7.91
8.78
9.21
6.66
5.49
6.23
7.27
5.61
6.70
6.25
7.17
9.89
7.97
7.21
8.54
8.05
6.80
8.10
9.08
10.90
Levy
Sugar
Free
Sugar
208.00
215.00
248.00
228.00
220.00
215.00
208.00
217.00
202.00
192.00
194.00
209.00
200.00
214.00
235.00
211.00
185.00
190.00
191.00
191.00
191.00
191.00
191.00
201.00
189.00
180.00
227.00
208.00
194.00
193.00
192.00
186.00
186.00
189.00
191.00
195.00
229.00
229.00
229.00
189.00
186.00
189.00
193.00
184.00
176.00
159.00
174.00
184.00
167.00
169.00
190.00
177.00
165.00
153.00
156.00
150.00
161.00
1,500.00
1,400.00
1,750.00
1,672.00
1,700.00
1,450.00
1,700.00
1,900.00
1,800.00
1,608.00
1,597.00
1,430.00
1,492.00
1,500.00
1,850.00
1,834.00
1,650.00
1,267.00
1,400.00
1,650.00
1,650.00
1,600.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,400.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,200.00
1,100.00
1,200.00
1,350.00
1,350.00
1,700.00
1,600.00
1,400.00
1,400.00
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,600.00
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,000.00
1,600.00
1,300.00
1,200.00
1,500.00
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,200.00
1,300.00
1,600.00
1,500.00
1,300.00
1,200.00
1,300.00
1,450.00
1,575.00
178_300_CYIB_2011_Agri_final.indd 288
1/26/2012 1:29:46 AM
2009-10p
2008-09
2007-08
2006-07
7,036
5,167
2,512
1,269
1,191
510
18,803
4,580
4,060
1,650
1,010
590
26,330
9,075
7,320
2,839
2,141
1,366
1,335
26,298
9,013
8,352
2,542
2,421
1,390
1,924
28,199
2001-02
5,610
5,260
1,550
1,839
1,060
1,050
18,530
Number of Sugar Factories in Operation, Sugarcane Crushed /Recovered and Capacity in India
No. of factories in operation
Average Actual Capacity (tonne) Per 24 hrs
Total Cane Crushed ('000 tonnes)
Recovery of Sugarcane (%)
Average Duration (Days)
2009-10
2008-09
2007-08
2006-07
2001-02
490
3,825
185,548
10.2
108
488
3,725
144,978
10.03
87
516
3,546
249,906
10.55
149
504
3,474
279,249
10.17
174
434
3,238
180,321
10.27
140
India ES
World ES (5x)
Mumbai Prices
Sugar London
Prices
3500
9600
2800
7200
2100
4800
1400
2400
700
0
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Source: SEA of India & Agmarknet. Average Prices of India for the month of March
SourceSource:
: USDA. ES - ending stock, Indian prices Rs/Qntl, Int. prices Rs/Qntl
www.mcxindia.com / www.pwc.com/in/en
178_300_CYIB_2011_Agri_final.indd 289
1/26/2012 1:29:46 AM
PROLOGUE
EDITORIALS
EXPERTS' VIEWS
INDIAN ECONOMY
0
Brayil
India
100,000
EU+27
China
150,000
Thailand
200,000
Other
Imports
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12e
0
10,000
United States
EU-27
20,000
Indonesia
30,000
Russia
50,000
60,000
Other
Exports
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12e
0
10,000
Brazil
Thailand
20,000
Australia
30,000
Guatemala
50,000
60,000
Others
Consumption
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12e
50,000
0
India
EU-27
100,000
China
Brazil
150,000
United States
200,000
Other
178_300_CYIB_2011_Agri_final.indd 290
1/26/2012 1:29:46 AM
Months
low
Other markets
monthly average
spot prices
(Rs/qtl)
Delhi Mumbai
WPI
of
Sugar
Dec-10
3,085.92 3,175.00 3,018.00 2,869.96 2,935.00 2,800.00 3,057.69 2,946.62
172.80
777.50
58,206
49,018
Nov-10
3,011.00 3,101.00 2,905.00 2,821.27 2,920.00 2,685.00 2,976.56 2,872.43
166.70
710.00
161,152
47,282
Oct-10
2,829.68 2,885.00 2,773.00 2,630.96 2,655.00 2,587.00 2,834.21 2,689.66
161.40
722.60 108,959
63,773
Sep-10 2,740.00 2,785.00 2,710.00 2,565.56 2,608.00 2,528.00 2,740.11 2,631.16
159.80
617.00 177,586
61,683
Aug-10
2,736.92 2,785.00 2,700.00 2,489.08 2,547.00 2,420.00 2,725.38 2,557.95
160.80
578.70 137,867
65,950
Jul-10
2,847.37 2,925.00 2,804.00 2,639.63 2,827.00 2,485.00 2,849.42 2,707.61
164.10
585.70 180,217
61,379
Jun-10
2,809.23 2,942.00 2,665.00 2,550.38 2,672.00 2,430.00 2,786.63 2,636.09
155.30
528.80 166,234
68,492
May-10 3,055.00 3,168.00 2,946.00 2,745.36 2,825.00 2,646.00 2,997.50 2,830.88
161.00
468.60 113,439
61,448
Apr-10 3,040.52 3,159.00 2,963.00 2,738.04 3,003.00 2,605.00 3,015.87 2,864.75
165.40
470.10 140,997
53,338
Mar-10 3,354.85 3,569.00 3,150.00 3,040.96 3,288.00 2,845.00 3,332.98
3,171.27
183.60
504.00 191,641
61,202
Feb-10
3,852.33 4,198.00 3,548.00 3,471.00 3,924.00 3,225.00 3,759.27 3,597.59 200.30
669.90 203,154
68,854
Jan-10
4,111.04 4,326.00 3,847.00 3,817.00 3,996.00 3,600.00 4,019.80 3,876.51
202.10
742.90 208,293
85,066
Dec-09 3,549.50 3,847.00 3,418.00 3,299.00 3,600.00 3,144.00 3,500.87 3,386.12
185.70
710.20 171,647
75,877
Nov-09
3,523.11 3,590.00 3,380.00 3,355.00 3,431.00 3,135.00 3,440.80 3,456.34
184.10
610.30
189,151
67,621
Oct-09
3,100.11 3,380.00 2,822.00 2,886.00 3,135.00 2,726.00 3,086.77 3,017.85
168.80
580.50 170,813
70,781
Sep-09 3,046.42 3,172.00 2,960.00 2,904.00 3,201.00 2,810.00 3,000.63 3,034.71
167.40
618.00 199,874
74,908
Aug-09 2,933.12 3,085.00 2,593.00 2,808.00 2,976.00 2,367.00 2,925.10 2,892.93
157.50
573.10 139,147
84,155
Jul-09
2,554.14 2,611.00 2,494.00 2,338.00 2,381.00 2,294.00 2,543.52 2,432.27
142.80
491.80 152,586
77,426
Jun-09 2,522.00 2,545.00 2,475.00 2,355.00 2,392.00 2,295.00 2,501.73 2,436.34 140.00
458.70 128,525
84,198
May-09 2,468.00 2,508.00 2,390.00 2,236.00 2,293.00 2,165.00 2,427.39 2,332.30
136.40
453.00 100,842
88,266
Apr-09 2,493.00 2,640.00 2,389.00 2,218.00 2,367.00 2,133.00 2,449.43 2,296.76
132.80
427.30 139,985
78,310
Mar-09 2,247.00 2,290.00 2,218.00 2,023.00 2,092.00 1,967.00 2,215.00 2,113.00
127.20
392.8 151,055
72,150
Feb-09 2,337.00 2,351.00 2,304.00 2,102.00 2,125.00 2,084.00 2,278.00 2,147.00
127.40
401 138,964
61,168
Jan-09 2,142.00 2,300.00 2,000.00 1,946.00 2,024.00 1,864.00 2,120.00 2,009.00
120.00
373.5 112,425
60,153
Dec-08 1,941.00 1,990.00 1,884.00 1,833.00 1,890.00 1,770.00 1,936.00 1,885.00
109.90
318
51,330
49,159
Nov-08 1,920.00 1,933.00 1,908.00 1,760.00 1,772.00 1,716.00 1,854.00 1,824.00
108.60
327.9
70,673
44,510
Oct-08 1,943.00 1,976.00 1,897.00 1,709.00 1,735.00 1,683.00 1,858.00 1,778.00
108.70
334.2 120,137
47,924
Sep-08 1,884.00 1,968.00 1,839.00 1,700.00 1,800.00 1,663.00 1,840.00 1,775.00
107.90
379.6 152,409
61,627
Aug-08 1,935.00 1,995.00 1,790.00 1,807.00 1,901.00 1,641.00 1,918.00 1,884.00
104.50
398 104,971
70,758
Jul-08
1,686.00 1,800.00 1,560.00 1,525.00 1,641.00 1,406.00 1,690.00 1,580.00
98.10
386.2
137,739
61,107
Jun-08 1,570.00 1,586.00 1,558.00 1,401.00 1,404.00 1,399.00 1,559.00 1,479.00
96.40
383.7 153,428
71,539
May-08 1,598.00 1,614.00 1,585.00 1,404.00 1,420.00 1,396.00 1,582.00 1,479.00
96.80
320
92,807
53,217
Apr-08
1,617.00 1,662.00 1,591.00 1,417.00 1,468.00 1,394.00 1,603.00 1,500.00
97.00
337.5 139,804
56,083
Mar-08 1,630.00 1,667.00 1,551.00 1,435.00 1,464.00 1,350.00 1,615.00 1,509.00
95.80
334.7 142,331
59,961
Feb-08 1,562.00 1,587.00 1,539.00 1,330.00 1,358.00 1,314.00 1,537.00 1,410.00
95.00
387.2 207,453
66,707
Jan-08
1,537.00 1,574.00 1,473.00 1,354.00 1,378.00 1,289.00 1,498.00 1,422.00
93.50
350.2 279,977
87,017
Dec-07 1,480.00 1,497.00 1,450.00 1,274.00 1,287.00 1,260.00 1,445.00 1,356.00
92.30
315
111,053
82,420
Nov-07 1,499.00 1,506.00 1,491.00 1,273.00 1,287.00 1,255.00 1,472.00 1,358.00
93.00
287.7 227,327
81,738
Oct-07
1,489.00 1,499.00 1,478.00 1,292.00 1,303.00 1,281.00 1,469.00 1,379.00
92.90
283.6 205,544 105,791
Sep-07 1,476.00 1,495.00 1,442.00 1,285.00 1,294.00 1,266.00 1,446.00 1,356.00
92.50
280.2 217,764
85,966
Aug-07 1,432.00 1,443.00 1,419.00 1,255.00 1,272.00 1,238.00 1,410.00 1,328.00
92.10
279.5 156,009
78,309
Jul-07
1,447.00 1,474.00 1,434.00 1,299.00 1,333.00 1,276.00 1,415.00 1,373.00
92.60
309.4 213,241
63,379
Jun-07
1,455.00 1,475.00 1,442.00 1,252.00 1,307.00 1,233.00 1,420.00 1,334.00
92.50
320.5 185,962
77,307
May-07 1,444.00 1,478.00 1,401.00 1,245.00 1,269.00 1,224.00 1,412.00 1,337.00
92.80
339 175,963
91,830
Apr-07 1,492.00 1,552.00 1,432.00 1,361.00 1,456.00 1,269.00 1,452.00 1,444.00
95.80
308 166,403
82,018
Mar-07 1,543.00 1,554.00 1,529.00 1,436.00 1,454.00 1,394.00 1,518.00 1,512.00
98.60
332 174,770
77,833
Feb-07 1,579.00 1,621.00 1,527.00 1,396.00 1,437.00 1,335.00 1,559.00 1,476.00 100.40
332.9 128,619
60,469
Jan-07
1,647.00 1,713.00 1,611.00 1,470.00 1,495.00 1,423.00 1,636.00 1,558.00
103.00
336.9 131,374
63,857
Dec-06 1,739.00 1,780.00 1,700.00 1,555.00 1,630.00 1,500.00 1,731.00 1,644.00
107.20
342.8
79,346
53,621
Nov-06 1,855.00 1,890.00 1,785.00 1,662.00 1,690.00 1,633.00 1,841.00 1,757.00
109.80
369.4 147,349
50,378
Oct-06
1,891.00 1,916.00 1,875.00 1,707.00 1,680.00 1,658.00 1,878.00 1,780.00
110.30
400 111,884
58,778
Sep-06 1,868.00 1,903.00 1,837.00 1,772.00 1,810.00 1,745.00 1,854.00 1,807.00
110.70
377.9 160,910
54,203
Aug-06 1,919.00 1,955.00 1,870.00 1,833.00 1,852.00 1,809.00 1,906.00 1,870.00
113.00
380 125,948
63,148
Jul-06
1,943.00 1,964.00 1,923.00 1,833.00 1,852.00 1,822.00 1,921.00 1,874.00
114.00
439.5 145,956
61,199
Jun-06
1,971.00 2,016.00 1,919.00 1,871.00 1,900.00 1,830.00 1,964.00 1,901.00
115.70
465.9 135,250
71,051
May-06 2,018.00 2,052.00 1,939.00 1,918.00 2,046.00 1,868.00 2,015.00 1,945.00
116.30
447
152,157
65,199
Apr-06 2,017.00 2,064.00 1,982.00 1,890.00 1,930.00 1,814.00 2,004.00 1,940.00
115.80
474 162,367
63,902
Note: MCX Spot prices for sugar medium is taken from Alipur till Nov-09 and from Delhi from Dec-09 onwards, WPI - Wholesale Price Index; Future prices are for near month
continuos futures contract.
Source: AgmarkNet; & Ministry of Comerce and Industry; Exchanges' websites
www.mcxindia.com / www.pwc.com/in/en
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