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HOME EARTH ENVIRONMENT CLIMATE CHANGE

Global warming? No, actually we're cooling, claim scientists


A cold Arctic summer has led to a record increase in the ice cap, leading experts to predict a period of global cooling.

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Major climate research centres now accept that there has been a pause in global w arming since 1997. Photo: ALAMY
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There has been a 60 per cent increase in the amount of ocean covered with ice compared to this time last year, they equivalent of almost a million square miles. In a rebound from 2012's record low an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia's northern shores, days before the annual re-freeze is even set to begin. The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year, forcing some ships to change their routes. A leaked report to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) seen by the Mail on Sunday, has led some scientists to claim that the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century. If correct, it would contradict computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming. The news comes several years after the BBC predicted that the arctic would be ice-free by 2013.
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Climat e Change New s Earth New s Global Warm ing Mobile Hay ley Dixon In Climate Change

Arctic ice cap on course to shrink to its lowest level 22 Aug 2012 The plodding music of global warming 30 Aug 2013 Our fizzy seas of soda water 01 Jul 2013 The weather prophets should be chucked in the deep end 23 Jun 2013

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Despite the original forecasts, major climate research centres now accept that there has been a pause in global warming since 1997. The original predictions led to billions being invested in green measures to combat the effects of climate change. The changing predictions have led to the UN's climate change's body

holding a crisis meeting, and the the IPCC is due to report on the situation in October. A pre-summit meeting will be held later this month. But the leaked documents are said to show that the governments who fund the IPCC are demanding 1,500 changes to the Fifth Assessment Report - a three-volume study issued every six or seven years as they claim its current draft does not properly explain the pause. The extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels and how much of the warming over the past 150 years, a total of 0.8C, is down to human greenhouse gas emissions are key issues in the debate. The IPCC says it is 95 per cent confident that global warming has been caused by humans - up from 90 per cent in 2007 according to the draft report. However, US climate expert Professor Judith Curry has questioned how this can be true as that rather than increasing in confidence, uncertainty is getting bigger within the academic community. Long-term cycles in ocean temperature, she said, suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend. At the time some scientists forecast an imminent ice age. Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, said: "We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped. The IPCC is said to maintain that their climate change models suggest a pause of 15 years can be expected. Other experts agree that natural cycles cannot explain all of the recorded warming.
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2028 comments
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Dick Chase 0 seconds ago


How convenient ! The IPCC has not found that their models predicted a 15 year pause. Strange, they didn't seem to have done that before it happened. In fact, a decade ago the models were practically screaming that temperatures were on a neverending annual increase that could only be stopped by draconion governmental controls on every form of energy use.

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SteveDone 38 seconds ago


But do we get an apology from these lying organisations and a refund ,for all our money stolen and wasted ? http://bit.ly/1c6977p

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Brown 2 minutes ago


No doubt, the end of green taxes then???. No, I thought not. The whole issue of global warming is and always has been pure BS. http://tiny.cc/6oc52w

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MikeMichecl 6 minutes ago


I think just a load of green crap. http://tiny.cc/w2g42w

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g-o-b 9 minutes ago


All the global warming supporters extract only that data which supports their claims and ignore everything else.

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Now swap the word 'supporters' for 'sceptics'... I don't know what the truth is but I guarantee 99.999% of the commentators here don't know either.

Edith Crowther 10 minutes ago


There may be short spell of cooling, but the long-term trend is set fast for warming. I like the NASA site - they have no axe to grind, and it is a beautifully designed website which always helps. Here is the update for May-August 2013, not a record year for dwindling but the overall trend continues to be downward, showing a sustained decline when averaged out over the decades: http://www.nasa.gov/content/go... "The icy cover of the Arctic Ocean was measured at 2.25 million square miles (5.83 million square kilometers) on Aug. 21. For comparison, the smallest Arctic sea ice extent on record for this date, recorded in 2012, was 1.67 million square miles (4.34 million square kilometers), and the largest recorded for this date was in 1996, when ice covered 3.16 millions square miles (8.2 million square kilometers) of the Arctic Ocean." Here is an item about the rich breeding ground for small fry now occuring underneath the Arctic Ice due to steady and prolonged warming: http://www.nasa.gov/topics/ear... A silver lining, indeed, like a new tropical rainforest suddenly appearing on land (and maybe they will too!). First crop of British melons in Shropshire this year, too.

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NuclearDemolition 11 minutes ago


I wish global warming was true, we need the earth to store all the heat it can, if we're to survive the nuclear winter.

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Timmah_timmah

Recommended by 3

15 minutes ago
This article and the comments only prove ONE thing - Those that have taken sides in the debate will NOT be swayed one way or the other! Sad really. Agendas are being pushed involving tons of MONEY on both sides. Real, honest, scientific, fact-based debate is being muddied with spin, red herrings, mis-directions, false associations, and blatant lies. Climate science is far too complex to shrink down into a few hundred words or a short 3 minute TV piece. Entire BOOKS are written to explain these concepts! These things evolve over DECADES, not hours. Oversimplifying them doesn't do anyone any good at all. I personally believe Governments should NOT make such an aggressive attempt to be "proactive" or "preventative" in these things. We need to let them play out and ADAPT as we go. We must be vigilant and willing to adapt QUICKLY. But attempting to be "proactive" is questionable at best. We SHOULD educate and encourage - even Incentivize - conservation, but mandating it and penalizing for it is not the way. We MUST encourage science to develop more clean tech and ways to isolate and reduce pollutants. We Do NOT need carbon taxes and cutting our nose to spite our face. We also DON'T need to be fighting each other instead of observing what is happening and ACTING!

people Recommend Report

RumusTehnik 17 minutes ago


However, we all knew right from the start that this was all a con trick to squeeze even more money out of our already shrunk pockets. http://tiny.cc/w2g42w

Recommended by 1 person Recommend Report

Tom Moddy 34 minutes ago


Its nature showing up the liars for what they are. http://tiny.cc/6oc52w

Recommended by 2 people Recommend Report Recommended by 3

Stoica_Andreea

38 minutes ago
I think many of us suspected, there is a natural cycle of warming and cooling. Manmade climate change is a load of green crap. http://tiny.cc/w2g42w

people Recommend Report

Wareagle82 38 minutes ago


and that's why the term 'global warming' was replaced by the all-encompassing climate change, which can be used to justify anything. Maybe even the relative lack of hurricanes in the US this year.

Recommended by 7 people Recommend Report

Brown 39 minutes ago


But possibly global warming is the biggest hoax in history. http://bit.ly/1c6977p

Recommended by 4 people Recommend Report

NuclearDemolition 18 minutes ago


Global warming/climate change hoax still long ways to catch up to the evolution hoax and it's already falling apart. It did have a good run though, Al Gore must be proud of it, as he is proud of his other great invention the internet.

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Rob Harkavy 13 minutes ago


What's the evolution hoax?

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Kcox 42 minutes ago


Wow, the comments on this article seem pretty much like an echo chamber . . . people looking for any scrap of data that leans toward supporting their political position.

Recommended by 4 people Recommend Report

As a trained statistician, I can say with confidence (little statistical punnery), that it's complex and not reducible to a 400 word article in a general news publication. You can pick at your favorite political conspiracy theory as much as you like, but I doubt you're getting anywhere nearer an understanding of the science involved.

morganmacarthur 50 minutes ago


where do we go for our refund for the money forcibly extracted and spent on these lies? where is the prosecution of the madoffs of these groups-- far worse than madoffs, because we were given no choice whether our money was 'invested'. when will people stand up to the authoritarian left and their intimidation and namecalling tactics when you disagree?

Recommended by 7 people Recommend Report

magicmoonbeam2 57 minutes ago


Arctic ice data gained through ice cores for the past 450 thousand years have show large and continual changes in ice coverages. Rapid changes in average global temperatures and polar ice coverages appear to be nothing new. At its maxim extent the polar ice cap reached as far south as southern Britain 10,000 year ago before going into rapid retreat at the end of the last ice age. Earth erratic orbit and shifting axis is know to have caused the frequent ice ages and warm periods in the past but today it is not even considered a factor. Instead CO2 is hyped as a supper green house gas even though it is a poor absorber and reemitter of radiation therefore pretty useless as a green house gas. Contradictionary data. In the southern hemisphere the Antarctica ice sheet is expanding in tandem with lower average temperatures, Glaciers across the world are growing and not contracting as predicted. The "scientist" behind the bogus claim in a Nobel Prize-winning UN report that Himalayan glaciers will have melted by 2035 admitted it was included purely to put political pressure on world leaders." There has been no notable increase in average global temperatures for the past 15 years. How much extra tax is being extracted on the weight of this pseudoscience? Al Gore is heavily invested in heavily subsidized environmental tech companies. How many of our politicians also have vested interest in maintaining the myth. Ice_Age_Temperature_Rev.png (574379)

Recommended by 6 people Recommend Report

RumusTehnik Today 09:20 AM


Before to global warming was the hole in the ozone layer, don't hear much about that now?? http://tiny.cc/w2g42w

Recommended by 4 people Recommend Report

suffolkboy 42 minutes ago


Global warming replaced ozone which replaced acid rain which replaced nuclear annihilation as the imaginary scare of the day with which practical politicians terrify the life out of the population. Never fear; another one will emerge, or an old one will be recycled. , as each was is revealed successively as a fraud.

Recommended by 9 people Recommend Report

Derek 14 minutes ago


Sorry? All of those were legitimate, it's just that through sensible legislation we were able to reverse the trends. The ozone layer had and still has a large hole in it over Antartica. This is evidenced by high rates of skin cancer down under due to the decreased ozone protection. We know that human activity was responsible for the hole and we curtailed the use of CFCs, lo and behold the hole is now closing. Acid rain happened and still happens in some places. The effects and reasons behind are well understood. We restricted the source of the problem and once again we managed to mitigate the issue (in the west at least). Then there was nuclear war, obviously any fears of this were unfounded, the peace and tranquility during the cold war is well documented......

Recommended by 1 person Recommend Report

Britney Today 09:18 AM

Recommended by 4 people Recommend

I think good news, at least it will stop the AGW numpties banging on about our half-decent summer being evidence for their ludicrous fantasy. http://bit.ly/1c6977p

Report

Tom Moddy Today 09:16 AM


But I can see a global cooling tax's looming. http://www.newscenterpk.com/?p...

Recommended by 8 people Recommend Report

MichealJeff Today 09:14 AM


I think just shows that the BBC lost all credibility years ago. Like some newspapers too. http://tiny.cc/w2g42w

Recommended by 6 people Recommend Report

Ted Ebayer Today 09:13 AM


The IPCC will never come clean on the data, their very livelihoods depend on trying to scare us into higher taxation which the supporting Governments love. ...So warming has "paused" since 97 yet carbon continues to rise, thus there can be no correlation between the two any more than Mammoth farts melted the last ice age.

Recommended by 6 people Recommend Report

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