6.

2

MEMORANDUM
DATE:

March 12, 2014

TO:

Board of Education

FROM:

Dr. Don Haddad, Superintendent of Schools

SUBJECT:

District Enrollment Projections 2014-2018

PURPOSE
To provide the Board of Education a report on enrollment projections for 2014-2018.
BACKGROUND
The Planning Department and the Long Range Facility Planning Committee (LRFPC)
have evaluated a wide variety of indicators and developed enrollment projections for
2014-2018. The basis for determining these projections is a cohort-survival statistical
model developed by the Planning Department that analyzes the student progression
ratios and migration on a grade-by-grade basis. As part of this analysis, the following
are also evaluated: Monthly enrollment counts; the number of lots with final plat
approval; the number of building permits issued and anticipated by the local
municipalities; birth data; private, charter and home school enrollment; open enrollment
in and out the District; the real estate market; changes in student yield; potential
educational/programmatic changes; economic forecasts developed by other entities;
and impacts from new schools and attendance boundary changes.
PROJECTIONS
The tables below identify a number of the factors reviewed by the Planning Department
and LRFPC which impact enrollment in the St. Vrain Valley School District. Based on
this review, the Long Range Facility Planning Committee concurred that a gain in the
area of 700 additional students was a likely outcome for 2014. Based on a potential
gain of 710 students, enrollment for 2014 would reach 29,905 students, up from 29,195
in 2013. By 2018, based on the current trends and indicators, there is potential for a
gain of over 3,400 students and an enrollment of over 32,600 at the mid-level estimate.
The Mid-Level projection has been the basis over many years for developing staffing
and budgeting. The staffing process for 2014 is currently underway in coordination with
the Human Resources and Finance Departments.

TRENDS THAT MAY HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT ON OVERALL GROWTH:
 An upward trend in building permits: An increase in the issuance of building
permits of 740 in 2013 to 886 projected for 2014, compared with 427 issued in
2010 and 429 in 2011. 2014 permits by community: Dacono 45; Erie 200;
Firestone 75; Frederick 180; Longmont 298; Lyons 3; Mead 65; Weld 20.
 The addition of a fourth APEX program site in Frederick for 2014.
 Open Enrollment policy with increased opportunities for acceptance.
 Continuing trend of larger cohort coming to kindergarten than leaving 12 th grade.
 Charters: Growth of approximately 100 students projected by the charter
schools.
 Increasing number of development referrals to the District for future plats and site
plans has been observed over the past several months.
 A net job growth in the St. Vrain Valley area of 615 jobs in 2013, the largest gain
since 2005.
 State population growth projected to add 90,000 residents for 2014 according to
Colorado Department of Local Affairs, State Demography Office. This includes
the largest number since prior to 2005 from net migration (53,000).
 State-wide housing permits increasing from 28,500 new housing units in 2013 to
33,500 in 2014 (Colorado Leeds forecast-the largest number of new permits
since 2005).
 Continuing decline in private school enrollment potentially impacting public
school growth.
 Continuing trend in out-of-district students attending SVVSD with decline in
SVVSD students attending other districts.
TRENDS THAT MAY DECREASE POTENTIAL GROWTH GAINS:
 Potential job loss in 2015 and beyond from local companies such as Amgen and
Digital Globe. (Amgen proposing cutting 32% of Colorado employees, Digital
Globe relocating headquarters to Westminster in 2015.)
 Charter enrollment growth showing smaller gains in recent years and at some
schools at capacity.
 No new schools in the planning phases or slated for construction and opening in
the next few years. Typically, the largest growth years are those with one or
more new schools opening.
UNDETERMINED IMPACTS:
 The impact of changes to the configuration of Mountain View and Longs Peak.
ATTACHMENTS:
Included are the High-, Mid- and Low-level five-year projections. These projections
include the headcount for all District schools, charters and alternative programs (which
include Olde Columbine High, the Preschool Special Education, St. Vrain Global Online,
and the APEX program).

Factors

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Student Gain/loss by year
Non Charter gain/loss
Non Charter Percent of Growth
Charter gain/loss
Charter Percent of Growth
Building Permits Issued
Potential yield of new housing
Job Gain/Loss
Potential student gain/loss due to
job gain/loss
Kindergarten Enrollment
Senior Class (at HS) Previous year
Gain with Kinder - 12th grade
Transition
Private School Gain/Loss
St. Vrain attending other districts
Other District's attending St. Vrain

1021
546
53%
475
47%
2117
910
631

642
410
64%
232
36%
1467
631
-191

573
527
92%
46
8%
899
387
48

1063
580
55%
483
45%
472
203
-384

985
561
57%
424
43%
309
133
-819

592
319
54%
273
46%
427
184
336

699
282
40%
417
60%
429
184
-93

1248
1023
82%
225
18%
756
325
108

754
693
92%
61
8%
740
318
615

81.4
1797
1440

-24.6
1892
1438

6.2
1990
1494

-49.5
2133
1564

-105.7
2208
1501

43.3
2137
1679

-12.0
2275
1767

13.9
2277
1710

2334
1815

357
-165
1092
264

454
44
1172
337

496
49
1223
359

569
-141
1307
439

707
-192
1370
464

458
-59
1487
580

508
-39
1328
756

567
-193
1221
1046

1284
1113

Net Out of District

-828

-835

-864

-868

-906

-907

-572

-175

-171

2014

886
381

2311
1896

519

415

New Schools/Expansions Green-New School, Blue-Reconfiguration, Red-School Closing
2005

Carbon
Valley

Flagstaff

2006

2007

CVA adds
grade

CVA
adds
grade

Flagstaff
adds grade

Flagstaff
adds
grade

Altona

Ute
Creek
Closes

Trail Ridge

Twin
Peaks
Exp.

New Erie
High opens
-Middle
Stays

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Mead
High

Mead
High adds
11th

Mead High
adds 12th

New
Frederick
High
Opens

Black
Rock

Thunder
Vly K-8
Opens

New Apex
site

Blue
Mountain

St. Vrain
Montess.
charter

Portables
for pre
#26 at
Erie

Red Hawk
(Erie)

Twin
Peaks HS
adds 11th

Timberline
K-8 opens

Mtn
View-5th
move

Centennial

Expansio
n of Twin
Peaks
Charter

Twin Peaks
Starts HS
9th-10th

Options/
APEX @
3 Sites

Fred. El.
Closes

Imagine
Charter

Expansio
n of
Flagstaff
Charter

Aspen
Ridge
Charter K5 in Erie

Spangler
Closes

CVA
Discontinue
HS
District
On-Line
Educ.

CVA
begins HS

Twin
Peaks HS
adds 12th

Yearly Growth in Enrollment
1021

642

573

1063

985

592

699

1248

754

Existing/Projected Change in Enrollment

3000
2500

28052853

Low
Mid
High
Building Permits

2531
2179

2117

2000
1961
1467

1500

1030

1021

1000

1248

1063
899

592

573

329

500

895
754
710

801

756 740
472
309

0

1116

427 429

581

531

Total Enrollment 2007-2018
33819
32644
29195
31723

36000
34000
32000
30000
28000
26000
24000
22000

23854

Low

Mid
High

Mid-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018

ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS
Alpine

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

490

475

637

602

490

490

490

414

490

519

466

395

515

327

490

508

539

325

515

450

423

376

447

429

541

504

470

421

294

282

470

456

376

340

517

444

470

343

400

409

482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%

478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%

650

436

Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View (K-4 in 2014)
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt

447

368

441

397

625

517

775

746

12468
10954

10973
19

Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate
Thunder Valley K-5
(Former Fred. El.)

Timberline K-5
(Former Spangler - Loma Linda)

SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

2013
Capacity
98%

2014
470

112%

744
534

76%

373
590

71%

338

66%

333

105%

516

63%

342

103%

538

73%

310

84%

381

108%

612

91%

428

105%

313

101%

453

103%

334

90%

466

74%

365

100%

425

100%

704

84%

380

95%

433

2014
Capacity
96%
-1.67%
117%
4.06%
109%
1.52%
76%
0.27%
120%
4.42%
73%
1.50%
65%
-1.77%
105%
0.58%
63%
0.00%
104%
0.94%
73%
0.32%
85%
1.87%
113%
4.97%
91%
0.00%
106%
1.62%
96%
-5.03%
89%
-14.14%
90%
-0.21%
78%
5.49%
106%
5.99%
108%
8.47%
85%
0.80%
98%
3.84%
81%
-2.87%
79%
0.99%

2015
477
760
533
380
616
345
341
521
353
544
310
393
634
428
318
467
340
462
366
435

97%
1.49%
119%
2.15%
109%
-0.19%
78%
1.88%
126%
4.41%
74%
2.07%
66%
2.40%
106%
0.97%
65%
3.22%
106%
1.12%
73%
0.00%
88%
3.15%
117%
3.59%
91%
0.00%
108%
1.60%
99%
3.09%
90%
1.80%
89%
-0.86%
78%
0.27%
109%
2.35%
115%
5.82%
87%
2.37%
98%
-0.46%
82%
1.38%
79%
-0.16%

2016
483
786
546
386
630
349
341
533
369
552
315
402
654
426
324
483
344
469
378
453

99%
1.26%
123%
3.42%
111%
2.44%
79%
1.58%
129%
2.27%
75%
1.16%
66%
0.00%
109%
2.30%
68%
4.53%
107%
1.47%
74%
1.61%
90%
2.29%
121%
3.15%
91%
-0.47%
110%
1.89%
103%
3.43%
91%
1.18%
91%
1.52%
80%
3.28%
113%
4.14%
117%
2.28%
88%
1.54%
98%
-0.23%
83%
0.97%
80%
0.82%

2017
488
800
558
391
644
354
351
546
395
549
317
412
673
430
329
501
348
473
382
471

100%
1.04%
126%
1.78%
114%
2.20%
80%
1.30%
131%
2.22%
76%
1.43%
68%
2.93%
111%
2.44%
73%
7.05%
107%
-0.54%
75%
0.63%
92%
2.49%
124%
2.91%
91%
0.94%
112%
1.54%
107%
3.73%
93%
1.16%
91%
0.85%
81%
1.06%
118%
3.97%
120%
2.10%
88%
0.00%
97%
-0.47%
84%
1.15%
81%
1.78%

2018
500
825
570
401
662
364
366
563
425
560
329
429
694
439
339
515
351
479
387
479

649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%

11211

11372

11504

238

161

132

212

232

220

332

2.17%

1.44%

1.16%

1.84%

1.98%

1.84%

2.73%

614

92%

431
515
613
11716

94%

395
430
520
618
11948

96%

778

2017
Capacity

557

389

762

2016
Capacity

27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%

508

745

2015
Capacity

395
428
526
629
12168

98%

810
400
434
538
641
12500

2018
Capacity
102%
2.46%
130%
3.13%
116%
2.15%
82%
2.56%
135%
2.80%
78%
2.82%
71%
4.27%
115%
3.11%
79%
7.59%
109%
2.00%
78%
3.79%
96%
4.13%
128%
3.12%
93%
2.09%
115%
3.04%
110%
2.79%
93%
0.86%
93%
1.27%
82%
1.31%
120%
1.70%
125%
4.11%
89%
1.27%
98%
1.40%
86%
2.28%
83%
1.91%
100%

Planning Department

Mid-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018

SECONDARY SCHOOLS
Altona Middle

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

840

636

840

852

720

555

711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%

756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221

Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High

Expansion in 2013

896

756

1100

834

Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High
Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle (5-8 in 2014)
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8

New Facility in 2012

1450

1201

630

419

563

440

390

398

825

667

1325

1295

1275

1036

1456

1234

660

581

300

2013
Capacity
90%

2014
778

92%

732

98%

778

86%

808

89%

1016

82%

1186

69%

483

72%

410

107%

423
822

99%

1305

89%

1166

94%

1404

92%

618
264

(Former Fred. El. Portion of Coal Rdg)

Timberline 6-8

450

413

840

649

720

619

15280
12369

12585
216

(Former Heritage)

Trail Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Westview Middle
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%

358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%

13084
499
3.97%

13583
499
3.81%

349
78%

657

101%

764
13963

2014
Capacity
93%
2.91%
87%
-5.06%
108%
10.04%
90%
4.26%
92%
3.99%
82%
-0.50%
77%
11.81%
73%
1.23%
108%
1.44%
100%
5.93%
98%
-0.61%
91%
3.28%
96%
3.08%
94%
1.64%

88%

2015
796
769
821
862
1044
1205
506
416
431
863
1311
1181
1429
633
282

19.46%
78%
-2.51%
78%
0.00%
106%
5.09%

665

91%

14332

349

769

2015
Capacity
95%
2.31%
92%
5.05%
114%
5.53%
96%
6.68%
95%
2.76%
83%
1.60%
80%
4.76%
74%
1.46%
111%
1.89%
105%
4.99%
99%
0.46%
93%
1.29%
98%
1.78%
96%
2.43%

94%

2016
800
784
846
895
1075
1210
521
423
446
893
1322
1189
1442
639
288

6.82%
78%
0.00%
79%
1.22%
107%
0.65%

678

94%

14582

359

772

2016
Capacity
95%
0.50%
93%
1.95%
118%
3.05%
100%
3.83%
98%
2.97%
83%
0.41%
83%
2.96%
75%
1.68%
114%
3.48%
108%
3.48%
100%
0.84%
93%
0.68%
99%
0.91%
97%
0.95%

96%

2017
805
807
862
938
1104
1213
539
426
456
913
1325
1193
1454
650
296

2.13%
80%
2.87%
81%
1.95%
107%
0.39%

688

95%

14809

366

774

2017
Capacity
96%
0.63%
96%
2.93%
120%
1.89%
105%
4.80%
100%
2.70%
84%
0.25%
86%
3.45%
76%
0.71%
117%
2.24%
111%
2.24%
100%
0.23%
94%
0.34%
100%
0.83%
98%
1.72%

99%

2018
815
835
882
981
1142
1219
566
436
469
936
1336
1213
1481
663
306

2.78%
81%
1.95%
82%
1.47%
108%
0.26%

700

97%

15132

372

780

380

369

250

227

323

2.80%

2.64%

1.74%

1.56%

2.18%

2018
Capacity
97%
1.24%
99%
3.47%
123%
2.32%
109%
4.58%
104%
3.44%
84%
0.49%
90%
5.01%
77%
2.35%
120%
2.85%
113%
2.52%
101%
0.83%
95%
1.68%
102%
1.86%
100%
2.00%

102%
3.38%
83%
1.64%
83%
1.74%
108%
0.78%
99%

Planning Department

Mid-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
Est.
Capacity

CHARTER SCHOOLS
Aspen Ridge Charter

2012

2013

178

203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%

262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%

2995
417

3220
225
7.51%

3281
61
1.89%

3387
106
3.23%

13216
6050
7287
640

13594
6364
7557
926

13782
6687
7767
959

13944
6756

Growth rate
Carbon Valley K-5

261

Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori K-8
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate

45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342

SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

2578

Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
ALTERNATIVES

Mid-Level

2014

2014
Capacity

315

2015
320

20.23%

239
-4.78%

-1.29%

255
-3.77%

475
-0.41%

142
0.00%

196

242

598

620
-3.70%

502

2013
Capacity

2014
Capacity

14238
7172

8145
1062

2015
Capacity

1.57%

660
12.73%

14493
7362

8280
1094

2016
Capacity

14773
7538

8396
1136

280
176
116

2017
Capacity

15165
7737

1383
1050
803

8570
1172

2018
Capacity

26494
CHANGE

27193
699

28441
1248

29195
754

29905
710

30617
712

31229
612

31843
614

32644
801

Growth rate

2.64%

4.59%

2.65%

282

1023

693

2.43%
604

2.38%
592

2.00%
514

1.97%
489

2.52%
691

106

PR-Sped:

29761.2
29792.5
29823.7

30346.4
30378.2
30410.1

31109.7
31142.4
31175.0

300

Old Col.:

0.953
0.954
0.955

28499.5
28529.4
28559.3

105

Options:

29178.0
29208.6
29239.2

2017

6.06%

3840
110
2.95%

2013

Global Online:

2016

6.45%

3730
125
3.47%
255
190
135

1.55%

700

2012

Alternative Programs 2013:

2015

294
416
-9

3.85%

655

2011

District Growth W/O Charters

2014

162
69
387

270

645

3605
98
2.79%

0.00%

4.00%

2.42%

9.56%

2.08%

150

260

620

3507
120
3.54%

490

7.14%

3.31%

3.68%

1.89%

4.35%

150

635

550
18.68%

480

250

0.80%

270
1.92%

7.69%

23.47%

10.00%

630
0.81%

-3.16%

-8.45%

12.64%

25.00%

0.00%

140

1.96%

55

265

460

130

2.00%

0.00%

-1.04%

5.88%

260

625

260
1.96%

360

50
-11.11%

1.31%

260

480

2.04%

620

2018
Capacity

2018

3.03%

255

40
-6.25%

2017
Capacity

340

250

620

2017

3.13%

2.51%

17.07%

2016
Capacity

330

45

612

2016

1.59%

245

48

8154
1051

2015
Capacity

2010

GRAND TOTAL

Possible FTE at 95.3
Possible FTE at 95.4
Possible FTE at 95.5

2013
Capacity

2011

2018

540

Planning Department

Low-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
CHARTER SCHOOLS
Alpine

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

490

475

637

602

490

490

490

414

490

519

466

395

515

327

490

508

539

325

515

450

423

376

447

429

541

504

470

421

294

282

470

456

376

340

517

444

470

343

400

409

482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%

478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%

650

436

Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt

447

368

441

397

625

517

775

746

12468
10954

10973
19

Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate
Thunder Valley K-5
(Former Freder Elem)

Timberline K-5
(Former Spangler- Loma Linda)

SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

2013
Capacity
98%

2014
467

112%

740
531

76%

371
586

71%

336

66%

331

105%

513

63%

340

103%

535

73%

308

84%

379

108%

608

91%

425

105%

311

101%

450

103%

332

90%

463

74%

363

100%

422

100%

700

84%

378

95%

430

2014
Capacity
95%
-2.26%
116%
3.43%
108%
0.91%
76%
-0.33%
120%
3.80%
72%
0.89%
64%
-2.36%
105%
-0.02%
63%
-0.60%
104%
0.33%
73%
-0.28%
85%
1.26%
112%
4.34%
91%
-0.60%
106%
1.01%
96%
-5.60%
88%
-14.65%
90%
-0.81%
77%
4.86%
106%
5.35%
108%
7.82%
85%
0.19%
98%
3.21%
81%
-3.45%
79%
0.38%

2015
471
751
527
375
609
341
337
515
349
537
306
388
626
423
314
461
336
456
362
430

96%
0.88%
118%
1.53%
107%
-0.79%
77%
1.26%
124%
3.78%
73%
1.45%
65%
1.78%
105%
0.36%
65%
2.59%
104%
0.50%
72%
-0.60%
87%
2.53%
116%
2.97%
90%
-0.60%
107%
0.98%
98%
2.47%
89%
1.18%
88%
-1.46%
77%
-0.33%
107%
1.74%
113%
5.19%
86%
1.75%
97%
-1.06%
81%
0.77%
78%
-0.77%

2016
475
773
537
379
619
343
335
524
363
543
310
395
643
419
318
475
338
461
372
445

97%
0.75%
121%
2.90%
110%
1.92%
77%
1.06%
126%
1.76%
74%
0.65%
65%
-0.51%
107%
1.79%
67%
4.00%
105%
0.96%
73%
1.10%
88%
1.77%
119%
2.63%
89%
-0.97%
108%
1.37%
101%
2.90%
90%
0.66%
89%
1.00%
79%
2.76%
111%
3.61%
115%
1.76%
87%
1.03%
96%
-0.74%
82%
0.46%
78%
0.31%

2017
477
782
546
382
630
346
343
534
386
537
310
403
658
421
322
490
340
463
374
461

97%
0.52%
123%
1.26%
111%
1.68%
78%
0.78%
129%
1.70%
74%
0.92%
67%
2.41%
109%
1.92%
72%
6.50%
104%
-1.05%
73%
0.12%
90%
1.97%
122%
2.38%
89%
0.43%
109%
1.03%
104%
3.20%
91%
0.65%
89%
0.34%
79%
0.54%
115%
3.44%
117%
1.58%
86%
-0.51%
95%
-0.97%
82%
0.64%
79%
1.26%

2018
486
802
554
390
643
354
356
547
413
544
320
417
674
427
329
500
341
465
376
465

649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%

11211

11372

11435

238

161

63

140

169

155

247

2.17%

1.44%

0.55%

1.23%

1.46%

1.32%

2.08%

610

92%

426
509
606
11575

93%

388
423
511
607
11745

94%

761

2017
Capacity

557

384

749

2016
Capacity

27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%

505

736

2015
Capacity

386
419
514
615
11900

95%

787
389
422
523
623
12148

2018
Capacity
99%
1.81%
126%
2.47%
113%
1.50%
80%
1.91%
131%
2.14%
76%
2.17%
69%
3.61%
112%
2.46%
77%
6.91%
106%
1.36%
76%
3.13%
93%
3.47%
125%
2.47%
91%
1.45%
112%
2.39%
106%
2.14%
91%
0.22%
90%
0.63%
80%
0.67%
116%
1.05%
121%
3.45%
87%
0.62%
96%
0.76%
84%
1.63%
80%
1.26%
97%

Planning Department

Low-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
SECONDARY SCHOOLS
Altona Middle

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

840

636

840

852

720

555

711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%

756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221

Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High

Expansion in 2013

896

756

1100

834

Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High

New Facility in 2012

1450

1201

630

419

563

440

364

398

825

667

1325

1295

1275

1036

1456

1234

660

581

Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8

300

2013
Capacity
90%

2014
773

92%

728

98%

773

86%

803

89%

1010

82%

1179

69%

480

72%

408

115%

420
817

99%

1297

89%

1159

94%

1396

92%

614
262

(Former Fred. El. Portion of Coal Rdg)

Timberline 6-8

450

413

840

649

720

619

15254

12585
216

(Former Heritage)

Trail Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Westview Middle
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%

358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%

13084
499
3.97%

13583
499
3.81%

347
78%

653

101%

759
13879

2014
Capacity
92%
2.29%
87%
-5.63%
107%
9.38%
90%
3.63%
92%
3.37%
81%
-1.10%
76%
11.13%
72%
0.63%
116%
0.83%
99%
5.29%
98%
-1.21%
91%
2.66%
96%
2.47%
93%
1.03%
87%
18.74%
77%
-3.10%
78%
-0.60%
105%
4.46%
91%

2015
786
760
811
852
1031
1191
500
411
426
853
1295
1167
1412
625
279
345
657
760
14160

2015
Capacity
94%
1.70%
90%
4.42%
113%
4.89%
95%
6.04%
94%
2.14%
82%
0.99%
79%
4.13%
73%
0.85%
117%
1.28%
103%
4.35%
98%
-0.15%
92%
0.68%
97%
1.17%
95%
1.81%
93%
6.17%
77%
-0.60%
78%
0.61%
106%
0.05%
93%

2016
786
771
832
880
1057
1189
512
416
438
878
1300
1169
1417
628
283
353
666
759
14334

2016
Capacity
94%
-0.01%
92%
1.43%
116%
2.52%
98%
3.30%
96%
2.45%
82%
-0.09%
81%
2.44%
74%
1.17%
120%
2.96%
106%
2.95%
98%
0.33%
92%
0.17%
97%
0.40%
95%
0.44%
94%
1.61%
78%
2.34%
79%
1.44%
105%
-0.12%
94%

2017
787
789
843
917
1080
1186
527
417
446
893
1296
1167
1422
636
289
358
673
757
14483

2017
Capacity
94%
0.11%
94%
2.41%
117%
1.37%
102%
4.27%
98%
2.18%
82%
-0.26%
84%
2.93%
74%
0.20%
123%
1.72%
108%
1.72%
98%
-0.28%
92%
-0.17%
98%
0.32%
96%
1.20%
96%
2.26%
80%
1.43%
80%
0.96%
105%
-0.25%
95%

2018
792
811
857
953
1110
1185
550
424
456
910
1298
1179
1439
644
297
362
680
758
14705

296

281

174

149

222

2.18%

2.02%

1.23%

1.04%

1.53%

2018
Capacity
94%
0.60%
97%
2.81%
119%
1.67%
106%
3.92%
101%
2.79%
82%
-0.14%
87%
4.34%
75%
1.70%
125%
2.20%
110%
1.87%
98%
0.19%
92%
1.03%
99%
1.21%
98%
1.35%
99%
2.72%
80%
1.00%
81%
1.10%
105%
0.14%
96%

Planning Department

Low-Level for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
CHARTER SCHOOLS

2013
Capacity

203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%

262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%

2995
417

3220
225
7.51%

3281
61
1.89%

3367
86
2.61%

13216
6050
7287
640

13594
6364
7557
926

13782
6687
7767
959

13860
6915

2010

2011

2012

2013

26494
CHANGE

27193
699

28441
1248

29195
754

29726
531

30250
524

30698
449

31142
444

31723
581

Growth rate

2.64%

4.59%

2.65%

282

1023

693

1.82%
445

1.76%
426

1.48%
370

1.45%
340

1.87%
497

105

PR-Sped:

29255.3
29286.0
29316.7
0.983

29678.8
29709.9
29741.0
0.978

30232.4
30264.2
30295.9
0.9718

261

Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL

45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342
0

CHANGE
Growth rate
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
ALTERNATIVES

Low-Level

GRAND TOTAL

District Growth W/O Charters
Alternative Programs 2013:

Global Online:

Possible FTE at 95.3
Possible FTE at 95.4
Possible FTE at 95.5
Note: some rounding on Low and High level projections)

19.51%

238

0.97%

242
-5.35%

48

44

608
-1.88%

0.70%

-4.35%
-1.01%
-0.60%

195

239

594

613
-4.28%

499

298

0.953
0.954
0.955

2014

Old Col.:

28328.5
28358.2
28387.9
0.994

78
228
138

2014
Capacity

104

14067
7086

8047
1049
2015

Options:

28827.9
28858.1
28888.4
0.988

207
171
142

2015
Capacity

14247
7237

8139
1075
2016

262

645

2016
Capacity

0.91%

680
5.91%

3648
104
2.94%
179
151
92

3.19%

637
1.06%

12.16%

3544
79
2.27%

-0.63%

3.47%

631

609

3465
98
2.92%

6.60%

1.90%

8.90%

1.44%

146

254

624

543

3.82%

2.78%

3.05%

17.96%

2013
Capacity

246

1.24%

476

147
7.15%

22.72%

0.16%

262
1.40%

-3.65%

-9.00%

11.97%

0.29%

469

138

9.30%

612

259
-0.51%

-1.64%

128

1.31%

53

611

452

5.21%

24.36%

-0.51%

1.35%

469

141

49

256

14448
7373

8211
1111
2017

2018
Capacity

253
1.48%

-11.56%

609

257

477

7905
1045

39

2018
350

2.51%

249
1.52%

-6.82%

613

253

2.60%

246
1.89%

16.37%

2017
333

2017
Capacity

178

Carbon Valley K-5

2016
324

2016
Capacity

2013

Growth rate

2015
316

2015
Capacity

2012

Aspen Ridge Charter

2014
313

2014
Capacity

2011

5.39%

3732
84
2.30%
201
136
72

2017
Capacity

14737
7519

8328
1139
2018

955
832
561

2018
Capacity

537

Planning Department

High-Level Draft for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
CHARTER SCHOOLS
Alpine

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

490

475

637

602

490

490

490

414

490

519

466

395

515

327

490

508

539

325

515

450

423

376

447

429

541

504

470

421

294

282

470

456

376

340

517

444

470

343

400

409

482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%

478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%

650

436

Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt

447

368

441

397

Thunder Valley K-5

625

517

Timberline K-5

775

746

12468

10973
19

Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate

SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

2013
Capacity
98%

2014
473

112%

749
537

76%

375
594

71%

340

66%

335

105%

519

63%

344

103%

541

73%

312

84%

383

108%

616

91%

431

105%

315

101%

456

103%

336

90%

469

74%

367

100%

428

100%

708

84%

382

95%

436

2014
Capacity
97%
-1.06%
118%
4.70%
110%
2.15%
77%
0.89%
121%
5.07%
73%
2.13%
65%
-1.16%
106%
1.21%
64%
0.62%
105%
1.56%
74%
0.95%
86%
2.50%
114%
5.63%
92%
0.62%
107%
2.25%
97%
-4.44%
89%
-13.61%
91%
0.40%
78%
6.15%
107%
6.64%
109%
9.15%
86%
1.42%
99%
4.48%
82%
-2.27%
80%
1.61%

2015
483
770
540
385
624
349
345
528
358
551
314
398
642
434
322
473
344
468
371
441

99%
2.18%
121%
2.84%
110%
0.49%
79%
2.57%
127%
5.11%
75%
2.76%
67%
3.09%
108%
1.65%
66%
3.91%
107%
1.80%
74%
0.68%
89%
3.85%
119%
4.29%
92%
0.68%
110%
2.28%
101%
3.79%
92%
2.48%
91%
-0.19%
79%
0.95%
110%
3.04%
116%
6.54%
88%
3.06%
99%
0.21%
83%
2.06%
80%
0.51%

2016
493
802
557
394
643
356
348
544
376
563
321
410
667
435
330
493
351
478
386
462

101%
1.96%
126%
4.14%
114%
3.15%
80%
2.28%
131%
2.98%
76%
1.86%
68%
0.69%
111%
3.01%
70%
5.25%
109%
2.17%
76%
2.32%
92%
3.00%
123%
3.87%
92%
0.22%
112%
2.59%
105%
4.14%
93%
1.88%
93%
2.22%
82%
3.99%
116%
4.86%
120%
2.99%
90%
2.24%
99%
0.46%
85%
1.67%
81%
1.51%

2017
501
822
573
402
661
364
360
561
406
564
326
423
691
442
338
515
357
486
392
484

102%
1.73%
129%
2.48%
117%
2.90%
82%
1.99%
135%
2.92%
78%
2.13%
70%
3.64%
114%
3.14%
75%
7.78%
109%
0.14%
77%
1.33%
95%
3.19%
128%
3.61%
94%
1.63%
115%
2.24%
109%
4.44%
95%
1.86%
94%
1.55%
83%
1.75%
121%
4.69%
123%
2.80%
91%
0.69%
100%
0.22%
86%
1.85%
83%
2.48%

2018
518
855
591
415
686
377
379
583
440
580
341
444
719
455
351
534
364
496
401
496

649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%

11211

11372

11575

238

161

203

293

319

310

453

2.17%

1.44%

1.79%

2.53%

2.68%

2.54%

3.63%

618

93%

437
522
621
11868

95%

403
439
530
630
12187

98%

799

2017
Capacity

557

394

777

2016
Capacity

27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%

511

755

2015
Capacity

406
440
540
646
12497

100%

839
414
450
557
664
12950

2018
Capacity
106%
3.36%
134%
4.03%
121%
3.05%
85%
3.46%
140%
3.70%
81%
3.73%
74%
5.19%
119%
4.02%
82%
8.54%
113%
2.90%
81%
4.70%
99%
5.04%
133%
4.02%
97%
2.99%
119%
3.94%
114%
3.70%
97%
1.75%
96%
2.16%
85%
2.20%
124%
2.59%
129%
5.03%
93%
2.15%
102%
2.29%
89%
3.18%
86%
2.80%
104%

Planning Department

High-Level Draft for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
SECONDARY SCHOOLS
Altona Middle

Est.
Capacity

2011

2012

2013

840

636

840

852

720

555

711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%

756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221

Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High

Expansion in 2013

896

756

1100

834

Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High

New Facility in 2012

1450

1201

630

419

563

440

364

398

825

667

1325

1295

1275

1036

1456

1234

660

581

Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8

300

2013
Capacity
90%

2014
783

92%

737

98%

783

86%

813

89%

1022

82%

1193

69%

486

72%

413

115%

426
827

99%

1313

89%

1173

94%

1413

92%

622
266

(Former Fred. El. Portion of Coal Rdg)

Timberline 6-8

450

413

840

649

720

619

15254

12585
216

(Former Heritage)

Trail Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Westview Middle
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate

414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%

358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%

13084
499
3.97%

13583
499
3.81%

351
78%

661

101%

769
14050

2014
Capacity
93%
3.55%
88%
-4.47%
109%
10.72%
91%
4.90%
93%
4.64%
82%
0.11%
77%
12.50%
73%
1.86%
117%
2.07%
100%
6.58%
99%
0.01%
92%
3.92%
97%
3.72%
94%
2.27%
89%
20.20%
78%
-1.91%
79%
0.62%
107%
5.74%
92%

2015
806
779
832
873
1058
1221
513
421
437
874
1328
1196
1448
641
286
354
674
779
14518

2015
Capacity
96%
3.01%
93%
5.76%
116%
6.24%
97%
7.40%
96%
3.45%
84%
2.29%
81%
5.47%
75%
2.15%
120%
2.58%
106%
5.70%
100%
1.14%
94%
1.97%
99%
2.47%
97%
3.12%
95%
7.54%
79%
0.68%
80%
1.90%
108%
1.33%
95%

2016
816
800
863
913
1097
1234
531
431
455
911
1348
1213
1471
652
294
366
692
787
14874

2016
Capacity
97%
1.20%
95%
2.66%
120%
3.76%
102%
4.55%
100%
3.68%
85%
1.11%
84%
3.68%
77%
2.39%
125%
4.20%
110%
4.19%
102%
1.54%
95%
1.37%
101%
1.61%
99%
1.65%
98%
2.83%
81%
3.58%
82%
2.66%
109%
1.08%
98%

2017
827
829
885
963
1134
1246
554
438
468
938
1361
1225
1493
668
304
376
707
795
15209

2017
Capacity
98%
1.32%
99%
3.64%
123%
2.59%
108%
5.52%
103%
3.40%
86%
0.94%
88%
4.16%
78%
1.40%
129%
2.94%
114%
2.94%
103%
0.91%
96%
1.03%
103%
1.52%
101%
2.42%
101%
3.48%
84%
2.65%
84%
2.17%
110%
0.95%
100%

2018
844
865
914
1016
1183
1263
586
452
486
970
1384
1257
1534
687
317
385
725
808
15677

467

469

355

335

468

3.43%

3.34%

2.45%

2.25%

3.08%

2018
Capacity
101%
2.13%
103%
4.38%
127%
3.22%
113%
5.50%
108%
4.35%
87%
1.38%
93%
5.93%
80%
3.24%
133%
3.75%
118%
3.42%
104%
1.71%
99%
2.57%
105%
2.75%
104%
2.89%
106%
4.28%
86%
2.53%
86%
2.64%
112%
1.66%
103%

Planning Department

High-Level Draft for Board of Education

Enrollment Projections 2014-2018
Est.
Capacity

CHARTER SCHOOLS

2013
Capacity

203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%

262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%

2995
417

3220
225
7.51%

3281
61
1.89%

3408
127
3.87%

13216
6050
7287
640

13594
6364
7557
926

13782
6687
7767
959

14030
7000

2010

2011

2012

2013

26494
CHANGE

27193
699

28441
1248

29195
754

30090
895

31015
925

31854
839

32703
849

33819
1116

Growth rate

2.64%

4.59%

2.65%

282

1023

693

3.07%
768

3.07%
780

2.70%
714

2.67%
696

3.41%
969

107

PR-Sped:

30356.5
30388.3
30420.2
1.02

31165.7
31198.4
31231.1
1.027

32229.7
32263.5
32297.3
1.036

261

Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL

45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342
0

CHANGE
Growth rate
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection

ALTERNATIVES

High-Level

GRAND TOTAL

District Growth W/O Charters
Alternative Programs 2013:

Global Online:

Possible FTE at 95.3
Possible FTE at 95.4
Possible FTE at 95.5
Note: some rounding on Low and High level projections)1.0062

20.97%

240
-4.19%

48

46

616
-0.68%

1.99%

-3.18%
0.20%
0.62%

197

245

602

628
-3.11%

505

302

2014

Old Col.:

28676.2
28706.3
28736.3
1.0062

248
313
235

2014
Capacity

106

14423
7266

8250
1076
2015

Options:

29557.3
29588.3
29619.3
1.013

393
266
248

2015
Capacity

14783
7509

8445
1116
2016

280

678

2016
Capacity

2.44%

725
7.18%

3831
154
4.18%
360
244
195

4.76%

679
2.27%

13.51%

3677
125
3.50%

0.88%

4.71%

662

632

3553
145
4.24%

7.88%

3.13%

10.30%

2.98%

155

267

648

557

5.06%

4.02%

4.38%

19.41%

2013
Capacity

255

2.78%

508

154
8.44%

24.30%

1.68%

280
2.62%

-2.49%

-7.83%

13.34%

1.50%

493

143

10.96%

653

272
0.69%

-0.37%

132

2.85%

57

642

469

6.81%

25.86%

0.69%

2.65%

481

143

51

265

15172
7742

8622
1167
2017

2018
Capacity

269
2.70%

-10.50%

632

263

483

8002
1058

41

2018
373

3.74%

262
2.75%

-5.62%

628

257

3.84%

255
3.20%

17.80%

0.953
0.954
0.955
1.0062

2.27%

248

2017
349

2017
Capacity

178

Carbon Valley K-5

2016
337

2016
Capacity

2013

Growth rate

2015
324

2015
Capacity

2012

Aspen Ridge Charter

2014
317

2014
Capacity

2011

6.99%

3978
148
3.85%
389
232
177

2017
Capacity

15711
8016

8878
1214
2018

1929
1329
1111

2018
Capacity

543

Planning Department

Enrollment Projections for St. Vrain Valley School District 2013-2017
Total Enrollment

Low
Mid
High

Enrollment Growth

Low
Mid
High

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

26494
26494
26494

27193
27193
27193

28441
28441
28441

29195
29195
29195

29726
29905
30090

30250
30617
31015

30698
31229
31854

31142
31843
32703

31723
32644
33819

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

1063
1063
1063

699
699
699

1248
1248
1248

754
754
754

531
710
895

524
712
925

449
612
839

444
614
849

581
801
1116

Total Enrollment Growth to 2017

34000

33819
32644

33000
32000
31000
30000

29195
28441

29000
28000
27000

31723

30090
29905
29726

27193
26494
High

26000

Mid

25000

Low

24000
2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Yearly Change in Enrollment to 2017
1400

1200

1248
1116

1063

1000

895

800

754

699

710

925

531

400

849

612

614

801

712

754

600

839

581

524
449

444

High
Mid

200

Low
0
2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2010
12900
5889
7112

Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection

2011
13216
6050
7287

2012
13594
6364
7557

2013
13913
6447
7899

2014
14221
6890
7862

2015
14428
7133
8002

2016
14708
7402
8159

16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
Elementary Projection

4000

Middle Projection

2000

High School Projection

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2017
15060
7626
8365

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