8601 4th St. N., Suite 304 St. Petersburg, FL 33702 Phone: (727) 245 1!

62 F"#: (727) 577 7470 $%"i&: in'o(st)ete)o&&s.org *ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org ,"tt F&ore&&, Presi-ent

Subject: Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 Special Election survey conducted for SaintPeters log.co! Date: "anuary 1#$ %&1'
E(ecutive Su!!ary: .his )o&& o' 1278 F&ori-" /.S. 0ongression"& 1istri2t 13 "2ti3e 3oters +"s 2on-u2te- on *e-nes-"4 5"nu"r4 15, 2014. .his )o&& use- the registere- 3oter &ists su))&ie- b4 the st"te o' F&ori-" "s o' 5"nu"r4 3r-, 2014. .he s"%)&e o' 3oters th"t +ere 2"&&e- in2&u-e- r"n-o% s"%)&es o' registere- 3oters +ithin the boun-"ries o' the 13th /.S. 0ongression"& 1istri2t o' F&ori-". .he issues sur3e4e- in2&u-e- 6uestions re&"te- to the ,"r2h 2014 s)e2i"& e&e2tion. )et*odology: .he )o&& +"s 2on-u2te- b4 "n "uto%"te- )hone 2"&& )o&&ing s4ste%. .he resu&ts +ere then +eighte- to "22ount 'or )ro)ortion"& -i''eren2es bet+een the res)on-ents7 -e%ogr")hi2s "n- the -e%ogr")hi2s o' the "2ti3e(2010 "n- 2012) 3oter )o)u&"tion 'or F&ori-"7s /.S. 0ongression"& 1istri2t 13. .he -e%ogr")hi2s use- +ere: )o&iti2"& )"rt4, r"2e, "ge "n- gen-er. .he 3oters )o&&e- +ere 2hosen "t r"n-o% +ithin the registere- 3oter )o)u&"tion +ithin F&ori-"7s /.S. 0ongression"& 1istri2t 13. 8n&4 3oters th"t st"te- the4 +ere )&"nning to 3ote in the ,"r2h s)e2i"& e&e2tion +ere in2&u-e- in this sur3e4. .he s2ienti'i2 resu&ts sho+n 'or the 6uestions be&o+ h"3e " s"%)&e si9e o' 1278 res)on-ents "n- " ,"rgin o' $rror o' 2.7: "t " !5: 2on'i-en2e &e3e&.

; 2014 Fe#te&, <n2.

)hone: (727) 245 1!62

+ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org

Su!!ary of Scientific +esults:

If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, would you vote for Republican David Jolly, De ocrat !le" Sin# or $ibertarian $ucas %verby&

Jolly: Sink: Overby: Undecided:

46.9% 42.8% 4.4% 5.9%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of David Jolly& Favorable: 45.5% Unfavorable: 35.4% Uns re: !9."% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of !le" Sin#& Favorable: 44.#% Unfavorable: 43.3% Uns re: !!.9% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of $ucas %verby& Favorable: !2.5% Unfavorable: 29.3% Uns re: 58.2% Do you believe that the !ffordable Care !ct, so eti es referred to as %ba acare, should be left alone, repealed without a replace ent or repealed once a better plan is available& $ef% &lone: 34.3% 'e(eal )i%*o % re(lace+en%: 35.#% 'e(eal )i%* re(lace+en% 2#.!% Uns re: 2.9% 'ill the candidate you support(s position on the !ffordable Care !ct, so eti es referred to as %ba acare, influence your vote& ,es: 68.2% -o: !9.2% Uns re: !2.#% Do you believe that the Illegal I or offered a path to citi)enship& .e(or%: 32.4% Offer &+nes%y: 8.5% /a%* %o ci%i0ens*i( 49.!% Uns re: 9.9% igrants in this country should be deported, offered a nesty

'ill the candidate you support(s position on Illegal I ,es: 58.5% -o: 2!.9% Uns re: !9.6%

igration influence your vote&

Detailed +esults ,it* De!ograp*ic rea-do,ns for Eac* .uestion:

If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, would you vote for Republican David Jolly, De ocrat !le" Sin# or $ibertarian $ucas %verby&

Jolly: Sink: Overby: Undecided:

46.9% 42.8% 4.4% 5.9%

-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:

Jolly* Sin#* %verby* Undecided* +,-./ +0-1/ +-+/ 2-3/

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses Jolly* 12-./ Sin#* ,6-3/ Republican 4arty 1., responses Jolly* ,2-1/ Sin#* 1+-3/ Independent 7oter 003 responses Jolly* 32-./ Sin#* +6-./ Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses Jolly* +6-1/ Sin#* +1-0/ 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses Jolly* 00-3/ Sin#* ,+-3/ !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses Jolly* 33-3/ Sin#* 26-3/ 9ispanic 01 responses Jolly* 36-2/ Sin#* 36-2/

%verby* %verby* %verby*

1-1/ +-6/ 3-./

Undecided* Undecided* Undecided*

2-1/ 2-6/ 6-1/

%verby* %verby* %verby* %verby* %verby*

+-0/ ./ ./ 12-+/ 3-2/

Undecided* Undecided* Undecided* Undecided* Undecided*

1-./ 0-3/ 6-3/ ,-,/ +-6/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses Jolly* 13-./ Sin#* 11-,/ :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses Jolly* +3-./ <e ale ,.1 responses Jolly* +2-+/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses Jolly* 32-1/

Sin#* Sin#*

+.-./ ++-6/

%verby* %verby*

2-+/ 3-1/

Undecided* Undecided*

2-2/ 1-3/

Sin#*

++-+/ 36-2/ +6-,/ 31-+/

%verby* %verby* %verby* %verby*

11-1/ 1-1/ +-+/ 0-2/

Undecided* Undecided* Undecided* Undecided*

6-3/ 6-./ 3-,/ ,-2/

3. to +3 010 responses Jolly* +,-3/ Sin#* 2. to 13 2,3 responses Jolly* +3-3/ Sin#* ,. and up 336 responses Jolly* 23-2/ Sin#*

; 2014 Fe#te&, <n2.

)hone: (727) 245 1!62

+ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of David Jolly& Favorable: 45.5% Unfavorable: 35.4% Uns re: !9."%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
<avorable* Unfavorable* Unsure* +2-1/ 32-+/ 13-./

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses <avorable* 13-./ Unfavorable* Republican 4arty 1., responses <avorable* 16-,/ Unfavorable* Independent 7oter 003 responses <avorable* 31-3/ Unfavorable* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses <avorable* +1-3/ Unfavorable* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses <avorable* 06-1/ Unfavorable* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses <avorable* 33-3/ Unfavorable* 9ispanic 01 responses <avorable* 3.-6/ Unfavorable*

26-3/ 11-6/ 33-3/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

00-6/ 1+-2/ 03-6/

3+-,/ +0-3/ 2.-./ 36-2/ +,-1/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

16-+/ 06-1/ 11-,/ 3.-6/ 03-6/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses <avorable* 06-1/ Unfavorable* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses <avorable* +6-0/ <e ale ,.1 responses <avorable* +3-2/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses <avorable* 32-1/

Unfavorable* Unfavorable*

3+-6/ 32-6/

Unsure* Unsure*

1,-./ 0.-,/

Unfavorable*

+.-./ 30-6/ +1-3/ 0,-1/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

0+-+/ 03-,/ 12-+/ 0.-1/

3. to +3 010 responses <avorable* +3-2/ Unfavorable* 2. to 13 2,3 responses <avorable* +0-6/ Unfavorable* ,. and up 336 responses <avorable* 20-3/ Unfavorable*

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of !le" Sin#& Favorable: 44.#% Unfavorable: 43.3% Uns re: !!.9%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
<avorable* Unfavorable* Unsure* ++-1/ +3-+/ 10-./

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses <avorable* ,6-1/ Unfavorable* Republican 4arty 1., responses <avorable* 16-2/ Unfavorable* Independent 7oter 003 responses <avorable* +6-+/ Unfavorable* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses <avorable* +3-2/ Unfavorable* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses <avorable* ,,-1/ Unfavorable* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses <avorable* +1-,/ Unfavorable* 9ispanic 01 responses <avorable* 3+-1/ Unfavorable*

11-6/ 16-+/ 33-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

1.-./ 13-0/ 10-1/

++-,/ 11-+/ 02-./ 23-6/ 03-6/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

11-6/ 11-+/ 33-3/ 11-2/ 3-2/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses <avorable* 11-,/ Unfavorable* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses <avorable* +3-3/ <e ale ,.1 responses <avorable* +2-1/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses <avorable* +1-,/

Unfavorable* Unfavorable*

+,-1/ +.-+/

Unsure* Unsure*

3-2/ 1+-./

Unfavorable*

+0-0/ +1-1/ +.-,/ +2-2/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

11-1/ 12-1/ ,-./ 11-6/

3. to +3 010 responses <avorable* 3,-6/ Unfavorable* 2. to 13 2,3 responses <avorable* 20-+/ Unfavorable* ,. and up 336 responses <avorable* 3,-,/ Unfavorable*

; 2014 Fe#te&, <n2.

)hone: (727) 245 1!62

+ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of $ucas %verby& Favorable: !2.5% Unfavorable: 29.3% Uns re: 58.2%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
<avorable* Unfavorable* Unsure* 10-2/ 03-3/ 26-0/

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses <avorable* 1.-2/ Unfavorable* Republican 4arty 1., responses <avorable* 13-0/ Unfavorable* Independent 7oter 003 responses <avorable* 1+-6/ Unfavorable* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses <avorable* 10-+/ Unfavorable* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses <avorable* 11-+/ Unfavorable* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses <avorable* 6-3/ Unfavorable* 9ispanic 01 responses <avorable* 11-2/ Unfavorable*

31-0/ 0,-2/ 3.-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

26-3/ 23-3/ 22-0/

06-2/ 3+-3/ +1-,/ 2,-,/ 03-6/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

23-1/ 2+-3/ 2.-./ 3.-6/ 20-+/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses <avorable* 03-6/ Unfavorable* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses <avorable* 1+-1/ <e ale ,.1 responses <avorable* 1.-6/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses <avorable* 12-1/

Unfavorable* Unfavorable*

3.-3/ 06-+/

Unsure* Unsure*

22-1/ 1.-6/

Unfavorable*

31-1/ 3.-3/ 03-1/ 06-1/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

23-3/ 23-1/ 2,-3/ 10-1/

3. to +3 010 responses <avorable* 11-./ Unfavorable* 2. to 13 2,3 responses <avorable* 10-3/ Unfavorable* ,. and up 336 responses <avorable* 3-3/ Unfavorable*

Do you believe that the !ffordable Care !ct, so eti es referred to as %ba acare, should be left alone, repealed without a replace ent or repealed once a better plan is available& $ef% &lone: 34.3% 'e(eal )i%*o % re(lace+en%: 35.#% 'e(eal )i%* re(lace+en% 2#.!% Uns re: 2.9%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
$eft alone* Repeal without replace ent* Repeal with replace ent* Unsure* 3+-0/ 32-6/ 0,-0/ 0-3/

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses $eft alone* 13-6/ Repeal without replace ent* 1.-2/ Repeal with replace ent* Republican 4arty 1., responses $eft alone* 1.-+/ Repeal without replace ent 21-0/ Repeal with replace ent* Independent 7oter 003 responses $eft alone* 33-2/ Repeal without replace ent 3.-3/ Repeal with replace ent* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses $eft alone* 33-0/ Repeal without replace ent* 31-6/ Repeal with replace ent* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses $eft alone* 12-,/ Repeal without replace ent* 6-1/ Repeal with replace ent* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses $eft alone* 11-,/ Repeal without replace ent* 11-,/ Repeal with replace ent* 9ispanic 01 responses $eft alone* 36-2/ Repeal without replace ent* +1-0/ Repeal with replace ent*

03-+/ 3.-3/ 01-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

0-0/ 3-1/ 3-1/

0,-3/ 1,-1/ 26-3/ 12-+/ 33-3/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

0-,/ 6-1/ 6-3/ ./ +-6/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses $eft alone* +0-3/ Repeal without replace ent* 13-./ Repeal with replace ent* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses $eft alone* 31-3/ <e ale ,.1 responses $eft alone* 31-1/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses $eft alone* 32-1/

Repeal without replace ent* 36-3/ Repeal with replace ent* Repeal without replace ent* 33-,/ Repeal with replace ent*

0,-,/ 01-,/

Unsure* Unsure*

0-1/ 3-1/

Repeal without replace ent* 31-1/ Repeal with replace ent*

33-3/ 0+-+/ 0+-1/ 31-3/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

./ 3-+/ 0-6/ 3-./

3. to +3 010 responses $eft alone* 0,-1/ Repeal without replace ent* +2-./ Repeal with replace ent* 2. to 13 2,3 responses $eft alone* 36-3/ Repeal without replace ent* 33-,/ Repeal with replace ent* ,. and up 336 responses $eft alone* 31-3/ Repeal without replace ent* 33-0/ Repeal with replace ent*

; 2014 Fe#te&, <n2.

)hone: (727) 245 1!62

+ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org

'ill the candidate you support(s position on the !ffordable Care !ct, so eti es referred to as %ba acare, influence your vote& ,es: 68.2% -o: !9.2% Uns re: !2.#%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
=es* 8o* Unsure* 16-0/ 13-0/ 10-,/

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses =es* 1+-,/ 8o* 03-./ Unsure* Republican 4arty 1., responses =es* ,.-6/ 8o* 11-1/ Unsure* Independent 7oter 003 responses =es* 1,-,/ 8o* 13-,/ Unsure* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses =es* 13-./ 8o* 16-+/ Unsure* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses =es* 2+-3/ 8o* 31-+/ Unsure* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses =es* ,2-./ 8o* 11-,/ Unsure* 9ispanic 01 responses =es* 11-2/ 8o* 01-3/ Unsure*

10-3/ 13-./ 10-1/

10-1/ 1+-3/ 6-3/ 11-2/ 13-./

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses =es* +,-1/ 8o* 33-3/ Unsure* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses =es* ,3-./ 8o* <e ale ,.1 responses =es* 1+-0/ 8o* !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses =es* 11-,/ 8o*

12-3/ 01-6/

Unsure* Unsure*

11-1/ 1+-./

0.-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

13-3/ 11-2/ 1.-1/ 11-3/

3. to +3 010 responses =es* 13-2/ 8o* 13-1/ 2. to 13 2,3 responses =es* ,.-3/ 8o* 13-./ ,. and up 336 responses =es* 1+-3/ 8o* 13-3/

Do you believe that the Illegal I or offered a path to citi)enship& .e(or%: 32.4% Offer &+nes%y: 8.5% /a%* %o ci%i0ens*i( 49.!% Uns re: 9.9%

igrants in this country should be deported, offered a nesty

-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:

Deport* %ffered ! nesty* 4ath to citi)enship* Unsure* 30-+/ 6-2/ +3-1/ 3-3/

4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses Deport* 1,-3/ %ffered ! nesty* Republican 4arty 1., responses Deport* +3-0/ %ffered ! nesty* Independent 7oter 003 responses Deport* 30-3/ %ffered ! nesty* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses Deport* 30-2/ %ffered ! nesty* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses Deport* 0.-./ %ffered ! nesty* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses Deport* 02-./ %ffered ! nesty* 9ispanic 01 responses Deport* +0-3/ %ffered ! nesty*

10-3/ +-6/ 3-3/

4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship*

23-+/ +0-./ +6-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

3-6/ 1.-./ 3-3/

6-1/ 1,-1/ 11-,/ 3-6/ 13-./

4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship*

+3-2/ +6-1/ +1-,/ +1-0/ 36-1/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

3-3/ 1+-3/ 11-,/ ,-,/ +-6/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses Deport* 36-1/ %ffered ! nesty* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses Deport* 3+-./ <e ale ,.1 responses Deport* 31-1/ !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses Deport* 06-3/

%ffered ! nesty* %ffered ! nesty*

,-6/ 3-1/

4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship*

+3-+/ +6-3/

Unsure* Unsure*

6-6/ 1.-6/

%ffered ! nesty*

+-+/ 3-2/ 6-0/ 6-6/

4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship* 4ath to citi)enship*

10-0/ +.-2/ 2.-6/ 21-./

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

+-+/ 10-0/ 3-1/ 1.-3/

3. to +3 010 responses Deport* 3,-6/ %ffered ! nesty* 2. to 13 2,3 responses Deport* 31-3/ %ffered ! nesty* ,. and up 336 responses Deport* 03-3/ %ffered ! nesty*

; 2014 Fe#te&, <n2.

)hone: (727) 245 1!62

+ebsite: +++.st)ete)o&&s.org

'ill the candidate you support(s position on Illegal I ,es: 58.5% -o: 2!.9% Uns re: !9.6%
-on12ei3*%ed 'es l%s and .e+o3ra(*ic 4reakdo)ns:
=es* 26-2/ 8o* 01-3/ Unsure* 13-1/ 4olitical 4arty 5rea#down* De ocratic 4arty ++6 responses =es* 2+-,/ 8o* 02-./ Unsure* Republican 4arty 1., responses =es* 11-1/ 8o* 13-1/ Unsure* Independent 7oter 003 responses =es* 2,-6/ 8o* 00-./ Unsure* Race 5rea#down* 'hite, 8ot 9ispanic 116+ responses =es* 23-0/ 8o* 01-,/ Unsure* 5lac#, 8ot 9ispanic 32 responses =es* +2-,/ 8o* 3+-3/ Unsure* !sian or 4acific Islander 10 responses =es* 26-3/ 8o* 11-,/ Unsure* 9ispanic 01 responses =es* 2.-./ 8o* 12-+/ Unsure*

igration influence your vote&

0.-3/ 16-6/ 0.-0/

13-1/ 0.-./ 02-./ 3+-1/ 03-6/

%ther or Un#nown 01 responses =es* 20-+/ 8o* 03-6/ Unsure* :ender 5rea#down* ;ale 2,, responses =es* 10-./ 8o* <e ale ,.1 responses =es* 22-1/ 8o* !ge 5rea#down* 16 to 03 +2 responses =es* 16-3/ 8o*

01-2/ 00-3/

Unsure* Unsure*

11-2/ 00-1/

1-,/

Unsure* Unsure* Unsure* Unsure*

0+-+/ 1+-3/ 11-3/ 02-3/

3. to +3 010 responses =es* 11-1/ 8o* 0+-./ 2. to 13 2,3 responses =es* 1.-1/ 8o* 00-2/ ,. and up 336 responses =es* 20-6/ 8o* 01-+/