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mbqbqntp|ntuubpg uuquq bu: U|q uumuqnq oqmuqnpoqb[ l 9uuqbqntp 1968 u 1931
pququuubp bpqpuupdbp uuuu bquo qouquqpuquu mq|u[ubpg: Umuq bpqpuupd
mq|u[ubp uupnqguquu qouquqpntp|ntuu ntubuu[nt qbgntu ubp unugupquo ubpnqnq
huupuqnp l npnb[ muppbp ntdquntp|uu bpqpuupdbp unuguguuu huquuuquuntp|ntug
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1978 u qbpgubu uubuuqnpouuupupg` 1988 pququu qbqmbupbp 7-u:
Unuuggu| u punbp. bpqpuupd, qpqunqntp|ntu, uppbpuquuntp|ntu, huquuuquuntp|ntu,
lqbumpnu:
Ub|uuuqu|ntu uupupntp|uu uuuqouuu huupubmuquu cU ll-6.02.2006 unpubpntu
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l huquuup 500 mupqu` 50 mupqu gupuggntu ntdquntp|uu ubontp|uu qbpuquuguuu 90%
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quuhumquo l qpntum hnpqnuuquu upuquguuu ubontp|uup` 1-u ub|uuq qnmnt huuup
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np bpqpuupdbp unuguguuu huountp|ntug qupb[ l uqupuqpb[ huqquqb bpunt|pubp
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huquuuquuntp|ntug qnpnq hbmu|u[ puuuunq.

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l muppbp ntdquntp|uu bpqpuupdbp unuguguuu huquuuquuntp|uu npnuuu bquuuq, bpp
ntdbq bpqpuupdbp qbpupbp|u[ mbqbqntp|ntuubpg um bu: U|q uumuqnq oqmuqnpoqb[
l 9uuqbqntp bpqnt bpqpuupdbp uuuu mbqbqumqntp|ntug, npg pbpquo l [5] u [6] qpgbpntu:
9uuqbqntp hu|mu bpqpuupd q[uqnp gugntug mbq l ntubgb[ 1968 pququu hntuu 9-
u: Upuquupbp qumupuo ntuntuuuupntp|ntuubp gupuggntu (hntuu 13-g uuu
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qb, qpuug ubq mup unug bpqpuupd lp mbq ntubgb[ Umuq mupuogntu, np uuuu
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uqupuqpqntu l 1ntuunu puuuu opbugnq u k ntdquntp|uu bpqpuupd unuguguuu
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guu bpqpuupdbp quu guqhuupubu [ub[: Upb mq|u[ mupntu pn[np gugntuubpu guqntub[ ubq
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uhuuqb[ bu mq|u[ubp [5]: Uq. 2-ntu pbpquo bu 1968 u 1931 pququuubp bpqpuupdbp
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huquuuquuntp|ntuubpg, npnug npnqb[ bu (2) puuuunq: k ntdquntp|uu bpqpuupd
unuguguuu huquuuquuntp|ntuu uqb[ huquum q[u, bpb u|u npnbug bpqnt bpqpuupdbp
qouquqpuquu mq|u[ubpg qntuupb[nt ugngnq: Uq. 2-ntu pbpquo l uuu
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1931 p.
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Lpq huquuuquuntp|ntug, ) , ( k T P e
( 100 = T mup u
30 = e T
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0,3 0,21 0,07 0,017
Puu np bpqpuupdbp unuguguuu huquuuquuntp|uu puntug
npul duuuuuquugngntu ququo l qpuug ntdquntp|uu puntug, uu k ntdquntp|uu
bpqpuupd unuguguuu [pq huquuuquuntp|ntug
e T
duuuuuquugngntu q[u`
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uhuqnpouuu bupuqp|u[
30 = e T
mup duuuuuquugngntu:
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bpqpuupd unuguguuu huquuuquuntp|ntug bug uhuqnpouuu nqg gupugg huuup:
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bpquppbmnub u|ntubp huquuuquu omuu[uguuu huuup, ug huupuqnpntp|ntu mqbg
uupuuuqnpuuu guuuqg qngpugub[ 0,5%-nq:
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huupuqnp q[u ubp u|u ubpnqnq npnb[ muppbp ntdquntp|uu bpqpuupdbp unuguguuu
huquuuquuntp|ntug Umuq mupuogntu, guu np u|q lqbumpnunq bpqpuupdbp mbq bu
ntubgb[ 1967, 1975, 1978 u qbpgubu uubuuqnpouuupupg`1988 pququu qbqmbupbp 7-u:
Upuuuntu qpuugquo ntdbq bpqpuupdbpg muppbp lqbumpnuubp bu ntubgb[ u muppbp
duuuuuq bu mbq ntubgb[ (0unu - 1679 p., Upupum|uu - 1840 p., 4upugup - 1937 u 1984 pp. u
u|[u), u|q umounnq l[ uqpu u|umbq uqb[ l pupquuntu, pu|g huupuqnp l u|u [ntob[
uuhupudbm mbqbqumqntp|ntu huqugb[nt qbgntu:

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Doctor of Engineering losif Palyan
Yerevan State niversity of Architecture and
Construction
STATlSTlCAL METD DETEMll TE PAlLlTY
EATAES CCECE
ased on the study of aterials on angeur earthuaes of 1968 and 1931, a ethod has een
develoed for deterining the roaility of occurrence of earthuaes of different intensities ith least
inforation aout strong earthuaes. The study of all the statistic data on the Sita earthuae, ill
allo to deterine the earthuaes occurrence roaility of varying intensity for the area of Sita as
ell, since strong earthuaes in this eicenter occurred not only on the 7
th
of Deceer 1988 ( the ost
disastrous ), ut also in 1967, 1975, 1978.
The otained results ere used in the roailistic otiiation of reinforced concrete coluns of
one-floor industrious uildings, hich led to a decrease in ercentage of reinforceent of coluns y
0,5%.
eyords: earthuae, reeataility, eriodicity, roaility, eicentre.
0puquuntp| ntu
1. cU ll-6.02.2006. Ub|uuuqu|ntu uupupntp|ntu:Uuuqouuu unpubp. - Upuuu, 2006:
2. 1u[|uu r.U. cuupupuquu qnuumpntqguubp huqupq huquuuquu omuu[uguuu
ubpnqg ub|uuq uqqbgntp|ntuubp qbgntu// UDc1 qmuquu uumntp|ntuubp
dnqnquont. - Upuuu, 2009. b . l (34). - lg 101-105:
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