August 23, 2013

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VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 76% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 44% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--13 of them by double digits. MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

Week Open
15076.79 3601.88 1024 1655.25

Thurs. Close
14963.74 3638.71 1036.2 1656.96

Change
-113.05 36.83 12.2 1.71

% Change
-0.75% 1.02% 1.19% 0.10%

YTD
14.28% 20.91% 22.01% 16.29%

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 23.66% 76.34% 9.57% 44.24%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
1.05% 1.62% 1.36% 1.40% 0.92% 1.28% 0.73% 0.82% 0.82% 1.46% 0.73% 0.46% 1.40% 0.80% 1.56% 0.70%

MTD
0.53% 3.25% 3.49% -0.32% -0.02% -0.42% 0.99% -1.19% -0.83% 2.62% 1.35% 0.05% -1.73% -1.74% -0.04% -0.79%

YTD
27.10% 41.35% 3.64% 71.34% 27.28% 27.13% 30.36% 15.74% 23.85% 34.70% 196.84% 6.23% 22.31% 31.20% 20.94% 12.19%

Valuation
22.01% overvalued 27.67% overvalued 3.45% undervalued 19.57% overvalued 21.73% overvalued 15.85% overvalued 23.91% overvalued 17.41% overvalued 18.53% overvalued 20.38% overvalued 20.08% overvalued 24.67% overvalued 5.27% overvalued 23.97% overvalued 20.02% overvalued 8.56% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
30.54% 43.57% -22.82% 23.23% 21.84% 30.21% 25.27% 15.63% 14.12% 24.57% 22.81% 14.44% 1.25% 35.63% 23.16% 7.15%

P/E Ratio
17.48 19.68 19.68 23.24 29.5 24.19 24.31 21.72 17.36 21.52 25.32 17.04 26.15 23.32 18.92 18.62

ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results
VE Newsletter Forecast MNS Dividend Stock Small Cap Stock View Current Month Total
-0.08 -3.44 1.36 -0.16

S&P 500
-1.69 -2.27 0.49 0.28

Last Month Total
1.49 8.47 -6.67 -3.93

S&P 500
0.17 6.76 -2.57 -1.43

Since Inception
96.25 3.44 36.62 69.34

S&P 500
84.49 6.74 21.97 45.91

Sector Talk—Basic Materials
Below, we present the latest data on leading Basic Materials Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns
Ticker
SLCA KGC SID AWC HCLP

Name
US SILICA HOLDI KINROSS GOLD CIA SIDERUR-ADR ALUMINA LTD HI-CRUSH PTNRS

Mkt Price
22.89 5.67 3.74 3.53 23.86

Valuation(%)
-7.07 -58.84 69.01 N/A N/A

Last 12-M Retn(%)
84.45 -35.35 -33.09 15.74 23.76

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns
Ticker
SLCA KGC SID AWC HCLP

Name
US SILICA HOLDI KINROSS GOLD CIA SIDERUR-ADR ALUMINA LTD HI-CRUSH PTNRS

Mkt Price
22.89 5.67 3.74 3.53 23.86

Valuation(%)
-7.07 -58.84 69.01 N/A N/A

Last 12-M Retn(%)
84.45 -35.35 -33.09 15.74 23.76

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Composite Score
Ticker
SLCA KGC LYB PPP POT

Name
US SILICA HOLDI KINROSS GOLD LYONDELLBASEL-A PRIMERO MINING POTASH SASK

Mkt Price
22.89 5.67 69.5 5.29 29.66

Valuation(%)
-7.07 -58.84 14.55 -5.16 -25.17

Last 12-M Retn(%)
84.45 -35.35 43.06 23.02 -30.26

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued
Ticker
CHMT BHP KRA CDE AXLL

Name
CHEMTURA CORP BHP BILLITN LTD KRATON PERFORM COEUR DALENE MI AXIALL CORP

Mkt Price
22.98 64.62 19.11 15.85 41.97

Valuation(%)
300 253.4 182.6 150.31 71.84

Last 12-M Retn(%)
38.94 -7.29 -11.61 -28.28 6.66

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service Please Click HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Download for Readers
As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Detailed Stock Valuation Reports--this report is normally $25.00
This week's free download is for Deere & Company (DE). Deere & Company is the one world's foremost producers of agricultural equipment as well as a leading manufacturer of construction, forestry, and commercial and consumer equipment. The company, in addition, provides credit, special technology, and managed healthcare products and services. ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on Deere & Company for 2013-08-14. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Deere & Company has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Earnings Growth Rate. Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Deere and Company HERE.

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(2.899) Daily and semiannual value levels are 3.021 and 3.227 with weekly, monthly,annual, and semiannual risky levels at 2.745, 2.601, 2.476, 1.981 and 1.719. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold –($1374.3) Weekly, monthly and weekly value levels are $1312.5, $1229.7 and $1184.8 with daily, annual, quarterly and annual risky levels at $1386.0, $1599.9, $1603.0 and $1852.1. Nymex Crude Oil – ($105.08) My quarterly value level is $91.75 with a monthly pivot at $104.48, and daily, semiannual, annual and weekly risky levels at $106.00, $109.20, $115.23 and $116.58. The Euro – (1.3356) Monthly, annual, weekly, semiannual and quarterly value levels are 1.3313, 1.3257, 1.3234, 1.2477 and 1.1545 with daily and annual risky levels at 1.3377 and 1.4295. Major Indices Daily Dow: (14,964) Daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 14,763, 14,288 and 12,696 with the August 2 all time high at 15,658.43, and weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 15,836, 16,188 and 16,490. S&P 500 – (1657.0) Daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 1633.2, 1525.6 and 1348.3 with the August 2 all time high at 1709.67, and monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1742.5 and 1743.5. NASDAQ – (3639) Daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 3584, 3284 and 2806 with a monthly pivot at 3663, the August 5 multi-year high at 3694.18, and semiannual risky level at 3759.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) – (3102) Monthly, daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 3080, 3062, 2983 and 2463 with the August 13 multi-year high at 3149.24, and weekly and semiannual risky levels at 3229, 3251 and 3304. Dow Transports – (6473) Daily, annual and quarterly value levels are 6299, 5925, 5469 and 5348 with the August 1 all time high at 6686.86, and weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 6743, 7087 and 7104. Russell 2000 – (1036.20) Daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 1010.22, 863.05, 860.25 and 809.54 with the August 5 all time high at 1063.52, and monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1092.24 and 1089.42. The SOX – (463.83) Daily, quarterly and annual value levels are 455.50, 404.59 and 338.03 with weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 488.82, 513.89 and 533.56. Dow Utilities: (479.22) A daily value level is 467.28 with a semiannual pivot at 481.92 with weekly, quarterly, semiannual, monthly and annual risky levels at 516.31, 510.38, 523.33, 530.15 and 540.37.

ValuEngine.com Tools and Services
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Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd.

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