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paper for student

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paper for student

Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)

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1.

N

(a) (i) X

102

100,

25

' N (100, 4)

6 X + 1.0X )

P (X 1.8X 6 X

X 1.8X X

X + 1.0X X

= P

6Z6

X

X

= P (1.8 6 Z 6 1)

= P (0 < Z < 1.8) + P (0 < Z < 1)

= 0.4641 + 0.3413 = 0.8054

N

(ii) X

25

100,

n

X =

n

5

1.5 =

n

2

5

n =

= 11.1111 12

1.5

0.52(0.48)

(b) P1 N 0.52,

' N (0.52, 0.002496)

100

0.47(0.53)

P2 N 0.47,

' N (0.47, 0.002491)

100

P1 P2 N (0.05, 0.004987)

0 0.05

= P Z<

0.004987

= P (Z < 0.71)

= 0.5 P (0 < Z < 0.71)

= 0.5 0.2611 = 0.2389

SSE2193

2.

p = 6/200 = 0.03

r

r

0.03(0.97)

0.03(0.97)

0.03 1.6449

6 6 0.03 + 1.6449

200

200

0.03 0.0198 6 6 0.03 + 0.0198

0.0102 6 6 0.0498

3.

H0 : 1 = 2 versus H1 : 1 6= 2

60

75

= 0.8333; P2 =

= 0.6667;

P1 =

90

90

x1 + x2

75 + 60

PP =

=

= 0.75

n1 + n2

90 + 90

P1 P2

1

1

PP (1 PP )

+

n1 n2

0.8333 0.6667

= s

1

1

+

0.75(0.25)

90 90

= 2.5810

ztest = s

Since ztest = 2.5810 > 2.5758, we reject H0 at = 0.01.

There is a strong evidence indicating that there is a difference in support against the

current curfew hour at 12 midnight among male and female students.

4.

f0.01, B , A = f0.01,5,6 = 8.75 and f0.01, A , B = f0.01,6,5 = 10.67

The 98% confidence interval for the ratio of B2 to A2 is

2

sB

1

s2B

,

f0.01,A ,B

s2A f0.01,B ,A s2A

18.1667

1

18.1667

,

f0.01,6,5

11.1429 f0.01,5,6 11.1429

(0.1863, 17.3957)

2

SSE2193

Reject H0 if

ftest < 1/f0.01, 5, 6 (i.e. 0.1143) or ftest > f0.01, 6, 5 (i.e. 10.67)

ftest

s2A

s2B

11.1429

18.1667

= 0.6134

As ftest = 0.6134, thus 0.1143 < ftest < 10.67, hence we fail to reject H0 and

conclude that there is no significant difference in the variability of assembly time

between the two shifts.

Answer in part (a) further supports this conclusion as the 98% confidence interval

contains the ratio of 1.

or

The answer in (a) is consistent with the statement in (b).

(c) Additional assumption: A2 = B2

Thus,

s2p

nA + nB 2

(7 1)11.1429 + (6 1)18.1667

7+62

= 14.3355

= 3.7862

=

sp

Reject H0 if ttest < t0.01, 11 (= 2.718)

SSE2193

ttest

xA xB 0

r

1

1

+

sp

nA nB

18.8571 24.8333

r

1 1

3.7862

+

7 6

= 2.8369

=

As ttest = 2.8369 < 2.718, we reject H0 and conclude that the shift A employees work significantly faster than that of shift B counterparts, at = 0.01.

(d) Yes.

5.

Thickness, X

P (X < 50)

P ()

P (Z < 1.82) = 0.0344

P (X > 70)

SSE2193

Oi

Ei = nP (i)

(Oi Ei )2

Ei

O1 = 8

E1 = 194(0.0344) = 6.67

(8 6.67)2

= 0.2652

6.67

O2 = 26

E2 = 194(0.1470) = 28.52

(26 28.52)2

= 0.2227

28.52

O3 = 59

E3 = 194(0.3186) = 61.81

(59 61.81)2

= 0.1277

61.81

O4 = 67

E4 = 194(0.3186) = 61.81

(67 61.81)2

= 0.4358

61.81

O5 = 30

E5 = 194(0.1470) = 28.52

(30 28.52)2

= 0.0768

28.52

O6 = 4

E6 = 194(0.0344) = 6.67

(4 6.67)2

= 1.0688

6.67

2test = 2.1970

At = 0.05, reject H0 if 2test > 2, (= 11.070)

Since 2test = 2.1970 < 20.05,5 = 11.070, thus, we fail to reject H0 and conclude

that the thickness of all sunscreen films follows normal distribution with mean of

60 107 mm and standard deviation 5.5 107 mm.

H1 : Machines breakdown and shift are not independent (related).

SSE2193

Oij

(Oij Eij )2

Eij

Eij

O11 = 38 E11 =

90(74)

= 33.30

200

(38 33.30)2

= 0.6634

33.30

O12 = 18 E12 =

56(74)

= 20.72

200

(18 20.72)2

= 0.3571

20.72

O13 = 18 E12 =

54(74)

= 19.98

200

(18 19.98)2

= 0.1962

19.98

O21 = 34 E21 =

90(72)

= 32.40

200

(34 32.40)2

= 0.0790

32.40

O22 = 22 E22 =

56(72)

= 20.16

200

(22 20.16)2

= 0.1679

20.16

O23 = 16 E22 =

54(72)

= 19.44

200

(16 19.44)2

= 0.6087

19.44

O31 = 18 E31 =

90(54)

= 24.30

200

(18 24.30)2

= 1.6333

24.30

56(54)

= 15.12

=

200

(16 15.12)2

= 0.0512

15.12

54(54)

= 14.58

200

(20 14.58)2

= 2.0148

14.58

O32 = 16 E32

O33 = 20 E22 =

2test = 5.7716

At = 0.05, reject H0 if 2test > 2, (= 9.488)

Since 2test = 5.7716 < 20.05, 4 = 9.488, thus, we fail to reject H0 and the machines

breakdown and shift are independent (not related).

6.

H0 : 1 = 2 = 3 = 4

H1 : i 6= j for at least one (i, j)

SSE2193

Source of

variation

Hardwood

concentration

Error

Total

Sum of

Squares

Degrees

of freedom

Mean Squares

Fcalc

362.79

130.17

492.96

3

20

23

120.93

6.51

18.576

Since fcal = 18.576 > f0.05,3,20 = 3.10 thus reject H0 . The data provide sufficient evidence that the tensile strength is a function of hardwood concentration at significance

level.

7.

SXX = 437.5

SY Y = 1712.833

Y = 141.533 1.96X

(ii) r = 0.991

There is a very high negative correlation (linear relationship) between X and

Y.

(b) There are other possible variations to the answers below - marks given

under examiners discretion

(i) As the total monthly energy usage during the month of the residential customers increase, the peak hour demand increases as well.

(ii) The value of is 0.004. Thus, the extend to which the peak hour demand

is affected by the total monthly energy usage is about this amount which is

relatively small.

(iii) Yes, since p value = 9.53E 08 < = 0.01.

8.

(a)

H0

H1

above the mean of 150 ppm

The fluoride impurity level is NOT randomly below

and above the mean of 150 ppm

7

SSE2193

151

153

148 143

152

146

154

145

155

144

142

147

Let n1 = 5 and n2 = 7 then

Reject if R 6 RL = 3 or R > RU = 11.

Since 3 < R = 8 < 11, the null hypothesis must not be rejected. We conclude

that the fluoride impurity level is randomly below and above the mean of 150

ppm at 0.05 significance level.

H0 : = 0.5 vs. H1 : > 0.5

(b) X = number of +

X b(n, 0.5)

= 0.05

or

or

or

Y = number of

Y b(n, 0.5)

difference by a symbol, and discarding the three zero differences, we obtain

the sequence

+ + + + + + + + ++

for which n = 12 and x = 10.

Reject H0 if P (X > x) 6

or

Reject H0 if P (Y 6 y) 6

The computed

P -value is P (X > 10) = 1 P (X 6 9) = 1 0.9807 = 0.0193 < 0.05

or

P (Y 6 2) = 0.0193 < 0.05

Reject H0 and conclude that product B is favored over product A.

SSE2193

(c) H0 : X = Y vs. H1 : X 6= Y

= 0.1

Brand

X

X

X

X

X

X

X

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Time

26.3

28.1

25.9

27.7

26.3

25.8

28.5

27.7

23.2

25.8

24.1

23.5

Ranks

7.5

11

6

9.5

7.5

4.5

12

9.5

1

4.5

3

2

n = 5, m = 7

T1 = 9.5 + 1 + 4.5 + 3 + 2 = 20

T2 = 7.5 + 11 + 6. + 9.5 + 7.5 + 4.5 + 12 = 58

Reject H0 when T1 < 22 or T1 > 5(12 + 1) 22 = 43

Since T1 = 20 < 22, we reject H0 at = 0.1. We can conclude that the

ups of brand X is not identical with that of brand Y .

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