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I ISS-2()01)
1 ol4
l.t=:=====:=:::::==:_ST.ATISTICS==========:::::!J J
I, Attempt any !hoe. sub-palls
PAPER· IV
SEC.TlON-A
(j) The of transilion p(obabllities of the
Markov cham ;. with stales I and 2 IS defined by
11
1
= 1- rl. fl
1
=a, /'
21
= /1.1', =1- J!
find the probabnities P
0
(1) of transition duriug the time and the suuinmll) probnbili lies
8
l11) Consider a pure death process \\here p, =I•Jl for n; I. 2 .... 1 .• 1'1-\' (I +II) = if X (I) = q =4l lbr
J I pQSJ tlve. Assume un milia! population of srl.e 1
find  
I iii) Consider n discrete time blllllcbiog process IX,. I with probabtlily gcncrruing function
1-(hc) bs
\I (.() a 1 --,CI <<<h <t>< l
1- < 1- <'>
Where ( l - b- r;,)/c (1 - c) > I Assume Xu = I Deter·rmne the   d:stribution
Un:Pr(X, =lei:<, >0}

M
(iv) If the pr[tual problem has o unite optimum soluHon. pro1•e that, the dual problem must have a
finlle optimum solution and they are equal
8
(v) Explain the of (feterminlng 1he initial basic solution of a
trnnsponat•on problem
3
( 11) A keeps stock of n popular hrnnd of tal. e. Pre11ous expenence sho"s the dai I)
demand pall em [or jhe item with assocmled probabililies, as given helo11
Daily demand
(Nos.) U 10 2tl 3tJ 50
• o.rH 0.20 tJ, rs o.so tU2 um
Use the foUo11 mg sequence of random numbers 10 simulate d1e demand for oex:L I 0 days
Random
numbers 25, 39, fl6. 76, 12. ()5, 7'3. R9, 19, 49
Also esumate th<>druly nl'erage. demand for the cal.es on the basts ol' s11nul a ted dmn.
2. For rbe M/M/l r"'JfCFS) queueing model
(a) Obtain the steady slate solmion for the number in the system
Ill
(b) In astalionury slate. sho11 1haL the dislnbution of time between successive departures has the
exponential distributi ons as the iotemrri val time distribuuon
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3.
4.

Find the voluc:nf queue length
(d) Find the probability distribution oftlte time·•pcud5 io lite •Ysl<m.
(A) P..X11IAin Ute Hungarian mett.ltod au as problam.
"lor I
1{)
10
10
10
(b) Develop a:onomic lot $ize model fqr the inventory sinmlion where R the consbnl rate
of demand p<>r unit and Uu: production is insltlnlancous whott (i)     arc ool
•ll<twed und Cii) • • ""' aU•)Wcd wh= c, o l nnu c
1
ore the unit lt.oldin!; cool, unit
shor1ltge coM ond unit set.up cnst n!llpi>CI ivcly I (I
(c) Explain how the optim>ll\vo·pcnod .inventory poltcy is obtained by staling lite ••sumptioru
made.
I (I
I d) Explain the problem ol' replJJcoment or hems that deteriorate with lime by ignormg the
chang., tn lhe valne of money during Ute penod.
ta)
10
t>orticles aro pbced succussively and mlo N cells. wilh equal probability. l. et
IIV(n} equ•l the num!)cr of cells remaining empl)' after dte distrlbution of n p:u1icles. ShOvr
that the Kcquenc<: n = 1.2.., •• • i'vl:trk.ov chaio. Frnd tho transition
10
(h) • m)
Where m = Bf,\'"
1
1< I in a branching
(c) Usc
Minllniz" : ·h; x.
Snbj""l to 3.r, . .-, =3
'l.r; ,.. .3.1:, .., 3
X,+ 2.r, s,J
.r; .? ''· ,.,
And cbc-ck your lilliog the graphic• I method.
HI
tO
(I') the np1i·malsolution urthe ll'tlluwins lrnn>l)Ortation prohlcm wh()se unit matri)( is
ghtc:n a.'f under!
10
Mark"l
I II Ill 1\" Supply
A G 3 s 22
\Vnrehou.<es B 5 9 2 7 15
c 5 7 6 8
Rcqurroment 7 12 7 9
SECfJON- P
AUempllllly live sub· parts
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3 Ill I
(i) Given c.omplete CXpeCi<lllOU of life 01 ages;>() :ond ".1 ror. particular gTOilp ure
2U9 <t11d '2Q.(}I ye3rll and lh>t. the numher living at age .iO 41, i 76, ru1d.(a) the
number$ t)l3l4tltl.i.ns the age 3lond (\>) lbo ttlltnbcr th>l \I iU die \\ithout. n(bJWlll!lbe nge 31,
8
(ii) Exploin \T<anvill"'$ mt thod to "<msttuct t.heabridgccllifc: table.
(iii I Explain the cnrve1'iuing to project the pnpulat!on •.
(iv) Dillcu<S bnetly the c.ootputcnystcrn cump11t1enl• walo a dingr:utt.
tV) explain ibe concept of systom suppori proy anune with an t-'Cample.
!vlJ Write shoot notes on sofiw.are for;
(a) multi-tast.:lng
(bl multi-progromm•ns
6, (a) Dillcus$ briefly, about the following;
7.
(i) 1.+••• oflife table in demography
(ii ) Tolnl fertility rltle
(w) Gro•• rcproduclionJ·at<>
(b) Dc.fifte [nfanl Moo'lll.lity Rllto (Thffi.). Di>cuss thll nualysis of llvffi.by biometric mothod.
]()
(c) Explain how the Crude Death Rntcs   ' lllndardized directly and indireelly to cs-timlito- ll\c:
levels ur lj,c fforn the dcmognophic iniJuttlte of varyiul! '"I!"" ond sell ' " udur<l.
10
(d) Dntlly c.'<plain the tlH:mry ur llOI>ul4tittn mud<:t and "'' l'lfiin bet\\ c:en
the scltcdulcs of fertility, mortality and Uoe ogo of u t10pulalioln ul\tllinod.
10
(4) Write notes on (My 1\\ol) .
Ill
(i} CRT
( ii) I\IODF.M
I iii) Non-unpact priutetl'
(\1) \\-rite om (any lWO)l
111
(i) I\1ICR
(u) Opttcal disk
(iii) lndo.'l:d sequential life
(c) how the database and file organization •nd are made in dM,1hase
manage:menl.
Ill
(i) proces•ing mode and 'l'ime mode
( ii) Bitond Byte
(ill) Queue and Stack
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4 oft
(n) Explain clearly about 1he following:
)()
(i) lnlc.mal. Inrcrnnl[onuland Net migrorions
(ii)   Md l'osl-ccnijuleslimalcs
(\)) Write o note oo decaUtial population census in India.
1(1
(c) Describe brieJly 01e cxlxtms sollware packages on word processing and spread sheell!. 10
(d) f:.. xplain fundamentals of data and proce<*ing by providing an e)(ample for
each.
H)

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