TO: Interested Parties FROM: Mark Penn and Sergio Bendixen DATE: June 28, 2007 RE: Hillary Clinton’s support among

Latino voters On the eve of the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Presidential Candidate Forum, Hillary Clinton’s overwhelming support in the Latino community continues to grow. USA Today’s Susan Page writes, “[T]he inroads Bush made [among Latino voters in 2004] are vanishing. The chief beneficiary for 2008 so far is Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton.” 1. Gallup/USA Today poll Today’s Gallup/USA Today poll gives Hillary Clinton a whopping 46 point lead among Hispanic Democrats. Gallup/USA Today June 424 Hillary Clinton Barack Obama John Edwards Joe Biden Bill Richardson Dennis Kucinich Mike Gravel All Democrats Non-Hispanic White Democrats 37 21 20 7 2 2 2 Hispanic Democrats 59 13 7 1 11 -

41 24 14 4 3 1 1

And in the general election, Clinton leads Giuliani 66% to 27% among Latino voters. 2. Key States In key states with large Latino populations (CA, TX, NY, FL, NJ, AZ, NM, NV, CO), Hillary Clinton’s overwhelming support among Latinos is helping drive her strong numbers statewide. California (441 delegates) – Feb 5 Primary 2004 D primary electorate: 16% Latino 2004 general electorate: 21% Latino 2006 general electorate: 19% Latino


In California, Clinton has a 22 point lead overall, widening to 26 points among non-whites.* San Jose State University June 18-22 HRC Obama Edwards Among all D primary voters 37 15 15 Among Non-Whites 45 19 12

New York (280 delegates) – Feb 5 Primary 2004 D primary electorate: 11% Latino 2004 general electorate: 9% Latino 2006 general electorate: 7% Latino In New York, Clinton has a 24 point lead overall, widening to 73 points among Hispanics. Siena Poll June 18-21 HRC Gore Obama Edwards Among all D primary voters 43 19 11 9 Among Hispanics 80 7 7 0

Texas (228 delegates) – March 4 Primary 2004 D primary electorate: 24% Latino 2004 general electorate: 20% Latino 2006 general electorate: 15% Latino In Texas, Clinton leads by 15 points∗ Texas Lyceum April 26-May 7 HRC Obama Edwards Richardson Florida (210 delegates) – Jan 29 Primary 2004 D primary electorate: 9% Latino 2004 general electorate: 15% Latino 2006 general electorate: 11% Latino In Florida, Clinton leads by 20 points* Zogby June 4-6 HRC

Among all D primary voters 33 21 8 3

Among all D primary voters 36

signifies no crosstab available among Hispanics


Obama Gore Edwards Richardson

16 13 11 5

New Jersey (127 delegates) – Feb 5 Primary 2006 general electorate: 9% Latino 2004 general electorate: 10% Latino In New Jersey, Clinton leads by 22 points* Fairleigh Dickinson May 29-June 3 HRC Obama Edwards Richardson Among all D primary voters 31 16 7 1

Colorado (71 delegates) – Potential Feb 5 Caucus 2004 general electorate: 8% Latino In Colorado, Clinton leads by 11 points* ARG March 29-April 2 HRC Obama Gore Edwards Richardson Among all D caucus-goers 34 23 13 8 1

Arizona (67 delegates) – Potential Feb 5 Primary 2004 D primary electorate: 17% Latino 2004 general electorate: 12% Latino 2006 general electorate: 12% Latino In Arizona, Clinton leads by 4 points* Rocky Mountain Poll May 24-29 HRC Obama Gore Edwards Richardson New Mexico (38 delegates) – Feb 5 Caucus 2004 general electorate: 32% Latino 2006 general electorate: 31% Latino 3 Among all D primary voters 26 22 13 7 7

In New Mexico, Clinton is second only to Governor Bill Richardson* ARG Jan 11-13 Richardson HRC Obama Edwards Nevada (31 delegates) – Jan 19 Caucus 2006 general electorate: 13% Latino In Nevada, Clinton leads by 22 points* Mason-Dixon June 20-22 HRC Obama Edwards Richardson 3. Hillary’s Record Hillary Clinton understands the challenges Latino voters face and for thirty-five years she’s worked to solve them. While in law school Hillary researched the education and health of migrant children and after law school, she choose working for the Children's Defense Fund, over a corporate law firm because she wanted to make sure every child would grow up being nurtured and protected. She championed a bill that gave millions of uninsured children health insurance. She has been fighting to raise the minimum wage. And she has remained committed to providing more qualified teachers, better daycare, and college mentoring to help our children succeed. Last month, Hillary Clinton proposed expanding pre-kindergarten classes to serve all of America's 4-year-olds today, providing them with a high-quality early education that studies show leads to higher achievement, graduation rates and higherearning careers. Proposals such as these particularly benefit Latino families -- in 2005, twenty two percent of children under the age of five were Latino. Hillary Clinton strongly supports comprehensive immigration reform, family reunification, and the DREAM Act, which would enable students who are the children of non-citizens to pursue higher education without residency restrictions. She remains committed to addressing healthcare disparities, sponsoring legislation which allows legal immigrant children and pregnant women to obtain Medicaid and SCHIP. Hillary Clinton recently introduced an amendment to remove barriers to reunification for the nuclear families of lawful permanent residents. The Among all D caucus-goers 39 17 12 7 Among all D caucus-goers 28 22 17 12


amendment would reclassify the spouses and minor children of lawful permanent immigrants as “immediate relatives,” thereby exempting them from the visa caps. In introducing her amendment Hillary Clinton said , “The United States is a country built by immigrants, but our laws are tearing legal immigrant families apart.” OR Hillary knows the United States is a country built by immigrants, but our laws are tearing legal immigrant families apart. Hillary Clinton’s support of sensible immigration reform, including earned citizenship and family reunification has helped her win strong support in the Latino community. Her support for universal health care, a higher minimum wage, universal pre-kindergarten and full funding for Head Start also help explain why she is so popular among Latinos. 4. Endorsements No wonder so many Latino leaders from around the country continue to join in supporting Hillary Clinton for President: Antonio Villaraigosa Mayor, Los Angeles Campaign Role: National Chair Robert Menendez New Jersey Senator Campaign Role: National Co-Chair Raúl Yzaguirre Former President, National Council of La Raza Campaign Role: National Co-Chair, Chair of Hispanic Outreach Fabián Núñez Speaker of the CA Assembly Campaign Role: National Co-Chair Dolores Huerta Co-founder, United Farm Workers Campaign Role: Co-Chair of Hispanic Outreach Gabriel García-Mondragón, Former Ambassador Members of Congress Senator Robert Menendez (NJ) Rep. Henry Cuellar (TX-28)


Rep. Ruben Hinojosa (TX-15) Rep. Grace Napolitano (CA-38) Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA-34) Rep. José Serrano (NY-16) Rep. Albio Sires (NJ-13) Rep. Nydia Velázquez (NY-12) Mayors Antonio Villaraigosa, Los Angeles (CA) Elba Guerrero, Huntington Park (CA) Manuel Lozano, Baldwin Park (CA) Ray Soleno, Reedley (CA) Vicki Vidak-Martinez, Rohnert Park (CA) Ray Luna, Santa Paula (CA) Daniel Furtado, Campbell (CA) Joaquin Gonzalez, Former Hanford Mayor (CA) Diane Martinez, Former Paramount Mayor (CA) Leticia Vasquez, Former Lynwood Mayor (CA) Ofelia Hernandez, Former Huntington Park Mayor (CA) Juan Noguez, Former Huntington Park Mayor, City Councilman (CA) Emelina Pedras, Former Lynwood Mayor (CA) Maria Davila, Former South Gate Mayor (CA) Frank Quintero, Former Glendale Mayor (CA) Tomas Martin, Former Maywood Mayor (CA) Raul Reyes, El Cenizo (TX) Felix Arambula, Former Marion Mayor (TX) Raul Martinez, Former Hialeah Mayor (FL) Sally Arroyo, Brownsville Mayor Pro Tem and Commissioner (TX) State Legislators State Senator Mario V. Gallegos Jr., Galena Park (TX) State Senator Carlos Uresti, San Antonio (TX) State Senator Juan "Chuy" Hinojosa, Corpus Christi (TX) State Representative Abel Herrero, Corpus Christi (TX) State Representative Juan Manuel Escobar, Kingsville (TX) State Representative Richard Peña Raymond, Laredo (TX) State Representative Rene Oliveira, Brownsville (TX) State Representative Veronica Gonzales, McAllen (TX) State Representative Armando Martinez, Weslaco (TX) State Representative Aaron Peña, Edinburg (TX) State Representative Vicente "Chente" Quintanilla, El Paso (TX) State Representative Darren Soto (FL) State Representative Luis Garcia (FL)


City and County Officials Cindy Chavez, Former San Jose Vice Mayor (CA) Adolfo Carrion, Bronx Borough President (NY) Sergio De Leon, Tarrant Constable, Fort Worth (TX) Carol Alvarado, Houston City Councilwoman and President of the Texas Municipal League (TX) Commissioner Lesley Gonzalez, El Cenizo (TX) Commissioner Noe Hernandez, El Cenizo (TX) Laura Hinojosa, Hidalgo County District Clerk, Edinburg (TX) Ramon Garcia, Former Hidalgo County Judge, McAllen (TX) Business and Civic Leaders Robert Gomez, Chairman Las Vegas Latin Chamber of Commerce (NV) Michael Soto, National Hispanic Institute Board Member, San Antonio (TX) Celina Peña, Healthcare advocate, San Antonio (TX) Andy Hernandez, Former DNC Director of the Base Vote Project, San Antonio (TX) Victor Garza, South Texas Tejano Democrats Chair, Edinburg (TX) Alonzo Cantu, Businessman, McAllen (TX) R.D. "Bobby" Guerra, Former Hidalgo County Democratic Chair, McAllen (TX) 5. Campaign Staff Hillary Clinton is showing her commitment to the Hispanic community and eagerness to hear from them. She has staffed the highest levels of her campaign with highly qualified Hispanics, starting with her campaign manager Patti Solis-Doyle – the first Latina ever to lead a presidential campaign. Hispanic Communications Director, Fabiola Rodríguez-Ciampoli Hispanic Outreach Director, Laura Peña Deputy Political Director for Northeast States, Edgar Santana California Communications Director, Luís Vizcaino California Field Director, Michael Trujillo Consultant María Echaveste (White House Deputy Chief of Staff under President Clinton) Strategist Sergio Bendixen