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RICARDO OLANO Project Superintendent at Freeport McMoran Americas. Perú. LUIS F.

ALARCÓN Professor of Civil Engineering, School of Engineering , Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. CARLOS RAZURI M.Sc. School of Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.

17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009,Taipei, Taiwan

IGLC17 TAIPEI

UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PLANNING RELIABILITY AND SCHEDULE PERFORMANCE

2000) • What can Learned from Studies on Delay in Construction? (AlSehaimi and Koskela. Taiwan . 2008) 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.Introduction • Is the Earned-Value Method an Enemy of Work Flow? (Yong-Woo and Ballard.Taipei.

Taipei. Taiwan 3 .Project Feature: New Highway 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.

627 m3 of rock excavation with explosives. which included 330. – 2.000 m3 of concrete works.875 m3 of earthworks. 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.Taipei.500 m3 .1 Km of highway Budget about on the US$ 7 million Execution schedule of up to 44 weeks. – 494. Taiwan .Project Feature: New Highway • • • • 7. The main volumes of work are: – an structure of asphaltic pavement of 7.

Taipei. Taiwan 5 .Project Feature: Leaching Pad 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.

986 m2 of geosynthetic. Taiwan .6 Km of HDPE pipe installation. – 600.Project Feature: Leaching Pad • • • • 48 million m3 of capacity budget about US$ 20 million schedule of construction of up to 60 weeks The main volumes of work are: – 1´980.Taipei. 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.556 m3 of earthworks. – 22.

in middle of: – adverse weather conditions. – strict governmental control for the use of explosives. 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. Taiwan . and – changing market conditions.Taipei. – strikes. – uncertain soil conditions. – possibility to find archaeological remains.Projects Features • Both projects were developed in Peru.

Taipei. Taiwan .Project Control Methodology • Weekly measurement of performance throughout the project execution. Use of methodologies and tools recommended by: • The Project Management Institute (PMI): Earned Value Analysis (EVA) • Lean Construction Institute (LCI): Last Planner System (LPS). 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.

Taiwan .Earned Value Analysis (EVA) • SPI: Earned Hours / Planned Hours • Earned Hours = QTYToDate (MHRSBDG / QTYBDG) Where: – QTYToDate = quantity executed to date.Taipei. Man Hours Planned hours (baseline) earned hours Time 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. – QTYBDG = quantity budgeted. – MHRSBDG = man-hours budgeted.

Taipei.Last Planner System (LPS) • PPC = ∑ nº of completed activities / ∑ nº of planned activities 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. Taiwan .

Time Evolution of the PPC and SPI 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.Data Collection: Highway Construction 1 40% 1 20% 1 00% P P CS P I (% ) 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 PPC SPI Number of Week Figure 1: Highway Construction .Taipei. Taiwan .

Time Evolution of the PPC and SPI 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. Taiwan .Taipei.Data Collection: Leaching Pad 1 20% 1 00% P P CS P I (% ) 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 PPC SPI Number of Week Figure 2: Leaching Pad .

40 1. .000 .50 PPC 0.30 0.529 t 3.70 0.20 0.28 R = 0.Data Analysis: Highway Construction Scatter Plot f or SPI and PPC 1.619 R2 = 0. Error .10 SPI= 0.818 PPC (Constant) Sig.063 Standardized Coefficients Beta .90 Figure 3: Highway Construction – Scatter Plot for SPI and PPC Unstandardized Coefficients B Std.80 0.000 Table 1: Regression Analysis Results 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.434xPPC + 0.60 0.20 1. Taiwan .Taipei.00 S P I 0.619 .40 0.529 0.434 .842 9.113 .

061 .95 0.156xPPC + 0. Error .80 0.00 SPI = 0.50 0.562 20.015 .158 R = 0.75 0. Taiwan .844 R2 = 0.85 0.156 .65 0.90 1.000 PPC (Constant) Table 2: Regression Analysis Results 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.Taipei.00 0.05 1. .30 0.397 t 2.20 0.70 0.60 PPC 0.40 0.332 Sig.80 0.Data Analysis: Leaching Pad 1.397 Scatter Plot for SPI and PPC Figure 3: Leaching Pad – Scatter Plot for SPI and PPC Unstandardized Coefficients B Std.90 S P I 0.60 0.042 Standardized Coefficients Beta .70 0.10 1.844 .

397 0. Taiwan .84 PPC (av) 66% 51% R 0.Taipei.Relationship Between PPC and Overall Schedule Project Leaching Pad Highway SPI (av) 0.529 Comment Project completed on time Increased time in 16% Table 2: Relationship between SPI.95 0. PPC and R 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009.

• Like the findings of Liu and Ballard (2008). • The methodologies of project management such as the EVA and production management as the LPS can be complemented and managed together to ensure project success.CONCLUSIONS • It has been confirmed. the understanding of this relation can help the contracts administrators to demonstrate responsibilities at the time to support a claim for extension of time. that workflow reliability and schedule performance were statistically significantly correlated.Taipei. 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. Taiwan .

Taipei. School of Engineering . Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.RICARDO OLANO Project Superintendent at Freeport McMoran Americas. School of Engineering. ALARCÓN Professor of Civil Engineering.Sc. LUIS F. Chile. 17th International Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction July 15th -17th 2009. Santiago. CARLOS RAZURI M. Chile. Santiago. Perú. Taiwan IGLC17 TAIPEI UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PLANNING RELIABILITY AND SCHEDULE PERFORMANCE: A CASE STUDY .

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