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Election Central

Pre-Primary Primer Voters go to the polls in four states today in some of

the last primary elections of the 2014 cycle. Here is your pre-primary
Delaware No surprising elections set in Delaware for today. The highest-
profile race, for U.S. Senate, will not be contested at all. The race is for the
seat Joe Biden was re-elected to as he was elected Vice President, setting up
a 2010 special election when he resigned. Chris Coons, New Castle County
county executive, won the seat and is up for his first full term in November.
Sen. Coons is unopposed in the Democratic primary, and the GOP
frontrunner is businessman Kevin Wade, who was the partys nominee for
Delawares other U.S. Senate seat in 2012. Polls show Coons clobbering
Wade in November.
Massachusetts The top race in the Bay State will be the Democratic primary
for Massachusetts governor, where Democrat Deval Patrick is retiring.
Martha Coakley, the states Attorney General, known for her embarrasing
loss to Scott Brown in the 2010 Senate special election, which lost the
Democratic supermajority in the Senate after the death of Ted Kennedy, is
the frontrunner. It looks like Coakley will be tapped by Democratic voters in
Massachusetts once again: polls show her leading former
Medicare/Medicaid administrator Donald Berwick, and state Treasurer and
former DNC chair Steven Grossman.

Since 2011
Gabe Fleisher, Editor-in-Chief @WakeUp2Politics
If she wins her primary, Coakley will face Charlie Baker, the 2010
gubernatorial nominee unopposed for the Republican nomination.
Also in Massachusetts: a race for U.S. Senate, where Sen. Ed Markey (D) is
unopposed for his primary, as is Hopkinson Selectman Brian J. Herr (R).
New Hampshire Speaking of the 2010 Senate special election in
Massachusetts: Scott Brown (who beat Coakley in that race, only to lose to
Elizabeth Warren in 2012) is vying to return to the Senatefrom New
All eyes will be on Browns crowded Republican primary, which he is
expected to win but to what extent GOPers in the state rally around him.
Brown is seen as the partys best bet to take down Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D),
who is unopposed in her primary, and vulnerable this November. Polls show
Shaheen with a slight lead over Brown, but with the two running neck-in-
neck, this will be a key election in the race for control of the Senate.
Also in the Granite State, Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) runs for a second term.
No clear Republican opponent for Hassan has emerged, with Manchester
Mayor Ted Gatsas, businessman Walt Havenstein, and Tea Party activist
Andrew Hemingway running for the nod. Whoever wins the Republican
primary faces an uphill fight to unseat Hassan.
Rhode Island And finally, the nights biggest race is a showdown for the
Democratic gubernatorial nomination in the nations smallest state.
The Democratic primary is packed with heavy-hitters; former Deputy
Assistant Education Secretary Clay Pell (grandson of Rhode Islands longest
serving U.S. Senator Claiborne Pell, namesake of the Pell Grant) , Rhode
Island state Treasurer Gina Raimondo, and Angel Taveras, mayor of
Providence, the states most populous city and capital.
Little Rhodys race showcases the top themes likely to dominate the 2016
Democratic presidential primary race. Raimondo, a supporter of Hillary
Clinton, currently leads Pell, a former Obama Administration official, in a
classic Democratic Wall Street vs. Main Street race.
Raimondo is slammed as a creature of Wall Street, but labor is left without
an alternative, and is split between Pell and Taveras. One of Raimondos
other faults in the eyes of Democratic voters was her 2011 overhaul of the
pension system, which raised the retirement age from 62 to 67, and passed
other controversial budget cuts through the Democratic legislature aimed to
fix the messy pension program.
Another key that will be key in 2016 is that of dynasties, as the Pell name is
magical in Rhode Island the gubernatorial candidates grandfather was a
beloved longtime Senator, and behind the U.S. college financial aid
Polls show the race to be anyones game, particularly Raimondo or Taveras.
With the Democratic nominee likely to end up in the State House, this
election will be historic: the latter would be Rhode Islands first Hispanic
governor and the former would be the first female chief executive of the
Bottom Line Low voter turnout is expected across the board Tuesday, in one
of the cycles last primary dates. Primaries today include some of the
nations most interesting comebacks in Massachusetts and New Hampshire
(who were both opponents at one time), as well as a fascinating open
gubernatorial race in Rhode Island. In addition, some like the Senate
election in New Hampshire set up some of this cycles most heated races.
This will be an interesting night to watch, with plenty of connotations on
November and beyond.

White House Watch

The Presidents Scheedule At 10 AM, President Obama will receive the
Presidential Daily Briefing.
At 10:45 AM, the President will sit down with his Secretary of State, John
Finally, at 3:15 PM, Obama will meet with House Speaker John Boehner,
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi,
and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on foreign policy.
Obama sits down with congressional leaders ahead of a Wednesday speech,
which will outline his plans for combating ISIS. As Hill leaders are huddled
at the White House, Administration staffers will be on Capitol Hill, briefing
members of the U.S. House and U.S. Senate staffers (Senate members will
be briefed tomorrow).
It is unlikely that today, or on Wednesday, President Obama will seek
formal authorization to use military force against ISIS. In his address to the
nation, the President will lay out his plan for a U.S.-led offensive against the
Islamic State group. According to the New York Times, a military offensive
in the region could last 36 months, and go into the next Presidents term.
The first phase of the Presidents plan, the Times reports, has already been
set into motion, and will include nearly 140 airstrikes.
The next phase would train and equip the Iraqi military and Kurdish fighters,
will the third and final phase would be to destroy ISIS in Syria the long-
term goal that wouldnt likely be completed until the next administration
takes office. Thus far, President Obama has assured the nation that troops
would not be placed on the ground to fight ISIS.

Capitol Hill News

House: Status Update The House will be voting on a number of bills today,
including a resolution condemning and disapproving of the Obama
administration's failure to comply with the lawful statutory requirement to
notify Congress before releasing [the five Taliban prisoners in exchange for
Bowe Berghdal].
Senate: Status Update Meanwhile, across Capitol Hill: the Senate
continues debate on New Mexico Sen. Tom Udalls proposed campaign
finance constitutional amendment.

the FACTory
For a constitutional amendment to be ratified, it must be first proposed by a member of Congress (), then
must make it to the floor of one of the houses of Congress () of the 11,000+ amendments proposed by
lawmakers, only 33 in history werent killed in committee or on the floors of one of the houses of Congress.
Now, the amendment must make its way through the procedures of the house it was introduced in (the
Senate) meaning it now advances through the Senate, which it currently is. Next, two-thirds of both houses
of Congress must approve it, before it goes to the state legislatures, three-fourths of which will have to ratify it
to add the amendment to the Constitution. For a controversial proposal that might not even make it through
the Democratic Senate, and will be dead on arrival in the Republican House this will be quite a tall order.

Gabes Bookshelf

Hot Books As we pass Labor Day, American voters now turn their attention
where political junkies have been looking for months: the November
midterms. But many more political junkies and apparently the publishing
world too have their eyes even past that, on to the 2016 presidential
election. Here are Hot Books in politics being released today:
Texas Democratic gubernatorial nominee Wendy Davis, a liberal icon for
her 11-hour filibuster of an anti-abortion bill in the Texas State Senate,
releases here memoir, Forgetting to be Afraid today. Davis, currently
running in the race to replace retiring Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX), tells her story
in the book, which focuses on her share of tough fights and is the
exhilarating and deeply moving story behind one of the nations brightest
young political stars, told in her own refreshingly forthright voice.
Also today, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), a potential candidate for the
Presidency in 2016, comes out with Off the Sidelines, which is being
promoted as part memoir and part call to action for politically-motivated
women. The title is shared with the name of Gillibrands super PAC. The
book will also include a foreword by Hillary Clinton, Gillibrands mentor
and predecessor in the Senate, who could also become a rival of hers in the
2016 Democratic presidential nomination fight.