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From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling Subject: Shaheen expands lead over Brown in potential Senate

match up Date: February 21, 2014 A new PPP survey in New Hampshire finds that Jeanne Shaheen has expanded her lead over Scott Brown to 8 points in a hypothetical match up, up from a 3 point advantage on a survey a month ago. Additionally Browns favorability has declined by a net 7 points over the last month in the wake of an early tv advertising campaign concerning his record in the Senate on tax breaks for oil companies. Key findings from the survey include: -Shaheen now leads Brown 47/39 in a potential match up. A PPP survey in early January found her ahead just 46/43. Shaheens taken the lead with independent voters at 41/37 after the two were previously tied, and shes winning 84% of the Democratic vote while holding Brown to just 76% with Republicans. -Brown, already unpopular with New Hampshire voters, has seen his image take a greater hit in the last month. In January he had a -6 net favorability rating at 34/40, and now thats worsened by another seven points to a -13 rating at 34/47. With the independents who are critical to winning elections in the Granite State he stands at 34/45. -LCVs ad buy over the last two and a half weeks on Browns record concerning tax breaks for oil companies has likely played a large role in driving down his poll numbers. 56% of voters in the state say theyre less likely to vote for a candidate who voted to provide tax breaks for oil companies, compared to only 9% who consider that to be a positive. That issue has been a focal point of LCVs early ads. PPP interviewed 686 New Hampshire voters on February 19th and 20th. The margin of error for the poll is +/-3.7%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

New Hampshire Survey Results


Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen's job performance?
Approve ..................45% Not sure .................. 9% Disapprove..............46%

Q5

If a candidate for office voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in an election, or would it not make a difference?
More likely............... 9% Wouldn't make a 30% difference ................ Less likely ...............56% Not sure .................. 5%

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?


Favorable ........................................................ 34% Unfavorable .................................................... 47% Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Q6

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.


Woman ........................................................... 51% Man ................................................................. 49%

Q3

If the candidates for U.S. Senate this fall were Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen ............................................. 47% Scott Brown .................................................... 39% Not sure .......................................................... 14%

Q7

If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 31% Republican ...................................................... 28% Independent/Other .......................................... 42%

Q4

Do you support or oppose ending special tax breaks for oil companies?
Support ...................47% Not sure ..................18% Oppose ...................35%

Q8

If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.


White .............................................................. 88% Other ............................................................... 12%

Q9

If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to 65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45 ........................................................... 33% 46 to 65 ........................................................... 45% Older than 65 .................................................. 22%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 686 New Hampshire voters information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

February 19-20, 2014

Gender Base Wom an Shaheen Approval Approve 45% Disapprove 46% Not sure 9% 51% 37% 11% 39% 54% 7% Man Brow n Favorability Favorable 34% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 19%

Gender Base Wom an Man

27% 50% 23%

41% 44% 15%

Gender Base Wom an Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 47% Scott Brow n 39% Not sure 14% 53% 36% 10% 40% 43% 17% Man

Gender Base Wom an Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 47% Oppose 35% Not sure 18% 47% 30% 24% 47% 41% 12% Man

Gender Base Wom an More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 9% 6% 61% 26% 7% 11% 52% 34% 3% Man
Shaheen Approval Approve 45% Disapprove 46% Not sure 9%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

83% 11% 6%

13% 82% 5%

39% 47% 14%

Less likely 56% Wouldn't m ake a 30% difference Not sure 5%

February 19-20, 2014


survey of 686 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Brow n Favorability Favorable 34% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 19% 12% 72% 15% 57% 22% 21% 34% 45% 21% Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 47% Scott Brow n 39% Not sure 14%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

84% 9% 6%

13% 76% 10%

41% 37% 22%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 47% Oppose 35% Not sure 18% 53% 35% 12% 42% 34% 24% 46% 35% 19%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 9% 5% 77% 14% 4% 19% 31% 43% 7% 4% 58% 33% 4%

Less likely 56% Wouldn't m ake a 30% difference Not sure 5%

Race Base White Other Shaheen Approval Approve 45% Disapprove 46% Not sure 9% 46% 45% 9% 41% 51% 8% Brow n Favorability Favorable 34% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 19%

Race Base White Other

33% 47% 20%

36% 48% 15%

Race Base White Other Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 47% Scott Brow n 39% Not sure 14% 48% 39% 13% 41% 40% 19%

February 19-20, 2014


survey of 686 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race Base White Other Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 47% Oppose 35% Not sure 18% 48% 34% 18% 40% 42% 17%
More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 9%

Race Base White Other

7% 58% 29% 5%

21% 42% 34% 3%

Less likely 56% Wouldn't m ake a 30% difference Not sure 5%

Age Base Shaheen Approval Approve 45% Disapprove 46% Not sure 9% 40% 49% 11% 46% 46% 8% 51% 39% 10% 18 to 46 to Older 45 65 than 65 Brow n Favorability Favorable 34% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 19% Base

Age 18 to 46 to Older 45 65 than 65

35% 42% 23%

33% 50% 17%

33% 49% 18%

Age Base Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 47% Scott Brow n 39% Not sure 14% 42% 40% 18% 48% 39% 13% 52% 39% 8% 18 to 46 to Older 45 65 than 65

Age Base Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 47% Oppose 35% Not sure 18% 47% 31% 22% 52% 34% 15% 38% 43% 19% 18 to 46 to Older 45 65 than 65

February 19-20, 2014


survey of 686 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age Base More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 9% 14% 47% 31% 8% 6% 59% 32% 3% 5% 64% 25% 5% 18 to 46 to Older 45 65 than 65

Less likely 56% Wouldn't m ake a 30% difference Not sure 5%

February 19-20, 2014


survey of 686 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988