NATIONAL POLL ON

MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS
May 2-4, 2014
N=1,595 Likely 2014 Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.5%
#140405
Conducted on behalf of:
2
32%
42%
68%
56%
Total Total
Right Direction
Now, generally speaking, would you say
that things in the country are going in
the right direction, or have they pretty
seriously gotten off on the wrong track?
NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK. OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL IS INVERTED. ALL-IN-ALL A PESSIMISTIC
ELECTORATE.
And, do you approve or
disapprove of the job Barack
Obama is doing as President?
Wrong Track Approve Disapprove
3
58% 58%
53%
62%
56%
51%
58%
68%
42% 42%
47%
38%
44%
49%
42%
32%
Total DEM
(37%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(33%)
Age 18-29
(17%)
Age 30-44
(24%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+
(21%)
MAJORITIES ACROSS PARTY LINES CALL FOREIGN
POLICY “TOP” OR “ONE OF THE TOP” PRIORITIES.
SENIORS ESPECIALLY INCLINED TO HIGHLIGHT.
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Total By Party
Thinking about the same list of issues, how high of a priority do you think
Foreign Policy should be for the federal government over the next six months before
the 2014 Congressional elections? Should it be…
The top priority, One of the top priorities, A mid-level priority, …or… Not a priority?
By Age
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
Top/
One
Of
Top
Mid/
Not
4
51%
39%
47%
68%
44%
39%
55%
64%
9%
14%
8%
5%
17%
14%
6%
5%
Total DEM
(37%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(33%)
Age 18-29
(17%)
Age 30-44
(24%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+
(21%)
AND, MAJORITY SAY AMERICA SHOULD BE A
SUPPORTER OF ISRAEL. STRONGEST DRIVERS OF
SUPPORT ARE SENIORS AND GOP.
Isr. Pal.
Total By Party
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the
Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be...
A strong supporter of Israel, A supporter of Israel,
A supporter of the Palestinians, or A strong supporter of the Palestinians?
By Age
Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr.
27%
Strng
17%
Strng
24%
Strng
42%
Strng
24%
Strng
22%
Strng
28%
Strng
35%
Strng
THE ISRAELI AND PALESTINIAN
NARRATIVES
6
46%
37%
41%
60%
35%
41%
48%
57%
18%
23%
19%
13%
32%
20%
15%
12%
Total DEM
(37%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(33%)
Age 18-29
(17%)
Age 30-44
(24%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+
(21%)
VOTERS AGREE THAT ISRAEL CANNOT BE EXPECTED
TO NEGOTIATE WITH A GROUP THAT DOES NOT
RECOGNIZE ITS RIGHT TO EXIST.
Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate
with a government or party that does not
recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it.
…or…
The Palestinians say that a unity government of all
Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace.
Isr.
Total By Party By Age
Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Pal. Pal.
As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity
government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…
Pal.
7
46%
66%
18%
34%
Total Total
w/Leaners
WHEN UNDECIDEDS ARE PUSHED FOR AN ANSWER,
FULLY TWO-THIRDS OF AMERICANS SIDE WITH
ISRAEL.
Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate
with a government or party that does not
recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it.
…or…
The Palestinians say that a unity government of all
Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace.
Israel
Total
As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity
government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…
Total With “Leaners”
Palestinians Israel Palestinians
8
CURRENT STATEMENTS ABOUT WHO DESERVES THE
BLAME FOR THE CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS…
Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks
between the Israelis and the Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the
other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which side you agree with more,
even if neither is entirely right…
Israel says that it can no longer negotiate with the Palestinian Authority now that
they are forming a unity government with Hamas. Prime Minister Netanyahu has
said, “Does he (Abbas) want peace with Hamas or peace with Israel? You can have
one but not the other. I hope he chooses peace.” Israel points out that Hamas is a
designated terrorist organization by the U.S. and many other countries, continues to
deny the holocaust, and actively calls for the destruction of Israel.
…or…
The Palestinian Authority spokesperson for President Abbas says, “The choice of
unifying the Palestinian people enforces peace, and there is no contradiction
whatsoever between reconciliation and negotiations.” The Palestinians declare that
Israel which has stolen their land, destroyed their economy, and has pushed young
Palestinians to become freedom fighters. Israel should return to the table and
negotiate with the entire Palestinian people, including Hamas.
9
48%
39%
42%
65%
40%
42%
50%
58%
20%
26%
19%
14%
32%
24%
17%
11%
Total DEM
(37%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(33%)
Age 18-29
(17%)
Age 30-44
(24%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+
(21%)
BETTER THAN TWO-TO-ONE AGREEMENT WITH
ISRAEL’S POSITION ON CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS.
Isr. Pal.
Total By Party
Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the
Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which
side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…
By Age
Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Pal. Pal.
Israeli Statement …or… Palestinian Statement
10
48%
67%
20%
33%
Total Total
w/Leaners
UNDECIDEDS BREAK TWO-TO-ONE FOR ISRAELI
STATEMENT, TOTAL OF TWO THIRDS SUPPORTING
ISRAEL’S POSITION.
Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the
Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which
side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right…
Israeli Statement …or… Palestinian Statement
Total Total With “Leaners”
Israel Palestinians Israel Palestinians
IMAGES OF
MIDDLE EAST ACTORS
12
49%
25%
23%
20%
19%
16%
10%
9%
7%
6%
5%
27%
39%
38%
54%
53%
47%
70%
54%
73%
68%
57%
Israel Turkey Jordan Saudi
Arabia
Egypt Lebanon Iraq The
Palestinian
Authority
Iran Syria Hamas
ISRAEL STANDS ALONE IN THE MIDDLE EAST AS
LEAVING A FAVORABLE IMPRESSION ON U.S. VOTERS.
Fav
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active
in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable,
Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable
opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below.
Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf
13
40%
43%
11%
6%
41%
24%
52%
46%
Total Total Total Total
MAHMOUD ABBAS AND ISMAIL HANIYEH HAVE
DRAMATICALLY NEGATIVE IMAGES WITH U.S. VOTERS
WHEN IDENTIFIED BY TITLE.
Favorable
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active
in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable,
Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable
opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below.
U.S. Secretary of
State J ohn Kerry
Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu
Palestinian
Authority President
Mahmoud Abbas
Hamas Prime Minister
Ismail Haniyeh
Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav
Conducted on behalf of:

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