Labour Market Bulletin

New Brunswick

March 2013
The Monthly Edition of the Labour Market Bulletin provides an analysis of monthly Labour Force Survey results for the province of New Brunswick, including the regions of Campbellton—Miramichi, Edmundston—Woodstock, Fredericton— Oromocto, Moncton—Richibucto and Saint John—St. Stephen.

OVERVIEW
In February 2013, the labour market in New Brunswick experienced its second consecutive month of employment growth after several months of decreases. The addition of almost 3,000 jobs to the total reflects an increase of 4,800 full-time jobs and a loss of 1,900 part-time jobs. The employment rate was up 0.5 percentage points to 57.0%. The unemployment rate fell 1.2 percentage points, although close to 5,000 fewer people were looking for work. This decrease appears somewhat high and may be attributable to the margin of error associated with the sample size of the Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey. The province’s economy is still not very strong and these numbers appear somewhat overly positive, although the decline in the number of people looking for work seems to indicate that people are not very hopeful of finding a job. The fragility of the economy contributes to this feeling about the province’s labour market. The data indicate that there has been little noteworthy change since February 2012. However, it is important to point out that the working age population continues to decline. Increasingly, the province is experiencing permanent migration of its working age population to other provinces.

2 0.4 57.0 January 2013 620.7 56. The unemployment rate remains above the 10% bar and has not fallen below this level since July 2012.6 44.8 57.1 395.2 -2.0 - Yearly Variation Number -0.2 0.2 % -0.5 February 2012 620.1 63.9 393.7 10.0 1.2 56.7 39. the situation deteriorated until the reversal in January 2013.5 % 0.5 391.9 4. Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Page 2 February 2013 619.7 39. The strength of the Canadian dollar is a factor contributing to the challenges facing the province’s exporters.0 353.7 0.Labour Market Bulletin .6 1.5 0.9 -1.3 63.9 -4.6 55.3 -11.1 0. New Brunswick’s labour market is clearly suffering as a result of anemic economic growth.1 0.6 11.3 10. March 2013 New Brunswick Monthly Labour Force Statistics Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data Population 15 + ('000) Labour Force ('000) Employment ('000) Full-Time ('000) Part-Time ('000) Unemployment ('000) Unemployment Rate (%) Participation Rate (%) Employment Rate (%) Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.2 -0.0 - After achieving a record employment level in May 2012.0 2.3 297.0 -0.4 0.New Brunswick.3 0.8 Monthly Variation Number -0.8 -1.6 296.0 63.2 0.0 350. The economic recovery is still uncertain in both Canada and the United States.0 0. .4 292. which affects export economies like that of New Brunswick.9 352.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.9 55.6 -3.

0 7. compared to last year.3 Yearly Variation Number 0.0 16. The sharpest monthly drop in employment was observed in the educational services sector.8 7.4 February 2012 % 10.8 -5.8 8. The gains were spread across several industries. employment was stable in these industries. with about 1.7 0. a situation difficult to understand since this sector consists mainly of staff in public educational institutions. there were few factors to support such a rise in employment. March 2013 New Brunswick Monthly Unemployment Rates. As with the construction industry. although no major project was announced in the past month.3 10.2 1. In contrast.8 -2. the number of people employed in the construction field remained below February 2012 levels.4 13.0 18. Despite this gain.3 16.0 10.2 -1.8 6.4 -5. The increase in employment in the services-producing sector was relatively minor.0 -0.0 13.0 9.1 0. Reductions by the various levels of government continue to negatively impact the labour market. with gains being higher in goods-producing industries. This represents the first significant increase in these industries in a long time and it is too early to draw any conclusions.2 -0. the public administration sector continued to experience major decreases.New Brunswick.000 more jobs. The growing demands of an aging population for health care continue to be a factor in this situation.1 0.0 22. higher employment was posted in the both goods-producing and services-producing industries. .000 jobs in the past month. which is more representative of what was observed on the ground.8 Page 3 Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY In February.25 years and over Women .0 4. Manufacturing industries also posted a gain of close to 1.000 jobs in the construction industry.2 13. The health care and social assistance sector did not experience any increase in the past month.Labour Market Bulletin .1 9.1 22.0 -1. but did post the strongest growth in employment in the province.9 Monthly Variation Number -1. There is little evidence available to support such a sudden improvement.1 January 2013 % 11. There have been no recent layoff announcements in the headlines. by Gender and Age Seasonally Adjusted Data Total 25 years and over Men .25 years and over 15 to 24 years Men . Compared to February of last year.15 to 24 years Women .2 11.1 18. culture and recreation sector posted the highest gains in February. Industries in the information. There was an increase of almost 1.15 to 24 years February 2013 % 10.

8 2.8 16. oil and gas Utilities Construction Manufacturing Services-producing sector Trade Transportation and warehousing Finance.9 -10.3 -1.3 -0.1 4.0 21.9 1.6 2.4 -1.4 74.9 0. March 2013 New Brunswick Monthly Labour Force Statistics. Losses were concentrated outside the Saint John metropolitan area.7 -6. This is by far the highest rate in the province.4 23.7 0. However.6 -20.8 -1.9 4. this region had seen a sharp increase in employment in 2012.0 28.1 5.2 -0.5 25.8 -1.3 8.0 -5.New Brunswick.Labour Market Bulletin .4 -0.2 3.5 -12. all industries Goods-producing sector Agriculture Forestry.2 17.1 55. Retail sales have slowed in recent months. fishing.7 13. The Moncton—Richibucto economic region lost approximately 1.1 23.4 26.9 -1.4 -1.8 0.3 76.9 16.3 29.6 4.8 0.3 3.000 jobs. this region had experienced a difficult year in 2012.2 27.7 -0. The unemployment rate continued to grow in the region.0 -14.5 27.5 -0.8 -0. scientific and technical services Business.6 3.8 % 0.0 15.1 12.0 17.8 17.9 29. February’s employment level remains below that of February 2011.7 -7.1 0.5 Monthly Variation Number 2.6 76.7 12.0 28.4 17.1 15.7 22.3 51. mining.8 0. .500 unemployed workers. This region also experienced a difficult year in 2012.6 5.9 -0.8 3.3 1. culture and recreation Accommodation and food services Other services Public administration Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.5 2.0 -5. real estate and leasing Professional. However.7 0.7 0. Stephen economic region. all in the Moncton metropolitan area.9 15.7 10.4 27.9 3.2 5.6 -3.1 -0.0 1.7 276.2 -2.8 -3.7 14.9 16.3 54.1 -0.6 13.4 -0. with the addition of close to 2. The highest job losses were in the Saint John—St.4 7.0 24.4 % 0.0 55.2 0.2 13.1 January 2013 350.5 0. insurance.2 0.7 -10.6 3.0 16.4 0.5 -4. impacting the labour market. Only the Campbellton—Miramichi region saw higher employment in February 2013 than in February 2012.0 -0.8 57.1 0.8 4.1 15.8 2.0 -0.9 276.3 February 2012 352.0 15.7 56.8 0.9 15.6 25.1 3.2 26.8 REGIONAL ANALYSIS The weakness of the provincial economy is impacting all of the province’s economic regions.9 275. Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Page 4 February 2013 353. quarrying.1 2.1 1. The region has a large manufacturing sector and the economic situation of such trading partners as the United States is negatively impacting labour market growth. building and other support services Educational services Health care and social assistance Information.6 Yearly Variation Number 0.9 -0.8 15.1 22.9 2.2 5. by Industry Seasonally Adjusted Data ('000) Total employed.4 2. It is a diversified region and relies heavily on an impressive retail trade sector.5 12.

9 1.4 18.8 0.1 February 2012 ('000) 10.3 8. Users are encouraged to also refer to other sources for additional information on the local economy and labour market.Labour Market Bulletin . the authors have taken care to provide clients with labour market information that is timely and accurate at the time of publication. the population continued to decline. adding to the region’s losses over the past two years.gc.6 11.gc. please visit the Statistics Canada Web site at: www.2 16. Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Unemployment Rate Yearly Variation (%) -0.8 56. Information contained in this document does not necessarily reflect official policies of Human Resources and Skills Development Canada. New Brunswick For further information. New Brunswick Monthly Labour Force Statistics. by Economic Region Employment 3-Month Moving Averages Seasonally Unadjusted Data New Brunswick Economic Regions Campbellton—Miramichi Moncton—Richibucto Saint John—St.2 2. The number of jobs fell at a slightly slower rate than the population and there was some improvement in the employment rate.0 10.9 -1.8 82.9 34.5 -1. Cutbacks in the public administration sector have impacted the labour market in the provincial capital region. some of the information presented here may have changed since this document was published.7 64.9 -1.1 8. Since labour market conditions are dynamic.2 58.ca .ca For information on the Labour Force Survey.9 81.0 February 2013 ('000) 340.1 February 2012 ('000) 342.5 -0.6 -0.8 2. March 2013 Page 5 The Fredericton—Oromocto region continued to post job losses in February.3 102. However. unemployment was still up in the region.1 Yearly Variation (% points) 1. Prepared by: Labour Market Information (LMI) Division.6 9.1 1.statcan.New Brunswick.5 12.8 8.9 8.9 34.4 February 2013 ('000) 11. please contact the LMI team at: lmi-imt@workingincanada.1 63.9 103.6 Note: In preparing this document. Stephen Fredericton—Oromocto Edmundston—Woodstock Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. In the Edmundston—Woodstock region.

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