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You are on page 1of 16

Dr.SohailIqbal

Outline

ConceptofRandomVariable ExamplesofRandomVariableProblems DiscreteProbabilityDistribution TheBinomialDistribution Examples HomeWork

Conceptof RandomVariable

Inmostprobabilityproblems,weare interestedinonenumberthatisassociated withtheoutcomeofexperiment.Such number beingrandomduetorandom number, outcomeofexperiment,iscalledRandom Variable.

Examplesof RandomVariableProblems

1. Inmanufacturing,x =No.ofdefectiveitems 2. InRoadTesting,y =Averagevehicles vehicles speed 3. Throwingtwodice,z =sumoftwodice Allthesenumbersareassociatedwith situationsinvolvingrandomness,therefore, all llof fthe th above b variable i bl x,y,and dzareth three differentrandomvariables.

4

ProbabilityDistribution

StudyingRandomVariablesweinterestin: Probabilitieswithwhichtheytakethevarious valuesintheirrange. Thi spread This dof fprobabilities b bili i for f the h various i valuesofrandomvariablesiscalleda probabilitydistribution. Inthefollowing,weconstructanexample:

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Experimentof ThrowingtwoDice

Results:

Tabulated:

Thinkabouthavinga sumoftwodice dice=z=7 7 P(X=7)=6/36

Example1

Probability b b l d distribution b function f (pdf) ( df)f forthe h sum oftwodice

Note:Abovediagramisexperimental,makeyourselfidealpdf.

Example2

Note:Probability distribution functionisalso calledprobability densityfunction orprobability massfunction.

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DiscreteProbabilityDistribution

Whentherandomvariabletakesthediscrete probability ydistributionwillbe values,itsp DiscreteProbabilityDistribution. Forexample example, throwingtwodice ornumberof defectiveitemsineachshipment willhave discreteprobability b b l distributions. b

PatternUnderstanding

Byunderstandingtheunderlyingpattern p wehaveformulated behindeachexperiment, differentprobabilitydistribution. Inthefollowing, following weshallstudythemost importantdiscreteprobabilitydistribution called ll The h Binomial lProbability b b l Distribution. b

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BinomialProbabilityDistribution

Considerexperimentoftossingacoin: 1. Outcomecanbeclassifiedassuccess/failure 2. Successprobability,p,remainssame 3. Thesuccessivetrialsareallindependent Anyexperimentwheretrialsrespectabove threeconditionsarecalledBernoullitrails. Theexperimenthavingn Bernoullitrialsis calledabinomialprobabilityexperiment.

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BinomialProbabilityDistribution

WhenX denotesthenumberofsuccessesinn probability yexperiment, p it trialsofabinomialp iscalledabinomialrandomvariablehaving BinomialProbabilityDistribution.Forsuchr.v. rv X, thebinomialp.d.isgivenbytheformula:

n p xq n -x , b(x ; n, p) = P (X = x ) = x x = 0,1,2,..., n

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ClassicExample

Q:Acoinistossed5times.Whatareprobabilities gvariousnumberofheads? ofobtaining SincetheseareBernoullitrialswithn=5times. Ther.v. r v X hasabinomialprobabilitydistribution withp=1/2,q=1/2,andn=5.Thereforeweapply

n x n -x b(x ; n, p) = P (X = x ) = p q , x x =0 0,1,2,..., 12 n

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n x n -x b(x ; n, p) = P (X = x ) = pq , x

MainformulaforBPD

x = 0,1,2,..., 012 n

x 5-x 5 1 1 1 b(x ; 5 , ) = P (X = x ) = , 2 x 2 2

x = 0,1,2, 3, 4, 5

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HomeWork:Task2.1 21

MakeaMatlab programtoimplement

n x n -x b(x ; n, p) = P (X = x ) = p q , x x = 0,1,2,..., n

suchthat,foranyinputofnandp,program generateahistogram. g g

15

Questions?

ThankYou!

16

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