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# CHEC14

Estimating uncertainty
Any scientific measurement has an element of uncertainty. This uncertainty
may arise from the limitations of the measuring instrument, random errors
that effect the measurement being made or systematic errors in the procedure
being used.
Limitations of measuring instruments The sensitivity of a measuring
instrument is determined by the smallest division on its scale. For example a
balance that weighs down to 1 gram will have an uncertainty of + or- 0.5 grams
(Explanation A reading of 223grams means that the mass being measured has
a mass which is closer to 223 grams than it is to 224 grams or 222grams. This
means that the mass could have a value between 222.5 grams and 233.5
grams. This would be written as 223+or 0.5 grams.)
Similarly, a voltmeter reading down to 0.01 volts would have an uncertainty of
0.005 volts and a thermometer reading down to 1
0
C would have an
uncertainty of 0.5
0
C.
Random uncertainty This results from small errors that can arise from a wide
variety of causes. Examples of factors that could lead to random errors might
be small convection currents in the laboratory leading to variations in the
background temperature, fluctuations in the pressure of the gas supply,
fluctuations in the mains voltage and unwanted vibrations. If these errors are
truly random and the measurement is repeated a sufficient number of times,
the values obtained for the measurement will lie on a normal distribution
curve. If n readings have been taken and the standard deviation is the
standard error is equal to /n. This can be taken as the uncertainty due to
random errors. By repeating the measurement a large number of times the
standard error can be reduced

Systematic errors result from poor experimental technique or from a flaw in
the experimental design. For example, using a balance that has not been
zeroed correctly or reading the level of a liquid in a measuring cylinder from
the wrong position will give rise to systematic errors.
together the uncertainty in the sum of the measurements is the sum of the
uncertainties in the individual measurements. If one measurement is
subtracted from the other the combined uncertainty is also the sum of the
individual uncertainties.
Percentage uncertainty = Uncertainty/ measured value multiplied by 100
Worked example 1 A sprinters time for the 200 metres is measured on a stop
watch reading down to 0.01seconds. If her time is 25 seconds, calculate the
percentage uncertainty in her time.
Uncertainty in the measurement of her time is 0.01/2 = 0.005
The percentage uncertainty =(0.005/25) x100% = 0.02%

Worked example 2 5.6+/- 0.05 grams of iron filings are added to 3.2+/-
0.05grams of sulphur. Calculate the uncertainty in the mass of the mixture.
Total mass of the mixture =5.6 + 3.2 =8.8 grams
Total uncertainty =0.05+0.05 =0.1grams
The percentage uncertainty in the mass = (0.1/8.8) x100 =1.14%

Worked Example 3 In an experiment on solubility the mass of the evaporating
dish was 12.5 +/- 0.005grams and the mass of the evaporating dish and the
solute was 15.2 +/- 0.05 grams. Calculate the uncertainty and the percentage
uncertainty in the mass of the solute.
Mass of solute =15.2-12.5=2.7 grams
The uncertainty in the mass =0.5=0.05=0.1grams
The percentage uncertainty=(0.1/2.7) x100 =3.7%
Note that if we are dealing with the difference between two quantities the
percentage uncertainty in the difference can be very large even if the
uncertainties in the measurement of the individual quantities are small.

Combining percentage uncertainties When quantities are combined the
percentage uncertainty will increase according to the following rules.
If z = xy the percentage uncertainty in z is equal to the percentage uncertainty
in x + the percentage uncertainty in y
If z=x/y the percentage uncertainty in z is equal to the percentage uncertainty
in x + the percentage uncertainty in y
If y=x
2
the percentage uncertainty in y is twice the percentage uncertainty in x
In general ,if y=x
n
the percentage uncertainty in yis n times the percentage
uncertainty in x.
Worked examples
4E =VIt is the formula for calculating electrical energy supplied in Joules
when Vis the voltage in volts, I is the current in amps and t is the time for
which the current flows in seconds.
If V=5=+/- 0.005 volts, I= 0.2 =/- 0.005 amps and t = 10 =/- 0.1 seconds
calculate the percentage error in E.
%age error in V = (0.005/5) x100 =0.1%
%age error in I = (0.005/0.2)x100 =2.5%
% error in t =(0.1/10)x100 = 1%
The percentage error in E =0.1% + 2.5% + 1% =3.6%

5) If z=x
2
y
3
with a percentage error of 2% in x and 3% in y work out the
percentage error in z

Percentage error in x
2
=2x2%=4%
Percentage error in y
3
=3x3%= 9%
Percentage error in z= 4% +9% = 13%