CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL For release: Wednesday, February 26, 2014 6:30 pm ET Heading into the Midterm

Campaign: Views of the Republican and Democratic Parties February 19-23, 2014  While majorities of both parties are mostly hopeful about their party’s future, Democrats (77%) are more likely to say that than Republicans (56%), and Republicans (42%) are twice as likely as Democrats (20%) to say they are discouraged. The recent debt ceiling vote finds strong disapproval among Republicans (69%), especially among supporters of the Tea Party (82%). House Speaker John Boehner meets with more disapproval (49%) than approval (33%) from his own party. There are divisions within the Republican Party on issues: Tea Party supporters express more conservative views than non-Tea Party supporters on raising the minimum wage, health care, the deficit and same sex marriage. Young Democrats and Republicans – the future of each party – are more apt than those who are older to favor legalizing marijuana and same sex marriage. More Democrats than Republicans are satisfied with the ideology of their party’s candidates. 41% of Republicans think their party’s candidates are ideologically “about right,” that rises to 67% among Democrats. Further, 50% of Tea Party Republicans think their party’s candidates are not conservative enough. Among liberal Democrats, just 28% say that Democratic candidates aren’t liberal enough. Still, Republicans (and Tea Party Republicans) and Democrats remain loyal to their party’s candidates when it comes to how they will vote later this year. Looking toward November, 42% of registered voters would pick a generic Republican for Congress, while 39% would back a generic Democrat if the midterm elections were held today. Independents back the Republican candidate.

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A Look Inside the Republican Party: Candidates, Issues and the Tea Party While 41% of Republicans see their party’s nominees as about right, a third thinks they are not conservative enough. Tea Party Republicans, who make up 42% of Republicans, would pull their candidates further to the right; 50% say their party’s candidates are not conservative enough. By comparison, 67% of Democrats think their candidates are about right. Republican Candidates Today Are Generally… All ********* Among Republicans ********** Americans All Tea Party Non-Tea Party Too conservative 40% 20% 8% 35% Not conservative enough 23 32 50 19 About right 28 41 40 39 1

The recent vote in Congress to raise the debt ceiling until next year finds disfavor among Republicans, even more so among Tea Party Republicans. Views on Debt Ceiling Agreement All ********* Among Republicans ********** Americans All Tea Party Non- Tea Party 43% 26% 16% 38% 50 69 82 57

Approve Disapprove

Americans disapprove of House Speaker John Boehner by a two to one margin – perhaps partly due to widespread dissatisfaction with Congress – but his own party’s rank and file also disapprove, as do just over half of Tea Party backers. Approval of Speaker John Boehner All ********* Among Republicans ********** Americans All Tea Party Non- Tea Party 26% 33% 35% 32% 55 49 52 50 19 18 13 17

Approve Disapprove Don’t know

While a majority of Republicans (and most Tea Party Republicans) are mostly hopeful about the future of the Republican Party, about four in ten are mostly discouraged. Democrats are more positive about their party; just 20% are mostly discouraged, and 77% are mostly hopeful. Feelings about Future of Your Party… ********* Among Republicans ********** All Tea Party Non- Tea Party Mostly hopeful 56% 58% 48% Mostly discouraged 42 39 49

Democrats 77% 20

The poll asked about a number of issues. 70% of Republicans would like to see the health care law repealed, and while more than half are opposed to raising the minimum wage, 42% favor that. A majority think illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally in some way (including 36% who back citizenship), but 39% think they should be required to leave the country. Three in four Republicans would like abortion to be further restricted or not permitted at all. But there are specific issues on which Republicans themselves disagree. Republicans under age 45 are far more likely than their older counterparts to think same sex marriage and marijuana should be legal. Younger Republicans are less likely to think Social Security and Medicare are worth the costs to taxpayers, and fewer think the U.S. should take a lead role in solving international conflicts. Views on Issues: Younger Vs. Older Republicans (among Republicans) Total Age 18-44 Age 45-64 Same sex marriage Legal Not legal 40% 55 56% 39 36% 56

Age 65+ 21% 76 2

Views on Issues: Younger Vs. Older Republicans (among Republicans) Total Age 18-44 Age 45-64 Marijuana Legal Not legal 2010 Health care law Kept as is Changes needed Repealed Social Security/Medicare Worth cost Not worth cost U.S. lead role in int’l conflicts Should Should not 34% 64 43% 56 39% 58

Age 65+ 15% 83

2% 27 70

2% 30 66

1% 30 69

1% 20 76

66% 28 34% 64

48% 47 24% 73

73% 19 38% 58

84% 13 42% 55

There are also clear differences between Tea Party and non-Tea Party Republicans on some issues. Tea Party Republicans are more likely to think same sex marriage should not be legal, to oppose raising the minimum wage, to want the 2010 health care law repealed, and to say deficit should be reduced with spending cuts only. Views on Issues: Tea Party Vs. Non-Tea Party Republicans (among Republicans) All Tea Party Non-Tea Party Same sex marriage Legal 40% 31% 45% Not legal 55 63 50 Reduce deficit by: Tax increase only 0% 0% 1% Spending cuts only 44 52 39 Both 53 47 58 2010 Health care law Kept as is 2 2% *% Changes needed 27 9 40 Repealed 70 88 57 Raising the minimum wage Favor 42% 27% 53% Oppose 54 70 45 Global warming Human activity 24% 14% 35% Natural patterns 47 47 48 Does not exist 22 34 9 When it comes to their vote, there are some issues on which Republicans could be flexible and vote for a candidate who disagrees with them, but there are other issues on which they would draw the line.

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Health care reform is a deal-breaker: only 27% would ever consider voting for a candidate who disagrees with them on that issue -- it even outranks abortion (42%) in that regard. Fewer than half would consider a candidate who parted with them on immigration (41%) or same-sex marriage (47%). But global warming isn’t as critical (56%), nor is the minimum wage (59%). Where Republicans Draw the Line: Could Vote for a Candidate Who DISAGREED With You on…? (Among Republicans) Yes No Health care law 27% 67 Abortion 42% 54 Immigration 41% 53 Same sex marriage 47% 47 Global warming 56% 36 Minimum wage 59% 35 The poll also asked Republicans about outreach to various voter groups, including those that the party has lost in recent years. Rank-and-file Republicans overwhelmingly say their party should do more to address the concerns of the middle class. About a third of Republicans would like to see the party reach out further to women and Hispanics, but most Republicans say the party is doing enough to reach out to those groups already. Republicans are more apt to say the party should do more for gun owners (43%). Very few (18%) would have it do more for big business. What Should Republican Party Do For…? (Among Republicans) Do More Doing Enough Now Do Less The middle class 67% 30 2 Gun owners 43% 45 10 Women 35% 59 3 Hispanics 32% 53 12 Big business 18% 54 27 The poll finds some dissatisfaction with the Republican Party among a segment of the party’s own rank and file. Although two in three have a favorable view of their party, 29% of Republicans hold an unfavorable view. Just 54% of non-Tea Party Republicans have a favorable opinion of their party; that percentage rises to 72% among Tea Party Republicans. In contrast, 85% of Democrats feel favorably toward the Democratic Party. Is Your View of the Republican Party… All ********* Among Republicans ********** Americans All Tea Party Non- Tea Party 33% 67% 72% 54% 61 29 26 39

Favorable Unfavorable

Whatever their differences or dissatisfaction, Republicans’ voting behavior shows strong party allegiance (the same is true for Democrats). 86% intend to vote for the Republican candidate in their district for the House, and only 3% currently plan to vote Democratic. More than half of Republicans say they would consider voting for a Democrat – though in practice, exit polls 4

routinely show that few actually do. In contrast, just 39% of Democrats would consider voting for a Republican for Congress. Would You Consider Voting for a Democrat For Congress? (Among Republicans) All Moderates Conservatives Tea Party Yes 55% 70% 46% 46% No, not consider 38 20 46 46 A Look Inside the Democratic Party: Interests and Issues Like Americans overall, most Democrats are dissatisfied (50%) or angry (17%) with the way things are going in Washington, but they are optimistic about the future of the Democratic party. 77% of Democrats are mostly hopeful about their party’s future, while far fewer - 20% - are mostly discouraged. Liberal Democrats are especially hopeful. Feelings About Future of the Democratic Party *********** Among Democrats ************* All Liberal Moderate/conservative Mostly hopeful 77% 86% 72% Mostly discouraged 20 13 24 Two in three Democrats are satisfied with where their candidates fall along the ideological spectrum. While 41% of Americans overall think the Democratic Party is nominating candidates that are too liberal for them, this is true of just 9% of Democratic partisans. Another 18% think they aren’t liberal enough. 65% of liberal Democrats - who make up 42% of the Democratic Party – view their party’s candidates as about right. Democratic Candidates Today Are Generally… All *********** Among Democrats ************* Americans All Liberal Moderate/conservative Too liberal 41% 9% 5% 12% Not liberal enough 14 18 28 10 About right 37 67 65 69 By a wide margin, more Democrats than Republicans express satisfaction with the ideology of their candidates. Your Party’s Candidates Today Are Generally… Republicans Democrats Too conservative 20% Too liberal Not conservative enough 32 Not liberal enough About right 41 About right

Non-TP 57% 33

9% 18 67

Democrats also widely believe that their party shares their priorities for the country: 76% think so (compared to 38% of Americans overall). Among Democrats, majorities of key constituent groups within the party, including both men (72%) and women (78%), whites (77%) and blacks (72%), and Democrats of all age, income, and education levels think their party shares their priorities.

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Still, most Democrats believe their party can do more for middle class voters: 70% say so. About half of Democrats think their party is doing enough for women voters and Hispanic voters – two groups thought to be crucial to securing an electoral victory in November – while fewer think their party should do more for gun owners (30%) or big business (20%). What Should the Democratic Party do For…? (Among Democrats) Do More Doing enough now Do Less Middle class voters 70% 28 1 Women voters 50% 47 1 Hispanic voters 44% 45 5 Gun owners 30% 37 31 Big business 20% 47 31 Liberal Democrats differ from moderate and conservative Democrats on whether their party is doing enough for women and Hispanics: 56% of liberal Democrats think the party should do more for women voters, and 51% think it should do more Hispanic voters. While many Democrats think the Affordable Care Act needs some changes to make it work better, just 16% think the law should be repealed. 55% think abortion should be generally available, 70% think same sex marriage should be legal, 86% favor raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour, and 71% think illegal immigrants already in the U.S. should be allowed to stay and apply for citizenship. 66% of Democrats think global warming is caused by human activity (compared to 46% of Americans overall). Like Republicans, Democrats are split along generational lines on two prominent issues where public opinion is changing rapidly: legalizing same sex marriage and marijuana. More younger Democrats than older Democrats favor legalizing each. Views on Legalizing Same Sex Marriage and Marijuana: Younger Vs. Older Democrats (among Democrats) All Age 18-44 Age 45-64 Same sex marriage Legal 70% 85% 60% Not legal 27 11 38 Marijuana Legal Not legal

Age 65+ 54% 40

60% 37

70% 26

57% 39

42% 54

There are also differences between liberal and moderate/conservative Democrats on abortion, same sex marriage, legalizing marijuana, immigration and global warming. As for the impact of these issues on their voting behavior, Democrats are the most inflexible on the Affordable Care Act and abortion: six in ten could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with them on these issues. Democrats are a bit more flexible on immigration – 47% would be willing to vote for a candidate who disagreed with them on this. 6

Where Democrats Draw the Line: Could Vote for a Candidate Who DISAGREED With You on…? (Among Democrats) Yes No 2010 Health care law 33% 62 Abortion 36% 60 Same-sex marriage 43% 52 Global warming 44% 51 Raising the minimum wage 45% 52 Immigration 47% 48 55% of Democrats would not consider voting for a Republican for Congress, rising to 61% among liberal Democrats. In contrast, most Republicans (55%) say they would consider voting for a Democrat (although few now say they would cast their House vote for one). Would You Consider Voting for a Republican For Congress? (Among Democrats) All Liberal Moderate/Conservative Yes 39% 37% 40% No, not consider 55 61 50 Congressional Vote Choice More than eight months before the November midterm elections, 42% of registered voters would pick a generic Republican for Congress, while 39% would back a generic Democrat if the midterm elections were being held today. Of course, national polls are not perfect predictors of Congressional elections, since the conditions and state of the race in each individual district vary. 2014 House Vote (Among registered voters) Republican 42% Democratic 39 Other (vol.) 3 It depends (vol.) 7 Won’t vote (vol.) 3 Don't know 8 Among Republican voters, 86% say they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district. 85% of Democrats similarly say they would support their party’s candidate. Among voters who are independents, more express a preference for the Republican candidate in their district (43%) over the Democrat (27%). 57% of voters are paying at least some attention to the 2014 election campaign now (including 22% who are paying a lot of attention), a figure that is sure to rise as Election Day gets nearer. One in five is paying no attention at all now.

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Overall Views of the Parties The poll suggests that Americans remain disenchanted with both political parties. Perceptions of the two parties have changed little in the past year: while more view the Democratic Party than the Republican Party in a positive light, majorities have a negative opinion of both parties. Views of the Parties Democratic Party Republican Party Now 3/2013 Now 3/2013 42% 45% 33% 31% 53 47 61 60

Favorable Not favorable

And majorities think neither party has the same priorities for the country that they have themselves. Does the … Have the Same Priorities for the Country as You Have? Democratic Party Republican Party Yes 38% 35% No 57 59

_____________________________________________________________________________________ This poll was conducted by telephone February 19-23, 2014 among a total of 1,644 adults nationwide. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by Social Science Research Solutions of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The poll included a general population sample of 1,003, along with additional interviews to yield the following sample sizes: 519 Republicans, 515 Democrats, and 610 independents. The additional interviews were obtained through callbacks to people indicating party id on a previous poll. The total sample was then weighted to party distribution targets from the general population portion of the poll. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The margin of error for Republicans, Democrats and independents is 6 points. The error for subgroups may be higher. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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CBS News/ New York Times National Poll Feb14C February 19-23, 2014 Q1. –Q6 Released separately Q7. In general, is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable or not favorable? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 33 67 10 32 61 29 89 60 5 4 2 9

Favorable Not favorable Don’t know/No answer

Mar13b % 31 60 9

Q8. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable or not favorable? Favorable Not favorable Don’t know/No answer 42 53 5 9 90 1 85 14 1 28 62 10 45 47 9

Q8B. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington -- enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry? Oct13a 2 8 44 43 3

Enthusiastic Satisfied but not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not angry Angry Don’t know/No answer

1 18 49 30 2

1 7 57 35 1

3 29 50 17 1

1 17 44 36 3

Q9. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2014 election campaign — a lot, some, not much or no attention so far? ** REGISTERED VOTERS ** 22 20 17 27 35 35 38 33 23 30 27 16 19 15 17 24 * * * 1

A lot Some Not much No attention Don’t know/No answer Q10. HELD FOR RELEASE

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Q11. If the 2014 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the (Republican) candidate or the (Democratic) candidate in your district? ** REGISTERED VOTERS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 42 86 3 43 39 3 85 27 3 1 6 3 1 1 5 7 3 5 10 8 7 4 10

Republican Democratic Other (Vol.) Won't vote (Vol.) Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Q13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Boehner is handling his job as Speaker of the House of Representatives? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 26 33 26 23 55 49 56 57 19 18 19 20

Approve Disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Oct13d % 22 65 13

Q13A. As you may know, Congress reached an agreement to raise the debt ceiling and fund the federal government until March of next year. Do you approve or disapprove of this agreement? Oct13d* 47 46 7

Approve Disapprove Don’t know/No answer
*Wording change: “…until early next year…”

43 50 7

26 69 5

66 27 7

37 55 8

Q13B. Released separately Q14. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on global warming, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 48 45 2 5 56 36 3 6 44 51 1 5 47 46 2 4

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Q15. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on the nation’s immigration system, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 43 41 47 42 52 53 48 53 1 1 1 1 4 5 3 4

Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Q16. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on same-sex marriage, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 42 53 1 4 47 47 1 5 43 52 2 4 38 57 1 4

Q17. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on raising the minimum wage, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 50 45 1 3 59 35 2 4 45 52 * 3 49 46 1 4

Q18. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on abortion, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 40 55 1 4 42 54 1 3 36 60 2 3 42 52 1 5

Q19. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on the 2010 health care law, or is this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 31 64 1 4 27 67 2 4 33 62 * 5 32 63 1 4

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Q20. Which do you think is better for the country? Should the Democrats and Republicans compromise some of their positions in order to get things done, or stick to their positions even if it means not getting as much done? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 85 76 93 83 12 18 6 3 1 2 * 2 2 3 1 2

Compromise Stick to their positions Depends (vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Jan12b % 85 11 -4

Q24. These days, do you think the Republican Party is mostly nominating candidates who are (too conservative for you), (not conservative enough for you), or are the Republican Party’s candidates about right? Too conservative Not conservative enough About right Don’t know/No answer 40 23 28 10 20 32 41 7 61 17 15 7 36 21 30 13

Q25. These days, do you think the Democratic Party is mostly nominating candidates who are (too liberal for you), (not liberal enough for you), or are the Democratic Party’s candidates about right? Too liberal Not liberal enough About right Don’t know/No answer 41 14 37 8 77 7 12 5 9 18 67 7 43 16 30 11

Q25a. When thinking about the candidates your party nominates, would you prefer they nominate (a candidate who agrees with your positions on most issues) or (a candidate who has the best chance to win in November)? Agrees with positions Best chance to win Depends (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer 70 25 1 3 67 29 1 2 65 31 2 3 75 19 1 4

Q26. In general, do you think the Republican Party has the same priorities for the country as you have, or don’t they? Yes, they do No, they don’t Don’t know/No answer 35 59 6 66 29 5 12 85 2 33 57 10

Q27. In general, do you think the Democratic Party has the same priorities for the country as you have, or don’t they? Yes, they do No, they don’t Don’t know/No answer 38 57 5 7 91 2 76 21 3 28 64 8

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Q30. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of women voters, less to address the needs and concerns of women voters, or is it doing enough already? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 55 35 69 55 3 3 2 3 40 59 28 39 2 2 1 3

Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer

Q31. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters, less to address the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 47 9 40 5 32 12 53 2 59 6 30 5 45 9 39 6

Q32. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of big business, less to address the needs and concerns of big business, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 16 41 40 3 18 27 54 2 13 52 34 2 17 42 36 4

Q33. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of gun owners, less to address the needs and concerns of gun owners, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 38 23 36 3 43 10 45 2 30 39 29 2 40 20 37 4

Q33a. Do you think the Republican Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of middle class voters, less to address the needs and concerns of middle class voters, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 75 2 21 2 67 2 30 2 82 1 15 1 73 3 21 2

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Q34. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of women voters, less to address the needs and concerns of women voters, or is it doing enough already? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 38 21 50 38 7 11 1 8 54 64 47 53 2 3 1 2

Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer

Q35. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters, less to address the needs and concerns of Hispanic voters, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 32 13 50 5 15 22 60 4 44 5 45 6 32 14 49 5

Q36. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of big business, less to address the needs and concerns of big business, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 25 33 39 3 28 33 37 3 20 31 47 2 27 35 35 3

Q37. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of gun owners, less to address the needs and concerns of gun owners, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 42 22 32 4 52 15 29 5 30 31 37 2 45 19 31 5

Q37A. Do you think the Democratic Party should do more to address the needs and concerns of middle class voters, less to address the needs and concerns of middle class voters, or is it doing enough already? Should do more Should do less Doing enough already Don’t know/No answer 69 4 26 2 63 6 29 2 70 1 28 1 71 4 23 2

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Q40.-Q42. Released separately Q43. Which of these comes closest to your view? 1. Abortion should be generally available to those who want it. 2. Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now. 3. Abortion should not be permitted. ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 38 22 55 34 40 50 26 44 21 27 16 20 2 1 3 2

Generally available Available but limits Should not be permitted Don’t know/No answer

Jul13b % 37 40 21 2

Q44. Do you think that the use of marijuana should be legal, or not? Jan14c* 51 44 5

Legal Not legal Don’t know/No answer

51 46 3

34 64 2

60 37 4

55 42 3

*wording varied: “…should be made legal…”

Q45. As you may know, the federal minimum wage is currently $7.25 an hour. Do you favor or oppose raising the minimum wage to $10.10? Favor Oppose Don’t know/No answer 65 33 2 42 54 3 86 12 2 62 36 2 72 26 1

Q46. Which comes closest to your view about the 2010 health care law? 1. The law is working well and should be kept in place as is. 2. There are some good things in the law, but some changes are needed to make it work better. 3. The law has so much wrong with it that it needs to be repealed entirely. Working well and kept in place Good things, but changes needed Needs to be repealed entirely Don’t know/No answer 6 50 42 2 2 27 70 1 13 69 16 2 3 49 45 3 6 56 34 4

Q47. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship, 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be allowed to apply for citizenship or 3. They should be required to leave the U.S. Stay & apply for citizenship Stay legally, but not allowed to apply Required to leave the U.S. Don’t know/No answer 53 16 27 3 36 22 39 2 71 11 16 2 51 16 29 4 54 12 31 4

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Q48. Which statement comes closest to your view about global warming? 1. Global warming is caused mostly by human activity such as burning fossil fuels, 2. Global warming is caused mostly by natural patterns in the earth's environment or 3. Global warming does not exist. ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Total Rep Dem Ind % % % % 46 24 66 43 34 47 20 36 14 22 5 15 3 5 3 3 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1

Human activity Natural patterns Global warming does not exist Caused by both (vol.) Not sure what it's caused by (vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Mar13c % 52 29 10 7 1 2

Q49. Do you think it should be legal or not legal for same sex couples to marry? Jul13b 55 39 6

Yes, legal No, not legal Don’t know/No answer Q50-Q53 Released separately

56 39 4

40 55 6

70 27 3

56 40 5

Q54. Overall, do you think the benefits from Social Security and Medicare are worth the cost of these programs for taxpayers, or are they not worth the cost? Sep11a 79 15 --6

Worth it Not worth it Social Security only worth it (Vol.) Medicare only worth it (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer Q56. Released separately

72 21 * * 7

66 28 * 6

84 10 * 6

67 24 * * 9

Q57. Do you think the United States should or should not take the leading role among all other countries in the world in trying to solve international conflicts? Sep13a 34 62 5

Yes, should take the leading role No, should not take the leading role Don’t know/No answer Q58-Q69 Released separately

31 65 4

34 64 3

33 64 3

29 66 6

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Q70. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about the Tea Party movement yet to have an opinion? ** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** % % % % 21 37 6 22 31 10 49 30 18 22 16 16 29 29 27 30 2 2 2 2 Oct13d % 14 36 18 32 1

Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Don’t know/No answer

Q71. Do you think the Tea Party movement has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence in the Republican Party? Too much Too little Right amount Don’t know/No answer Q72-Q75 Held for future release Q74. Would you consider voting for a Democratic candidate for Congress, or not? ************* REPUBLICANS Total Tea Party 55 46 38 46 6 7 2 1 ************ Not Tea Party 57 33 7 2 37 22 23 18 17 29 37 17 59 13 13 15 33 24 23 20 40 27 21 12

Yes No Depends DK/NA

Q75. Would you consider voting for a Republican candidate for Congress, or not? ************* DEMOCRATS ************ Total Liberal Moderate/Conservative % % % 39 37 40 55 61 50 5 2 7 2 1 4

Yes No Depends DK/NA

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Q76. When you think about the future of the Republican Party, do you feel mostly hopeful or mostly discouraged? ************* REPUBLICANS Total Tea Party % % 56 58 42 39 1 1 1 1 1 1 ************ Not Tea Party % 48 49 1 * 1

Mostly hopeful Mostly discouraged Both (Vol.) Neither (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Q77. When you think about the future of the Democratic Party, do you feel mostly hopeful or mostly discouraged? ************* DEMOCRATS ************ Total Liberal Moderate/Conservative % % % 77 86 72 20 13 24 * 1 * 1 0 2 2 0 2

Mostly hopeful Mostly discouraged Both (Vol.) Neither (Vol.) Don’t know/No answer

Total Respondents: Total Republicans Total Democrats Total independents

UNWEIGHTED WEIGHTED 1,644 519 515 610 400 517 727

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