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Interviews with 1,010 adult Americans conducted by telephone

by ORC International on January 31 - February 2, 2014. The


margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample
is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 900 interviews among registered
voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points)
The sample includes 702 interviews among landline
respondents and 308 interviews among cell phone respondents.

FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, FEBRUARY 3 AT 4 PM

10.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kerry is handling his job as Secretary of State?

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion

11.

Jan. 31-Feb. 2
2014

Sept. 6-8
2013

49%
34%
17%

47%
42%
11%

And thinking back to when Hillary Clinton had that position, do you approve or disapprove of
how she handled her job when she was Secretary of State?
Jan. 31-Feb. 2
2014
Approve
Disapprove
No opinion

62%
35%
3%

TRENDS FOR COMPARISON


Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling her job as Secretary of State?
Dec. 17-18 Mar. 12-15
2012
2009
Approve
Disapprove
No opinion

POLL 3
2

66%
30%
5%

71%
23%
5%

-2-

January 31-February 2, 2014

As you may know, there is a limit to the amount of money the government can owe that is sometimes
called the "debt ceiling." The Secretary of the Treasury says that the government will not have enough
money to pay all of its debts and keep all existing government programs running unless Congress
raises the debt ceiling by February.

15.

If the debt ceiling is not raised, do you think that Barack Obama or the Republicans in Congress
would be more responsible for that?
Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Sept. 27-29
2014
2013

Obama
Republicans in Congress
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 3
2

29%
54%
12%
2%
3%

31%
53%
10%
2%
4%

-3-

Sept. 6-8
2013

July 18-20
2011

25%
54%
15%
3%
2%

30%
51%
15%
3%
1%

January 31-February 2, 2014

BASED ON 221 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


207 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 428 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
38.

I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president
in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support
someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas
Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin
Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick
Santorum or former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 31-Feb. 2
2014

Huckabee
Paul
Bush
Christie
Ryan
Rubio
Cruz
Perry
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 3
2

14%
13%
10%
10%
9%
9%
8%
8%
4%
8%
3%
4%

-4-

January 31-February 2, 2014

BASED ON 288 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 182


WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A
TOTAL OF 470 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
39.

Thinking about the Democratic primaries for president in 2016, please tell me whether you
would be most likely to support Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, or most likely
to support another Democratic candidate who is more liberal than Clinton, or most likely to
support another Democratic candidate who is more conservative than Clinton.
Jan. 31-Feb. 2
2014

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion

POLL 3
2

70%
10%
15%
5%

-5-

January 31-February 2, 2014

40.

For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the
Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans
who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be
more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for
Hillary Clinton.

a. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush


Clinton

Bush

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

57%
58%

37%
37%

*
1%

3%
3%

2%
1%

All Americans
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

59%
58%

36%
36%

*
1%

3%
4%

2%
1%

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

b. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie


Clinton

Christie

Other
(vol.)

Registered Voters
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

55%
46%

39%
48%

*
*

4%
4%

2%
1%

All Americans
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

56%
47%

37%
47%

*
*

5%
5%

2%
1%

Clinton

Huckabee

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

56%
55%

39%
40%

*
*

2%
4%

2%
1%

All Americans
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

57%
55%

38%
39%

*
*

3%
4%

2%
1%

c. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee

POLL 3
2

-6-

January 31-February 2, 2014

40. For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the
Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may
run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to
vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton.
d. Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Clinton

Paul

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

57%
54%

39%
41%

*
1%

3%
4%

1%
1%

All Americans
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

58%
54%

38%
40%

*
*

2%
4%

1%
1%

Clinton

Ryan

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

55%
52%

40%
44%

1%
1%

2%
2%

2%
1%

All Americans
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014
Dec. 16-19, 2013

56%
52%

39%
43%

1%
1%

2%
3%

2%
1%

e. Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan

POLL 3
2

-7-

January 31-February 2, 2014

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1010 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect
national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Among the entire sample,
29% described themselves as Democrats, 23% described themselves as Republicans, and 48% described themselves as
Independents or members of another party
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling
error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce
crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups
with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".

POLL 3
2

-8-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 10
Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kerry is handling his job as Secretary of State?
Base = Total Sample
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----59%
50%
24%
35%
17%
16%
+/-6.5
+/-3.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
50%
48%
45%
34%
37%
32%
39%
17%
13%
21%
16%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
34%
17%
+/-3.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
49%
34%
36%
17%
15%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
34%
17%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----68%
18%
14%
+/-6.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
34%
17%
+/-3.0

North
east
----46%
37%
17%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----55%
33%
12%
+/-6.5

South
----47%
35%
18%
+/-5.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
34%
17%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------26%
61%
13%
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
36%
19%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------70%
16%
14%
+/-5.0

1834
----57%
23%
20%
+/-8.0

3549
----41%
40%
19%
+/-7.5
$50K
or more
------52%
32%
16%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----48%
35%
17%
+/-4.5

5064
----49%
38%
13%
+/-5.5

65+
----51%
36%
12%
+/-5.5

No
College
------46%
37%
17%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----50%
31%
20%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----50%
38%
13%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------52%
32%
16%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----28%
52%
20%
+/-6.5

Liberal
----70%
15%
15%
+/-6.5

West
----50%
31%
19%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----55%
28%
16%
+/-5.0

Urban
----55%
27%
18%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------31%
53%
17%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----47%
36%
17%
+/-4.5

Rural
----44%
41%
15%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-9-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 11
And thinking back to when Hillary Clinton had that position, do you approve or disapprove of how
she handled her job when she was Secretary of State?
Base = Total Sample
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----84%
60%
15%
38%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
+/-3.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------62%
58%
67%
52%
35%
40%
30%
44%
3%
3%
3%
4%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
35%
3%
+/-3.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------62%
67%
35%
30%
3%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
35%
3%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----90%
8%
3%
+/-6.0

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
35%
3%
+/-3.0

North
east
----62%
33%
5%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----62%
34%
3%
+/-6.5

South
----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.5

Approve
Disapprove
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
35%
3%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------22%
77%
1%
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------61%
34%
5%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------88%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----72%
26%
3%
+/-8.0

3549
----62%
35%
4%
+/-7.5
$50K
or more
------61%
38%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----61%
35%
3%
+/-4.5

5064
----60%
37%
3%
+/-5.5

65+
----53%
45%
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------62%
34%
3%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----67%
30%
3%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----57%
40%
3%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------63%
35%
3%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----29%
67%
3%
+/-6.5

Liberal
----87%
10%
3%
+/-6.5

West
----67%
32%
1%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----72%
26%
3%
+/-5.0

Urban
----75%
21%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------38%
60%
2%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----57%
39%
4%
+/-4.5

Rural
----55%
43%
2%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-10-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 15
If the debt ceiling is not raised, do you think that Barack Obama or the Republicans in Congress
would be more responsible for that?
Base = Total Sample
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----20%
30%
61%
55%
16%
10%
1%
2%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
+/-3.5

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------29%
29%
30%
34%
54%
53%
55%
50%
12%
14%
10%
10%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
54%
12%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------29%
32%
54%
53%
12%
12%
2%
2%
3%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
54%
12%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----8%
82%
8%
*
2%
+/-6.0

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
54%
12%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

North
east
----26%
58%
9%
4%
4%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----29%
57%
11%
1%
3%
+/-6.5

South
----30%
51%
14%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Obama
Republicans
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
54%
12%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------52%
35%
8%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------33%
46%
15%
3%
3%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------11%
78%
8%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----28%
56%
14%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

3549
----29%
53%
11%
4%
3%
+/-7.5
$50K
or more
------27%
59%
10%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----30%
49%
13%
4%
3%
+/-4.5

5064
----25%
58%
12%
1%
4%
+/-5.5

65+
----39%
46%
10%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------33%
48%
15%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----28%
54%
12%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----30%
54%
11%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------26%
58%
10%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----55%
29%
14%
*
3%
+/-6.5

Liberal
----11%
73%
8%
5%
3%
+/-6.5

West
----33%
50%
13%
1%
3%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----27%
57%
12%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Urban
----24%
58%
11%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------45%
39%
13%
1%
2%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----31%
54%
11%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----33%
47%
15%
1%
4%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-11-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 38
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president
in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support
someone else.
Base = Republicans

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
9%
10%
10%
10%
6%
15%
12%
8%
10%
7%
7%
13%
17%
9%
15%
8%
7%
9%
6%
9%
12%
6%
10%
9%
7%
11%
10%
4%
2%
7%
4%
14%
14%
14%
14%
8%
8%
8%
8%
3%
4%
3%
3%
4%
4%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
10%
8%
13%
8%
9%
9%
4%
14%
8%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
14%
10%
10%
8%
9%
13%
13%
8%
8%
9%
7%
9%
4%
4%
8%
14%
13%
8%
8%
3%
2%
4%
5%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
12%
8%
16%
5%
11%
13%
1%
16%
8%
4%
2%
+/-7.0

Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----N/A
9%
N/A
12%
N/A
10%
N/A
14%
N/A
5%
N/A
9%
N/A
10%
N/A
5%
N/A
16%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

5064
----8%
10%
9%
12%
3%
11%
9%
8%
13%
10%
2%
5%
+/-8.0
No
College
------13%
7%
11%
12%
6%
10%
7%
5%
16%
9%
*
5%
+/-8.0

65+
----17%
11%
11%
9%
5%
8%
10%
1%
16%
7%
3%
1%
+/-7.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----12%
11%
10%
11%
4%
9%
9%
5%
15%
9%
2%
4%
+/-5.5

Attended
College
-------7%
13%
7%
14%
7%
9%
11%
4%
13%
7%
6%
3%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-12-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 38
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president
in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support
someone else.
Base = Republicans

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
10%
8%
13%
8%
9%
9%
4%
14%
8%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
10%
8%
13%
8%
9%
9%
4%
14%
8%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Former FL Governor Jeb Bush


NJ Governor Chris Christie
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Texas Governor Rick Perry
WI Congressman Paul Ryan
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Former PA Sen Rick Santorum
Former AR Gov Mike Huckabee
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
10%
8%
13%
8%
9%
9%
4%
14%
8%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----10%
13%
13%
13%
7%
10%
5%
3%
10%
12%
2%
4%
+/-7.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------11%
4%
18%
15%
4%
9%
10%
4%
14%
8%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------7%
10%
4%
13%
10%
12%
7%
6%
15%
7%
4%
3%
+/-7.0

Republican
-----10%
8%
5%
13%
8%
9%
12%
5%
17%
5%
4%
3%
+/-6.5

South
----11%
9%
7%
15%
11%
4%
11%
4%
16%
6%
3%
3%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------11%
9%
10%
16%
6%
8%
9%
5%
16%
6%
2%
3%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----12%
11%
9%
13%
6%
9%
9%
5%
11%
7%
2%
6%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-13-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 39
Thinking about the Democratic primaries for president in 2016, please tell me whether you would
be most likely to support Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, or most likely to support
another Democratic candidate who is more liberal than Clinton, or most likely to support another
Democratic candidate who is more conservative than Clinton.
Base = Democrats

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------70%
65%
74%
72%
10%
11%
9%
8%
15%
19%
12%
16%
5%
5%
6%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
10%
15%
5%
+/-4.5

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------70%
68%
10%
10%
15%
15%
5%
7%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
10%
15%
5%
+/-4.5

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
10%
15%
5%
+/-4.5

Clinton
More liberal Democrat
More conservative Democrat
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
10%
15%
5%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----72%
9%
13%
5%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------72%
9%
17%
2%
+/-6.5
Independent
-----66%
10%
18%
6%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------64%
12%
18%
6%
+/-8.0

Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----66%
69%
12%
11%
15%
14%
7%
6%
+/-8.0
+/-5.0

5064
----80%
7%
9%
4%
+/-7.5

65+
----72%
6%
18%
4%
+/-8.0

No
College
------67%
10%
16%
7%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----73%
12%
13%
2%
+/-8.0

Under
50
----64%
12%
18%
6%
+/-8.0

50 and
Older
-----78%
7%
12%
4%
+/-5.5

Attended
College
-------72%
10%
15%
4%
+/-5.5
Liberal
----75%
14%
5%
6%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----63%
6%
27%
4%
+/-7.0

Urban
----71%
9%
13%
8%
+/-7.5

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----76%
9%
14%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------74%
9%
13%
5%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-14-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 40A
Would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would you be more likely
to vote for Hillary Clinton?
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush
Base = Registered Voters
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----84%
57%
12%
37%
*
*
2%
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.0
+/-3.5

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------57%
50%
64%
46%
37%
44%
31%
48%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
4%
2%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
37%
*
3%
2%
+/-3.5

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------57%
65%
37%
30%
*
*
3%
4%
2%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
37%
*
3%
2%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----92%
4%
*
1%
2%
+/-6.0

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
37%
*
3%
2%
+/-3.5

North
east
----64%
30%
*
6%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----55%
41%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0

South
----53%
41%
*
3%
3%
+/-5.5

Clinton
Bush
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
37%
*
3%
2%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------15%
78%
1%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------56%
37%
*
4%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------83%
14%
*
*
2%
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----60%
35%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------52%
43%
*
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----56%
37%
*
4%
2%
+/-4.5

5064
----56%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

65+
----45%
48%
*
5%
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------58%
36%
*
5%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
50
----63%
32%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----51%
43%
*
4%
1%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------57%
38%
*
2%
2%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----14%
81%
*
5%
*
+/-7.0

Liberal
----91%
6%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

West
----60%
36%
*
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----62%
33%
*
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Urban
----73%
21%
*
4%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------32%
63%
*
4%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----54%
41%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Rural
----46%
49%
*
4%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-15-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 40B
Would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would you be more likely
to vote for Hillary Clinton?
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie
Base = Registered Voters
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----76%
55%
20%
39%
*
*
2%
4%
2%
2%
+/-7.0
+/-3.5

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------55%
48%
61%
45%
39%
45%
33%
48%
*
1%
*
1%
4%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
39%
*
4%
2%
+/-3.5

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------55%
62%
39%
33%
*
1%
4%
5%
2%
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
39%
*
4%
2%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----88%
10%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
39%
*
4%
2%
+/-3.5

North
east
----54%
41%
*
5%
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----60%
32%
1%
3%
4%
+/-7.0

South
----49%
45%
*
4%
1%
+/-5.5

Clinton
Christie
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
39%
*
4%
2%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------17%
74%
1%
6%
1%
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
39%
*
5%
3%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------79%
19%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----54%
41%
*
2%
3%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------52%
43%
*
2%
3%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----52%
39%
1%
5%
3%
+/-4.5

5064
----56%
38%
*
4%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----58%
37%
*
3%
3%
+/-6.0

65+
----46%
45%
1%
7%
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------55%
38%
1%
6%
1%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----52%
41%
1%
5%
1%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------55%
40%
*
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----16%
77%
1%
6%
1%
+/-7.0

Liberal
----83%
14%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

West
----58%
36%
1%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----60%
35%
*
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Urban
----70%
23%
*
5%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------33%
60%
1%
5%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----49%
45%
*
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Rural
----47%
47%
1%
4%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-16-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 40C
Would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would you be more likely
to vote for Hillary Clinton?
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee
Base = Registered Voters
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----82%
56%
14%
39%
*
*
3%
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.0
+/-3.5

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------56%
48%
63%
45%
39%
47%
32%
50%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
39%
*
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------56%
59%
39%
34%
*
1%
2%
4%
2%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
39%
*
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----93%
4%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
39%
*
2%
2%
+/-3.5

North
east
----64%
31%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----57%
39%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0

South
----52%
43%
1%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Clinton
Huckabee
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
39%
*
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------15%
81%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
42%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------85%
11%
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----61%
34%
*
2%
2%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------54%
43%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----55%
40%
*
3%
3%
+/-4.5

5064
----54%
40%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----62%
34%
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0

65+
----43%
52%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------52%
43%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----50%
45%
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------59%
37%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----11%
84%
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Liberal
----92%
5%
*
1%
2%
+/-6.5

West
----54%
42%
*
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----61%
35%
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Urban
----70%
25%
1%
2%
2%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------29%
66%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----53%
43%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Rural
----43%
52%
*
4%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-17-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 40D
Would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would you be more likely
to vote for Hillary Clinton?
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul
Base = Registered Voters
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----86%
57%
12%
39%
*
*
2%
3%
*
1%
+/-7.0
+/-3.5

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------57%
51%
62%
44%
39%
44%
34%
51%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.5

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------57%
64%
39%
32%
*
*
3%
3%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----93%
5%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.5

North
east
----65%
32%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----55%
40%
*
2%
3%
+/-7.0

South
----55%
41%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Clinton
Paul
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------16%
82%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------55%
39%
*
4%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------85%
13%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----59%
36%
*
2%
2%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------53%
44%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----56%
39%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5

5064
----55%
41%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

65+
----43%
49%
1%
5%
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------59%
35%
*
5%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
50
----63%
34%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----50%
44%
1%
4%
1%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------56%
41%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----11%
83%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Liberal
----91%
6%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

West
----54%
42%
*
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----64%
32%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Urban
----71%
24%
*
3%
1%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------30%
67%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----52%
44%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Rural
----46%
50%
*
3%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-18-

January 31-February 2, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 31 to February 2, 2014


Question 40E
Would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would you be more likely
to vote for Hillary Clinton?
Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan
Base = Registered Voters
Reg.
Non-White Voters
--------- -----78%
55%
15%
40%
*
1%
3%
2%
3%
2%
+/-7.0
+/-3.5

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------55%
47%
63%
45%
40%
47%
33%
50%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
1%
2%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
40%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------55%
60%
40%
34%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
40%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----89%
7%
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
40%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

North
east
----62%
33%
*
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----56%
36%
1%
2%
6%
+/-7.0

South
----51%
44%
1%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

Clinton
Ryan
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
40%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------20%
78%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------49%
42%
1%
4%
4%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------85%
14%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----58%
37%
*
2%
3%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------52%
45%
*
1%
2%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----55%
39%
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.5

5064
----54%
41%
1%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

65+
----44%
49%
2%
3%
3%
+/-5.5

No
College
------56%
38%
1%
4%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
50
----60%
35%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----50%
44%
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------55%
41%
*
1%
3%
+/-4.0

Republican
-----12%
84%
1%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Liberal
----87%
8%
1%
1%
4%
+/-6.5

West
----55%
43%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----61%
34%
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Urban
----70%
24%
1%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------29%
67%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----51%
45%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Rural
----45%
50%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
2

-19-

January 31-February 2, 2014