Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Q3 2013
IRI'orld'ide.eu
PULSE REPORT
)his Baby report is one of 10 super cate%ory reports desi%ned to sho' hi%h*level comparison and analysis for retail mar$ets across ma+or countries in !urope. )his report contains data %athered from across !urope. )his mar$et 'as split into the follo'in% cate%ories, baby food- baby mil$s and drin$s- nappies and baby toiletries. )he report hi%hli%hts $ey metrics- such as total sales fi%ures- mar$et trends- cate%ory share- and 'inners and losers for !urope and for individual countries. )he data has been sourced from IRI retail databases and !urostat.the statistical branch of administration for the !uropean /ommission. )he countries included in the report are, 0rance- 1ermany- Italy- the 2etherlands- 3pain and the "nited 4in%dom 5"46. )he mar$et channels used for each country in this report are as follo's,
Country
"4 !3 8! 29 I) 0R
Channels used
7ypermar$ets- supermar$ets- dru%stores and impulse outlets 7ypermar$ets- supermar$ets- hard discounters and dru%stores includin% the /anary Islands 7ypermar$ets- supermar$ets- hard discounters and dru%stores 7ypermar$ets- supermar$ets- hard discounters and dru%stores 7ypermar$ets- supermar$ets- small self service- hard discounters and dru%stores 7ypermar$ets and supermar$ets
0or analytical purposes the data sourced from available retail databases has been consolidated to provide consistent results. 7o'ever- for some countries it has not been possible to source data pertainin% to certain cate%ories. Where this occurs- it has been documented in the Notes section found at the end of the report.
PULSE REPORT
:n the Radar
3ales declined across the baby universe 5*1;6 durin% the last yeare<cept the "4. #il$ and drin$s performed relatively 'ell in all countries- 'hile baby food did not sho' positive %ro'th in any countries. :nly "4 boosts sales.
CONSUMER !E"#$IOR
CRU)E !IRT" R#TE PER 1000 IN"#!IT#NTS )P IN MILLIONS &*(
POPUL#TION IN MILLIONS
UNEMPLO%MENT &'(
=an. 2012 Fran+e er3any Italy Netherlands S5a6n Un6ted 76n8do3 ,-.3 20.3 -0.3 1,.1 4,.2 ,3.4
2012 2 032 201 2 ,44 200 1 -,- 01, ,00 ,32 1 040 -21 001 001
2013 5!stimate6 2 0-0 3-2 2 ,04 400 1 -,2 322 ,04 4-0 1 0-1 01, 1 2-4 020
PULSE REPORT
19:B(9 )R!283
TOT#L !#!% $#LUE S#LES #N) RO=T" #N) )ECLINE IN T"E L#ST %E#R
9-.3'
)E IT ES NL
94.0' 9-.3'
>based on an e<chan%e rate of ?1.1@0 to the pound
TOT#L EUROPE 91.4' TOT#L !#!% $#LUE S#LES FOR T"E L#ST SI> QU#RTERS
2 000
M6ll6ons
410
423
4-1
4,2
4--
4-0
Fran+e er3any
342
321
33-
340
3-3
332
41,
410
40-
421
420
412
019:u6l.912
019o+t.912
309d;+.912
3193ars913
309:u6n913
PULSE REPORT
!urope
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
23-1;
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
2 CDD
E1-1;
1 D0F
20-C;
1 E@3 1 0E@
1@-0;
2appies
Baby 0ood
Baby )oiletries
7E% TREN)S #ost baby cate%ories e<perienced declinin% sales in Q3 2013 across all countries. )he "4- 1ermany and the 2etherlands either maintained or sli%htly increased sales- driven only by the performance of baby mil$- 'hich 'as sustained by the e<port to /hina. 0rance- Italy and 3pain sa' value sales decrease by @; versus last year.
2 CDD
M6ll6ons
*3.2 2appies
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
!urope includes, 0rance- 1ermany- Italy- 2etherlands- 3pain and "nited 4in%dom 3ource, IRI retail databasesA Period endin% 2B 3eptember 2013
PULSE REPORT
!urope
BF.2
* 2E.1
* FF.0 * BE.3
Na556es
C#TE OR% INSI "TS )he baby mil$ and drin$s cate%ory performed best for the uarter- driven by increased sales in the 2etherlands 5IE2;6- "4 5I10;6 and 1ermany 5I10;6. /ate%ory %ro'th is mainly driven by the fear of the uality of /hinaJs mil$ and the e<ports of mil$. Baby food is the cate%ory 'ith the %reatest sales declines- decreasin% in all countries 'ith a %lobal decrease of @.0;. :nly the "4 maintained positive traction for the uarter 5I0.B;6. 0rance 5*C.0;6- 3pain 5*F.D;6 and Italy 5*D.E6 e<perienced the sharpest declines. 2appies represents E1; of total baby cate%ory sales. 7o'ever it is declinin% in each country'ith the 2etherlands seein% the sharpest value decline 5*B.0;6. Baby toiletries continues to decline- loosin% 2E.1 million euros. 8eclines in Italy 'ere a standout- at *D;.
!urope includes, 0rance- 1ermany- Italy- 2etherlands- 3pain and "nited 4in%dom 3ource, IRI retail databasesA Period endin% 2B 3eptember 2013
PULSE REPORT
0rance
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
2@.@;
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
F1B
3B.1;
20.2;
1@.2;
2appies
Baby 0ood
Baby )oiletries
7E% TREN)S )he baby sector e<perienced value sales declines of @.3; across hypermar$ets and supermar$ets and declines of 2.F; across hypermar$ets- supermar$ets and drive. 7ypermar$ets and supermar$ets are losin% business to the drive channel- 'hich still very dynamic in 0rance- especially for the baby universe. 8espite a shift to the drive channel- baby cate%ory trends remain ne%ative 5*2.F;6 for the uarter- and declines escalated durin% the last trimester 5*2.B;6. 8eclines are sharpest in the baby food sector 5*@.E; value sales6A this sector accounts for E0; of the losses suffered by the mar$etA baby mil$ sales are also fallin% 5*2.F;6. 2appies 5*1.2;6 and toiletries 5*1.D;6 are less affected.
F1B
M6ll6ons
EDB
3F1 2C0
*E-0 2appies
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
PULSE REPORT
0rance
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
M6ll6ons
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
M6ll6ons
9-0 940 930 920 910 0
* 10.C
* 20.@
* 30.1
* E1.0
C#TE OR% INSI "TS Baby food is responsible for E0; of the losses e<perienced by the baby cate%ory 'ith *E1#? sales versus last year 'hile it only represents 2D; of mar$et share.
PULSE REPORT
1ermany
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
2C.0;
@F0
3C@
E1.@;
2DD
1B.3;
1@E
11.2;
2appies
Baby 0ood
Baby )oiletries
7E% TREN)S )he nappy cate%ory is the bi%%est sector in the baby mar$et. 3table %ro'th is mainly contributed by dru%stores but hard discounters- 'hich launched a ne' ran%e of premium diapers throu%hout the year- are also performin% 'ell. 3oft discounters also sho' positive development. Baby mil$ and drin$s have e<perienced double*di%it %ro'th- driven by the baby mil$ cate%ory- 'hich is benefittin% from the continued hi%h demand from /hinese parents to import hi%h uality baby mil$ po'der from 1ermany. #a+or baby mil$ channels are hypermar$et and dru%stores. Baby food e<perienced sharp declines for the uarter- due to losses in dru%stores 53chlec$erKs insolvency6 and hard discounters. )he baby toiletries cate%ory sho's a sli%ht decline due to losses in its main channeldru%stores.
@F0
M6ll6ons
3C@
2DD
1@E
12.3 0.3 2appies Baby #il$ and 8rin$s *2.B Baby 0ood *0.@ Baby )oiletries
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
PULSE REPORT
1ermany
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
M6ll6ons
0 10 20 30 40 -0 910 92 9, 94 92
M6ll6ons
0
E2.1
Na556es
1.@
* 0.C
!aAy To6letr6es
* F.B
!aAy Food
C#TE OR% INSI "TS !aAy 36lB and dr6nBs L )he baby mil$ and drin$s cate%ory is the stron%est performin% cate%ory in the baby mar$et. Baby mil$- especially dry mil$ se%ment- is the main %ro'th driver- en+oyin% double*di%it value and volume %ro'th. 7u%e /hinese demand for 1erman baby mil$ po'der continues- as /hinese consumers do not trust their local products. /hinese people livin% in 1ermany buy the products and send them to /hina in lar%e uantities to resellers- leadin% to out*of*stoc$ situations on 1erman shelves- especially 'ith the reno'ned brands. 8ru%stores remains the main point of sale- 'ith dm dru% mar$et bein% the ma+or store. 7ypermar$ets are also an important channel. )he baby +uices sector continues to decline. Private label holds only 2.2; mar$et share of baby mil$ and drin$s but has sho'n %ood %ro'th. Na556es L 2appies mar$et %ro'th is mainly driven by dru%stores 5'ith about D0; value mar$et share6- 'ith double*di%it %ro'th of dm dru% mar$et. 7ard discounters also play an important role in pumpin% the sales %ro'th based on a premium diaper ran%e available since QE 2012. 7ypermar$ets e<perienced a decline in sales- 'hich accompanied a dip in promotions. Private label- 'hich holds around 32; share- %re' 3.0; for the uarter- 'ith a promotional boost of 11.E;. !aAy to6letr6es L )he main point of sale is still dru%stores and its decline in sales is drivin% the overall cate%ory losses. 8iscounters are capturin% increased share of sales as sales volume increases. Baby 'ipes are the main %ro'in% se%ment. Private label holds about @0; share of the baby toiletries mar$et- and is en+oyin% a stable %ro'th. !aAy Cood L )he baby food cate%ory is in decline and is one of the main drivers for the overall baby sector losses. (ll channels suffered losses- includin% ma+or baby food channelssuch as dru%stores- discounters and hypermar$ets. 8ecrease in priceMvolume 'as not able to compensate the losses. Private label has presence only in dru%stores and sho's a declinin% trend.
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PULSE REPORT
Italy
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
33.0;
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
3B3 32E
E0.0;
1EB 11D
1@.2;
11.C;
2appies
Baby 0ood
Baby )oiletries
7E% TREN)S )otal baby care in Italy sho's a 2.0; decline in volume and drop in value of @.3; for Q3 2013. )he ne%ative volume trend is mainly driven by stron% sales declines in hypermar$ets 5*C.E;6 and supermar$ets 5*3.3;6- 'hich account for 2C; and EB; of cate%ory sales- respectively. Baby food and baby toiletries- representin% a combined total of EC; of se%ment salesare also contributin% to lac$luster baby cate%ory sales- particularly in hypermar$ets. :nly the dru%stores sho' a positive trend across these sectors. )he nappies se%ment is follo'in% overall mar$et trends. /ate%ory declines are occurrin% mainly in traditional channelsincludin% hypermar$ets 5*10.3;6supermar$ets 5*0.3;6 and small self service 5*0.3;6.
3B3
32E
M6ll6ons
1EB 11D
*@.0 2appies
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
11
PULSE REPORT
Italy
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
M6ll6ons
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 92920 91910
M6ll6ons
90
* 2.C
* B.F
* 20.D
* 22.2
C#TE OR% INSI "TS Baby products are sho'in% a ne%ative trend in Q3 2013 versus Q3 2012- li$e most consumers %oods. 0or most cate%ories mass mar$ets account for almost B0; of the business- leavin% the remainder to the pharmacy channel. Brand loyalty is still very stron% for all sub*cate%ories- particularly in baby food- 'here consumers are more informed and pay more attention to the healthy elements of baby nutrition- 'ithout %ivin% up their preferential choices. 0ater maintained its lead in nappies in Italy 'ith a retail value share of almost D1;. )he companyKs stron% position in the cate%ory is due mainly to the popularity of its Pampers brand- 'hich is hi%hly trusted amon%st Italian consumers. )he brandKs loyalty has been built up throu%hout time- than$s to continuous advertisin% and an interactive 'ebsite 'ith a 'ide variety of utilities for mothers. )hey also have fre uent launches of ne' and improved linesA such as the re*launch of Pampers Pro%ressi in 2012- suitable for ne' born to 2@$% infantsand are mar$eted as havin% an improved liner formulation to be more absorbin%.
12
PULSE REPORT
2etherlands
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
32.F;
1FD 1@D
3D.B;
1@.C;
F@
F0
1E.D;
2appies
Baby )oiletries
Baby 0ood
7E% TREN)S (s a result of %eneral 0#/1 mar$et trendsand declinin% birth rates- baby products in the 2etherlands are under pressure. Both channels sho' %ro'th in total baby compared to same period last year- 'ith supermar$ets outperformin% dru%stores supermar$ets movin% annual total 5#()6 inde< of ID; and dru% of IE; in total baby value sales. 1ro'th is bein% heavily influenced by the e<port of baby mil$ to /hina. )oiletries- nappies and other baby products are in decline- especially in supermar$ets. In dru%stores- baby toiletries volume %re' sli%htly. Promotional pressure $eeps increasin% for this cate%ory- to @B.3; in dru%stores and 2C.B; in supermar$ets. )his is mainly driven by promotions in baby food 5e<cludin% mil$6- toiletries and articles li$e bottles.
1FD 1@D
M6ll6ons
F@
F0
E2.E *B.0 2appies Baby #il$ and 8rin$s *E.B Baby )oiletries *D.0 Baby 0ood
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
13
PULSE REPORT
2etherlands
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
M6ll6ons
0 10 20 30 40 -0 92920 91910 9-
M6ll6ons
0
ED.@
* 3.B
* E.E
* 1F.E
Na556es
C#TE OR% INSI "TS Baby food 5e<cludin% mil$6 is declinin% in both value and volume despite intensifyin% promotional activity. 3elf*made meals are ne%atively impactin% baby food performance. 2appies value sales turned ne%ative in Q3- lar%ely as a result of increased purchase activity across non*0#/1 channels- includin% online 5Bol.comM Weh$amp6 or %rey channels li$e (ction. )here is also a small but %ro'in% trend to'ards 'ashable nappies- 'ith some parents even %oin% as far as not usin% any diapers 5note, this trend is comin% from the "nited 3tates6. )hou%h overall baby toiletries value sales declined- volume is stable in the dru%stores channel- supported by hi%h promotional pressure. 8espite hu%e %ro'th of promotion in baby articles li$e comforters and bottles- baby articles are in decline 5in value as 'ell as in volume6.
14
PULSE REPORT
3pain
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
DD.D;
E22
21.E;
13D
F.E; E.D;
EF
2B
2appies
Baby 0ood
Baby )oiletries
7E% TREN)S In 3pain- the baby cate%ory declined in Q3 2013 5*E.B; value sales6- 'ith ne%ative performance cuttin% across all se%ments. )he ne%ative trend comes from decreases of the birth rate- the po'er of private label in all se%ments and the %ro'in% prevalence of homemade meals.
E22
M6ll6ons
13D
EF *E.3 2appies *@.F Baby #il$ and 8rin$s *F.D Baby 0ood
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
1-
PULSE REPORT
3pain
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
M6ll6ons
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 920 91910 9-
M6ll6ons
0
* 1.F
!aAy To6letr6es
* 3.B
* C.2
* 1B.0
Na556es
C#TE OR% INSI "TS 2appies is the lar%est se%ment of 3painKs baby cate%ory- representin% D@; share.much hi%her versus other countries. )he sector is e<periencin% declines- driven by a reduction in the birth rates and by the economic crisis. Prices continue to rise and consumers are optin% for cheaper and lo'er uality- and increasin% the usa%e time of each diaper 5talc and balm. used to deterMtreat irritations.are sho'in% stron% lar%e %ro'th6. Private label has been a player in this cate%ory for some time and represents 3B; of total value sales 5IE points versus year a%o6. )here is also a decline in the demand for baby mil$ and drin$s. )his has been driven by increased public a'areness about the importance of breastfeedin%. 0or this reason- most mothers choose to breastfeed their children and len%then the period of lactation. )his is also providin% a si%nificant savin%s for families. 0urthermore- there is an increasin% demand for toddlers mil$ 'ithin private label. Baby food e<perienced declines in both volume and value sales in Q3. Private label captured 10 share points from national brands in Q3 3013- lar%ely the result of increasin% prices. Halue sales e<perienced value sales declines- lar%ely due to private labelKs hi%h share and stron% %ro'th 'ithin the cate%ory.
1,
PULSE REPORT
"nited 4in%dom
C#TE OR% S"#RE OF $#LUE IN T"E L#ST %E#R C#TE OR% $#LUE S#LES IN T"E L#ST %E#R
2D.D;
Euros? 6n M6ll6ons
@CD
21.@; 3@.2;
EE3
3-1 212
1D.F;
2appies
Baby )oiletries
Baby 0ood
7E% TREN)S #ost baby cate%ories e<perienced value sales %ro'th in Q3 2013. )he e<ception is nappies- 'hich e<perienced a sli%ht decline. #il$ is the fastest*%ro'in% se%ment in the baby cate%ory- driven by a combination of price increases- increased birth rate in the "4 and e<port sales to /hina due to health scares.
@CD
M6ll6ons
*1.@ 2appies
)otal ? 3ales
; ? vs. G(
11
PULSE REPORT
"nited 4in%dom
TOP =INNERS@ $#LUE S#LES C"#N E $S. %R. # O &*(
.
10
20
30
40
-0
E0.1
!aAy To6letr6es
2.C
!aAy Food
2.E
* C.F
Na556es
C#TE OR% INSI "TS )he "4 is currently seein% a baby boom- 'ith birth rates at their hi%hest for E0 years. )his is helpin% drive overall sales of the baby sector. 0or baby mil$- the impact of e<port of products to /hina appears to be declinin% 5rollin% @2 'ee$s is sho'in% a declinin% %ro'th rate6. 3till- the mar$et continues to %ro'- helped by inflation and a risin% birth rate. 9imits on number of items purchased per visit have no' been lifted and are no lon%er advertised on store shelves. 8anoneKs (ptamil and /o' N 1atethe benefactors of e<port volume- continue to see share %ro'th year*over*year at the e<pense of 3#(. Promotional activity across toddler lines is resultin% in a slo'in% in %ro'th across cate%ories tar%etin% this life sta%e. Both toiletries and 'ipes e<perienced deceleratin% %ro'th in Q3 2013. In toiletriespromotional activity across branded lines declined- 'hile private label promotion escalated. In nappies- value sales slide follo'in% the de*listin% of 7u%%ies )aped. Private label continues to 'in the ma+ority of the lost volume- rather than Pampers. #uch of this volume has been 'on off*shelf and at a lo'er price- supportin% value sales declines.
M6ll6ons
12
PULSE REPORT
0inal 2otes
Notes on Cate8ory )eC6n6t6ons Cor Countr6es 8ue to the diverse products found in individual countries across this mar$et it 'as necessary to consolidate the available data into the cate%ories in this report. In some cases it 'as not possible to ali%n products across all si< countries- hence the need to hi%hli%ht any anomalies in the report. )hese e<ceptions are listed belo',
!aAy M6lB D )r6nBs )he 0rance data in this report only contains Baby #il$ 'hereas the other countries also include other Baby 8rin$s.
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PULSE REPORT
Resources
)o %ain insi%ht into opportunities across specific cate%ories- se%ments- channels or retailerscontact your IRI client service representative re%ardin% custom analyses levera%in% the follo'in% resources, InCoS+an CensusH is a syndicated retail trac$in% service that enables manufacturers and retailers to ac uire industry insi%hts used to ma$e better business decisions. Info3can /ensus utiliPes the data that IRI collects from %rocery- dru%- and mass merchandise retailers to provide the most comprehensive and accurate syndicated data offerin% in the 0#/1 sector. With access to accurate- %ranular detail by cate%ory- %eo%raphy- measure- and time period- clients have the tools needed to develop mar$etin% and sales strate%ies based on product performance- distribution- and promotion responsiveness. (ll data about baby comes from InCoS+an CensusH. IRI Consult6n8 provides strate%ic insi%hts and advice levera%in% a variety of data sourcespredictive analytics- enablin% technolo%ies- and business analyses to help 0#/1 manufacturers and retailers address si%nificant sales and mar$etin% issues effectively.
0:R #:R! I20:R#()I:2 Please contact /atalina 1onPQleP-Business Insi%htsIRI at Catal6na. onFaleFGIRIEorldE6de.+o3 or I3E*B1 @EC C0C0 'ith uestions or comments about this report.
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