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Louisiana Statewide Survey

Prepared for John Bel Edwards Campaign February 2014

Methodology Six hundred likely voters in Louisiana were interviewed in a sample taken February 10 – 12, 2014. The voters were screened for their likelihood of voting in the 2015 Gubernatorial election. The sample was balanced for all known demographic factors. The margin of error for this survey is a +/- 4.2%, with a 95% level of confidence.
1. If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .

Rotate order of presentation (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 2. Republican Jay Dardenne – 9% Democrat John Bel Edwards – 21% Republican David Vitter – 26% Republican John Kennedy – 7% Undecided – 36% Refused – 2%

For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . . (1) (2) (3) (4) Republican David Vitter – 32% Republican Jay Dardenne – 28% Undecided – 34% Refused – 6% For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . . Republican David Vitter – 38% Democrat John Bel Edwards – 32% Undecided – 28% Refused – 3%

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. (1) (2) (3) (4)

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This far from the election, people don’t always know a lot about the candidates. So I am going to read you a little information about one of the candidates and then ask you for your opinion. John Bel Edwards is a white male Democrat from Amite, Louisiana. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, served eight years as an Army Ranger, earned the rank of Captain, and commanded a rifle company in the 82nd Airborne Division. For the past six years John Bel Edwards has served as a State Representative with a ProLife voting record and has strongly supported the second amendment, with an A rating

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from the NRA. John Bel Edwards has strongly opposed Governor Jindal's cuts to healthcare and public education, privatizing of prisons and hospitals, and efforts to increase Louisiana's sales taxes to the highest in the nation. Knowing this information, would you be (1) more likely or (2) less likely to support John Bel Edwards, or (3) does this information not effect your current opinion of John Bel Edwards? (4) unsure (1) (2) (3) (4) 5. More Likely – 45% Less Likely – 11% No Effect – 28% Unsure – 16%

If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were . . . (1) (2) (3) (4) Republican David Vitter – 34% Democrat John Bel Edwards – 42% Undecided – 23% Refused – 1%

STATISTICS : 6. Which of the following age categories are you in: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) 7. 18-34 – 16% 35-49 – 18% 50-65 – 34% Over 65 – 32% Refused – 1%

Are you registered to vote as a: (1) (2) (3) (4) Democrat – 43% Republican – 40% Something Else – 15% Refused – 2%

8.

Just to make sure we have a representative sample, would you tell me your race? (1) (2) (3) White – 70% African American – 25% Other/Refused – 5%

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9.

Just for statistical purposes, can you tell me which of the following categories best represents your total family income: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Under $30,000 – 21% $30,000 to $50,000 – 18% $50,000 to $70,000 – 15% More than $70,000 – 31% Refused – 14%

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Gender: (1) (2) Male – 48% Female – 52%

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Media market: Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles New Orleans Shreveport 5% 22% 17% 6% 27% 13%

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Question 1: If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .
Rep Dardenne Dem Edwards Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65 Refused Race White AA Other Party Dem Rep Other Refused Income < $30K $30K to $50K $50K to $70K > $70K Refused Media market Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles Monroe New Orleans Shreveport Total 8% 9% 9% 7% 11% 7% 13% 10% 4% 9% 8% 9% 10% 5% 6% 7% 9% 12% 8% 4% 21% 9% 9% 8% 2% 2% 9% 21% 20% 17% 18% 22% 22% 42% 11% 49% 17% 39% 3% 16% 0% 33% 31% 10% 19% 2% 14% 15% 12% 9% 23% 34% 19% 21% Rep Vitter 29% 24% 22% 33% 25% 27% 0% 33% 9% 30% 8% 48% 27% 0% 19% 24% 36% 27% 28% 42% 21% 31% 37% 28% 16% 39% 26% Rep Kennedy 12% 3% 11% 10% 3% 7% 25% 9% 3% 2% 6% 6% 16% 0% 2% 7% 4% 8% 16% 0% 5% 9% 15% 5% 9% 5% 7% Undecided 30% 41% 43% 31% 35% 35% 19% 37% 31% 42% 35% 34% 32% 95% 40% 25% 41% 33% 42% 39% 37% 37% 30% 34% 35% 34% 36% Refused 0% 3% 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 1% 4% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 1% 4% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 1% 2%

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Question 2: For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .
Rep Vitter Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65 Refused Race White AA Other Party Dem Rep Other Refused Income < $30K $30K to $50K $50K to $70K > $70K Refused Media market Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles Monroe New Orleans Shreveport Total 34% 31% 25% 41% 31% 34% 0% 39% 11% 39% 15% 53% 34% 0% 26% 32% 44% 31% 34% 60% 23% 38% 44% 33% 22% 45% 32% Rep Dardenne 29% 27% 22% 28% 34% 23% 57% 26% 33% 21% 34% 17% 30% 61% 21% 33% 20% 34% 26% 11% 40% 25% 21% 21% 33% 15% 28% Undecided 33% 34% 45% 24% 30% 36% 43% 32% 38% 38% 38% 28% 34% 39% 45% 21% 36% 31% 36% 29% 33% 35% 35% 38% 31% 36% 34% Refused 4% 9% 8% 7% 5% 7% 0% 3% 18% 2% 13% 1% 2% 0% 8% 14% 1% 4% 4% 0% 3% 2% 0% 8% 15% 4% 6%

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Question 3: For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .
Rep Vitter Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65 Refused Race White AA Other Party Dem Rep Other Refused Income < $30K $30K to $50K $50K to $70K > $70K Refused Media market Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles Monroe New Orleans Shreveport Total 39% 37% 33% 45% 36% 39% 25% 49% 10% 24% 14% 67% 37% 0% 26% 32% 47% 41% 46% 61% 42% 43% 61% 37% 17% 49% 38% Dem Edwards 35% 29% 23% 33% 37% 29% 55% 21% 60% 37% 49% 9% 37% 61% 41% 35% 22% 33% 23% 16% 31% 22% 22% 28% 48% 26% 32% Undecided 26% 29% 37% 22% 24% 31% 19% 29% 21% 39% 32% 23% 26% 39% 34% 21% 32% 26% 29% 23% 27% 33% 17% 34% 27% 26% 28% Refused 0% 5% 7% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 9% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 12% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 8% 0% 3%

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Question 4: This far from the election, people don’t always know a lot about the candidates. So I am going to read you a little information about one of the candidates and then ask you for your opinion. John Bel Edwards is a white male Democrat from Amite, Louisiana. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, served eight years as an Army Ranger, earned the rank of Captain, and commanded a rifle company in the 82nd Airborne Division. For the past six years John Bel Edwards has served as a State Representative with a Pro-Life voting record and has strongly supported the second amendment, with an A rating from the NRA. John Bel Edwards has strongly opposed Governor Jindal's cuts to healthcare and public education, privatizing of prisons and hospitals, and efforts to increase Louisiana's sales taxes to the highest in the nation. Knowing this information, would you be more likely or less likely to support John Bel Edwards, or do this information not affect your current opinion of John Bel Edwards?
More likely Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65 Refused White AA Other Dem Rep Other Refused < $30K $30K to $50K $50K to $70K > $70K Refused Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles Monroe New Orleans Shreveport 48% 42% 57% 52% 46% 34% 48% 40% 62% 31% 49% 37% 51% 61% 39% 61% 37% 46% 41% 46% 47% 39% 41% 48% 47% 43% Less likely 10% 12% 8% 11% 12% 11% 19% 11% 6% 30% 10% 12% 6% 28% 9% 7% 11% 14% 13% 12% 5% 16% 9% 12% 13% 9% No affect 28% 28% 25% 32% 25% 30% 19% 31% 20% 22% 21% 36% 32% 0% 27% 20% 39% 30% 25% 27% 34% 28% 20% 25% 25% 29% 4 14% 18% 9% 5% 17% 25% 13% 18% 12% 17% 20% 15% 10% 11% 25% 13% 13% 11% 22% 15% 13% 17% 29% 15% 15% 19%

Race

Party

Income

Media market

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Question 5: If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were . . .
Rep Vitter Gender Male Female Age 18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65 Refused Race White AA Other Party Dem Rep Other Refused Income < $30K $30K to $50K $50K to $70K > $70K Refused Media market Alexandria Baton Rouge Lafayette Lake Charles Monroe New Orleans Shreveport Total 36% 32% 26% 44% 30% 38% 19% 42% 9% 50% 11% 63% 33% 0% 25% 29% 52% 32% 39% 42% 32% 36% 49% 38% 21% 48% 34% Dem Edwards 44% 41% 39% 41% 49% 37% 55% 32% 74% 26% 63% 15% 51% 61% 50% 48% 31% 45% 30% 30% 42% 40% 30% 38% 58% 28% 42% Undecided 19% 26% 35% 14% 21% 24% 25% 25% 17% 25% 25% 21% 17% 39% 25% 22% 17% 22% 28% 28% 26% 23% 20% 22% 20% 23% 23% Refused 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1%

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Question 3: For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .
Rep Vitter Q1 Rep Dardenne Dem Edwards Rep Vitter Rep Kennedy Undecided Refused Total 39% 1% 93% 31% 20% 11% 38% Dem Edwards 41% 89% 3% 65% 12% 10% 32% Undecided 19% 4% 4% 3% 67% 0% 28% Refused 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 80% 3%

Rep Vitter Q2 Rep Vitter Rep Dardenne Undecided Refused Total 87% 18% 13% 5% 38%

Dem Edwards 7% 70% 20% 54% 32%

Undecided 6% 12% 67% 2% 28%

Refused 0% 0% 0% 40% 3%

Rep Vitter Q4 More likely Less likely No affect Total 23% 48% 60% 38%

Dem Edwards 42% 31% 26% 32%

Undecided 29% 21% 14% 28%

Refused 5% 0% 0% 3%

Rep Vitter Q5 Rep Vitter Dem Edwards Undecided Refused Total 87% 10% 16% 29% 38%

Dem Edwards 4% 69% 5% 26% 32%

Undecided 9% 16% 79% 0% 28%

Refused 0% 5% 0% 45% 3%

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Question 5: For whom would you vote if the candidates were. . .
Rep Vitter Q1 Rep Dardenne Dem Edwards Rep Vitter Rep Kennedy Undecided Refused Total 28% 3% 85% 21% 19% 11% 34% Dem Edwards 55% 91% 9% 70% 30% 63% 42% Undecided 15% 6% 6% 9% 51% 0% 23% Refused 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 26% 1%

Rep Vitter Q2 Rep Vitter Rep Dardenne Undecided Refused Total 76% 13% 17% 3% 34%

Dem Edwards 14% 79% 32% 81% 42%

Undecided 9% 7% 51% 9% 23%

Refused 0% 1% 0% 7% 1%

Rep Vitter Q3 Rep Vitter Dem Edwards Undecided Refused Total 79% 4% 11% 0% 34%

Dem Edwards 11% 92% 24% 88% 42%

Undecided 10% 3% 65% 0% 23%

Refused 0% 1% 0% 12% 1%

Rep Vitter Q4 More likely Less likely No affect Total 14% 53% 60% 34%

Dem Edwards 64% 27% 28% 42%

Undecided 22% 19% 11% 23%

Refused 1% 0% 1% 1%

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