Input

No. of Variables
No. of Observations
Dependent
94.20
46.26
33.67
69.79
58.00
22.91
79.94
24.33
5.72
53.25
44.33
46.00
24.49
38.83
19.80
21.17
22.00
23.00
39.83
64.21

Indep1
103.63
52.06
43.12
70.95
67.98
28.23
89.26
31.88
9.15
56.30
51.74
51.41
33.98
43.20
25.22
28.18
28.72
27.74
40.47
67.30

Indep2
60.14
10.93
18.97
47.55
30.07
17.13
59.46
-0.88
-27.06
44.46
21.47
19.79
-2.75
2.04
-16.86
12.33
-17.54
-11.43
36.39
49.12

Indep3
45.08
7.14
40.19
40.57
42.06
85.04
97.38
54.63
20.33
77.93
12.79
14.35
95.47
58.81
4.07
7.43
19.94
20.19
70.21
49.64

Page 1

Input

Page 2

Input

Page 3

Input
4
20

Page 4

Input

Page 5

Input

Page 6

Input
0

Page 7

Input

Page 8

Input

Page 9

Input

Page 10

Input

Page 11

Input

Page 12

Input

Page 13

Input

Page 14

Input

Page 15

Input

Page 16

Input

Page 17

Input

Page 18

Input

20

10

0.91

Actual
Predicted Residual e^2
(e-et-1)^2
94.2
94.86
0.65
46.26
45.41
-0.85
0.72
2.26
33.67
38.05
4.37
19.14
27.3
69.79
65.42
-4.37
19.13
76.54
58
60.66
2.66
7.1
49.55
22.91
24.09
1.18
1.4
2.2
79.94
81.34
1.41
1.98
0.05
24.33
25.63
1.3
1.69
0.01
5.72
3.66
-2.06
4.24
11.29
53.25
51.69
-1.57
2.46
0.24
44.33
46.33
2
3.99
12.71
46
45.8
-0.2
0.04
4.83
24.49
26.31
1.82
3.32
4.09
38.83
35.6
-3.23
10.45
25.56
19.8
19.04
-0.76
0.58
6.12
21.17
25.14
3.97
15.79
22.39
22
21.61
-0.39
0.16
19.07
23
21.52
-1.48
2.18
1.18
39.83
37.29
-2.54
6.44
1.12
64.21
62.29
-1.92
3.7
0.38

Page 19

2.55 d
1 dl
1.68 du

0 Positive Autocorrelation dete
1 Positive Autocorrelation may
1.68 No Autocorrelation detected
2.32 Negative Autocorrelation ma
3 Negative Autocorrelation de
4 Negative Autocorrelation de

4
Negative Autocorrelation ma

Input

104.51

266.9

Page 20

Input

Page 21

Input

Positive Autocorrelation detected
Positive Autocorrelation maybe present
No Autocorrelation detected
Negative Autocorrelation maybe present
Negative Autocorrelation detected
Negative Autocorrelation detected

Negative Autocorrelation maybe present

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Input

Page 23

Input

Page 24

Output

Equation Parameters

Intercept
Indep1
Indep2
Indep3

Independent Analysis

Coefficients

Standard Error

-0.357
0.856
0.125
-0.022

2.290
0.055
0.053
0.022

=

R Squared

98.57%
81.60%
7.59%

Gradient

Dl=1.20 Du=1.41

Intercept

0.97
0.79
0.21

Auto
Correlation

-4.60
27.66
32.57

Tests for Multicolinearity between Independent Variables

DW-Stat

Adjusted RSquared against
other Indep

2.43
1.90
1.71

76.97%
79.68%
14.43%

0.86*Indep1 + 0.12*Indep2 + -0.02*Indep3 + -0.36 (+/- 2.56)

Independent R-Square Matrix
100%

78%

8%

Indep1

78%

100%

19%

Indep2

8%

19%

100%

Indep3

Actual versus Predicted
Trend R-Squared Matrix

100

f(x) = 0.99x + 0.44
R² = 0.99

90
80

Predicted

Step 2 - Forecasting

Independent Variable
Indep1
Indep2
Indep3

70
60

Linear

Multiple Regression Equation

Exponential

498.8907

2nd Ord
Polynomial

2.5609

F - Statistic

3rd Ord
Polynomial

Standard Error

98.94% of the change in can be explained by the change in the 3 Independent Variables
Adjusted for Sample Size bias
2.55384
Durbin-Watson Statistic
Critical D-W Values: Lower (Dl)=1.00; Upper (Du)=1.68
to +/- on result of Regression Equation
Therefore Negative Autocorrelation maybe present at 95% Confidence
Therefore analysis IS Significant
3.12735
Critical F-Statistic at 95% Confidence
(Significance holds to 100.0% Level of Confidence)

Indep3

0.9874

Indep2

0.9894

Adjusted R Square

Indep1

R Square

33%
31%
18%

33%
22%
3%

11%
###
2%

20%
10%
1%

50
40
30
20
10
10

20

30

40

50

Actual

60

70

80

90

100
Number of Periods to Forecast

10

Choose Method
Linear
Linear
Linear

-0.36
Time
Period

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Forecast Output
0.86

Indep1

103.63
52.06
43.12
70.95
67.98
28.23
89.26
31.88
9.15
56.30
51.74
51.41
33.98
43.20
25.22
28.18
28.72
27.74
40.47
67.30
29.20
27.45
25.71
23.96
22.22
20.47
18.72
16.98
15.23
13.49
11.74

0.12

Indep2

60.14
10.93
18.97
47.55
30.07
17.13
59.46
-0.88
-27.06
44.46
21.47
19.79
-2.75
2.04
-16.86
12.33
-17.54
-11.43
36.39
49.12
2.88
1.47
0.06
-1.35
-2.75
-4.16
-5.57
-6.98
-8.39
-9.80
-11.21

-0.02
Indep3

45.08
7.14
40.19
40.57
42.06
85.04
97.38
54.63
20.33
77.93
12.79
14.35
95.47
58.81
4.07
7.43
19.94
20.19
70.21
49.64

Dependent

94.20
46.26
33.67
69.79
58.00
22.91
79.94
24.33
5.72
53.25
44.33
46.00
24.49
38.83
19.80
21.17
22.00
23.00
39.83
64.21
24.99
23.32
21.65
19.98
18.31
16.64
14.97
13.30
11.63
9.97
8.30

Time
Period

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74

Indep1

Indep2

Indep3

Dependent

Time
Period

75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112

Indep1

Indep2

Indep3

Dependent

Time
Period

113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150

Indep1

Indep2

Indep3

Dependent