ValuEngine Weekly:EBAY,Banco Macro,Retail/Wholesale Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier | Investing | Stocks

June 13, 2014

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VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels
typically seen hen mar!et pull"ac!s occur# Overvalued stoc!s no ma!e
up almost $%& of our stoc!s assi'ned a valuation and ()& of those
e*uities are calculated to "e overvalued "y )+& or more# ALL sectors are
calculated to "e overvalued,,fourteen "y dou"le di'its#
MARKET OVERVIEW
Inde- .tarted ee! /nded ee! % day chan'e % day chan'e & ytd
01IA %&'(&")* %&+*(", ,2%(#34 ,+#43& 2#)%&
NA.0A5 -.(-"., -.%-"(% ,2+#2% ,+#)(& (#(+&
RU../LL )+++ %%&&"(* %%,'"'. ,6#(3 ,+#3%& ,+#()&
.78 3++ %'-*"'+ %'.&"-+ ,2)#3 ,+#6%& %#$$&
.ummary of V/ .toc! Universe
.toc!s Undervalued )6#)%&
.toc!s Overvalued $(#$6&
.toc!s Undervalued "y )+& $#9(&
.toc!s Overvalued "y )+& ()#24&
SECTOR OVERVIEW
.ector :han'e ;T0 <T0 Valuation Last 2),;
Return
8=/
Ratio
Aerospace -)"-,/ %")'/ ."(,/ %,"'*/ overvalued .-"--/ ()"-'
Auto,Tires,Truc!s -)"'&/ )"&+/ -"+%/ (.")+/ overvalued (&"-+/ %+".+
>asic ;aterials -)"(./ %"'&/ .")./ %"&+/ overvalued %"*%/ (,"('
>usiness .ervices -)"+-/ %")*/ -)"''/ %)"*'/ overvalued (+"+&/ (&"-.
:omputer and Technolo'y -)"%&/ ("-)/ .".,/ %&"&+/ overvalued (("((/ .%"'&
:onstruction -)"-,/ )"*(/ %".-/ +".'/ overvalued ()",+/ (-
:onsumer 0iscretionary -)"'*/ )"%+/ --")+/ %("'&/ overvalued ()"%)/ (*"''
:onsumer .taples -)"()/ )")*/ ."*&/ %'"%-/ overvalued ()"))/ (-"*-
?inance -)".-/ %")(/ ("&+/ %."&-/ overvalued %("-*/ %*"%%
Industrial 8roducts -)",&/ %"*-/ )"%*/ %,")%/ overvalued (("%-/ (-"%*
;edical -)"(,/ %"+*/ *")-/ %'"+(/ overvalued .."(%/ ('"('
;ulti,.ector :on'lomerates )")%/ %"-(/ ."*./ %'",)/ overvalued %,"-&/ ()"&'
Oils,/ner'y )".-/ (".&/ '"''/ %,"-)/ overvalued (-"'*/ ('"'
Retail,Wholesale -)"''/ -)")(/ --"+'/ %%"'./ overvalued %%".,/ (,",(
Transportation -)"'*/ )"-'/ -")(/ (-"-)/ overvalued .-")(/ (.".'
Utilities -)"%)/ )"%./ ,"(-/ %%"&*/ overvalued ()"+-/ ()",
ValuEngine Newslettes !atest Results
V/ Nesletter :urrent
;onth Total
.78
3++
Last ;onth
Total
.78
3++
.ince
Inception
.78
3++
?orecast ;N. +#+) (#2) ,(#94 )#)4 9+#%% 2+6#(3
0ividend .toc! )#)6 )#$) ,)#3% +#92 23#$3 )2#92
.mall :ap .toc! (#(4 )#96 ,(#+) +#46 )6#%4 (6#2(
Vie $#6( (#$9 ,+#)% +#36 2+2#2+ 63#(4
Se"t# Tal$%Retail&W'#lesale
Below, we present the latest data on leading Retail/Wholesale Sector stocks
from our Institutional software package (VEI. These results were filtered by market
price and volumeno results below !"/share or less than #$$k shares/day volume.
Top,?ive Retail=Wholesale .ector .toc!s,,.hort,Term ?orecast Returns
Tic!er Name ;!t 8rice Valuation@&A Last 2),;
Retn@&A
BL? 0E1234I5E 4T6 &."). -%)"%% .'"(.
.8L. 7T384E7 I9: %%"% -.%"( -(*",+
?O.L 5;77I4 <18 I9: %),"%( -%,"%- -")'
W/N WE96=7 :;>T0E *"(( -'"*, .*"&(
VRA VE13 21364E= (("+ -%-"% *"*+
Top,?ive Retail=Wholesale .ector .toc!s,,Lon',Term ?orecast Returns
Tic!er Name ;!t 8rice Valuation@&A Last 2),;
Retn@&A
BL? 0E1234I5E 4T6 &."). -%)"%% .'"(.
.8L. 7T384E7 I9: %%"% -.%"( -(*",+
?O.L 5;77I4 <18 I9: %),"%( -%,"%- -")'
W/N WE96=7 :;>T0E *"(( -'"*, .*"&(
VRA VE13 21364E= (("+ -%-"% *"*+
Top,?ive Retail=Wholesale .ector .toc!s,,:omposite .core
Tic!er Name ;!t 8rice Valuation@&A Last 2),;
Retn@&A
BL? 0E1234I5E 4T6 &."). -%)"%% .'"(.
AA8 36V39:E 3?T; 8T %(-"(* .".( ,)"'(
8AG 8E97@E 3?T; <18 -,"-+ +"%, --"+&
W/N WE96=7 :;>T0E *"(( -'"*, .*"&(
AN 3?T;93TI;9 I9: ,,"%+ ("', (+",
Top,?ive Retail=Wholesale .ector .toc!s,,;ost Overvalued
Tic!er Name ;!t 8rice Valuation@&A Last 2),;
Retn@&A
BGG 00<1E<< I9: '",, '."+ --("+,
NL. 93?TI4?7 I9: %)"'( +."** .,"*(
RA0 1ITE 3I6 :;18 +".- +(")% %-."),
.U.. 7?77E1 046<7 :8 +'".+ +)",( &+"&'
A>TL 3?T;2=TE4 I9: %."%* &+"'& %+,"%&
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(ee )#wnl#a* +# Rea*es
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,$W#&$(, of one of our Stock .eports
Banco %acro Bansud is a leading bank in &rgentina. With the most e'tensive private
sector branch network in the country, Banco %arco provides standard banking
products and services to a nationwide customer base. Banco %acro was added to
our portfolio on %arch #(th. Since then, it has increased in value from an initial price
of ")*.(!/share to yesterday+s price of "!*.$(. That+s an increase of almost !,- in less
than two months+ time.
.alu/ngine continues its STR012 B34 recommendation on B&150 %&5R0&6R for
)$#*$7##. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research,
we feel that B&150 %&5R0&6R has the probability to 03T8/R90R% average
market performance for the ne't year. The company e'hibits &TTR&5T:./ 8// Ratio
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.ead our 1omplete ,etailed Valuation .eport on %anco Macro B/R/#
W'at,s -#t
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Sutt/eie Sa0s
""1ommentary and (nalysis from 1hief Market Strategist
.ichard Suttmeier
If you have any co!!ents or "uestions, sen# the! to
Rsutt!eier$%!ail&co!
'reasury (iel#s
#$4earC#7,!*D Euarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are #7*7), #7)*B,
#*F!B and #!*7, with a semiannual pivot at #7F7$, the Gune ( alltime intraday high
at #7(,$.#, and daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at #7($7, #,)$) and #,*,#.
SH8 B$$ I C#(!$.##D Euarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are #FB!.B, #,(,.!,
#,7*.*, #B!(.# and #**).# with the Gune ( alltime intraday high at #(BB.BB and daily,
weekly and monthly risky levels at #(B).*, #(F#.F and )$)$.,.
1&S6&E I C*)(FD Euarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are *$!(, !(!$, !()$,
!*,# and !$7! with weekly and daily risky levels at *!*$ and *!7!, the %arch 7
multiyear intraday high at *!,#.,# and monthly risky level at *B!).
1&S6&E #$$ C16JD I C!,7*D Semiannual, @uarterly and annual value levels are !*B7,
!*)*, !$,F and )77( with the Gune ( multiyear intraday high at !F$*.$*, and daily,
weekly and monthly risky levels at !F#B, !F*) and !(77.
6ow Transports I C,(F!D Euarterly, semiannual, and annual value levels are ,*$,,
,!,7, ,)*B, 7)*( and B(!B with a daily risky level at F$F), the Gune ( alltime intraday
high at F)B7.,( and weekly and monthly risky levels at F*#* and F*7!.
Russell )$$$ I C##B(.*$D Weekly, semiannual and annual value levels are ##B!.)),
##!!.)(, ##!$.,(, (77.,) and F,(.!( with a @uarterly pivot at ##7(.)), a daily risky level
at ##F*.B,, the %arch * alltime intraday high at #)#).F) and monthly risky level at
#)#!.7F.
The S0J I C7)#.!BD Semiannual, @uarterly and annual value levels are B*F.!7, B$,.#(,
*($.B), !,#.BF and !!,.,* with weekly and monthly pivots at 7#,.($ and 7)#.($, the
Gune ## multiyear intraday high at 7)B.(# and daily risky level at 7!#.F).
6ow 3tilitiesK CB!(.!,D Euarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are B)F.#$,
B)*.!,, B$*.,* and *(,.B!, with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at B*!.(,, BB!.B#
and BB,.!) and the &pril !$ alltime intraday high at BBF.)(.
)tock of the *ay
/Bay :nc C/B&4D I C"*F.B7D eBay is one of the world+s largest online trading
communities. /bay creates a powerful marketplace for the sale of goods and
services by a passionate community of individuals and small businesses. eBay enables
trade on a local, national and international basis with local sites in numerous markets
in the 3nited States and countryspecific sites in the 3nited Lingdom, 5anada,
2ermany, &ustria, 9rance, :taly, Gapan, Lorea and &ustralia.
&nalysis I /Bay has a Mold rating according to .alu/ngine and is *.F)- undervalued
with fair value at "B#.!$ and a oneyear price target is "B#.*,. The daily chart shows
oversold stochastics with the stock below its )#day, B$day and )$$day simple
moving averages at "B$.7(, "B).)* and "B!.*#. This weekNs value level is "*7.7) with
monthly and semiannual risky levels at "B).#$ and "B7.$$.


Richard Suttmeier has been a professional in the 3S 5apital %arkets since #(,)
transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. Me earned a
Bachelor of :ndustrial /ngineering degree from 2eorgia :nstitute of Technology in
#(77, and a %aster of Science, 0perations Research, Systems &nalysis degree from
Brooklyn 8olytechnic 3niversity in #(,$. 0ver the years Richard appeared many times
in the financial media, on networks such as 51B5, 511, 511fn, 1ew 4ork #,
Bloomberg T. and radio, 9o' Business, Business 1ews 1etwork in 5anada, Wall Street
Week with 9ortune, 4ahoo 9inance Breakout, and the Bill %aOer Radio Show. Richard
has been fre@uently @uoted in 3S& Today, The 14 Times, Wall Street Gournal, Reuters,
and The 6ow Gones 1ewswires.
With Richard .uttmeierFs
;ornin' >riefin'C you 'et
daily analysis of U.
Treasury <ieldsC GoldC
:rude OilC and :urrency
/-chan'e Rates,,0ollarC
<enC 8oundC and /uro,,as
ell as !ey technical
indicators for the maGor
e*uity avera'es#
:lic! B/R/ to .i'n
Up for :hief ;ar!et
.trate'ist Richard
.uttmeierFs
;ornin' >riefin'H

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